GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down the key forces pushing gold to record highs. Learn how factors such as US-China trade tensions, global inflation pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty—combined with a weakening US Dollar and safe-haven demand—are reshaping the gold market.
In this quick analysis, we cover:
🔹 Inflation & Economic Uncertainty: How rising prices and central bank policies continue to drive interest in gold.
🔹 Trade Tensions & Geopolitical Risks: The impact of US-China disputes and global instability on market sentiment.
🔹 US Dollar Weakness: Why a softer USD is making gold a more attractive asset for international investors.
🔹 Technical Insights: Pinpointing key price levels and exploring potential trend continuations or reversals ahead of US retail sales data.
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Constantly assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
GOLDCFD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Complete correction on the move here from Gold! Markets are extreme but there are pips to be had as long as you're trading the extreme levels. We mentioned in the morning review that the bias level was 3130 bearish below, which got a tap and bounce for over 150pips but then we flipped, and what a flip. As soon as Excalibur triggered, we mentioned not to test the level again, and then went on to complete all the bullish targets, plus the Excalibur targets up into 3172 where some got another short opportunity.
Now, a really interesting play, we're stretched but we have a key level above at 3190-95. That could be the extension of the move over the Asia session so it's a level to keep an eye on for the RIP, unless broken. Otherwise, we need to break above the recent high to go higher and the retracement tomorrow can take us down as low as 3130-35!
It's going to be interesting to see how we close. For us, we've done our job, tomorrow we'll clean up and prepare for next week.
From Camelot this morning:
Price: 3108
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bearish below 3130 with targets below 3104 and below that 3095
Bullish on break of 3130 with targets above 3135✅, 3143✅ and above that 3150✅
RED BOXES:
Break above 3110 for 3120✅, 3127✅, 3130✅ and 3142✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3096 for 3085, 3070 and 3065 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Potential Reversal in Gold After Completing Widening Formationhello guys!
The 4H Gold/USD chart exhibits a classic Broadening Formation (also known as a Megaphone Pattern), marked by higher highs and lower lows, reflecting increased volatility and market indecision. This pattern is identified with three key swing points on both the upper and lower trendlines:
Point 1 and Point 2 formed the initial boundaries of the pattern.
Point 3, recently touched, completes the structure by testing the upper boundary of the formation near $3,238, suggesting a potential bull trap, as illustrated in the schematic overlay.
just look at:
The price has sharply rallied to the top of the widening pattern, aligning with the third high, often a strong signal for reversal in this setup.
A rejection from this level is anticipated, supported by the bearish projection arrows targeting multiple demand zones.
Bearish Target Zones:
$3,180 – $3,160: Previous consolidation zone.
$3,140 – $3,120: Mid-pattern volume area with past price sensitivity.
$3,060 – $3,040: Major support zone with a strong volume node and previous reaction area.
Volume Profile Insight:
The volume profile shows significant activity in the $3,040 zone, reinforcing it as a major demand area where buyers might step in again.
__________________________
Summary:
This setup suggests a potential bearish correction after a strong upward move. If price action respects the pattern, traders may look for short opportunities from current levels with the outlined targets. Watch for confirmations such as reversal candlesticks or breakdowns of minor support levels.
GOLD - Price can rise a little and then correct to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price traded inside a rising channel, showing steady growth and holding above support levels.
Later, Gold made several breakouts from local resistances and continued to rise within the channel borders.
Eventually price reached the upper edge of the channel and formed a local top around the $3238 level.
Recently, it made a short-term pullback and now trades just above $3165 support zone without momentum.
Currently, Gold stays in the upper part of the range but shows early weakness after a strong bullish rally.
In my opinion, Gold can decline and reach the $3140 support level during the next corrective wave down.
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#XAUUSD: $3400 On The Way! Get Ready For Record High! Gold has rebounded to previous highs, maintaining a bullish trend. We expect it to continue this momentum, potentially reaching $3400 in the long term. To set take profit, consider $3250, $3300, and $3400. Use accurate risk management and conduct your own research before trading gold.
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Team Setupsfx_
GOLD: In-Depth Fundamental and Technical AnalysisGOLD: In-Depth Fundamental and Technical Analysis
🚨Please be careful
I don't know what else to add because you can see how the market is acting irrationally from Trump, China and maybe other hidden transactions that I discussed earlier. (Hedge funds, Central Banks etc)
This is not a normal volume driven by fear of recession. This is nonsense.
As long as none of the economies faced recession during Covid 19 and during the Ukraine - Russia war when Inflation reached 10% for almost all major economies, then recession is just a big speculation.
All the major economies are doing well, interest rates have been reduced a lot and also the inflation rate for many of them is close to or in the target zone for many Central Banks.
Recession is just the topic of the day. That's all in my opinion.
✅Protect your accounts and limit trading - This is my most sincere advice to all of you until we have a normal market❤️
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Lingrid | GOLD sideways CONSOLIDATION with BULLISH PotentialAs expected, OANDA:XAUUSD price continues to move sideways after the bullish momentum in the market. The price is still trading within the Friday and Monday range zone. The market may consolidate for a couple of days, however, if the market pulls back below the last 2 days' low and upward trendline, I think there is a great chance of price rebound and further upward move. Another scenario is triangle formation or rising wedge pattern near the current resistance zone. Despite this, I expect the price to rebound from the support level around 3170-3180 then continuation. Watch these key levels closely for confirmation of the next directional move. My goal is resistance zone around 3285
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD → Consolidation before the news. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is not going to turn around. The level of economic risks is still at a high level and the price may continue to rise, but after the end of consolidation.
Gold is back to a record $3,246 despite calm markets. Lower US bond yields and a pause in capital withdrawals are supporting demand for protective assets.
Uncertainty around Trump's tariff policy and expectations of a Fed rate cut are driving prices higher. Additional support is provided by inflows into Chinese ETFs and expectations of Chinese GDP data. Further gold movement depends on headlines on tariffs and Fed rhetoric.
Technically, the focus is on consolidation 3244 - 3187 and internal support level 3208.
Resistance levels: 3244, 3270
Support levels: 3208, 3187
The market is likely to be in consolidation until tomorrow, when important economic reports will be published. But nevertheless, there could be strong movements intraday due to various factors. I expect to see a retest of support at 3208 or 3187 before further upside. But, consolidation near 3244, breakout and consolidation above the level may give a chance for growth
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We started of with our bearish target hit at 3230 followed with ema5 cross and lock below 3230 opening 3201, which was hit perfectly and followed with the weighted bounce of over 40 pips inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will now either look for support above this Goldturn level for a continuation above or a cross and lock below 3201 will open the Goldturn level below.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3261
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3261 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3292
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3292 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3324
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3352
BEARISH TARGETS
3230 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3230 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3201 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3021 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3179
3152
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3167 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3120
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3069 - 3038
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a mild correction now)(11-04-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (11-04-2025)
Current price- 3232
"if Price stays below 3250, then next target is 3222, 3200, 3170 and 3130 and above that 3270 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our week chart idea, which has been playing out perfectly allowing us to track the movement down and trade the movement up.
Prior to last week, we stated that we had no close above 3094 on the weekly candle, which confirmed the rejection. This weeks candle gave the move into the channel half line, just like we stated and provided the support and bounce into 3094 and 3189. We now have a body clos above 3189 leaving a long range/term gap to 3281
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD: A Huge Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By re-examining the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that the price once again moved exactly as expected and finally managed to rise back above $3100, reaching as high as $3136.5! Currently, gold is trading around $3120, and I expect we will soon see further decline in gold. The potential downside targets are $3115, $3105, and $3100 respectively. This analysis will be updated again!
The Last Analysis :
Gold’s Bearish Analysis Remains Intact Gold’s Bearish Analysis Remains Intact
Analysis: Gold went into a deep correction, which was expected, but the recent surge wasn’t. After President Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs, gold suddenly jumped in price—an odd reaction, considering the market was given time to breathe.
Despite this unexpected move, the bearish trend is still intact. If gold breaks above 3167, it would likely be due to manipulation rather than news-driven movement.
For now, the chart still suggests a high chance of gold moving lower.
Support zones can be found near: 3054; 3000; 2925 ; 2840
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
P.S.: If you don't like the analysis, skip it.
It's only for those members who want to learn and want to have a different perspective on how gold can develop. This is not trading advice
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing this chart idea last week, we stated that we wanted to continue to share an update on this, as its still playing out by falling back into the range.
We also stated that whenever we see a breakout outside of our unique Goldturn channels; I always state that, when price does a correction, we look for support outside of the channel top.
- This played out perfectly, and although we saw price break back into the channel, you can see ema5 failed to break into the channel and created a Goldturn just above the channel top, highlighted by the circle, confirming the rejection and bounce into the bullish targets completing the levels above.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. This enabled us to identify the fakeout into the channel using ema5 and gave the confirmation for the bounce.
This chart idea is now complete!. We will now update a new daily mid/long term chart idea next week.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Faces Key Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 XAU/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025
Gold has recently seen a strong rally, reaching an all-time high of $3167 per ounce. However, it encountered significant resistance at the upper boundary of its ascending channel, leading to a sharp pullback after the release of strong U.S. employment data, which boosted the dollar and exerted selling pressure on gold.
Currently, gold is trading around $3050, with key support levels at $2956, $2860, and $2790, which could act as potential bounce points if the decline continues.
📈 Current Market Structure:
After reaching the all-time high, the price has corrected lower. As it approaches the support levels mentioned above, the market may see fresh buying opportunities if these levels hold strong.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
$3100: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a resumption of the uptrend.
$3167: All-time high. A breakout above this level would open the door for further gains.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
$2956: First support. The price may bounce at this level if it holds.
$2860: Major support. A failure to hold above this level could lead to further declines.
$2790: Strong support. A drop below this level would signal a shift in the market's direction.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
As the price approaches key support levels, there could be reversal patterns forming, indicating a potential price bounce. It’s crucial to monitor the price action at these levels to spot potential entry opportunities.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If gold manages to hold above $2956 and bounce, the uptrend may resume toward the resistance levels mentioned above.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If gold fails to maintain the key support levels, the correction could continue, with further declines toward lower support levels.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is currently testing crucial support levels. Monitoring how price behaves at these levels will be key to determining the next direction. Traders should keep an eye on any economic developments that may affect market sentiment.
💬 What’s your outlook for Gold? Will it continue its uptrend or experience further corrections? Share your thoughts below.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would stick with the NFP move and look for price to continue long looking for our target region 3050-55. We were already in the move with the trades protected, however, on open we did get closed at BE only to be able to get a better entry from the undercut low. After the break of the key level and on the flip we managed to then continue with the move upside completing numerous Excalibur targets as well as our bias and red box targets upside.
I can’t say that was an easy week, the move was huge and thankfully we managed to stay the right side of it guided by the in-house indi’s and Excalibur.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Although further upside is likely, we can’t long here as it’s too dangerous after that stretch last week. So let’s see how the market opens and if the Asia session attempts to test that high again. It’s the first level of 3230 that needs to be watched, support here can push us back upside into the above the key level of 3250-55 which is our ideal level for the hunt. If we can stay below that level we could see a RIP and price attempt the correction many traders are looking for in the early part of the week. The lower levels 3220 need to break as well as then the hurdle of 3210 which will make the correction easier.
Due to low volume news next week, we could see a lot of ranging in anticipation of some geopolitical news which will bring sudden spurts of volume and the movement that we want to see.
3190 is the key level support and also the pattern test region, traders should keep an eye on this level of support for any RIP’s and potential for upside, so if attacked a bounce around there should be on the cards. It’s simply a red box break and close week this week, monitoring the price action and only looking for the longs if we get pullbacks, otherwise, 1-2 decent short opportunities should be enough for the short week.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3265 with targets below 3220, 3210. 3197, 3190 and below that 3170
Bullish on break of 3265 with targets above 3276, 3280, 3285 and above that 3292
RED BOXES:
Break above 3250 for 3255, 3261, 3269, 3275 and 3290 in extension of the move
Break below 3230 for 3220, 3210, 3206, 3195 and 3180 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the upper boundary of the channelGOLD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic resistance.
The chart formed a harmonic pattern, and after testing the channel it formed a long legged doji and a bearish takeover.
We expect a correction.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Min Buy Setup: Bullish Breakout with High Risk-Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Indicators:
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,170.78 (long-term trend indicator)
EMA 30 (Red): 3,231.53 (short-term trend indicator)
---
Key Levels:
Entry Point: 3,226.55 (highlighted with a blue arrow and line)
Stop Loss: 3,213.38 (purple zone bottom)
Target (Take Profit): 3,272.25
---
Trade Setup:
Type: Long (Buy) Position
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Risk: ~13.17 points (from 3,226.55 to 3,213.38)
Reward: ~45.7 points (from 3,226.55 to 3,272.25)
R/R Ratio: Approximately 3.5:1, which is favorable
---
Market Context:
Price is curren
Buy the Dips Towards 3080 – Gold Builds a Strong Base 🟡 What happened with Gold (XAUUSD) yesterday?
In yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that I was bullish on Gold, expecting a resumption of the upward move with targets extended to 3080 and interim resistance at 3050.
Although the price rose, it found strong resistance at the 3020 zone, which prompted me to close my buy trade with around 400 pips profit (although I was aiming for closer to 1k pips).
Afterward, the market started to drop and breached under 3000 again.
However, once the price reached the 2970 zone, bulls entered the market strongly and pushed the price back above 3000.
❓So now what? Is the correction over or will it continue?
Looking at the chart, we can clearly see two things:
✅ A solid support has formed around 2960-2970 zone
✅ A double bottom is in the making, with a well-defined neckline at 3020
________________________________________
📌 Why the bullish bias remains valid:
• 2960-2970 proved to be a strong demand zone
• Price reclaimed the 3000 level after the dip
• Double bottom structure is forming = possible breakout ahead
• 3020 is the key level to break for continuation
________________________________________
🎯 Trading Plan:
The preferred strategy remains:
➡️ Buy the dips
🎯 Main target: 3080
❌ Invalidation: daily close below 2960
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD SHORTSolid market moves the past few days, I thought it was going to continue and it was safe because market started to stabilize again. However, as expected, one word from Trump and made the market spiraling again. Because of the hold on tariff announcement, we are now back to 3170 level again. Howver, for me, moves like these are always good opportunity for retracement. Opening at 3170// first TP at my prev opening then final at 3000 so we can still be in profit and croos out the previous one. setting a long SL on this one just to be sure at 3270. Let's see how this rolls
Day210f100
L:6
W:5
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important support & resistance levels/zone on Gold for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold - Just Half Way To The Target!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) still has a lot more upside potential:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we saw an almost incredible breakout rally of about +75% on Gold. However, looking at technicals, there is a quite high chance that Gold will actually rally even more and retest the next upper resistance trendline, which would mean another pump of about +75%.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD (XAUUSD): One More ConsolidationSince Friday, Gold has been consolidating in a horizontal channel on an hourly chart.
If you are looking to buy Gold this week, wait for a breakout above the channel's resistance. It will initiate a movement higher, at least to 3260.
On the other hand, if there is a bearish breakout below the channel's support, this can trigger a local correctional movement, at least to 3190.
It is best to wait for a breakout for reliable confirmation before making any trades.