XAUUSD 4H Golden Cross preparing a massive break-out.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading on a 3-week Channel Up, which is approaching its top but at the same time, it's been trading within a 3-month Triangle, which is also approaching its top.
The key here is the formation today of a Golden Cross on the 4H time-frame, the first since May 28. Being at the end of the long-term Triangle pattern is technically translated to the structure's tendency to look for a decisive break-out above its top that attracts volume (buyers).
It is possible to see an initial rejection followed by a break-out that will re-test the top of the Triangle as Support and then follow the long-term trend dynamics. Those are technically bullish and previous break-out in April targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Our Target remains a little below it at $3770.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD | Bullish Bias Amid Fed & Trade Policy UncertaintyGOLD | Bullish Bias Amid Fed & Trade Policy Uncertainty
Gold prices edge higher as markets weigh conflicting signals from the Federal Reserve and renewed trade policy uncertainty. Diverging opinions among Fed officials regarding the inflationary impact of President Trump's proposed tariffs have fueled demand for safe-haven assets.
While some members like Waller and Bowman appear open to rate cuts, others remain cautious about lingering inflation risks, adding to market volatility.
Technical Outlook:
Gold maintains bullish momentum above 3365. A break and hold above this pivot supports continuation toward 3375, and if momentum builds, toward 3385 and 3395.
However, any sustained move below 3365 may trigger a bearish correction toward the support zone between 3355 and 3342.
Pivot Line: 3365
Resistance Levels: 3375 · 3385 · 3395
Support Levels: 3355 · 3342
Bias: Bullish above 3365
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakout Ahead?Gold is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern around $3,389. If it breaks above $3,402, we can expect a bullish continuation toward $3,420 and beyond. Key support lies at $3,367; a breakdown below this level would turn the trend bearish. The overall trend is still bullish, but a breakout is needed for confirmation.
📈 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
- Break above $3,392–$3,402 zone.
- Targets: $3,420 > $3,450 > $3,480
- Supported by strong upward BOS (Break of Structure) and higher lows.
❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
- Breakdown below $3,373–$3,367 zone.
- Targets: $3,355 > $3,345
- Would invalidate current bullish structure and form a lower low.
🔮 Trend Bias:
Bullish Bias remains intact as long as price stays above $3,367 and maintains higher lows. However, consolidation suggests waiting for breakout confirmation from the triangle before entering new trades.
🧭 Trend Outlook:
Gold is currently consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern, which typically precedes a breakout — either upward or downward. The price is holding above the key Fibonacci support levels and the overall market structure is bullish, suggesting an upward continuation is more likely if buyers maintain momentum.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold is ready for the 5th wave!Hello! If you're following gold, here's some exciting news. The triangle correction phase that began in April is almost over. It's been a long journey, but we're almost there.
And guess what? The final phase is expected to reach around $4,300. But wait, there's more! The price is holding above the top of a long-term channel. This isn't just a random move; it could be a strong signal that the price could rise even higher than the $4,300 mark.
So, if you're following the gold market, keep your eyes peeled. Big moves could be just around the corner!
Will gold continue to fall on July 25?
1. Brief analysis of gold fundamentals
The current gold price is fluctuating downward, and the core driving factors are:
Risk aversion has cooled down:
The United States and Japan reached an agreement on automobile tariffs and promoted an agreement with the European Union, easing previous global trade tensions;
The overall risk appetite of the market has increased, and safe-haven funds have withdrawn from gold.
The US dollar rebounded in stages:
The US dollar index rebounded after the previous decline, which partially offset the safe-haven appeal of gold;
Although there are expectations of interest rate cuts within the Federal Reserve, there are large differences, and the overall trend is still "wait-and-see", which has increased the volatility of the US dollar trend.
2. Technical analysis of gold
Trend characteristics:
Gold has fallen from the high of 3438 and has been under pressure for two consecutive days;
It is currently testing the 0.618 retracement support (about 3360) of the 3310-3438 increase;
The European session continued to fall. If there is a rebound before the US session, there may be a risk of "false breakthrough and real decline";
If the US session still does not rise in the early session, it is necessary to pay attention to the possible V-shaped reversal in the future.
Technical indicators:
The short-term MACD bottom divergence gradually emerges, and the probability of oversold rebound correction increases;
Important support: 3350-3340 range (once lost, it may test the lower track of the 3337 daily triangle);
Key pressure: 3393-3403 range (initial rebound resistance), stronger resistance is around 3416-3418.
III. Short-term operation strategy suggestions
✅ Main idea: shorting on rebound is the main, and long on callback is the auxiliary
Short order layout reference:
If the 3393-3403 area encounters resistance, you can try to short with a light position;
Stop loss is set above 3410, and the target is 3360-3350;
If the market breaks through 3403 strongly and stabilizes, the short order strategy needs to be suspended.
Long position layout reference:
If it drops to 3350-3340 and stabilizes, you can try short-term long with a light position;
Stop loss is set below 3335, and the target is 3375-3385;
If the market quickly breaks below 3337, wait for the lower support to stabilize before intervening.
IV. Trend warning points
If the price does not rebound significantly before the early US market, it is necessary to guard against a sudden V-shaped pull after the US market;
If it directly falls below 3340, the space below opens, it is recommended to stop loss in time and wait for new support points.
✅ Conclusion:
In the short term, gold is still in the downward correction stage, but as the technical oversold signs appear, short-term sharp pull rebound should be guarded against. It is recommended to respond flexibly in operation, pay attention to the response of key support and resistance levels, and avoid chasing up and selling down.
XAUUSD continuation of larger bullish move - 25/7/25Gold did touch the higher timeframe supply zone and pull back. It is now at a point where i am looking for a pivot to form to continue bullish.
I did place a buy limit trade at the extreme zone that started the break of structures.
i will wait a see if it drops and triggers or forms a pivot at the 4H zone that broke structure.
XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Buy Zone
Watch the 3310 to 3320 zone for potential bullish entries. This zone has acted as strong support in the past and could offer a solid risk-reward opportunity for buyers.
Target Levels
First Target 3375
Second Target 3390
Two scenarios are in play:
A direct breakout continuation to 3375 and then 3390.
A retracement towards the support zone before a bullish reversal.
Traders should monitor price action closely in the support zone for confirmation before entering trades
Gold at a Critical Reversal Zone – Waiting for Structural Break 📉 Gold Outlook – Corrective Dollar Strength & Potential Reversal Zones
🧭 Market Structure-Based Outlook with Multi-Timeframe Confluence
Gold is currently experiencing a controlled decline, primarily driven by a short-term corrective appreciation in the U.S. dollar.
This dollar strength is likely temporary and is expected to reverse toward the 3370–3354 zone — a technically significant area marked by previous liquidity sweeps and imbalance fills.
🔍 Technical Setup:
Bias (HTF): Bullish
Current Move (LTF): Corrective
Key Observation: No shift in long-term market structure on higher timeframes; price action remains within a bullish regime.
✅ Strategic Trade Plan:
We will not engage prematurely.
The optimal entry will only be considered upon a confirmed bullish market structure shift on the 15-minute timeframe — ideally a BOS (Break of Structure) followed by mitigation.
🛒 Entry Zone:
Around 3370 – 3354, contingent upon a clean bullish break in structure.
⛔ Invalidation Level (SL):
Below 3308 (structure invalidation + liquidity trap zone)
🎯 Profit Targets (Scaled):
TP1: 3400
TP2: 3430
TP3: 3500 – 3560
TP4 (Extended): 3600 – 3720
(Use partials & scale accordingly based on trade management plan)
🧠 Fundamental Confluence:
The macro picture remains supportive of higher gold prices.
Anticipated dovish shifts from the Federal Reserve, particularly in the form of rate cuts or forward guidance softening, may act as the macro catalyst for continuation toward new highs.
🛎 Conclusion:
While the current correction appears sharp, it lacks HTF structural reversal characteristics.
Patience and precision are essential — no entry should be considered without a 15m bullish break in structure.
Chart Analysis Gold (XAU/USD)Chart Analysis Gold (XAU/USD)
**Bearish Outlook (Short-Term)**
* **Price is below EMA 7 and EMA 21**, showing short-term bearish momentum.
* Strong **resistance zone** around **\$3,430–\$3,440** was rejected sharply.
* Price has broken below **\$3,405–\$3,395** support and is now **consolidating above \$3,385–\$3,380**, a critical support area.
* Volume is rising on red candles, supporting **selling pressure**.
**Key Support Zone:**
\$3,380 – If broken, next downside targets:
→ **\$3,370**
→ **\$3,360**
*Bullish Scenario (If Support Holds)**
* If **\$3,380** holds and price reclaims above **\$3,395**, a **bounce toward \$3,405–\$3,410** is possible.
* Look for a **break above EMA21 (currently near \$3,402)** for bullish confirmation.
XAUUSD FORMING A CONTRACTING TRIANGLEXAUUSD is forming a contracting triangle which is much visual on the Daily T.F.
This is a continuation pattern.Since Wave 3 is completed,Wave 4 is forming a contracting triangle which is time consuming which can lead to permature trade entries or missed opportunities.
Best trade is to wait for the completion of Wave 4 at the 3055 level,which may push prices higher to the 3850 level a new high.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 24th July 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Flash Manufacturing PMI
Notes:
- Strong bearish closure, tariffs ease
- Looking for retracement to the downside
- Potential SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3430
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Gold tests resistance for a rally to 3450The price breaks through the resistance of the local trend and consolidates in the range of 3320-3375. The price approaches the resistance smoothly through local consolidation zones. Before breaking through 3375, there may be a slight pullback or another consolidation.
The market is bullish, with a strong cascade bottom forming and demand remaining fairly high. Against the backdrop of expectations of interest rate cuts, money is once again flowing into gold.
Gold dips on profit-taking, long-term outlook still bullishGold prices continued to decline this morning as investors locked in profits following the precious metal’s recent rally above $3,400.
In the short term, further downside is possible if profit-taking persists and capital flows shift toward equities, especially as U.S. stock markets hover near record highs. However, gold remains a favored safe-haven asset for the long run amid ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
Markets are also turning their focus to the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting on July 29–30. While the Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady this time, many investors still anticipate a potential rate cut in September. A low interest rate environment typically supports non-yielding assets like gold.
Gold Bounces Back After Testing Key Support📊 Market Drivers
• Gold dropped to around $3,352, touching a key support zone, then quickly rebounded to $3,373, gaining over +20 points.
• The rebound is supported by continued weakness in the US Dollar and slight easing in Treasury yields, keeping gold attractive as a safe haven.
• Although some optimism around US-Japan trade negotiations slightly reduced risk aversion, it wasn’t enough to push gold below support.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance:
o $3,397 – $3,400: psychological resistance and near the next bullish breakout zone.
o If breached, next target lies around $3,420–3,445.
• Nearest Support:
o $3,356 – $3,364: recently confirmed support zone that triggered the current rebound.
o Deeper support at $3,326 – $3,320 if the rebound fails.
• EMA (EMA50):
o Price remains above the 50-period EMA, indicating bullish momentum in the short term.
• Patterns & Momentum:
o Market structure shows a "rising low" pattern — a bullish signal that buyers are stepping in at higher levels.
o RSI was briefly in oversold territory and now supports a recovery bounce.
o If $3,356 holds, the upside targets remain valid toward $3,397 → $3,439.
📌 Assessment
• Gold has confirmed strong support at $3,356–3,364, with the rebound from $3,352 as proof.
• Short-term uptrend remains intact, unless the USD strengthens sharply or unexpected macro news hits.
• If gold breaks below $3,356, it may retrace toward $3,326–3,320, but the upside potential is currently favored.
💡 Suggested Trade Setups
BUY XAU/USD: $3,356–3,364
🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips
❌ Stop Loss: $3,346
SELL XAU/USD: $3,397–3,400
🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips
❌ Stop Loss: $3,407
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 25, 2025📊
________________________________________
🔍 Momentum Analysis
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining. Based on the current pace, it’s likely that only 1–2 more daily candles are needed before momentum enters the oversold zone → suggesting one more potential downward leg.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is about to turn bearish, indicating we might see a sideways movement or a slight drop in the short term.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently falling. By the end of the current H1 candle, momentum will likely enter the oversold zone → potential for a bullish reversal soon.
________________________________________
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
• A clear 5-wave Wave A has already formed with no irregular patterns, so I’m expecting Wave B (black) to unfold as a 3-wave structure.
• Within this black Wave B, price is now developing Wave B (blue), meaning Wave A (blue) has already completed. Looking at the lower timeframe, I can identify a 5-wave structure → suggesting a zigzag correction in the form of 5-3-5 for black Wave B.
• Target for Wave B (blue): The 3360 area – this is a support level and also aligns with Fibonacci confluence, making it a strong candidate for the end of Wave B (blue) and a potential reversal zone.
• If price respects the 3360 level, then projected targets for Wave C (blue) would be around 3386 or 3402.
• However, if price breaks below 3351, the current wave count becomes invalid. In that case, we will shift to an alternate scenario and look for a buy opportunity near the lower edge of the triangle (c)-(e) and other confluence support zones.
________________________________________
🔄 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure
• D1 momentum shows weakening in this downward move, and the lower boundary of the triangle (c)-(e) is a prime area to look for the end of Wave e.
• Ideally, we want to see:
o A short-term bounce upward aligning with H1 momentum reversal to complete Wave C (blue).
o Then a confluence with H4 momentum turning bearish, indicating possible trend continuation or reversal.
________________________________________
📌 Trade Plan
• For experienced traders:
Watch closely around 3385 and 3401 for reversal signals to enter Sell positions.
• For beginners, I recommend the following limit setup:
o SELL ZONE: 3399 – 3402
o SL: 3501
o TP1: 3374
o TP2: 3351
After reaching FULL TP. Relax and wait for strong support zone✏️Continuing yesterday's bullish wave structure, Gold has reached the Target level of 3400. In the European session, there is a possibility of a correction to some important support zones. And the US session will continue to aim for a level higher than 3400. Today's strategy is still quite similar to yesterday's strategy when waiting for the areas where buyers confirm to enter the market to FOMO according to the main trend.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3375 - 3363
Resistance: 3400-3427
Buy Trigger: Rejects the support zone 3375 and reacts to the upside
Buy Trigger: Rebound from 3363
BUY DCA: Break and trading above 3400
Target 3427
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
XAU/USD(20250725) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank announced that it would maintain the three key interest rates unchanged, reiterated data dependence, warned that the external environment is highly uncertain, and President Lagarde did not rule out the possibility of future rate hikes. Traders reduced their bets on ECB rate cuts.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3370
Support and resistance levels
3412
3397
3386
3355
3344
3329
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3370, consider buying in, with the first target price of 3386
If the price breaks through 3355, consider selling in, with the first target price of 3344
XAUUSD Chart Analysis: Bullish Flag PatternBased on the provided XAUUSD chart, a classic bullish flag pattern appears to be forming on a short-term timeframe. This is a continuation pattern that suggests a potential resumption of the prior uptrend.
Here's a breakdown of the pattern's components:
The Flagpole: The pattern begins with a strong and rapid upward price movement, which forms the "flagpole." This sharp rally is visible around the 21:00 mark on the chart, indicating strong buying pressure.
The Flag (Consolidation): Following the flagpole, the price has entered a period of consolidation. This forms the "flag," which is characterized by the price action moving downward within a well-defined parallel channel or falling wedge. The two white trendlines neatly outline this corrective phase.
Potential Breakout: The price is currently testing the upper trendline (resistance) of the flag. A bullish flag pattern is confirmed when the price breaks decisively above this upper trendline.
Interpretation and Potential Trade:
Continuation Signal: A breakout would signal that the consolidation period is over and the initial bullish momentum is likely to continue.
Price Target: The "Long Position" tool on the chart illustrates a potential trade based on this pattern. Typically, the target for a flag pattern is measured by taking the height of the flagpole and adding it to the breakout point. The tool projects a take-profit level around 3,395.538.
Risk Management: The tool also indicates a potential stop-loss placed below the low of the flag (around 3,364.496), which is a common strategy to manage risk if the pattern fails.
In summary, the chart shows a pause in an uptrend. Traders will be watching for a confirmed breakout above the flag's resistance to anticipate further upward movement in XAUUSD.
Accurate prediction, continue to buy after retracement to 3353📰 News information:
1. The Trump administration puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
2. The continued impact of tariffs and the responses of various countries
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold is currently rising rapidly, reaching a high near 3368, and the overall bullish trend has not changed yet. It is not recommended to continue chasing the highs at present. Those who are long at 3345 can consider exiting the market with profits. The technical indicators are close to the overbought area and there is a certain risk of a correction. Be patient and wait for the pullback to provide an opportunity. At the same time, 3353 has become the position with relatively large trading volume at present, and the top and bottom conversion in the short term provides certain support for gold longs. If it retreats to 3355-3345, you can consider going long again, with the target at 3375-3385. If it falls below 3345, look to 3333, a second trading opportunity within the day. If it falls below again, it means that the market has changed, and you can no longer easily chase long positions.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3375-3385
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Update – Strong Breaks, Strong BullsYesterday, after the break of the key 3370 resistance, Gold corrected slightly toward 3383, then consolidated briefly in that area. From there, it launched into a strong new leg up, closing the day once more near the highs, around 3430.
📌 What’s important here is that the price did not even come back to retest the broken resistance — now turned support. Combined with the strong daily close near the high of the range, this gives us a clear message:
➡️ Bulls are in full control.
________________________________________
🔍 This Week – Three Key Breaks
So far this week, Gold has delivered three major breakouts:
• ✅ A clean breakout from the box consolidation that kept price stuck and indecisive last week
• ✅ A decisive break above the 3400 psychological figure
• ✅ A breakout above the symmetrical triangle resistance, which had been forming since late April
Each of these is significant on its own. Together, they suggest a shift toward a more aggressive bullish scenario.
________________________________________
🔮 What’s Next?
All these breakouts point to the potential for more gains ahead.
In fact, the next logical step could be an attempt to mark a new All-Time High.
My view remains the same:
Buying dips remains the strategy of choice, with a focus on the 3400 zone as a key support area, and a swing target around 3500.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
"Gold Price Reversal Setup: Targeting Bullish Recovery After BOSThis 1-hour gold (XAU/USD) chart shows a potential bullish setup. After a Break of Structure (BOS) and a drop into a support level, price may rebound through the Fair Value Gap (FVG) toward the target zone around 3,431.42–3,436.92. The dotted line outlines a projected bullish move.