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XAU/USD 4H Timeframe AnalysisXAU/USD 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis: On the 4-hour (4H) chart, XAU/USD (Gold) is currently in a consolidation phase, where the price is ranging within a defined level. We have identified three minor key levels during this consolidation period that are acting as crucial points for both buyers and sellers. Minor Support Key: At 2.630, the price has shown a tendency to find support from buyers who pushed the price upward, leading to a retest of the next minor resistance level at 2.660. Minor Resistance Key: At 2.660, the price has faced resistance and pulled back, suggesting indecision in the market. We expect that after testing the resistance, the price will likely break below the support key to potentially hunt for liquidity, particularly stop-loss orders placed by buyers. Price Action Expectation: Given the recent price action, we anticipate that the price will move back to the minor support key at 2.630 before a potential breakdown below it. Once this occurs, we expect the price to continue lower, breaking through the support level and targeting liquidity zones where stop-loss orders from buyers may be positioned. In a bullish scenario, if the price manages to break the minor resistance at 2.660, the market could continue its upward movement. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Sell Stop (Breakout) Entry Price: 2.617.30 (below the minor support key at 2.630 after a confirmed breakdown) Stop Loss: 2.654.10 (within the liquidity zone above the minor resistance at 2.660) Take Profit: 2.590.00 (potential target at the next support level) Fundamental Correlation: Gold prices are influenced by a variety of factors, including inflation data, geopolitical tensions, and monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve. In the near term, market sentiment may drive price movements. If there are any economic data releases or shifts in risk sentiment, they could play a role in either supporting or weakening gold prices. Conclusion: XAU/USD is currently consolidating, and the price movement between 2.630 (minor support) and 2.660 (minor resistance) suggests that traders should monitor for a breakdown below 2.630 for a potential sell setup. A confirmation of a break below this level will provide an opportunity to enter short, with a target at the next support. Risk Management: As always, ensure proper position sizing and maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2 or higher. Adjust your trades according to real-time market conditions and economic events that may affect the price of gold.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by RebornFXTrader
Xi says no one can stop China's 'reunification' with TaiwanGold, the perennial safe-haven asset, is poised for a significant rally in light of Chinese President Xi Jinping's recent assertive comments on Taiwan's "reunification." His declaration that "no one can stop China's reunification" signals potential geopolitical volatility that could fundamentally shift global risk sentiment and elevate demand for gold. Key Drivers of a Potential Gold Rally: Geopolitical Uncertainty Xi's statement escalates tensions between China, Taiwan, and Western powers, particularly the United States, which has pledged support for Taiwan. Geopolitical risks often lead investors to seek shelter in gold, anticipating potential economic disruptions or conflict. Weakening US Dollar Gold prices typically move inversely to the US dollar. Heightened geopolitical risks could weaken the dollar as global confidence falters, amplifying gold’s appeal. Markets may also price in a dovish Federal Reserve stance if instability impacts global growth, further supporting gold prices. Market Volatility and Flight to Safety Equity markets often react negatively to geopolitical tensions. A sustained risk-off sentiment could funnel capital into gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against uncertainty. Institutional Investment Demand Rising tensions may prompt institutions to increase gold allocations to hedge against geopolitical and macroeconomic risks, bolstering upward momentum. Central banks, particularly in Asia, could also accelerate gold purchases to diversify reserves amidst regional instability. Conclusion: President Xi’s statement marks a critical juncture in geopolitical dynamics, with potential ripple effects across global markets. If tensions escalate or uncertainty deepens, gold could embark on a massive rally, propelled by heightened demand as a safe haven, weakening dollar dynamics, and technical tailwinds. Investors should closely monitor developments in the Taiwan-China situation and position themselves accordingly to capitalize on what could be the start of a historic bull run for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZILATRADES
XAUUSD Trade Setup - January 2025This chart outlines a potential trading setup for XAUUSD. The price is currently forming a wedge pattern and approaching key Fibonacci levels. Immediate resistance lies around 2,650, coinciding with the 1.272 Fibonacci extension. A potential breakout towards 2,665 (1.618 extension) is anticipated if the price sustains above the 2,650 zone. However, a retracement towards 2,625 or lower levels within the wedge may occur before the next upward move. Key support levels to monitor are 2,600 and 2,575 in case of bearish pressure. This setup suggests a bullish bias with cautious monitoring of price action and confirmations before entering trades
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by the_pamungkas
World gold price todayOver the past 10 years, January has typically been the best month for gold. However, Low said that is not necessarily true in the post-pandemic era when countries are still struggling. He pointed out that while recent data shows that Chinese gold demand has been strong over the past 12 months, some US factors could hold back gold prices this month. Investors are still looking at the hawkish factors at the US central bank’s final policy meeting of the year, he said. The revelation that the Fed will slow its pace of rate cuts this year has put the US dollar in a good position, which is not very positive for the precious metal. Another issue Low noted was that the technical outlook for the yellow metal had deteriorated somewhat over the past week. He observed that prices had fallen below the 100-day moving average for the first time in more than a year. Although prices have rebounded in subsequent sessions on the back of buying from investors, he noted that this is also a negative sign for gold.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
My perception of GOLDFront Month Comex Gold for January (new front month) delivery lost $12.30 per troy ounce, or 0.47% to $2606.10 today Down for two consecutive sessions Lowest settlement value since Thursday, Dec. 19, 2024 Off 6.54% from its 52-week high of $2788.50 hit Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024 Up 30.94% from its 52-week low of $1990.30 hit Wednesday, Feb. 14, 2024 Rose 26.36% from 52 weeks ago Off 6.54% from its 2024 settlement high of $2788.50 hit Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024 Up 30.94% from its 2024 settlement low of $1990.30 hit Wednesday, Feb. 14, 2024 Off 6.54% from its record high of $2788.50 hit Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024 Month-to-date it is down 1.92% Year-to-date it is up $543.70 or 26.36%
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JoshZedFX
SMC Trade Idea: Bearish Setup on Gold (XAUUSD) Market Overview: External Range: Bearish (2651-2584) Internal Range: Bullish Key Observations: Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming: Price is showing signs of retracing to the right shoulder around 2623. Liquidity Zones: Multiple 15-min Order Blocks and liquidity levels identified. Trade Plan: Short Entry: Around 2623 (Right Shoulder Zone) Stop Loss: Above 2628 Take Profit: Targeting lower liquidity zones around 2604, 2598, and 2593 Confirmation Signals to Watch: Bearish rejection at 2623 Market structure shift on lower timeframes (5m/1m) Liquidity sweep above the shoulder zone This setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles, focusing on key order blocks and liquidity zones. 💬 Drop your thoughts below and follow for more trade ideas! 🚀📈 #SMC #TradingStrategy #Forex #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcepts
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mr_Babz
How to trade gold better after the holidays? Combining the above picture, it is not difficult to see the absolute randomness of the market. The current trend of gold prices is still in a rebound trend after falling. Clearly there is a long opportunity, but where is the specific buying point? Some people may choose to short. Of course, these are all executable operations. I tend to go long on gold. The short-term upper resistance is at 2645 or above, which is the front dense trading area, and there is a certain selling pressure. The support below is at 2610-2600. The support strength at this position is relatively large. The importance of integer level support. According to the absolute contingency of the market. Plus the bullish trend. Going long in batches is likely to win. Close the order according to your expected profit. There are no heavy factors on the news for the time being. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision before Christmas is a heavy bomb, I believe everyone has seen it. But there is no similar news in the short term. Moreover, the deliberate proxy of geopolitical wars will lead to an increase in demand for gold prices, and the gold price will definitely rise all the way with rising risk aversion. So going long is a wise choice. Maintain the above support pressure before breaking the range, and you can do some high-selling and low-buying. Replan after the range is broken. Stay tuned for updates. This way you won’t miss out on real-time analysis. If you are a novice trader, this is a good learning opportunity. If you are a long-time trader, you can also follow the insights to get some trading opportunities. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1!
TVC:GOLDLong
by Newbie-Trading-
Gold - Potential buy for Gold. SL is always set up there. Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trade on what we see the price movement on chart. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position. This ensures every trading position is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by QQGuo-Shane