xauusdstill in wave 3 and this can push 4.618 although it seems high and 3300 will be a target of interest. we have rteraced almost 50% of last cycle and an extension is on. We have broken out of channel and retested lets see
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold Rebound Looms: Don’t Miss the $50 OpportunityDuring his ongoing speech, Powell mentioned that tariffs may push inflation higher in the coming quarters. While inflation is currently close to the 2% target, it still remains above it. The market has already begun to anticipate a Fed rate cut, which is a potential bullish signal for gold.
From a technical perspective, the recent drop has partially corrected the previous bearish divergence. However, the divergence on the 1D chart still requires more time to be fully resolved.
At the current level, gold appears oversold. I do not recommend chasing short positions here. A short-term rebound is very likely, with a potential upside target between 3078-3096. If you manage the trade well, there’s an opportunity to capture at least $50 in profit.
If you’re currently holding long positions that are under pressure, stay strong. Don’t give up before the dawn — yesterday was a great example of why persistence matters.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Friday. I am not taking any trades today. I caught 2 good scalp trades this week and being Friday, and with all the volitility I am going to sit this one out. Saying that, I have marked the area of interest for a push down or another push up to take out anyone who caught the short trade from the overnight sessions. Let's see how things play out over the next hour or so as Pre NY volume comes in. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets all my thanks and a shout out.
4.4 Gold is low and long, wait for non-agricultureYesterday, the gold market opened at 3134.1 in the morning. The market first fell back to 3122.6 and then rose strongly. After breaking the previous high, it reached a high of 2167.9. After that, the market began to fall under the cooperation of fundamentals and technical profit-taking. The intraday low was 3053.6. After that, the market rose strongly and reached 3135.8 before consolidating. The daily line finally closed at 3114.1. The daily line closed in a spindle shape with a very long lower shadow. After this shape ended, after the break of 2940 and 2958, the long positions were reduced, and the stop loss was followed up at 3050. If it falls back to 3082 first today, the long stop loss is 3075. The target is 3115 and 3132. If it breaks, the target is 3140 and 3150.
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Wave 1 'Impulse Move' has moved very nicely to the downside & more is yet to come. So far the Wave 1 sell off has consisted of a 2,100 PIP move to the downside.
I'm now waiting on a Wave 2 correction of some sort, weather that's a 'Simple 3 Sub-Wave' or 'Complex 5 Sub-Wave' correction. During this correction I can enter more sell positions on behalf of my Gold Fund investors.
we are long now againI am considering buying XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar) based on a trendline analysis.
Key Considerations
1. Trendline Confirmation: Ensure the trendline is confirmed by multiple data points.
2. Support and Resistance: Identify key levels that may impact price movement.
3. Market Conditions: Consider broader market trends and relevant news or events.
Trading Strategy
1. Entry Point: Determine your entry point based on the trendline analysis.
2. Risk Management: Set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk.
Additional Insights
1. Technical Indicators: Use indicators like Moving Averages or RSI to gauge momentum and volatility.
2. Chart Patterns: Look for patterns that may support or contradict the trendline analysis.
Mon 7th Apr 2025 XAU/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAUUSD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Gold crash Q3 & Q4 2025, rebound in 2026Last time Gold hit an RSI of ~85 was the first half of 2008, when it crashed 31% (a high of $988 to a low of $681) during the 2nd half of the year, only to rebound to new highs the following three years. History could begin to repeat this year.
Gold Wave Analysis – 4 April 2025
- Gold broke daily up channel
- Likely to fall to support level 3000.00
Gold recently reversed down from the resistance level 3150.00 (which formed the daily Bearish Engulfing) and broke the sharp daily up channel from February.
The breakout of this up channel added to the bearish pressure on Gold – accelerating the active downward correction to the higher-order impulse wave (3) from November.
Gold can be expected to fall to the next round support level 3000.00 (which stopped the previous short-term correction iv).
Gold priced in Canadian Dollars now above $4500.Unfortunately, the low risk entries are way past us
Gold priced in Canadian Dollars now above $4500.
Those that bought much lower can still ride the trend upwards.
Those on the side lines might want to wait for a safer entry point.
Gold on aggressive upside continuationTechnical analysis: Gold is showing increasing Buying presence on Monthly chart as it is virtually unchanged (the #1M candle at # +9.02% currently) as Price-action is on parabolic uptrend within April’s High’s and February Low’s. This has effectively constructed an series of green candles on Daily chart hence the Bullish values on Hourly 4 chart which was an ideal Buying opportunity for Short-term Traders however for Sellers, Gold is struggling to stage more serious correction. Personally I remain on Medium-term Buying set-up as Weekly chart (#1W) remains heavily Bullish (#1W chart on (# +3.27%)) indicating that the latest consolidation was simply another accumulation and distribution phase of Bull market.
My position: My Medium-term Buying orders (#3 Buying orders from / engaged at #3,052.80 benchmark breakout) each #3.5 Volume are currently on excellent Profit as I will look to close them as near as #3,152.80 benchmark. On the other hand, I am successfully Buying every dip lately and my last order was yesterday's session #3,110.80 Buy which was closed in Profit. Keep Buying every dip as I advised many times on my recent remarks.
Structural analysis and operation suggestions after gold washAnalysis of gold market trend: Gold fluctuated quite a lot yesterday. It rose at the opening yesterday, rising to nearly 60 US dollars, and then fell back after being blocked at the 3167 line. However, it fell below 3100, and the lowest to the top and bottom conversion was around 3054, a drop of nearly 114 US dollars. Beyond expectations, it pulled back to 80 US dollars, and the daily line finally closed with a cross Yin line. The rapid roller coaster is too scary. The market volatility is too large, so you can only watch more and do less. If you encounter non-agricultural data, according to yesterday's trend, the market may not be so big today. After all, it has already ended yesterday. When the price fell sharply, and then there was a sharp rebound to stand firm at 3100, the market of gold yesterday was thrilling, a super roller coaster, and the difficulty of gold operation has increased a lot. However, this kind of market is rare after all. After the ups and downs of gold, it will return to normal. Although today's non-agricultural data, I personally tend to fluctuate in a large range. It is estimated that it will not break yesterday's high point or yesterday's low point. If combined with silver, gold is still oscillating and bearish. At present, it should peak in the short term, and it will choose a direction after a correction.
Gold technical analysis: Therefore, gold is not as strong as before, so it is possible for gold to rise or fall in this state. Pay attention to the previous high of 3150 on the upside, and pay attention to the gains and losses of 3055 on the downside. The 4-hour cycle has cleverly entered the oscillation range. Although the market has gone out of the big drop space, the 4-hour cycle Bollinger has not opened, and the moving average system has not diverged. The effective range for the time being is within 3085/3135. Therefore, if there is no large fluctuation on Friday, you can refer to the range of the 4-hour cycle to do high-altitude and low-multiple transactions. The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern, but the gold bulls are not very strong. Of course, there is also the impact of non-agricultural data. It is expected that after the big rise and fall on Thursday, the impact of Friday's data will not be great. Before the release of non-agricultural data, we should operate in the range of 3120-3066. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3120-3125 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3054-3066 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. We must control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders.
Gold operation strategy: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebound near 3120-3125, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3085, break to see 3065 line;
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3070-3065, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3090, break to see 3110 line;
Gold is expected to strengthen further before non-farm payrollsIn today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3150-3160, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3110-3120. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3150-3155, stop loss at 3162, target around 3135-3130, and look at the 3125 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3125-3128, stop loss at 3090, target around 3140-3150, and look at the 3155 line if it breaks;
Gold hits new highs this weekThe 1-hour moving average of gold crosses upward, the bulls diverge significantly, the price fluctuates greatly, and both the rise and fall exceed 20 points. Risk control is very important now, especially avoiding leverage orders and operations without stop loss. The upper resistance is at 3145-3148, and the lower support is at 3120-3117. In terms of operation, it is recommended to mainly do more on callbacks, supplemented by rebound high-altitude strategies.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3122-3117, stop loss at 3111, and the target is 3147-3145, and the target is 3160.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 3144-3150, stop loss at 3155, and the target is 3130-3120.
Gold market analysis, gold operation strategy and trend analysisGold early layout plan: intraday top and bottom capture is perfect! The strategy layout is truly presented, the strategy prompts shorting at 3135, accurately cashing in the high point, and falling sharply to 3070! Continue to arrange 3072 long positions to smoothly stop profit and exit at 3086.
Gold fell by 110 yesterday and rebounded by 80. Today it fell by 30 and rebounded by 50. The volatility is too big. However, the risk comes first. Strictly set a stop loss. Loss of $5-$20 makes no difference. It is not a big loss. Secondly, grasp the key points. Pay attention to a few points of non-agricultural data and cooperate with the five-minute entry on the right side. As for long and short, it is really not very important. What is important is the key position and starting point. After multiple cycles of quantification, pay attention to a few important points at night. After the operation is in place, enter the market with the resonance of one minute and five minutes. The loss is 5-6 points, and the target is 15-20 points.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3018-3025, and the loss is 3005, and the target is 3035-3045
Gold next move (weekly forecast)(24th Mar - 28th Mar-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the week (24th Mar - 28th Mar-2025)
Current price- 3028
immediate support= 3015-18
immediate resistance= 3035-38
1st scenario
"if Price stays below 3042, then next target is 3018, 3005, 2992 and 2978"
2nd scenario
if price breaks the resistance level and closed above 2942, then the next target will be 3052, 3065, 3087.
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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Gold: supported by uncertaintyThe price of gold reached the new all time highest level on Friday, at the level of $3.084. As uncertainty regarding trade tariffs and other geopolitical risks strongly holds on financial markets, the investors continue to invest into a safe-haven asset. But it also means that as long as this uncertainty is high, the price of gold might reach even higher levels in the future period. During the previous week the PCE data for March were posted as well as increased inflation expectations of US consumers, through Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The US equities sharply dropped on the news, while the price of gold continued its strong uptrend.
The RSI tried to start a path toward the downside, however, the indicator turned for one more time toward a clear overbought market side, by reaching the level of 73 on Friday. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without any indication that the cross might come anytime soon.
The long term trend line, started from highs in April and October 2024 is on the test now. The price of gold perfectly collides with the historical highs, and now is at the level which will either be broken, or the price of gold will continue to follow this long term trend line. In case that the price continues with the higher grounds, then it will enter into uncharted territory. If the price reverts, then the first short term stop might be around $3.010. The week ahead will show which direction the price of gold has chosen.
Gold Outlook: Bullish Momentum Ahead – Key Insights from Recent Gold remains bullish, driven by increasingly negative economic indicators. February brought a wave of weak economic data, a rise in layoffs, and a steep drop in consumer sentiment—now at its lowest level since February 2021. These developments point toward growing recession risks, which continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
In recent sessions, we observed a mix of profit-taking and rollover activity, with fresh positions being opened in the $3005–$3015 range. This zone now reflects strong speculative interest, suggesting that new capital is positioning for a further move upward.
Based on current market structure and positioning, gold looks set for a potential 1000 pip move, which could begin as early as today.
To summarize:
Price should hold above $2010 from here.
I’m already long from $2005.
Focus only on buy opportunities at this stage.
If you’re serious about learning how real analysis is done and how professionals track market behavior—stay tuned, and good luck! 🚀
#Gold #XAUUSD #Recession #BullishView #MarketInsight
Gold's 4-hour range has been broken, waiting for further declineTechnical analysis of gold: Gold continued to fall in the US market, and the price continued to return to the low point of the Asian market. The rise was not continuous, and the impact of tariffs remained. The market reported that the tariffs would be suspended for 90 days. It can be seen that US stocks, crude oil, gold and silver all rose rapidly, and then it was confirmed to be false news, and then fell back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to be sold. However, the current fluctuations are too fast and the amplitude is too large. Short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, followed by the position. In other words, gold will continue to fall sharply. Gold continued to rebound at the opening today. The rebound amplitude actually exceeded our expectations, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuations are relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is caught in a large range of fluctuations, but the overall trend is still bearish. The US market rebound is still bearish.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to cross the downward short divergence, and the short force has not weakened; the rebound is still short. Although gold rushed up after filling the gap in 1 hour, the upper shadow line quickly came down. The overall situation is still weak. It is under pressure near 3050 in the short term. The US rebound is under pressure at 3012 resistance, so it can continue to be short. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it will eventually rush up and fall back. Gold is still the home of the shorts. However, it is now volatile. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound, and the volatility should not be underestimated. However, the thinking is still to maintain a high-altitude thinking. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold today is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3012-3015 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2950-2956 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation.
Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: short gold rebound near 3012-3015, stop loss 10 points, target near 2980-2970, break to see 2956
Long order strategy: long gold callback near 2953-2956, stop loss 10 points, target near 2970-2980, break to see 3000
GOLD --> Reducing "shock" makes many people bewilderedHello, dear friends, it's great to see you again to discuss gold today.
Yesterday, gold just experienced a "shocking" price drop. The precious metal plummeted vertically from 3136 to 3015 USD, equivalent to more than 800 pips in just a few hours when the market announced the news.
The recent continuous decline in gold is believed to be due to the release of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Specifically, the positive Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report with 228,000 jobs (forecast of 135,000) created optimism about the U.S. economy, strengthening the USD and pushing gold prices down. Escalating trade tensions due to Trump's announcement of new tariffs also made traders worry about a global economic recession, leading to panic and gold sell-offs to cover losses from other assets.
From a technical perspective, the decline in gold is marked by the formation of a price channel and signs of a reversal from the EMA 34, 89. The recent bottom formation is considered a short-term correction, and the current price adjustment is expected to continue until it reaches the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.5 - 0.618. We can expect gold to continue declining after this consolidation phase. Selling is the preferred option, my friends!
What about you? Do you think gold will continue to fall?
Gold ideas/scenarios for Tuesday April 8th
📉 Intraday Bias: Bearish below 2980–3000 supply
🔻 SELL SCENARIOS
🟥 SETUP 2: Liquidity Spike Short
📍 Entry: 3010–3015
🧠 Why: Liquidity hunt above 3000 + bearish FVG
🎯 TP1: 2975
🎯 TP2: 2940
🛑 SL: 3019
🟥 SETUP 3: EMA Fade Shot
📍 Entry: 3035–3040
🧠 Why: EMA50 touch + trendline confluence on H1
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 2950
🛑 SL: 3046
🟩 BUY SCENARIOS
🟩 SETUP 1: Discount OB Bounce
📍 Entry: 2945–2955
🧠 Why: M30 OB + FVG + golden fib (0.618)
🎯 TP1: 2990
🎯 TP2: 3030
🛑 SL: 2938
🟩 SETUP 2: Demand Retest Play
📍 Entry: 2905–2915
🧠 Why: H4 OB + prior bounce structure
🎯 TP1: 2960
🎯 TP2: 3000
🛑 SL: 2895
🟩 SETUP 3: Deep Demand Sweep
📍 Entry: 2885–2895
🧠 Why: HTF demand zone + imbalance + psych level 2900
🎯 TP1: 2950
🎯 TP2: 2980
🛑 SL: 2878
⚔️ Key Levels to Watch
🔸 2980–3000 → OB resistance
🔸 2960–2950 → Reaction zone
🔸 2915 / 2890 → Liquidity pools
🔸 3045 → Bearish bias invalidation
🔸 2880 → Final boss demand
🧠 Execution Tips
Let price come to you — snipers don’t chase.
Watch M1–M5 for CHoCH or clean PA shift.
Trade the setup, not your FOMO.
💬 Gold might throw tantrums, but your plan doesn’t have to.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
📣 If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow.
Let’s build a community that doesn’t gamble — we execute.
No panic. No rush. Just structure, strategy, and savage entries. 💛
Tax hikes put the dollar's credibility in doubtThe risk aversion in the early trading pushed up the gold price, but the bulls failed to continue and the gold price fell back after rising. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour gold price is above the moving average and the bullish trend remains unchanged. Structurally, the rise of gold prices is symmetrical in time and space, and the early decline is in line with expectations. The current upper resistance is at 3137-3141, and the lower support is at 3111-3106. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on long positions on callbacks and auxiliary on rebounds from high altitudes.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3105-3100, stop loss at 3092, and the target is 3130-3150.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 3139-3144, stop loss at 3150, and the target is 3120-3105.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Although a choppy week to start with, we managed to get our move down which stopped short but gave a a fantastic pip capture, then based on the bias of the week managed to complete all our bullish targets plus the Excalibur targets that activated. Red boxes again played their part giving us precise entry and exit level activating and hitting their own targets, the best of which gave us over 300pips on the capture.
Now, end of week, we have support below 3075 and resistance on the fight for the close 3090. Too high to attempt the long, in the middle to attempt the short. So we'll wait and see how the market closes and come back on Sunday with the KOG Report and our view for the week ahead.
Wishing you all a great weekend.
As always, trade safe.
This weeks targets completed:
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 3040 with targets below 3010✅, 3006✅, 2997, 2985 and below that 2978
Bullish on break of 3040 with targets above 3050✅, 3055✅, 3063✅ and above that 3067✅
RED BOXES:
Break above 3037 for 3040✅, 3047✅, 3050✅, 3055✅, 3063✅ and 3066✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3010 for 3006, 3000, 2997, 2990 and 2985 in extension of the move
