GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAUUSD Analysis TodayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis
XAU/USD – Current Wave Count & Potential ScenariosOANDA:XAUUSD
We are currently moving from (white) wave 3 to (white) wave 4.
So far, I am leaning towards the white count where the waves labeled (A), (B), (C) form a larger corrective wave A, which leads to wave B, and then to (white) wave 4.
Up to now, we have only completed (A) and (B).
Now, in the yellow bracket, we can interpret a 1-2-3-4-5 structure leading to (white) wave C 🟡.
Alternatively, one could interpret a triangle pattern (pink count):
Waves A, B, C, D, E, which would then form our wave 4.
In that case, we would expect bullish targets afterwards 🚀.
We need to watch closely if the price reverses or breaks through our yellow Fibonacci zone 🟡.
For now, we are primarily looking for upside potential 🔼.
From our yellow wave 2, we saw a downward push, which could theoretically be our yellow wave 1 leading into yellow wave 2 and the yellow Fibonacci zone — essentially a five-wave move from wave 2 to wave 3.
maintain selling pressure around 3300, GOLD ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices extended their slide for a fourth straight session, falling over 0.60%, as the U.S. and European Union reached a weekend trade agreement that halved proposed tariffs on EU goods—from 30% to 15%. XAU/USD is currently trading around $3,312, after earlier touching a high of $3,345.
The trade breakthrough lifted market sentiment, boosting risk appetite. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar is regaining strength, with the Dollar Index (DXY)—which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies—rising 0.99% to 98.64.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price maintains selling pressure around 3300, continuing the downtrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3353- 3355 SL 3360
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3317
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3287-$3285 SL $3280
TP1: $3295
TP2: $3307
TP3: $3320
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for July 31stGold Technical Analysis:
Daily chart resistance: 3351, support: 3250
4-hour chart resistance: 3335, support: 3270
1-hour chart resistance: 3315, support: 3290.
Gold was trading sideways between 3320 and 3333 yesterday before the New York market. During the US trading session, the release of US ADP employment figures and PCE price data was bearish for gold, causing it to plummet below Monday's low of 3301. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, and Powell's hawkish speech sent gold plummeting to around $3268.
Affected by the news, gold prices fell rapidly yesterday, reaching a low near the lower Bollinger band on the daily chart. It rebounded in the Asian session today, reaching a high near 3315. Selling is recommended in the sideways range between 3310 and 3320. The US PCE data will be released in the New York market, so avoid the news release period.
BUY: near 3290
SELL: near 3270
XAUUSD Short1. Market Structure Overview
The overall market structure on this 15-minute chart is bearish. A clear Break of Structure (BOS) occurred at $3,307.765, confirming that previous support failed and sellers are in control. After the BOS, price formed a lower high near $3,328, maintaining bearish momentum and setting the stage for potential continuation downward.
2. Supply & Demand Zones
The chart reveals two notable supply zones where sellers have been active. The first is a minor zone just above the current price, which has already triggered a rejection and shows signs of short-term bearish control. The second, positioned higher, marks the origin of a strong sell-off and represents a significant resistance level. On the demand side, the closest support zone lies just beneath the current price, but it appears weak due to prior tests. A stronger demand zone is located further down, where price previously saw an aggressive bullish reaction, indicating solid buyer interest. If bearish momentum continues, price may drop even lower into a deeper liquidity pocket—an area likely to attract strong institutional buying.
3. Price Action within the Current Region
Price is currently hovering around $3,325, inside a narrow range between the minor supply and weak local demand. After rejecting the upper supply zone, price is showing bearish intent. If the market maintains this rejection pattern, a drop toward the $3,293–$3,301 demand area is likely. This zone is expected to offer a bounce or at least temporary reaction due to the strong response seen there previously.
4. Trade Bias & Plan
The active bias is bearish. Short opportunities are favored while price remains below $3,328. Ideal short entries are from the rejection of the minor supply zone, targeting $3,301 and possibly $3,293. A clear break and hold above $3,329 would invalidate the short bias and shift focus toward higher liquidity levels. Until then, structure supports downside continuation.
5. Momentum & Confirmation
Momentum is currently favoring sellers. The lower highs and strong rejections near supply reinforce the bearish bias. Confirmation for continuation comes from bearish engulfing candles and sharp rejections from supply zones. A clean break below the nearest demand zone would further validate the move toward deeper targets.
GOLD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,309.55
Target Level: 3,288.24
Stop Loss: 3,323.69
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 45m
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Robbery Blueprint: Smart Bears on the Move Now!💣 XAU/USD GOLD HEIST PLAN: Robbery Begins at Resistance Zone! 🔐💰
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers, 🕵️♂️💸🚀
Welcome to another strategic strike by Thief Trading Style™—where smart analysis meets bold execution. We're targeting XAU/USD (Gold) in this scalping/day-trade opportunity, primed with fundamentals, technicals, and pure robbery logic.
🔍 THE GAME PLAN
We're looking at a neutral zone turning bearish, and here’s how the robbery unfolds:
🔑 ENTRY POINTS
🎯 “Vault wide open” signal!
Initiate short orders at current price zones or set layered SELL LIMITS near swing highs on 15M/30M charts. We're running a DCA-style pullback entry for max loot.
🕵️♀️ Entry isn't about one shot—it's about precision raids.
🛑 STOP LOSS: THE ALARM SYSTEM
Set SL just above the nearest swing high (4H timeframe preferred).
Use candle wick tips as your defense line (Example: 3350.00).
Adjust SL based on risk appetite and number of orders stacked.
🎯 TARGET: THE GETAWAY PLAN
💸 First Vault: 3280.00
💨 Or escape earlier if price action signals reversal. Protect your gains. Professional thieves don't get greedy.
📊 WHY WE’RE ROBBING HERE
This level is a high-risk barricade zone—police aka "market makers" are strong here.
We spotted consolidation, oversold signals, trend reversal setups, and a bullish trap disguised as support. A perfect time to strike. 🧠🔍
📰 FUNDAMENTAL & SENTIMENTAL CHECKPOINTS
🔎 Stay updated with:
Global news drivers
Macro & Intermarket analysis
COT reports & future trend targets
👉 Check the 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ TRADING ALERT - STAY SAFE DURING NEWS BOMBS!
Avoid entries during major economic data releases.
Use trailing SL to protect running profits.
Monitor volatility spikes & price anomalies.
💖 JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE HEIST!
If this plan adds value to your trades, hit that Boost Button 💥
Support the Robberhood and help grow the gang of smart money snipers 🕶️💼💣
Every boost = more ammo for next mission. Let's rob the market—not each other. 🚀🤑
📌 Remember: Market is fluid. Stay sharp, adapt quick, and trade like a shadow.
Catch you soon in the next grand heist 🎭💼
#XAUUSD #GoldTrade #ScalpingStrategy #DayTrading #ThiefTrader #RobTheMarket #BoostForMore #NoChaseNoCase
Gold next move (Read Description). Hello, Traders.
As we achieved more than 400 pips on last trade, Now I’m back with new idea for next move.
As you can see the gold is dropping since last few days.
Now the trend is bearish according Higher Time Frames and Bullish trend in Lower Time Frames, We will have to follow the Higher Time Frames to find the next move.
The market is creating the trend line buy according to H1,M30 and also respecting the trend line.
Keep in mind the trend is bearish, the gold will drop.
If the price doesn't breaks the 3347, then next move will be around 3284. If the price breaks the 3347 then gold will fly, trend will be change.
Kindly share your ideas and drop positive comments, Thanks.
XAUUSD | Bullish - Deep Liquidity Grab + OB MitigationPair: XAUUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Structure remains bullish, with continuation expected toward prior 4H highs. Last week’s strong bullish intent signaled Smart Money’s directional commitment. Price reached deeper to seek liquidity beneath major sell-side lows, setting the stage.
LTF Confirmation (30M):
Price cleanly mitigated a 30M order block resting just under the swept liquidity. This reinforces the bias, and I’ll now be watching for LTF confirmations once the market opens.
Entry Zone: Within or just above the 30M OB
Targets: 5M and 30M internal highs. Trailing targets will depend on how price delivers.
Mindset Note: Patience is key here. I’m waiting for clean confirmation before executing — no rush. The story is written. I just need the trigger.
Gold Market Analysis: Seize the Bearish Opportunity!Hello, amazing traders! 📊 Last week, gold put both buyers and sellers through a rollercoaster, peaking at $3,439 on Monday and Tuesday before a sharp decline shook the market. The chart reveals a classic triangle pattern with a sneaky false breakout, designed to trap the unwary. Now, with the upside liquidity swept away, a bearish move is on the horizon—let’s break it down!
📈 Chart Insights
Take a look at the attached chart! Gold’s recent action highlights:
False Breakout: The price tricked traders with a brief surge, only to reverse sharply.
Target Zone: Equal Lows at $3,240 are the next key level to watch.
Retracements: Expect a pullback to the $3,360-$3,365 range, where order blocks, 4H Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and Hourly Imbalance Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) form a powerful demand zone.
🎯 Trading Plan
Entry Point: Prepare to short around $3,360-$3,365 as gold retraces to this strong PD Array.
Stop Loss: Place above $3,385 to avoid the daily and 4H FVG zone ($3,375-$3,385), which should act as resistance.
Target: Aim for $3,240, the Equal Lows, with updates on short-term targets to follow.
Note: The $3,375-$3,385 range is a balanced zone—unlikely to be revisited soon.
🚨 Why Act Now?
This setup offers a golden (or should I say bearish gold?) chance to capitalize on the market’s momentum. The chart’s clear levels and the false breakout signal a high-probability move. Stay tuned for real-time updates as we track this trade!
💬 Join the Conversation!
Loved this analysis? Hit the Like button to show your support! ❤️ Follow me for more actionable insights, and drop a comment below—where do you see gold heading next? Let’s build a thriving TradingView community together! 🙌
Happy trading, and may your trades be as sharp as this analysis! ✨
XAUUSD August 2025 Monthly OutlookWelcome to August — and welcome to the top of the macro ladder. Gold is not just rising. It’s rewriting structure.
🔸 Macro & Fundamentals
Gold opens August with a fresh impulsive breakout above $3360, fuelled by a weaker USD, rising global risk sentiment, and continued speculative positioning from institutional buyers. The upcoming Jackson Hole meeting and shifting Federal Reserve expectations create the perfect climate for volatility. All eyes are now on the premium structure top — but will gold expand beyond it or retrace to refill?
🔸 Monthly Trend & Bias (HTF Overview)
🔹 Structure: Clean bullish BOS, continuation leg in progress
🔹 Last CHoCH: April 2023 → Confirmed full trend shift bullish
🔹 Current Monthly Candle: Explosive push into supply with top wick rejection beginning to show
🔹 Bias: Still bullish but in extreme premium — watch for cooling/rebalancing
🔸 EMA Structure
| EMA Type | Status | Signal |
| ----------- | -------------- | ------------------------------------- |
| EMA 5 / 21 | Strong Bullish | Dynamic expansion, steep angle upward
| EMA 50 | Below | Clean breakout from range
| EMA 100/200 | Far below | Long-term uptrend deeply intact
🔸 Key HTF Levels (Wick-to-Wick Mapping)
Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🔴 Premium Supply 3350 – 3439 Monthly FVG + Wick exhaustion + RSI 80+
🔵 Bullish Imbalance 3180 – 3270 Monthly FVG + old BOS + EMA5 baseline
🔵 Mid-Level Support 2920 – 3000 Monthly OB + FVG + structure base
🔵 Deep Demand 2670 – 2780 HTF equilibrium zone + RSI support
✅ The current candle has pierced into the final wick supply, but with clear signs of loss in momentum.
⚠️ If 3439 breaks cleanly, next expansion zone opens toward 3505 → 3610 (Fibonacci projection). Otherwise, expect cooling to 3270–3180 first.
🔸 Fibonacci Context
🔻 Swing Low: 1810
🔺 Swing High: 3439
🎯 Current price ($3363) sits just below the 100% Fibonacci projection, with the 1.272 and 1.618 extensions at 3610 and 3740.
This confirms we are in a macro premium, and any long positions from here forward must be built only on strong LTF confirmation or clean pullbacks into value.
🔸 August Scenarios
🟢 Scenario 1 – Breakout + Price Discovery
If bulls break 3439 with strong volume and close:
New leg toward 3505 → 3610 opens
Watch for LTF continuation on H4–D1 with bullish OB reentry
Only valid if 3350 holds as new support
🔻 Scenario 2 – Rejection + Healthy Pullback
If price holds below 3439 and monthly wick exhausts:
Clean retracement toward 3270 → 3180 expected
EMA5/21 rebalancing will support bullish structure
Deeper rejection could retest 3070 zone if volatility spikes
🔸 Conclusion & Action Plan
We open August fully inside the last monthly supply zone. Trend is still bullish, but RSI, FVGs, and EMA distance warn us: this is not the time to chase — it’s time to wait for structure to speak.
📌 Key pivot = 3439.
Above it → Expansion.
Below it → Retracement.
Let August unfold — but stay sharp. The next big move will be born from this compression.
—
What’s your take — are we just getting started or about to cool off?
Drop your thoughts, chart it out, and stay ready for what August brings. ⚔️
—
❤️ Like if you enjoy clean, actionable updates🚀🚀🚀
🔁 Share with traders who love structure over noise
With clarity, confidence, and control,
GoldFxMinds
Excellent re-Sell opportunities from #3,332.80 ResistanceAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will continue re-Sells starting with #3,332.80 Resistance and my continuation will be re-Sell every High's on Gold unless Gold closes the market above #3,352.80 benchmark."
Firstly I have Sold Gold on #3,321.80 with my set of Selling orders and in addition I have added Sells at #3,318.80 / closing all on #3,312.80 / first line of wall of Supports ahead of #3,300.80 benchmark. Then I have planned to re-Sell strong on #3,332.80 with Double Lot and closed my order on #3,322.80 (#3,332.80 - #3,322.80) which delivered excellent results. I am making spectacular Profits from my key reversal zones.
Technical analysis: Gold is Trading within my predicted values however both sides are equally probable at the moment. Needless to mention, Price-action is on important Short-term crossroads. Since #3,300.80 psychological benchmark isn't invalidated even with DX on extended relief rally, now Bullish reversal is possible towards #3,342.80 first Resistance, then #3,352.80 mark Trading above the fractal. Also #3,320.80 - #3,332.80 Neutral Rectangle Trading is possible until I have a break-out.
My position: My break-out points on both sides are calculated and ready to be used for more Profits.
Excellent re-Sell opportunities from #3,332.80 ResistanceAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will continue re-Sells starting with #3,332.80 Resistance and my continuation will be re-Sell every High's on Gold unless Gold closes the market above #3,352.80 benchmark."
Firstly I have Sold Gold on #3,321.80 with my set of Selling orders and in addition I have added Sells at #3,318.80 / closing all on #3,312.80 / first line of wall of Supports ahead of #3,300.80 benchmark. Then I have planned to re-Sell strong on #3,332.80 with Double Lot and closed my order on #3,322.80 (#3,332.80 - #3,322.80) which delivered excellent results. I am making spectacular Profits from my key reversal zones.
Technical analysis: Gold is Trading within my predicted values however both sides are equally probable at the moment. Needless to mention, Price-action is on important Short-term crossroads. Since #3,300.80 psychological benchmark isn't invalidated even with DX on extended relief rally, now Bullish reversal is possible towards #3,342.80 first Resistance, then #3,352.80 mark Trading above the fractal. Also #3,320.80 - #3,332.80 Neutral Rectangle Trading is possible until I have a break-out.
My position: My break-out points on both sides are calculated and ready to be used for more Profits.
XAUUSD Daily Outlook – August 4, 2025We’re not in breakout. We’re deep in premium — and supply is stacked.
—
Gold is now trading at 3362, sitting right inside the first valid daily supply zone — the same block between 3355 and 3375 that caused the last rejection. The bullish rally from 3272 was clean: liquidity sweep, CHoCH, imbalance filled, HL confirmed. Bulls did their job. Now they’re walking straight into pressure.
Above this zone, things don’t get easier — they get trickier.
Just a bit higher, we have an internal supply trap between 3398 and 3412. It’s a reaction zone built from imbalance and inducement — not strong enough to hold a reversal on its own, but perfect to fake out breakout buyers. If price pushes through 3375 and enters this pocket, snipers should be watching carefully for early signs of weakness.
And finally, at the top of the current structure sits the HTF supply trap at 3430–3439 — the last weekly wick, the macro reversal zone. That level is sacred. If price makes it there, either we’ll see full-blown expansion… or a violent reversal born from overconfidence.
So what do we do now?
We wait.
If price starts to reject from this 3355–3375 supply with bearish intent, we target the flip reentry zone at 3318–3328 — the previous CHoCH break and dynamic EMA cluster. That’s your first intraday long trigger if bulls want to come back strong.
If that breaks, next is the demand base at 3287–3267, the origin of this entire bullish move. Below that? Imbalance support near 3225 — the final line before structure shifts.
—
🟥 Valid Supply Zone → 3355–3375
🟥 Internal Supply Trap → 3398–3412
🟥 HTF Supply Trap → 3430–3439
🟫 Flip Reentry Zone → 3318–3328
🟦 Demand Base → 3287–3267
🟦 Imbalance Support → 3225–3205
—
This isn’t a breakout. It’s a build-up inside premium.
The smartest move today might be no move — until structure speaks.
—
Are you watching for the rejection? Or the breakout trap?
Let us know your bias below 👇🏼
Tap that ❤️ if this gave clarity, and follow GoldFxMinds to stay ahead of every key level — no noise, just structure.
—
With sniper calm and strategic clarity,
GoldFxMinds 💙
Disclosure: Analysis based on Trade Nation TradingView chart feed.
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 31, 2025
The chart shows a clear bullish structure after a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) on the lower time frame. Price has broken above previous resistance zones, indicating strong buying momentum.
Entry Zone:
Price is currently retesting a demand zone (highlighted in pink).
Ideal buy entry was taken after the bullish ChoCH.
Stop Loss:
SL: 3397, placed just below the demand zone for risk protection.
Targets / Resistance Levels:
1. First Resistance: 3308
2. Second Resistance: 3311
3. Third Resistance: 3316
4. Final Target: 3325
Bias:
Bullish, expecting higher highs as long as price holds above the demand zone.
Break and retest strategy is forming, suggesting continuation toward the final target.
Why emotionless trading is out (and what to do instead)Curious about what self-compassionate trading really means?
Let’s do a little thought experiment together. Imagine you just closed a losing trade. You’re feeling disappointed and unmotivated. You invite two friends over to your home and tell them what happened. Which friend would you rather talk to?
🙋🏽♀️ Friend 1 says:
"What a failure you are. Why were you even stressed out? That’s so silly. Couldn’t you see this trade was going to be a loss? You should just give up—what’s the point of trying? I don’t understand how you could mess up the way you did. Let’s spend the afternoon going through everything you did wrong."
...Or would you prefer:
🙋🏽♀️ Friend 2 who says:
"I can see you’re feeling sad and disappointed about that last trade. I’m really sorry it didn’t go your way. But you know what? Losses are a part of trading—we all go through them. You’ll have another chance tomorrow. I can tell you’re doing your best. Let’s do something kind for ourselves today, and tomorrow you’ll get back to it. Don’t give up—I’m proud of you for chasing your dreams."
🤔 So, who would you choose?
I know this little experiment might sound a bit dramatic—but be honest, wouldn’t we all prefer Friend 2 ? And isn’t Friend 1 sounding suspiciously like that inner critic of yours?
For the longest time, trading advice has told us to "get rid of emotions" and stay completely “stress-free.” I wish it were that simple…
The truth is, trying to trade without emotions is like talking to yourself like Friend 1 . Not only is it impossible —it also builds a harsh, critical inner dialogue that damages both your confidence and motivation.
The reality is: we don’t have full control over our thoughts and emotions. They show up whether we want them to or not. If we could choose our emotional state, we’d all stay calm and focused every time we trade. But that’s not how the human mind works.
Instead of fighting our emotions, we can learn to open up to them—without judgment.
Self-compassionate trading means treating yourself like Friend 2 . It’s about acknowledging when things are tough, and being kind to yourself when stress or anxiety shows up. It’s about replacing harsh self-talk with encouragement, warmth and understanding.
👩🏽🔬 Some people think self-compassion is soft, ”girly”, or even “too emotional.” But guess what? It’s backed by tons of solid research. Studies show that self-compassion helps reduce self-criticism and improve motivation. It’s also an effective tool for managing tough emotions and reducing stress and anxiety.
Self-compassionate trading is a win-win approach—it helps you stay grounded and resilient while building a meaningful trading journey. So why not give it a try? 👇
💡 Pro Tip:
Next time you close a losing trade, find yourself in a losing streak, or just feel anxious about your performance—ask yourself:
“What would I say to a good friend who’s going through the same thing?”
Then offer that same kindness and support to yourself.
Happy (self-compassionate) trading! 💙
/ Tina the Trading Psychologist
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Strong Bullish Move Expected XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Strong Bullish Move Expected from Support Zone
Date: July 29, 2025
Chart Type: Price Action | Smart Money Concept (SMC) | Volume Profile
🧠 Educational Breakdown:
1. Strong Support Zone (Demand Area):
Price has entered a clearly marked strong support zone around $3,270 - $3,292.
This zone has previously acted as a major demand level, where buyers stepped in to reverse bearish pressure.
High volume node from the Volume Profile on the left confirms significant historical interest in this price region.
2. BOS – Break of Structure:
Multiple Break of Structures (BOS) throughout the uptrend confirm bullish market intent.
The recent decline appears corrective, not impulsive, suggesting a potential bullish continuation.
3. Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A Bullish FVG is visible just above current price, acting as a magnet for price action.
This imbalance is often targeted before further market movement, supporting the idea of an upcoming bullish move.
4. Liquidity Grab Setup:
Price dipped into the support area likely to sweep liquidity (stop losses) before a reversal.
This is a common Smart Money trap, where institutional players grab liquidity before moving the market in the intended direction.
5. Target Zone:
A clear target is set around $3,418, aligning with previous highs and potential Buy-Side Liquidity.
The projected move represents a clean higher high, following the higher low formed at the support zone.
Confirmation: Wait for bullish engulfing or displacement candle on lower timeframe (M15-H1).
Volume Support: Look for rising volume during the reversal to confirm smart money participation.
📘 Conclusion:
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a textbook bullish reversal setup from a high-demand zone. With strong structural support, fair value gap targeting, and buy-side liquidity above, the setup favors bullish continuation toward $3,418.