GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Another beautiful, bearish rejection from our resistance zone on Gold. Our 1st resistance zone of $3,350 is still holding.
If buyers take out this level, another zone to watch out for is the $4,006 - $4,022 zone as there is a lot of pending liquidity sitting around that zone.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold bulls V-shaped reversal, price is rushing to 3350Gold trend analysis: Geopolitical risks still exist, technical side is strong and volatile
The recent situation in the Middle East presents a cycle of "conflict-easing-re-escalation". After a brief exchange of fire between Iran and Israel, Israel turned to attacking surrounding armed forces, and geopolitical risks have not completely dissipated. Such "deterrent conflicts" may recur, and the support effect of risk aversion on gold will ferment intermittently. The market needs to be alert to sudden events that drive the price of gold to rise in a pulsed manner.
4-hour cycle
Indicator signal: Stochastic indicator golden cross, MACD double lines sticking upward, showing the accumulation of bullish momentum.
Key pressure: 3340 (upper rail of the descending channel), breaking through will open up the upward space.
Short-term support: 3295 (yesterday's top and bottom conversion position), if lost, it will turn to oscillation.
Hourly line pattern
Short-term moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern, the low point of the callback gradually moves up, and the structure is strong.
【Operation strategy】
Main idea: Focus on low-long positions when the market is pulled back, and try to go short with a light position at the pressure level of 3340-3350.
Long order: enter the market at 3300-3305, target 3315-3320, stop loss 3292.
【Risk warning】
If the geopolitical conflict intensifies again, the gold price may quickly break through 3340, and the strategy needs to be adjusted in time.
During the US trading session, pay attention to the impact of US economic data on the US dollar.
Excellent start of E.U. sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife."
I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines throughout Friday's session as explained above however mid E.U. session I have engaged two #100 Lot Buying orders on #3,278.80 few moments ago and closed both of my Scalps on #3,285.80 with excellent Profit.
Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session.
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations
📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week.
Technical analysis:
Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short.
💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
Market Outlook (7/5/2025).Insights on DXY, BTC,SPX,NAS100 & GOLDThis week's chart analysis dives into essential technical patterns and indicators, revealing the behavior and direction of the Dollar Index, Bitcoin, SPX500, NAS100 Indices, and GOLD for the upcoming week! It showcases price trends, support and resistance levels, candlestick formations, and moving averages to pinpoint potential targets. My aim is to decode market sentiment and forecast exciting price movements based on historical data and technical signals. I hope you find immense value in my analysis to empower your trade and investment decisions. Cheers!
Gold Pulls Back After Strong US NFP Data📊 Market Overview:
U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls came in at 147,000 vs. 110,000 expected, strengthening the dollar and reducing expectations for a July Fed rate cut. As a result, gold dropped nearly 1%, trading in the $3,328–3,332 zone
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,350 – $3,360
• Immediate Support: $3,322 – $3,328
• EMA: Price has fallen below the 09 EMA, indicating a bearish short-term trend.
• Candle/Volume/Momentum: A strong bearish candle with increased volume shows significant selling pressure post-NFP
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue its downtrend in the short term if the dollar remains strong and no fresh bullish triggers emerge. A drop toward $3,322–$3,328 is possible.
💡 Trade Ideas:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,342 – $3,345
🎯 TP: $3,322
❌ SL: $3,348
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,322 – $3,325
🎯 TP: $3,345
❌ SL: $3,316
GOLD GOES 'PREPARING FOR SCORCHING-HOT JULY'. UPSHOT OF 1H 2025Gold market shines bright in first half of 2025, with nearly 25 percent year-to-date gain, which becomes one of the best start of the year in history ever following 1H 2016 (became a launching pad for Gold to more than Triple in price over next decade) and 1H 1973 (where Gold bugs sharply skyrocketed to infinity and beyond, printed more than 10x over next decade).
The gold spot market in July 2025 is shaped by both fundamental and technical factors supporting a cautiously bullish outlook.
Fundamental perspectives
Were you ready or not, Gold prices have surged significantly in 2025, driven by persistent global uncertainties including geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Middle East tensions), trade disputes, and inflation concerns.
Central banks, notably the Federal Reserve, are expected to cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset. This monetary easing alongside continued inflation worries and safe-haven demand underpins strong gold fundamentals.
Major financial institutions like J.P. Morgan and UBS forecast gold prices averaging around $3,500–$3,675 per ounce in late 2025, with potential to reach $4,000/oz by mid-2026.
Central bank gold purchases and diversification away from US dollar assets also support demand.
Technical perspectives
Technically, gold has experienced volatile but mostly sideways trading in a roughly $300 range around $3,200–$3,500 since mid-2025, reflecting consolidation after a strong rally earlier in the year.
Key support lies near $3,000 and $3,200 levels (125-Day, or 6-Month SMA), with resistance around $3,500 to $3,800. Indicators such as moving averages and RSI suggest an upward trend with possible short-term corrections.
A breakout above $3,500 could trigger further gains toward $3,800, while a drop below $3,200 may lead to testing $3,000 support.
Overall, July is expected to see continued range-bound trading amid new external uncertainties, with bullish momentum intact.
In summary, gold’s fundamentals remain robust due to macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers, while technicals point to consolidation with potential for renewed upward moves in the July 2025 spot market.
--
Best #GODL wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Xauusd market update This chart presents a 4-hour analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) against the US Dollar, showing potential bullish scenarios based on price zones and market reactions.
Key Insights:
Current Price:
$3,353.31, slightly down 0.11%.
---
Highlighted Zones:
1. Resistance Zone (~$3,420–$3,455):
Price reacted here previously.
Marked as a potential final target for bullish momentum.
2. Mid Supply/Resistance Zone (~$3,370–$3,405):
Critical decision area.
Price might face consolidation or rejection.
3. Demand Zone (~$3,240–$3,270):
Previously respected support.
Ideal area for a bullish reversal if price dips.
---
Projected Price Paths (Black Dotted Lines):
Scenario A (Immediate Bullish):
Price consolidates above $3,350.
Breaks into the mid-zone, then pushes to $3,450 resistance.
Scenario B (Pullback Then Rally):
Declines to the $3,250 demand zone.
Rebounds strongly, breaks mid-zone, and heads for $3,450.
Scenario C (Range-bound):
Multiple bounces between $3,250 and $3,405 before a decisive breakout.
---
Conclusion:
The chart suggests a bullish bias as long as price holds above the $3,250 support zone. Breakout confirmation above $3,405 could pave the way toward $3,450+. However, a drop below the demand zone would invalidate the bullish outlook short-term.
Would you like a trading plan based on these scenarios?
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 3Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3400, support level 3300
4-hour chart resistance level 3382, support level 3327
1-hour chart resistance level 3364, support level 3341
After bottoming out, the lowest point of yesterday's correction, 3327, has become an important support. Today's gold is still a strategy of buying at a low level. This idea can be maintained before the release of NFP employment data. Tomorrow, the US Independence Day will be closed for one day. The NFP data will be released in advance today, and the trading market will be closed in advance.
Judging from the current market trend, today it broke through the previous high of 3357. Today's Asian session slightly rose to 3365 and then quickly fell back to 3341. The low point of the Asian session retracement of 3341 is a small support. The second is the low point of 3333 in the US session yesterday. The support point of 3333/41 can be bought when the European session falls back. The possibility of a unilateral rise in the high point of today before the NFP data is small. I expect it to fluctuate and wait patiently for a pullback to buy. Today's NY market risk is relatively high. Please try to avoid trading during news time!
Buy: 3341near
Buy: 3333near
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK ON/Gold Pullback to Continue ?✅ All 3 pullback zones tagged:
1️⃣ 3295
2️⃣ 3301
3️⃣ 3310
Next:
🔁 If price sustains above 3300, next key sell zone = 3320
🔼 Hold above that? Likely move into 3340s
Still eyeing 3319–3340 Fib zone for next play
#XAUUSD #Gold #Trump #DXY #Optimism #GoldLevels #Commodities
July 1, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis:
The monthly close suggests a reduction in bullish momentum, raising the possibility of stronger bearish pressure ahead.
However, yesterday’s daily close above 3300 indicates bulls still have some control.
Watch 3312 carefully — if price breaks above it, it will confirm a shift towards a stronger bullish trend.
Summary:
Above 3300, the strategy is buying on pullbacks to support.
Below 3300, the plan is selling on pullbacks to resistance.
If price breaks below 3275, bearish strength could accelerate, and future longs will need clearer confirmation.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3350 – Bullish target
• 3338 – Resistance
• 3325 – Key resistance
• 3310–3312 – Intraday key resistance zone
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3283 – Key support
• 3275 – Intraday key support
• 3263 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3298 → target 3292, then 3288, 3283, 3275
• BUY if price holds above 3312 → target 3318, then 3325, 3333, 3340
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/4/2025Yesterday Gold did move up from 3350 to 3365 local high and quickly dropped under 3330. But I see this drop as correction not trend reverse. Right now it has entered a consolidation zone.
Therefore, I am looking to buy from 3300 and sell from 3330. Will trade between these two levels.
XAU / USD 2 Hour Chart Hello traders. I decided to take a small Sell position marked by the red line on the chart. My stop loss is also set. I am using a micro lot size so nothing crazy in case is does not go my way. Let's see if the NY open corrects the overnight's move up. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and thanks for checking out my trade.
Fibonacci Secrets for Traders!
🔵 38.2% - Low Probability:
Not much happens here. Ignore this level.
🟠 61.8% - Good Probability:
A common level where price reacts. Watch for reversals.
🟢 78.6%-88.6% - Very Good Probability:
The “Sweet Spot” or Sell Zone – high chance of price reversing.
🟡 Manipulation:
Price might fake out around 61.8% before hitting the Sell Zone.
💡 Focus on the 78.6%-88.6% levels for the best trades, but always confirm with other tools.
Stay sharp and trade smart! 📈
#Educational
GoldHere's an analysis based on the information presented in the image:
Overall Market Structure (from a quick glance):
Recent Price Action: The price has recently experienced a significant decline, followed by a bounce.
Order Block (OB): There's a clearly marked "4 Hours OB" (Order Block) which is a key area of interest for potential resistance.
Potential Trading Setup:
Entry: The "Entry" price is set at 3,340.00. This entry point is within the bearish order block, suggesting a short (sell) position.
Stop Loss (S/L): The "S/L" is placed at 3,352.00. This is above the high of the 4-hour order block, aiming to limit losses if the price moves against the short position and breaks above the resistance.
Take Profit (Profit): The "Profit" target is set at 3,296.00. This target is significantly lower than the entry, aiming to capture a downward movement.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Risk: The difference between the entry (3,340.00) and the stop loss (3,352.00) is 12 points.
Reward: The difference between the entry (3,340.00) and the take profit (3,296.00) is 44 points.
Ratio: This implies a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3.67 (44 / 12), which is generally considered favorable.
Key Technical Concepts Illustrated (from the inset image):
The smaller inset image on the left illustrates concepts commonly used in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or Institutional Order Flow (IOF) trading:
Order Block (OB): A price range where significant institutional buying or selling occurred, often leading to price reversals. The red box indicates a bearish order block.
Entry: The point at which a trade is entered.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) / Imbalance: An area on the chart where price moved quickly in one direction, leaving an "inefficiency" or gap that price often retests.
CHoCH (Change of Character): An early sign of a potential trend reversal, indicating a shift in market sentiment.
BOS (Break of Structure): When price breaks a significant high (for a bullish trend) or low (for a bearish trend), confirming the continuation or reversal of a trend. The multiple "BOS" labels suggest a series of lower lows, confirming a bearish trend.
BERISH DISPLACEMENT: Implies strong bearish momentum leading to lower prices.
PRLII S: This specific acronym is not universally recognized but could refer to a specific pattern or setup within the trader's methodology, possibly related to liquidity or price action.
Conclusion/Potential Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook for XAUUSD, with the trader looking to short Gold at the retest of a 4-hour bearish order block. The setup has a favorable risk-reward ratio. The concepts in the inset image provide a theoretical framework for why this particular entry and targets might be chosen, based on institutional trading principles. The current price is at 3,322.285 at 08:33:38 +04, which is below the proposed entry, suggesting this might be a setup that the trader is waiting to happen or a retrospective analysis of a potential trade idea.
XAUUSD 01.07.2025-Formation of the market:
On the background of general cooling of geopolitical situation gold continues its fall to the levels of 3250. The main preference of market participants is now given to less "conservative" assets, which is clearly reflected in the record values of cryptocurrency and stock market.
-Forecast:
In the medium term, capital outflows are likely to continue and the asset will again test the 3250 level as support.
-News Background:
There will be many "strong" news releases this week that could be a strong driver of movement for the asset:
Today:
-ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS Job openings.
Thursday:
Unemployment rate, and Non-Farm Payrolls.