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Gold - Heading Higher For Another +30%!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) won't stop any time soon: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Back in 2015 we witnessed a significant rounding bottom formation on Gold, starting the next major bullrun. With the all time high breakout back in the end of 2023, this rally was just confirmed and after the recent trendline breakout, Gold can still head much much higher. Levels to watch: $4.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDLong
by basictradingtv
14
Gold has a top signal, be wary of a retracement today! On Wednesday, as the market waited to see whether Trump would reach a new trade agreement with trading partners, the US dollar index fell again and once fell to around $99. Due to the weakening of the US dollar and the escalation of trade tensions, spot gold continued its record-breaking rise, refreshing its historical high to above $3,340, and soared by more than $100 during the day. Today, Thursday, gold continued its bullish trend last night in the early trading, and once hit a historical high of 3,357 in the early trading. But now we need to be extra careful, because tomorrow is Friday, Good Friday, and the market will be closed all day, which means that today, Thursday, is the last trading day of the week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be taken out of the market. Once the long positions are taken out of the market, it is easy to have a large retracement, so we must be careful about this and must not be overly bullish. Today's opening position is around 3342. In the morning, it retreated to around 3320, and then stretched up again. However, it can be found that since it fell below the opening position of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again. This is a strong signal of short-term retracement, especially when long positions are about to be profited. Moreover, the hourly chart has a little ABC wave-shaped retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300-10, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower. Currently, the ma10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3310. Therefore, it is not recommended that you chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3310 in advance. In terms of operation, I suggest that you can enter the market and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3310.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Yuliya1l11
Markets revolve around US-China, GOLD seeks new peaksAs Powell's warnings about the impact of the trade war increased market volatility, US stocks and the US dollar fell sharply and gold prices hit new highs. Powell warned that the central bank may have less flexibility to quickly mitigate the economic impact of President Donald Trump's trade war, comments that sent stocks lower on Wednesday. Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates and that it would be "better to wait until the situation becomes clearer before considering any adjustments to the policy stance." He also acknowledged that the Fed could face a difficult situation where its two policy goals of price stability and maximum employment conflict, as Trump's tariffs could push up U.S. inflation and slow economic growth. OANDA:XAUUSD have risen nearly $700/ounce, or nearly 28%, this year, driven by tariff disputes, expectations of interest rate cuts and strong central bank buying, outpacing the 27% gain in 2024. Gold prices have continued to rise as the escalating trade war raises concerns of a global recession. At the same time, the Trump administration is preparing to pressure other countries to limit trade with China in response to US tariffs in US-China trade talks. U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday ordered an investigation into possible tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the United States, marking a new escalation in his dispute with global trading partners and an effort to pressure China. The latest escalation in tensions between the world’s two largest economies has hurt sentiment in financial markets overall, sending investors fleeing to safe-haven assets like gold. However, a profit-taking or positive developments in US-China trade relations could trigger a sell-off. Therefore, readers/traders need to closely monitor developments surrounding the trade war to make timely changes in their trading plans to suit the market context. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold continues to find and renew all-time highs with an absolutely supported uptrend in both the short, medium and long term. In the long term, the price channel will be set as the main trend with the main support from EMA21, while in the short term, gold is still in an uptrend with support from the 0.382% Fibonacci extension levels and the raw price point of 3,300USD right after. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is entering the overbought zone, a downward RSI below 80 would be considered a signal for a possible correction. Going forward, the trend and outlook for gold prices remain bullish, and declines should only be considered short-term corrections. But this note will be important, in a market where assets (Gold) are overbought, making them a bubble, any correction will cause serious selling sentiment. As in the current context, we cannot know when the US-China war will cool down, and any positive move around this war will cause selling sentiment in the gold market, which is considered a traditional safe haven asset. During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be listed again by the following positions. Support: 3,303 – 3,300 USD Resistance: 3,337 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3396 - 3394⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3400 →Take Profit 1 3388 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3382 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3309 - 3311⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3305 →Take Profit 1 3317 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3323
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
5
Gold Analysis April 17Another day of half-full D candle increase but today there is a bearish wave appearing The h4 frame has shown signs of sellers jumping into the market and H1 also formed bearish waves. The bearish wave formed with support 3322. Breaking 3322 is very easy to form a strong bearish wave but the necessary condition is that the 3315 zone will have to be broken. If 3315 increases, 3338 is the zone that the Sellers are also waiting for. 3354-3355 ATH zone will still have a reaction from the Sellers before creating a new ATH. Trading zone when there is confirmation Price zones to pay attention to BUY 3315, 3293, 3275 Price zones to pay attention to SELL 3337, 3354
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Trading Smarter, Not Harder: Decoding Institutional MovesThere’s an old saying in trading: “Follow the smart money.” But how do you know where the smart money is going? The answer lies not in guesswork but in data—specifically, the kind of institutional-grade data that most retail traders overlook. If you’re serious about understanding market dynamics, it’s time to dive into the world of **COT (Commitment of Traders) reports** and **options flow data** from the **CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange)**. These tools are like your personal radar, cutting through the noise to reveal what the big players are doing. Step 1: Understanding the Big Picture – Why Market Sentiment Matters Before we zoom into the specifics, let’s start with the basics. Markets are driven by sentiment—the collective mood of participants. When fear dominates, prices fall; when greed takes over, they rise. But here’s the catch: Retail traders often react to sentiment after it’s already priced in. By the time you see a headline screaming “Market Crashes!” or “Record Highs!”, the opportunity has likely passed. This is where systematic analysis comes in. Instead of relying on emotions or lagging indicators, smart traders use raw data to anticipate shifts in sentiment. And two of the most powerful sources of this data are **COT reports** and **CME options flow**. Step 2: The Commitment of Traders (COT) Report – Peering Into the Mind of Institutions The **COT report**, published weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), provides a breakdown of positions held by different types of traders: commercial hedgers, non-commercial speculators (like hedge funds), and small retail traders. Here’s why it’s invaluable: - **Commercial Hedgers**: These are the “smart money” players—producers and consumers who use futures markets to hedge their risk. For example, a sugar producer might sell futures contracts to lock in prices. Their actions often signal future supply and demand trends. - **Non-Commercial Speculators**: These are the momentum-driven players who bet on price movements. Tracking their positioning helps identify potential reversals. - **Small Traders**: Often considered the “dumb money,” their positions frequently coincide with market tops or bottoms. By systematically analyzing the COT report, you will discover your ability to identify patterns and positioning levels of participants that signal trend reversals or the onset of corrections. Seriously, this will blow your mind! The insights you gain will be so groundbreaking that they will change your trading game forever. Step 3: Options Flow – Real-Time Insights Into Institutional Activity While the COT report offers a macro view, **options flow** gives you real-time insights into institutional activity. Directly through CME data feeds, you can track large block trades in options markets. Here’s why this matters: It will take some time, observation, and comparison with price charts to learn how to uncover insights that lead to trades with a risk-reward ratio of 1:10 or even higher. This isn’t about needing to make options trades; that’s not a requirement. It’s about being able to trade the Forex market much more effectively by using entry points highlighted by options and futures market reports. For example, over the past few weeks, the USD/JPY pair has been in a downtrend. Long before this happened, major players were accumulating positions in call options on the futures for the yen (which is equivalent to a decline in the yen). We discussed this before the drop occurred (you can easily find those analyses on our page ). What’s remarkable is that there are many such insights available. For certain instruments (like precious metals and currency pairs), these insights appear with a certain regularity and provide excellent sentiment for opening positions or reversing positions in the opposite direction. Step 4: Connecting the Dots – From General Trends to Specific Trades Now that we’ve covered the tools, let’s talk about how to apply them systematically. Imagine you’re analyzing the sugar futures market (a favorite among commodity traders): 1. **Check the COT Report**: In the precious metals market, commercials are often positioned short, hedging against the risk of a decline in the underlying asset's value. When their net position hovers around zero , it typically signals a bullish trend for gold prices in the vast majority of cases. 2. **Analyze Options Flow**: when filtering options by sentiment, there are several key factors to consider: - Size and value of the option portfolio - Distance from the central strike (Delta) - Time to expiration - Appearance on the rise/fall of the underlying asset Option portfolios with names such as vertical spread, butterfly, and condor (iVERTICAL SPREAD, IRON FLY/FLY, CONDOR/IRON CONDOR) have predictive sentiment regarding the direction of the asset's price movement. While "naked" options (PUT or CALL options) with above-average volume can signal that the price is encountering a significant obstacle at that level, leading to a potential bounce off that level (support or resistance). 3 **Combine with Retail Positions Analysis**: Look for opportunities to trade against the crowd. If retail sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, consider a bearish position, and vice versa. This layered approach ensures you’re not just reacting to headlines but making informed decisions based on valuable data. Step 5: Why Systematic Analysis Sets You Apart Here’s the truth: Most traders fail because they rely on intuition rather than evidence. They chase tips, follow social media hype, or get swayed by emotional biases. But markets reward discipline and preparation. By mastering tools like COT reports and options flow, you gain a competitive edge—a deeper understanding market breath! The path of least resistance! Remember, even seasoned professionals don’t predict every move correctly.However, having a reliable structure allows you to maximize profits from transactions, eliminate noise and unnecessary (questionable) transactions. Final Thoughts: Your Path to Mastery If there’s one takeaway from this article, let it be this: The best traders aren’t fortune-tellers; they’re detectives. They piece together clues from multiple sources to form a coherent picture of the market. Start with the big picture (COT reports), zoom into real-time activity (options flow), and then refine your strategy with technical analysis. So next time you open chart, don’t just look at price. Dive into the reports/data before. Ask questions. Connect the dots. Because in the world of trading, knowledge truly is power. What’s your experience with COT reports or options flow? Share your thoughts in the comments below—I’d love to hear how you incorporate these tools into your trading routine! **P.S.** If you found this article helpful, consider bookmarking it for future reference.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ClashChartsTeam
Gold Price Rollercoaster: Is the Rally Just Beginning?The gold price has had a pretty crazy six days, jumping from 3,014 USD on April 9, 2025, to 3,357 USD on April 17 – that’s a solid 11%+ gain. So, what’s going on now? Is the gold rally over, or could we see even more upside? Let’s break it down. 🔥 What’s driving the gold price? The big reason behind the recent surge is the trade war between the US and China. Trump has slapped new tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, which has shaken things up in the markets. The Fed has also warned that these tariffs are bigger than expected, and could slow down growth and increase inflation. When things get uncertain, investors tend to rush to safe havens like gold, and that’s exactly what’s happening right now. The demand for gold is up, and so is the price. 📉 What does the ECB rate cut mean? The European Central Bank (ECB) has lowered interest rates by 0.25% today, dropping from 4.5% to 4.25%. They’re trying to help the economy out and ease inflation. Lower rates mean fixed-income investments aren’t as attractive, which makes gold a better option. But, the US Fed has made it clear they won’t cut rates before June 2025, which could strengthen the US dollar and make gold a little less appealing. 🕊️ What if there’s a trade deal? Now, imagine there’s a breakthrough – a trade deal, fairer tariffs, and everyone’s calming down. That could change things for gold: 📉 Less risk = less demand for gold: If things chill out, less capital will flow into gold. 💵 Stronger Dollar?: A trade deal could make the US dollar stronger, which isn’t necessarily great for gold. But Trump has made it clear that he doesn't want a strong dollar, since it makes US goods less competitive abroad. Even if the dollar does strengthen, it might put pressure on gold since it becomes more expensive for people using other currencies. 🔁 Money shifts: If things get calmer, investors might move away from gold and back into stocks or bonds for better returns. So, a deal could definitely slow down or even end this gold rally. 🧭 What does this mean for investors? Daytraders For day traders, the current ups and downs can offer some good opportunities, but they also come with risks. The markets are super sensitive to news about the trade war and rate cuts. Quick gains are possible, but you’ve got to be careful. If a trade deal happens, expect the classic “Sell the News” scenario where the market cools off. Medium-Term Investors (1 Month) Over the next few weeks, we’ll see if more trade war news or central bank decisions impact the gold price. The rally could keep going, but nothing is guaranteed. If you’re in it for the medium-term, keep your positions flexible and manage risk closely. A trade deal could be bad news for gold, though. Long-Term Investors Long-term, gold is still a great way to hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks. The current trends could help gold prices, but keep in mind there could be some ups and downs. If the price drops due to a trade deal, it might actually be a good opportunity to buy. 📊 The Bottom Line Gold has been on a hot streak lately, driven by the trade war and central bank moves. Whether this rally continues or cools down depends on what happens next. A trade deal could bring a correction. So, keep an eye on things and adjust your strategy accordingly. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
XAU/USD) Flag Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Analysis presents a bullish outlook for XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a breakdown of the key elements: --- Key Analysis Points: 1. Order Block + Key Support Zone: Price recently tapped into a bullish order block around the $3,166.74–$3,208.62 zone. This area is also marked as a "key support level", suggesting a strong demand zone. The confluence of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and order block gives this zone higher validity for potential reversal. 2. Bullish Market Structure: The chart shows higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend. Price action broke above a small consolidation, showing bullish momentum is resuming. 3. Projected Target: The target point is set at $3,283.01, suggesting about a 55-point upside from the current price. This target sits above a previous high, indicating anticipation of a liquidity grab or breakout. 4. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is at 57.94, which is a neutral-to-bullish zone. It supports the idea that there's still room for price to move up before being overbought. 5. EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average): The price is well above the 200 EMA, confirming a bullish bias in the higher timeframe. Mr SMC Trading point --- Possible Strategy: Long (Buy) Entry Zone: Between $3,166–$3,208 (ideal near the order block/FVG). Target: $3,283 Stop Loss: Below the order block, ideally below $3,166 to avoid getting wicked out. --- Final Thoughts: This is a well-structured bullish setup based on institutional concepts like order blocks and FVGs. The price is aligned with the trend, and RSI supports more upside. However, watch for any major news catalysts (especially with those economic event icons shown). Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
GOLD Trade Plan 16/04/2025Dear Traders, "Gold continues its bullish trend without any significant correction, primarily driven by ongoing systematic risks. At present, in the 4-hour timeframe, it has reached the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Should a correction take place, a retracement toward the 3250 level is possible. Following that, the chart should be re-evaluated to identify potential buying opportunities." If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content." Regards, Alireza
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
2
Gold hit target at $3,337 next target? $3,443Since the last update on Gold, the price hit the target yesterday at $3,337. Not only has it been awesome buying and investing in gold stocks, but also trading Gold upside with day trading has been a dream. So why has gold been going up and what's next? 🏦 Central banks are buying tons of gold, especially China — big demand! 🌍 Global tension’s heating up (Middle East, Russia, Taiwan) — so gold’s the safe haven. 💵 Weak USD & interest rate cut hopes make gold more attractive. 📉 Inflation fears aren't gone, so people hedge with gold. 📈 Breakout above resistance means traders are piling in for momentum. Technicals say that the price is going to continue up. It is going up with a slingshot formation of over 60 degrees steep. But if the uptrend holds, we will continue to see it hit the next target at $3,443. Not huge but it's something. Let's see. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSDLong
by Timonrosso
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: An extremely decent day on Gold with price doing what we wanted in the KOG Report. We tested the low, got the RIP, tested the high, got the RIP and then continued with the move point to point, level to level to completed the path and most of our bearish and bias target levels. We're now in with runners protected with the immediate resistance level above at the 3220-25 region which will need to hold for price continue with the move downside. Based on a clean rejection, we should continue first into the 3195 level. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3265 with targets below 3220✅, 3210✅. 3197✅, 3190 and below that 3170 Bullish on break of 3265 with targets above 3276, 3280, 3285 and above that 3292 RED BOXES: Break above 3250 for 3255, 3261, 3269, 3275 and 3290 in extension of the move Break below 3230 for 3220✅, 3210✅, 3206✅, 3195✅ and 3180 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
12
Gold Market Analysis: Key Levels to WatchGold Market Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Gold is currently in a highly overbought state. Since April 10th, its price has surged past a strong resistance level, climbing up to 3245. The price could now make a minor correction before continuing its rise, or a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend. Let's examine two possible scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If gold rises above 3245, it could aim for higher targets at 3284 and 3300. Bearish Scenario: If gold drops below 3206, a bearish trend may unfold, with potential declines to 3167 and 3128. Both levels should be closely monitored, as a rebound from these areas could lead to a stronger upward wave. In particular, 3167 seems to be a solid support level with a higher chance of reversing the downward trend. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by KlejdiCuni
6
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would stick with the NFP move and look for price to continue long looking for our target region 3050-55. We were already in the move with the trades protected, however, on open we did get closed at BE only to be able to get a better entry from the undercut low. After the break of the key level and on the flip we managed to then continue with the move upside completing numerous Excalibur targets as well as our bias and red box targets upside. I can’t say that was an easy week, the move was huge and thankfully we managed to stay the right side of it guided by the in-house indi’s and Excalibur. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Although further upside is likely, we can’t long here as it’s too dangerous after that stretch last week. So let’s see how the market opens and if the Asia session attempts to test that high again. It’s the first level of 3230 that needs to be watched, support here can push us back upside into the above the key level of 3250-55 which is our ideal level for the hunt. If we can stay below that level we could see a RIP and price attempt the correction many traders are looking for in the early part of the week. The lower levels 3220 need to break as well as then the hurdle of 3210 which will make the correction easier. Due to low volume news next week, we could see a lot of ranging in anticipation of some geopolitical news which will bring sudden spurts of volume and the movement that we want to see. 3190 is the key level support and also the pattern test region, traders should keep an eye on this level of support for any RIP’s and potential for upside, so if attacked a bounce around there should be on the cards. It’s simply a red box break and close week this week, monitoring the price action and only looking for the longs if we get pullbacks, otherwise, 1-2 decent short opportunities should be enough for the short week. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3265 with targets below 3220, 3210. 3197, 3190 and below that 3170 Bullish on break of 3265 with targets above 3276, 3280, 3285 and above that 3292 RED BOXES: Break above 3250 for 3255, 3261, 3269, 3275 and 3290 in extension of the move Break below 3230 for 3220, 3210, 3206, 3195 and 3180 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
17
Gold skyrocketing as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is soaring as it represents safe-haven asset, I'd prefer to stay with the trend (Bullish). I have attempted to Buy Gold on #3,208.80 and since Price-action tested #3,214.80 I moved my Stop on breakeven and it got triggered moments ahead which left me without order and Gold delivered #3,225.80 extension. However I have managed to re-Sell #3,225.80. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold for maximum Profit optimisation from my calculated re-Buy zones. #3,192.80 is Support for current Bullish motion." Technical analysis: I have announced that Gold might skyrocket as next Resistance zone is priced at #3,322.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,352.80 benchmark configuration. Gold has invalidated solid Neutral Rectangle on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s extension (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Higher High's extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle). DX (# -0.63% almost) is again turning the market sentiment to Bullish on Intra-day basis, and according to my estimations, current Buying sequence was due to the Trump's tariff's talks, which is being aggressively Bought due to the remarks. My position: Congratulations for those who Bought Gold from #3,220's as per my advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
2
Gold Price Analysis April 15Frame D shows some selling pressure that could be profit-taking by investors but has not yet confirmed the appearance of a downtrend. The h4 wave structure is still leaning towards the bulls quite a bit when the 3215 zone has been noticed by buyers Gold is rejecting the 3232 price zone, trading around 3223, creating a fairly important resistance zone at 3232. Trading scenario This decline is still quite strong and can decrease to the support zone of break out 3215. In the US session, pay attention to the price reaction of this zone to buy. If it bounces strongly from 3215, you can consider holding it long. On the contrary, if it breaks through 3215, 3203 is the destination for the SELL signal. 3237 is an important resistance zone today. If the price breaks this zone, it will confirm an ATH in the US session.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD → Countertrend correction. What to do in this case?FX:XAUUSD , after a bull run, bumps into strong limit resistance at 3244 and enters a correction phase, which is generally a logical maneuver amid strong gains. Gold corrects from Friday's record $3,245 and moves back to $3,200 amid improving market sentiment and progress in trade talks. The price pared gains after a strong weekly rally, reacting to U.S. concessions on tariffs on Chinese electronics and China's pledges to boost economic stimulus. Additional influences come from the dialog between the US and Iran, as well as the anticipation of China's GDP and trade data for March. Despite the pullback, downside may be limited due to ongoing uncertainty. Technically, it is worth looking at the 3187 - 3167 conglomerate of support, which can stop (temporarily or even turn the price upward) a strong and sharp decline, as the fundamental backdrop within the tariff war is still tense. Resistance levels: 3244, 3270 Support levels: 3187, 3174, 3167 The rally is temporarily halted, but there is no talk of a trend reversal, as the tariff war fire is still burning, Trump or Xi Jinping may add to the fire.... Within the framework of counter-trend correction, the emphasis is on the support of 3187, 3174, 3167 from which we can trade a false breakdown and catch the price rebound. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
Gold Technical Analysis - Potential Trade SetupTime Frame: 15-Minute and 4-Hour Pattern: Head and Shoulders Formation --- Overview: Currently, on the 15-minute time frame, we observe a potential Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could indicate a bearish reversal. As we analyze further, we identify that the B wave might be completing, setting us up for the upcoming C wave to the downside. Key Levels: - Invalidation Level (Head of the Pattern): 3246 - Fibonacci Level (Key Area on 4-Hour Time Frame): 0.618 --- Trade Setup: Given the formation and confirmations, we suggest considering a sell trade: 1. Entry Point: Monitor for a confirmation of the bearish move below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. 2. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly above the invalidation level of 3246 to mitigate risk. 3. Take Profit Targets: - TP1: 3215 - TP2: 3205 - TP3: 3195 - TP4: 3180 -TP5: 3140 Once the price moves below these levels, consider holding the sell trade down to a potential extreme target of 3140. If we break 3140, the next support zone between 3040 and 3050 could come into play, where I expect strong buying interest for intra-day trading --- Risk Management: Always manage your risk appropriately. Ensure that your position size is in line with your risk tolerance and that your stop loss is strictly adhered to. Monitor the market closely, as patterns can evolve, and be prepared to adjust your strategy as needed. Conclusion: With the Head and Shoulders pattern and the identified Fibonacci level providing confluence for a potential downside move, we have a compelling setup for taking a sell position. Keep an eye on the market dynamics and make informed decisions. --- Stay safe and trade wisely!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SRFXGlobal
HelenP. I Gold may make correction and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Following a deep correction that pushed the price down to the support zone between 2975 and 2950 points, Gold made a strong bullish reversal. This zone had already acted as a key accumulation area in the past, and once again, buyers stepped in aggressively. The reaction from support 2 at 2975 points was sharp, with the price bouncing and forming a clear impulse move. As XAU continued to rise, it broke back above the trend line and retested it, turning former resistance into support. Shortly after, the price pushed above the local support zone between 3165 and 3185 points, confirming the strength of the bullish trend. This zone is now acting as a base for further growth. Currently, Gold is trading above the trend line and support zone, holding near the 3230 area. The recent bullish momentum, strong impulse structure, and consistent reaction to technical levels indicate that buyers remain in control. Given the breakout, successful retest, and strength from key support zones, I expect XAUUSD to continue rising toward my goal at 3300 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
22
Best Technical Indicator to Identify Order Block & Imbalance Your ability to correctly identify Order Blocks on a price chart is essential for profitable trading Smart Money Concept. In this article, I will show you a great technical indicator that will help you to spot Order Blocks on any financial market. First, in brief, let me give you my definition of Order Block. The problem is that in SMC trading there is no one single definition of that and many traders interpret it differently. To me, an Order Block is a specific zone on a chart from where a strong price movement initiates and where a significant imbalance between supply and demand occurs . This imbalance should strictly originate from a liquidity zone. That definition implies that in order to identify an Order Block zone, one should learn to properly identify the imbalance and liquidity zones. And again, there is no precise definition of an imbalance on a price chart. To me, a bullish imbalance is a formation of a bullish engulfing candle - the one that engulfs a range of previous bearish candle with its body. Above is the example of a valid Order Block on GBPUSD. A bearish imbalance is a formation of a bearish engulfing candle - the one that engulfs a range of a previous bullish candle with its body. Above, you can see the example of an Order Block on USDCAD, based on a bearish imbalance. There is one technical indicator that will help you to recognize such Order Blocks. It is called " All Candlestick Patterns" on TradingView. Open settings of the indicator and make it show ONLY Engulfing Candles and choose "No Detection" in "Detect Trends Based on". After that, hide the indicator and first, Identify the liquidity zones on a chart and wait for a test of one of these zones. Here is a test of a liquidity zone on NZDUSD on an hourly time frame. After that, turn on the indicator, and wait for its signal. You can see that after some time, the price formed a bullish imbalance with a bullish engulfing candle. The indicator highlight that candle. The Order Block zone will be based on the lowest low of 2 candles and the high of a bearish candle preceding the imbalance. One more example. We see a test of a significant liquidity zone on EURAUD on a 4H time frame. We turn on the indicator and look for a signal. A bearish imbalance is formed and the indicator immediately notifies us. An Order Block Zone in that case will be the area based on the highest high of 2 candles and the low of a bullish candle preceding the imbalance . Of course, there will be the rare cases when the indicator will miss the imbalances. But while you are learning to recognize Order Blocks, this indicator will definitely help you a lot! Thank you for reading! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Gold Takes a Pause Near HighsAs gold takes a breather just below its recent highs, it’s a good moment to zoom out and ask a few bigger questions. Is this a healthy consolidation before the next leg higher, or are we seeing early signs of buyer exhaustion? Let’s take a look at the key levels in play, what’s driving the broader move, and how the technical picture is shaping up. Gold Shines Amid Macro Noise Most markets this year have been on a Trumpian rollercoaster—rallying on the promise of deregulation and then stumbling as tariff threats rattle risk appetite. But gold has been a different story entirely. It’s been climbing steadily, driven by a cocktail of macro catalysts that continue to align in its favour. Geopolitical tension is a big one. From renewed trade war threats to simmering conflict in the Middle East, the backdrop is risk-heavy—and gold thrives in that environment. Add in lingering inflation worries and speculation around central bank easing, and you’ve got the ideal conditions for gold to rally. Crucially, gold isn’t just reacting to the headlines—it’s responding to positioning and flows. Demand from both institutional investors and central banks has remained strong. ETFs have seen persistent inflows, while major buyers continue to stockpile gold as a hedge against currency risk and market volatility. In short, the bull case for gold remains underpinned by more than just fear—it’s backed by allocation shifts and structural demand. Trend Watch: Strength, But Signs of Stretch Gold’s daily candle chart shows a market trading well above its rising 200-day moving average—always a strong signal that the broader trend remains intact. This uptrend has been in place for months, and the market has done the hard yards to build a healthy base before each new leg higher. That said, with gold pausing just beneath recent highs, it’s fair to ask whether we’re setting up for continuation—or due for a deeper pullback. There are arguments on both sides. The case for trend continuation starts with structure. The market continues to respect former resistance levels, which are now acting as support—always a good sign of an orderly rally. The trend angle itself also looks sustainable; this hasn’t been a parabolic move, which makes it less vulnerable to a violent correction. Perhaps most telling is the recent ‘high and tight’ consolidation. Rather than giving back gains, gold is simply moving sideways near the highs—a sign that dip buyers are stepping in quickly, and that there’s no real appetite for lower prices just yet. On the flip side, there are a couple of caution flags worth keeping an eye on. The first is the Keltner Channel. For context, the Keltner Channel is a volatility-based envelope that plots a band around a moving average, using the Average True Range to define the width. When price pushes into the upper band, it can signal an overextended move. While a 'slide' along the upper edge is possible in strong trends, a full-blown breakout above the channel often precedes a pullback—so it’s something to watch. Second is RSI divergence. Gold made a new trend high last week, but the RSI didn’t follow suit—instead forming a lower high. This divergence between price and momentum can be an early sign of fatigue. It doesn’t guarantee a reversal, but it does suggest the move may need a bit of a breather. Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Summary: Gold’s pause near highs looks healthy for now, especially in the context of the broader trend and supportive fundamentals. But it’s worth staying alert. A push above recent highs, backed by volume and strong momentum, would reinforce the bull case. However, if RSI divergence plays out and the price breaks short-term support levels, we could see a sharper pullback first. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Capitalcom