Hanzo : Gold 15m: Bearish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Done🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep 3233
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Bounces After Fake Break — More Upside AheadGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to the Support zone($3,280-$3,240) as I posted yesterday ( Full Target) .
Gold started to rise again after making a Fake Break below the Support lines .
Gold is trading above the Resistance zone($3,330-$3,320) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin completed the main wave C with the help of the Ending Diagonal .
Educational note : The Ending Diagonal in Classic Technical Analysis is the Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect Gold to resume its bullish trend, at least for the short term , and to at least $3,356 .
Note: If Gold breaks the Support lines with high volume, we can expect further declines.
Note: Worst Stop Loss(SL) = $3,031
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
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DeGRAM | GOLD reached the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price twice tagged the channel base (LBs) and printed a bullish engulfing, showing demand at 3 100; RSI divergence adds reversal weight.
● A reclaim of the inner blue trend-line sets a break-retest pattern; clearing 3 200 exposes the mid-band / prior LH near 3 350.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US CPI eased to 0.2 % m/m and Fed funds futures pulled the first-cut odds forward to September, slipping real yields and the USD.
● China added gold for a 19-month streak in April, while Middle-East tensions revived safe-haven bids.
✨ Summary
Channel-floor double bottom + softer US data and ongoing official buying favour longs: accumulate > 3 150, objectives 3 200 → 3 350; exit on a close below 3 100.
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THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice move early session giving us the low we wanted for an entry long into the target region. We activated higher on Excalibur which also completed and the red box indicator gave us a wonderful performance across all the pairs we took profit on today.
Now we have support at the 3320 region with resistance sitting up at 3350 which will need to break to go higher. We've giving the potential range unless the levels are broken and there is a late session move. Either way, it's been another good week on the markets in Camelot and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report and our view for the week ahead.
Wishing you all a great weekend, please don't forget to hit the boost button for us!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a MonthGold Price Drops to Lowest Level in Over a Month
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price of gold fell below $3,130 this morning – its lowest level since 10 April.
Since its peak in May, gold has lost more than 8% in value per ounce.
Why Is Gold Falling?
Bearish sentiment in the gold market may be fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions. According to media reports:
→ China and the US have already reported progress in reaching a trade agreement, while details of potential deals with India, Japan, and South Korea are currently being developed.
→ Iran is reportedly willing to sign a nuclear deal in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. In addition, Donald Trump may lift sanctions on Syria during his visit to the Middle East.
→ The situation between India and Pakistan has stabilised, and today, talks between Russia and Ukraine are expected to take place in Istanbul, with a potential ceasefire on the agenda.
These developments could be seen as reducing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
In our 7 May gold price analysis, we:
→ outlined a descending channel (marked in red);
→ noted that bearish pressure persisted above $3,400.
Since then, the gold (XAU/USD) price has continued to move within this channel, breaking support around the $3,200 level and approaching a key support zone formed by:
→ the lower boundary of the red channel;
→ a long-term trendline (marked in blue);
→ a former resistance level (highlighted with arrows) at $3,140.
Given these conditions, traders should consider a scenario in which a minor rebound may occur – for instance, towards the median line of the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold fell sharply and rebounded to repair and continue to shortGold prices must be repaired after a sharp drop. One is to adjust and repair by shocks, and the other is to rebound and repair. Under this extreme downward trend, gold does not have the conditions to rebound, so the rebound here at 3120 is just caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall. Now the main focus is on two positions above. The first is the previous low point of 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of the early trading wave near 3192. If the rebound does not exceed these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking the recent low of 3120. Pay attention to the ladder support below 3088. The short-term operation of gold is recommended to rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3170-3192 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3120-3100 support.
Lingrid | GOLD potential PULLBACK and CONTINUATIONThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is accelerating off the trendline support with a sharp impulse leg and now hovering around a potential breakout zone. Momentum remains bullish as price reclaims previous highs and aims for the upper boundary of the resistance zone. The structure favors continuation as long as the trendline holds.
📌 Key Levels
Support zone: 3,345.000 (PDH and trendline convergence)
Breakout target: 3,495.000 (Resistance ceiling within the TARGET area)
Invalidation level: Below 3,345.000 and trendline breakdown ⚠️ Risks
Potential false breakout above 3,400
Failure to hold above 3,345 may trigger deeper correction
Resistance at ATH level could stall momentum
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone.
From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias.
Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows:
- Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend.
- Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas.
- There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted.
- On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move.
P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
It’s the right time to go shortLast week, gold came under pressure at the key resistance of 3356 and then fluctuated downwards. The market jumped short and opened low, directly breaking through the support to a low of 3259, and the daily line continued the downward trend. The current market is in the daily level adjustment stage, but the downward momentum is strong and the risk of breaking continues to accumulate. From a technical perspective, 3280 constitutes a short-term upward resistance. If the rebound is blocked, you can still choose to arrange short orders; there is strong support near 3240 below, and it is necessary to pay attention to whether this position can be effectively broken to confirm the accelerated decline. On the news side, the easing of the Sino-US tariff situation has weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. In addition, the bullish momentum of gold has been exhausted after the previous consecutive rises, and the recent weak and volatile pattern has become prominent.
Gold recommendation: short near 3280-3290, target 3270-3260.
SHORT - GOLD (XAU/USD): Decending Triangle on GOLD Good Morning, Traders.
As always, please note that this is not financial advice — always do your own research (DYOR).
This morning, we are observing the development of a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute timeframe, forming at a critical support level. This technical formation is often indicative of bearish momentum.
Should the price action decisively break below this key support, it would signal a potential shorting opportunity. Such a breakdown could trigger accelerated selling pressure, offering the possibility of favourable risk-to-reward setups for short positions.
Traders are advised to closely monitor price behavior around the support line, watch for increased volume on the break, and ensure proper risk management before entering any positions.
Stay vigilant and trade smart.
Going to see gold below 3200??As per Olivers analysis Gold is Going below 3200,
Because Gold Dropped For Week and For daily but still it not dropped for month.
This pump is For retracement of fib 0.7-0.5
Now you Have to sell Gold From highs
First selling 3260-65
Second selling 3280-85
Target 3210,3170
Do your own research as well.
don't forget to use proper mm in every trade.
Gold on a declineTechnical analysis: Even though the Price-action invalidated the Lower High’s (Hourly 4 chart’s) Ascending Triangle trendline, it failed to test the #3,200.80 benchmark / acting as an first Medium-term Support zone, so Technically Gold is is still near Lower High’s Lower zone extension, and if Price-action closes the session above #3,200.80 benchmark, Gold will be Targeting #3,300.80 benchmark / fractal on yet another Buying sequence. If however #3,200.80 - #3,192.80 first Short and Medium-term Support gets invalidated, then the Hourly 1 chart’s variance of #3,152.80 benchmar should be tested, in case of Bearish sequence below, Price-action will be calling for #3,100.80 final line of the defence and as discussed, possible Stabilization zone ahead of possible relief rally. Subsequently, previous Hourly 4 chart’s Support of #3,252.80 benchmark was firmly broken and current configuration pointed out to a new bigger proportion downtrend, where Fundamentals are confirming the as well the speculative downtrend in continuation.
My position: Gold found the Support almost delivering Double Bottom formation and market closing is on main stage. Either closing above #3,200.80 benchmark and #3,300.80 re-test or DX delivering Buying sequence in extension / in that case Gold eyes decline in continuation.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Volatility Surges: Trend Analysis & Trading TipsThe gold market has shown an obvious pattern of bearish suppression recently. On the weekly chart, two consecutive long upper shadows have formed a "double needle probing the top" pattern. Coupled with the expansion of the negative momentum of the MACD, it indicates that the medium-term pullback trend will continue. On the daily chart, a long bearish candlestick has broken through the key support. The RSI has dropped from the overbought area to 48.26. Although it has not reached the oversold level, there is still room for further decline.
The real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
Technically, the resistance in the 3260-3250 area is significant, which has become the demarcation between bulls and bears in the short term. Judging from the four-hour chart, the trading idea is to go short on the rebound. Pay close attention to the resistance in the 3265-3270 interval. If the support in the 3205-3200 area is breached, it may trigger stop-loss orders and further fuel the downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3260-3265
tp:3240-3220-3200
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Market Update & Daily Plan – May 13, 2025🔹 Bias: Intraday bullish (HL forming)
🔹 Context: Price is reacting from the 3215–3228 zone (OB + discount) after confirming CHoCH at 3284.
We’re in a retracement phase — next move could target 3240–3280 if structure holds.
🔵 BUY ZONES (reaction areas, not sniper):
3215–3228
✅ Confirmed H4 OB
✅ Discount zone + EMA200 confluence on H1
✅ HL structure still valid
📌 If price retests with bullish confirmation → long toward 3240+ remains valid
3175–3195
🔵 Strong H4 demand zone
📌 Only if 3215 fails — last area to defend the bullish bias
Wait for structure to hold — don’t panic buy into weakness
🔴 SELL ZONES (broad reaction areas):
3285–3300
🔺 Previous high + unfilled FVG
🔺 Potential inducement zone before rejection
📌 If price rallies fast, watch for rejection — solid area for short pullbacks
3340–3355
🔺 Strong H4/D1 supply
🔺 Untested premium OB
📌 Only valid if price breaks above 3300 — aggressive short if NY overextends
🧠 Summary:
We’re in a bullish retracement.
If 3215 holds → price may push toward 3280+.
If that fails → 3175–3195 is the final defense zone before larger structure shifts.
Sell zones are reactive — wait for signals, don’t jump in early.
💬 Stay calm, stay patient. Don’t trade the zones — trade the reaction.
🔔 Final Thoughts for Tuesday
The levels are marked. The structure is clear.
Now it’s up to you to stay calm and let price do the talking.
We don’t chase moves — we let the market knock on our zones.
📍 Whether you're buying from discount or selling from premium — let logic lead, not FOMO.
And remember: structure doesn’t lie... but your emotions might.
💬 Got questions? Drop them — this is a team effort.
Let’s stay sharp, focused, and prepared.
See you on the charts,
— GoldFxMinds 🧠⚔️
Gold Potential Reversal | XAU/USD Intraday SetupChart Analysis (Gold - XAU/USD, 15-Minute Timeframe):
Trend: After a strong bearish move, price has reacted from a key support zone.
Volume: High volume during the drop may indicate a stop hunt or panic sell.
Structure: A potential double bottom or bullish reversal pattern is forming.
Setup Idea: Price bounced near the 3,275 zone. The chart suggests a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows expected.
Entry Zone: Around 3,275.
Stop Loss: Below 3,258.
Take Profit: Targeting the 3,335–3,340 area.
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Description:
Gold shows signs of a potential bullish reversal after a sharp drop and bounce from support. Volume spike and price structure hint at recovery. Targeting the 3,335+ zone with SL below 3,258. This chart is for educational purposes only—always use proper risk management.
XAUUSD: The Market Context—Think Like the Big Fish XAUUSD The Market Context—Think Like the Big Fish
Introduction:
The Illusion of Fair Play Retail traders enter the market believing they are playing the same game as institutional money. They are not. The market isn’t a fair competition—it is a battlefield where Smart Money (SM) dominates, dictates movement, and extracts profit not through reason or fundamentals, but through engineered liquidity manipulation.
Wave formations, price structures, and technical setups—these are not the foundation of market movement. They are tools used to create illusions of certainty. Retail traders are conditioned to trust these patterns, believing they provide insight, when in reality, they are nothing more than engineered traps meant to bait liquidity.
Retail traders chase price, reacting emotionally, convinced they can predict the next move. Big Fish traders don’t chase—they set the trap before the herd even sees it coming.
The only way to survive is to stop playing the game like a retail trader and start thinking like the predator.
The Big Fish Mentality
Big Fish—Smart Money—Institutional Players—these entities control the market, not through prediction, but through liquidity engineering. They do not trade based on price levels, indicators, or economic logic. They trade based on where liquidity pools exist, where retail traders are clustered, and where they can extract the most profit in the shortest time.
🔥 Their strategies are not reactive—they are predictive, structured three steps ahead of retail traders.
How Big Fish Operate
Liquidity Pools: They identify areas where retail traders have placed orders, waiting for the perfect moment to strike. Fake Moves & Illusions: Price action isn’t random—it is designed to lure traders in before the real move unfolds. Market Psychology: Fear and greed dictate behavior, and SM exploits both to move price exactly where they want it. Patience & Strategy: Big Fish don’t trade impulsively. They move only when the conditions are ripe for maximum profit extraction.
> Retail traders react. Big Fish dictate the reaction.
Retail’s Gullibility—Chasing the Illusion
Retail traders need to wake up —they are playing against engineered narratives, believing price moves organically based on fundamentals.
Economic reports? Whitewashing tools meant to condition the retail mindset. Interest rates? News events? These are not market drivers—they are manufactured excuses for pre-planned movements. Default indicators? Tools handed to retail traders like rigged dice, ensuring they follow SM’s roadmap without questioning it.
Retail traders believe what they are shown, rather than questioning why they are being shown it. They cling to hope, convinced they just need a “better strategy,” when in truth, the strategy they follow was never meant to work in their favor.
> Stop chasing the carrot—it is not an opportunity. It is bait.
Breaking Free—How to Counter Smart Money’s Game
🔥 Retail traders cannot fight Big Fish head-on, but they can flip the script.
Survival doesn’t come from following pre-packaged indicators, economic reports, or structured wave formations. It comes from understanding the mechanisms of SM's strategy and adapting accordingly.
🚀 How to break free:
Use Their Tools Against Them: Default indicators are designed to mislead—reverse-engineer them instead of following blindly. Build Your Own System: Instead of using the same signals SM provides, create a framework that predicts liquidity grabs rather than reacting to them. Seek Outsourced Superweapons: If building isn’t an option, find tools specifically designed to dismantle institutional traps. Learn to See the Narrative Before It Happens: Price doesn’t move because of fundamentals—it moves because SM already positioned their orders ahead of time. Anticipate their footprints, don’t follow them.
> Retail traders must stop being prey. The only way to survive is to step outside the illusion and see the market for what it is—a game where only those who refuse to follow blindly can win.
Disclosure: The Boundary Between Reality & Speculation
This entire discussion is based on personal analysis of market anomalies, particularly the extreme manipulations shaping gold’s valuation.
While the evidence strongly suggests that a structured transition toward gold-backed finance is plausible, whether it materializes exactly as envisioned remains uncertain. Markets are shaped by unseen forces, controlled narratives, and engineered movements.
🔥 What follows is an anticipation of logical moves behind the systemic shifts currently unfolding—it could be entirely speculative or align closely with reality.
Being just one individual analyzing vast complexities, this remains an informed anticipation rather than a definitive projection.
Gold Movement Forecast—Structured Transition to Gold-Backed Finance
✔ Gold will not immediately surge—it must undergo strategic correction to enable mass adaptation.
🚀 Logical forecast based on transition phases:
Phase 1 (2024–2026): Gold Liquidity & Mass Accumulation
Gold price correction to historical lows for widespread accumulation. Institutional positioning begins behind the scenes, controlling liquidity flow. Market conditioning ensures stability before adoption accelerates.
🔥 Gold price dips between $1,597–$1,761.35 before stabilization begins.
Phase 2 (2026–2027): Digital Gold Transactional Framework
Gold-backed digital blockchain system introduced for mass adoption. Retail participation increases, allowing structured price recovery. Trade agreements and payment networks adjusted to facilitate global gold transactions.
🔥 Gold price gradually restores balance as transaction-based demand grows.
Phase 3 (2027–2028): Full Transition & Monetary Realignment
Gold-backed financial systems solidify global trade structures. Fiat currency volatility increases, further reinforcing gold’s role. Smart Money executes controlled valuation shifts to ensure adaptation stability.
🔥 Gold regains upward trajectory, aligning with real-world purchasing power.
🔥 Final Wake-Up Call
Retail traders struggle not because the market is difficult, but because they refuse to see the game for what it truly is. Big Fish move without caring about price, patterns, or narratives. They create the narratives so that retail traders chase them.
🚀 If you truly want to survive—wake up. Stop following. Stop believing in illusions. See the liquidity trap before it is sprung, and instead of stepping into it, move ahead of it.
🔥 The market was never fair. It never will be. But that doesn’t mean you have to lose. You've got this. Let it unfold. 🦈📈 Stay ahead.
Gold fell sharply and rebounded to continue shorting!Gold price must be repaired after a sharp drop. One is shock adjustment repair, and the other is rebound repair. Under this extreme downward trend, gold does not have the conditions for rebound, so the rebound here at 3120 may be caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall. Now the upper side mainly focuses on two positions. The first is the previous low point of 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of 3192. If the rebound does not exceed these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking the just low point of 3120. The lower step support focuses on 3088. In terms of the short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3170-3192 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3120-3100 line of support.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H – Bearish SetupGold is trading below key resistance at 3,280 after a sharp drop, now forming a bearish flag around the 3,240 zone. Technicals suggest a potential continuation lower with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Sell entry activated at 3,240, targeting strong support near 3,200 (400+ pips) with a stop loss placed 150 pips above resistance. Fundamentals support bearish bias amid USD strength and shifting sentiment.
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Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
GOLD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,211.87
Target Level: 3,375.85
Stop Loss: 3,102.01
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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