XAUUSD h4 down Bearish Continuation Assumption? Maybe Not So Fast…
The chart assumes a clean, step-by-step drop to the “Support Area,” but:
There’s a liquidity gap just above current price (~3340–3360) where stop hunts could occur.
Smart money might push price higher briefly to fill orders before any major selloff.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD keeps falling just
As I predicted but the price
Will soon hit a horizontal support
Around 3235$ from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
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Gold's Decline Not Over (Yet)#Gold is in a declining pattern that appears incomplete. Here are 2 models we are following closely.
1. A decline in wave (iii) of ((c)) - targeting $3,120
2. A decline in wave iii of (ii) - targeting $3,220-3,240
Both models imply the current decline is not over.
FLAT PATTERN
The flat pattern subdivides as a 3-3-5 ((a))-((b))-((c)) pattern. The decline appears to be in the latter stages of this pattern, wave ((c)).
This wave needs to unfold as a motive 5-wave pattern...it appears we are in the 3rd wave decline so a couple of more trends lower. The flat targets $3,120.
LEADING DIAGONAL
The leading diagonal is a motive pattern labeled i-ii-iii-iv-v. The leading diagonal pattern is already complete and now a partial retracement lower of the diagonal is underway. This partial retracement likely carries to $3,220-$3,240.
Under both scenarios, once they are complete, a strong rally is likely to follow. However, the downtrends need more price and time to develop so the rallies are on hold for the moment.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Again, just like yesterday, we completed the long trade into the red box, RIPPED then played red box hockey before swooping the low and coming back up. What madness on the markets with continuous whipsawing which is not allowing traders to hold positions without huge stop losses.
For now, we have support at the 3325-8 level which if held should give us a move upside towards the red box. What we want to see here is do we get a lower high or not?
MA's still drawn together and more choppy price action expected in the sessions to come.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad start to the week with the path working well, we got the swoop we wanted and the opportunity for the long presented itself. We've completed quite a few of the bias targets as well as the red box targets, so now, with it being the last trading day of the month and quarter and tomorrow being the first, we'll take a back seat.
Support stands at the 3275 level with resistance still at 3404-6. Higher box is defence so we'll stick with it and see if it works how we intended.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297 and above that 3306
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306 in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,330 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,330 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 25, 2025👋👋 Hello traders!
Gold is still moving down strongly. Today’s plan is made for traders who want clear and precise levels. Let’s look at the structure, important zones, and where to watch for trades.
1. Higher Timeframe Overview (Daily, H4, H1)
Daily: Price is falling near the 200 EMA around 3323. RSI shows less buying strength. We wait for a clear move.
H4: The trend is down with lower highs at 3418 and lower lows at 3311. RSI is low, showing weak buying. Price is near the 200 EMA.
H1: Small bounce up to 3328–3332 resistance. RSI is weak, so price must break this zone to move higher.
2. Lower Timeframe Details (M30, M15)
M30: EMA5 crossed above EMA21 but price is near resistance at 3328–3332. RSI is neutral.
M15: Price broke a small wedge up but is limited by EMA21 and EMA50. RSI near 58 shows price could be overbought.
3. Key Zones and How to Trade Them
🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3352
Look for signs that price rejects this zone (wicks, bearish candles) before selling.
🟡 Flip / Decision Zone: 3360 – 3380
Do not trade here. This zone will show if trend changes. Wait for clear confirmation.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3300 – 3285
Look for price rejection and strong buying signs before buying here.
🟢 Deep Buy Zone: 3265 – 3272
Only buy here if price goes below 3280 and shows strength.
4. What to Do
Current price is about 3323.
If price goes above 3332, watch the sell zone 3345–3352 for a short trade.
If price drops below 3332, expect a move down to the buy zone 3300–3285.
Do not buy above 3360 without a clear trend change.
Be patient and wait for good signals.
5. Important Levels
Zone Price Range Notes
Sell Zone 3345 – 3352 Best short zone
Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 Wait and watch, no trades
Buy Zone 3300 – 3285 Good buy zone
Deep Buy Zone 3265 – 3272 Last buy chance
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Gold 30 Min Engaged ( Dual Entry's Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 3309
Volume Poc + Value
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3284
Volume Poc + Value
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal.
The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East.
Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline.
Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320
Resistance levels: 3360, 3366
Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306
Best regards, R. Linda!
Battle Plan – 30 JuneHey, Snipers! It’s Sunday night, the real ones are back on the charts and the tourists are out of the game.
Last week, gold tried every trick in the book: fake bounces, liquidity sweeps, endless bearish grind. Every move up got sold. If you traded like a sniper, you’re still standing. If you chased dips blindly, you’re probably licking your wounds.
🌍Macro snapshot:
Dollar’s holding firm — no rescue from US news, just choppy reactions.
War headlines are everywhere, but structure is king: EMAs are stacked, every rally is just bait for liquidity.
Market’s running on fear and patience. Fast money gets chopped, disciplined money survives.
Sniper Mindset:
⛔No bias, no forced trades. The real win is in the waiting.
Structure will show you who’s in control — your job is to react, not predict.
🥷 GoldFxMinds Battle Plan – 30 June (Trade Nation Feed)
Demand (Buy) Zones:
3265–3245: The “half-mitigated” trap. Most buyers are already underwater — we wait for a real PA shift. First green candle? Ignore it. Let them get trapped.
3215–3200: This is the sniper zone for real discount hunters. If price freefalls, we watch for exhaustion, divergence, and a proper story. One clean engulfing here and the bounce can be massive.
3180–3160: Only for flash crash days — this is where pain turns into opportunity. But you wait for panic, not “hope trades.”
Supply (Sell) Zones:
3287–3300: First sell window — if price spikes, watch for that classic NY liquidity grab and an instant rejection.
3320–3335: The “don’t even try to buy here” zone. OB, FVG, and every EMA lines up — if the market gets here, expect a brutal fade.
3345–3360: Premium fantasy land for sellers. If bulls get cocky, this is where the big shorts reload for the next leg down.
🧠Sniper Mindset:
EMAs stacked above? No dreams, only discipline.
No confirmation in your zone? Stand down — the market isn’t your friend.
Most traders buy “cheap” — we buy right.
If the story’s not clear, patience pays. The first bounce is a trap, the second is the setup.
📝June’s about to end. Let’s close it out with surgical entries and sniper exits.
Stay sharp, stay humble, and let the crowd chase while we collect.
🧠Remember: green candles aren’t invitations, they’re traps for the impatient.
Wait for confluence, act on logic, and journal every single lesson.
Gold rewards discipline — not luck.
If you’re serious about gold, learn this:
Zone + confluence + confirmation = sniper entry.
Anything else is just gambling with a nice chart.
Review your trades, journal your mistakes, and stop blaming the market for your impatience.
Hit like🚀, follow, and drop your trading question if you want the next level.
See you on the Trade Nation feed.
#XAUUSD:First Buy, Then Sell Swing! Big Move In Making! Gold failed to decline further as previously predicted in our analysis. Instead, it continues to exhibit bullish sentiment. The current price trading in a critical region between 3350 and 3360, where significant resistance is observed. We anticipate that the price must pass through this region before it can clearly surpass the 3400 mark.
When this occurs, it is advisable to implement precise risk management strategies while trading gold due to its volatile nature. Additionally, the DXY index is experiencing a decline and currently trading at its all-time low since 1976. This development will likely have a substantial impact on the gold price.
We wish you the best of luck and ensure safe trading practices.
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GOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formationGOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formation, which often indicates a bullish reversal setup. Based on the chart:
Key Levels:
Current Price Zone: Around 3,323 - 3,330
First Target: Near 3,380 - 3,400
Final Target: Near 3,440 - 3,460
Analysis:
Price is forming a cup pattern with resistance around 3,380 - 3,400
Break above 3,400 could lead towards the final target zone of 3,440 - 3,460
Watch for price reaction near Ichimoku Cloud; clean breakout above the cloud confirms bullish momentum
Suggested Targets:
✅ First Target: 3,380 - 3,400 USD
✅ Second Target: 3,440 - 3,460 USD
Note: Wait for confirmation above 3,330 - 3,340 and bullish momentum to continue.
If you want, I can also give stop-loss and entry suggestions based on this chart. Let me know!
Gold Breakout Retest – Will PRZ Trigger the Next Rally?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) as I expected in yesterday's idea .
Gold seems to have broken the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) and Resistance lines and is pulling back to this zone.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed wave 3 and is currently completing wave 4 .
I expect Gold to have a chance to rise back to the Resistance zone($3,394-$3,366) after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,297=Worst SL
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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XAUUSD Bullish Trend breakdown and support on 3295XAUUSD Technical Breakdown
1H Time Frame Analysis by Livia 😜
Gold (XAU/USD) has officially broken down from the bullish trend, symmetrical triangle, and the key support zone at 3295.
A retracement is complete, and 3295 now acts as a fresh resistance level — setting up a clean entry point for sellers.
🎯 Bearish Technical Targets:
🔻 1st Support: 3260
🔻 2nd Support: 3240
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Gold Rebounds from 3250 – But Bears Still in Control1. What happened last week
As you know, I’ve been bearish on Gold all last week long. Even though the geopolitical situation in the Middle East escalated over the weekend, the fact that price couldn’t reclaim the 3400 resistance was a major red flag.
It showed us that the bullish sentiment was fragile, and that downside pressure is just around the corner.
And indeed — Gold sold off. The weekly close below the 3300 level confirmed the weakness.
2. The key question now
Has Gold found a bottom at 3250, or is this just a temporary rebound before another leg down?
3. Why I expect a continuation lower
- The weekly close was under 3300, breaking key support
- 3250 is being tested again — a level touched multiple times since the mid-April ATH
- The current rebound looks corrective, not impulsive
- Resistance levels at 3320 and 3340 are likely to hold as ceilings
- No major catalyst yet to justify a reversal
- This looks like a classic “sell the rally” setup in a weakening trend.
4. Trading plan
The idea is simple: sell the spikes.
If price bounces into 3320–3340, I will look to short again, anticipating a renewed test of the 3250 support zone.
If 3250 breaks — we could see acceleration toward 3200 or lower.
5. Final thoughts 🚀
No need to complicate things. Gold remains vulnerable unless it clears 3340. Until then, the trend is your friend — and that trend points down.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot.
Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
Gold RangeThis reaccumulation model for gold just popped into my head, so I wanted to post it on my profile to see how wrong I was later. My main focus right now is this potential internal distribution, which will likely take some time to confirm/invalidate. I'll take a closer look if there are more signs that it's playing out.
GOLD - Price can grow to resistance line of wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price bounced from $3390 level and declined, but soon turned back and even entered to resistance area.
After this, the price dropped from this area and then started to grow inside the wedge, where it at once made an impulse up.
Price reached $3390 level one more time and broke it, after which it continued to grow to the resistance line of the wedge.
When it reached this line, price turned around and in a short time declined below $3390 level, breaking and then made a retest.
Later, Gold broke $3300 level and fell to the support line of the wedge, after which it rose to the resistance area.
Now I expect that Gold can make a correction to almost support line and then bounce up to $3320 resistance line of the wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
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XAUUSD I Forecast Ahead of USD Unemployment ClaimsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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XAU/USD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionTechnical analysis of (XAU/USD) based on price action and technical indicators on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a
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Key Technical Insights:
1. Resistance Level (Highlighted Yellow Zone):
Price is approaching a strong resistance zone (previous rejection marked by red arrows).
This area has historically pushed price downward.
2. Trendline Support (Rising Black Line):
Price has been following a short-term ascending trendline, forming higher lows.
A break below this trendline signals potential bearish reversal.
3. EMA 200 (Blue Line):
Price is currently above the EMA 200, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
However, price is testing resistance — a rejection could flip momentum bearish.
4. Bearish Rejection & Projection:
The chart shows an anticipated rejection from resistance, followed by a break of trendline support.
Target zone is marked near 3,228.098, indicating a drop of ~94 points from the current level.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is nearing overbought territory (68.79).
A bearish divergence or RSI crossing down may confirm weakening momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Trading Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near the resistance level (~3,322)
Confirmation: Break of trendline support
Target: 3,228
Stop-Loss: Above resistance zone (just over the upper trendline)
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pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Trading Signal for (XAU/USD) sell below $3,359 (21 SMA-7/8 MurraEarly in the European session, gold is trading around 3,341, below the 7/8 Murray and above the 21 SMA and the 200 EMA, with a bullish bias.
We can see that gold reached the 7/8 Murray level on the H4 chart. This has become strong resistance, so we believe a technical correction could occur below this level in the coming hours.
On Monday, we observed gold reaching a low of 3,238, where it found a technical rebound,, as this coincided with the bottom of the downtrend channel.
Gold has a bullish bias, having reached oversold levels since June 26. It is likely that after a technical correction, it could resume its bullish cycle and reach the 8/8 Murray level at 3,437.
If gold falls below 3,359 in the coming hours, we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA around 3,321. This area will be seen as an opportunity to resume buying, as a bullish trend is emerging.
The RSI indicator is showing a positive signal, so we could take advantage of a technical rebound around 3,320 or 3,305. Both levels could provide gold with good support and a buying opportunity.