XAUUSDThe market broke the strong support to now resistance and more bearish momentum expected as the bulls let go of bears to take control.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Plan for London on NFP Day (03.07.2025)⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. It’s simply my personal trade plan and analysis.
I just want to share knowledge for free – that’s all.
My concept is: Keep it simple, stupid.
Life is already complicated enough thanks to the people around me, so I prefer to keep things simple… at least when it comes to my charts. 😆
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📈 London Session Trade Plan (only for London session)
Resistance Zones
Zone 1: 3422 – 3410
Zone 2: 3394 – 3380
Support Zone
Zone 1: 3334 – 3327
Entry Strategy – I’m watching for 4 main scenarios:
1. Blue Arrow:
If price reaches Resistance Zone 1 → wait for clear PA (Price Action) on M15 or M30 → then look to Sell
2. Black Arrow:
If price reaches Resistance Zone 2 → wait for PA on M15 or M30 → then Sell
3. Red Arrow:
If price drops to Support Zone 1 → wait for PA on M15 or M30 → then Buy
4. Pink Arrow:
If price breaks below Support Zone 1 → wait for price to pull back → then Sell
(In this case, I’ll use Fibonacci to assist with entries – key levels: 50.0 and 61.8)
But for today, I give this scenario a lower win rate compared to my other techniques. So I’ve decided not to use this strategy for the London session.
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‼️Scenario 5 – Sideways Market
If price just keeps ranging inside the green circle and there's no clear PA → I will not react at all.
This is common before big events like NFP. No signal = No action.
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✅ Reminders to Myself:
I'm an intraday trader who separates sessions by market behavior.
Today is NFP day, and price often moves wildly and irrationally.
It's okay to stay out of the market.
When in doubt
XAUUSD BUY NOWXAUUSD @ 3343.00
TP: 3353.00
SL: 3338.00
Do not get attached, do not get greedy, do not buck the trend.
GOLD 4H: structure broken - phase reversal beginsTwo key directional signals were recorded on the gold chart: first, a breakdown of the ascending channel, followed by a confident downward exit from the triangle with a clear fixation under the $3297 boundary. Both figures worked independently, but consistently - and strengthened the impulse towards selling.
The price has already gone beyond the lower boundary of the triangle ($3297), confirming the bearish scenario. Candlesticks closing under the level and local consolidation from below is a characteristic formation before the momentum continues.
Technical parameters:
- Channel breakout: completed
- Triangle breakout: $3297 level
- Retest from below: expected as confirmation
- EMAs reversed downwards, structure broken
- Volumes strengthened at the moment of breakout
Tactical plan:
- Sell after retest of $3297
- Targets on the move: $3248 and $3201
- Stop: above $3305 (above the area of false outs).
The current structure indicates the end of the accumulation phase and the beginning of the downward momentum. As long as the price holds below $3297 - shorts are the priority.
XAUUSD: Trend in 2H timeframevery important levels for GOLD, we have two trends,
Please pay special attention to the colored levels.
Trends are very accurate,
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> The setup is very sensitive <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
Be careful
BEST
MT
Focus on tomorrow’s non-farm payrolls!Gold hourly chart;
Gold short-term analysis; Gold 4-hour analysis shows that the stochastic indicator is golden cross, which is a bullish signal; MACD indicator double lines stick together upward, which is a bullish signal; 4-hour bias continues to rise; 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, and the pressure position is near 3355, which is the only empty point today; the short-term support position is temporarily near 3320;
Gold breaks trend – bullish wave returnsIn the most recent trading session, gold (XAUUSD) has made a strong rebound from the key support zone around $3,263 and is now approaching a short-term resistance near $3,347 – signaling a potential continuation of the bullish momentum in the short term.
1. Price Structure & Market Behavior After reaching a local top around $3,347–$3,350, gold entered a clear downtrend.
However, the breakout of the descending trendline (yellow line) with solid bullish candles is a strong reversal signal.
The market has formed higher highs and higher lows with strong bullish candles, confirming a V-shape reversal pattern from the bottom zone.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate resistance: $3,347–$3,350 – previous rejection zone.
Short-term support: $3,308 – newly broken resistance now acting as support.
Major support: $3,263 – previous low with strong bullish bounce, highlighting significant buyer interest.
3. Suggested Trading Strategy Given the strong breakout and bullish trend structure, traders may consider a buy-the-dip strategy around $3,308–$3,315 on potential pullbacks.
Stop-loss should be placed below $3,263 to protect against false breakouts.
Short-term take-profit targets can be set at $3,350–$3,360. If this level breaks, extended targets could reach $3,375.
Volume & Momentum Volume is increasing along with price, confirming strong buyer participation.
Bullish candles are closing near highs, showing weak selling pressure and suggesting the uptrend may continue.
Conclusion: Gold has resumed a short-term uptrend after breaking its previous downtrend. Traders should favor bullish setups and look for pullbacks to enter at better prices. Watch the $3,347 zone closely – if gold breaks and holds above it, further upside is likely.
XAUUSD/GOLD M30 Chart Analysis .XAUUSD/GOLD 🎯🚀
Target SMASHED ✅💥
Pure accuracy, pure profit — enjoy the results! 🤑🔥
Stay tuned for the next sniper shot! 📊💰
Gold Base Drop BaseGold needs a correction, it has made a very extreme increase yesterday, but the increase is not forever, it needs a healthy correction too, with a drop base drop pattern.
Gold technical analysis and operation suggestionsGold technical analysis and operation suggestions
Market review:
Yesterday, gold showed a bottoming-out and rebounding trend. It quickly dropped to 3250 in the Asian session and then stabilized and rebounded. It rose in the European and US sessions, reaching a high of 3296 before falling under pressure. After the US session stepped back to 3270 for the second time to confirm support, it accelerated to rise, breaking through the 3300 integer mark. The daily line closed with a bottoming-out and rebounding, indicating that the 3250 support is effective, and the short-term adjustment may come to an end.
Current trend:
Gold prices continued to rebound after opening today, and now hit the 3320 line. It is necessary to pay attention to the 3324 long-short watershed pressure. If it breaks through effectively, it will confirm the reversal, and you can step back and follow up with long orders; on the contrary, if it falls under pressure, consider arranging short orders at high levels.
Technical points:
4-hour chart: 3324 is the key long-short watershed, and the support below is 3295-3301 (yesterday's resistance conversion position).
Operation idea: high short and low long within the range, follow up after breaking through 3324.
Operation strategy:
Short order: 3321-24 light position short, stop loss 3332, target 3295-3301, hold after breaking down.
Long order: 3295-3301 stabilizes and goes long, stop loss 3287, target 3320-24, hold after breaking through.
Next week's gold trend analysis strategy:
1. News interpretation: Fed policy and market sentiment dominate the direction
✦ Review of key factors:
The situation in the Middle East has eased
The safe-haven demand for gold has declined, which is bearish for gold prices.
Fed Focus: PCE Price Index
If PCE data rises → Strengthen interest rate hike expectations → Gold prices are under pressure
If personal spending is weak → Interest rate hike expectations slow down → Favorable gold price rebound
Investors' wait-and-see sentiment heats up
→ There is no panic selling in the market, and it tends to fluctuate downward rather than plummet.
2. Technical analysis: Bearish dominance, pay attention to key support areas
Daily structure:
The bearish trend is clear, and the moving average system turns downward;
The price is running near the lower track of the Bollinger band, and there is a suspicion of short-term oversold;
The 3280-3295 area constitutes a pressure zone, which has not been broken after multiple tests.
Key points at the 4-hour level:
A step-down channel is clearly formed;
Support levels gradually move downward, a typical bearish pattern;
Lower support: 3270 → 3263 → 3250-3245
Upper pressure: 3280 → 3300 → 3310
III. Gold trend forecast for next week
📉 Main trend: bearish, short-term or bottoming out
If it falls to the 3245-3250 area, a short-term technical rebound can be expected;
After the rebound, it may be blocked again in the 3280-3295 range, suitable for short selling;
Unless it strongly recovers above 3310, it will be difficult to reverse the downward trend.
IV. Operation strategy suggestions (core)
Sell on highs 3285 - 3295 Stop loss 3310 Target 3255 / 3245 Layout short orders near resistance
Trend bottom-picking 3245 - 3250 Stop loss 3238 Target 3275 / 3280 Oversold rebound expected, try to buy long with a light position
Aggressive short selling near 3310 Stop loss above 3336 Target 3280 / 3263 Top and bottom conversion resistance level, if the test is not broken, short
V. Summary and Outlook
✅ Conclusion: Next week, the trend of gold will still be "high-short as the main and low-long as the auxiliary", focusing on the game between 3250 support and 3295 pressure level.
Gold has not yet broken out of the short structure, and the inertial decline after breaking 3295 will continue. It is recommended that traders avoid chasing ups and downs, strictly implement stop losses, and remain flexible.
Gold bulls rise, continue to go long after falling backBecause it broke through the key suppression of 3324, we can go long on the contrary. The upper long position target is 3348. Although many people insist on being bearish, we must grasp the trend of the market and analyze it with technical aspects as the main and news as the auxiliary. At present, long orders are already profitable. Be a person who makes comprehensive judgments and don’t be at a loss about market analysis because of stop loss. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with me!
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper focus is on the 3345 line of pressure, the lower short-term support is around 3314-3316, and the key support is 3295-3301. The overall support is based on this range to maintain the main tone of low-multiple participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold is long at 3316-24, and it will be long at 3295-3303 when it falls back, with a stop loss at 3293 and a target at 3348. If it breaks, continue to hold;
Gold Breaks Key Resistance — Bullish Spike in FormationGold dropped to the 61% Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with the long-term ascending trendline, where it showed a strong bullish rejection.
Currently, price is breaking out of the descending channel and the 200 SMA, and is beginning to form a potential bullish spike formation.
If this pattern completes and breaks to the upside, we would have three confluencing technical signals pointing to a possible target area around $3,425.881.
📌 I’ll wait for a confirmed breakout of the bullish spike to look for long entries.
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 33192, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 3297.07, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 3350.85, which is a swing high resistance.
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The latest analysis and layout of gold in July made a good start📰 News information：
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
📈 Technical Analysis：
Yesterday, we gave the idea of looking at the upper resistance of 3310-3320. The 4H pressure is still at 3327. As long as this key resistance level is not effectively broken, gold will fall again. On the contrary, if it stabilizes above 3327, the trend may reverse. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance of 3327. If it is not broken, you can short with a light position. If it falls below 3300-3290, consider going long.
🎯 Trading Points：
SELL 3310-3320
TP 3305-3300
BUY 3300-3290
TP 3310-3320-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Trading Strategies Amid Geopolitical and Policy GamesToday's gold price rebounded above $3,280 after opening with a dive to a low of $3,247, showing a volatile trend.
Influencing Factors
- Geopolitics: The ceasefire between Israel and Iran earlier caused gold prices to fall, but Trump's threat to bomb Iran again and maintain sanctions has revived market risk aversion, supporting gold prices with some bargain hunting.
- Monetary Policy: Expectations for Fed rate cuts have fluctuated. The CME FedWatch Tool shows an 81.9% probability of unchanged rates in July and a 76% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut by September. U.S. economic data (e.g., personal consumption expenditure) and tariff policies are influencing gold's trajectory.
- Capital Flows: Global gold ETF demand turned negative in May, with outflows led by North American and Asian funds, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
Technical Analysis
Gold rebounded after a pullback last week, closing with two consecutive weekly gains. The $3,300-$3,310 range is a key resistance zone: a firm break above could signal a short-term trend reversal, while failure to do so may lead to a test of $3,200. On the daily chart, moving averages are bearish, MACD forms a death cross below the zero axis with expanding green bars (indicating dominant bearish momentum), but RSI at 39 near oversold levels suggests potential short-term rebound for correction.
Trading Strategy
Short gold on a rebound to the $3,305-$3,310 resistance zone, setting a stop-loss at $3,320. Initial targets are $3,280-$3,290, where profits can be gradually taken based on price action and market sentiment. If the decline continues, adjust targets downward to around $3,250, and flexibly adapt to real-time market conditions.
XAUUSD
sell@3300~3310
SL:3320
TP：3290~3280-3270
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold Threatens Yearly Support- Bulls on NoticeGold is threatening a break of the yearly uptrend with Friday’s decline clearing the monthly range low. The focus into the start of the month is on technical support at the 5/29 swing low / May low-day close (LDC) 3240/45.
A break / close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant correction is underway towards the 38.2% retracement of the November rally at 3132 and the 100% extension of the April decline at 3072- both areas of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. Resistance now at 3355/80 with a breach above the Record high-close at 3431 needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend.
-MB
Daily XAUUSD AnalysisGold Took Supprt From The 3255 Level So a Pullback Could Be a Buying Opportunity
June 30, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Keep a close eye on fundamental news — any major headlines could instantly invalidate technical levels and short-term indicators.
From the current chart structure, the trend remains clearly bearish, so the primary strategy is to sell on pullbacks to resistance.
Watch key levels like 3283, 3300, and 3350 closely — if price breaks above these, it could signal weakening bearish momentum, requiring a quick strategy adjustment.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3310–3312 – Resistance zone
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3295 – Resistance
• 3283 – Intraday key resistance
• 3266 – Intraday key support
• 3250–3255 – Support zone
• 3245 – Support
• 3233 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3266 → target 3260, then 3250, 3245, 3233
• BUY if price holds above 3283 → target 3295, then 3301, 3312, 3320
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Elliot wave update: Is wave 4 still in play?From our previous count we were anticipating a drop for 4th wave completion. We can see now we have been dropping as anticipated. Given the current wave structure I am expecting a double 3 (wxy) to complete this 4th wave. If we are correct then we should expect price to continue down from current position before pulling back up and fall one more time. To take advantage of the move if not caught at the top, one should find areas where price will find resistance to short the market.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Overall Trajectory BullishEntering long positions on XAU/USD based on a confirmed 3-Drive pattern on the H4 timeframe, aligning with confluence from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone.
As long as price stays and holds above 3200 I will remain bullish, if there is a close below 3200 then my analysis will be subject to change. Strong resistance will be at 3400 if it holds then the target is 3641 with a minor pullback at 3548.
Analysis of gold price rise and fall on MondayAnalysis of gold price rise and fall on Monday
The probability distribution of gold price trend next Monday is as follows:
Probability of rise: 55%-60%.
Support factors include: the expectation of Fed rate cuts has been strengthened, the dollar is weak, the tariff deadline is approaching, triggering safe-haven demand, and the momentum of short-term rebound in the technical aspect.
Probability of decline: 35%-40%.
Risk factors include: strong resistance at 3360 points on the technical side, temporary relief of geopolitical risks, and profit-taking pressure.
Probability of sideways fluctuation: 5%-10%.
If there is a lack of catalysts, the gold price may fluctuate in the range of 3310-3360, waiting for new clues.
Operation strategy reference:
Long position strategy: If the gold price falls back to the 3310-3315 area and stabilizes, you can go long with a light position, set the stop loss below 3300, and the target is 3325-3330 (it can go up to 3335-3340 after breaking through).
Short-selling strategy: If the gold price rises to the 3350-3360 range, you can short with a light position, set the stop loss above 3360, and target 3325-3330 (after breaking through, look down to 3310--3300-3280).
Fundamentals
Weight analysis of key influencing factors:
Subsequent impact of US non-farm payrolls data: If the detailed interpretation of non-farm data next Monday continues to ferment, it may provide support for gold.
Expected changes in the tariff decision on July 9: Next Monday will be the last trading day before the suspension of US trade tariffs (July 9), and market concerns about the Trump administration's possible increase in tariffs may heat up.
Any relevant news or official statements may trigger safe-haven funds to flow into gold.
Key technical game:
The battle between the $3310 support level and the $3360 resistance level will continue to dominate the short-term trend.
If the opening price remains above the 3330-3340 range next Monday, it may test the 3360 resistance; if it falls below 3310, it may fall to the 3280 support.
Trends of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields: The US dollar index has recently fallen to a two-year low (96.875), and US Treasury yields have also fallen (10-year yields are 4.228%). If this trend continues, it will be good for gold.
Geopolitical risk dynamics: Although the situation in the Middle East has not escalated further, it is still in a tense state, and sudden news may disrupt the market at any time.
