CPI - inflation assessment, gold accumulation⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Swap markets have now fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with expectations for two additional reductions by year-end. This marks a slight shift from last week, when traders had anticipated the first cut as early as July and a total of three rate cuts in 2025.
On the geopolitical front, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi stated on Monday that military operations against Pakistan are merely on hold, warning that future actions will depend on Islamabad’s conduct. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed willingness to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin later this week, following US President Donald Trump's call for him to "immediately" accept a peace summit invitation in Turkey. Heightened geopolitical risks from these developments could fuel demand for safe-haven assets like gold, reinforcing the metal’s appeal amid ongoing global uncertainty.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
CPI assesses the level of inflation in the US economy, gold prices continue to strive to maintain the price range around 3200
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3281- 3283 SL 3288
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3176 - $3174 SL $3169
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3198
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD trade ideas
Stop Watching Your Trades All Day!How to Break Free from Screen Addiction and Become a More Focused, Profitable Trader
Have you ever found yourself glued to your screens, watching every tick of the market, feeling your stress levels spike with every price fluctuation?
If so, you’re not alone.
Most traders, at some point, fall into this trap.
It feels productive, even necessary, to monitor your trades constantly.
But the reality is that it’s one of the most damaging habits you can develop.
In this article, I’ll show you why this behavior is hurting your trading results and how to break free from it, so you can trade smarter, stress less, and live more.
________________________________________
⚠️ The Cortisol Trap – Why Watching Every Tick is a Psychological Minefield
Every time you check the market and see a fluctuation in your trades, your body releases cortisol, the primary stress hormone.
While cortisol is useful in fight-or-flight situations (like dodging a car on the street), it’s terrible for trading.
Here’s why:
• Cortisol reduces rational thinking – It pushes your brain into reactive mode, not analytical mode.
• It triggers impulsivity – You become more likely to close winning trades too early or move your stop loss in desperation.
• It burns your mental energy – Leaving you drained, unfocused, and emotionally volatile.
Simply put: Too much screen time = too much cortisol = bad trading decisions.
If you want to win consistently, you need to break this cycle.
________________________________________
🎯 Distraction from Higher Priorities – Why Trading Should Be a Part of Life, Not All of It
Trading is meant to give you freedom — not steal it.
Yet, too many traders become slaves to the screen, obsessing over every tick.
But here’s the truth:
You don’t need to be in front of your screen all day to be a great trader.
In fact, doing so can rob you of the mental clarity and emotional balance needed for high-quality trading.
When you step away from the charts:
• You give your strategic mind time to work,
• You focus on other important aspects of life — family, health, personal growth,
• You develop a longer-term perspective on the market, which is crucial for real success.
Balance is the key to sustainable success, both in trading and in life.
________________________________________
✅ 3 Benefits of Breaking Free from Screen Addiction
✅ Benefit #1: Better Decision-Making
When you stop reacting to every tick:
• You make calmer, more rational trading decisions,
• You avoid low-probability setups and revenge trading,
• You focus on quality over quantity.
Instead of jumping on every tiny move, you become a strategic sniper in the market, waiting for high-probability setups.
________________________________________
🧘 Benefit #2: Improved Quality of Life
Life is not just about trading.
Reducing screen time frees you up for other meaningful activities:
• Exercise,
• Hobbies,
• Time with family and friends.
A well-rounded life supports better mental health, which, in turn, improves your trading performance.
Remember, a clear mind is a profitable mind.
________________________________________
⏱️ Benefit #3: Increased Productivity
Believe it or not, less screen time = more productivity.
Why?
Because you’ll:
• Spend less time reacting and more time preparing,
• Conserve your mental energy for important decisions,
• Create time for deep market analysis instead of random impulse trades.
This disciplined approach leads to better trading outcomes over time.
________________________________________
🔔 How to Trade with Less Screen Time – 3 Practical Step s
🔔 Action #1: Use Alerts Wisely
Instead of staring at charts all day, let technology work for you:
• Set alerts at key price levels,
• Use trading apps to get notifications when your levels are hit,
• Let the market come to you — not the other way around.
Example: If you want to buy Gold at 3200 support, set an alert and go for a walk.
You’ll be notified when price approaches, so you can act, not react.
________________________________________
📅 Action #2: Create a Balanced Schedule
Build a daily routine that includes more than just trading:
• Morning exercise,
• Reading or journaling,
• Spending time with loved ones,
• Working on long-term goals.
When you’re mentally balanced, you’ll trade better and more profitably.
________________________________________
📊 Action #3: Review Your Trading Plan Regularly
Spend time reviewing your trades instead of watching them:
• Look at your journal,
• Analyze your stats,
• Identify mistakes and strengths.
This should only take once a week — and it’s far more valuable than hours of pointless screen time.
________________________________________
🧠 Final Words
As the saying goes:
“Sometimes, less is more.”
Stop watching your trades all day.
Lower your stress, regain your focus, and remember why you started trading in the first place — to build wealth and live freely, not to become a slave to the screen.
Trade well.
Build wealth.
Live fully. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD - Price can bounce up to $3475 points, exiting from pennantHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price traded inside flat, where it two times broke $3045 levels and then made impulse up.
Price exited from flat and continued to grow inside a pennant pattern, where it later reached $3320 level.
Then Gold broke this level and rose to resistance line of a pennant, and then made a correction to support level, and then broke it.
After this, the price declined to the support line of the pennant, after which it turned around and bounced up.
Gold broke $3320 level and rose to resisance line of pennant, but recently it made correction to this level.
So, now I expect that price can bounce up from this level to $3475, thereby exiting from pennant pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
XAUUSD Sniper Zones – May 9 Structure Locked. Zones Refined. Let’s Hunt Clean Entries.
Current Price: 3334
Bias: Mixed (HTF Bullish | LTF Bearish Premium Rejection)
Flow: In consolidation after sweep & rally — waiting for liquidity shift and clear SMC confirmations.
🔻 SELL ZONES (No entries without confirmation!)
🔴 Zone 1: 3365–3375
📍Confluence: LH + unmitigated OB + FVG inside premium
🔍 Wait for clear M5 CHoCH + bearish BOS before pulling trigger.
🔴 Zone 2: 3410–3422
📍Confluence: FVG + Internal Range Premium Liquidity
🔍 Only short after SMC reversal + candle body rejection in zone.
🔴 Zone 3: 3448–3455
📍Confluence: High timeframe OB + Weekly Supply + Final liquidity trap
🔍 This is the kill-shot sniper zone — wait for aggressive reaction or internal M5 break.
🔹 BUY ZONES (No buys unless structure shifts clean!)
🟢 Zone 1: 3306–3314
📍Confluence: Last BOS + bullish breaker block + EQ area
🔍 Look for M5 BOS + retest confirmation.
🟢 Zone 2: 3264–3274
📍Confluence: Untapped demand + internal liquidity sweep
🔍 Watch for aggressive rejection wick + bullish CHoCH confirmation.
🟢 Zone 3: 3225–3235
📍Confluence: Strong LTF OB + higher timeframe discount zone
🔍 High RISK/High REWARD sniper swing area. Wait for clear LTF BOS + strong bounce.
⚔️ Key Zones Above Price:
🔹 3365 (minor premium flip)
🔹 3410–3422 (major supply/FVG)
🔹 3448–3455 (HTF kill zone)
🛡️ Key Zones Below Price:
🔹 3306–3314 (LTF OB + structure demand)
🔹 3264–3274 (liquidity pocket)
🔹 3225–3235 (HTF reentry demand)
🧠 Final Note:
This isn’t for gamblers. You don’t "predict" Gold — you react to liquidity, imbalance, and SMC shifts. These sniper zones are valid only with confirmation. No CHoCH/BOS = no entry. Full stop.
✨ We’re building something smarter than just signals — it’s a sniper mindset. If this helped your vision, show some love below.
💬 Drop a comment, leave a like, and follow for more clean logic and zero fluff.
🔐 Let’s trade like pros!
With you in the flow,
GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX) 💛
The recent gold short position has a perfect harvestIt can be said that the market of gold on Wednesday was mainly range-bound. After the US market, gold began to follow a unilateral decline pattern, with the lowest reaching the 3173 line. The current rebound of gold is not strong. On the rebound, we will focus on the 3206-3210 line for suppression at the top and 3154-3154 at the bottom. 3160 is a first-line support. The general trend is still mainly rebounding and shorting. We continue to rebound and take advantage of the trend to intervene in short orders and be a stable trader. I have always been here. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate!
Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side is currently focusing on the short-term suppression of the 3206-3210 first line. The counter-draw relies on this position to continue to go short first and then fall back. Before breaking through and standing at this position, the counter-draw main short-term rhythm will remain unchanged. The short-term support below is around 3154-3160, with interval operations as the main focus.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold rebounds and goes short at 3206-3210 line, stop loss at 3219, target 3160-3165 line, continue to hold if the position is broken;
Gold's V-shaped reversal restarts its upward trend!Gold had a perfect V-shaped reversal today. It opened at 3177 and fell unilaterally in the Asian session. It hit 3120 at noon and then rose slowly. As of the time of writing, it has completely recovered the decline and is currently trading around 3220. The key point today is to pay attention to the gains and losses of 3200. The 4-hour mid-term Bollinger opening, although temporarily strong, but if it rebounds continuously and stands firm at 3200, there will be a continuous positive pattern at the bottom, breaking the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, then there is a great possibility that it will go to 3235. Therefore, gold in the late trading should not be inertially bearish because of the decline on Wednesday. Even if it is bearish, it is necessary to observe the gains and losses of 3200. As for trading, first pay attention to 3200 below and try to go long, and watch for the break of 3230 and 3250. The short-term operation of gold is recommended to be long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3250-365 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3193-3200 support.
XAUUSD-Elliott Wave TheoryCurrent price action is unfolding in a 5-wave bearish structure wave (1) of ((3)) with wave ((V)) of 3 in progress.
A corrective ABC structure completed near the CISD zone.
Wave 3 extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci projection (~3,148), with wave 5 targeting a support block near 3,120–3,130.
Anticipated short-term retracement for wave 4, followed by one more impulsive drop into demand.
Indicators:
RSI shows consistent bearish momentum with room for divergence
XAUUSD – Bearish Structure Intact, Awaiting Key Reaction Zones Gold remains in a clear 1H downtrend. Late last week, price tapped into a 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a strong 4H order block, which triggered a solid reaction—an opportunity we capitalized on.
Now, we’re observing price behavior around the previous day's high and low to determine whether the bearish momentum will continue, or if a larger bullish leg may develop on the higher timeframe.
📌 Key Levels
🟢 Support: $3,120
🔴 Resistance Zones: $3,241 / $3,280
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
GOLD correction in progress Gold giant cup and handle formation in progress and price hit one of our internal resistance levels with price tagged at $3500 which currently acting at the current ATH, the plan now is to wait for the price correction towards the $2800 zone to complete the mini correction before further continuation towards the final setup target as shown on the chart.
Check out all the previous analysis on Gold that showcase cup and handle outlook.
Gold can correct to support line of channel and then start growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. In this chart, we can see how the price, after forming a triangle structure and breaking out to the upside, Gold entered a downward channel, where it has been consistently respecting both the resistance and support lines. Each bounce from the lower boundary of this channel signals local buyer interest, especially near the support level around 3060, which also overlaps with the buyer zone. Recently, the price rebounded from this support line, indicating a potential start of a bullish correction inside the channel. This move is consistent with past price behavior, strong impulses from the bottom boundary followed by gradual movement toward the upper resistance line. Given the structure and the ongoing bounce, I expect Gold can correct the support line of the channel, after which it turns around and starts to grow to the 3290 resistance level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the pattern and the beginning of the seller zone. That’s why my TP 1 is set at 3290 points - a reasonable technical target within the current channel formation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold's Bearish Momentum Builds from PRZ-Short SetupGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline exactly from PRZ (previous idea) as I expected in my previous idea . And with the loss of the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) we can expect further decline.
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357 ) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed a five-wave impuls e and we should expect corrective waves . Since the momentum of the second decline that broke the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) is high , the correction is expected to continue and Gold appears to be completing a pullback .
---------------------------------------------
The US Unemployment Claims Index was also released a few minutes ago, and let's take a look and examine the possible impact on Gold .
This better-than-expected data confirms a stronger U.S. labor market , reducing the urgency for the Fed to cut rates anytime soon .
Impact on Gold :
A resilient job market supports the hawkish stance of the Fed , which could keep downward pressure on Gold in the short term as yields and the dollar remain firm.
However, traders should remain cautious and watch for upcoming data and Fed commentary, which could shift the tone.
---------------------------------------------
I expect Gold to start falling from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) to the targets I have indicated on the chart. The first target could be around $3,319 .
Note: If Gold touches $3,401(the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect the resistance lines to break and gold to rise further.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Strong Crash, Final Warning —Moving Below $2,000XAUUSD (Gold) will move below $3,000 with very strong bearish momentum. You cannot say that you were not warned. It will continue lower to hit a target around $2,750 after $3,000 fails as support.
After the $2,750 target hits, I will look again at the chart and see what it has to say. Below $3,000 is ultra high probability, guaranteed basically. $2,750 is also very high probability that it will hit.
Will it continue lower? At this point it is hard to tell because I don't know Gold's long-term dynamics in a correction, but it isn't looking pretty. If current geopolitical conditions is what's making Gold bearish, then XAUUSD is set for a long-term bear market because everything will continue in the same vein.
That is only if that's the reason why Gold is bearish.
» Looking at the monthly chart, it is a disaster. Gold is set to move below $2,000 in the coming months.
Do you agree?
Disagree?
Leave a comment.
Thank you for reading.
(Remember to follow, and boost...)
Namaste.
Gold: Short-Term Elliott Wave OutlookGold: Short-Term Elliott Wave Outlook
Gold is currently displaying a classic Elliott wave pattern, specifically an ABC correction. In this case, the C wave appears to be overextended.
Looking closer, the C wave has completed a five-wave sequence, which often signals the end of the correction. This suggests that Gold could be ready to resume its bullish trend.
In strong trends, these wave patterns create deep pullbacks before the price continues moving in the main direction.
Key price levels to watch:
3356
3405
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Hanzo | Gold 15 min : Bullish Break– Next Move is confirmed 🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
Bullish After Break Out : 3208
Break Out Done
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Strong bullish reaction from a refined demand zone.
☄️Entry based on Smart Money Concepts: Break of structure + order block confirmation.
☄️Confluence with higher time frame support or key level.
☄️Bullish engulfing / displacement candle shows clear intent.
☄️Market in premium-to-discount transition zone.
XAU/USD: Institutional Accumulation or New Bearish Impulse?Technical Context:
The graphical analysis shows that the price of gold (XAU/USD) is currently consolidating within a significant demand zone following the recent bullish impulse. The daily chart shows an attempt to bounce off the 3,300 USD zone, a key psychological level.
Volume and COT Analysis:
The latest COT data (April 29, 2025) indicates a slight reduction in long positions by non-commercial operators (-18,519 contracts), balanced by an increase in commercial long positions (+1,659 contracts), signaling potential institutional accumulation.
On the retail sentiment front, traders are slightly more exposed to the downside (51% short vs. 49% long), which could indicate a potential short squeeze if the price resumes an upward trend.
Seasonal Trends:
According to data, May historically shows mixed performances with an average of +9.83% over the last 10 years, but with significant fluctuations between longer and more recent periods.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,380 - 3,400 USD (previous distribution zone)
Support: 3,300 USD (current demand zone) and 3,050 USD (secondary support)
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Buy above 3,340 USD with a target at 3,400 USD and a stop loss below 3,300 USD.
Bearish Scenario: Sell below 3,300 USD with a target at 3,050 USD and a stop loss above 3,340 USD.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook & Trading Plan
As we discussed on the yesterday's live stream,
Gold is currently in a consolidation stage.
The price is stuck within a wide horizontal channel on a daily
and we see a test of its support at the moment.
With the absence of high impact news in the economic calendar,
I assume that a consolidation will continue and there is a high
chance to see a pullback.
Your confirmation signal will be a bullish breakout and a 4H candle close
above 3271 - upper boundary of the intraday horizontal range.
There will be a strong possibility of a rise to at least to 3320 level.
Alternatively, a bearish violation of a support of the range on a daily
and a daily candle close below that may trigger a further decline.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold opening rise and fall prediction?The current gold market is in a range of fluctuations, maintaining a wide range of fluctuations. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 area, while the 3450 price level above constitutes a significant double-top structural resistance level. Although the conclusion of the US-UK tariff agreement has a phased negative effect on precious metals at the geopolitical level and may provide a demonstration effect for other regional trade negotiations, the overall technical structure still maintains a downward trend. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through an important support platform. The current daily K-line continues to close the adjustment pattern with an upper shadow line, and the alternating yin and yang oscillation rhythm conforms to the technical correction characteristics. It is worth noting that the 50-period moving average continues a clear downward trajectory, forming a resonance suppression with the double-top structure in the 3450 area.
The 1-hour gold chart shows that the short-term price trend presents a clear downward channel feature, and the seller's power continues to dominate the market. Combined with the Fibonacci extension level calculation, the first target below can still focus on the 3300 area. If this support platform is lost, the price will have a technical demand to further explore the 3320 integer mark. The current volume and price coordination shows that the market is brewing a new wave of trending market conditions. It is necessary to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3380 range, which will determine the continuation or reversal of the medium-term trend. Taken together, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3360-3380, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3320-3300.
Gold next moveAs of May 13, 2025, XAU/USD (gold) has experienced significant volatility, influenced by U.S.-China trade developments, central bank policies, and shifting investor sentiment. Here’s an updated outlook based on recent market activity and expert analyses.
⸻
📉 Recent Market Movements
• May 12 Decline: Gold prices fell over 3% to $2,228 per ounce, marking the largest daily loss since April 23. This drop followed progress in U.S.-China trade talks, which reduced global trade tensions and diminished gold’s appeal as a safe haven. 
• May 13 Recovery: On May 13, gold prices rebounded to $3,254.39 per ounce, driven by bargain-buying as investors took advantage of lower prices. The earlier decline in gold was prompted by a temporary U.S.-China tariff truce that boosted demand for riskier assets and weakened gold’s safe-haven status. 
⸻
📈 Technical Outlook
• Resistance Levels: Key resistance is observed at $2,726 (December 12 high) and $2,790 (all-time high). A breach above these levels could signal a continuation toward $3,009, $3,123, and $3,288. 
• Support Levels: Immediate support is at $2,582 (December 19 low), followed by $2,536 (November low), and the 200-day SMA at $2,511. A deeper pullback might retest $2,471 (September low). 
⸻
🔮 Expert Forecasts
• Citi Group: Projects gold prices to consolidate between $3,000 and $3,300, with a short-term target of $3,150. 
• Jeff Gundlach (DoubleLine Capital): Anticipates a 20% rally, targeting $4,000 per ounce, citing increased market volatility and gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. 
• Société Générale: Identifies potential objectives at $2,250 and $2,360, with a target near $2,460, following a breakout above a multi-year rectangle pattern. 
⸻
🧭 Summary Outlook
Gold’s near-term direction hinges on several factors: 
• Trade Relations: Further developments in U.S.-China trade talks could impact gold’s safe-haven demand. 
• Central Bank Policies: Decisions by the Federal Reserve and other central banks regarding interest rates and monetary easing will influence gold’s appeal. 
• Geopolitical Events: Ongoing geopolitical tensions may drive investors toward gold as a protective asset. 
Given the current technical setup and expert forecasts, gold may continue to test higher resistance levels, especially if supportive economic and geopolitical conditions persist.
GOLD Eiffel Tower M pattern now completeI have been posting gold charts since February 2024. Both Bullish and GTFO charts. See below.
This current setup has presented a great risk-reward setup.
1. GTFO still remains firmly in place.
2. The lower high M pattern could be setting up for a corrective bull flag for more upside.
If the Eiffel Tower plays out. You will not be involved.
If the corrective pattern plays out, you will have a clear, solid buy signal.
Click Boost, Follow and Subscribe for more updated data and info. Let's get to 5,000! ;))