Gold/XAUUSD Possible CPI Move 11 June 2025Technical Analysis
Key Confluences Supporting the Buy Setup:
Trendline Support
The gold shows a well-respected ascending trendline, which has been tested multiple times. This provides a dynamic level of support.
Horizontal Support Zone (3323–3326)
This area previously acted as resistance and has now flipped to support. The consolidation here suggests a demand zone.
Bullish Market Structure
The market is forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish structure. The current pullback may serve as a liquidity grab before continuation.
Liquidity Below 3320
There is likely a liquidity pocket just below 3320. Price could sweep below support to trap sellers before reversing upward.
CPI News Catalyst
CPI data release can cause volatility. The stop-loss below 3314 is well-placed to allow for a spike without invalidating the bullish structure.
Trade Setup Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 3323–3326
Confirmation: Reaction from the trendline and horizontal support after CPI release
Take Profit (TP): 3335/3349 (targeting the recent high and potential double top liquidity)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3314
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 1:2
Entry Trigger: Look for a strong bullish rejection or engulfing pattern at the 3323–3326 zone to confirm entry.
Management: Consider partial profit booking near 3340 if volatility increases or if price shows signs of rejection before the target.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold Testing Channel Resistance – Bearish Reversal Expected Gold (XAU/USD) – 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
Gold is trading within an upward parallel channel on the 4-hour chart, with price action consistently respecting both the support and resistance boundaries of the formation.
At present, Gold is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, currently trading around 3425, indicating a key resistance zone. A rejection from this level is anticipated, which could initiate a corrective move to the downside.
Entry 3425 (Resistance Zone)
Target 3340 (Support Zone)
Stop-Loss 3451
The technical setup favors a short position, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if the resistance holds. Traders are advised to monitor for confirmation signals before entry.
Bearish bias below 3451, with potential downside toward 3340.
GOLD - where is current support? What's next??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our last idea regarding gold with fundamental support of Israel attacked.
Now market have 3410-11 as immediate supporting area and if market sustains above that then we can expect further push to upside.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Bulls are in control, and pullbacks are opportunities!Gold rose directly at the opening today due to risk aversion, reaching a high of around 3446.8. We successfully stopped profit twice when we went long. Subsequently, we also notified everyone to enter short positions at 3445 and exit with profit at 3425. Pay attention to the support situation at 3395-3408. Going long on pullbacks is still the main trend at present.
From the current gold trend analysis, today's gold mid-line pulled up and broke through and stood above the 3400 mark to further continue its strength. The short-term support below is around 3310-3408, and the key support below is around the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3395-3405. The intraday pullback relies on this position to continue to be bullish and the short-term bullish dividing line moves up to 3345-3350. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the trend of low-long rhythm. Be cautious about short orders against the trend. I will give you tips on specific operations, and pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy: Buy gold when it falls back to around 3395-3405, and target around 3425-3440. If it is strong, continue to buy gold at the support of 3410-3408.
When operating, be sure to strictly set stop loss, strictly control risks, and respond to market fluctuations steadily.
Trading Game of the day 10-MAY-2025The trading plan of the day :-
1-the price disrespected the bearish FVG,s
2- formation of Bullish FVGs
3-TS_BB
4-cisd
5-Rejection
6- Reclaimed OB
7-Targeting the swing high
The price was struggling in this area at first but at the end continue to its target swing high
Gold price rebounds and then falls
The current trend is similar to that of Monday. Now that the market has continued to rise, we should not rush to guess the top. The idea is to follow the trend and wait for the stagflation signal to appear before looking at the callback. At present, the turning point of this wave is roughly expected to be around 3338. After the turning point appears, I will prompt you to participate in short orders to watch the callback. The callback position is expected to be around 3312. That is, the idea of European trading is to participate in short orders near 3338, with the target near 3315; after there is a stop-loss signal near 3312 below, participate in long orders.
WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? XAUUSD – WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION?
Gold is at a pivotal point after experiencing a significant correction following its recent rally. With the market showing mixed signals, the question now is whether gold will continue its upward trajectory or experience further corrections before breaking new highs. The current global economic climate, combined with macroeconomic factors, will be the driving forces behind gold's next move.
🌍 MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT
US Dollar Strength: The USD has been strengthening, which has put some pressure on gold prices. However, this comes amid uncertainty in global trade relations, particularly between the US and China, which is creating mixed market sentiment. Gold remains a key asset for hedging against currency risks and geopolitical tensions.
Federal Reserve's Stance on Interest Rates: The Fed has signaled that while inflation remains a concern, it’s unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future. This could limit gold's upside potential in the short term, but the metal remains attractive due to its safe-haven status.
Geopolitical Tensions: With ongoing concerns over US-China trade talks and tensions surrounding Ukraine, investors continue to flock to gold as a hedge against political and economic instability. These external pressures continue to fuel demand for gold.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
Current Correction: Gold has been correcting after a strong surge, testing key support levels like 3300. On the H1 timeframe, the EMA indicators suggest consolidation and weakness, signaling that further pullbacks are possible before any potential breakout.
Technical Pattern – "Flag" Formation: Gold is forming a bearish flag pattern, indicating a temporary pause after a strong upward trend. This pattern suggests that gold might continue to trade sideways, with a breakout above key resistance levels leading to a continuation of the uptrend.
Key Resistance and Support Levels: Gold is facing significant resistance levels at 3320 and 3330, while key support levels at 3300 and 3270 will be crucial to watch in the coming sessions.
📍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance Levels: 3320 – 3330 – 3338 – 3350 – 3360
Support Levels: 3300 – 3270 – 3250
🧭 RECOMMENDED TRADE SETUPS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3270 – 3272
SL: 3265
TP: 3280 → 3300 → 3320 → 3330 → 3350
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3320 – 3325
SL: 3330
TP: 3310 → 3295 → 3280 → 3265
✅ SUMMARY
Gold is currently experiencing a correction after a solid rally, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. Macro-economic factors, including the Fed’s policies and geopolitical risks, are likely to drive gold prices higher in the future. However, short-term fluctuations should be expected as the market tests key resistance and support levels.
Traders should focus on well-defined entry and exit points within these key levels and maintain a disciplined risk management strategy.
Gold Trade Plan 09/06/2025Dear Traders.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis | 1H Timeframe | June 9, 2025
Price has recently broken below the ascending trendline and filled a nearby gap, now retracing back toward the broken structure zone. Two key scenarios are in play:
🔹 Alternative 1: A rejection from the broken resistance area could trigger a bearish continuation toward the demand zone around $3,260–$3,240.
🔹 Alternative 2: If sellers fail to defend this level, price may push higher to test the $3,420–$3,440 supply zone.
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $3,360 and $3,420–$3,440
Support: $3,260 and $3,190
📉 The RSI is hovering in the neutral-to-oversold range, signaling indecision in momentum.
📌 Summary:
Traders should monitor how price reacts to the current resistance zone. A clear rejection could validate the downside scenario, while a breakout may open the door for a bullish continuation.
Bullish bounce for the Gold?The price is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,320.80
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 3,320.80
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support leve.
Take profit: 3,364.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold Eyes ATH Amid Escalating Geopolitical TensionsGOLD – OVERVIEW
Commodities, particularly gold, are experiencing strong bullish pressure due to escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of negotiation or de-escalation, the ongoing conflict continues to fuel safe-haven demand. As long as geopolitical risks remain elevated, bullish momentum in commodities is expected to persist.
Technical Outlook:
Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3404. Holding above this level supports a continuation toward the ATH at 3486, with potential extensions to 3529 and 3560. A retest of the 3404 support remains possible, and an opening gap toward 3486 cannot be ruled out. Overall, the prevailing trend remains upward.
A bearish scenario would only be valid if tensions in the Middle East ease significantly or if negotiations between Israel and Iran begin.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3431
• Resistance: 3486, 3529, 3560
• Support: 3404, 3381, 3347
Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones.
🔍 Technical Structure:
Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines.
A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential.
Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups.
🎯 Key Buy Zones:
✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly.
Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift).
✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support.
Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves.
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question.
Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers.
📈 Trade Signal:
Bias: 🔵 Bullish
Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412
SL: Below 3,395
TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470
R:R: ~1:3
Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385
SL: Below 3,368
R:R: ~1:4
🧠 Final Note:
Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
XAU/USD (Gold) – Short Setup Within Ascending Channel🕒 30-Minute Chart | 🗓️ June 12, 2025
Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds consistently. Currently, price has:
🔹 Rejected the upper boundary of the channel.
🔹 Formed a possible double-top or liquidity sweep, suggesting a potential short-term top.
🔹 Entered a supply zone, marked in red, where selling pressure has re-emerged.
🔹 A strong bearish engulfing move indicates sellers are regaining control.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry : Near 3,385–3,390 USD (supply zone rejection)
Target : Lower boundary of the channel around 3,324–3,318 USD
Stop Loss : Just above the recent high (~3,413 USD)
📌 Volume Profile: Visible volume nodes show heavy activity near 3,375 USD and 3,360 USD, which might act as interim support.
📉 Bearish bias until price either :
Breaks below the mid-channel zone (~3,360 USD), or
Reclaims and holds above the red supply zone.
🧠 Watch for reactions at key support levels – if buyers return, it could signal a channel continuation instead of a full breakdown.
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY Gold has shown a strong bullish push, breaking above recent consolidation and approaching a key resistance zone around $3,376. ⚔️ This area will be decisive — if price holds above it and confirms support, we could see a further rally toward $3,404. 📈✨ However, failure to sustain above this level could trigger a bearish rejection, pulling the market back toward the $3,330–$3,340 range. 📉🔄 Traders should wait for clear price action confirmation before entering. React, don’t predict! 🎯🧠
Gold price analysis on June 9The D1 candle on Friday broke the sideways structure and confirmed the downtrend for Gold prices.
Gold prices pushed up quite high in today's Tokyo trading session after touching the Gap zone around 3395.
With this upward force, 3319 will be available at the end of the Asian session. This zone can wait for a reaction and SELL can return because this is the zone where the Sellers pushed the price down at the beginning of the session. The European session will pay more attention to the 3334 zone with a break out point that is also quite important. The upward force will be stopped by the Sellers at the daily resistance level around 3345.
SELL is following the trend and can sustain the profit far away, while the BUY points are considered to find the reaction wave to increase and correct. The first zone is 3295, the second zone is around 3275.
Wishing you a successful trading day
BEST XAUUSD BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📉📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Key Levels in Focus! 📈🧐
Gold is currently trading around the 3,326 zone after a recent pullback. Price is approaching the key support level at 3,310, where a potential bullish bounce may occur, targeting the next resistance near 3,350. 🛑 However, if price fails to hold above 3,310, we may see further downside movement towards the 3,293 support. 📉 Traders should watch for reaction and confirmation around these zones before taking entries. ⚠️💡 A bullish reversal could trigger strong buying momentum, while a bearish break may lead to deeper correction. 🎯💰
I am waiting for SELL here with wave 5 catching strategy In the Kitco survey, Wall Street analysts were divided on the direction of gold prices this week. Fifty percent of experts expect prices to rise, 43 percent expect prices to fall, and 7 percent believe gold will move sideways. This reflects a generally cautious sentiment as there is no clear factor to promote a new trend.
Some experts still lean towards the uptrend as gold holds important support levels and remains a safe haven amid geopolitical uncertainty. Others predict a correction in gold prices due to positive signals from the White House about the possibility of reaching trade agreements and the recovery of US stocks.
In addition, there are also neutral opinions that gold is unlikely to continue to rise sharply without further momentum, especially when stock indexes are more attractive to investors.
James Stanley, senior strategist at Forex.com, remains optimistic, saying that gold is making a technical correction to continue the larger trend. He believes that the $3,300 and $3,280 zones will be important boundaries to watch.
What do you think about this strategy?
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
Safe-Haven Demand Expected to Push Gold Prices Toward 3500Last week, intensifying conflict between Israel and Iran triggered a strong wave of risk-off sentiment in the markets.
As a result, we saw sharp rallies across major safe-haven assets and crude oil.
Over the weekend, tensions continued to escalate and even showed signs of further expansion.
Under such circumstances, it's clear that heightened geopolitical risk will continue to support gold prices.
However, 📍$3500 remains a major resistance zone at the moment.
If gold spikes to this level intraday, it’s very likely we’ll see a short-term pullback —
Whether due to profit-taking, cautious positioning by sideline capital, or selling pressure from trapped shorts above 3490,
⚠️ this kind of correction is a natural market reaction — driven by human nature.
Even with strong risk-off demand in place, after a $200 rally,
the market is still subject to volatility from profit-taking behaviors.
🔑 Trading Strategy for This Week
As long as tensions in the Middle East persist,
🎯 the primary bias remains bullish.
However, the entry point is crucial.
💡 Important notes:
Avoid chasing price after sudden spikes caused by breaking news.
Those spikes are not ideal buy zones — instead, look for short-term selling opportunities at those highs.
Once the price pulls back, assess the retracement level and key supports before looking to buy the dip.
We are now within a historically high price range,
which means any rally could trigger profit-taking from earlier longs.
While the overall trend may still head higher,
⚠️ you need to carefully evaluate the size of potential pullbacks and whether your account can withstand the associated risks.
📊 Technical Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3450-3455 (minor), 3468-3474 (previous high), and 3487-3499 (major historical high)
Support: 3420–3410 zone, and the deeper 3400–3386 range
Stay alert, trade wisely, and remember — in volatile geopolitical environments,
timing and discipline are more important than ever.
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 6/14/2025
In my last week's post, I mentioned that the inverted head and shoulder has been formed and we should see price soaring up as long as 3300 holds. Indeed in this past week, after touching briefly 3300, price went through a few days of consolidation. I almost thought the trend has been reversed. However, I still followed my weekly instinct. And this week closes above 3400. We should see more price pump next week. I am expecting another ATH to at least 3600.
From 2D TF, gold respected the trendline well and I will look for buying opportunity from 3400 next week.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
CPI is coming, which direction should gold go?
True trading masters can maintain inner peace in the hustle and bustle of the market and are not confused by short-term fluctuations. They know that the short-term trend of the market is full of randomness, like ripples on the water, seemingly complicated but difficult to predict. They are like gatekeepers of the mind, with strong determination to resist the emotional interference of the market, and no matter how big the market fluctuations are, they will not let them lose their footing. When others are scared and want to sell their stocks quickly, they can keep their composure; when others are stimulated by the daily limit and want to chase high, they can hold the bottom line.
The international gold price opened at $3,325/ounce and closed at $3,322/ounce on the last trading day. The real part of the daily K-line fell by only $3/ounce and finally closed at the cross line. Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated slightly and closed down, mainly because of the market's attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations. The market generally believes that if the negotiations can ease trade tensions and boost the global economy, it will weaken the demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, the strengthening of the US dollar also brings downward pressure on gold.
Weekly candlestick chart: running in the rising channel, long-term buy on dips
Daily candlestick chart: running in disordered oscillation structure, cautiously wait and see in the medium term
4-hour chart: running in an oscillating bullish trend, short-term buy on dips
30-minute chart: bottom structure established, short-term buy on dips above 3326
Intraday plan to continue to buy in the 3332 area, defend 3325, target 3350-60