GOLD - Buy the RUMORS - SELL the news)GOLD - Buy the RUMORS - SELL the news)
market often front run some news evens and when it happens -0 make a reversal
GOLD trade ideas
Market Update (No Buy/Sell Bias)🧠 Structural Recap: Why Gold Did What It Did
🔄 Mitigation & Reaction Zones Review
✅ Premium Supply Zone @ 3144–3160 (H1-H4)
— Price tapped into this key premium area and sharply rejected it. This indicates a successful mitigation of that supply zone.
— This zone previously aligned with the weak high and premium structure, adding to its weight.
🟦 Mid-Range FVGs @ 3120–3130 (H1)
— This area acted as the bounce point today after price wicked down aggressively.
— The strong wick from 3086–3144 confirms buyer interest post-news, filling imbalance and mitigating prior demand (on H1).
🟫 Mitigated Demand Zone @ 3086–3096 (H1-H4)
— This demand zone was pierced and fully tapped. We saw a textbook bounce with strong reaction, suggesting the zone is now mitigated.
— A notable EQ + strong candle from this zone created bullish displacement.
🔵 Unmitigated Discount Demand @ 3054–3080 (H4)
— This remains a key untouched demand. Price wicked close to it but didn’t tap.
— If we get another push down, this is still valid and unmitigated.
🧱 Below 3050: Unmitigated Macro Zone (D1)
— The large OB/FVG combo around 2970–3030 still hasn’t been mitigated. This remains untouched liquidity in a deeper pullback.
📰 News Review — April 3, 2025
Trump’s Conference Commentary
— Hawkish rhetoric around economic strategy but no clear monetary focus.
— Mixed signals caused initial DXY strength, but later market corrected.
US Jobless Claims & ISM Services PMI
— Slightly worse-than-expected numbers, showing cooling economy signs.
— This supported XAU recovery post-drop as rate hike sentiment weakened.
Geopolitical Noise (Middle East)
— Continued tensions are keeping safe-haven demand intact, especially below 3100.
🧠 TL;DR
Zones like 3144–3160 and 3086–3096 are now mitigated.
3054–3080 and 2970–3030 remain unmitigated, future bounce areas.
Today’s volatility was news-driven, but liquidity still sits lower.
We’re currently in mid-mitigation flow, with the market respecting PA zones well.
XAUUSD Breaking Records: Bull & Bear Setups for the New Month 🔥 Attention all traders!🔥
XAUUSD is on fire, breaking records with power! Here’s the latest update:
🔻 Bearish Outlook: Watch for a potential dip below the 3076-3078 range. If it falls, targets like 3050 and 3030 could be in play. Keep an eye on these support zones! 👀
🔺 Bullish Outlook: A breakout above this range could open up buying opportunities! Look for price action above 3084 with targets at 3097 and 3110. 🚀
New Month Open Candle: As we step into a new month, keep a close watch on the market open candle 📅. This could set the tone for the next move!
💡 Risk Management** is key! Always trade smart and protect your capital! 💰
Join the discussion and share your thoughts! Let's ride this golden wave together! 🌟
NFP REPORT IMPACT ON XAUUSD ALERT!🚨 XAUUSD Market Alert 🚨
🔥 Current Action: XAUUSD is currently range-bound between 3101 and 3114—will it break out soon? The market’s at a critical point, and a sharp move could be on the horizon!
📉 Bearish Scenario: If price slips below this zone, keep an eye on potential support levels at 3070 and 3054. A downward shift could set up fresh opportunities for sellers.
📈 Bullish Scenario: On the flip side, a solid break above 3114 could trigger buying pressure, with targets at 3140 and 3170. A move like this could spark a new uptrend, especially with NFP data on the way, which could impact the gold market!
💬 Let’s Talk Strategy: What’s your take on the XAUUSD setup? Share your insights, and let’s navigate this golden opportunity together! 💰🚀
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we said we would be looking to target 1 of 2 levels once price breaks out. We managed to hit the higher target on the breakout and got a 100pip RIP from the zone before the move terminated. NY however, gave us the entry we wanted on the boxes and to target Excalibur from the lower level netting a phenomenal pip capture, the TP was shared with the wider community as well.
So now, as we're in unchartered territory up here it's a little risky to go long unless we get the pull back into the lower support region and it holds. We have circled the higher level which we feel price will want to attempt and if targeted during the Asian session may give us a RIP.
For now, it's been an amazing week on gold, tomorrow is a day off from the markets.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 3040 with targets below 3010✅, 3006✅, 2997, 2985 and below that 2978
Bullish on break of 3040 with targets above 3050✅, 3055✅, 3063 and above that 3067
RED BOXES:
Break above 3037 for 3040✅, 3047✅, 3050✅, 3055✅, 3063 and 3066 in extension of the move
Break below 3010 for 3006✅, 3000, 2997, 2990 and 2985 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD:Continue to go longAfter Trump made remarks about imposing additional tariffs, it once again caused significant volatility in the market. The main players also took this opportunity to conduct consecutive washouts in the market. After reaching around 3170 at its highest point, almost all short positions were cleared out. Currently, the market has rapidly dropped to around 3100. If you bought gold at a high price, you would also experience serious losses in your account.
When the market is extremely unstable, the trading volume should be reduced, as the risks cannot be controlled. This is exactly why I have been emphasizing that novice traders should withdraw from the market this week. Otherwise, they are very likely to incur losses.
Although the decline is quite substantial, it is still uncertain that the upward trend has ended. For short-term trading, one can try to go long again.
xauusd buy@3100-3105
tp:3120-3130
I will continuously send out accurate signals, and all signals have been profitable. If you need accurate signals, please click the link below the article.
XAU/USD: Pullback Likely After Breakout Above Key ResistanceThe XAU/USD market has broken above last week’s high and is now testing the 3080 resistance level. Following this strong move, a pullback appears likely before any further advance. With bullish momentum still dominant, the market may continue higher or enter a sideways phase into next week.
If a pullback occurs, the previous resistance zone, now acting as support, could offer a buying opportunity—particularly near the 3050 level. With high-impact news on the horizon, the market may either range or retrace before resuming its upward trend. The next key target is the resistance zone around 3085
Bollinger Bands Warning: Is Gold Losing Uptrend?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has succeeded in creating a New All-Time High(ATH) as I expected in my previous post . Now, the question is whether Gold can continue its upward trend.
Gold is currently moving in the Resistance zone($3,058-$3,045) .
The upper and lower lines of the Bollinger Bands indicator also play the role of resistance and support well on the 1-hour time frame .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks( Bollinger Bands indicator and Price ).
Educational Note : A divergence forms when the price chart and the indicator behave in contrast to each other. Divergence sell signals mostly form at the end of an upward trend, where the price chart forms a peak above the Bollinger upper band and another peak after, below the upper band. These signals are considered negative Regular Divergences(RD-) , hinting at a potential market reversal and a downward trend.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , I think the main wave 4 is NOT yet complete, and we can expect another corrective wave .
I expect Gold to bearish trend in the coming hours and drop to at least $3,036 , with the next target being an attack on the Support zone($3,032-$3,021 ) .
Note: If Gold goes above $3068.29, we should expect more Pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Gold and the bearish Breakout Line ...From a cyclical standpoint, a CLOSE below the H1 cyclically derived breakout line may indicate a sharp decline, at least in to the demand zone!
Upcoming news event:
14:15 SWE Time: ADP Non-Farm Employment
The breakout line defines the energy boundaries—once price gathers enough momentum to break through, a strong acceleration is likely to follow.
Gold Market Outlook Post Tariff Response & Pre-NFP VolatilityGold Market Outlook Post Tariff Response & Pre-NFP Volatility
Overview: Last week, gold experienced a major shift as it broke from its recent bullish structure and sold off sharply. This was largely triggered by renewed geopolitical tensions stemming from former U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff remarks and China's reactive stance. These developments rattled risk sentiment and sparked volatility, with gold traditionally a safe-haven asset becoming a battlefield of both fundamental and technical influences.
While long-term fundamentals continue to support gold's bullish case due to global economic uncertainty, short-term volatility has introduced room for corrective movement. Notably, the size of recent price moves (1000+ pips in a single day) indicates high liquidity grabs and institutional rebalancing.
Technical Breakdown:
Weekly Chart:
Gold closed the week with a bearish hammer, signaling potential for deeper retracement after failing to sustain its move above the key 3057 level. The rejection came after briefly breaking resistance at 2955. This structure opens the door for further liquidity grabs and a healthy correction within the macro uptrend.
Daily Chart:
The daily time frame maintains a bullish structure seen by the daily trend line. Price respected the 3018 demand zone, creating a potential short-term base for a retest of the 3057 area of interest. This level also aligns with a 1-hour wickless candle, likely to be filled in future price action.
Intraday & 1-Hour Chart:
A visible trendline rejection capped the upside for now, with the 15-min engulfing candle and the 3128 resistance kicking off Friday’s massive 1000-pip sell-off. That we took in the group.
4-Hour Chart & Fibonacci Analysis:
Measuring the most recent impulse leg, price has retraced to the 0.88 Fibonacci level, suggesting a corrective phase could be nearing completion. A move towards the golden zone (3072–3090) is expected, which also aligns with the 50 EMA.
Key Support for Re-Entry:
Should further downside occur, the 2988 zone stands out as a high-probability area for long re-entries. This level is confluence-rich:
Retest of the daily trendline
1-Hour demand zone
4-Hour trendline retest
Strong support/resistance flip
Key Fundamentals to Watch:
Quarter-End Portfolio Rebalancing & Earnings Season
With stock market participants repositioning, gold may be used for hedging or liquidation depending on sentiment.
Geopolitical Risk (Trump, China, Tariffs)
Ongoing discussions and political headlines could reignite fear-based buying. Be ready for sharp intraday reactions.
Federal Reserve Speeches & FOMC Minutes
Traders will look for clues on potential interest rate cuts or pauses. Hawkish rhetoric could weigh on gold short term.
CPI Data (U.S. Inflation) – Wednesday, April 10th
Critical for rate path expectations. Sticky inflation may keep the Fed hawkish, increasing gold volatility. A surprise miss would benefit gold.
Has the gold tariff peaked?The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed is still the 3100 line. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 and gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is recommended to be mainly short on rebounds, supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3148-3150 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations.
Gold operation strategy: Gold 3100 short, stop loss 3110, target 3080-3070;
Online real-time guidance on gold trendsGold went up in the early trading, but the price fell again after rising to 3135. The fluctuation range of European trading narrowed. ADP employment data exceeded expectations. The market failed to break out of the trend. The current market is in the range of 3135-3109. The market is waiting for the details of the reciprocal tariffs and industry-specific tariffs to be announced at 3 am. The tariff policy announced by Trump is expected to have an adverse impact on the global economy, especially the United States. The current structure of gold is still bullish. After the correction, continue to go long at the key support level.
At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more at 3080-3060 below, and only when it stands above 3135 can it further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, the small range is 3110-3135, and the large range is 3100-3150. In the short term, you can quickly enter and exit in the small range with high altitude and low long.
Gold waterfall crashI think that gold is reaching a generational bubble peak right here and now, and I'm expecting one of the most epic crashes we've ever seen on news that these Trump tariffs have been greatly reduced & delayed.
Gold / Potential Swing SpotOnly up and up. We have reached a suitable place for correction, on a daily time frame. I think there is a pretty good opportunity for Selling from this level.
Gold's April 2nd Swing: Tariffs Stir MarketsOn the morning of Wednesday, April 2nd, spot gold was trading in a narrow range, currently around $3,114 per ounce. Gold prices rose and then fell on Tuesday. Spot gold once rose to around the $3,150 mark earlier, reaching a new all - time high of $3,148.85 per ounce, but then declined due to profit - taking, closing at $3,114.03 per ounce, with a decline of about 0.3%. US President Trump planned to announce on April 2nd that comprehensive tariffs would be imposed on countries with which the US has a trade imbalance. This led to a large number of safe - haven buying orders, helping gold prices continue to rise. However, near the end, some bulls took profits in advance.
In terms of the 4 - hour - level trend, it is temporarily in a high - level range - bound oscillation, undergoing repair. Currently, the short - cycle moving averages are basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, suggesting that the trend is likely to remain in a high - level oscillation and repair within the day.
The 1 - hour moving averages of gold still show a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upward. Although gold has broken below the moving average support, the strength of the bullish rebound of gold is still relatively strong. Coupled with the support of gold's safe - haven property, the bulls still have the upper hand. As long as the price does not break below $3,100, the bullish view remains unchanged. For intraday operations, it is recommended to focus on buying on dips. Pay attention to whether the support at yesterday's low of $3,100 holds. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance at $3,140 - $3,150 above.
XAUUSD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3140-3150
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Gold: Soaring on Tariffs, Testing Technical WatersIn the early trading session of the Asian market on Thursday (April 3rd), spot gold continued its upward trend and once reached a new all - time high of $3,167 per ounce. This was because US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he would impose a benchmark tariff of 10% on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of America's largest trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war that he initiated after returning to the White House, causing the market's risk - aversion sentiment to soar sharply.
However, given the rapid increase in the gold price, one should not blindly chase after buying more gold. On the one hand, the rapid rise in the gold price has accumulated a certain amount of pressure for a correction, and there is a high probability that a pullback and subsequent recovery rally will occur. On the other hand, the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls data will be released tomorrow. On the eve of its announcement, the market will not quickly break out of a well - defined trading range and price level.
On the daily chart level, gold entered a downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous consecutive upward trend with positive candles. However, the current moving - average system still maintains a pattern of diverging upwards. Today, the key focus is on whether the downward movement of the market is sustainable. Firstly, we need to pay attention to the support effectiveness of the short - term moving average MA5. Currently, this moving average is roughly located around 3098, which is extremely close to yesterday's low of 3100 when the price dropped. If this support level can hold, then in the short term, gold can still be regarded as being in a strong pattern.
XAUUSD
buy@3105-3115
tp:3140-3160
NFP BIG BULL SETUP BREAKOUT ALERT!🔥 Market Update for Traders! 🔥
Right now, the market is showing BEARISH momentum, and it's looking like we're heading for a dip. We could see the market fall and sweep the area around 3052 👀. Once that happens, expect a *huge* bounce back as the market could be getting ready to **shoot to the moon 🚀🌕!
🛑 KEY BUY LEVEL: 3130 - This is where you want to be ready to go long! 📈
🎯 First Target: Once we hit 3130, eyes on the ATH (All-Time High) for the retest! 🙌 And from there, we're eyeing a target at 3200 🚀🔥.
💥 NFP News Incoming! 💥
After Trump's speech, gold could *fall* around 1000 pips ⬇️, but **NFP could trigger a huge pump 📊💥. Stay sharp and trade with caution.
💡 Risk Management is KEY! Always follow your plan, set stop losses, and protect your capital. Don't let emotions drive your decisions! 📉🔑
Trade smart, stay sharp, and let's get those gains! 💸💥
#BearishMomentum #BullishReversal #RiskManagement #GoldPrice #NFPAlert
XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party”📊 XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party” 🎯💣
✅ Sniper Sell @ 3135 – Textbook Execution
The daily plan's sell scenario from 3135–3145 played out perfectly:
Premium zone + valid OB
FVG rejection + bearish PA (M5/M15 CHoCH)
Three take-profits hit: 3120 → 3086 → 3054
Structure respected, price never looked back 🔫
🔥 Post-NFP Breakdown – April 5, 2025
📉 NFP (Actual): 228K vs. 140K Expected
📈 Strong surprise to the upside – job creation smashed expectations
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (vs 4.1%)
📉 Slight increase – softens the impact of strong jobs number
💬 Market Reaction?
Gold dumped hard post-data, as strong NFP spooked the market
Algorithmic move: sweep → push down → bounce on deep FVG
Market front-ran deeper demand (below 3054), tagging 3036 briefly
🔁 What Got Mitigated:
✅ Premium supply zone @ 3135–3145
✅ 3086–3100 OB demand fully tapped
✅ 3054–3040 imbalance filled
✅ Final reaction wick @ 3036–3038 bounced right off deeper imbalance
🧲 Still in Play / Unmitigated:
🟦 3029–2985 = untouched D1 imbalance
🟡 Small rejection gap @ 3081–3085 (may act as intraday retest zone)
🔴 Possible liquidity below 3000 still untouched
🧠 Summary:
✅ Plan respected
✅ NFP added fuel
✅ Gold respected PA structure to the pip
🎯 Sniper sell from 3135 = perfect execution
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures:
Resistance 1: 3149 - 3151 area
Support 1: 3099 - 3104 area
Support 2: 3048 - 3057 area
Support 3: 3024 - 3036 area
Support 4: 2997 - 3001 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold falls back, beware of market manipulationIn the current rise, there is no clear retracement, and the top is just guessing. When there is no clear signal, the risk area is just to prevent risks, not to catch shorts. This lesson should also be summarized. Because the road ahead is long, don't keep stumbling in one place! We have fulfilled the first sentence, sowing the seeds of risk, which makes us hesitant to do more later. We still underestimated the strength of this trend, and it has risen sharply for two consecutive trading days. When there is a slight bearishness in the heart, it means that the bulls are afraid. And this time, we are the same. Although we are bullish, the method and frequency of going long are obviously not firm and dare not.
Especially in the accelerated market, you will worry about going long to the high point. The extremely strong morning of these two days should be closed steadily, but there is still fear of highs. The closing on Friday and the closing on Monday are extremely strong. Both can be directly stuck at 7-8 in the morning. It is also the extremely strong long position that we have always emphasized. One is worried about the lack of space to break the high, and the other is also worried about the high point. Now look at this slow rise without falling, the top is really in fear. If you don't have much, it will keep rising. If you can't hold on, it will fall. So you must keep up with the trend. If you fall behind, the rhythm will fall. You can only grab a little bit of money. The big profit is gone. But because you are afraid of heights, you worry about the high point. If you worry about the high point, it is easy to miss the train.
Today is another strong rise in the morning. I planned to buy more at 7-8 o'clock yesterday evening, but I was still afraid of the price. Now I look back and the price is at the floor. Now this slow rise has no concept of falling. And the current trend is that if you don't buy more, it will still rise in the afternoon. If you buy more, there is no price. If you don't worry about the price, you can buy more directly, but now I guess no one dares to buy more directly. And even if no one dares, there is still an increase. If you dare, it will fall. Now it is still in the acceleration stage. At what position, it has been unbalanced. All you can consider is to wait. Buying more has not stopped. If you do it, there is no position and there are still high points.
Today's watershed is 3120. When it suddenly falls below, the bears can take a breath, and the intraday support is 3133. If you buy more now, you must bring good losses. Whether it is chasing orders, especially short-term chasing orders of a few dollars, don't lose the big because of the small.
GoldXAUUSD
- Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves
- Break of Structure
- RSI - Divergence
- Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short and Long Time Frame
- CHOCH
XAUUSD 4H - Lower Timeframes and Plan B Lower Timeframes and Plan B
Based on previous daily analysis , the 3075 and 3000 levels are key levels in the lower timeframe. It is anticipated that a breakout of the 3075 level will lead to an upward trend. However, if the 3000 level is broken, the bearish target at 2960 will become active.
Mathematical Analysis:
3000 level: This level is considered a key support. If the price breaks this level, a bearish move towards 2960 will begin.
2960 level: If this level is also broken, the price could move towards 2890 and 2820.
The targets mentioned in the daily analysis remain valid with a time delay. This analysis is based on mathematical principles and key level analysis in the gold market.
Gold Prices Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Trump’s TariffGold Prices Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Trump’s Tariff Announcement
As shown on the XAU/USD chart today, gold prices are fluctuating near their all-time high, set when the price of an ounce surpassed $3,140 for the first time in history.
Gold has risen by approximately 19% in the first three months of 2025.
Why Is Gold Rising?
On 2 April, traders' sentiment is driving gold prices higher in anticipation of US President Trump’s tariff announcements, expected later this evening.
This event enhances gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, as concerns grow that Trump’s aggressive trade policies could slow global economic growth and fuel inflation.
Additionally, media reports highlight strong demand for gold from central banks, while exchange-traded funds linked to the precious metal are seeing capital inflows from investors concerned about geopolitical uncertainty.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
Gold price movements have formed two ascending channels in 2025: a broader blue channel and a steeper purple channel.
Notably, gold is currently trading near the midpoints of both channels, indicating that supply and demand may have reached equilibrium after buyers broke through resistance around $3,088 (marked by an arrow).
It is likely that XAU/USD will exhibit low volatility until news about Trump’s tariffs emerges. This could trigger sharp price movements, with a potential test of the purple channel’s boundaries in the near future.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
