XAU/USD Short Term Pullback is Possible (READ CAPTION)📢As Of April 22, 2025 Gold (XAU/USD) is Exhibiting Strong Bullish movement Having recently Reached a Record high Of 3431.70 per ounce.
📌Key Levels:
✅️Resistance: Immediate resistance is observed around $3452 A breakout above this level could pave the way toward $3,485 and potentially $3,500 in the near term.
✅️Support: Support is established near $3,392. A decline below this point may lead to a correction toward the $33,74 level.
📈Market Outlook:
While the overall trend remains bullish, the overbought RSI suggests caution, as a short-term pullback is possible. So If it's decline below this point it will Drop to 3374-70
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
Possible buy opportunity First fair value gap which is a FVG that was identified on the D1 time frame might not be enough to push the market back up to the 3500 level
But the FVG below that is a weekly FVG and within that weekly FVG we have H4 FVG, if the D1 FVG doesn't hold the market we will definitely see it fall to the weekly FVG below and wick the H4 FVG within it then we could have a good opportunity to buy with a target at 3500 or 3480.
GOLD (XAUUSD, 1H) Double Bottom & Continuation to Lower FibsOn the 1-hour chart, gold attempted to form a double bottom structure, which initially showed bullish potential. However, the price action quickly reversed near resistance, failing to sustain above key EMAs and trendline zones. This invalidates the reversal attempt and reaffirms the current bearish structure within the descending channel.
The price is now trading back below broken support and heading towards deeper Fibonacci retracement levels, with visible supply pressure and repeated failure to hold any bullish breakout. Volume has shifted lower on rallies, confirming weak buyer commitment.
Downside targets (Fibonacci structure):
– $3251 – 0.382 retracement
– $3221 – 0.618 retracement (primary structural support)
– $3165 – 0.786 extension zone (final support before breakdown scenario)
The descending wedge remains valid. Unless the market reclaims $3305–$3334 with strong confirmation, the corrective leg toward the lower support zones is likely to continue. A clean break below $3220 would open the door for a move toward the $3160s.
The failed double bottom setup confirms bearish continuation. Structure, volume, and trendlines all align with a move lower. Watch for reactions at $3221 and $3165 as critical levels.
Gold prices staged a "roller coaster" market, and the trade war In the early Asian session, spot gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The gold price reached a high of US$3370.58/ounce and then fell back to around the 3350 mark for consolidation. After experiencing a sharp drop of nearly 3%, the gold price ushered in a strong rebound, with a single-day increase of 1.83%, and finally closed at US$3348.50. This wave of rebound was mainly driven by the weakness of the US dollar and the entry of market bottom-fishing funds.
The trade deadlock fell into a "Rashomon", and the rebound of the US dollar was blocked
The current gold market is caught in a fierce game of long and short factors. The Asian power issued a solemn statement, emphasizing that if the US side really wants to solve the problem, all unilateral tariffs should be canceled immediately. This statement is in sharp contrast to the "negotiation signal" recently released by the White House, making the trade outlook more confusing.
Affected by this, the US dollar index fell 0.61% to 99.29, while gold received strong support from safe-haven buying.
Quaid believes that the gap between the positions of the United States and China on trade issues is as huge as the Pacific Ocean, and this uncertainty will continue to affect the market trend. The US dollar rebounded but was blocked. Although Trump's attitude eased and it strengthened briefly in the early stage, it showed signs of fatigue again in the morning. At the same time, the US stock market achieved three consecutive positive days, and the S&P 500 index rose by 2.03%, with technology stocks leading the gains.
Quaid's analysis:
Looking forward to the later period, high-level fluctuations may become the main theme, and traders need to grasp the rhythm.
The current market presents a pattern: First, the uncertainty of the trade war. If the US insists on imposing new tariffs, the gold price may hit the $3,500 mark again; second, the suspense of the Fed's policy. Whether the May meeting will release a signal of interest rate cuts will become a key turning point; finally, the trend of the US dollar. If subsequent economic data continues to deteriorate, the US dollar index may fall below the 99 integer mark.
Market operation strategies:
Go long on a pullback of 3335, stop loss at 3330, look at 3380
Go short after rebounding at 3380, stop loss at 3390, and look at 3330
Gold with Technical aspect XAUUSD Gold Update | M15 Timeframe 🙌
- This Analysis is based on educational purposes using Technical aspect
In M15 time Frame we have been observed that market bias is in bullish
- We have been waiting for our point at 3320 - 3314.00 as a Good Buy opportunity on behalf of Technical Analysis ❗️
If the body closing below the trendline on H4 Timeframe we will definitely share our thoughts
Although our targets would be 3364 - 3384.00
- All you need to stick with one Mentor 👋
#XAUUSD
Gold’s upside seems limited given overbought conditionsGold appears to be showing signs of finally cracking after an impressive run higher, with the excitement surrounding its rally potentially approaching a crescendo. The precious metal experienced a sharp intraday reversal on 22 April, a decline that continued into 23 April. Since the recent uptrend began in mid-March, gold has consistently found support at its 10-day exponential moving average (EMA).
For now, gold continues to hold just above this key support level; a break below the 10-day EMA could signal a heightened risk of further declines, potentially targeting $3,280 per troy ounce.
Gold remains extremely overbought on the weekly chart, trading above the upper Bollinger Band, with the relative strength index (RSI) above 80. This suggests that gold could be due for a sideways consolidation or pullback towards the 10-week moving average at $3,100.
Gold also remains overbought on the monthly chart, trading above the upper Bollinger band and with an RSI above 85. In this scenario, a break below $2,900 may lead to a decline towards the 10-month moving average of $2,800.
It is not often that an asset class trades at such extreme levels, and this suggests that gold may be overdue for a period of consolidation, either by trading sideways and marking time or by pulling back to retest some of the moving averages situated at lower levels. It continues to indicate that overall gold’s upside may be limited.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Gold Price ActionHey traders! 👋 Looking at the current structure, gold has been respecting the bearish trend perfectly — with each flag pattern breaking down as expected.
🔴 We're now seeing a pullback into a key supply zone and the setup is shaping up for a potential short opportunity.
Let the market come to you, no need to chase 🙌
Manage your risk wisely 📊
Wishing you all green pips and solid setups! 💰✨
Happy Trading! 🔥
XAUUSD Today's Analysis StrategyWe are keeping a close eye on the resistance level of 3260. If the market breaks above 3260, we will look for buying opportunities with a target of 3386.
However, if the market fails to break above 3260 and shows signs of a correction, we will consider selling and may move down to the next support level of 3200.
The gold market fluctuated sideways. Waiting for a new trend?OANDA:XAUUSD During the Asian trading session, gold prices maintained a slight decline; in the early European trading, gold began to fall sharply, but it was still within the trend range expected by Quaid.
Today, the initial value of the US real GDP in the first quarter of 2025 will be released, and it is expected to grow by 0.3% at an annualized quarterly rate, after a strong growth of 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024.
If the world's largest economy unexpectedly shrinks, it will re-ignite bets on a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. And this data will boost the upward trend of gold.
On the other hand, if the cooling of US economic growth is less than expected, it may bring a short-term relief to the overall market and the US dollar, which will continue to put gold under corrective downward pressure.
However, traders will remain cautious before the release of US ADP employment data this week; this data will limit the reaction of gold prices to GDP data. US non-farm payrolls will help the market assess whether US tariffs have had a substantial impact on the labor market.
Current trend analysis:
The daily line closed negative, and it is still bearish today. At the same time, yesterday's decline encountered 3300 support. In this pattern, regardless of today's strength, short once and see how the European session trends. If the European session falls, short the US session; if the European session rises strongly, the US session may remain volatile. If the European session breaks the downward channel, the US session may continue to fall.
Hi guys, if you want a solid trade, please wait for the US GDP data this morning. Quaid conducts gold trading after professional analysis.
GOLD Once more fall what will next?According this analysis a next Gold movement ,
Forest from Mr Martin Date 29 April Tuesday 2025
Gold has been in under pressure amid tariff war and head if US Data.
on Monday Gold is testing the last week 3260 remining under pressure from strengthening dollar and easing trade risks between the US and china. Gold will a new zone will formed I will see the market price once more fall and catch the strong Support.
Resistance Zone 3330 / 32340
Support Levels 3285 / 3275
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern in PlayGold (XAU/USD) on 4hr timeframe chart is showing signs of a potential trend reversal after forming a classic Head & Shoulders pattern on the chart. The structure is well-defined, with both shoulders forming around the $3,360 zone and a prominent head at $3,435. The neckline support lies between $3,285–$3,295, which has now been broken multiple times, signaling possible continuation to the downside.
📉 Key Bearish Targets: TP1: $3,245
TP2: $3,190
TP3: $3,115
❌ Invalidation:
A strong close above $3,376, invalidate the setup.
#XAUUSD #Gold #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BearishSetup #ChartPatterns
XAUUSD - Buy Looks like a Wyckoff to me 📈
A Wyckoff within a bigger Wyckoff 🔄
Did I mention Wyckoff? 😅
Anyway, listening to all the guff on YouTube about this tariff palaver, things don't look good-not at all. 😬
Shipping is reduced 🚢, ports are starting to feel it ⚓, and there's talk of layoffs, so there will be a knock-on effect-more job losses. 📉
I asked GPT what it thought about the whole thing and it said an estimated 1 million job losses. Not good. 😟
Latest: Trump's lies are coming home to roost 🐓-Amazon is displaying tariff-related product price increases separately. 😂
Also, Shein and others-what else can they do? It only makes logical sense for businesses to separate and display things like GST so Tariffs no different, it helps people see the true cost of the product. 🧾
Trump is calling it a political and hostile act 🎭
What, showing the truth? 😂
This is from a man who owns Truth Social. 🤦♂️
So, expecting gold to continue higher 🏆
Banks are in the accumulation phase-looks like they're heading for a breakout then probable retest of once was resistance now turned support zone, then entering the markup phase (head higher). 🏦💹
That would be the plan! 📝
Let’s see! 🙂
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,314.09 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,296.10..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold is long, bottoming out during the day and rising
We can never predict what will happen at the crossroads of fate, but we can choose whether to give up or move forward with pain and run towards the end of our dreams. Even if there is no medal of victory, dignity and pride will accompany us all the way. Defeating opponents is only the winner of life; defeating yourself is the strong man of destiny!
After the gold gap opened high, it began to fall back quickly to around 3267. After a small rebound in the European session, it continued to retreat. The US session had a sideways correction before, and the US session started a large-scale pull-up, which continued to around 3353 and closed in the form of a small positive line with a long lower lead. After opening during the day, it continued to fall, and the current lowest reached around 3308. At present, the long and short positions are still fluctuating in a large range. The upper key pressure and the upper edge of the range are maintained at around 3370, while the lower edge and support of the large range below are maintained at around 3260. It is very likely that there will be multiple shocks and choices in this range again. At present, the multi-hour line is expected to form a sideways trend. After finishing, the daily line will fight at the short-term moving average position. The short-term moving average is also between the strength of long and short positions. Today's retracement needs further confirmation from the European session. If the European session continues to be weak, it is still necessary to pull back and short before the US session. The short-term support below is maintained near the integer level of 3300. If gold pulls back to 3310 during the day, it can be long first, with a target of 3330-50 and a loss of 3295. If the European session continues to break down, the US session will pull back below 3300 and short, with a target of 3270-60 and a loss of 3308. There will be large fluctuations in the short term, so be cautious about sweeping back and forth between long and short positions!
Today's operation: Gold will pull back to 3310 during the day and go long, with a target of 3330-50 and a loss of 3295.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Gold has the potential to rebound towards the 2338 "Gold has the potential to rebound towards the 2338 area, but first, a correction to the 3212–3293 range is needed to create a strong momentum for further upward movement."
Today's Scenario: XAUUSD Trading Strategy Around the Key Price Zones
🔻 Sell XAUUSD around 3338
Stop Loss: 3346
Take Profit 1: 3328
Take Profit 2: 3218
Take Profit 3: 3212
🔺 Buy XAUUSD around 3212
Stop Loss: 3200
Take Profit 1: 3218
Take Profit 2: 3225
Take Profit 3: 3230
Note: Always set a Stop Loss in every trade to manage risk and protect your capital.
No need to hesitate, gold continues to be bullish
I just told you that you can go long near 3298. Gold once retreated to around 3275 during the European session.
I think if you want to go long, there is definitely a chance, and I have been emphasizing this.
I am still in a stable state, and I only suggest going long near 3290 during the US session.
As of now, gold has reached around 3330, which has reached my two target positions.
Since gold can stand at 3330, it will definitely continue to rise in the future.
At present, gold is a W-shaped structure, and it will definitely hit the top near 3360 in the future.
So, my suggestion here is still to go long. But maybe gold will not be given a position below 3300.
Therefore, if there is a subsequent retracement of gold, you can focus on entering the market near 3300-3310 and go long. The final target is still around 3360.