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Gold’s Week Ahead: Structure, Scenarios, and What to WatchChart Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is at a critical juncture. The recent action shows a completed three-wave correction, and price is now setting up for what could be a powerful motive wave. My primary scenario is a bullish move once the current structure matures, but I’m also tracking alternate counts—flat, triangle, and double zigzag—all of which still point to at least one more push higher. Why This Count? The leading diagonal (5-3-5-3-5 or 3-3-3-3-3) for wave 1 fits the textbook, with wave 4 overlapping wave 1—a classic Elliott Wave signature. The three-wave correction appears complete, which often signals the start of a new impulsive sequence. I’m watching for confirmation: a completed corrective pattern and a strong move off the lows. What’s Next? If the correction finishes and price holds above the wave 1 low, I’ll be looking for a long setup targeting the 100% or 1.618 extension of wave 1. Invalidation is simple: if the wave 1 low breaks, the count is off and I’ll reassess. I’ll wait for structure to complete before entering—patience is key.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RealWaveTrader-
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)If you remember on my last analysis I said we need to see Gold surpass $3,400 & CLOSE ABOVE the 0.365% zone, in order to confirm strong bullish intent. Otherwise, we’ll see a melt back down. Market didn’t close in the orange 0.365% zone, which of course led to a sell off on Thursday & Friday. However, we still remain in bullish territory on an internal structure, as long as Gold is above $3,246 so let’s see who takes the reign!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by BA_Investments
Adjusted down 3385 at the beginning of the week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) climbed toward $3,445 during the early Asian session on Monday, marking their highest level in over a month as mounting tensions in the Middle East and growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut bolstered demand for safe-haven assets. Despite stronger-than-expected US economic data on Friday, investors remained focused on geopolitical risks. The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for June jumped to 60.5, well above the consensus forecast of 53.5 and May’s reading of 52.2. However, markets largely shrugged off the data. Instead, attention turned to the escalating conflict in the Middle East, where Israel’s recent strike on Iran has intensified fears of broader regional instability. In response, Iranian authorities warned they would “respond firmly to any adventurism,” reinforcing gold’s appeal amid global uncertainty. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: At the beginning of the week, gold prices adjusted slightly down, returning to the liquidity zone of 3385, before continuing the uptrend. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3462- 3464 SL 3469 TP1: $3450 TP2: $3440 TP3: $3430 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3390-$3388 SL $3383 TP1: $3400 TP2: $3410 TP3: $3422 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Gold contained within a rangeTechnical analysis: Recovery continuation on Gold throughout one of the most Volatile weeks of #Q2 (at least for now), in configuration (which should be Technically Bearish for Gold) on the E.U. opening aftermath, where Bond Yields (# -1.10%) possibly reached the Bottom and are currently on aggressive takedown path at the moment, which is adding constant Buying pressure on Gold. Uptrend on Gold is stalled as news hit all market classes and trend Intra-day shift on both DX and Bond Yields on spiral downtrend may constantly accelerate Gold upwards and touch #3,332.80 - #3,342.80 Resistance zone. I will continue Trading Gold within well known range as long as DX is Trading on Neutral numbers. Fundamental events should appear as relief news (at least for Gold’s Buyers) and make DX break well defined Support fractal and Gold to gain (much more attractive for Investors which are and will be looking for safe-haven assets in High demand), but configuration went other way around, and not to calculate more, there is the rule which I mention constantly (what was the Support, becomes the Resistance and vice-versa), I am a bit surprised that Gold recovered this much without a catalyst and #3,342.80 Medium-term Resistance almost got tested and invalidated on multiple occasions will shift Gold from Neutral to Bullish on Short-term. I will monitor the situation and will await for confirmation of a breakout (either below the Hourly 4 chart’s Support or Daily chart Resistance). My position: I have re-Sold Gold firstly on #3,327.80 and #3,338.80 throughout yesterday’s session and closed both of my orders on #3,324.80 which was tested on late U.S. session. Nothing new personally as I am Trading / continue operating within #3,302.80 - #3,342.80 Neutral Rectangle with my aggressive stronger Lot Scalping orders as I believe we might be contained within mentioned belt a while.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
Gold Wave Analysis – 13 June 2025- Gold recently broke resistance level 3400.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 3500.00 Gold recently broke the resistance level 3400.00 coinciding with the resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from April. The breakup of the resistance level 3400.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the middle of May. Gold can be expected to rise to the next major resistance level 3500.00 (former monthly high from April. which stopped the previous impulse wave (3)).
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
XAUUSD is over bought on weekly Timeframe As we took buy on 1st attempt at 3435 towards 3460 although our TP is missed by 10 pips at 3448 . -Currently market Is not crossing 3445 barrier -Although this pump is because of War Escalation . - if we narrow down weekly Timeframe Gold is over bought. We're still focusing on buying on dips 3390-3380 will be my main area of buying. Keep in mind we have to get confirmation 1st before buying. All the enteries should be taken if All the rules are applied #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
Gold Hits All Targets with 500+ Pips – Eyes Now on $3420By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price moved exactly as expected and successfully hit all four targets — $3367, $3380, $3391, and $3400 — reaching as high as $3403 and delivering over 500 pips of return. After sweeping the liquidity above $3400, the price corrected back to around $3370. Currently, gold is trading around $3380. If the price can hold above the $3370 level, we can expect a continuation of the bullish move toward the $3420 area. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
11
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 09 - Jun 13]OANDA:XAUUSD fell more than 1% on Friday (June 6) due to the unexpected US non-farm payrolls data for May. Spot gold closed at $3,309.84/oz, up 0.8% on the week. Although gold failed to break above the $3,400/oz resistance and may fluctuate in the $3,300-$3,400/oz range in the short term, the market's resilience and long-term uptrend remain solid. Meanwhile, silver and platinum outperformed, hitting 13-year and 3-year highs, respectively, on investment demand and expectations of supply shortages. Gold prices rose significantly on Monday last week and hovered at highs ahead of the release of non-farm payrolls data from Tuesday to Friday, reaching $3,403.48 an ounce on Thursday. The latest data showed that the US added 139,000 non-farm payrolls in May, beating market expectations of 130,000, the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2% and wage growth beat expectations. This reduced the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in the near future, pushing the US dollar and US bond yields higher and putting pressure on gold prices. OANDA:XAUUSD received initial support above 3,300 USD/ounce, indicating that the market still has buying support, but the resistance level of 3,400 USD/ounce is difficult to overcome in the short term and 3,200 USD/ounce is the main support level, more detailed technical analysis will be sent to readers in the following part of the article. However, since the raw price points are still related to fundamental analysis, I personally think that the price declines can be seen as an opportunity for gold to hold at lower prices, the long-term uptrend is fundamentally unchanged and central bank gold buying and a weaker dollar will continue to support gold prices. Despite the rise in risk assets such as stocks, gold has shown resilience. Central bank demand for diversified reserves and market risk appetite will continue to support gold prices, underscoring its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Market Background and Outlook The labor market is slowing steadily and the Federal Reserve is likely to continue to wait and see, with the likelihood of a near-term rate cut low. The May CPI data next Wednesday (June 11) will be in focus. If CPI rises, it will push the US Dollar higher and further depress gold prices. If CPI is weak, it could help push gold prices higher. Geopolitical and trade factors: Trump's call with Xi Jinping on Thursday did not bring any clear progress on trade. If the tariff news worsens, this could boost demand for gold as a safe haven. On the other hand, the outlook for the Middle East-US, Ukraine-Russia talks is also not getting any better, any negative signs on the geopolitical front next week will also boost gold prices to recover. Economic data and events next week Wednesday: US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Thursday: US Producer Price Index (PPI), Weekly Jobless Claims Friday: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index 📌Gold prices fell sharply on Friday as it retested the $3,371 target level, which is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, but failed to break it. The bearish momentum took gold towards an area where there are several important supports such as the $3,300 price point and the confluence of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level with the 21-day EMA. Although gold has fallen, its current position still has enough conditions for bullish expectations in the near term. And in terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still above 50, and in this case, 50 is considered the nearest momentum support. As long as gold remains in/above the price channel, its main long-term trend is still bullish, in the short term if gold remains above the base price of 3,300 USD, it still has an upside target at 3,371 USD followed by the base price of 3,400 USD. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,300 – 3,292USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3345 - 3343⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3449 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3227 - 3229⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3223
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Evening gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 Impact of news: 1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them 2. Geopolitical situation 3. Federal Reserve political expectations 📈 Market analysis: Gold rebounded as expected and touched the 3330 line. In the short term we need to pay attention to the 3335 line. On the one hand, it is the top and bottom, and on the other hand, the annual average line is also the pressure point of the upper track of the downward channel. Once it is suppressed below 3335, it will continue to fluctuate downward. If it unexpectedly breaks through 3335 or even 3340, then 3293 is likely to become the short-term bottom. At present, the rise has slowed down after rising to 3330, and the technical side shows a top divergence signal, so in the short term, we still maintain the idea of ​​shorting at a high level of fluctuation. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3335-3345-3355 TP 3310-3300 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD Analysis - Can buyers push toward 3,470$?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently moving within a well-defined uptrend channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers are maintaining control, indicating a strong possibility for further price increases. The price recently broke through an important resistance zone and has now come back to retest it. Should this level hold as support, it will strengthen the bullish trend and enhance the likelihood of reaching the 3.470 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. As long as the price stays above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains valid. However, a failure to sustain above this level could invalidate the bullish thesis and increase the chances of a deeper pullback. Always ensure to confirm your setups and apply appropriate risk management strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jessica_Paul
Lingrid | GOLD trend Continuation Targets April High RetestOANDA:XAUUSD has reclaimed the 3,350 level following a successful retest of the upward trendline, sustaining a bullish channel structure. After multiple breakouts and a clean consolidation above previous resistance, price is setting up for a potential move toward the 3,500 mark. A pullback and bounce near 3,330 would reinforce this bullish continuation scenario. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 3,338–3,345 Buy trigger: strong bullish candle above 3,365 Target: 3,500 Sell trigger: break below 3,338 with volume 💡 Risks Rejection near 3,365 could delay breakout Breakdown below 3,338 weakens bullish trend Consolidation flattening may reduce momentum burst potential Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
18
Accurately capture golden trading opportunitiesBased on the current trend, it is recommended to focus on low-long operations, but be wary of the market repeating the pattern of the previous few days of high-rush, wash-out and fall. From the perspective of key points, 3360 has been converted from a previous resistance level to a support level. At the same time, the hourly line forms an important support near 3358. If there is a stabilization signal at this position, it can be regarded as a good opportunity to go long. However, if the market falls below the 3356 line, it is not ruled out that the price will further fall to around 3345. This position is the key long-short watershed during the day. Once it is lost, the short-selling force may increase; in extreme cases, if there is a deep wash-out, the gold price may even pull back to 3325. For the upper resistance, pay attention to 3395-3405 first. If it can break strongly, it can further look to 3414. Based on the above analysis, the trading strategy is as follows: If gold falls back to the area near 3345-3355 and does not break, you can consider arranging long orders; When the price rises to the area near 3395-3405 and does not break, you can try to arrange short orders. When operating, be sure to strictly set stop losses and control risks. Today's market trend is completely in line with the predicted rhythm, with a clear shock structure and flexible response around key points. With precise layout based on two-way thinking, we can achieve a double kill of long and short positions and a steady harvest. If your current gold operation is not ideal, and we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment, please feel free to communicate with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild bullish move)(03-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (03-06-2025) Current price- 3355 "if Price stays above 3332-35, then next target is 3365, 3375, 3400 and 3432 and below that 3320 and 3310 ". -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnupZiddi
22
Gold Price Analysis June 11Yesterday's D1 candle was still a balance candle closing below the important breakout zone 3347. Today's Asian session saw strong buying pressure pushing the price back close to the important resistance zone in shaping the trend. At the end of the Asian session, it failed to break 3342, giving a SELL signal to 3327 The breakout zone 3310 is also very important to wait for price reaction for BUY scalping points. 3295 is an important daily support zone. If there is a price slide from 3295, do not BUY until it touches the support zone 3275. In the opposite direction of today's Break 3345, wait for 3363-3365 to SELL. The 3345 zone is considered a Breakout zone when broken to trade BUY.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold fluctuates, awaiting CPI data.In Asian trading on Wednesday, traders are awaiting the release of the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. Estimates suggest that prices are likely to rise as American households feel the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. But the easing between the world's two largest economies should have an adverse impact on safe-haven assets such as gold, and the lack of a downward trend in gold prices suggests that investors are waiting for more developments. In terms of short-term trends, the gold 1-hour chart shows that gold prices remain in an upward channel with a low point. So from the trend, the current momentum for gold to rise will be stronger. The price pullback is giving opportunities to go long. The change of thinking is actually following the trend. For the current operation, enter the market with the trend, and cover the position when it falls back or break through the profit position to cover the position. In a strong market, during the correction phase, the price is rising, and the amplitude of the correction is often small. The bulls retreated at the opening to accumulate momentum. Above is the pressure level of 3350-3360. Once it breaks through and stabilizes, it will accelerate the upward trend. Just follow the general trend of the market. Operation strategy: Go long when the price falls back to 3310-3320, stop loss at 3300, and profit range is 3345-3360.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
What May Happen Next In Long Term?Looking at where we are in the trend on the daily chart, I think we are in the correction of the uptrend and the last movement we are in is a triangle. Triangles like the one in the figure, after completing 5 waves, break on the barrier forming side of the triangle in wave number 6. Therefore, I expect a bullish breakout from these levels. This move may also exceed the previous high; however, it is too early to say that this is exactly the target at the moment. I think the first target is the 3414-3335 range.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by ForexFox_SA