Sell XAUUSDXAUUSD will short from this area towards 3060. After creating another record high, price will look for the nearest support. Shall we exploit this bearish move?
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold news caused a sharp rise in gold pricesThe 4-hour chart is in the neutral position of the range, which is a certain distance from the high point of 3166 and the low point of 2956. There are changes in the long and short positions, which can form a steady rebound and strengthen, or a secondary decline. Between the high closing of the daily line, the next two trading days will be the battle for the closing of the weekly line, and the shock washing will become more intense. The resistance point is around 3100-3102, which can be touched. Combined with the hourly chart, it is short if it stops rising and falls after rising. The volatility base is large, and there may be a false break, or a pressure retracement in advance. The goal is still to reduce the position appropriately around 20 US dollars. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3100-3102 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3022-3020 support line.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy: Short gold rebounds near 3100-3102 in batches, stop loss 6 points, target near 3070-3050, break to see 3020 line;
Long order strategy: Long gold pullback near 3020-3022 in batches, stop loss 6 points, target near 3055-3065, break to see 3075 line;
Gold chart - Daily ideas for April 7th🔸 Market Snapshot
📉 Gold pulled back sharply on Friday after a surprisingly strong U.S. NFP report, which added 303,000 jobs — well above forecasts. This cooled immediate expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts and pushed Treasury yields and the dollar higher, triggering a short-term correction in gold prices.
📊 After printing a fresh all-time high at $3168 last week, this drop is seen as a technical retracement, not a trend reversal. Powell’s speech echoed a cautious stance, reiterating a data-dependent path, which leaves room for renewed upside if inflation softens or geopolitical tensions escalate.
🌍 With Middle East tensions still brewing and demand for safe havens intact, many traders now eye 3015–2975 as a key demand zone for potential reaccumulation — setting the stage for the next leg toward 3200 and beyond.
🟩 BUY SCENARIO 1
📍 Entry: 3020–3015
🧠 Confluences: Bullish M15 FVG + Trendline Support + RSI Reversal
TP1: 3086
TP2: 3130
SL: 3008 (below swing low + OB invalidation)
📌 Look for bullish M5 CHoCH or strong reaction wick for sniper entry
🟩 BUY SCENARIO 2
📍 Entry: 2975–2965
🧠 Confluences: Untapped M30 OB + Imbalance Zone + D1 Demand
TP1: 3050
TP2: 3086
SL: 2958 (below OB + psychological 2960 level)
⚠️ Only valid if 3010 breaks and flushes into this zone. Let the price come to you.
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 1
📍 Entry: 3107–3115
🧠 Confluences: M15 OB + Unmitigated FVG + CHoCH after LH
TP1: 3030
TP2: 3010
SL: 3119 (above OB + intraday wick room)
📌 Look for M1–M5 bearish confirmation or rejection wick at OB
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 2
📍 Entry: 3135–3142
🧠 Confluences: Strong OB Zone + Premium Liquidity Grab + Equal Highs
TP1: 3086
TP2: 3020
SL: 3148 (above liquidity + OB invalidation)
⚠️ Still valid if price rallies fast – bonus confluence if RSI shows divergence
📌 Key Levels Recap:
🔹 3142 – Premium OB Zone
🔹 3115 – Intraday LH Rejection
🔹 3020 – Bullish FVG + Trendline Support
🔹 2965 – Deeper Demand Zone
🔹 2958 & 3148 – Final SL Protection Areas
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
If you find the ideas contribute to your views on the market be kind to press boost🚀/like button. Your support is appreciated.
Buy gold, expect a rebound to 3000Gold just fell to 2958, but quickly rebounded to above 2965. The short-term support of 2965-2960 was not effectively broken. Gold quickly recovered above the short-term support, proving that bulls still have room to fight back. I expect gold to at least rebound and test the 3000 position again, so in short-term trading, we should not be too bearish on gold.
I actually reminded everyone in the last article update that we can buy gold when gold falls. In this extremely fierce market, with a cautious trading mentality, I actually do not expect too much about the rebound space of the bulls. Once gold touches around 3000, I will leave the market safely and lock in profits!
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GOLD - one n single resistance , holds or not??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our discussion and now we have one n single resistance area.
That is 3093-94
Keep close that area because that is our key level now and if market hold it in that case we can expect a drop below that..
Note: above 3093-94 we will go for CUT n reverse on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BEYOND TEHNICAL ANALYSIS Beyond the technical analysis chances of the market goes against the setup are there
XAUUSD ICT Analysis | Smart Money Concepts | 15m ChartThis chart exemplifies classic ICT methodology and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in motion. Here's a breakdown of the zones and logic:
Current Market Structure
Market swept a prior low (liquidity grab) near $3,015, indicating Smart Money accumulation in the breaker block.
Bullish reaction occurred precisely at the breaker + demand zone, suggesting accumulation by Smart Money.
Price is currently respecting a short-term higher low, with probable retracement toward premium levels.
Key Zones Marked
Breaker Block ($3,015–$3,036): Entry area where price reversed after liquidity sweep.
High Probability Reversal Zone (~$3,061–$3,075): Aligned with 0.382–0.5 Fib + internal liquidity.
Pullback Zone (~$3,090): 0.618 Fib retracement & previous inefficiency (FVG close).
FVG (Fair Value Gap) (~$3,100–$3,135): Anticipated magnet for price to rebalance inefficiency.
Order Block + Rejection Block (~$3,135–$3,167): Strong resistance zone. High chance of rejection.
Expected Play
Liquidity Sweep Below -> Accumulation in Breaker Block
Bullish Repricing Toward FVG + OB
Reaction in Pullback Zone / OB Likely
Smart Money will look to offload longs in the OB/Resistance Zone, potentially triggering a bearish rejection.
Macro Fundamentals (April 2025)
Recent Geopolitical & Economic Drivers:
1. Middle East Tensions: Escalation between Iran and Israel has increased risk-on demand for gold.
2.USD Weakness: Mixed US labor data released April 4 showed slower job growth, reducing Fed’s tightening stance.
3. Gold Reserve Accumulation: Recent reports indicate China & Russia continue increasing gold reserves, supporting medium-term bullish bias on XAU.
Closing another re-Sell orderGold delivered aggressive upside sequence due Fundamentally Bullish bias where Price-action delivered almost #110-point upside extension. I have calculated that #3,082.80 - #3,092.80 should be local Top's for the sequence and engaged Selling order on #3,084.80 which hit my Stop-loss of #3,092.80 minutes after. However I have engaged another re-Sell order on #3,093.80 and closed my Selling order on #3,057.80 with excellent Profit.
My position: Gold is Trading below record High's values after #3,127.80 - #3,132.80 local High's rejected the Price-action. I see no alternative than waiting for CPI announcement and how Gold will digest it and will continue Trading in mentioned direction. I will continue Trading my setups one by one as my re-Sell and re-Buy levels appear.
Gold: Sell@3188-3200Gold has continued its strong rally, hitting a new all-time high, with bullish sentiment running extremely hot.
However, we must approach this rationally — every new high is usually followed by a technical pullback.
Currently, the 3200 level is a significant psychological resistance, as well as a key threshold for short-term bullish momentum.
From a technical perspective, the sharp recent rally has shown signs of momentum exhaustion, with clear overbought signals emerging.
📌 Strategy Suggestion:
Consider building short positions around the 3188–3200 zone
If 3137 is broken, further downside could extend to 3112–3090
⚠️ Risk Management Notes:
The larger the rally, the stronger the pullback potential
Avoid chasing long positions at these levels to prevent getting trapped at the top
Keep position sizes under control and set stop-losses to guard against sudden volatility
Wishing everyone smooth trades and solid profits!
XAU USD explained per request of one of my followersXAUUSD is a Futures Spot contract. it trades similarly to a stock or ETF or any stock market derivative. When the stock market is stressed as it is right now, then this futures spot offers potential swing to platform position trading opportunities.
Trade Wars are creating a very stress stock, bond, ETF, and commodities markets situation at this time. Gold is still considered one of the "Safe Haven" investments when the Stock, Bond or other financial markets are stressed and many retail investors are worried and are selling their investments or moving their 401k funds from one type of pension fund to another type that is a safe haven in their opinion.
Using a Spot requires Spatial Pattern Recognition Skills, an understanding of why and how professional traders include Proprietary Desk Traders, Floor Traders for the Buy Side or Sell Side, and Independent professional traders who trade in their home office. These professional side market participants use special order types that strike the penny spread and trade on the ATS venues which means you need to be able to read a stock chart as easily as you read a book or article on the internet as the Level 2 does not show their activity intraday. WHY?
1. Because the speed differential is massive. The Professional Side is trading on a millisecond scale. Retail transaction are required to be filled within 1 minute or less.
2, The lot sizes professionals sue nowadays are not 50,000 or 100,000. That is long gone. In order to make profits on the penny spread the average large not is 1 million to 50 million shares so you never see these orders as they transact on the ATS private venues.
3. Stop losses must be placed a value support levels. Never use percentages unless you are donating your capital to someone on the professional side. Your Broker is required to light all their orders before sending to their PFOF Payment for Order Flow Market Maker who pays your broker to send your orders to the MM.
Trade Wisely
Martha Stokes CMT
GOLD Market Update: Pullback in Progress BUY DIPS TP 3200 USD🏆 Gold Market Update (April 1st, 2025)
📊 Technical Outlook Update
▪️Bullish OUTLOOK
▪️Broke out and set new ATH
▪️Strong UPTREND: Sequence of Higher Lows
▪️Recommend to BUY DIPS at $3,050 USD
▪️Price Target BULLS: $3,150 USD - $3,200 USD
📈 Market Performance & Price Action
🚀 Gold Hits All-Time High: Surpassed $3,100 per ounce
📊 Driven by: Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty
🏦 Federal Reserve Impact
🛑 Fed Keeps Interest Rates Steady: Maintained at 4.25%–4.50%
🔮 Signals: 2 rate cuts likely in 2025 due to slowing growth
📉 Lower rate outlook supports bullish gold sentiment
💹 Gold Investment Trends
📈 Gold ETFs Outperform Physical Gold
GDX (Gold Miners ETF): ↑ 32%
GLD (SPDR Gold Shares): ↑ 15.5%
📊 Investors leaning toward mining stocks & ETF exposure for higher returns
gold The plunge exceeded 100 points，The bearish trend is crazy!This week brings new trading opportunities, as well as new market opportunities. Nowadays, the market fluctuates greatly every day. Being a short-term trade means high frequency, fast in and fast out. As long as you do these well, you can make money in short-term trading. Don't be greedy for more. The most important thing in trading is stability. Going fast is not as good as going steadily. Do a good job in daily trading. If you can get two or three waves of profits, it will be enough for you. If you do not have the ability to flexibly respond to the market during trading, and are not good at adjusting your trading thinking and rhythm to the market rhythm in a timely manner, you can contact me and let us pursue more profits flexibly and stably in the volatile market!
The K-line of the Golden Week closed at a medium-sized Yin high with a long upper shadow. forming a top heavy-volume adjustment in the short term. The daily negative adjustment engulfed the previous rising space. In terms of form, there is still room for adjustment this week, which can be continued to 2972 and 2956, while the top touches 3168 to explore the high and fall back pattern. , there is a high probability of forming a short-term high, but whether the trend will change needs to be further observed. Beware of weekly negative singles without consecutive negatives. The short-term pressure remains at 3058 and 3076. It will bottom out at the opening and rebound. First look at the strength of the rebound. At the top, focus on the pressure of 3055 first, and then look at 3076 if it breaks. Do not blindly chase shorts. Don't blindly chase the short position.
Operation suggestion: Gold is short near 3070-75, stop loss at 3080, and look at 3055 and 3020; if it is weak, pay attention to the 3055 pressure to short!
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – April 2025🎯 Market Context: Gold is currently trading in uncharted territory — sitting at all-time highs, right inside a Monthly Premium zone, just above the previous BOS level from 2011. This is significant institutional terrain.
📌 Key Monthly Levels:
🧊 Major Resistance Zone: 3,135–3,168 → This is a premium zone where price is likely to face profit-taking or distribution.
🔵 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 2,750–2,900 remains unfilled.
🪙 Last CHoCH and BOS: Confirmed bullish structure. Market has broken all historical ceilings.
⚖️ Equilibrium Zone: Around 2,400–2,500 → could act as a magnet in long-term pullbacks.
💎 Unmitigated OBs and Strong Lows: Still open way below 2,000 — long-term reversion zones if a macro bearish cycle begins.
🧠 Market Psychology:
We are clearly in the euphoria/distribution stage.
Monthly RSI is likely overbought (to be confirmed on chart), making bulls cautious for the first time in months.
Smart Money might be unloading positions subtly or looking to trap late longs.
4/9 Gold Trading Strategies
Gold opened with a mild bullish tone yesterday but faced resistance near 3018 , pulling back briefly before attempting a second push toward 3023 . However, the rally failed to sustain, and price returned near the opening level. Compared to recent sessions, yesterday marked a clear contraction in volatility, suggesting either a bottoming formation or a setup for a directional breakout.
From both candlestick structure and indicator alignment, the market appears primed for a potential bullish push today. If momentum builds as expected, a test of the 3037–3043 resistance zone is highly probable.
On the downside, 2976 remains the key initial support , followed by 2952 , which was the previous local low.
On the fundamental side, no major data releases are scheduled today. However, updates related to tariff policies will likely be the main market driver, and could trigger intraday volatility.
🎯 【Trade Setup for Today】
🔻Sell Zone: 3047–3066
🔺Buy Zone: 2968–2942
🔄Flexible/Scalping Zone: 2978–3023
Gold gapped and opened lower, trend analysis.Gold has fallen again since the opening, and the lowest point has fallen to US$2,978 per ounce. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a death cross downward, so gold bears still have motivation, and gold can only rebound in the short term. Gold will continue to be short after the rebound, and then gold will enter a period of volatility. After the sharp drop in gold from a high level, bears will have the upper hand in the short term. Unless there is a big positive news, it will be difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form short-term suppression. The resistance line of gold rebound is 3054. If under pressure, then the rebound of gold will continue to be short at highs.
Recommendations: Strategy 1: Wait for it to fall back to around 2990, buy, stop loss at 2981, short term focus on 3020, target 3070-80; Strategy 2: Wait for it to fall back to around 2961, buy, stop loss at 2956, target as above.
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that after the market opened today, a price gap appeared. Once gold filled this gap, it resumed its bullish move and recorded a new all-time high at $3,128. Currently, gold is trading around $3,119, and if the price stabilizes below $3,120, we may see a slight correction.
However, note that there’s been no new structural break on the higher timeframes, so for a more accurate outlook, we need to wait for the price to react to key levels.
This analysis will be updated with your continued support, as always!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
WILL GOLD MARK NEW ATH TRUMP TERRIF ALERT!🚨 GOLD UPDATE (XAU/USD)🚨
Gold is showing a strong bullish trend, and it’s expected to continue for the next month. 🌟 If you see any dips, buy in again and again! We could see gold touch 3200 soon, especially with the ongoing China & Trump tensions. The US economy remains strong, and fundamentally, gold is primed to soar even higher! 📈💥
After Trump's tariffs, gold may dip and sweep more liquidity before bouncing back stronger. ⚡ As China and Trump battle, US strength keeps pushing gold to new heights. 📊
Key Buying Zones 🔑:
- 3030 – 3035: Last zone for reversal 🔄
- 3000: Strong support zone 🚀
Targets 🎯:
- 3100 💰
- 3200 💎
- After 1 month: 3300 💥
⚠️ Always follow risk management⚠️
### Gold Important Analysis XAU/USD 04/07-04/11OANDA:XAUUSD
Currently, there is a prevailing sentiment among traders leaning towards a bearish outlook. Many who missed their selling opportunity on Friday may experience regret, and upon witnessing any initial selling pressure on Monday, they are likely to jump in. This sets up a potential trap that I intend to exploit. I anticipate the market will either move sideways or experience a slight bullish uptick before we see any significant movement.
It’s important to note that larger market players have already sold off positions from the all-time high of 3137. Meanwhile, retail traders have begun selling following the breach of key psychological levels. Those holding short positions overnight often place their stop losses near these critical levels, providing an opportunity for the market to manipulate their positions—this is precisely the strategy I plan to implement.
While the broader market structure remains bearish and we could see a potential breakdown below the 3000 level in the coming days, I believe we might witness a brief bounce in the meantime.
#### Current Market Conditions:
The market is currently oscillating between key weighted levels, indicating a period of indecision. The primary levels to watch for potential breakouts and reversals are:
- Resistance Level (Upper Gap): 3055
- Support Level (Lower Gap): 3031
#### Bullish Outlook: First Target 3055
- Initial Bullish Target: If the price manages to cross and lock above 3055, this will trigger a subsequent bullish target of 3075.
- Additional bullish targets with respective EMA5 locks:
- 3075 → 3092
- 3092 → 3117
- 3117 → 3142
#### Bearish Outlook:
- Initial Bearish Target: Conversely, a cross and lock below 3031 will set up bearish momentum, targeting 3015.
- Additional bearish targets with respective EMA5 locks:
- 3015 → 2999
- 2999 → 2975
- 2975 → 2950
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DeGRAM | GOLD reached the upper boundary of the channelGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic resistance.
The chart formed a harmonic pattern, and after testing the channel it formed a long legged doji and a bearish takeover.
We expect a correction.
-------------------
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Will gold fall after its strong rise?From a technical perspective, if gold breaks through 3054 this week, the next major resistance level will be in the 3100 USD area. We need to pay special attention to this position on Thursday and Friday, as it is a key dividing line between long and short positions. If this position can be re-established this week, the upper side may test the historical high target again. At present, the downward momentum of gold has basically weakened compared with last week. If you want to operate, you can pay attention to the support near 3053. Before breaking through, any decline is a long opportunity. The upper pressure will first look at the competition near 3100. If it stands above, you can try to chase more aggressively. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3095-3100 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3035-3040 support line.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy: Short gold rebounds near 3095-3098 in batches, stop loss 6 points, target near 3070-3050, break to see 3035 line;
Long order strategy: Long gold pullback near 3035-3038 in batches, stop loss 6 points, target near 3055-3065, break to see 3075 line;
Gold may face sharp fluctuations,The risk of downside increases!Technical analysis: Gold daily line rose by more than $100 on Thursday, creating a rare single-day increase in more than ten years. The cumulative increase in three days exceeded $200, and the technical indicators were overbought. The current gold price is in the stage of accelerating to the top. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance of the 3245-3250 area, and be alert to the risk of falling back after a high. Although the trend is still strong, the effectiveness of technical analysis is weakened under the guidance of news. It is recommended to focus on high altitude. This week is the fifth week of rising, and the probability of a change on Friday increases.
Ⅰ: The daily indicator macd golden cross is initially established, and the smart indicator sto quickly repairs upward, representing the bullish trend of the price. At present, because it is a historical high, there is no resistance point to judge, so we can only try it based on the small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the moving average MA5 and MA10, 3096-3088, and it is not considered to be far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: The current macd high golden cross in 4 hours is oscillating with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is overbought, which means that the price is oscillating at a high level. Because the indicators are at a relatively high level, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we are focusing on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: The hourly MACD is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating strongly. The current focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through 3220 this hour, it will continue to look for a high point. Otherwise, a small cycle peak signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support line of 3185. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Refer to 3440-45 for short selling
Gold Sell Zone and target The 3065 price level is acting as a strong resistance zone for XAU/USD. Here’s why:
Previous Resistance Test: Gold has tested the 3065 level multiple times in recent weeks and has failed to break above it, resulting in price rejections. These rejections create a pattern where institutional and retail traders are likely to sell at or near this level, anticipating further downside.
Market Structure: The market structure suggests that the upward momentum may be weakening. A failure to break above 3065 could indicate that buyers are losing control and that a correction or downward movement may follow. A shift from an uptrend to a potential downtrend increases the probability of a successful short position at this resistance zone.
Overbought Conditions: Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) show that gold has been in overbought territory, especially near the 3065 price point. When an asset enters overbought conditions, it suggests that the price is unsustainably high and due for a correction, which provides further validation for a short entry near this level.
Psychological Level: The 3065 zone is also psychologically significant. Traders tend to place sell orders around round number levels or areas that have been historically hard to break through, making it a prime spot for a potential reversal.
Gold roller coaster market washoutThe 4-hour Bollinger Bands also closed, forming a head and shoulders bottom pattern at 2955 and 2970. Today, we will focus on the gains and losses of the double top at 3055, and then see whether it can form a unilateral surge. If the European session cannot break through 3055, you can go short in the 3050-3052 area below 3055. For gold today, it is still viewed as a shock. The support below is at the 3000 mark, and the pressure above is at 3052-3055, with strong pressure at the 3055 line. If it is still sideways and oscillating like yesterday, then be careful not to repeat yesterday's trend and turn down at night. On the whole, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds in the short-term operation of gold. The upper short-term focus is on the 3035-3045 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2975-2970 line of support.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy: Short gold rebounds near 3050-3052 in batches. Stop loss 6 points, target near 3030-3010, break to see 3000 line;
Long order strategy: Long gold pullback near 2998-3000 in batches, stop loss 6 points, target near 3025-3040, break to see 3050 line;
