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Short Gold，gold is expected to test 3300 or even 3280 againAlthough gold is currently above 3310, it does not mean that gold has stopped falling and stabilized. As long as gold remains below 3330-3340, gold is still in a weak state, so I think the decline of gold may not be over yet. Judging from the current trend, I think gold will have to retest 3300 at least again, or even around 3280 before it will have a chance to stop falling and rebound. So for the grasp of short-term trading opportunities, I think you can consider shorting gold with 3330-3340 as resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
GOLD Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential 1.Gold is trading around $3,310 after dipping into 3307 per ounce on NFP data report as of close of friday market in june 2025. The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand. 2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday . Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower. However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields. 3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD. When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down. Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside. 4. Interest Rate Differential Impact The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold. Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices. Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying. Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally. The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction. Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%) CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%) CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%) How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts: (1)Monetary Policy Stance The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment. If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. (2)Possible Fed Response The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky. Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy. Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar. (3)Market Implications A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment. Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing. Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength. Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value. #gold #dollar
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
XAUUSD 1H👀 I’m seeing a 1-hour Gold (CAPITAL.COM) chart with: A rising-wedge / broadening-top that’s already broken to the downside. Price currently ≈ 3309, sliding beneath an internal trend-line. Your annotations mark a possible relief rally toward the 3345-3350 supply zone (pink box), then a deeper drop in two legs—first into the 3285-3290 shelf, and ultimately toward the 3240-3250 demand (purple box/long arrow). You’ve shaded risk-reward blocks showing a short setup with a stop around 3380-3400 and targets down to ~3240. Are you looking for a second opinion on the trade idea, position-sizing guidance, or perhaps alternative scenarios? Let me know what you’d like to drill into and I’ll dive right in.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Alpha_Gold_Trader
1
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly Forecast - 16 to 20 June 2025🔥 Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Outlook | June 16–20, 2025 🧭 Macro & Geopolitical Context Israel–Iran war (Operation Rising Lion) has escalated: Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear and missile infrastructure on June 13, followed by Iranian missile/drone retaliation, have sharply intensified regional conflict . The safe‑haven bid is in full swing: spot gold surged toward $3,500, breaking $3,400 last week, driven by risk‑off flows and a weaker US dollar . 🧩 Fundamental Catalysts 1. Fed dovish tilt: May CPI/PPI prints came in soft, lifting expectations for rate cuts. No change is expected at the June 18 meeting, but the Fed’s dot‑plot and Powell’s tone offer upside triggers . 2. Technical breakout: Gold has reclaimed key levels—23.6% Fibonacci (~ $3,377) now acts as support, with the next resistance zones at $3,450 → $3,500 . 3. Bank & analyst sentiment: Goldman Sachs sees potential for $3,700 by year-end; Bank of America projects a path toward $4,000/oz . 📊 Technical Setup & Levels Support: $3,400; next down at $3,377 (23.6% Fibo) and $3,325 (21‑day SMA) . Resistance: $3,450 → major barrier $3,500 (all‑time high). Momentum: RSI around 62—leaves room for further upside . Catalysts to Monitor June 18 Fed meeting: Dot‑plot, Powell’s press conference. Any Iran retaliation or widening of the conflict. Short‑term US data: June CPI, PPI, Retail Sales (especially mid‑week). USD strength or weakness—dollar reversal could clip gold gains. Follow for more updates #XAUUSD #GOLD #Goldanalysis #WeeklyAnalysis #trade
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by RANANADEEMFX
XAUUSD: Geopolitical Tensions & Price Action Strategy In the wake of growing tensions between Iran and Israel, XAUUSD (Gold) has once again become the focal point for many traders seeking stability. Let’s break down the key technical levels and how global events could shape market behavior in the days ahead. Resistance at 3,446.87 – A Barrier to Watch Gold’s price is currently testing the resistance zone at 3,446.87. As the geopolitical situation worsens, we might see an influx of risk-off flows, pushing the price to break past this level. A clear break above would signal further bullish potential, especially if risk aversion continues to dominate global markets. Demand Zone at 3,392.29 – Strong Support The Demand Zone at 3,392.29 remains a critical level. The price has reacted positively to this support area multiple times, suggesting that institutional buying could be taking place in anticipation of further upside or protection against geopolitical risks. Volume Spikes and Market Sentiment Trading volume has been a key indicator of increased market reaction to news. We’ve seen strong volume surges during periods of geopolitical escalation, confirming the heightened market sensitivity. Keep an eye on volume during any major news announcements, as this could provide a clearer view of potential market direction. RSI Analysis: 52.31 – Neutral Momentum The RSI reading of 52.31 reflects a neutral market, neither overbought nor oversold. However, the influence of geopolitical risks means that this neutral stance could shift rapidly, especially if global tensions escalate, causing a surge in Gold’s demand. Strategic View: Bullish Scenario: If XAUUSD breaks above 3,446.87, look for continuation plays as global risks increase. Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold at the demand zone could lead to short opportunities or corrective moves. Traders should remain cautious and adjust strategies accordingly, as geopolitical risks can lead to unexpected market volatility. Stay alert and manage your risk accordingly! Follow @GoldenZoneFX For more content and valuable insights.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenZoneFX
XAUUSD: Analysis June 13This morning, the gold market witnessed a strong price increase after receiving two important news: - US CPI was lower than expected, causing the USD to weaken. - Israel continued to strike Gaza, raising concerns about escalating conflict in the Middle East. 🟨Trend: Strong increase - Break resistance ✅ Potential Buy Zone: 3410 – 3405: This is the breakout zone after the news, you can wait to buy if the price retests. SL 2399 ❌ Potential Sell Zone (exit block or surfing): ✅ 3450 - 3455, SL 3461: Strong resistance, old accumulation zone (according to Bar chart, Resistance is determined at 3,455). If RSI/H1 shows overbought signal, consider taking profit or short Sell.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
1
Gold breaks through strongly and is bullish Gold market analysis and outlook Fundamental driving factors Inflation data and Fed policy The US CPI data in May was lower than expected, reinforcing the market's expectations for the Fed's September rate cut. The US dollar index was under pressure (falling to 98.42, close to a six-week low), boosting the attractiveness of gold. The expectation of a downward trend in real interest rates and the decline in US Treasury yields further supported gold prices. Geopolitical risks Tensions in the Middle East have intensified, and safe-haven demand has surged. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has received buying support. Influence of related markets The weak US dollar (-0.4%) reduces the cost of holding gold, and the volatility of US stocks and uncertainty in trade policies have prompted funds to flow to safe-haven assets. Key technical signals Daily level The price broke through the previous shock range, the short-term moving average was in a bullish arrangement, and the MACD momentum turned strong. Pay attention to the 3390-3400 pressure zone. Yesterday's big positive line closed to confirm short-term strength, and 3385-3400 is the next key resistance zone. Short-term (1H) After hitting 3356 in the early trading, it broke through the high again, showing that the bulls are dominant, and 3355-3360 constitutes the first support of the day. If the price does not break 3355 after the retracement, the bullish structure will be maintained, and the upper target is 3377-3385; after the breakthrough, it can look to the 3400 mark. Trading strategy suggestions Bull opportunities Entry area: 3345-3350 support range. Target: 3377 (Asian high) → 3385 → 3400. Stop loss: below 3340 (to prevent false breakthroughs). Short risk warning If the gold price rises to the 3385-3400 area and is under pressure, you can try shorting with a light position, stop loss 3405, and target 3360. Key risk control position Support: 3345 (strength and weakness dividing line) → 3338 (daily bull defense line). Resistance: 3377 (European session high) → 3387 (previous high concentration area). Conclusion: Gold maintains a relatively strong pattern under the resonance of fundamentals and technical aspects. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks, and it is necessary to be vigilant against the risk of profit-taking at high levels.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Trend_Trading_xau
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYGold (XAU/USD) is showcasing strong bullish momentum after breaking above the key resistance zone near $3,404, now acting as fresh support. 🔄 The price formed a bullish structure with clean higher highs and higher lows on the 30-minute chart, confirming buying strength. 🟣 The marked demand zone around $3,392–$3,404 is critical—if price retests and holds this level, we can expect a continuation toward $3,420 and beyond. 🚀📌 Traders should watch for bullish confirmations on pullbacks to this zone for potential long setups. 🧠⚡
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
XAUUSD Where are we in the Wyckoff cycle?We are between Phase B and Phase C of a potential Distribution on the higher range (around $3400. Here's the breakdown: Buying Climax (BC) and Automatic Reaction (AR) are well-formed. We are now waiting for the confirmation of the Secondary Tests and also a potential Upthrust Actions near the top around $3400 area. Next logical sweep target will be Buy-side liquidity above PDH area. Possibly creating Secondary test for confirmation. Then it should trigger a markdown phase. If distribution fails, Smart Money would invalidate the entire range with a full Breakout + Retest + Continuation above 3,400 but low probability without more volume or wars. Two scenarios here: Bearish (Higher Probability) Idea: Wait for a Secondary Test or Lower High around the resistance/POI near 3,390–3,396 Entry: Short on rejection or bearish M5 structure break after tagging that area SL: Above 3,400 (or 30-40 pips above ST candle wick) TP1 = 3377 (gap close) TP2 = 3360 (Daily Gap) TP3 = 3338 (PDL retest) 🟩 Bullish (Only if invalidation happens) Idea: If we break above 3400 clean and hold on retest, it means Phase D of Accumulation started instead. Entry: Long on retest of 3400 as support SL: Below 3400 TP: Trail it... Stay reactive around 3,390–3,396 for short opportunity only if price shows signs of failure there. By the time it took me to post this idea the price has already move up 100 pips. Trade safely!!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Med_In_Trade
Will gold definitely rise if the news is good? 📊Technical aspects 1. The daily line pattern continues to close. The previous three days relied on the lifeline to lift the space. Now the lifeline position is in the 3317 area, which is close to the early morning low point 3319 and becomes the support range The upper rail resistance position 3405 coincides with the previous high point 3403.5 area Comprehensive support 3317-3319, resistance 3403-3405 2. The four-hour surge of more than 50 US dollars has pulled the pattern upward, but the European session just fell sharply by 37 US dollars, and the market has been pulled back to the exit again. Pay attention to the lifeline position and the double line superposition at 3335-3330, which also coincides with the lower track of the small channel 3330-3325 area, and together become the nearest support area The upper track overlaps with the upper track of the small channel 3370 area Comprehensive support 3320-3330, resistance 3370-3380 Currently, under multiple favorable factors, gold has repeatedly failed to break the previous high (3403). From the technical pattern, it can be seen that the upper resistance line is still strong. On the contrary, the sharp drop just echoes the weakness of the bulls. Gold is still dominated by shorts. Finally, let me talk about the current international situation that is favorable to gold. If you simply trade based on news, I don’t think everyone will become a millionaire by reading the news. 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3370-3385
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
How Gold Could Be Affected by Possible Iran Conflict? Gold begins the new day on a bullish note following escalating developments in the Middle East. Yesterday, markets were focused on the US–China deal. Although an agreement was reached, tariffs but overall trade tensions remain elevated. Combined with the lower-than-expected core CPI, gold mostly moved sideways, apart from intraday noise. However, this could change in the days ahead. US–Iran nuclear negotiations appear to be stalling. A new round of talks is scheduled for Sunday, June 15. The negative newsflow escalated with Iran’s defense minister warned that US bases in the region could be targeted if conflict breaks out. US ordered all non-essential personnel to evacuate and approved the voluntary departure of military family members from the region. Simultaneously, reports surfaced that "Israel is ready to strike Iran." The negative newsflow continued today. The International Atomic Energy Agency passed a resolution declaring Iran non-compliant with its international obligations. In retaliation, Iran announced it would build a new uranium enrichment facility at a hidden and secure location and unveiled plans for new military drills. The timing of this escalation raises the risk of direct conflict. Netanyahu’s government is facing collapse, with the possibility of new elections looming. At the same time, Iran is nearing nuclear weapons capability. While Trump is more openly supportive of Israel than Biden, he is reluctant to involve the US in any direct or indirect conflict. This dynamic raises the chances of an Israeli strike on Iran. Adding to the tension is the upcoming July 9 deadline for tariffs. Trump intends to send unilateral tariff agreements to trade partners with a “take it or leave it” approach. This could sharply increase trade tensions and further support gold prices. Today's news flow is heavily bullish for gold, and the technical outlook aligns with it. The triangle formation has broken, and gold has retested the upper boundary, gaining momentum from that level. If current risk levels remain elevated, especially if multiple strikes on Iran occur, a medium-term move above 3600 could begin. Despite the strong bullish setup, we are in a market where sentiment can shift in minutes, with major news emerging almost daily. In this environment, it's crucial to define key levels and indicators for risk management. At the moment, the 50-day EMA appears to be holding well as a support level. This moving average could be the final line that determines the medium-term direction for gold. If it breaks, the bullish outlook may no longer be valid.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ftdsystem
Analysis of the latest market trends of gold surge and plungeFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3338-45. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend. Gold operation strategy: If gold falls back to 3338-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3329, target 3375-3380, and continue to hold if it breaks;
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MonaBert
XAUUSD: Volatile Uptrend Breaks Through Narrow RangeTechnical indicators are just references for the trend of gold, and the real market movement is driven by market sentiment. The CPI data released today was lower than expected, which is a bullish signal for gold. The information on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond auction released in the evening is bearish based on the data. In addition, news about various geopolitical conflicts are all influencing and driving market sentiment. In the long term, gold is definitely trending upward. For short-term operations, technical analysis needs to be combined with the current market sentiment. Today's various data have caused gold to show a volatile upward trend. After breaking through the resistance of the narrow range at $3,350 and reaching $3,360, it retracted to around $3,320. The current trading range is $3,300-$3,380. XAU/USD buy@3310-3320-3330 tp:3350-3360-3370 sell@3380-3370-3360 tp:3345-3335-3325 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday (June 11), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $3,330 per ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Tuesday as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continued and the World Bank also lowered its global economic growth forecast. Traders are closely watching the Sino-US trade negotiations, the results of which may ease trade tensions and boost the global economy, thereby reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, while the continued rise in US stocks has also suppressed the safe-haven buying demand for international gold.In the past few days, gold has fallen from its recent highs, mainly because the market has optimistic expectations for negotiations between China and the United States and Britain and Russia. If the United States and China reach a trade agreement, it will weaken the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. Gold is a hedge investment tool and usually rises during periods of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. The market is currently focusing on the upcoming US CPI data for May. Expected data show that inflation may rise slightly to 2.5%, with core CPI around 2.9%. If the data exceeds expectations, it may be bearish for gold in the short term; if inflation slows down, it will strengthen the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates this year, which is bullish for gold prices. Technical review: Technical daily chart continues to close with alternating yin and yang cycles, the moving average is glued together, and the RSI indicator runs on the middle axis. The moving average of the four-hour chart is glued together, the price is adjusted near the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator is flat. Gold rose above 3349 yesterday and fell back to 3320 in the early morning. After a sharp drop to 3315 in the Asian session, it needs to break the low point of 20 in the early morning and then quickly rise to 3331.     Pay attention to the 3320 position in the Asian session. If 3320 stabilizes and moves upward, continue to look at the test of 3340/50 during the day. Otherwise, if it loses again or adjusts around 20 during the day, it will be regarded as a weak sell. Pay attention to 3306/3293 below. Gold technical aspects continue to be arranged with a shock idea. Under the premise that there is no news to stimulate the selling, gold continues to maintain low-price buying as the main technical aspect, and high-price selling as the auxiliary. Today's analysis: From the daily level, gold is in a high-level shock consolidation since the peak of 3500. The current highs of 3500, 3435, and 3403 are gradually moving down, and the lows of 3120, 3245, and 3293 are gradually rising. The shock range is gradually narrowing. The short-term market may continue to maintain shocks. If it breaks, it needs to wait for the direction of the breakthrough to be stimulated by major news! So today's lock range is 3293-3360. It is recommended to sell at high prices and buy at low prices to treat shocks, mainly short-term or ultra-short-term, and do not chase ups and downs before the range is effectively broken. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3310-3330, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3360; Sell short-term gold at 3350-3363, stop loss at 3362, target at 3300-3310; Key points: First support level: 3320, second support level: 3306, third support level: 3292 First resistance level: 3346, second resistance level: 3358, third resistance level: 3376
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
Trading Game of the day 11-MAY-2025On this day 11-MAY-2025 ,CPI core,m and y was released and all of them were negative for the dollar My performance depend on patience . So after release of the NEWS ,be patient and patient and patinet until the price gives you the direction and give you the opportunity to enter the market 1-PDA :- which is the OB 2-Re- (H4-H2-H1-30m) and ST (SHARP TURN)in lower than 15m-TF 3-CISD 4-FVG retraced from it and make another FVG which represent our entry (sell order) 5-sell order from 3340 and the profit is 3330 Thanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Antwerp_winning_trader-Maitham