GOLD will take an action as Continuation on APRIL 2025Superbullish on GOLD will take a continuation on April 2025.
It not finish yet, the Bulls momentum so strong.
I will add a daily chart for a perspective.
GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD Time to start selling?Gold (XAUUSD) finally hit our 3 month $3000 target that we've been pursuing since the very first week of this year (January 06, see chart below) and in later stages upgraded to $3100:
Now the price has reached the top of the 1.5-year Channel Up, forming a similar 1D MACD peak formation while completing the +22.50% rise that the previous two major Bullish Legs had. As you can see, the pattern makes its Higher High on the 2nd MACD Bearish Cross and in 2 out of 3 Bearish Legs it retraced all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, while on the remaining it the correction was contained to just above the 0.382 Fib.
On all cases the price came close to the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) before bottoming. As a result, even though some more Trump announcements may cause a momentary push upwards, we technically think that it is a solid level to turn bearish now with a fair 2900 Target on the 0.382 Fibonacci where by the end of April it should come close to the 1D MA100.
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Snipper plan ideeas before NFP and Powell Speech - April 4th📌 Macro & Market Context
Gold remains in a strong HTF bullish market structure, with recent highs around $3,160 acting as a key resistance.
NFP data, Unemployment Rate and Powell's speech will add increased volatility later today.
The market is currently correcting after liquidity grab above $3,160, showing signs of distribution.
📊 Market Structure Overview (4H & 1H)
Bullish/Sell bias remains neutral, but a temporary retracement is underway.
Premium supply zones are positioned above $3,140–$3,160.
Discount demand zones are around $3,080–$3,050.
📍 Setup 1 SELL
Scenario: Bearish retest to this zone
Entry: $3,135 - $3,145 (if price returns to this zone).
Confirmation: Rejection wick + Bearish Engulfing on 15M or 5M.
Stop Loss: Above $3,153
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,110
TP3: $3,090
📍 Setup 2 SELL
Scenario: Wait for price to push back into 3,091–3,095 zone (M5 imbalance retest).
Entry: 3091-3095
Confirmation: Entry on rejection + BOS or CHoCH M1/M5.
Stop Loss: Above 3,096
TP1: 3066
TP2: 3054
TP3: 3040
📍 Setup 2 BUY
Scenario: If price retraces to key demand zones $3,080–$3,070, look for a long entry.
Entry: Buy at $3,080–$3,075.
Confirmation: Liquidity grab + Bullish engulfing on LTF (1M, 5M).
Stop Loss: Below $3,070.
TP1: $3,100
TP2: $3,120
TP3: $3,135
📍 Setup 3 BUY
Scenario: Bounce/reversal confirmation near 3,054 (last demand block + imbalance edge).
Entry: Buy at 3048-3055
Confirmation: Entry only if M1/M5 shows CHoCH + volume.
Stop Loss: Below 3048
TP1: 3085
TP2: 3115
TP3: 3128
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
If you find the ideas contribute to your views on the market be kind to press boost🚀/like button. Your support is appreciated.
XAUUSDGold is still in an uptrend. The price is currently near the support zone of 3083-3070. If the price cannot break through the 3070 level, in the short term, it is expected that the price will rebound.
ANOTHER DROPAs i mentiond before . gold will dive 800 - 1000 pips from 3143-3160
gold dives 900 pips to 3052
Witting now for another drop ABC pattern neer 3020
Good luck
WEGO
Gold Trade plan 04/04/2025 ( Ascending Channel)Dear Traders,
yesterday, price Hit my Target around 3060
for Today i expect price will continue Uptrend (Ascending Channel)
"If it remains in the upward channel, my initial target is 3140."
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 3100.Wave “3” is still continuing its progression. This means that the five-wave impulse is not over yet and we expect the upward movement to continue.
Of course I would like to see wave “4” as a corrective wave in the area of 3024 level, then I expect an upward movement to the area of 3100 level. This level is also considered to be quite strong, from which there could be a correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GOLD Long opportunity from 3,050 or 3,020 back to ATH'sThis week, my outlook on gold remains strongly bullish. Price has once again reached its all-time high (ATH) and broken structure to the upside, leaving behind new demand zones that present potential buying opportunities.
The first key area of interest is the nearby 6-hour demand zone. While not the most ideal setup, I will be monitoring how price reacts once it mitigates this level.
Additionally, there is a 15-hour demand zone positioned lower, offering a more favorable entry at a discounted price. This zone was responsible for the break of structure to the upside, making it a strong area of interest. If price reaches this level, I expect a slowdown followed by a buildup of bullish momentum.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside on the higher timeframes.
Clean 6-hour and 15-hour demand zones remain unmitigated.
Gold has been consistently bullish across both lower and higher timeframes.
DXY is trending bearish, reinforcing gold’s bullish bias due to their inverse correlation.
Note: There is some liquidity resting below in the form of an equal low and a small trendline. I will wait for confirmation in these areas before making any decisions.
Gold Short: Completed wave 3Take note that this is a recounting of the waves again. I had not expected wave 3 to extend and thus even though I had previously called a short (and it worked for a super short while), that was obviously a failure.
This set up is cleaner for the waves and we can now CLEARLY see the 5-waves structure, as opposed to force-counting the last time. I'll link my last failed trade here so you can study my mistake.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3111 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3136 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3142
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3111
Strong Rejection from 3149 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 3136 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 3127 – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 31 march 2025 – bearish Retest 3126
💯 31 march 2025 – bearish Retest 3126
💯 1 april 2025 – Liquidity Grab Range 3118 : 3126
💯 1 april 2025 – Bullish Retest At 3126 : 3130 Zone
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Double Top & Bearish Breakdown Incoming?📉 GOLD (XAU/USD) - Double Top & Bearish Breakdown Incoming? 📉
Gold has been trading in an ascending channel, but a possible double top pattern is forming near $3,163. The recent breakdown from the midline suggests that sellers are stepping in! 🚨
🔎 Key Observations:
✅ Double Top Rejection: Price failed to break above $3,163, signaling a potential bearish reversal.
✅ Break Below the Channel Midline: A retest of $3,129 could act as a confirmation before further downside.
✅ Bearish Targets: Next support zones lie at $3,083 - $3,005, with potential for deeper correction.
📊 Possible Scenarios:
📌 Bearish Case: If price gets rejected at $3,129, expect further downside towards $3,060 - $3,040.
📌 Bullish Case: If bulls reclaim $3,129, gold might retest highs near $3,163.
⚠️ Watch price action closely! A confirmed breakdown could accelerate selling pressure! 📉
What do you think? Will gold hold, or is a deeper drop coming? Share your thoughts in the comments! 👇🔥
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Forex #DoubleTop #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
4.5 Gold falls off a cliff and waits to stabilize! ! !Gold 4-hour level: The last wave of pull-up started from the low point of 2999 to 3167. Yesterday, it fell back and tested the 618 split position 3063. The current support is still valid, which is also the MA66 day position; From the perspective of macd, it is still short-selling and has not been fully repaired. Wait until it crosses below the zero axis, and then slowly stabilizes and tends to golden cross in the future market, then a wave of trend pull-up will gradually form, and it will take time; if 3063 cannot be maintained, the two split positions below are 3035 and 3018, and attention should be paid to stabilization.
Intraday support: 3035 3018 3005
Resistance: 3045 3070 3100
Parabolic Exhaustion – Short OpportunitySection: Tactical Setups & Opportunistic Fades
Asset Focus: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Setup Type: Parabolic Exhaustion – Short Opportunity
⸻
Setup Overview:
Gold has made a parabolic run that is now showing signs of exhaustion and blow-off behavior. A rejection wick has printed at the top of the range, with price extended far from its key moving averages. Beneath price lie clear zones of liquidity and untested structure, which may act as magnets on any unwind.
This setup fits the Jason Shapiro + Reflexivity hybrid model: when sentiment and positioning are maxed, reflexivity unwinds quickly — often violently.
⸻
COT & Sentiment Snapshot:
• Leveraged funds appear heavily skewed toward long exposure (pending confirmation via next release).
• Commercials may be building short pressure quietly.
• Narrative sentiment has shifted into consensus territory: gold is now being framed as the only safe haven — a common contrarian trigger.
• Open interest likely tracking price — a sign of crowding.
⸻
Market Structure & Technical Breakdown:
• Parabolic structure with increasingly shallow pullbacks suggests exhaustion.
• Price has departed cleanly from recent structure zones without testing them — signs of imbalance.
• A large rejection candle at the top signals early seller control.
• The asset is significantly extended from key means and moving averages.
• Below lie structural voids — shallow areas with little historical consolidation — prime for fast retracement once trend breaks.
⸻
Behavioral Finance Layer:
“Crowd psychology dictates that the asset everyone is hiding in will eventually be the most dangerous. Gold is no longer a secret — it’s a panic button.”
• The psychological belief that “gold can’t fall in crisis” creates emotional leverage — a dangerous crowd illusion.
• Traders are no longer hedging fear — they’re expressing it in unison. That’s a trap.
• Once the narrative breaks, the unwind is accelerated by disbelief.
⸻
Reflexivity Risk Model:
• Phase 1: Macro fear triggers buying
• Phase 2: Price rise confirms fear, fuels further inflows
• Phase 3: Positioning becomes one-sided
• Phase 4: Structural cracks appear; rejection triggers flight from the same door everyone entered through
⸻
The Bull is just getting startedSuppoXAUUSD has reached 3148.9 and is currently testing the upper resistance levels. Technical analysis indicates that the 3150 - 3170 range serves as a resistance zone. Given the robust bullish sentiment surrounding XAUUSD recently and the typically high trading volume and ample liquidity during the US trading session.
The 3100 level is a strong support area. Right above this support area,buying opportunities present themselves. At price points in this range, a significant amount of buy orders tend to flood the market, offering a buffer against further price decline.
It’s crucial to note that the XAUUSD market is characterized by high volatility. Thus, investors should avoid chasing rallies or engaging in short - selling at high levels. Chasing rallies exposes investors to substantial losses during short - term price retracements. Similarly, short - selling at high levels risks missing out on further upside potential. Stay vigilant to market dynamics, set stop - loss and take - profit levels rationally, and safeguard against potential risks.tr Zone
Liberation dayApril 2nd, referred to as "Liberation Day" by President Trump, is the day he plans to announce new tariffs on imports from various countries, aiming to reduce reliance on foreign goods. The specific details of these tariffs are still unclear, but they are expected to impact a wide range of products. Gold has been on a face-ripping vertical rally up into this news on expectations that this will be big news, but it's pre-announced which means it's a clear sell the news event. I am going to buy 0DTE puts on gold at the market open on April 2nd and sell them before the close.
ADP in Focus: Will Strong Jobs Data Trigger Gold Pullback?🟡 GOLD MARKET BRIEF – Early Asian Surge Meets Resistance Ahead of Key US Jobs Data
Gold kicked off the day with a sharp rally during the Asian session, driven by consistent demand from Asian and Middle Eastern investors — a pattern we’ve seen forming repeatedly during early sessions lately.
However, price reacted swiftly at the 3130–3135 resistance zone, exactly as mapped out in yesterday’s trading plan. With sellers stepping in again, my outlook remains:
🔻 Look for reaction-based SELL opportunities in the Asian and London sessions, especially if price pulls back into key resistance.
📉 Technical Outlook:
Gold is approaching the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout is imminent.
✅ As always: Wait for the breakout — then trade the retest in the confirmed direction.
📰 Fundamental Focus:
All eyes today will be on the US ADP Non-Farm Employment report, which tends to offer early clues ahead of Friday’s NFP.
Should the data come in stronger than expected, USD could gain traction — likely applying downward pressure on Gold, in line with our target zone around 308x–307x.
🧭 Key Technical Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3128 – 3135 – 3142 – 3148
🔻 Support: 3110 – 3100 – 3080 – 3070
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3102 – 3100
SL: 3096
TP: 3106 – 3110 – 3114 – 3118 – 3122 – 3126 – 3130
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
📌 Caution: With ADP on deck during the US session, expect a spike in volatility.
Stick to clear levels, protect capital, and trade with discipline — not emotion.
Let the market come to you.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold reverses sharply after Trump's tax announcementThe world gold price has reversed sharply because the global market has just received information last night (Hanoi time) that US President Donald Trump has just signed an executive order to impose taxes on all goods imported into the US, many countries will have to pay high taxes of up to tens of percent.
Specifically, the UK, Brazil, Singapore will be subject to a 10% tax. The European Union, Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, and India will be subject to 20-26%. China, Thailand, and Vietnam are among the countries subject to the highest tax rates, at 34%, 36%, and 46%, respectively. The highest is Cambodia, which will be subject to a tax rate of up to 49%. This tax rate will be applied from April 9. In addition, Mr. Trump said that a 10% import tax will be applied to all goods imported into the US from April 5.
Mr. Trump said that every year the US loses 1,200 billion USD due to the trade deficit due to 3,000 billion USD of imported goods.
After this information, the global financial market was shaken, in which the US stock market had a strong decline, losing from more than 1% to more than 2%. On the contrary, gold - an asset that ensures capital safety in case of risk - has benefited from a strong increase in price.
Many experts commented that the Trump government's tariff policy has increased global trade tensions. Previously, the US imposed tariffs on some goods from Canada, Europe and China, aluminum and steel. These countries have responded to the tariffs on the US.
Golden Horizons on the PrecipiceGold on the Brink of a Downturn: A Shift in Market Sentiment
Gold, once a shining symbol of financial security and prosperity, now finds itself on the cusp of a significant bearish turn. The precious metal, which has long been a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty, is entering a new phase that could see its value dwindle in the face of shifting global financial conditions.
The Russian central bank, historically one of the major players in the gold market, is currently at the forefront of this market retreat. By liquidating a significant portion of its gold reserves, Russia is not just participating in the market shift, but may be sending a signal to other nations and financial institutions. Their decision to sell is not an isolated move; it could well be the beginning of a broader trend.
As the Russian central bank offloads its holdings, it's highly probable that other central banks, which have long viewed gold as an essential asset for economic stability, may soon follow suit. These institutions, often holding vast quantities of the precious metal, could begin liquidating their reserves in an effort to take advantage of the currently elevated prices. The global economic landscape is constantly in flux, and with many countries facing mounting fiscal pressures, the temptation to cash in on gold's recent price surge could become too great to resist.
Hedge funds and private investors, always looking for opportunities to capitalize on price movements, may also jump on the bandwagon. They have the flexibility and agility to react swiftly to market shifts, and with a growing consensus that gold may have reached its peak, it would not be surprising if they decide to sell off their positions in the metal. With such a large portion of the market potentially pulling away from gold, the selling pressure could intensify, leading to a sharp drop in prices.
If this trend gains momentum, we could witness a rapid and dramatic decline in gold’s value. The metal, which has been the go-to asset for many investors during times of economic uncertainty, could soon lose its appeal as a safe haven. The factors driving this potential downturn are multifaceted, ranging from shifting monetary policies and global inflationary pressures to geopolitical tensions and central bank strategies.
The impact of this market shift could be far-reaching. Not only would it affect the price of gold, but it could also send shockwaves through the broader commodities and financial markets. If the sell-off gathers pace, it could have a cascading effect, causing investors to rethink their positions in other assets traditionally viewed as safe havens, such as silver or even government bonds.
The question on many investors’ minds is whether this bearish trend is a temporary correction or the beginning of a longer-term downturn. Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: the dynamics of the gold market are shifting, and the once steady climb of the metal may now be facing a downward spiral.
For those who are closely following the market, it is essential to stay updated on the latest developments. A deeper analysis of the factors driving this potential gold sell-off and the broader market implications can offer valuable insights into the direction of this volatile asset.
As we continue to monitor the situation, I encourage you to stay informed and consider how these developments could impact your own investments. While gold may still hold value in the eyes of many, its future trajectory is now uncertain, and the risk of significant price fluctuations looms large.
Thank you for your attention, and I wish you the best of luck navigating these turbulent financial waters!
Tariff highlights, gold price up or down ?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) find support from dip-buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, pausing the previous day’s pullback from a fresh record high. Investors continue to seek shelter in safe-haven assets amid uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariffs and their potential repercussions on the global economy.
Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions provide further support for bullion. Mounting concerns over a potential US recession, coupled with growing expectations of additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, fuel demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still in a very stable uptrend, market tariff information waiting for the next price increase fomo
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 ATH : SELL 3173 - 3175 SL 3180
TP: 3165 - 3150 - 3140
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3058 - $3060 SL $3053
TP1: $3070
TP2: $3080
TP3: $3090
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3106 - $3108 SL $3103 scalping
TP1: $3113
TP2: $3118
TP3: $3125
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
the price tops around 3100-3120.Elliott wave pattern for gold price:
gold continues to rise to new highs, but the end and top zone is approaching:
- I think the price tops around 3100-3120 and there will be a very strong correction after the top
XAUUSD Trendline Break | 4H Structure | UTC-4📈 XAUUSD Trendline Break | 4H Structure | UTC-4
Description:
This chart shows XAUUSD with trendline analysis on the 4H timeframe, synced to UTC-4 (New York time). I'm comparing structure breaks and candle behavior between TradeLocker and TradingView. No indicators added — clean price action view.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Idea After the major economic processes GOLD also goes mad. Hence, the price is now testing the 4H Trend line and inside the ascending channel.
My insights about this pair is that price has reached some level of rejection and has to react from this zone. If not, next zone will be between 3040-3050 zone which may turn the Resistance into Support.
Also RSI Divergence can also pay out, which forms lower low but the price is actually on higher low.
I will seek for buy opportunities if get any confirmation in lower Time Frames.
Good Luck to All!
GOLD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,101.76
Target Level: 2,970.42
Stop Loss: 3,188.94
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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