U.S. stocks are closed, how to operate gold volatility📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold has maintained a volatile pattern recently, lacking a sustained unilateral trend. The unclear short-term direction of DXY has limited the volatility of gold. The market has repeatedly shown a mixture of high-rise decline and downward recovery. It is unable to effectively break through the previous high and lacks the momentum to break downward. The short-term pressure during the day is concentrated on the 3340-3345 line, and the upper middle track is at 3350. If it fails to effectively break above 3350, then gold may fall further. On the contrary, if it can stand above the middle track 33350, then gold may rise further. The short-term support below is near the 3323 line. If it fluctuates during the day, maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3320-3310
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLDCFD trade ideas
XAUUSD – Bearish Month?🧭 Fundamental Bias: Bearish (-7/10)
– 🔥 NFP beat: 147K vs 110K → Fed cuts unlikely soon
– 💵 Dollar & Bond Yields UP
– 📈 Risk-on (Stocks ATH)
– 🛢️ Oil dropped = easing inflation
– 🏛️ No fresh Fed dovish hints
– 🕊️ Geopolitics stable for now (Iran/Trump)
📍 Technical View:
Price consolidating under supply zone (~3330).
Xauusd Expecting Selling movement Gold XAU/USD on the 15-minute chart shows a clear rejection from a key resistance zone near $3332 $3335 marked by the blue rectangle Price initially spiked into this zone but quickly reversed forming a bearish engulfing pattern highlighted with a red circle indicating strong selling pressure
Following this rejection the market structure shifted to lower highs and lower lows suggesting the beginning of a bearish continuation pattern A temporary pullback occurred but failed to break above the previous swing high reinforcing bearish sentiment
Projected Move
Price is currently forming a descending pattern and is expected to break lower
Target 1 $3312 a key support and previous consolidation level.
Target 2: $3295 a stronger support zone highlighted by the black box likely the final bearish target if momentum continues
Conclusion
As long as the price remains below the resistance zone bearish momentum is favored. A clean break below $3312 could accelerate the drop toward the second target Watch for confirmation with bearish candlesticks and volume near support levels
Gold Price Analysis – Bullish Momentum Holds Above FVGs🧠 Chart Breakdown:
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: $3,340
Trend: Short-term uptrend intact
🔑 Key Observations:
Ch.o.Ch Confirmed (Change of Character):
The break above the previous structure high confirmed a bullish market structure shift.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
Multiple FVGs exist between $3,320 – $3,335, acting as potential demand zones and support levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Price is respecting the 0.382–0.5 levels ($3,336 – $3,330) well so far.
Below this, the 0.618 level at $3,325 is the next strong confluence zone.
Trendline Support:
The price is testing a rising trendline, adding dynamic support around the current level.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is above the cloud, which supports the bullish bias.
Conversion line (blue) and base line (red) are bullishly aligned.
📉 Possible Next Moves:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Price bounces from current levels or slightly lower ($3,336–$3,330) and retests the recent high (~$3,355).
Breakout above $3,355 could open the door to $3,370+.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below $3,330 and the trendline, expect deeper pullbacks to:
$3,325 (0.618 Fib)
Then possibly $3,308 FVG support or $3,258 major demand zone.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is still respecting bullish market structure with healthy pullbacks into support zones. As long as the price stays above $3,325, the bullish outlook remains valid. Watch for bullish reaction near the FVGs or a break above $3,355 to confirm upside continuation.
July 2, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis:
Yesterday’s rally was extremely strong, breaking above 3351, a key level I’ve been watching this week — clear sign of bullish dominance.
The swing from recent lows to highs has spanned over 100 points, a move similar to past NFP weeks, where strong rallies early in the week sometimes led to sharp drops post-NFP release.
However, it’s important not to trade based on assumptions or dreams — strategies must adapt quickly to real-time price action and data.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3375 – Resistance
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3358 – Yesterday’s high
• 3350 – Resistance
• 3337 – Important support
• 3325 – Key support
• 3310–3312 – Intraday key support zone
• 3300 – Psychological level
📈 Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3340 → watch 3337, then target 3335, 3330, 3325
• BUY if price holds above 3344 → watch 3347, then target 3350, 3352, 3355
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE area? Holds or not??#GOLD ... Perfect holdings of our upside resistance area that was actually 3357
And now market just at his current ultimate supporting area, that is 3336-37
Keep close that area and if market thold it in that case we can expect again bounce otherwise not.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 3336-37
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. We had a nice push up during the overnight sessions. I would think that we will be pushing back down at some point. I marked my area of interest. Many times the NY session will undo what happened overnight. So I expect a nice push down. We may poke up a bit more, but for me, I am looking for scalp sells if the set up comes to fruition. This is just my speculation and idea but not advice to go clicking the buy or sell button. I will wait half the week to take one trade. BIg G gets my thanks. Let's see how things play out. Pre NY volume start coming in about 20 minutes from this writing. ( 7:20am est) Thanks for checking out my chart. Remember I said we may push up a bit more but I am looking for gold to potentially move down to correct the move up and take out anyone in Long positions in profit. Let's see if my analysis is on point today.
Xauusd market update today This 2-hour chart of CFDs on Gold (TVC: XAU/USD) shows a bullish reversal pattern with price currently at 3,346.197, up +43.277 (+1.31%). Here's a breakdown:
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Support Zone (~3,240): The price reversed from a strong demand zone around 3,240, forming a "V"-shaped recovery.
Breakout of Previous Resistance (~3,320–3,340): Price broke above recent consolidation, indicating bullish momentum.
Next Resistance Levels (Marked by Yellow Boxes):
Near-Term: ~3,360
Mid-Term: ~3,400
Extended Target: ~3,440 (top supply zone)
🔁 Two Possible Scenarios (Marked by Dotted Arrows):
1. Bullish Continuation: Price targets higher zones around 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440.
2. Bearish Rejection: If price fails to hold above 3,340, a retracement back to 3,240 support is possible.
📊 Current Momentum:
Strong bullish candles suggest continued upside pressure.
If the momentum holds above 3,340, bulls may drive it toward 3,360 and beyond.
Let me know if you'd like entry/exit strategies or confirmation with RSI/Fibonacci levels.
The bull market is too fierce. How to solve the short position?📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
📈 Technical Analysis:
The conflict between Iran and Israel has stopped for a while, but there is a possibility of it breaking out again. There is a possibility of triggering risk aversion in the short term. From a technical perspective, the 4H MACD indicator shows a golden cross, and the moving average and other indicators are also radiating upward, with a strong bullish signal. The 1H chart Bollinger Bands open upward, and the short-term pressure position is at 3340-3345. The short-term data indicators are seriously overbought, and there may be a profit correction in the short term. Therefore, if you want to short in the short term, you can only consider the 3340-3350 range. In the short term, gold will not usher in a large retracement, and the short-term target is only suitable for looking at 3320-3310. As for the long trading point, it is expected to wait for the European and American trading hours.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Nears Key Rejection ZoneHello all dear traders!
Currently, XAUUSD is still in a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows – a characteristic of a market controlled by sellers. Now the price is rebounding to an important resistance zone – which was previously a demand zone but was broken. It coincides with the EMA cluster and falls right into a technical confluence area. This is a very typical "retest" before the price continues to fall.
If you have experience, you will know: there is nothing more dangerous than buying in a downtrend, just because the price is recovering.
On the macro side, the current context is not favorable for gold: Middle East tensions have temporarily subsided, the USD is recovering slightly, US bond yields are still high, and US inflation data is showing signs of cooling down. That is: gold is losing its role as a haven and a hedge against risks – money will gradually withdraw from gold if there are no more unexpected fluctuations.
Given the convergence of these technical and fundamental factors, I am leaning strongly towards a continuation of the downside, with the possibility of a further decline towards the lower boundary of the channel. Traders should wait for a clear price reaction at the resistance zone – if they see a strong rejection signal (e.g. pinbar, engulfing candle, or exhausted volume), it is a very good opportunity to enter a position.
Gold on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on gold, the price recently swept liquidity around $3,250 and displayed strong signals indicating a potential upward movement. The next target could be around $3,400."
If you need further clarification or have more details to discuss, feel free to share!
XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Possible Break Below Key StructureStructure Overview:
After printing a multi-month high around 3,473, price has formed a clear rounded top followed by lower highs, showing weakening bullish momentum. Gold is now retesting a key structure zone near 3,270–3,275, which has acted as previous support several times.
📉 Key Technical Observations:
Trend: Short-term bearish within a broader consolidation
Support Zone: 3,270–3,250 (watch closely for a break)
Resistance Levels:
Minor: 3,340
Major: 3,390–3,400
📊 Scenario Outlook
🔻 Bearish Bias (Preferred Scenario)
If price closes below 3,270, expect:
Initial target: 3,210–3,220 zone (clean imbalance + previous resistance)
Secondary target: 3,130–3,150 (March structure break zone)
This would confirm a transition into a mid-term bearish leg unless a fakeout occurs.
🔺 Bullish Recovery (Alternative Scenario)
If price reclaims 3,305 with strength:
A move back toward 3,340–3,360 is possible
Needs volume + momentum confirmation, ideally with a bullish engulfing candle
⚠️ What to Watch
Daily candle close relative to 3,270
Reaction at 3,250–3,260 demand zone
Gold often sweeps key lows before reversing — watch for liquidity grab wicks
📌 Conclusion
Gold is sitting at a critical level — a confirmed close below 3,270 could open the doors for a deeper retracement toward March’s breakout levels. Until then, this remains a watch and react environment. Avoid chasing.
Gold in a Shifting Macro Landscape Fundamentals First: Why is Gold Falling While DXY is Too?
Normally, gold and the U.S. dollar share an inverse relationship (which means, when DXY weakens, gold rises). But recently, this correlation has broken down, and that divergence is a loud macro signal.
What’s Happening:
Trade Deal Optimism:
Headlines suggest the U.S. is nearing a resolution with China and other partners. With reduced geopolitical tension, investors are reallocating from safe-haven assets like gold into risk-on trades like equities and crypto.
Iran-Israel Ceasefire:
The temporary cooling of conflict has revived risk appetite. Traders are rotating out of war hedges (like gold and oil) and into tech, growth, and EM plays.
Real Yields Still Elevated:
Despite a softening Fed narrative, U.S. real yields remain positive, keeping pressure on non-yielding assets like gold. The fact that gold couldn't rally even as the 10-year note softened post-Moody's downgrade could be telling.
My Perspective:
This is the first clear signal in months that geopolitical hedging may have peaked. When gold decouples from its safe-haven narrative despite macro uncertainty, that often precedes a structural rotation phase, especially if institutional flows favor equities.
Technical Breakdown
Gold has broken below its 50-day SMA at $3,322 and is trading in the lower third of its 3-month range. While the daily candles show increasing selling pressure, especially on lower highs (a sign of weakening bullish momentum)
RSI : Falling toward 40, with no bullish divergence yet.
Support Level : $3,176: Previous swing low
Resistance Level : $3,444: previous swing high
What This Move Might Be Telling Us
When gold sells off on dollar weakness and geopolitical calm, the market isn’t just relaxing. It is rotating. The de-grossing of gold-heavy hedges: Some hedge funds may be taking profit on gold-heavy exposure from Q1’s rally.
Rise of risk appetite despite cracks: Markets are forward-pricing trade peace and earnings resilience, possibly too early. Gold might not be in trouble, but it’s on the bench. Unless something reignites fear (e.g., Fed policy mistake, Middle East flashpoint, or economic shock), capital may stay elsewhere.
XAUUSD LONG/BUY 1:6RReason for buy
1. Break of structure
2. Corrective structure in play (Running flat)
3. Order block at 3299 levels (POI)
4. Impulsive wave up expected to complete the structure (Expanding flat)
Entry: 3299 (POI)
STOPLOSS: 3272
TAKE PROFIT:
1. 3372
2. 3408
3. 3460
4. 3500
Always use a STOPLOSS
Everybody loves Gold Part 7Great trading last week. Gold really pushing deep into blues.
This week takes a downturn with possibilities highlighted on the chart; all pointing towards LOS (Level of significance). This level is calculated based on previous week high-low values.
Trade parameters:
1. SL: 50-100pips
2. TP: 3-4x SL
3. double tops/bottom (around LOS) are direction changers.
As always price action determines trades
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025XAUUSD 7/6/2025
XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
Back to bullish here on Gold but that comes as no surprise when you look at the higher timeframe trends.
I’m mainly considering long scenarios for the week ahead but let's take a look at two for the week ahead:
4hour bearish continuation - Currently we can see price action broke above 3,320.00 resistance and is currently looking to find some footing. We’re keeping an eye out for higher lows at or near this level to then consider long scenarios. 3,395.000 seems like a good target but gold has potential to go higher.
4hour trend reversal - If we are to consider short positions on gold we would need to see a break back below our 3,320.000 zone. Look for confirmed lower highs below 3,320.000 and target lower key support levels if this happens.