DeGRAM | GOLD broke the wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● Price still respects the former channel roof (now support) at 3 315-3 320; every dip to this line (green arrows) printed a higher low, preserving the rising-wedge structure.
● A break of the local wedge cap at 3 350 would reopen the April supply/median target at 3 435; failure to pierce keeps the pull-back window open toward the lower grey band at 3 245, where the broader demand begins.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US ISM-services prices and NFP cooled, lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 % and capping real yields, while continued PBoC purchases offset ETF outflows, under-pinning bullion.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 305-3 320; confirmation above 3 350 targets 3 435, extension 3 500. Long bias void on an H4 close below 3 245.
-------------------
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A good start to the week with the lower level holding as expected and giving us the tap and bounce for the longs which we wanted to target the 3330-35 level on. This is now completed and if preference is for higher, there is a higher hotspot which could be a possibility.
For the above reason, although we may get a RIP from around here it's on the flip with support now 3320, so the higher level is possible in the early session before a retracement which will be level to level for now, unless there is a clean reversal. If we hold that 3320-15 level it's very likely they will want to take this higher!
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3336 with targets below 3306✅, 3299✅, 3297✅, 3285 and 3275
Bullish on break of 3336 with targets above 3345, 3350, 3355, 3367 and 3376
Red boxes:
Break above 3310 for 3320, 3332, if held above 3335, 3347 and 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3299✅, 3295✅, 3285, 3280 and 3264 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3318 and a gap below at 3281. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3318
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3281
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3281 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3254
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3210
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3210 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3179
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Has Bullish Channel breakdown ahead selling strong📉 XAUUSD Alert – Ascending Channel Breakdown Incoming!
Gold is showing strong bearish momentum following a breakdown from the ascending channel on the 1H timeframe. A solid sell entry at 3325, right at the supply zone, is looking 🔥.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 3280 – key support
2nd Target: 3250 – deeper support zone
Watch for price action signals around the retracement area for confirmation. Bears are stepping in with force! 🐻
🗣️ Like, Follow & Comment below 💬
📲 Join us for more live updates & smart setups!
— By Livia 😜💎
Middle East tensions rise; gold may hit new highs next weekThe Middle East situation has continued to escalate over the weekend, indicating that gold may witness a rally at Monday's opening. On Friday morning, risk aversion surged rapidly, pushing the gold price to around 3,444, followed by a pullback. During the European session, the price quickly retreated to around 3,408 before rebounding—our strategy to go long near 3,410 at the time proved profitable. In the U.S. session, gold mounted a second rally, peaking at around 3,446 before entering a pullback and consolidation phase. However, from a fundamental perspective, the overall trend remains bullish; thus, buying on dips remains the primary trading approach.
From a 4-hour technical view, immediate support lies in the 3,405–15 range, with key support at the recent resistance-turned-support zone near 3,375–80. When gold pulls back, traders should focus on longing near these levels. The critical bullish pivot for short-term traders has shifted up to the 3,345–50 zone; as long as gold holds above this level on the daily time frame, the dip-buying strategy should be maintained.
XAUUSD
buy@3405-3415
tp:3340-3360
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Gold Outlook: From Resistance Rejection to Bullish Revival1. Recap of Yesterday's Expectations
In my previous analysis, I highlighted the 3340–3350 zone as key resistance and suggested that any rise into that area could give sellers a better entry.
✅ Indeed, price rallied into that zone and was rejected, validating the plan.
2. What Happened Next?
After rejecting the resistance, gold touched 3300 again, but again, the bulls stepped in:
🔹 A higher low formed compared to the previous day.
🔹 This suggests the market is now shifting its structure from down to potential up.
3. Why 3300 Looks Like the New Floor
Several bullish clues:
- The quick bounce back to 3330 shows buying power.
- Price structure is developing a series of higher lows.
- This suggests growing confidence from buyers.
4. Trading Plan
🔸 A break above 3340 would confirm bullish momentum and open the door toward 3400 again.
🔸 Any dives toward 3300 should now be viewed as potential buying opportunities.
5. Final Thoughts
The market is telling a story of bullish pressure building under 3340 and potential break back above.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold will grow a little more and then make correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After forming a downward wedge and several rejections near the support line, the price eventually broke out to the upside, signaling a reversal. This breakout was followed by a strong upward impulse, and Gold quickly shifted into a consolidation phase, creating a wide sideways range structure. Inside this range, we observed multiple rebounds from the lower boundary and a gradual rise toward the resistance level. Recently, the price exited the range upward after testing the buyer zone and breaking above the support area. However, this breakout seems impulsive and may need a correction. Currently, Gold trades slightly above the 3400 level, which aligns with the support area and the previous range border. In my view, the price may make a short upward move, followed by a return to the current support level. That’s why I set my TP at 3400 points, which corresponds to the support area and acts as a potential bounce zone in case of a retracement. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD(GOLD): +1874 PIPS Target| Touching $3600? Gold experienced a significant price surge, driven by the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel. This heightened uncertainty among global investors led to a price touch of $3445. The current price is accumulating, and we anticipate a strong bullish distribution in the near future. Please prioritise accurate risk management during trading.
Good luck,
Team Setupsfx_
Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step________________________________________
🏆 Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step Practical Guide
________________________________________
📌 Step 1: Overview and Goal
The goal is to build a neural network system to predict intraday short-term gold price movements—typically forecasting the next 15 to 30 minutes.
________________________________________
📈 Step 2: Choosing Indicators (TradingView Equivalents)
Key indicators for intraday gold trading:
• 📊 Moving Averages (EMA, SMA)
• 📏 Relative Strength Index (RSI)
• 🌀 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
• 📉 Bollinger Bands
• 📦 Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
• ⚡ Average True Range (ATR)
________________________________________
🗃 Step 3: Data Acquisition (Vectors and Matrices)
Use Python's yfinance to fetch intraday gold data:
import yfinance as yf
import pandas as pd
data = yf.download('GC=F', period='30d', interval='15m')
________________________________________
🔧 Step 4: Technical Indicator Calculation
Use Python’s pandas_ta library to generate all required indicators:
import pandas_ta as ta
data = ta.ema(data , length=20)
data = ta.ema(data , length=50)
data = ta.rsi(data , length=14)
macd = ta.macd(data )
data = macd
data = macd
bbands = ta.bbands(data , length=20)
data = bbands
data = bbands
data = bbands
data = ta.atr(data , data , data , length=14)
data.dropna(inplace=True)
________________________________________
🧹 Step 5: Data Preprocessing and Matrix Creation
Standardize your features and shape data for neural networks:
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
import numpy as np
features =
scaler = StandardScaler()
data_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(data )
def create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10):
X, y = ,
for i in range(len(data_scaled) - window_size - 1):
X.append(data_scaled )
y.append(data .iloc )
return np.array(X), np.array(y)
X, y = create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10)
________________________________________
🤖 Step 6: Neural Network Construction with TensorFlow
Use LSTM neural networks for sequential, time-series prediction:
import tensorflow as tf
from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential
from tensorflow.keras.layers import LSTM, Dense, Dropout
model = Sequential( , X.shape )),
Dropout(0.2),
LSTM(32, activation='relu'),
Dense(1)
])
model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mse')
________________________________________
🎯 Step 7: Training the Neural Network
history = model.fit(X, y, epochs=50, batch_size=32, validation_split=0.2)
________________________________________
📊 Step 8: Evaluating Model Performance
Visualize actual vs. predicted prices:
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
predictions = model.predict(X)
plt.plot(y, label='Actual Price')
plt.plot(predictions, label='Predicted Price')
plt.xlabel('Time Steps')
plt.ylabel('Gold Price')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
________________________________________
🚦 Step 9: Developing a Trading Strategy
Translate predictions into trading signals:
def trade_logic(predicted, current, threshold=0.3):
diff = predicted - current
if diff > threshold:
return "Buy"
elif diff < -threshold:
return "Sell"
else:
return "Hold"
latest_data = X .reshape(1, X.shape , X.shape )
predicted_price = model.predict(latest_data)
current_price = data .iloc
decision = trade_logic(predicted_price, current_price)
print("Trading Decision:", decision)
________________________________________
⚙️ Step 10: Real-Time Deployment
Automate the model for live trading via broker APIs (pseudocode):
while market_open:
live_data = fetch_live_gold_data()
live_data_processed = preprocess(live_data)
prediction = model.predict(live_data_processed)
decision = trade_logic(prediction, live_data )
execute_order(decision)
________________________________________
📅 Step 11: Backtesting
Use frameworks like Backtrader or Zipline to validate your strategy:
import backtrader as bt
class NNStrategy(bt.Strategy):
def next(self):
if self.data.predicted > self.data.close + threshold:
self.buy()
elif self.data.predicted < self.data.close - threshold:
self.sell()
cerebro = bt.Cerebro()
cerebro.addstrategy(NNStrategy)
# Add data feeds and run cerebro
cerebro.run()
________________________________________
🔍 Practical Use-Cases
• ⚡ Momentum Trading: EMA crossovers, validated by neural network.
• 🔄 Mean Reversion: Trade at Bollinger Band extremes, validated with neural network predictions.
• 🌩️ Volatility-based: Use ATR plus neural net for optimal entry/exit timing.
________________________________________
🛠 Additional Recommendations
• Frameworks: TensorFlow/Keras, PyTorch, scikit-learn
• Real-time monitoring and risk management are crucial—use volatility indicators!
________________________________________
📚 Final Thoughts
This practical guide arms you to build, deploy, and manage a neural network-based intraday gold trading system—from data acquisition through backtesting—ensuring you have the tools for robust, data-driven, and risk-managed trading strategies.
________________________________________
Gold Rejected at Resistance, Targets $3,305 & Below Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) rose to $3,400, as I expected in my previous idea .
Gold is trading near the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and has failed to break the resistance zone validly .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the microwave 5 of the main wave C with the help of Expanding Ending Diagonal . It was a corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) structure .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Gold to touch $3,305 after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel at the first target and then decline to the Support zone($3,281-$3,245) and Monthly Pivot Poin t.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 3394.000
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
(XAU/USD) Rising Wedge Breakdown Hints at Bearish ContinuationGold has completed a Rising Wedge pattern on the 4H chart, a classic bearish reversal structure. Price has broken below the lower trendline and is now retesting the wedge support as resistance, signaling potential continuation to the downside.
🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish)
🔹 Breakdown Level: ~$3,318
🔹 Immediate Support Zone: ~$3,244
🔹 Target Area: ~$3,167
🔹 Technical Bias: Bearish below $3,329
🔹 Fundamentals: Strong USD, Fed policy uncertainty, and lower inflation expectations add bearish pressure on Gold.
Short setup activated. Further confirmation may follow if Gold fails to reclaim above the wedge breakdown zone. 📉💡
Note : If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas!
Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section
This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Gold surged, what will be the trend today?Information summary:
On Wednesday, the US dollar index plunged during the session as the CPI data that was lower than expected boosted the market's expectations of interest rate cuts. As of now, the lowest point is near 98.2.
After the release of the CPI data, gold rose in the short term and touched the 3360 US dollar mark, and then quickly gave up the gains and retreated to around 3320. However, it rose again due to the sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East. As of now, the highest is around 3380.
Market analysis:
From the current 4-hour chart:
Yesterday's 3360 pressure level has been broken, and the Asian market has successfully stood above this position in the early trading. Then the suppression position of 3360 has turned into a support level. Therefore, the position we should pay close attention to next should be 3360-3350. If the price falls back to around 3350, it is possible to enter the market and do more. If the price rises again, it is very likely to break through 3400. Once it breaks through 3400, it will most likely reach around 3420.
Secondly, from the hourly chart, there are some signs of head and shoulders bottom. It would be perfect if it can fall back and then go up again. But gold cannot fall below 3345 again. If it falls below 3345 again, it cannot be long.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around 3350, stop loss at 3340, profit range 3375-3400.
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3345
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Selling pressure, bears active⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher toward $3,325 during the early Asian session on Tuesday, supported by a softer US Dollar as markets turn cautious ahead of key developments in US-China trade negotiations.
Delegations from the United States and China are set to continue discussions for a second consecutive day in London. President Donald Trump expressed optimism, stating the talks “should go very well.” According to US officials, discussions may lead to Washington lifting certain tech export restrictions in exchange for Beijing easing controls on rare earth exports — materials vital to sectors ranging from energy and defense to advanced technology. The outcome of these negotiations could provide fresh direction for the precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is mainly sideways and accumulating, under selling pressure below 3300 due to the US-China trade negotiations taking place today.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3350- 3352 SL 3357
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3276- $3274 SL $3269
TP1: $3285
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3312
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) H1 Chart AnalysisBullish Trade Setup – XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar)
🟢 Entry Point:
Buy at: $3,327
🎯 Targets:
1. 1st Target: $3,360
2. Final Target: $3,390
🔐 Stop-Loss:
Place below recent swing low or lower channel line, e.g., around $3,315 (adjust based on volatility or tighter risk tolerance)
XAUUSD - Risk Management - How much % do you risk daily?⭐It’s not about how much you know. It’s about how much you risk.⭐
The lesson you only learn after blowing up your account.
You’ve read hundreds of articles, watched countless hours of YouTube.
Joined 5 groups.Subscribed to 10 channels.
Maybe you even tried a prop firm challenge and failed it in two days.
Paid for mentorship.
Kinda know structure. See price action.
And yet… your account still shrinks faster than your patience.
Because at the end of the day:
It’s not about what you know. It’s about how much you risk.
⚠️ The trade was right. Your lot size wasn’t.
You had a good setup.
Price reached your zone. There was confluence.
Everything looked clean — until your lot size showed up to ruin everything.
Example: You entered with 0.50 lots on a $200 account, using a 40-pip stop loss.
Let’s break it down:
• $0.50 per pip × 40 pips = $200 loss
• You lost 100% of your account on a single trade
The strategy didn’t fail.
The size did.
💡 Why “risking 1%” works on paper — but not on XAUUSD
Every trading book, coach, and Twitter guru screams:
“Just risk 1-3% per trade.”
Cool. Sounds disciplined.
But in Gold, most traders use tight stop losses — 20, 30, maybe 50 pips.
To stay within 1% risk with such a small SL, your lot has to be bigger.
And that’s where accounts explode.
Gold doesn’t move like EURUSD.
It spikes, wicks, manipulates, and throws fakeouts for fun.
Experienced traders know that sometimes a 150–180 pip SL isn’t weak — it’s smart.
It’s not about “being wrong.” It’s about giving the setup room to breathe.
📌 What actually works
Instead of risking 1-3%, many experienced traders manage risk more conservatively:
• 0.25%–0.35% per trade is more sustainable
• 0.50% is rarely reserved for highly valid, high-confluence setups only
This allows for:
• More breathing room
• Emotional control
• Less panic during drawdown
• And more trades that survive manipulation
🧠 Your position size is your psychology, exposed.
Most traders don’t lose because they picked the wrong zone.
They lose because they sized their trade like they were trying to get rich overnight.
You want to measure discipline?
Forget strategy.
Look at how much someone risks per trade.
A 0.10 lot on a $500 account means control.
A 1.00 lot on the same account means desperation or showoff.
🧮 A quick example to make it real
You have a $1,000 account.
You risk 0.20% — that’s $2/pip.
Your stop loss is 50 pips.
That means you can trade 0.10 lot safely.
Now you’re giving the trade room to work — and if it fails, you’re still in the game.
That’s the difference between blowing up and showing up.
📉 Bonus risk reminder: Daily exposure ≠ per-trade risk
If you’re taking 2–3 trades per day, don’t risk 0.30% on each one. That’s not low risk — that’s stacking exposure. ✅ What you should do: Decide your daily risk limit (let’s say 0.30%), then split it across your planned entries. 2 trades? → 0.15% each 3 trades? → 0.10% each
🎯 Final thoughts
Your setup doesn’t need to be perfect.
You do.
→ Risk according to volatility, not emotion
→ Respect your stop loss, and scale your lot size to match
→ Don’t try to force profits out of every candle
The best traders aren’t always right —
they just size smart enough to be wrong and still come back.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Gold trading strategy june 13Yesterday's D1 candle was bullish, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Following that uptrend, the Asian session saw a strong price increase to a high of 3443. If there is still confirmation from the h4 candle above 3397, today will still be a bullish candle with a large amplitude at the end of the day.
After reaching a monthly high, Gold is in a bearish correction at the end of the Asian session. This correction will last until it touches the support level of 3397, which is a good BUY signal.
The target for BUY signals will be 3364 and this area will have a profit-taking reaction from Buyers, causing the price to fall. Gold may touch the pre-ATH level of 3394 and there will be a reaction.
On the other hand, there is a sweep to 3376, which is considered a daily support zone and you can buy in this area.
Support: 3398- 3376
Resistance 3464-3495