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Gold could go to 3600A retest of 3435 does not lead to a pullback or reversal. The price is consolidating near the level, which indicates to us that the buyers are stronger in the moment. The fall of the dollar may support gold, leading to an overall rise not only to 3500 but also to 3600 Scenario: in the Pacific or Asian session, gold may try to break the 3435 resistance. Consolidation above this level will lead to growth and a retest of 3495 from which a small pullback (a logical reaction to the resistance level) may occur before continuing to grow in the medium term.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
1
Gold is under pressure and bearish outlook remains unchanged Gold has been rebounding during the day, but the strength of the rebound has weakened significantly. Although the one-hour trend broke through the upper pressure of 3340, it did not stand on 3340. The one-hour trend closed with a negative line, which means that the short-term rebound has come to an end. For this, we will continue to maintain a bearish view. The pressure level of the one-hour market is at 3340. Before the gold price stands firm at 3340, it means that the rebound is an opportunity for us to short. The idea of ​​our analysis just now is correct. Our internal strategy is also short at 3335. At present, the market has begun to fall back. Our positions are profitable. The target below will gradually look to around 3270, and our defense only needs to bring a little break loss. Specific strategy Gold 3335 short, stop loss 3345, target 3310
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Yuliya1l11
GOLD GOLD opens on liquidity demand floor on 15min chart and took 3295-3300 demand floor for uptick as early discussed on other gold chart. 3358-3365 hold a strong supply roof and a double top structure broken neckline will hold buyers @ 3358-3365 .if that layer is respected ,your buy profit will be taken. but if is broken you go long on retest of 3358-3365. Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential 1.Gold is trading around $3,324 after dipping into 3300-3295 per ounce on Asian session The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand. 2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday . Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower. However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields. 3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD. When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down. Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside. 4. Interest Rate Differential Impact The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold. Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices. Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying. Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally. The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction. Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%) CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%) CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%) How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts: (1)Monetary Policy Stance The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment. If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. (2)Possible Fed Response The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky. Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy. Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar. (3)Market Implications A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment. Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing. Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength. Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value. #gold #dollar
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold Update – The Reversal Is Still in PlayYesterday’s price action confirmed what we’ve been discussing in recent updates: the upside is vulnerable, and the real move could be lower. Gold did push toward the 3400 zone, as expected — but that test was short-lived. Sellers stepped in aggressively, and price dropped back toward the 3350 support zone, closing the day with a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart. Will we have a new leg down? That’s the big question now. While bulls are hoping for continuation, the current rebound is weak and seems to be shaping into a bear flag. Why I Expect More Downside: - Strong rejection from 3400 key level - Daily chart printed a bearish engulfing - Rebound structure looks corrective, not impulsive Trading Plan: I continue to look for selling opportunities on spikes, especially near resistance levels like 3375–3385. If the 3340-3350 zone falls, I expect down acceleration and a drop even to 3200 zone. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
10
GOLD The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #gold #dollar
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
The golden opportunity comes again.This week, gold showed a slow bullish upward pattern, rising repeatedly and circuitously, and finally closed positive on the weekly line. On Friday, it was blocked twice at the high level of 3445, and the closing price remained sideways. The market is expected to continue the upward trend next week. If it breaks through 3445, it is expected to further challenge the 3500 mark or even set a new high. Combined with the recent fundamentals and the continued warming of the geopolitical situation, it provides solid support for bulls. However, the current market shock sweep is still the main rhythm, and it is not advisable to blindly chase highs in operation. It is still recommended to focus on retracement and long positions. The key support of the daily line refers to the top and bottom conversion position of 3403 and the low point of 3419 on Friday. If it falls back to the above area, you can rely on the support to arrange long positions at the right time. The overall trend is still inclined to bulls, and short positions can only be tried with a light position. Remember that strict risk control is required against the trend. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy at the bottom, and pay attention to it in time. Operation suggestion: Gold is recommended to go long near 3405-3400, with the target looking at 3445 and 3465. If it is strong, rely on the support of 3420-3415 area and choose the opportunity to go long. If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time. 🌐
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
GOLD - Price can drop to support line of triangle patternHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 In this chart price formed a triangle pattern, where it first declined to support line and then made an impulse up. After this, Gold broke $3165 level and, after a small correction reached and broke $3400 level too. Then it rose to resistance line of triangle and dropped below $3400 level, breaking it one more time. Price tried to back up, but failed and dropped more to support line of triangle, after which started to grow. In a short time price rose to resistance line of triangle, which coincided with resistance level and area. Now, I think that Gold can drop from resistance area to $3250 point of support line of triangle. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
14
Perfect prediction of Monday's opening trendGold opened near 3310 today, and fell under pressure after reaching a high of 3321, which was in line with our previous prediction of the short-selling layout in the 3320-25 area. We successfully entered the short order and successfully stopped profit at 3305. Then the market was supported and stabilized near 3296. We decisively went long and also realized profit. From the current trend, the short-term suppression during the day is still focused on the 3320-3325 line, and the key suppression area is around 3338-3345. Gold closed in an inverted hammer shape last week. From a technical point of view, the rebound is still mainly short-selling. If you are not in a good rhythm in gold trading recently, welcome to communicate and reduce unnecessary trial and error. 【Short-term technical analysis】 The upper short-term pressure focuses on the 3320-3325 area. If it rebounds to this point, it will be short first and look for a decline. If it rises strongly to the 3338-3345 range, it will still be the focus of short positions. The lower support focuses on the 3295-3285 area. The overall strategy of "high-short-low-long" is maintained. It is not recommended to frequently chase orders in the middle position. Be patient and wait for key point signals. I will remind you of the specific entry and exit plan during the session. It is recommended to pay attention in time. 【Gold operation strategy】 1. Go short first at the rebound 3320-3325 line. If it touches the 3338-3345 area, you can cover your position and go short. The target is 3306-3295. If it breaks, continue to hold and look down.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Go with the flow and seize the gold trading opportunityGold rose and fell yesterday due to the influence of CPI data, and fluctuated violently during the session. There were obvious signs of a wash. In the evening, it rose again driven by the news, closed positive on the daily line, continued its strong upward trend at the opening and set a new high, showing an obvious bullish pattern. The overall structure maintains the bullish idea of low-long and trend-following. From the 4H cycle, gold rose continuously after stepping back and stabilizing the middle track. The moving average system showed a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger band opened and expanded, further confirming the continuation of the strong pattern. However, the current price is still running within the triangle convergence range, and has not yet effectively broken. It is not advisable to blindly chase more in the short term. In terms of operation, it is recommended to take the step back and do more. Pay attention to the short-term support below the 3360-3358 range, and focus on the 3350-3340 range. You can rely on the support to arrange long orders in batches. Pay attention to the 3389 and 3400 areas on the upper short-term pressure. If the high is weak, you can try short-selling in combination with the actual trend. Operation suggestion: It is recommended to buy gold near 3340-3350, and the target is 3366 and 3382. If it is strong, it is recommended to buy gold at the support of 3358-3360! All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Analysis of Today's Gold Market Trend and Trading IdeasYesterday, gold prices rose to $3,338 before pulling back, closing the daily chart with a doji star. Weekly and monthly charts suggest an adjustment is needed, but short-term momentum is lacking, keeping the market in consolidation. During today's Asian session, gold prices fell to $3,302 under pressure and stabilized. In the 4-hour timeframe, the rebound to $3,338 confirmed the previous support-turned-resistance level, which also coincides with the resistance of the broken low and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The current range-bound pattern remains unchanged. Today's strategy is to stay bearish but avoid chasing short positions—enter short trades when the price rebounds and meets resistance. Focus on the $3,340 resistance level, with support at the $3,300-$3,290 range. XAUUSD sell@3335-3340 tp:3310-3290 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EvanField
Analysis of Current Gold Trends and Trading RecommendationsYesterday, the daily K-line closed as a shooting star Doji with a long upper shadow, confirming a wide consolidation range between 3,300 and 3,350 for gold prices. In the short term, gold stabilizing above 3,250 is expected to maintain a mildly bullish trend within the consolidation, with focus on the 3,345-3,350 resistance zone today. From a 4-hour perspective, support lies at 3,315-3,320. On pullbacks to this level, long positions can be considered for rebound continuation, while resistance stands at 3,350. The trading strategy remains centered on "buy low, sell high" within the 3,350-3,315 range. Critical Monitoring: Closely track the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and today's CPI data release, as both events may exacerbate market volatility and influence short-term trend direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EvanField
XAU/USD 1H – Clean Impulsive Setup UnfoldingGold has completed a clean Wave (2) correction, bottoming at $3,292.30, respecting both structural demand and fib confluence. Price is now showing early signs of Wave (3) development to the upside. 📌 Key Structure: Wave (1) High: $3,403.30 Wave (2) Low: $3,292.30 (confirmed higher low structure) Market is now consolidating slightly above the 0.5 fib level ($3,324.45), with bullish structure still intact. 📈 Technical Confluence: Price is holding the internal bullish trendline RSI is neutral but building potential upside momentum Price action is forming higher lows, indicating strength post-correction 🎯 Next Bullish Targets: $3,366.08 (0.236 fib level of Wave (2) correction) $3,403.30 (Wave (1) high retest) Final Wave (3) extension zone: $3,445 – $3,500 📉 Invalidation Level: A break and close below $3,292.30 would invalidate this Wave (2) bottom and open the door for a deeper correction. ✅ Bias: Bullish, as long as price holds above the 0.618 – 0.705 fib zone. A strong push from this area could confirm the next leg of Wave (3). @WrightWayInvestments @wrightwayinvestments @wrightwayinvestments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
XAUUSD Breakout Brewing -- Squeeze Setup in Play📆 June 12, 2025 | ⏱ 4H Chart Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) is pressing against a key trendline resistance while holding a clean, ascending trendline from early March — forming a classic triangle squeeze. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: The long-term bullish trendline has been respected three times, with each touch followed by strong buying interest (see orange circles). Current price action is compressing between this trendline and descending resistance, tightening toward a potential breakout zone. Two likely outcomes on the table: 🔺 Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above $3,385 could fuel a rally toward $3,500–$3,520, especially if momentum accelerates. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below $3,260 risks deeper correction toward the $3,000 psychological level, aligning with prior demand zones. 📊 Indicators Insight: EMA(15) & EMA(60) have flattened → signaling potential volatility expansion ahead. Volume is building slightly, adding weight to a coming move. ================================================================= ⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) 🟢 Buy on breakout above 3,385, Target: 3,500+ 🔴 Sell on breakdown below 3,260, Target: 3,000 📌 Wait for confirmation and avoid chasing within the squeeze range. 💬 What's your take — will gold break through or bounce back? 📌 Follow for consistent multi-timeframe setups across Gold, Silver, and FX majors — 2–3 times weekly. #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by MJElahifx
Gold will inevitably fall after risingGold has risen sharply due to the violent geopolitical conflicts and the surge in risk aversion. It once reached around 3445, but in the process of falling back, it only touched 3408 and rebounded again, stabilizing above 3400. It is obvious that due to the changes in fundamentals, the sentiment of gold bulls is high; although the upward momentum of gold near 3440 has weakened, there is no clear signal of peaking yet! For short-term trading, it is relatively difficult to participate at present. To be honest, I naturally don’t want to chase gold at a high level; but there are no more signals to support me to short gold for the time being. However, with the rebound of gold, the current short-term support below is in the 3425-3415 area, followed by the psychological support of the 3400 integer mark; and the short-term resistance above is in the 3455-3465 area, followed by the area near 3480. Compared with the profit and loss ratio, I prefer shorting gold for short-term trading, because gold has performed relatively strongly in the London market. Logically, gold will have the inertia to rise in the New York market, so I think gold may rise and then fall in the New York market, so my current plan is to try shorting gold starting in the 3455-3465 area. Because the changes in gold's fundamentals are more extreme and complex, you must set up SL when participating in transactions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Bullish reversal?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,326.41 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,295.18 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 3,364.06 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
Stick to shorting gold and aim for the target area.Gold has not broken through 3400 after accelerating its rise, and the upper suppression effect still exists; currently gold is fluctuating in a narrow range below 3390, showing signs of stagflation to a certain extent. Therefore, the accelerated rise of gold is not for the short-term impact of 3400, but for a deep retracement, eliminating more scattered funds in the market by sweeping up and down. So in the short term, I think it is difficult for gold to continue to break upward under the suppression of the resistance area near the short-term high of 3402, but to test the lower support area of ​​3375-3365 before breaking upward. So I have shorted gold as scheduled according to the short trading plan mentioned above, and aimed at the lower target area of ​​3375-3365. At present, our short position has made a certain profit, but I still look forward to profiting from gold hitting TP! Let us look forward to gold falling back to the target area as expected!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade