I Bought at $3,308.16, Gold Market Hey fam, I’m back with an update on my XAU/USD M30 chart from April 25, 2025, at 09:19 PM WAT. I bought at $3,308.16 just now, after closing my earlier short at $3,305.69, and I’m here to break down my new trade setup for you. I’ve been hunting gold all week, balancing my trades with my passions like curating scents at Icon Collections Store, and I’m excited to share this move. Let’s analyze my buy, see how it aligns with my checklist, and make this interactive—grab a smoothie from Tastequest.com and let’s dive in!
At 09:19 PM WAT, gold was at $3,306.52 (sell price) on the M30 chart, but I bought at $3,308.16, likely anticipating a bounce after the recent spike. Let’s recap the context: I had a short position at $3,305.69, targeting $3,294.71, with a stop-loss at $3,306.57. Gold spiked to $3,306.52, just 5 pips from my stop-loss, testing the bearish order block at $3,306.21. I suspected a liquidity grab by smart money, hunting stop-losses above the order block before resuming the downtrend. However, the spike to $3,306.52 and the failure to break above the previous high at $3,306.98 prompted me to close my short and flip to a buy at $3,308.16, expecting a potential reversal or short-term bounce.Let’s run through my checklist to see how this buy fits my criteria, which I’ve fine-tuned over six months:Harmonic Patterns: No clear XABCD structure is visible, but the spike to $3,306.52 and failure to break $3,306.98 suggest a potential reversal. This aligns with my past use of harmonic patterns, like the bearish shark I identified earlier this week, but now I’m looking for a bullish setup.Market Structure: The broader trend is still bearish—lower highs and lower lows since $3,499.99 on April 22. However, the spike to $3,306.52 and rejection at the $3,306.21 order block could indicate a short-term bullish move, possibly a liquidity grab setting up a bounce.Order Blocks: The bearish order block at $3,306.21 was retested, but the failure to drop immediately suggests buyers might be stepping in. I’m now looking for a bullish order block below, potentially around $3,294.71, where buyers defended earlier.Volume Profile: Not visible, but I’d expect high volume at $3,306.21, with a Fair Value Gap below near $3,294.71. A spike in volume on this bounce would confirm buying pressure.Top-Down Analysis: H4 and H1 are bearish, but M30 shows this spike as a potential reversal setup. M15 would confirm with a green Heikin Ashi candle if buyers take control.Heikin Ashi: Not visible, but I’d expect a green candle on M15 to confirm my buy. The green candle at $3,306.52 shows buying pressure, supporting my decision.Fibonacci: From the high at $3,306.98 to the low at $3,294.71, the 61.8% retracement is near $3,302.21, and the 78.6% is around $3,304.21. My buy at $3,308.16 is above the 100% Fib, suggesting I’m catching a potential breakout above the order block.Gann Theory: The descending trendline points to a target near $3,294.71 for bears, but a break above $3,306.98 could target $3,312.10, the next resistance on the chart.MACD and RSI: Not shown, but I’d expect MACD to show increasing momentum on this bounce, and RSI might be moving above 50, indicating a shift from bearish to neutral momentum.Risk Management: My buy at $3,308.16, stop-loss below the recent low at $3,294.71 (1345 pips risk), and take-profit at $3,312.10 (394 pips reward) gives a 1:0.3 reward ratio—lower than my usual 1:3, but I’m playing a short-term bounce. I might adjust this as the trade develops.Confirmation: I wait for all pieces to align. The failure to break $3,306.98, the retest of $3,306.21, and likely green Heikin Ashi on M15 are my signals for this buy.
Trade Assessment: My buy at $3,308.16 is a bold move, as the broader trend remains bearish, but I’m playing a short-term bounce after the liquidity grab at $3,306.21. The failure to break above $3,306.98 and the buying pressure at $3,306.52 support my decision, but my risk-reward ratio is tight. I’ve flipped positions before—like when I targeted 20 pips on a 15-minute XAU/USD chart earlier this year—so I’m comfortable with quick adjustments. I’m targeting $3,312.10, the next resistance, but I’ll watch for a break above $3,306.98 to confirm this move. If price drops below $3,294.71, I’ll exit and reassess for a bearish setup. My system’s rated a ten out of ten, but I need to improve my timing, as I’ve entered early before, like on April 23 when I sold at $3,310 instead of $3,315.
