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6.16 Can gold reach a new high?6.16 Can gold reach a new high? As the war between Israel and Iran in the Middle East continues to heat up, the international gold price has continued to break through strongly. "Iran is seriously considering whether to block the Strait of Hormuz, said Esmail Kosari, a member of the Iranian Parliament's Security Committee." If the conflict between Iran and Israel continues to escalate in the past two days, gold will continue to hit a new high. If you listened to my advice on Friday and opened a position below 3420, you can pay attention to the support of 3430, because there has been a high move at the opening today, but it only broke through 3450. It proves that the short pressure is very large, and the strength of today's correction will not be small. If the correction breaks through 3430, it may continue to fall to around 3415. At this time, you can continue to increase your position. If the correction does not break through 3430, you can increase your position with a light position. Pay attention to the international situation at any time. The price of gold has been fluctuating at a high level. If it can stand firm, then the recent price of gold at 3500 is not its limit. Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmilyShared256111
Gold (XAU/USD) Setup – June 16, 2025🔍 Watching for a bearish retracement Gold is currently trading around 3432.83, but price action shows signs of weakness after a strong bullish impulse. We're now seeing consolidation near the top, and if momentum fades, I expect a retracement back to test key demand zones. 🎯 Target Zones for Retracement: 📌 3403.48 – First key level of interest (minor support) 📌 3391.97 – Stronger demand area 🟠 3386.58 to 3383.95 – Institutional order block / NDOG zone (June 13) 💭 My Bias: Short-term bearish – I expect sellers to step in and push price down into one of these zones before bulls potentially return. 📆 Let’s see how the market reacts around these levels tomorrow. Will gold respect the zones and bounce? Or break deeper? #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #FX #SmartMoney #NDOG #OrderBlocks #LiquidityGrab
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mustafe9_Mohamed
Chart Breakdown – GOLD (4H) KEY LEVEL TO WHATCH AND WHY Hello traders! It’s been a while since our last market update — I’ve been tied up working on a few exciting projects behind the scenes. But let’s dive straight into the action with a fresh look at GOLD for this week. 🔍 Chart Breakdown – GOLD (4H) We’ve been tracking a Double Drive Bullish setup that activated from the Entry Level at 3177.11, and since then, price has unfolded a sequence of high-probability structures: ✅ ABC bullish continuation ✅ Multiple Double Drive formations ✅ A clean 121 Bullish Symmetry Pattern ✅ Rectangular Channel breakout ✅ Local Head & Shoulders bottom As expected, price found support near the 78.6% retracement at 3308, which was also the final wall of the last 121 structure. From there, GOLD pushed impulsively and is now trading at 3432. 🟩 Key Level to Watch: 3432.50 This is our pivot. If price holds this zone, we may be setting up for an extension move — potentially toward: 🔹 61.8% Extension – 🔹 78.6% Extension – 🔹 100% 121 target – full symmetry alignment and major exhaustion zone 📈 Summary: We’re in a continuation structure with bullish pressure building. GOLD is respecting all key reversal structures and fib symmetry so far. As long as 3432.50 holds, we’re eyeing new highs — with the potential to challenge ATH zones through the layered completion targets above. Let’s keep our focus sharp, manage risk like pros, and trade with discipline. Stay tuned for real-time updates and new pattern alerts throughout the week. — Trade Chart Patterns Like The Pros
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
Gold price target of 3500 on Monday?Gold price target of 3500 on Monday? Middle East is in turmoil again, tense situation On Thursday and Friday, gold price took the opportunity to rise, forming a sharp upward trend, and is currently hovering around the previous pressure level of 3440; 1: Technical aspect: hovering around 3440 in the short term, but after the fermentation over the weekend, the probability of gold price hitting 3500 or even breaking through next week continues to increase. 2: Fundamentals: This is an important risk event over the weekend and also an important risk event in the near future; the current exchange of fire between Iran and Israel has inevitably intensified the trend of conflict and contradiction; there are too many uncertainties and interference factors in the future development direction of the situation; 1: The latest news is that Iran has sent ballistic missiles to Israel to respond; next week, the gold and crude oil markets may continue to be boosted by risk aversion, forming a strong upward trend; 2: Possible future trends: A: The incident escalates directly; it has already occurred; proxy war; through the response to the incident, the forces such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and Houthi armed forces in Yemen are reactivated to engage in multi-line confrontations and form a multi-line pincer attack on Israel; B: The United States intervenes militarily, and neighboring countries indirectly participate in the war, forming two strong confrontations; the forces of all parties Powers are playing games behind the scenes; China and Russia use strategic containment, diplomatic mediation and other means; Impact on the global market: 1: Breaking the balance of the crude oil market; if the Strait of Hormuz is completely blocked, there is a high possibility that oil prices will soar directly in the future; 2: The impact on the financial market and regional economy is great, and the financial markets of Iran itself and neighboring countries will face risks; at the same time, global risk aversion is further intensifying, and gold, as a natural safe-haven currency, is bound to become a support level; Summary: On the disk, it is still bullish next week, and the main operation is to follow the trend; At the same time, the war in the Middle East is still the core of the entire market; the support level on the disk is 3400-3300 points, and the only pressure level above is 3500 points; The trend line begins to break through and stabilize near 3500, so just follow the trend!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa21210
Buy 3424, close during Asia open on Monday.This is a fundamentally based idea. I´m expecting GOLD will gap during weekend, diue to possible Iran "retaliation" atack during weekend(this night). The most likely target is 3500-3520. You can open your position now at 3424. Very important, you HAVE TO, control your position during Asia open on Monday and do not be greedy. Expecting very sharp pullback (do not trade it). Control your size, take it as educational idea with very small size. Wishing you good luck. I´m not a signal service. If you want to trade signals, please contact one of the signalist commenting this idea, help them finance their life from signal services. I do not do this service. My suggestion is rely on your own trading decisions, not somebody else. You will save a lot of money.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Rendon1
XAUUSD:Go long, go long "Israel announced a strike on Iran" broke out the news, gold and crude oil in the Asian session soared. Again help us recently do long ideas, too late to explain so much, the follow-up trading ideas are still long after the pullback. After 3403 broke through has been converted into strong support, short - term to 3415-20 to do more. Trading Strategy: BUY@3415-20 TP:3440-50 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
6/13 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone! Gold rallied to around $3399 during yesterday’s session, accurately reaching our preset sell zone at 3385–3403. Since then, the market has started pulling back, and today’s opening shows signs of accelerated downside movement. However, there are several strong support zones below, with immediate focus on 3378–3368, and further support around 3352–3343. 📉 Technical Outlook: The current price action suggests the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern. If confirmed, this could trigger a deeper correction towards 3340–3330. A break of these levels would significantly weaken the current bullish structure and open further downside risk. 🌍 Fundamental Drivers: Today’s inflation-related data releases may add significant volatility; Additionally, stay alert to any developments in the Middle East geopolitical situation, which could quickly shift market sentiment toward risk-off if escalations occur. 📌 Today’s Trading Recommendations: ✅ Sell Zone: 3410–3420 ✅ Buy Zone: 3338–3326 🔄 Intraday Key Reaction Levels: 3403 / 3378 / 3362 / 3355 / 3343 🔒 Recommendation: Market is at a technically sensitive zone. Consider entering positions in batches and maintain strict risk control.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold Bull Run: Wave 5 on the Way! Elliott Wave Setup – We're in Wave 5, riding a powerful upward channel from the recent Wave 4 low, aiming for ~$3,500–3,600 Key Resistance & Breakout – The $3,497–3,500 area is critical. A clean breakout above this could open the next leg toward ~$3,600–3,700, echoing forecasts from ANZ and Cantor . Support Level – Immediate support lies around the $3,392 area (recent resistance turned support). A dip back to $3,420–3,440 could provide a strong buying opportunity. Macro Drivers – Geopolitical tensions (especially in the Middle East) and a soft U.S. dollar are fueling safe-haven buying, matching broader bullish sentiment . 📈 Outlook: Minor pullback expected, then resumption of rally. Breakout above $3,500 could trigger the next surge. 🛡️ Strategy Tip: Consider buying on dips around $3,420–3,450 with resistance-based stop-loss and targets at $3,500 then $3,600–3,700.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Gold Rallies as Rate Cut Bets Heat UpGold prices extended gains today, driven primarily by lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which has increased speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates. The weaker inflation reading sent the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields lower, giving gold a strong push to the upside. Currently, markets are pricing in a 68% chance of a Fed rate cut in September, which is generally seen as bullish for gold buyers. Another supporting factor is growing investor caution amid lingering uncertainties in U.S.–China trade relations, further boosting demand for safe-haven assets. At the time of writing, gold is trading around $3,372, up more than 170 pips on the day.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements. Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top. Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios: 1 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,950 Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum 2 TP Correction Scenario Support Target: ~$2,650 Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend. Bullish Continuation Targets TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension) These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles. Supporting Technicals RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave Macro Fundamentals & Correlations Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum. Scenario Interactions: If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050. If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold. Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion. Scenario Interactions: If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite. If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets. A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity. These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario. In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance. From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey. Conclusion We present a multi-phased path for gold where: An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BitonGroup