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Gold's Rollercoaster: From 3167 ATH to 2950 Support–What's Next?Since the beginning of the year, Gold has been on an impressive uptrend, gaining over 5000 pips, culminating with last week's ATH at 3167. As I highlighted throughout last week's analyses, even though we're in a strong uptrend, the price was too far deviated from the mean, making a correction inevitable. ✅ Friday Recap: After testing the resistance zone formed at 3135-3140, Gold dropped hard, closing the week 1000 pips lower from its peak during Friday's session. 📉 Recent Developments: The correction continued yesterday, with Gold recently touching an important confluence support around 2950. 📈 What's Next? I expect an upward movement and resumption of the uptrend, with targets at: • 3050 zone 📌 • 3080 zone 📌 🎯 Plan: Buy dips near support, aiming for the mentioned targets. The analysis would be negated if we see a clear break below 2950. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold: From Supercycle to Near-Term Target. What's Next?🧩 Gold is trading at all-time highs, and the key question is: where's the top? In this post, I present a complete picture: from the long-term supercycle to the current structure on the hourly chart, plus a full set of macro and fundamental arguments in favor of continued growth. 1. Grand Supercycle & Supercycle I'm using the Gold Futures COMEX:GC1! chart since 1975, which gives the best long-term volume profile. According to my Elliott Wave interpretation: Waves ① and ② of the Grand Supercycle ended before the 2000s. The Supercycle wave III began in 2000. Key milestones: Wave I of the Supercycle peaked in August 2011 Wave II bottomed in December 2015 This entire period featured accumulation and reaccumulation. Since 2016, the gold market entered an expansion phase, forming Supercycle wave III. We are currently within its first cycle wave, which suggests there's still a long way to go. 📌 The ultimate upside is hard to predict, but the projected path on the chart points to targets in the $8,000–12,000 zone. 2. The Cycle Wave Since 2016: Extended Fifth Starting from 2016, we see a classic 1–2–3–4–5 impulse structure, with the fifth wave showing clear extension — a trait commonly seen in commodity markets. 🔎 Robert Prechter pointed out that in traditional stock markets, it’s usually Wave 3 that gets extended — driven by greed and early confidence in the trend. But in commodity markets like gold, it’s often Wave 5 that gets extended. This is because traders hesitate for a long time and only enter the market in panic, typically during crises, inflationary spikes, or physical shortages. 📌 The primary motivation here is fear, capital preservation, and flight from risk — not profit-seeking. That’s why gold often produces vertical rallies at the end of a trend, within the fifth wave. 📌 In this case, OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD AMEX:GLD becomes a safe-haven of last resort in a world of rising fiat uncertainty. 3. Cup and Handle: A Textbook Bullish Pattern The weekly chart shows a 10-year Cup and Handle pattern (2011–2023). The breakout above the neckline has occurred, projecting a classic target in the $3500–3600 range. 4. 2022–2025 Impulse: More to Come Gold has been in a strong impulsive uptrend since 2022. This move already looks extended, but there is room for more, especially given the structure of subwaves. In the near term (1–2 months), a flat correction in wave (iv) is likely before gold rallies to a new all-time high, potentially forming wave ③ around $3400–3600. After that, expect a period of distribution and range-bound price action. 5. Hourly Chart: Fifth Wave Not Done Yet On the H1 chart, gold has bounced from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and key support. We are likely still inside wave (iv), with a potential final push in wave (v) ahead. Key levels: Support: $2920–2950 Resistance: $3250–3300 📌 A breakout above resistance could trigger a rapid rally. Macro and Fundamental Drivers 🔹 Falling Real Rates in the US 10Y yields are near 4.3%, while CPI inflation remains above 3.2%. This creates a negative real interest rate, historically a strong tailwind for gold. 🔹 Record Central Bank Buying 2023 marked the second consecutive record year for central bank gold purchases. China, India, Turkey, and Singapore are leading the charge. This shift reflects a move away from the USD amid geopolitical tensions. 🔹 Fiat System Stress Concerns over US commercial debt, banking instability, and growing systemic risk have made gold a preferred store of value for both retail and institutional investors. 🔹 Physical Delivery Demand There is growing pressure on the LBMA to deliver physical gold, not just paper claims. Some sovereign and institutional players are demanding real metal delivery. This stresses London vaults and could drive prices higher in a short squeeze scenario. 🔹 US Debt Burden Interest on US debt is expected to surpass $1 trillion in 2024 — a historic high. This challenges the USD’s reserve status and may increase long-term demand for gold. Where Can Gold Go? 🧩 We are witnessing a rare alignment of: ✅ Technical structure ✅ Elliott Wave cycles ✅ Macro tailwinds ✅ Supply stress in physical gold 📌 $3400–3600 is just the beginning. Consolidation may follow, but over the next few years, gold could target $5000 and beyond as this Supercycle wave unfolds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by shakatrade1_618
GOLD (XAUUSD) – 4H Technical AnalysisAfter a sharp drop and rebound, gold is now testing the 50% Fibonacci level around 3122. The key resistance zone lies between 3163–3167, where a breakout could open the path to 3218 (0.786 Fibo). 🔹 Resistance levels: • 3163 – 0.618 retracement • 3167 – previous swing high • 3218 – 0.786 level & target 🔹 Main Scenario: Breakout above 3163 leads toward 3218 continuation. 🔹 Alternative Scenario: Rejection at 3163 → retrace to 3082 or 3033 before next move. Momentum indicators are bullish but approaching overbought territory.
TVC:GOLD
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold/XAUUSD Intraday Move 10.04.2025📊 Market Context After a sharp selloff from the $3,160 region to sub-$2,980 levels, the market is now in recovery/consolidation mode. Market currently hovers around $3120 after bouncing from below $2,980, indicating buyer interest. 📏 Fibonacci + Support Confluence Zones ✅ Buy Zone 1 – $3095–3100 Reason: Retest of strong horizontal support. Signal to Enter Long: Bullish engulfing / hammer on M5/M15 + RSI divergence. Target: $3,110 (first), $3,120+ (extended). ✅ Buy Zone 2 – 3070-3075 Reason: Previous bottom, possible double bottom scenario forming. Signal to Enter Long: Strong rejection wick / double bottom + volume surge. Target: $3085 first, then trail till $3,100. 🔁 Retest Logic Wait for price to retest any of these zones on low volume → watch for bullish candle close. Ideal scalping trade: Enter on confirmation, small SL, tight TP. ⚠️ Important Notes Avoid entering mid-range trades without pullback confirmation. Aggressive buys can be scalped on momentum only if volume supports. Always monitor for news or sudden volume spikes which can invalidate pullback zones. Please follow, like, comment and share to get more analysis daily.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold (XAU/USD) Bounces Sharply After Retesting TrendlineGold surged +1.43% to close at $3,126.77, delivering a strong bullish engulfing candle after bouncing off both the trendline and 50-day SMA support zone near $2,960. 🔹 MACD is curling back higher, hinting at a bullish momentum reset 🔹 RSI sits at 63.40, supportive of continued upside without being overbought 🔹 Key higher low structure remains intact above the trendline The rejection of lower prices and follow-through strength reinforce the bull trend. Unless the price breaks below $2,960, buyers remain firmly in control. Momentum was tested—and it passed. The bull trend remains intact. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
#XAUUSD – H4 Time Frame Analysis ## 🟡 **#XAUUSD – H4 Time Frame Analysis** 🧭 **Refining the Chart:** Switching from the **Daily to the 4H chart**, we can clearly spot some **key levels** worth watching. ✅ The **$3012–$3027** zone acted as a **strong demand area**, and as expected, we got a **solid bullish H4 candle close** 🔥 from that zone — just like we highlighted during Friday’s session. 📈 **Bullish Expectation:** I’m expecting **further upside** on gold. Minimum target zones to watch: - 🎯 **$3070** - 🎯 **$3084** 🔄 These levels might trigger **temporary rejection or a reversal**, so stay cautious as price approaches them. 🕒 **What’s Next?** I'm about to share the **H1 setup** shortly, where we’ll plan our **precise buy or sell levels** 🔍. Stay tuned! 🔔 🚨 **Important Note:** If price **breaks below $3000** and we get a **bearish H4 candle close**, we will **shift to a sell bias**, targeting: - 📉 **$2950** - 📉 **$2932** Aggressive Trader May Switch to Sell below 3015 H4 Fully Bearish Candle
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrKTechnicalLevels
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3013.90, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 2978.66, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 3055.40, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
Gold's Downtrend PersistsGold's Bearish Outlook Continues Despite Temporary Upside Spike Market Overview: The overall outlook for gold remains bearish, even though the market recently experienced a surprising and sharp upward movement. While a deep correction was anticipated and in line with prior expectations, the nature and timing of the recent surge raised some eyebrows among analysts and traders alike. The unexpected bullish reaction came shortly after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension on reciprocal tariffs—a development that typically would not warrant such a dramatic price rally in gold. Normally, easing geopolitical or economic tensions would dampen safe-haven demand, causing gold to retreat. In this case, however, the opposite occurred, which suggests the possibility of non-fundamental drivers at play, potentially even artificial market influence or manipulation. Technical Outlook: Despite the sudden upward movement, gold’s larger technical structure has not changed significantly. The overall trend remains bearish unless we see a sustained breakout above the 3167 resistance level. A clean breach above that threshold would be uncharacteristic based on current fundamentals and could indicate external interference or speculative overreaction rather than a genuine shift in sentiment or macroeconomic conditions. The price action continues to favor the bears, with lower highs and lower lows still forming on the larger timeframes. Until there’s clear evidence to the contrary, any rallies should be viewed with skepticism and treated as potential selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bullish trend. Key Support Zones: Looking at potential areas where gold may find some temporary footing, the following support levels should be closely monitored: 3054 – Minor support; could serve as a short-term pause point. 3000 – A psychological level and round number that often acts as a magnet for price action. 2925 – More significant historical support zone with prior buying interest. 2840 – Deeper support, aligning with the longer-term bearish trajectory. Conclusion: In summary, while gold has shown a sudden upward burst, the broader picture remains cautious. The technical indicators, market context, and recent price behavior all point toward a continuation of the downtrend unless key resistance levels are convincingly breached. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, avoid emotional reactions to short-term volatility, and refer closely to technical signals when making decisions. The chart provides further clarity on this setup—feel free to review it for a more visual representation of the analysis. Thank you for reading, and best of luck in the markets!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
XAUUSD Update: Bullish or Bearish? Key Levels to Watch! 🚨 Attention Traders! 🚨 XAUUSD is making waves and breaking through key levels! 🔥 The price is currently battling between 2980 and 2989 — will we see a breakout soon? Bearish Alert: A dip below this range could lead us to targets like 2860 and 2850. ⚠️ Bullish Opportunity: A move above 2989 could trigger buying opportunities, with targets around 3004 and 3027. 🚀 💬 Let’s Talk Strategy! What’s your take on this? Share your insights as we ride this golden wave together and unlock new opportunities! 💰
TVC:GOLD
by ANNA_EXPERT
Buy gold, expect a rebound to 3000Gold just fell to 2958, but quickly rebounded to above 2965. The short-term support of 2965-2960 was not effectively broken. Gold quickly recovered above the short-term support, proving that bulls still have room to fight back. I expect gold to at least rebound and test the 3000 position again, so in short-term trading, we should not be too bearish on gold. I actually reminded everyone in the last article update that we can buy gold when gold falls. In this extremely fierce market, with a cautious trading mentality, I actually do not expect too much about the rebound space of the bulls. Once gold touches around 3000, I will leave the market safely and lock in profits! The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
XAUUSD Breakdown Setup – Gold Bears Eye $2,845 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its rising channel structure, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to potential bearish continuation. After a sharp rejection from the $3,167 high, price is currently consolidating just below the psychological $3,000 level, which now acts as resistance. Key Technical Zones: Current Price: $2,985 Resistance Zone: $3,000 – $3,005 (key rejection area) Support Targets: TP1: $2,923 TP2: $2,844 TP3: $2,832 (swing low) Bearish Trade Setup: 📉 Entry Zone: If price retests and rejects the $3,000 resistance 📈 Invalidation Level: Break above $3,005 📉 Target Zones: $2,923 – Previous structure support $2,844 – $2,832 – Deeper support and channel base Technical Confluence: ✅ Bearish flag formation following strong impulsive sell-off ✅ Channel break confirms shift in trend ✅ Lower highs and bearish momentum building beneath $3,000 ✅ Strong psychological resistance at $3,000
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ultreosforex
Gold’s rebound correction falls into shock?The market has been volatile recently, which is consistent with the properties of gold. When all assets are sold, the safe-haven property of the currency is highlighted. The sharp drop is accompanied by a fierce rebound, and the amplitude is not small. This was the case last Thursday, Friday and today. The current market is defined as a volatile market, which means operating at a certain position. The short-term resistance is 3025/3030 for shorts, and the support for pullback is 2980/2977 for longs. The limit is 2970, and trading is maintained at these positions. I think it is mainly a wash. The long-term price of gold has not changed, and what is more concerned on that day is the current long-short conversion. Today, the resistance of gold focuses on the pressure area of ​​3025-30. Remember, this adjustment is over after the break of $3055. Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, rebounds should be shorts, and the top short-term focus should be on the first-line resistance of 3025-3030. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3025-3030, stop loss 6 points, target around 3000-2990, and look at the 2980 line if it breaks; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2978-2980, stop loss 6 points, target around 3005-3015, and look at the 3025 line if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BenedictLuc8
Selling pressure remains, gold price adjusts down⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Suki Cooper, an analyst at Standard Chartered, noted, “Gold is often seen as a liquid asset that investors turn to when they need to meet margin calls in other areas, so it's not uncommon for gold to decline following a risk event, considering its function within a diversified portfolio.” On the data front, the US economic calendar showed a solid employment report, with private sector employers adding more than 200,000 jobs in March. Although the Unemployment Rate ticked up slightly, Bloomberg suggested this was “largely due to rounding.” According to figures from Prime Market Terminal, money market participants have already priced in more than 1% worth of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve by 2025. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Short-term downtrend, disputed price zone 3054 - 2975. Gold price continues to adjust down at the beginning of the week. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3084 - 3086 SL 3091 TP1: $3070 TP2: $3055 TP3: $3040 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2973 - $2971 SL $2966 TP1: $2980 TP2: $2990 TP3: $3000 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
Gold price accumulates below 3038, waiting for FOMC information⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices break a three-day losing streak but remain capped below the key $3,000 level, as rising US Treasury yields dampen the appeal of the non-interest-bearing metal. Despite optimism surrounding potential trade agreements among global partners, lingering tensions in the ongoing US–China trade conflict continue to keep investors on edge. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading flat around $2,980 per troy ounce. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price moves with large amplitude, in a downward correction phase. Continues to trade below 3040 waiting for the FED's move on interest rates and agreements on tariff levels of countries around the world. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3038 - 3040 SL 3045 TP1: $3028 TP2: $3015 TP3: $3000 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2958 - $2960 SL $2953 TP1: $2975 TP2: $2990 TP3: $3010 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold Analysis April 9D1 frame is a Doji candle with unclear buying and selling power. but the market is still in the structure of a corrective downtrend. H4 shows a strong increase from 2970 to 3050 due to data from fundamental analysis Trading scenario: Gold is approaching the fionacci retracement zone. Pay attention to the two SELL zones today 3063-3065 and the zone 3089-3091. For gold to move towards the upper SELL zone, gold needs to surpass 3047. If it does not break 3047 and close below 3039, wait for a retest to SELL to 3021 in the US session. If it does not break 3021, then BUY again in this zone. If it confirms closing below 3021, hold at 2990 today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Where will gold go after the sharp drop?The gold daily line decline structure continues to fluctuate downward, the moving average opens downward, and the RSI indicator runs below the central axis. The rise is not continuous, and the tariff policy still has an impact on the market. Yesterday, the market reported a 90-day tariff suspension. It can be seen that US stocks, crude oil, gold and silver are all rising rapidly, and then it is confirmed to be false news, and then they fall back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to sell. At present, the market is in a two-way power game between the selling of risky assets and the rising demand for risk aversion. Although gold is a safe-haven asset, it is also facing the pressure of liquidity withdrawal. In the context of the unclear Fed policy and the continued escalation of global trade concerns, the gold price may continue to maintain a volatile pattern, and the main idea is to sell at a high level! However, the current fluctuation is too fast and the amplitude is too large, so short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, and the entry point is secondary, which means that gold will continue to fall sharply. Gold hit 2956 and then bottomed out and rebounded, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuation is relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is in a large range of fluctuations, but overall, shorts are still dominant. Yesterday's Asian session had a new low, and NY time had another new low. In such a market environment, new lows continue to appear, which is a short market. When the 3000 point fell below, many investors' faith collapsed, and they firmly believed that they could hold the 3000 mark and break it at this moment, which means that the current downward trend has not ended yet, and they continue to sell with the trend. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross downward, and the downward momentum has not weakened; the rebound continues to sell. Although gold rushed up after filling the gap in 1 hour, it fell down quickly. Overall, it is still weak, and the short-term resistance is around 3030! Today's rebound is under pressure near 3030, but you can still continue to sell. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it eventually rises and is blocked and then falls. Gold is still the home of short sellers, but now it is more volatile. Be patient and wait for a rebound. You can sell near the resistance level. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound and sell near the resistance level. Key points: First support: 2978, second support: 2963, third support: 2955 First resistance: 3000, second resistance: 3013, third resistance: 3030 Operation ideas Buy: 2975-2978, SL: 2966, TP: 3000-3010 Sell: 3030-3033, SL: 3042, TP: 3010-3000;
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst