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XAUUSD Channel Down starting new Bearish Leg.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 2-week Channel Down, recently rejected on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). The last Lower High was priced on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so currently we are on the ideal level for a new short. With a 4H Death Cross emerging, we are targeting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (as the previous Bearish Leg did) at 3210 for the Channel's new Lower Low. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
Gold lacks downside momentum: Next week's analysis & adviceGold trading is relatively light today due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday. On the downside, we continue to focus on the short-term support at the 3325 level, while the key resistance above remains in the 3345-3350 range, which was yesterday's breakdown point. The market has closed early today, and price action has been stuck in a range-bound consolidation. After plunging $40 on the back of bearish non-farm payroll data, gold stabilized and rebounded, recouping nearly half of the losses. This performance confirms that the downside space is limited. Currently, the market has returned to a oscillating upward pattern, and the weekly chart is likely to continue range-bound fluctuations. From a technical perspective, the 3325 level has formed a key support. The secondary retest overnight confirmed the bottom structure, and the gradual lifting of early session lows has also released a bullish signal. Looking ahead to next week, gold is expected to continue its bullish trend. If the 3325 support level below remains unbroken, one can look for opportunities to establish long positions. XAUUSD buy@3325-3330 tp:3340-3360-3380 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
1
GOLD → Local bearish trend. Retest of support.FX:XAUUSD is technically looking a little weak. Support is being retested amid de-escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Interest in the metal is waning. On Friday, gold remains under pressure ahead of data on the core PCE index, a key inflation indicator for the Fed. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, this could strengthen expectations of a rate cut as early as July, supporting gold. The probability of a July cut is currently estimated at 21%, and 75% for September. Amid dollar volatility caused by rumors of a possible Fed chair replacement and trade negotiations with the EU and China, traders remain cautious, awaiting clarity on inflation and monetary policy Technically, before falling, gold may form a correction to 3320 (liquidity capture). Resistance levels: 3320, 3336, 3347 Support levels: 3293, 3271 If the fundamental background remains unchanged and gold continues to decline towards support at 3293 and break through this level, the breakout could lead to a fall to 3271. However, I do not rule out the possibility that after a sharp decline, a correction to 3320 could form before the fall. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 30 - Jul 04]Last week, OANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply from an opening price of $3,392/oz to a low of $3,255/oz and closed at $3,274/oz. The reason was that Israel and Iran had officially ceased fire, although negotiations with the US remained difficult. In addition, FED Chairman Jerome Powell reaffirmed that there was no rush to cut interest rates due to high inflation risks. In addition, summer is a period of weak demand for physical gold, continuing to put pressure on gold prices. In addition, summer is typically the low season for physical gold demand, which could continue to weigh on gold prices. In addition to the seasonal lull in trading that has affected the gold market, improving economic sentiment as the Trump administration has said there is progress in trade agreements, especially the framework agreement on trade with China, will also continue to negatively impact gold prices next week. Thus, gold prices next week may continue to be under downward pressure, but the decline may not be too large as gold prices next week are still supported by some fundamental factors. This week, the US will release the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report and the unemployment rate for June. According to forecasts, NFP may reach 120,000 jobs. If NFP increases higher than expected, the FED will continue to delay cutting interest rates, negatively affecting gold prices next week. On the contrary, if NFP drops sharply below 100,000 jobs, it will increase the possibility of the FED cutting interest rates, helping gold prices rise again next week, but not too strongly. 📌Technically, the gold price closed below $3,300/oz this week, which could pave the way for a drop to $3,200/oz next week, or below that to $3,120/oz. If the gold price rebounds above $3,300/oz next week, it could trigger a recovery to $3,330-$3,360/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,246 – 3,228USD Resistance: 3,292 – 3,300USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3371 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3178 - 3180⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3174
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
June Nonfarm Data: Gold PlungesThe US June nonfarm payrolls data is out: 147,000 jobs were added, exceeding the expected 106,000 and the previous 139,000, with slight upward revisions to the prior two months’ figures. The unemployment rate dipped from 4.2% to 4.1%, beating the forecast of 4.3%. While the US economy slows, the job market remains robust. 🌟 Post-data release, market bets on a July rate cut have evaporated, with the probability of a September cut dropping to around 75%. US stock futures extended gains, Treasury yields rose across the board, the US Dollar Index surged, and gold plunged nearly $40 in a short squeeze—signaling an unexpected major bearish hit to gold. Weng Fuhao advises trading with the trend, focusing on shorting on rebounds. 😲 Gold, jolted by the nonfarm data, slid sharply in the short term before a minor rebound, with bearish signals across all timeframes. The data triggered an immediate breakdown, shifting the short-term trend to downward: on the 3-hour chart, moving averages formed a death cross, MACD showed a death cross with expanding volume, and gold prices fell below the Bollinger Band lower track, confirming a clear bearish momentum. 📉 🚀 Sell@3355 - 3345 🚀 TP 3335 - 3325 - 3315 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign_11
GOLD | Pressure Below Pivot – Eyes on 3255 and 3238GOLD | Market Outlook The overall momentum remains bearish as long as the price trades below the pivot line at 3297. Currently, the price is attempting to stabilize below 3281, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend toward 3270 and 3255. A confirmed 1H close below 3255 would further strengthen the bearish scenario, opening the way toward 3238. Sell Setup: Valid if 1H candle closes below 3281→ Targets: 3270 and 3255 Buy Setup: Valid if 1H candle closes above 3297→ Targets: 3314 Key Levels: • Pivot: 3281 • Support: 3255 / 3238 • Resistance: 3297 / 3314
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
XAUUSD: We must adapt to the market conditions! Bears in ChargeGold prices dropped as Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, causing a significant decline. We anticipate this trend to persist, as recent price data, including volume and price momentum, indicates a strong seller’s control in the current market conditions. We have two targets for you to set your own based on your analysis, along with a stop-loss based on your strategy. We appreciate your unwavering support throughout the years. Please like and comment. Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
26
Excellent start of E.U. sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife." I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines throughout Friday's session as explained above however mid E.U. session I have engaged two #100 Lot Buying orders on #3,278.80 few moments ago and closed both of my Scalps on #3,285.80 with excellent Profit. Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Excellent opportunities on GoldAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly." As I expected upside extension as per above, I have waited for #3,352.80 - #3,357.80 my local Top's for the sequence and started aggressively Selling Gold from #3,348.80 first, then #3,352.80 #4 aggressive Selling Scalps and #3,357.80 final two Scalps which I held all the way towards #3,345.80 Support for the fractal (cca #130k Profits Intra-day). My position: Since #3,337.80 was neckline for upside Bull structure, I was aware if it gets invalidated to the downside, it will open doors for #3,327.80 extension (which held twice throughout late U.S. and Asian session). I don't expect much Selling action today however Bulls need another Fundamental push to invalidate wall of Resistances at #3,340's and #3,350's. I will continue Scalping as opportunity arise / no Swing orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Gold on relief rallyAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session." Technical analysis: I have been aware that another failed attempt to invalidate #3,272.80 - #3,278.80 local Support zone will most likely result into firm rejection and yet another push towards #3,302.80 psychological benchmark and ultimately the #3,327.80 level which represents Short-term Resistance line which is now invalidated to the upside (as discussed above already). Keep in mind that the current Bullish Short-term set-up can offer a great opportunity for those who missed the last rally to enter at almost (# +1.00%) of the Price so many Sellers which were liquidated will now engage multiple Buying orders so Buying pressure will be significantly Higher. Gold is extending the Trade nicely inside the healthy Hourly 4 chart's Ascending Channel and after failed Support zone reversal. Price-action has even more probabilities now to test #3,352.80 psychological benchmark. Gold is Fundamentally Bullish as well due Tariffs announcement. My position: I have engaged #4 Scalp orders throughout yesterday's session (all in Profit) and will continue to do so however on the other side (Buying) from my key entry points. Keep in mind that overall trend remains Bullish and Trade accordingly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week Here is my latest structure analysis and important supports and resistances for Gold for next week. Resistance 1: 3356 - 3368 area Resistance 2: 3391 - 3403 area Resistance 3: 3443 - 3452 area Resistance 4: 3493 - 3501 area Support 1: 3230 - 3274 area Support 2: 3120 - 3177 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold: struggle with upside momentumThe price of gold was traded at modestly higher grounds during the week, which was impacted by the further weakening of the US Dollar and also concerns raised by the approval of the so-called Trump's tax megabill, which passed the US Senate during the previous week. Investors perceive tax cuts negatively, which are estimated to add $3,4 trillion to already concerned US debt over the period of the next 10 years. As analysts are commenting, on a long run increased US debt will further weaken US Dollar, which will be positive for the price of gold. The price of gold started the week around the level of $3.250 and headed toward the highest weekly spot of $3.360. It is ending the week modestly lower, at $3.336. The RSI is still not showing any clear movement to either side, sliding around the level of 50.The MA50 has shortly continued to act as a supporting line for the price of gold, although it has been breached at one moment during the week. MA200 is moving without a change, with a holding uptrend. The potential cross is still not in store for these two lines. The week ahead is not bringing currently important macro data for the US economy, in which sense, higher volatility is not expected. Still, any news related to trade tariffs, might shortly move the market to one side. Current charts are showing that the price of gold is struggling to sustain the upside momentum, in which sense, some further retracements might be possible in the weeks to come. As per current charts, the support line at $3.280 might be tested in the coming period. On the upside, no significant movements are to be expected. There are some probabilities for the level of $3.360 in the week ahead, with lower probability that $3.400 resistance could be tested again.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
Daily Outlook | XAUUSD June 30, 2025Hey traders, Fresh week, clean structure. Let’s lock in the key levels and let price do the talking. 🌐 Macro Context It’s a heavy week for USD – all major data drops before Friday: Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing + Powell speaks Wednesday: ADP Employment Thursday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM Services Friday: US holiday – markets closed 📌 This means liquidity will build into Thursday, then fade. Expect gold to stay range-bound early in the week, unless momentum shifts hard today. Volatility should peak around NFP. 🧭 Daily Structure & Bias Gold opened weak under 3287, still below 21EMA and 50EMA. The structure shows lower highs, bearish control, and no signs of strength reclaiming ground. RSI is at 42 — momentum down, but not oversold yet. Unless price breaks back above 3340, sellers stay in control. ✅ D1 Bias: Bearish while under 3340 📌 Key D1 Zones to Watch 🔺 D1 Breaker Block – 3340–3355 Former support, now clean resistance. Includes 50EMA and last failed closes. If price rejects again here, bearish continuation likely. A daily close above 3355 flips short bias. 🔺 D1 Supply + FVG – 3385–3405 Unmitigated imbalance from early June. If price pushes through 3355, this is the next upside magnet. Good spot for first reaction. ⚖️ D1 Decision Zone – 3287–3265 Current price zone. Multiple past reactions. A daily close below 3265 confirms breakdown. Holding above = more choppy range. 🟢 D1 Reaction Shelf – 3210–3180 Minor support zone from April candle bodies. Can slow price, but not strong enough for reversal on its own. 🟢 D1 Demand Block – 3155–3120 First major HTF demand. Includes 200EMA, strong structure, and previous breakout base. If price sells into it fast, watch for rejection — but only with confirmation. 🟢 D1 Macro Demand – 3090–3055 Final line of macro defense. Clean imbalance + demand from February. Valid only if sentiment breaks post-NFP. ✅ Final Summary • Below 3265 = structure breaks → opens 3180 • 3155–3120 = real support zone • Below 3120 = macro shift risk • Reclaiming 3340 = short bias invalid • Break above 3385 = continuation possible 📌 Today is all about the close. No confirmation = no trade. Thursday is the real trigger — be positioned, not exposed. — 📣 If this gave you clarity and structure, drop a 🔥, share your bias, and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper plans with zero fluff — only clean, confirmed price action.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot. Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
3
GOLD, back at higher base. BUY at 3250 enroute to ath 3500 / 4k.GOLD had a wonderful run this past few seasons grinding up a series of ATH taps every higher baselines since 1500. After goin to a new parabolic highs of 3500 ATH, GOLD did hibernate a bit and got trimmed back to 3240 levels -- a precise 61.8 FIB tap. This is where most buyers converge, and position themselves on the next run up. The next ascend series will be far more generous eyeing new higher numbers never before seen. Ideal seeding zone is at the current price range of 3250. Current higher lows on momentum metrics has been spotted conveying intense upside pressure as it moves forward. Spotted at 3250 Interim target at 3500 ATH Long term: 4000 TAYOR. Trade safely. Market will be market. Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JSAL
Revealed: Beware of a strong counterattack from gold bears!Perhaps due to the impact of the NFP market later, gold fluctuated relatively cautiously today, and neither the long nor the short side showed signs of breakthrough, and the overall trend remained volatile. However, as gold rebounded, the market bullish sentiment gradually tended to be optimistic. In the short term, the lower support area was relatively obvious, that is, the second pull-up point 3335-3325 area, followed by 3315-3305 area; However, as gold rebounded twice and fell after touching 3365, the suppression above was also obvious. In the short term, it faced the suppression of 3375-3385 resistance. If gold cannot effectively break through this area, gold bears may make a stronger counterattack, so I don’t think gold bears have no chance at all. Therefore, I think there is still a good profit opportunity to try to touch the top and short gold. You can consider trying to short gold in the 3365-3375-3385 ​​area and look at the target: 3340-3330-3320.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Gold Bulls Back in Control as Trump Pressures Fed for Rate CutsHey Realistic Traders! President Trump is ramping up pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates , saying the U.S. is falling behind countries with looser policies. As several Fed officials begin to shift their stance, expectations for rate cuts are growing. That’s putting pressure on the dollar and giving gold a fresh boost. We’ll take a closer look at what this means for OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) through technical analysis and explore its upside potential. Technical Analysis On the 4-hour chart, Gold has moved above the EMA-200, signaling a shift in momentum to the upside. Price has also broken out of a Descending Broadening Wedge (DBW) pattern, which often indicates the start of a bullish trend. The breakout was confirmed by a Bullish Marubozu candle, reflecting strong buying pressure. To add further confirmation, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward momentum. Looking ahead, the first target is seen at 3417. If reached, a minor pullback toward the historical resistance zone (green area) may occur, with a potential continuation toward the second target at 3500. This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the stop-loss level at 3271 . A break below this level would invalidate the setup and shift the outlook back to neutral. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on XAUUSD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
Gold Holds Above 3342 Ahead of Key U.S Data –Bullish Bias IntactGold Rises as Market Awaits Key U.S. Economic Data Gold prices are pushing higher as investors position ahead of today’s major U.S. economic releases, including NFP and unemployment figures. Expectations of weaker data are supporting bullish sentiment. Technical Outlook (XAU/USD): Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3,342. → A push toward 3,365 is likely → A 1H close above 3,365 would open the path toward 3,375 However, if price closes below 3,342 on the 1H chart, bearish momentum may build, targeting 3,331 and 3,320 Key Levels: • Resistance: 3,365 / 3,375 / 3,390 • Support: 3,341 / 3,331 / 3,320
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
7.2 Gold price continues to fluctuate! Non-agricultural positionGold is still temporarily maintaining a wide range of fluctuations in the daily trend, and the price is temporarily under pressure around 3360. In the 4-hour level trend, after continuous high-level narrow fluctuations, the technical pattern has begun to weaken. The short-term moving average has gradually flattened from the previous upward divergence. After the continuous small-scale high-rise and fall back, the upward momentum in the short-term trend is insufficient. In the hourly level trend, the current running space is very compressed, but in the small-level cycle trend, after continuous fluctuations, the technical pattern has begun to weaken. The price has begun to slowly move out of the narrow range of fluctuations. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
XAU/USD Struggles Below 3352, Bearish Pressure Remains ActiveXAU/USD Below Pivot, Watching 3352 for Bullish Confirmation Gold prices edged up today as investors shifted their focus to the U.S. fiscal situation and lingering uncertainty ahead of the July 9 deadline when U.S. tariffs are set to take effect. But at the same time, we have strong resistance on the way. The price continues to move below the pivot level and the 3352 resistance, which together form a strong supply zone. A confirmed breakout above 3352 on the 4H candle is needed to validate a bullish move toward 3365. However, the possibility of a renewed decline remains unless the price also breaks above 3365, which would confirm a continuation of the upward trend. The bearish trend remains active as long as the price trades below the pivot at 3348 and the 3352 level. Sustained trading below this zone would likely lead to a decline toward 3320 and 3313. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3352 - 3365 - 3400. Support Levels: 3320 - 3313 - 3218. Pivot Line: 3348
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi