Wave 3 up is coming for goldHi traders,
Last week gold started an impulse wave but after it broke the previous high it made another correction down. So this could be wave 1 and 2 (purple) of wave 3 (blue).
Then next week we could see the next impulse wave 3 (purple) up from the bullish 4H FVG on the left.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and an impulse wave up and correction down on a lower timeframe to finish and trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold Weekly Summary and Prediction 6/8/2025In my last week's post, I mentioned that gold would potentially form an inverse head and shoulder pattern. In deed, the structure has been formed after last week's closing above 3300. In daily we also noticed that the trendline structure has been broken. Currently price is retesting the trendline. If daily candle respects the trendline, we would see a strong pushing on the price towards another ATH.
For next week's trading plan, I will closely monitor the trendline and 3280-3300 support. As long as this support holds, I am bullish on gold.
Today’s gold strategy: go long on support and short on pressure!Today, there is a high probability that the volatile bullish trend will continue. In terms of operation, we should seize the opportunity of short-term bullish. The key support level of the daily line is around 3350-3355. If it falls back to this level, you can arrange short-term bullish with a light position. If the market is strong and there is no obvious correction, you can enter the long position in advance at the 3370 line. Pay attention to the upper resistance level of 3400-3405. Once it breaks through effectively, wait for the opportunity to arrange short positions after the surge. In the volatile market, both long and short positions have opportunities. Don't chase the rise and sell the fall. Be sure to wait patiently for the right time to enter the market and strictly control the position.
Gold operation suggestions: short gold rebounds around 3400-3405. Go long gold when it falls back to around 3350-3360. Go long at 3370 first if it is strong and does not pull back.
"Demand Zone Play – Targeting Fresh Highs!"Clean Buy Setup | Reaction in Demand Zone
- Price has touched a well-defined demand zone.
- Confirmed bullish reaction with good wick rejections.
- Placed entry just above the zone, stop loss below structural low.
- Targeting more liquidity zones as TP1 and TP2.
Entry: 3356.50
SL: 3344.50
TP1: 3367.20
TP2: 3374.97
This concept draws on a blend of Smart Money Ideas and Demand/Supply Zones
goldhello everyone, gold has reached the support trendline, the price will likely correct to following resistance area as shown, price is still in downtrend direction but next week can show correction on bullish side.. weekly to 4hr tf, in 4hr corrected to support trend line, the price is still in uptrend direction at the moment the price corrected in htf due to nfp news...
good luck
XAUUSD Trendline Retest in Play — Eyes on Confluence ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is testing a key higher timeframe trendline with strong confluence. The break is clean — now we watch for the retest. Entry location’s uncertain, so the stop sits wisely below the prior HTF bounce. Targeting the opposite trendline and nearby consolidation zone.
XAUUSD Critical Lower Highs break-out just happened.Gold (XAUUSD) broke above the Lower Highs trend-line that originated from the April 22 All Time High (ATH) and has basically re-established the long-term bullish trend and confirmed the bullish break-out.
The extension can go as high as 3700, which represents a +18.37% rise from the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) bottom. That is how much the last 1D MA50 (near) test increased (April 07). A Higher Lows trend-line (dashed) may potentially support this uptrend all the way before the next correction.
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XAUMO Weekly Institutional Liquidity Map | Supply & Demand Weekly Institutional Liquidity Map | Supply & Demand | Stop Hunt Zones | Tactical Outlook
The market is entering a critical inflection zone this week. Institutional players are actively manipulating liquidity to build positions while retail gets chopped in both directions. Smart traders should focus on liquidity maps rather than signals. Here’s the full kill zone for this week:
📍 Liquidity Mapping
• Market remains under heavy distribution from prior highs.
• Institutional algorithms targeting lower liquidity voids for clean fills.
• Volatility expected to increase as macro uncertainty grows (Taco Trump risk factor).
🔴 Supply Zones (Institutional Sell Areas)
Major Supply Zone
3400 – 3450
Secondary Supply Zone
3320 – 3350
Expect liquidity spikes into these zones to trigger aggressive institutional short entries.
Look for reversal wicks, rejection candles, and volume spikes for confirmation.
🔪 Stop Hunt Zones (Liquidity Traps)
Upper Stop Hunt
3340 – 3360
Lower Stop Hunt
3280 – 3300
Algos will likely run stops above recent highs and lows to trap breakout traders.
These zones are perfect for fading failed breakouts.
🟢 Demand Zones (Institutional Buy Areas)
Primary Demand Zone
3200 – 3250
Extreme Demand Zone
3100 – 3120
Strong probability that institutional buy programs activate near these levels for mean-reversion plays.
Watch volume confirmation, order flow shifts, and reaction strength.
📈 This Week’s Tactical Playbook
• Bias: Short rallies into supply zones.
• Strategy: Fade stop hunts, ride momentum into demand zones.
• Risk Management: Tight stops above liquidity grabs; scale out at key liquidity pools.
#PriceAction #LiquidityZones #SupplyDemand #StopHunt #SmartMoney #InstitutionalTrading #KillZone #Forex #Futures #SPX #TradingViewIdeas
XAU/USD Forming Lower Lows – Waiting for Pullback to ShortPrice just broke structure to the downside and formed a new lower low on gold.
I’m currently watching for a pullback into the previous structure level or a supply zone before entering shorts.
If price gives rejection in that zone, I’ll be looking for confirmation entries to ride the trend down.
Trend = bearish, and I’m just waiting for the market to come to me.
📉 Not financial advice — just sharing how I’m approaching the setup.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt the high, fail and make the move downside. This worked well in the early part of the week giving traders a fantastic capture for the short trade into the red box target levels which were all complete. During the week we update trades with the plan to long, and although there was a break from the red box, our lower red box bounced price giving the long trade completing the move.
It was only towards the end of the week where we started ranging that we only managed to capture short scalps on the upside move before the suggesting we call it a day, thankfully before the small decline from the level.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have a key level here of 3310-6 which has been a previous pivot in this range and is holding price down at the moment. This now make a crucial support region forming at the 3280-5 level with extension of the move into 3275. If this level holds and the red box reacts, we can see price push up from here and attempt to target the 3400 level again, which is towards the top of the range.
It’s this lower red box that needs to be watched for the break, as a break here will target the 3250-55 region initially and then go for the potential swing low around the 3210-2- region which in this scenario maybe the ideal long trade.
As always, we’ll update traders through the week with our analysis and red box target levels but for now, let’s see if we gap on open. Please remember, the market gaps with intention, the intention is usually to get traders in chasing the gap as soon as they see immediate exhaustion, this hardly ever works on gold and BTC especially. We’ve back tested the stretch, so please play caution on chasing gaps.
More choppy and ranging price action expected!
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3285 with targets above 3306, 3310, 3321 and 3335
Bearish below 3285 with targets below 3267, 3255 and 3240
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3297, 3306, 3310, 3320 and 3330 in extension of the move
Break below 3280 for 3277, 3270, 3267 and 3255 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
KEY LEVEL 3237!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD Impact of June 6 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Data on Fed Rate Decisions
Key Data Points
Non-Farm Employment Change: 139K (vs. 126K forecast, revised April: 147K from 177K).
Unemployment Rate: Steady at 4.2% (matches forecasts).
Average Hourly Earnings: 3.9% YoY (vs. 3.7% expected).
Labor Force Participation Rate: Declined to 62.4% (from 62.6%).
Fed Policy Implications
Labor Market Cooling but Resilient:
Job growth slowed (139K vs. 147K prior), with cumulative downward revisions of 95K for March and April. This signals moderation but avoids a sharp deterioration.
Stable unemployment rate (4.2%) and wage growth (3.9% YoY) suggest the labor market remains tight enough to sustain consumer spending but is losing momentum.
Inflation Concerns Persist:
Sticky Wage Growth: Elevated wage inflation (3.9% YoY) complicates the Fed’s inflation fight, particularly in services sectors.
Productivity-Sensitive Costs: Rising labor costs without productivity gains could pressure corporate margins and consumer prices.
Fed’s Balancing Act:
Near-Term Hold Likely: The Fed is expected to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in July, prioritizing inflation control over labor market softness.
Rate Cut Odds Shift: Markets now price a ~55% chance of a September cut (up from ~40% pre-NFP), contingent on further cooling in inflation (June 11 CPI data critical).
Market Impact
DXY (Dollar Index): Minimal immediate reaction, but sustained labor market cooling could weaken the dollar if rate cuts gain traction.
Equities: Mixed signals (slower jobs vs. stable wages) may limit gains, though tech and growth stocks could rally on delayed Fed tightening.
Bonds: 10-year yields (4.40%) may edge lower if growth fears outweigh inflation risks.
Conclusion
The Fed will likely delay rate cuts until September unless inflation softens decisively. While job growth is slowing, persistent wage pressures and a stable unemployment rate justify a cautious stance. Traders should monitor June CPI (June 11) and Q2 GDP data for clearer signals.
Summary:
No July cut expected; September cut remains contingent on inflation easing.
DXY range-bound near 98.50–99.50 until CPI release.
stay cautious
#gold
6/6 Gold Trading StrategyAfter a short rebound, gold is now hovering near key resistance levels.
The critical zone is around 3366 – if price breaks above this, the next upside targets are 3378–3388.
However, from a broader perspective, the 4H chart still shows an uncorrected bearish setup.
Without strong buying volume, the price may drop again — potentially below 3330, or even breach the 3300 level.
—
📅 Key Data Releases Today:
🔹 NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls)
🔹 US Unemployment Rate
Both events are expected to bring high volatility, so manage your risk carefully.
—
📊 My Intraday Trade Plan:
✅ Sell on rallies
🎯 Target: around 3330-3290
📌 Only if price reaches that support zone will I consider shifting to a bullish bias
Gold at a Turning Point – Are You Ready for This?Important Note
These two scenarios will only remain valid if 3402 holds as the top in gold. If gold breaks above 3402 before Scenario 1 plays out, both scenarios will be considered invalid.
Scenario 1:
Gold is expected to retest the 3330–3323 zone — a significant Break of Structure (BOS) area. A sweep of this zone could initiate a bullish wave, potentially pushing gold towards the 3624–3650 range.
However, I personally see a low probability for this scenario, as I believe gold may have already formed a major mid-year top around 3500, making an early break unlikely and limiting the potential for this wave to fully develop.
Scenario 2:
If gold does not follow Scenario 1 and breaks below the 3330–3323 zone, it’s likely to retest its major demand area at 3200–3166. A sweep of this zone would very likely trigger a strong bullish move toward the 3475–3500 range.
Why I Favor Scenario 2:
It aligns with a deeper market structure test.
It allows gold to revisit and confirm a major demand zone.
From a higher time frame perspective, it helps complete a broader structural move.
In my opinion, Scenario 2 carries a higher probability based on current market behavior and structure.
Final Thoughts:
These are the two possible scenarios I currently foresee for gold — but remember, I could be wrong. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Intraday traders can use these scenarios to frame their levels and plan scalps accordingly.
Swing traders have a complete setup here to work with based on structure and key zones.
God bless you all — trading isn’t as easy as it looks, especially in gold. Stay sharp and trade smart. Thank you! 🙏
XAUUSD:Go long in batches
Gold in recent two days of strong performance in Asia and Europe, the US is slightly weak, the shock range expanded, below 3340-45 is the rise point of these two times, currently back to around 3365, although the price back before, but the income did not expand. At present, gold is not a strong one-sided rise, is still volatile up, near this position into the long order to hold, is expected to break the probability of today's data is small.
On the trade, buy long in batches around 3365 and 3340-45, and look above the target at 3390-92 first
Trading Strategy:
Long orders near 3365 continue to hold
3340-45 can buy long orders twice
TP:3390-92
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
GOLD (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – MMC Strategy Breakdown🧠 Conceptual Foundation:
This analysis is rooted in Market Maker Concepts (MMC), focusing on how smart money manipulates liquidity, traps retail traders, and shifts structure before making big moves. The GOLD market today gave us a high-probability setup that combined several key technical elements: SR interchanges, structure shifts, trendline breaks, and a major arc pattern.
Let’s dissect it step-by-step:
1️⃣ Initial Downtrend & Liquidity Sweep
In the early part of the chart, GOLD was in a clear bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows, consistently respecting a descending trendline. This downtrend attracted retail sellers who kept entering shorts, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
🔻 However, right before the reversal, GOLD made a sharp move down to grab liquidity below previous lows near the $3,361–$3,364 support zone. This is a classic MMC liquidity trap — clearing out stop-losses of early buyers before initiating a reversal.
2️⃣ SR Interchange Zones (Smart Money Play)
Around the levels of $3,361 and $3,364, we noticed strong Support-Resistance Interchange (SR Flip) behavior:
These zones were first used as support during the initial decline.
Once broken, they acted as resistance, and again flipped to support post-breakout.
This flip signals institutional involvement — smart money often builds positions in these zones.
These interchanges also acted as the base of accumulation, preparing for a bullish breakout.
3️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Early Reversal Confirmation
As the price consolidated and coiled around the SR zones, it finally broke the descending trendline — a major reversal signal.
This breakout was accompanied by strong bullish candles, showing a sudden shift in momentum. It's likely that smart money stepped in aggressively, initiating a structure shift.
4️⃣ Arc Pattern Formation – Visual Clue of Accumulation
The most eye-catching part of this chart is the arc pattern — a rounded bottom formation. This type of pattern typically indicates accumulation phase, where institutions quietly enter positions while retail sentiment is confused or bearish.
🟡 The arc acts like a pressure cooker: as price coils and liquidity builds, it eventually explodes in the direction of accumulation — in this case, bullish.
5️⃣ Structure Shift – Confirmation of Bullish Intent
Once price broke above the internal structure (previous lower highs), it confirmed a structure shift from bearish to bullish.
📈 This is one of the most critical elements in MMC:
It tells us that smart money has reversed the flow.
The shift often leads to expansive moves in the new direction (as we saw here).
6️⃣ Next Reversal Area (Key Supply Zone)
Price continued surging upward and reached a predefined Reversal Area around $3,405–$3,410. This zone is likely to contain historical supply and institutional sell orders.
As expected:
Price showed early rejection signs from this level.
A potential short-term pullback or distribution phase may now be underway.
If bulls reclaim this zone, it may lead to further upside toward $3,420–$3,430.
📌 Key Technical Highlights:
Component Observation
Trendline Clean break signals momentum shift
SR Interchange Zones Strong demand re-entry near $3,361–$3,364
Arc Pattern Indicates bottoming and accumulation phase
Structure Shift Broke prior lower highs confirming bullish bias
Reversal Zone $3,405–$3,410 acting as resistance; possible rejection/pullback point
🔮 What to Expect Next?
If price rejects the $3,405–$3,410 zone again and forms a lower high, expect a pullback to $3,375–$3,380.
A break above the reversal zone with strong volume may open the door to new highs, targeting $3,420+.
Use caution around news events or high-impact fundamentals (e.g., USD data releases).
💡 Trading Strategy Ideas:
✅ Long Scenario (Already Played Out):
Entry: Post-trendline break + arc confirmation
TP1: Reversal Zone at $3,405
SL: Below $3,361 SR Flip
🔁 Potential Short Setup:
Entry: On bearish confirmation from $3,405–$3,410
TP1: $3,375
TP2: $3,364
SL: Above $3,412 (reversal zone high)
📢 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a great example of how MMC (Market Maker Concepts), when combined with clean price action tools like trendlines, SR zones, and structure shifts, can offer high-accuracy trades.
Don't chase price. Wait for zones to react. Let the market show its hand before taking action.
GOLD → Consolidation before a strong move...FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a false breakout of resistance at 3365, awaiting economic data. The metal remains attractive to investors amid the economic crisis.
Gold is supported by the weakening dollar amid increased trade risks. Today, US tariffs on steel and aluminum come into force, and Trump's ultimatum to trading partners expires. Investors are also awaiting news of a possible meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping amid new accusations against China. The focus is on key employment data (ADP) and the ISM services index, which could influence the dollar and expectations for the Fed's actions.
Technically, the market may test the 3323 liquidity zone before continuing its growth.
Resistance levels: 3365, 3391
Support levels: 3345, 3323, 3303
Overall, both the global and local trends are bullish, with the price forming a local correction after a false breakout of resistance. If the bulls hold their ground above 3323-3345 after retesting support, growth may continue in the short to medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD Intraday M30 Chart For 6 June 25As you can see that Market still is in strong range and we are still waiting for clear breakout
NFP main event of the day and remains watchable
If Market break 3335 successfully today then it will move towards 3310
above 3345-50 market remain slightly Bullish
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky