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XAUUSD Possible Move 21-04-2025XAU/USD Technical Analysis — April 21, 2025 The Gold shows a bullish trend continuation pattern, with price currently testing a key resistance area. Three key levels have been identified for potential buy entries depending on how price reacts: 🔴 1st Buying Level: $3,396 - Breakout and Retest Zone Entry Strategy: Buy only if price breaks above this level and successfully retests it. Condition for Buying: A clear breakout followed by a minor retest confirming support. Condition for Selling: If price gets rejected at this level and shows weakness on a minor retest, a short position could be considered. ⚫ 2nd Buying Level: Around $3,370 Entry Strategy: Buy if price pulls back to this level and it holds as support. Note: This is a more conservative buy zone, ideal if the breakout fails and price retraces. Confirmation Needed: Look for bullish price action like a pin bar or bullish engulfing candle at this level. ⚫ 3rd Buying Level: Around $3,355 (Ideal Entry) Entry Strategy: This is considered the “perfect” buying level. Reason: It aligns with previous structure and demand zone. Best For: Traders looking for a deep pullback with optimal risk-reward potential. 🎯 Bullish Target: $3,425 If price breaks and sustains above the $3,396 level, the next potential upside target is $3,425. Kindly, follow, comment, and like.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
3
"Imminent Correction in Gold – Strategic Plan to Capture Wave 4"📌 General Context Gold (XAU/USD) is currently at a pivotal moment after completing a 5-wave impulsive sequence, suggesting that we may be about to enter a major corrective phase. The structure observed is an impulsive wave (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), which is typically followed by an ABC correction or a complex correction, depending on the larger context. 📈 Wave Structure and Technical Projection Wave (5) Completed: The end of wave (5) has clearly been marked, suggesting short-term buyer exhaustion. This paves the way for a corrective movement that, based on wave projections, could seek much lower levels. Critical Supply Zone: Between $3,453.01 and $3,504.89, there is an important supply zone. This area could act as resistance in a potential final bullish impulse to form an expanded "Flat" or "Running Flat" corrective structure. Downside Projection (Wave 4 of Major Degree): First support levels: $3,239.99 (intermediate validation level) $3,147.28 (previous structure) Final projected correction target: $2,866.94, coinciding with a strong demand zone and relevant technical support. 🧠 Technical Narrative The price has been in a strongly bullish trend, but after completing a clear impulsive structure and approaching a significant supply zone, a significant correction is anticipated. This analysis is based on Elliott Wave Theory, complemented by Fibonacci levels and institutional supply/demand zones. The projection suggests that gold could make a final rally to $3,450-$3,500, and from there initiate a deep correction toward the $2,866 area, where there is a technical support confluence. 🚨 Key Levels to Watch Type Level 3,504.89 Supply Zone (maximum resistance) 3,453.01 Supply Zone (start) 3,239.99 Bearish Validation Level 3,147.28 Intermediate Support 2,866.94 Correction Target (potential buy zone) 🔔 Conclusion The current structure suggests a high probability of a correction in gold after this strong bullish momentum. The most likely scenario is a correction toward $2,866, an area that could offer a new medium-term buying opportunity if validated by price action. 🕰️ Recommended follow-up to confirm reversal patterns and manage risk in case of trading this potential correction. 🧾 Trade Plan (Short) 🔹 Ideal Sell Zone: Between $3,453.01 and $3,504.89 (institutional supply zone) Look for reversal patterns (bearish engulfing candles, pin bars, M-patterns, RSI/MACD divergences) 🔹 Suggested Entry: Step-level entry between $3,460 and $3,500 🔹 Stop Loss: Above $3,550 (last previous high + protection) 🔹 Take Profits: TP1: $3,239.99 TP2: $3,147.28 TPF: $2,866.94 🔹 Estimated Risk/Reward: R:B from 1:4 to 1:6, depending on management and execution 💡 Strategy Alternative (Conservative) Wait for confirmation of a bearish structure (such as a double top or a breakout of the previous low) before entering, with a tighter stop but less exposure. 🔔 Trading Summary Value Element Entry $3,460 – $3,500 (supply zone) Stop Loss > $3,550 TP1 $3,239.99 TP2 $3,147.28 TP Final $2,866.94 💬 Do you like this approach? Do you have a different count? Share it in the comments! #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingPlan #Wave4 #ShortSetup #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SupplyZone #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdeas
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by JAG_Trader
GOLD at its peak, Trump and Powell in focusSpot OANDA:XAUUSD surged, with gold just hitting a new record high of $3,384.62 an ounce. Gold is now up more than $60 on the day. Trump's comments and the Powell "conspiracy" have combined to trigger market activity. Earlier, US President Donald Trump released his insights into the negotiations on his social media platform Truth Social, saying that "the golden rule of negotiation and success is that he who has the gold makes the rules," meaning he who has the gold will have the upper hand. This post on gold is quite interesting, considering the market volatility caused by Trump's previous comments on stocks on social media. Gold prices have surged to a record high as the U.S.-led trade war fuels safe-haven demand and the dollar weakens, Bloomberg reported, and data in the coming days could highlight early signs of damage to the global economy. The International Monetary Fund is expected to cut its economic growth forecast on Tuesday, while the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) the following day will provide a snapshot of economic activity since U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs. Gold prices have hit record highs this year as trade conflicts have roiled global markets, denting demand for riskier assets while spurring a rush to safe havens among investors. Gold ETF holdings have risen for a 12-week streak, the longest such streak since 2022. Central banks have also increased their holdings of gold, supporting strong global demand. Bloomberg notes that the sell-off in the US dollar intensified on Monday as US President Trump weighs whether to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell's possible removal could undermine investor confidence as the Fed's independence is seen as a key factor in investing in US assets. However, given that Trump has previously said he welcomes a weaker currency because it makes US products more competitive, he may welcome a weaker US dollar. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the technical chart, the short correction last Friday ended quickly as gold continued to rise along the short-term price channel. The increase broke the 0.618% Fibonacci extension, giving gold the conditions to continue to rise with the target of the 3,400 USD price point in the short term, more than the 3,420 USD price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension. It is difficult to expect a significant correction in the current context, but the RSI down through 80 can be considered a good signal for the expectation of a short-term correction. However, with the current position, the main technical outlook for gold is still bullish with notable positions listed as follows. Support: 3,372 – 3,357 USD Resistance: 3,400 – 3,420 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3414 - 3412⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3418 →Take Profit 1 3406 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3400 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3316 - 3318⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3312 →Take Profit 1 3324 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3330
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
DeGRAM | GOLD Anchored Above the Channel📊 Technical Analysis GOLD trades within an ascending channel, holding above $3 285 support. A breakout from a triangle confirms bullish momentum. Key targets are $3 360 - $3 380. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Demand is rising amid safe-haven flows, Chinese insurer interest, and central bank buying. A weaker USD and US - China tensions support gold. ✨ Summary Technical breakout and strong fundamentals favor XAUUSD growth. Holding above $3 285 keeps the path open to $3 360. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
4
XAUUSD Gold Is Surging: Technical / Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaHey traders! Let’s break down the current price action on Gold (XAUUSD) using both Wyckoff and ICT concepts, and tie it all together with the latest macroeconomic context. 🚀✨ Wyckoff Methodology: Looking at the 4H chart, we see a classic accumulation phase that transitioned into a strong markup. The recent price action shows a clear spring (liquidity sweep) below previous lows, followed by a sharp bullish move—this is textbook Wyckoff manipulation, where smart money grabs liquidity before driving price higher. The current rally suggests we’re in the markup phase, with demand overwhelming supply. ICT Concepts: Liquidity Zones: The chart shows a sweep of liquidity below the recent consolidation, trapping late sellers before a powerful bullish displacement. This is a classic ICT move—liquidity engineered and then swept. Displacement: The large bullish candle breaking above the previous range signals a market structure shift (MSS) to the upside. This is a strong sign of bullish intent. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): The impulsive move up has likely left a fair value gap (imbalance) between 3335 and 3385.50. Price may retrace to fill this gap before continuing higher. Market Structure: The break above the previous swing high confirms a bullish market structure. As long as price holds above the 3335-3340 zone (50% retracement), the bullish bias remains intact. Technical Trade Setups: Bullish Scenario: Look for a retracement into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone (3335-3323) for potential long entries. If price forms a bullish rejection or bullish engulfing pattern here, it could be a high-probability setup targeting the recent high (3385.50) and the next extension at 3436. Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above 3335 and closes below 3320, we could see a deeper retracement toward 3284 (100% retracement) or even lower, but this is less likely given the current momentum. Market Sentiment: Bullish 🟢 – The strong displacement, liquidity sweep, and market structure shift all point to bullish sentiment. Buyers are in control, and any pullbacks into the FVG or key fib levels are likely to be bought up. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Drivers: Gold’s rally is being fueled by several key factors: CPI & Inflation: Recent CPI data shows persistent inflation, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge. Interest Rate Expectations: The market is pricing in potential rate cuts by the Fed later this year, weakening the USD and supporting gold. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions (e.g., Middle East, Ukraine) are driving safe-haven flows into gold. USD Strength: Any signs of USD weakness further boost gold’s appeal. Summary & Trade Plan: Gold is in a strong bullish phase after a classic liquidity sweep and market structure shift. Watch for retracements into the 3335-3320 zone for potential long setups, with targets at 3385 and 3436. Stay alert for any macro news that could impact sentiment, but for now, the bulls are in control! 🏆📈 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
2
The gold market suddenly "changed its face"Gold plunged down from the high of 3500 yesterday, mainly due to the fact that US President Trump said at the swearing-in ceremony of Atkins, chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, on Tuesday local time that he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, although he was disappointed that the Fed did not cut interest rates faster. The cooling of risk aversion directly affected the gold price, which once fell to $3366, and then closed near 3382, with the largest drop of 134 points on Tuesday. This wave of gold correction is still continuing. After opening today, it fell straight to 3315. Although it has completely recovered the decline, I think the short position still has continuity, so today's operation strategy is still mainly high-altitude. Gold is currently trading below 3357. There are signs of a rebound in gold prices at the beginning of the European session. Now the upper suppression level can be moved down. The short-term suppression reference is 3330 here, followed by the second highest point on the way up to 3357; the lower support focuses on the vicinity of 3285, and after effectively breaking it, it can focus on the vicinity of 3245. Now the gold price is trading near the Asian low of 3315. The prudent operation idea is to short at 3331 to protect the gold price near 3320 and wait for the gold price to reach 3285. After the break, wait for the rebound to 3300 and then go short to 3245. It is not recommended to participate in long orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
1
XAUUSD : Accumulating around the peak areaGold prices today remain stable in the high zone around 3,330 USD. This precious metal is temporarily sideways due to the market entering the Easter holiday, but the upward momentum has not shown any signs of stopping. Accordingly, geopolitical tensions, economic instability, and trade policies from the US continue to be supportive factors for gold during this period. The current resistance level is around 3,353 USD, while the nearest support zone is 3,300 USD. Gold may correct slightly and accumulate momentum after the recent strong increase. We should wait for the price to return to important zones such as EMA 34, the support zone, or wait for the price to break the resistance zone to enter reasonable orders when the market is active again. Prioritize trading according to the trend, everyone, don't forget to set full TP and SL to ensure safety.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Gold: Is the end of the fifth wave of the daily correct or the eIf the wave count is correct, the last wave, the fifth wave, has reached its end, which is 61.8% of the third wave. If the wave count is not yet over in smaller trends in small time frames. However, if the market wants to continue to move up, then a correction will start from 3342 or 40. Of course, 3332 is also an important and valid area. But in the longer view, 3376 or 75 is the main target for price growth. Which is evident in the 4-hour time frame wave count. In my opinion, when the gold market opens, it will first have an upward movement and then it should be seen in which direction the selling pressure will be stronger.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by king_1970
GOLD heading to $3,450 or a bull trap ahead?XAUUSD has shown a strong bullish reversal from the key zone at $2,832, with a series of high-volatility, full-bodied weekly candles that completely absorbed the supply in the $3,050–3,140 area. The breakout of previous weekly and monthly highs confirmed a bullish structural shift, with a natural technical target around $3,450—its recent all-time high. Price reacted precisely to previously tested demand blocks, suggesting that buy-side pressure may still have room to expand. However, a deeper look at COT data reveals a more complex picture: Money Managers’ net positions on GOLD have been declining sharply for months, diverging from price action. This may indicate a rally driven more by retail flows or ETFs than by institutional strength, making it potentially unstable. Additionally, the COT report on the Dollar Index shows growing net long positions among leveraged traders, signaling USD strength—historically a headwind for gold. In summary, gold remains technically bullish with room to climb to $3,450, but COT data raises a red flag: if institutional positions don’t realign with the move, this rally could turn out to be a bull trap. From a trading perspective, there’s room for aggressive longs, but only with tight risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
#XAUUSD | Daily Higher Time Frame Analysis 📊 **#XAUUSD | Daily Higher Time Frame Analysis** 🔍 Gold has been moving in a **strong one-sided uptrend** over the past 3–4 months — surging from **$2500 to $3500**, marking a **massive $1000 rally** in under 4 hours! 🚀 --- 🛑 **Key Psychological Resistance: 3500** Yesterday, price tapped into the **3500 zone**, a major psychological level. 🔻 This was followed by **intense selling pressure**, likely sparked by news regarding a potential **Russia-Ukraine ceasefire** 🕊 — hinting at possible war closure. 💥 This triggered a sharp drop to **3370**, and today’s market opened with a **gap down**, followed by a **swift recovery**. --- 🧭 **What to Watch Today:** 📅 Today’s daily candle is **crucial**. ⚠️ If the candle **fails to hold above 3320** and closes **bearishly below 3320**, expect a **panic sell-off** in the next 2–3 sessions — 📉 Potential downside targets: **3245–3190** 🌀 These levels also align with the **Fibonacci 0.50–0.60 retracement zone** from the last impulse. --- 🛠 We’ll fine-tune our **Buy/Sell zones** using **lower time frame analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrKTechnicalLevels
2
The 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy + Gold Price CorrectionThe rocket booster strategy is very easy to understand. In this video i show it to you. Also we re using the strategy to study the trends of crypto market and stock market. The video is very interesting. Watch to see how we compare the dollar to gold in price performance you will want to see this. Also watch the video to learn more about the Rocket Booster Strategy, Rocket boost this content to learn more. Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies. Also feel free to use a simulation trading account.
TVC:GOLDLong
by lubosi
Gold price plunged nearly $200. The signal of cooling down the tIn the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold opened nearly $40 lower and hit $3,313.51 per ounce, down nearly $200 from the historical high of 3,500 hit on Tuesday. Because U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson hinted that international trade tensions would ease, which stimulated optimism in the stock market and boosted the dollar to a near one-week high; spot gold closed down 1.2% on Tuesday, closing at $3,380.95 per ounce. Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: The latest remarks suggest that the trade war with the Asian giant may ease, but this is the time to start selling. After Benson said that the tariff deadlock was unsustainable, the U.S. stock market rose by more than 2%, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for gold, and the rebound of the U.S. dollar also suppressed the price of gold. Quaid believes that its roller coaster trend is still continuing. I hope traders will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed officials later this week, hoping to find clues to future monetary policy at a time when people are worried about the independence of the Fed. And I will analyze it for you as soon as possible and give you reasonable suggestions. Current strategy: Relative to the market situation: as long as the price can continue to rise, it means that the current situation is just a volatile market, not a peak retracement, which is also a feature of the volatile trend; at the same time, the current market is not extremely strong after a sharp drop, and it is still in a volatile rise; therefore, do not go long, but go long after the retracement support.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1