GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800
This video analysis is leading on from our long term target for $6,200 which I posted yesterday. We can see from the strong impulse move up, the entire bullish cycle is not complete yet & has more upside, AFTER a healthy correction.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold analysis strategy ideasInternal Trendline (Breakout): The previously respected trendline has now been broken, indicating a possible shift in trend.
Supply and Demand (S&D) Zone: Located around the $3,280 to $3,300 area.
Bearish Rejection Zone: The price tried to push higher to the $3,360 to $3,380 resistance level but failed to break through.
Arrow indicates bearish target: The price is expected to fall towards $3,245.94.
The internal bullish trendline has been decisively broken, which is a classic sign of a trend reversal or at least a sharp correction.
After the breakout, the price retested the lower trendline but failed to recover and showed bearish pressure.
There was a clear rejection at the supply zone ($3,360 to $3,380), which is confirmed by the long shadows and bearish candlestick pattern.
This confirms the presence of sellers and a possible setup at this level.
The Point of Control (POC) and high volume node are located around the $3,245 area, which also aligns with a clear bearish target.
Price may move towards this level as this area is a reasonable value area for previous consolidation.
The previously bullish demand zone (around $3,280) has now become a resistance level, confirming the shift in market sentiment.
Target: $3,245.94
Confirmation: Failure to close above $3,360 and continued lower highs indicate that the bearish trend will continue.
This chart shows that gold spot (XAU/USD) is bearish in the short term and may fall to the $3,245 area. Traders may consider watching for signs of continued bearish price movement and possible expansion of volume in the next leg of decline to confirm the decline.
GOLD → The rally continues. Waiting for correction to tradeFX:XAUUSD supported by the weakness of the dollar and increased trade tensions between the U.S. and China continues to renew highs. At the moment the market is testing 3400...
After Friday's pullback caused by profit taking, the demand for gold rose again - investors are looking for protection amid the threat of recession in the U.S. and instability in the markets. Additional pressure on the dollar is exerted by the threat to the independence of the Fed, after statements about the possible resignation of Jerome Powell.
It is not worth buying at the highs. Technically, against the background of the uptrend, the market can take a break in the form of a pullback. A bounce from support or a false breakdown of the liquidity zone may provide a good opportunity to enter the market
Resistance levels: 3400, 3410, 3430
Support levels: 3369, 3357, 3344
Undoubtedly, based on the overall fundamental situation, gold is absorbing capital as a safe haven and can continue its growth for a long time. But we should keep an eye on the situation between the US and China, as well as in Eastern Europe. Any de-escalation of the conflict may lead to a correction.
For trading now it is worth waiting for a correction to the above mentioned support levels to find a trading opportunity.
Regards R. Linda!
How to grasp the ups and downs of market conditions?Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 line, and the 3400-3410 line for short-term suppression. Be careful to pursue orders in sharply rising and falling markets, let alone heavy positions, and wait patiently for sufficient adjustments before entering the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3310-15 line, and covers long positions when it falls back to 3300 line, stop loss 3297, target 3400-3410 line, and continue to hold if it breaks;
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3330 and a gap below at 3282. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3330
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
BEARISH TARGETS
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3224
3190
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3190 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3131 - 3077
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Market Update – April 23, 2025“Bulls Are Alive, But Not Rushing – Gold Builds in Discount Trenches 🏗️🟢”
🔍 Macro + Context
HTF Bias: Still bullish. Daily candle shows strong rejection wick from below 3280 → bulls defending structure.
LTF Flow: Bearish → Clean CHoCH + BOS chain (H1–M15) from 3455 ATH zone → currently building base.
Current Price: ~3294
RSI: Starting to climb from oversold on M15–M30 → first hints of a potential shift.
📈 Confirmed Structural Updates
🔻 Sell Zones (Premium)
Zone Range Type Confluences
🔴 3450–3455 ATH Supply HTF OB + 1.618 Fibo Liquidity + Rejection Block
🔴 3414–3422 NY Session OB Retest Zone M30 OB + Last Reaction High
🟠 3380–3395 Flip Zone H1–M30 Rejection Block EMA Lock + FVG + CHoCH
🟢 Buy Zones (Discount)
Zone Range Type Confluences
🟢 3280–3288 LTF Demand Reentry Zone M5-M15 OB + Recent Wick Defense
💚 3220–3235 HTF Demand Stronger Demand Zone H4 OB + D1 EQ zone + Weekly Pivot
🔵 3170–3190 Extreme Discount Long-Term Zone Untapped FVG + D1 OB
⚙️ Current Price Action
📍Price rejected perfectly from the 3260s → defended with strong wick, now reclaiming M15 internal CHoCH.
🟣 M5 showing micro BOS + reclaim of 9EMA → potential for bullish continuation toward 3320–3333.
⚠️ Flip Zone at 3380–3395 remains a major short-term decision level. If price breaks above it, we’ll be in recovery mode toward 3415.
🎯 Session Outlook
Buyers in control short-term if price holds above 3280.
Next key reaction expected at 3320–3333 minor resistance → if broken, bulls might retest 3385+.
Sellers may reengage hard at 3380–3395 or above (3422, 3455).
🧠 Smart Money Snapshot
🟢 Liquidity swept below 3280 = engineered low
🟠 Internal CHoCH on M5 confirmed → LTF bullish short-term
🔴 Next sell interest likely around 3385 or 3415 unless HTF flips bullish again
XAUUSD – News & Risk Preview for April 24, 2025
Claims & Chaos?🧨📉📈
🔍 What’s Coming:
🧾 Unemployment Claims (USD) – 14:30 UTC+2
➤ Expected spike in volatility. Watch for algo-driven whipsaws if numbers surprise (especially under 200k or above 250k).
➤ Low claims = strong USD = potential XAU drop.
🧠 Tactical Advice for Thursday:
Avoid full-size entries→ spikes can violate structure briefly before returning.
Focus on reaction-based trades: let price show direction after the event, then join.
Best plan: pre-mark levels now, react later.
🗣️ Final Note
This market update reflects structure-only precision, no emotional bias. If bulls want back in, 3280–3290 is the launchpad. If not, sellers are watching 3385+ like hawks. 🦅
XAUUSD It's most important week in 5 years.Gold (XAUUSD) hit last week the multi-year Higher Highs trend-line that has been in effect since the July 04 2016 High. Last time it had a rejection on it was on August 03 2020 when the market started the last 2-year Bear Cycle.
The current 1W candle has opened above this Higher Highs trend-line, so the week is of utmost importance as a closing below it maintains the pattern and the bearish Cycle Top bias, while above it jeopardizes invalidating it.
If as a result, the market closes the week below it and remains within the Fibonacci Channel Up, we may indeed be on Leg (4) peak and our Target will be near the 0.382 horizontal Fibonacci level at 2700 towards the end of the year. If not, we will see what new pattern is created and adapt accordingly (updates will follow).
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XAUUSD Market Update – April 28, 2025 NY🎯 Quick Context:
Price successfully defended the support + liquidity pocket zone (around 3272–3288).
A bullish intraday reaction followed, but we are still trapped inside a consolidation range for now.
✅ Valid Zones Remaining from Daily Plan:
Support + Liquidity Pocket (3272–3288): ✅ Still active and valid as strong support.
Minor Resistance Level Inside Range (3350–3360): ✅ Remains relevant for possible rejections.
Major Flip + Resistance Zone (3380–3395): ✅ Still untouched and valid — upper upside target if bullish continuation happens.
⚠️ Zones Weakened or Invalidated:
Micro Support 3310–3315: ⚠️ Structure failed to hold cleanly — now treated as a neutral zone (no strong bias here).
Intraday Pivot 3260–3265: ⚠️ Previously breached — weak support for now, not a major focus.
🔥 Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario 🟢
Holding above 3272–3288 = potential rally toward 3310–3315, then 3350–3360.
Solid break and close above 3360 = bullish continuation potential toward 3380–3395.
Bearish Scenario 🔴
Clear loss of 3272–3288 = risk of a sharper selloff toward lower discount zones (~3220–3240).
🧠 Extra Observations:
Current structure = sideways/consolidation between buyers and sellers.
Short-term momentum (M15–M30) is trying to lean bullish but without a confirmed HH yet.
HTF bias (H1–H4) remains slightly bullish as long as price holds above the 3272–3288 support zone.
📢 Final Note:
🏹 Patience is key. Let price react around the zones — we are ready and disciplined to execute based on real confirmation, not emotions.
✨ Final Friendly Message:
"We’ve already done the heavy lifting by marking the battlefield. 🛡️ Now it’s all about patience, precision, and letting Goldie show its next move. 📈✨
Stay sharp, stay humble – and remember: we react, not predict. 🎯
Let’s make this a week where we checkmate the market together! ♟️
If you enjoyed this update, leave a like, drop a comment, or just say hi – you’re part of the GoldFxMinds crew! 🚀💬❤️"
XAUUSD Downtrend Continues- Is 3,175 the Next Stop?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. This structure reflects sustained bearish momentum, and sellers continue to dominate the overall direction.
The recent upward move appears to be a technical rebound, with price approaching a potential resistance zone near the upper boundary of the channel. This area may now serve as a supply zone after acting as previous support, making it an important region for potential rejection.
If the resistance holds, a rejection here could lead to the continuation of the bearish trend, with a potential move targeting the support area around 3,175, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
However, failure to hold below this level could invalidate the bearish scenario and increase the likelihood of a retest toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Traders should monitor for clear rejection signals at resistance, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong rejection wicks, or alternatively, wait for breakout confirmation before considering a trend shift. As always, proper risk management remains essential.
Gold price stabilized again, trading around 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) found fresh buying interest during the Asian session on Wednesday, pausing its pullback from the previous day’s record high near $3,500. Attempts by the US Dollar (USD) to rebound from multi-year lows faltered, as investor confidence in the US economic outlook continues to erode amid President Donald Trump’s erratic tariff policy shifts.
Additionally, growing expectations of more aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have triggered renewed selling pressure on the greenback. This, in turn, has reinforced demand for the non-yielding yellow metal, helping gold regain upward momentum as investors seek shelter from mounting economic and policy uncertainty.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The slowdown and downward adjustment of gold are inevitable. Profit-taking psychology and cooling news of tariffs and Russia-Ukraine military forces caused gold prices to fall.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3410- 3412 SL 3417
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3370
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3281 - $3283 SL $3276
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3315
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price up or down?Gold has been fluctuating at the bottom in recent days. The large range is obviously 3260-3370, and the small range changes every day. On Tuesday, it was 3352-3300. The overall trend was first falling and then rising, but the decline was stronger than the rise. For the time being, gold is still weak. On the upside, pay attention to the break of 3370. If 3370 breaks, look at 3420-3500. The operation idea remains unchanged. Today, we still look for low points to go long. The support below the small cycle is around 3300-3280. These two supports are necessary points for going long today.
Gold Trading Plan: Liquidity Grabs, Pullback, and UptrendHello Ladies and Gentlemen!
Based on recent news and Trump’s turbulence, we are closely following macroeconomics, the ongoing tariff wars, and geopolitical events. Gold is showing signs of exhaustion after last week's pullback. While we see a recovery, we must remember that not everything we see can be trusted. However, based on our analysis of the current situation and an understanding of market execution and liquidity grabs, we expect a pullback that could confirm the uptrend — providing a potential opportunity to go long.
Here’s the plan:
1. Double check at the current liquidation level
2. Wait for a pullback around a key level below.
3. Confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
We must carefully monitor each market session and pay close attention to macroeconomic news releases, as the market may react sharply by grabbing liquidity. It will be interesting to see how far we can go from here with liquidity runs and whether additional pullbacks will occur. For now, we remain patient and wait for clear confirmation signals.
Share your ideas!
4/25 Gold Trading StrategyYesterday’s long position strategy performed well—whether you closed your trades or continue to hold, the returns have been solid. Gold has now risen to the 3370 level, and technically, there's still room for further upside.
There is some selling pressure near 3370. If price breaks through decisively, we should watch for further resistance in the 3380–3400 zone. If bullish strength weakens, a pullback to 3368–3352 could occur.
If the market dips first, the 3345–3328 range is a key support area. A slow, corrective pullback to this zone could offer another buying opportunity. However, if the decline is sharp, we must monitor whether 3306–3288 can hold as a firm bottom.
From a trend perspective, I personally lean toward the possibility of gold pushing above 3400 today. Stay long-biased, but be flexible with high-level adjustments.
🔁Trading Recommendations:
Sell in the 3410–3440 range
Buy in the 3306–3288 range
Use 3380–3348 / 3328–3368 for flexible, intraday swing trades
Gold Trade Plan 30/04/2025Dear Traders,
Gold has once again entered the 3275 support zone. Given that this is the fifth time it has tested this support, I expect the price to break below it. Additionally, the dollar index has entered a reversal phase. Good buying zones are around 3200–3220.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
GOLD trades around $3,300, market lacks major impactOANDA:XAUUSD sare trading lower around the $3,300/oz flatline as easing US-China trade tensions dampen the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, while investors await US economic data to gauge the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD have been trading in a narrow range recently as the market awaits details of the first trade deal, which is expected to be announced this week or next.
OANDA:XAUUSD has reversed to a downside correction since last week as Trump made some very positive comments and the risk of stagflation was further ruled out, and gold prices continued to fall. Stagflation has pushed gold higher and as the market starts to price in this risk, a correction is natural, especially considering that “buying gold” has become the top trade and it is technically in overbought territory.
Looking at the larger picture, gold prices remain in an uptrend as real yields are likely to continue to fall amid the Fed’s easing. But in the short term, more positive news on tariffs could see gold prices continue to fall as the market adjusts to the new conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD , traditionally seen as a hedge against political and financial uncertainty, hit a record high of $3,500.05 last week amid heightened uncertainty.
Investors will be watching economic data for the rest of the week, including Wednesday's personal consumption expenditure report and Friday's non-farm payrolls report.
Technical Outlook OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to move sideways as the accumulation state takes place as the market has no fundamental impact of any sudden change. With the current position, gold is not qualified to increase or decrease significantly with the sideway area of attention in the range of 3,371 - 3,292 USD being the positions of the Fibonacci retracement of 0.236% and 0.382%.
However, overall, gold is still inclined to increase in the long term with the price channel as the main trend and support from EMA21 as the main support. As long as gold remains above/within the price channel, above EMA21, it still has the technical conditions for the main trend to be up, the declines should only be considered as short-term corrections and not an official trend.
During the day, the sideways accumulation state with the main uptrend will be noticed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,292 – 3,267 USD
Resistance: 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3382 - 3380⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3386
→Take Profit 1 3374
↨
→Take Profit 2 3368
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3283 - 3285⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3279
→Take Profit 1 3291
↨
→Take Profit 2 3297
GOLD Still Bearish , Can We Catch This New Wave & Get 500 Pips ?Here is my opinion about gold , we have a very good short trades gave us a lot of pips and now we want to continue with the direction , so if you look at the chart you will see my fav place to enter a sell trade with 500 pips target if the price give us a good bearish price action .
Gold remains bullish. But....Last week gold was very volitile. with big movements up to 700pips. During market closure gold got big pricegaps. Be carefull trading this volitile market.
Notice the longterm uptrend in the daily and weekly time frame. If we break it down to H2 we got a clear head and shoulder pattern. It will only be valid if gold manage to break the neckline of this pattern and break below the H2 FVG/support located around 3246 up to 3256. Confirmed break will send gold lower. If gold manage to break above the resistance trend our first bull target should be 3365 level.
I use Priceaction trading only.
Resistance: 3319, 3343, 3367, 3385
Support: 3294, 3246, 3232
4/23 Gold Trading StrategyGold saw a sharp decline from 3500 to around 3360 yesterday, and our selling strategy delivered significant returns.
Over the weekend, Trump stated he has no intention to fire Powell and hinted at easing trade tensions. This quickly dampened market risk aversion, causing gold to plunge at the open today to near 3320. The downward momentum remains strong.
In this kind of market, flexibility is key. A sharp drop is usually followed by a rebound, but the strength of that rebound is what matters. Technically, the potential bounce is estimated at around $50, but whether the price continues to rise or resumes its decline will depend on how the market digests the news.
Technical levels (excluding news impact):
Key resistance: 3410–3440
Key support: 3328–3303
Considering the news:
Key resistance: 3346-3372
Key support: 3298–3268
Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell between 3410–3440
Buy between 3297–3267
Trade flexibly within 3386–3332 / 3296–3328
Can gold continue to fall and set a new high?This wave of gold correction is still ongoing. In fact, the market has a warning for today's pullback. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so the trend of gold will definitely continue. Moreover, after gold rose to the 3500 level yesterday, the trend weakened. The market fell all the way and broke through the 3400 mark and the 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive trend, the market ushered in the suppression of the market pullback, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3320-3330 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3285-3245 support.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Don't forget we're still in a Wave 4 correction, before the next Gold bull run (Wave 5) resumes. Expecting a mid term flat correction & as this is Wave 4, it is likely we'll experience choppy market conditions.
But get ready to buy the huge, discounted dip back up📈