GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 🟡
Technical Breakdown & Bearish Scenario Ahead ⚠️📉
🔍 Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound structure with strong horizontal resistance around the $3,400–$3,420 zone and support around the $3,120–$3,160 level. Price is currently trading near the upper range of the consolidation.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,400 – $3,420
➤ Price has been rejected here multiple times (highlighted by red arrows and orange circles), showing strong supply pressure.
🟣 Intermediate Support: $3,260.618
➤ This level acted as a minor support and could be tested again if the current pullback deepens.
🟤 Major Support Zone: $3,120 – $3,160
➤ A key demand area where price previously bounced significantly.
📉 Bearish Setup:
A potential lower high is forming just below the resistance zone.
The projected path suggests a minor pullback to form a bearish retest, followed by a potential breakdown below $3,260.
If the $3,260 support is broken decisively, further downside toward the $3,120–$3,160 support is likely (blue arrow projection).
🔄 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation):
A breakout and strong close above $3,420 could invalidate the bearish structure.
In that case, price might attempt to target higher resistance levels beyond $3,440.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold remains in a range with a bearish bias unless the $3,420 resistance is breached.
🔽 Watch for confirmation below $3,260 for bearish continuation.
✅ For bulls, wait for a strong breakout above resistance with volume.
GoldCurrent Price Level:
The current price is around $3,304.00.
This is marked as the Entry Point for a potential long position.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Around $3,293.00, highlighted in red, indicating the stop-loss level to minimize loss.
Resistance Zones: Several profit-taking levels are identified at 3,318.00∗∗,∗∗3,318.00**, **3,318.00∗∗,∗∗3,335.00, 3,360.00∗∗,and∗∗3,360.00**, and **3,360.00∗∗,and∗∗3,392.00.
After achieving 1st TP. shift stop to entry
XAUUSD - Next Course of ActionXAUUSD is near the Liquidity Area 3337-3344, if 1H time frame candle closes above this area then on the confirmation of RSI, you can go for Buy Trade setup with the following Targets:-
TP1 at 3354
TP2 at 3359
TP3 at 3365
TP4 at 3375 (By Trailing Stop Loss)
But if it pullback from the are then you can place a Sell Trade below 3333 with the following Targets:-
TP1@3319
TP2@3293
TP3@3275 (by trailing stop loss)
Always wait for proper confirmation before you plan your trades...
This setup is for educational purposes...
Do your own research before trading in Gold, we are not responsible for your loss...
XAUUSD:Focus on trade negotiations and CPI dataGold prices stabilized and rebounded after continuing last Friday's decline. Yesterday, they fell back to the 3,300 level before rising slowly to 3,338, where they encountered resistance and pulled back, in line with the technical consolidation rhythm.
Key Fundamental Events:
- China-US trade negotiations: The US has signaled a willingness to relax export restrictions, and the market is awaiting the outcome, which could impact risk sentiment.
- US May CPI data: Inflation changes will provide key guidance for the Federal Reserve's policy.
Technical Levels:
- Support: 3,295 and 3,285
- Resistance: 3,330 and 3,350
Trading Strategies:
- The current trend is weak but with limited downside space. Focus on buying on dips and avoid shorting aggressively.
- Consider staying on the sidelines today and waiting for clear negotiation results before entering positions to reduce volatility risks.
Risk Warning:
Escalating internal conflicts in the US (such as the Los Angeles riots) may intensify market volatility. Traders should adapt flexibly and avoid greedy chasing of orders.
XAUUSD
sell@3335-3330
tp:3310-3300
buy@3295-3300
tp:3320-3330
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 9:
Core logic analysis:
Risk aversion cools down
The easing of Sino-US trade tensions weakens the short-term safe-haven demand for gold, but long-term uncertainties (such as the prospects for global economic recovery and the Fed's policies) still support the safe-haven properties of gold.
Technical bearishness dominates
Weekly: Inverted hammer pattern + MACD high dead cross sign, suggesting a callback risk.
Daily: Two consecutive negatives fell below the short-term moving average, MACD dead cross, but be wary of the support strength of the Bollinger middle track (near 3295).
4 hours: The price broke below the Bollinger lower track, the moving average was in a short position, the MACD momentum was downward, and the short-term was bearish.
Key price:
Upper resistance:
First resistance: 3328-3330 (intraday strength and weakness boundary, bearish force point).
Strong resistance: 3345-3350 (if broken, the short-term bearish trend may be reversed).
Support below:
First support: 3290-3280 (test target at the beginning of the week, may trigger a rebound).
Strong support: 3280 (break opens the downward space to 3250-3230).
Operation strategy suggestions
Short order opportunity
Aggressive: short with a light position after rebounding to 3325-3330, stop loss above 3340, target 3300-3290.
Conservative: wait for the 3340-3345 area to be under pressure before entering the market, stop loss 3355, target the same as before.
Long order opportunity
Short-term rebound: If it first touches 3280-3290 and stabilizes (not breaking down quickly), you can go long with a light position on the rebound, stop loss 3275, target 3310-3320.
Rebound after breaking: If it quickly breaks down 3280 and rebounds to 3295-3300 under pressure, you can follow the short position for the second time.
Breakout response
Break above 3350: Short orders temporarily exit the market, wait and see whether it will step back to confirm the support and turn long.
Break below 3275: Be cautious in chasing shorts, prevent low-level technical rebounds, and wait for a pullback before following up with shorts.
Risk warning
Data risk: Market volatility may increase before and after the release of non-agricultural data, and be wary of wash-outs.
Sudden events: Sudden changes in geopolitical or Fed policy expectations may reverse technical patterns.
Position management: The current trend is bearish but has not been confirmed to be unilateral. It is recommended to operate with light positions in stages to avoid heavy positions betting on the direction.
Summary: Gold is likely to continue to fluctuate and be bearish next week, but be wary of bullish counterattacks at key support levels. The main trading method is shorting at the rebound high point, supplemented by short buying at the key support level, strictly stop loss and pay attention to the news developments.
Gold analysis – 1H FVG and OB setupPrice failed to hold at the first 1H FVG (red circle) and broke through quickly.
At the second 1H FVG (green circle), we entered a Buy position, and it’s currently running in profit ✅
Now, price is testing another 1H FVG around 3,327. If we get bullish confirmation here, upside targets are:
🔹 1H OB at 3,370
🔹 1H OB near 3,390–3,410
If price gets rejected again, watch for retracement into lower FVG zones: 3,290 and 3,250
Smart Money Concepts in play – watching PA for next move.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East continue to escalate, with intense clashes between Israel and Iran driving gold prices higher. However, Federal Reserve officials have recently sent frequent hawkish signals, emphasizing the need to maintain interest rates to control inflation and downplaying expectations of rate cuts. Additionally, U.S. trade agreements with multiple nations are gradually being finalized, which could potentially provide bearish momentum for gold at any time. Overall, gold is trending to rise first and then fall.
Technical Analysis:
The 4-hour chart shows gold steadily advancing within an ascending channel, with strong bullish momentum. Resistance is near 3,450, while support currently stands at 3,400. However, it is important to note that after a short-term rapid rally, prices may need a pullback for correction.
Trading Recommendations:
Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near 3,400–3,410, targeting 3,450; if this level is broken, extend the target to 3,470–3,475. If prices face resistance near 3,450 during upward attempts, consider light short positions.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3400-3410
TP:3450-3470
sell@3460-3450
TP:3420-3400
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Sniper XAU/USD🎯 Setup Overview
Instrument: XAU/USD
Timeframes: Entry analyzed on M15, confirmation on M5–M1
Structure: Bullish — price making higher lows into the liquidity zone (equal highs)
📌 Entry Levels
Level Price (approx.) Notes
Sniper Entry 3,390.50 At the last higher low (HL) before reaching the liquidity zone (~3,445–3,450)
Stop Loss 3,384.50 Just below the HL — 6 pips (~$6), tight risk buffer
Take Profit 1 3,445 (liquidity sweep) First target at the sweep zone
Take Profit 2 3,500 (breakout extension) Additional profit zone if momentum continues
🛠 Entry Routine
M15 Chart: Observe the ascending HLs — last HL is our key area (~3,390.50).
Drop to M5: Watch for a bullish candle (e.g., bullish engulfing or rejection wick) forming near 3,390.50.
Enter Long once you see that bullish confirmation.
Set SL just below the HL at 3,384.50.
Scale Out / Take Profit:
Exit 50–75% at 3,445.
Move SL to breakeven.
Let the rest ride to 3,500 as momentum extends.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) - 30m ChartA 30-minute candlestick chart showing the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD). The current price is $3,433.88, reflecting a +$48.32 (+1.43%) increase. The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a shaded resistance zone around $3,460.06 and a support level near $3,400.06, as of 10:52 AM PKT on June 15, 2025.
#XAUUSD[GOLD]: Massive Boost For Buyers, Incoming More Volume! Gold has been moving as expected in our previous chart. We anticipate a smooth bull market in the coming days, with a target price region of 3400$. There are three specific targets you can aim for.
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XAUUSD: Analysis H4 next weekThe continued tension in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) has led to a flight to safe havens, a key driver for gold.
Reduced pressure from the USD due to expectations that the Fed will slow down its rate cut (~September), coupled with inflationary pressures, could support gold prices
If tensions in the Middle East do not ease next week, gold's rally could extend and we could see 3500. But be careful, as if tensions ease and some good news from the USD comes, the rally could be halted.
As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.
As shown in Figure 4h.
I clearly show the trend of gold prices through the split chart.
1: The ABC span forms the golden ratio, indicating that if the gold price continues to rise out of control in the future, it will rise to the range of 3700-4000.
2: The blue triangle angle is a convergent triangle in the upward trend, which is a strong triangle. The probability of bullishness next week is high, and the possibility of breaking through and returning to the range of 3450-3500 is very high.
3: We need to consider the most unlikely possibility, that is, the worst expectations and results.
If the gold price breaks through 3450 and it is a false breakthrough, there may be an expectation of a sharp decline: 3365-3330-3270.
Operation strategy:
As shown in the figure:
1: Pay attention to the 1-2 path and defend the 3-4 path.
2: Wait for low prices to find long opportunities
3: As long as the gold price is above 3400 points, only participate in the long strategy.
4: Gold price fluctuation range: 3400-3450
5: Two test pressure areas for intraday short-term short selling: 3450 and 3500
6: Strong support area: 3400--3365--3330-3270, these points can be used as support points and stop loss ranges for future attempts to go long.
XAUUSD Breakout Alert | Bullish Momentum in PlayGold has finally broken out of the consolidation zone that held price action for several weeks. The bullish trendline has acted as solid support, and now we're seeing strong momentum toward the key $3,500 resistance level.
🔍 Technical Setup:
✅ Price breakout from consolidation range
✅ Respecting a clean bullish trendline
📈 Immediate resistance at $3,490–$3,500
🔄 Potential for a retest before continuation
Strategy Insight: We may see a minor pullback to the breakout zone (~$3,400–$3,420), which could offer a solid buy-the-dip opportunity before further upside.
🎯 Bullish Targets: $3,500 and beyond
⚠ Invalidation Zone: Break below trendline
📢 Gold traders—what’s your plan? Are you in or waiting for a retest?
#XAUUSD #GoldBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexTrading #TrendlineSupport #TradingView
Gold Price Analysis June 13Yesterday's D1 candlestick increased, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Following that uptrend, the Asian session saw a strong increase in price to the highest peak of 3443. If there is still confirmation from the h4 candlestick above 3395, today will still be a bullish candlestick with a large amplitude at the end of the day.
After reaching the highest peak of the month, Gold is having a downward correction at the end of the Asian session. This correction lasts until the support of 3397 to have a good BUY signal. In case you want to SELL, you must wait for a 50% test of the previous full-force downtrend H1 candle (around 3434) and the continuation of the Selling side.
If the 50% test does not appear, you must reverse to find a BUY Breakout point. Note that the False break at the peak of 3343 should wait for confirmation of the small-frame DOW wave to enter the order, which will be safer for this morning's break.
If you get a BUY order, the target will be 3364 and this area will have a profit-taking reaction from the Buyers, causing the price to decrease. Gold may touch the threshold before ATH 3394 and there will be a reaction.
In the opposite direction, there is a sweep to 3376, which is considered the daily support zone and you can buy in this area.
All SELL signals are considered obstacles, so set a short target and a new BUY signal sets a long expectation.
XAU/USD GOLD SELL SIGNAL Entry Point: 3431🔺 USDJPY BUY TRADE SETUP 🔺
📍 Entry: 143.700
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 144.500
2️⃣ 145.500
🏁 Final Target: 146.000
📈 Bullish trend remains intact
🕵️♂️ Price bounced from support zone
🔍 Momentum confirming upward strength
🛠️ Clean entry with structured risk setup
🛑 Stop-loss placed below key support
⚖️ Risk/Reward ratio aligns with strategy
⏳ Patience required as price develops
📊 Suitable for short to mid-term outlook
💼 Always manage your risk wisely
📆 Valid as of June 13, 2025
🔔 Watch for economic news impacting USD/JPY
📌 Review setup regularly – adapt if needed
📢 Trade what you see, not what you feel
📈 Stay disciplined, trade smart!
Iran tensions rise: a setup brewing for gold and oil Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran might fuel safe-haven demand for gold.
A break above $3,403 might open the door for a test of the May high at $3,437. However, price action over the last two sessions potentially indicates that buyers are reluctant to drive spot prices above $3,400.
At the same time, analysts are suggesting that oil could climb toward $120 if Israel takes military action against Iran. “I don’t want to say it’s imminent, but it looks like something that could very well happen,” President Trump said during a White House event.
Meanwhile, cooler-than-expected US CPI and PPI prints have potentially strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates by September, with a second cut possibly following before year-end.
xauusd gold sell now entry point 3388📉 GOLD (XAUUSD) SELL SETUP ALERT 📉
🔹 Entry Point: 3388
🔹 We're initiating a SELL position on Gold
🔹 Technicals suggest downside momentum building
🎯 Target 1: 3370
🎯 Target 2: 3360
🎯 Final Target: 3350
🛑 Always respect your SL and manage your risk!
🚫 Avoid over-leveraging
💰 Capital preservation is key
🔍 Watch for price action confirmation
📊 Trade aligns with short-term bearish trend
⏱ Patience is part of the plan
🔒 Secure profits step by step
⚠️ High volatility expected – stay alert!
📉 Lower highs and pressure at resistance levels
🕒 Short-term move – intraday to 1-2 days
📈 Use proper lot sizing based on your account
💬 Trade smart – don’t chase the market
📌 Setup based on technical signals, not emotions
✅ Stick to the plan. Risk wisely.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SellSignal #ForexTrading #RiskManagement
GOLD Federal Reserve Interpretation of May CPI Data
Key CPI Figures (May 2025)
Headline CPI:
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%).
Core CPI (ex-food/energy):
MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%).
YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.9% forecast).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
Cooling Inflation Momentum:
The softer-than-expected MoM and core CPI prints suggest inflation is moderating, particularly in goods categories like gasoline (-2.6% MoM) and autos. Shelter inflation (3.9% YoY) also cooled slightly, a critical factor for the Fed.
Annual CPI (2.4%) remains above the Fed’s 2% target but shows progress from pandemic-era peaks.
Tariff Impact Delayed:
The data reflects limited immediate pass-through from Trump’s April tariffs, which are expected to raise prices by ~1.5% over time. The Fed will remain cautious, as tariff effects could materialize in late 2025, complicating the inflation trajectory.
Labor Market Resilience:
Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing.
Policy Implications:
Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance.
Dovish Tilt for 2025: Markets now price a ~75% chance of a September cut (up from ~55% pre-CPI). The Fed may signal openness to easing if inflation continues trending toward 2% and tariff impacts remain muted.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields to 4.12%, reflecting bets on future rate cuts.
Dollar: The DXY dipped to 98.50 but stabilized as traders weighed Fed caution against global risks.
Equities: Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallied on reduced stagflation fears.
What’s Next?
June 12 PCE Data: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge will confirm whether disinflation is broadening.
Federal Reserve Interpretation of June 12 Economic Data
Key Data Points
PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%).
Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%).
Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K).
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
1. Subdued Producer Inflation
Cooling Input Costs: Both headline and core PPI rose 0.1% MoM, below expectations, signaling muted producer-side inflation. This follows prior declines (-0.5% headline, -0.4% core), suggesting persistent disinflationary pressures in supply chains.
Implication: Weak PPI supports the Fed’s view that inflation is moderating, reducing urgency for rate hikes. However, the Fed will remain cautious about potential tariff-driven price spikes later in 2025.
2. Labor Market Softening
Rising Jobless Claims: Claims increased for the second straight week (248K vs. 242K forecast), aligning with May’s softer ADP and NFP reports. The 4-week average now sits at 243K, the highest since September 2023.
Implication: A cooling labor market supports arguments for rate cuts to avoid over-tightening, but the Fed will seek confirmation in future reports (e.g., June NFP).
3. Policy Outlook
September Rate Cut Odds: Markets now price a ~70% chance of a September cut (up from ~65% pre-data). The Fed is likely to hold rates steady in July but may signal openness to easing if disinflation broadens.
Balancing Risks: While PPI and claims data lean dovish, the Fed remains wary of premature easing given:
Sticky Services Inflation: CPI services ex-energy rose 4.1% YoY in May.
Tariff Uncertainty: Trump’s tariffs could add 1.5% to inflation by late 2025.
Market Reactions
Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields fell 3 bps to 4.09%, reflecting rate-cut bets.
DXY: Dollar index dipped to 98.30, pressured by dovish Fed expectations.
Conclusion
The Fed will view today’s data as reinforcing the case for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation.
July Meeting: Likely a hold, but the Fed’s updated dot plot could hint at 2025 cuts.
Tariff Watch: Delayed price pressures from tariffs remain a wildcard, keeping the Fed data-dependent.
Summary
The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing.
#gold