GOLDCFD trade ideas
"Gold Just Respected The OB Like a Pro! 1:7 RR Setup LIVE!"📈 GOLD (XAUUSD) – 1H SMC Setup | April 30, 2025
This is a textbook Smart Money bullish entry — we’ve got the clean sequence of Order Block ➝ CHoCH ➝ Mitigation ➝ Pump.
🔍 Structure Analysis:
After a strong selloff, price created a valid Bullish Order Block around 3,253 – 3,285 (highlighted in purple).
Price swept previous lows (liquidity grab) before returning to mitigate the OB.
The Change of Character (CHoCH) marked the shift from bearish to bullish intent.
Price wicked into the OB zone → buyers stepped in → sniper entry executed ✅
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: 3,285
SL: 3,253 (below OB wick)
TP1: 3,310
TP2: 3,345
TP3: 3,370+ (Potential Imbalance Fill)
RR: ~ 1:7 (massive!)
🧠 Why This Works (SMC Logic):
Liquidity sweep before entry = market manipulation phase
OB = institutional footprint
CHoCH confirms momentum flip
Entry right at mitigation level = minimized drawdown, max RR
📌 Execution Notes:
Patience was key: entry triggered only after full mitigation of OB
No candle close below OB = confidence to hold
Now in expansion phase → trailing stop for runners 🏃♂️
💡 Pro Tip:
Price doesn’t reverse randomly. It reacts to zones where Smart Money operates — just like this OB. Learn the game, don’t chase the candles.
🔥 Final Thought:
This is the kind of setup you print out and pin on your trading desk.
Risk was tight. Reward? HUGE. This is why we follow structure, not emotions.
🗣️ Drop a 🔥 if you caught this Gold move!
💾 Save this post for your SMC playbook.
📤 Share it with your trading squad — don’t gatekeep winning setups.
[ TimeLine ] Gold 28-29 April 2025Hello everyone,
📅 Today is Friday, April 25, 2025
I will be using the High-Low price levels formed on the following dates as reference points for potential trade entries:
📌 April 28, 2025 (Monday)
📌 April 28 & 29, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has broken its ATH multiple times over the past two weeks—volatility remains high
✅ Gold has significant reversal more than 2000pips from its ATH 3500 to 3260
⚠️ If the formed range is big, reversal entries or trades based on Fibonacci levels may be more appropriate
✅ I will personally trade both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy
⚠️ If you're unsure or risk-averse, consider skipping April 28 & 29 signal
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the candles above to fully form (marked with green lines)
🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, with a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), switch direction and double the position size on the next valid entry for potential recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
🔗 Copy & paste this code into TradingView URL : TV/x/9932ommw/
Gold: Bearish Shooting Star Reversal?The trend in gold is higher and no doubt it can go higher still.. BUT
There is a possible short setup
because:
A) It's very overbought relative to its weekly average
B) A Weekly shooting star reveral pattern took place on the weekly chart
C) The daily chart shows a possible breakdown
Thoughts?
The Golden Code: Unlocking the Markets with Fibonacci Sequence “Mathematics is the language in which God has written the universe.” – Galileo Galilei
If this is true, then the Fibonacci sequence is the poetry of that language, especially in trading.
📚 What is Fibonacci? Why Should Traders Care?
Fibonacci is more than just a sequence of numbers — it’s a universal law of growth and proportion. From galaxies to sunflowers, and now to the charts on your TradingView screen, Fibonacci is everywhere.
In trading, Fibonacci retracement levels are used to identify potential reversal zones, where price is likely to bounce or stall, making it one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal.
But few truly understand its depth, and fewer still use it intelligently.
Let’s dive into the power of the Fibonacci sequence, how it influences retracements, and how you can use it to your trading advantage, whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or position trader.
🧠 The Fibonacci Sequence: Where It All Begins
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones:
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, ...
Some Math somebody? Take your seats and calculators away! 😂😂
📉 Fibonacci Retracement Levels & How They're Calculated
These levels are percentages based on relationships between Fibonacci numbers.
✅ 0.236 (23.6%)
Divide a number by the one three places ahead:
Example: 13 ÷ 55 = 0.236
Another: 21 ÷ 89 = 0.236
✅ 0.382 (38.2%)
Divide a number by the one two places ahead:
Example: 21 ÷ 55 = 0.382
Another: 34 ÷ 89 = 0.382
✅ 0.500 (50.0%)
Not directly from Fibonacci, but commonly used due to psychological midpoint in markets.
✅ 0.618 (61.8%) – The Golden Ratio
Divide a number by the next number:
Example: 34 ÷ 55 = 0.618
Another: 55 ÷ 89 = 0.618
This is the famous Golden Ratio, which appears in nature, art, and financial markets.
✅ 0.786 (78.6%)
Derived from the square root of 0.618:
√0.618 = 0.786
📈 Fibonacci Extension Levels & How They're Calculated
Extensions project price targets beyond the retracement.
✅ 1.000 (100%)
A full projection of the original move.
✅ 1.272 (127.2%)
Square root of 1.618:
√1.618 = 1.272
✅ 1.618 (161.8%) – The Golden Extension
Divide a number by the previous one:
Example: 55 ÷ 34 = 1.618
Another: 89 ÷ 55 = 1.618
✅ 2.000 (200%)
A full double of the original move.
✅ 2.618 (261.8%)
1.618 + 1.000 = 2.618
This creates ratios that are found in nature, architecture, music, and, yes, price movements.
🔍 Fibonacci Retracement: Mapping Pullbacks with Precision
When price moves impulsively in one direction, it often retraces a portion of that move before continuing in the same direction.
Fibonacci retracement is used to map this pullback.
Here’s how traders use it:
Identify a clear impulsive move (either bullish or bearish).
Plot the Fibonacci retracement tool from swing low to swing high (for bullish moves), or from swing high to swing low (for bearish moves).
Watch how price reacts around key levels:
38.2% = Shallow pullback
50% = Midpoint (psychological)
61.8% = Golden Zone
78.6% = Deep retracement (but still valid)
🔥 Pro Tip: Most institutional traders love the 61.8% retracement, often placing hidden liquidity and traps around that area.
🔄 Fibonacci Extensions: Predicting Take-Profit Zones
Once price retraces and continues its trend, Fibonacci extensions help identify possible target zones:
Common extension levels:
1.272
1.618 → Golden Target
2.000
2.618
For example:
After a bullish retracement to 61.8%, price often rallies to 1.272 or 1.618 extensions, making these ideal profit-taking zones.
🔄 Real-Life Market Behavior: Fibonacci in Price Action
Let’s take a real example:
🟨 Example: XAU/USD Bearish Retracement
Impulsive rally from $2,832.99 to $2,930.77.
Price pulls back to $2,880 – exactly at the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Followed by a strong continuation to the upside.
Price reach for the 127.20% and beyond to 161.80% Fibonacci extension of the original rally before pausing for some times — textbook Fibonacci behavior.
💡 This isn’t magic. It’s structure, order, and smart money playing on the same field.
🧬 Fibonacci + Confluence = Confirmation
Fibonacci works best when combined with other tools:
Support/Resistance
Order Blocks
Imbalances
Trendlines
Candlestick Patterns
✅ A 61.8% retracement + bullish order block + bullish engulfing = a high-probability long setup.
✅ A 78.6% retracement + unfilled imbalance = possible stop-hunt trap or liquidity grab.
🧠 Fibonacci Psychology: Why It Works
Fibonacci works because it reflects natural human behavior:
Fear and greed create overextensions and pullbacks.
Traders place stops and entries near these key ratios, causing self-fulfilling reactions.
Algorithms and institutional models often base trade entries on Fibonacci confluences.
💥 Common Mistakes Traders Make
❌ Using Fibonacci on every small swing – noise, not signal
❌ Forcing the retracement tool to “fit” your bias
❌ Ignoring higher time frame structure
❌ Using Fibonacci alone without confluence
Remember: Fibonacci is a guide, not a guarantee.
📈 How to Trade with Fibonacci (Step-by-Step)
First, identify market structure (trending or ranging).
Second, mark swing high and swing low.
Third, plot retracement tool accordingly.
Fourth, look for confluence zones:
38.2%, 50%, 61.8%...
Price action signals (e.g., pin bars, engulfing)
Institutional concepts (order blocks, imbalances)
Enter with confirmation, not just based on levels.
Set stop loss below/above structure or 78.6% line.
Target extension levels or previous high/low.
🌀 Fibonacci in Different Trading Styles
Scalpers
Use Fibonacci on 1min–5min timeframes to catch micro pullbacks and entries.
Swing Traders
Use Fib retracements from daily or 4H structure to plot entries and targets.
Position Traders
Use weekly/monthly Fibonacci zones for macro views and long-term targets.
🧠 Final Thoughts: Fibonacci Is Structure, Not Sorcery
The Fibonacci sequence is a map of order in a chaotic world. In trading, it helps bring discipline, clarity, and precision.
It’s not about being right every time, it’s about stacking probabilities in your favor.
🧭 Ready to Master Fibonacci?
If you’ve read this far, drop your thoughts in the comments and share your favorite Fibonacci setup!
Let’s build a community of traders who use mathematics and structure, not hope and guesswork.
Follow for more educational breakdowns, trading insights, and strategy walkthroughs — posted weekly.
GOLD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,278.91.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,328.53 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
No need to hesitate, gold continues to be bullish
I just told you that you can go long near 3298. Gold once retreated to around 3275 during the European session.
I think if you want to go long, there is definitely a chance, and I have been emphasizing this.
I am still in a stable state, and I only suggest going long near 3290 during the US session.
As of now, gold has reached around 3330, which has reached my two target positions.
Since gold can stand at 3330, it will definitely continue to rise in the future.
At present, gold is a W-shaped structure, and it will definitely hit the top near 3360 in the future.
So, my suggestion here is still to go long. But maybe gold will not be given a position below 3300.
Therefore, if there is a subsequent retracement of gold, you can focus on entering the market near 3300-3310 and go long. The final target is still around 3360.
XAUUSD | Bearish Order Block Rejection in Premium | Short Setup🔥 XAUUSD – 5M Timeframe Smart Money Setup | April 30, 2025
Gold just printed the kind of setup Smart Money waits for: liquidity sweep + order block retest + Fibonacci confluence — all in the Premium Zone.
📍 Price Action Breakdown:
We marked a Clear Bearish Order Block after a strong move down.
Price retraced cleanly back into the 61.8%–79% Fibonacci Premium Zone — the exact area where Smart Money sells to retail buyers.
Price wicked into the OB, filled the imbalance, and showed strong bearish rejection.
Entry triggered on confirmation candle after tap.
🎯 Key Setup Elements:
✅ OB in Premium
✅ Bearish BOS before entry
✅ Fibonacci rejection (61.8–79%)
✅ Clean mitigation of the OB
✅ Low time frame confirmation entry
🧠 Smart Money Flow:
Retail: “Gold’s recovering! Time to buy!”
Smart Money: “Thanks for the liquidity. Here’s your SL.” 🫡💸
Every wick into that OB zone is a buy stop getting sniped by institutions.
💥 Trade Setup:
Entry: OB rejection zone at 3,328–3,332
SL: Above 3,332 (wick high / OB invalidation)
TP:
TP1: 3,314
TP2: 3,306
TP3: 3,299 (full RR completion)
Risk:Reward ~ 1:3+
📈 Risk Management Note:
Trailing SL advised once we reach TP1. Let price prove itself. Gold is volatile, but this structure is textbook.
🔮 What to Watch Next:
BOS below 3,320 confirms further bearish momentum.
Any re-entry into OB without momentum = trap.
🎤 Final Thoughts:
This is a play straight out of the institutional handbook — it’s not about chasing, it’s about letting price come to you.
Patience = Profit. 🧠💰
🗣️ Drop “GOLDEN SNIPER” in the comments if you caught this too.
💾 Save this chart — it's a lesson in precision.
👥 Tag your scalping squad — no excuses on this clean setup.
Gold remains bullish. But....Last week gold was very volitile. with big movements up to 700pips. During market closure gold got big pricegaps. Be carefull trading this volitile market.
Notice the longterm uptrend in the daily and weekly time frame. If we break it down to H2 we got a clear head and shoulder pattern. It will only be valid if gold manage to break the neckline of this pattern and break below the H2 FVG/support located around 3246 up to 3256. Confirmed break will send gold lower. If gold manage to break above the resistance trend our first bull target should be 3365 level.
I use Priceaction trading only.
Resistance: 3319, 3343, 3367, 3385
Support: 3294, 3246, 3232
Hanzo | Gold15 min Retest – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 3327
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 3300
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3361
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3336
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3300 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3300 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest
• 3345 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3370 – Equal highs
Daily breakout wait for confirmation Straight forward setup. We’re looking to enter only after seeing confirmation.
Sop
1)mark the zone
2)wait for price to come into zone
3)wait for confirmation
4)entry
Here we see daily rally base rally. And fibo 50%. Price is already in the zone. We wait for a m30 double breakout as a confirmation. Once it has formed up, we can place a buy limit or we can enter in the confirmation zone.
Gold continues to fall, is it expected to reach 3210-3200?Yesterday we mentioned that the market may present a convergent triangle pattern. Today, the gold price has indeed ushered in a wave of sharp declines at the opening of the Asian session, and has fallen below the key support of 3260, and the lowest level has reached 3221. At present, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. In the short term, gold is still in a downward trend and is in a correction to overbought. The gold price is expected to reach 3210-3200. If it falls below this support range, it may even test the previous low of 3193. But at the same time, the 1H RSI indicator has fallen into the oversold area. Therefore, in terms of news, we need to pay attention to the initial jobless claims and PMI data during the US trading session today, and beware of the rebound after the correction.
Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Buy@3200With gold approaching the crucial 3,195 support mark, let's wait for the rebound.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3200
🚀 TP 3240 - 3260
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!!!On Wednesday, the gold price generally showed a downward trend. The highest price rose to 3327.91 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3266.79, closing at 3288.16. In view of the fact that gold fell under pressure during the early trading on Wednesday and broke through the four-hour and daily support as expected, and then the US market rebounded again and came under pressure, and finally ended in a big negative state at the daily level. The price has fallen below the daily support, so we need to pay attention to the continuation of the band decline in the future.
From a multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price rose for three months in the early stage and then a single-month correction appeared. Recently, it has risen for four months and then a single-month correction appeared. Therefore, according to the rhythm, four consecutive positives have appeared. For May, we must pay attention to market risks. From the weekly level, the gold price is supported by the support level of the 3040 area. From the perspective of the medium-term, we can continue to maintain a bullish view, and the price drop is only a correction in the medium-term rise. From the daily level, the current price resistance is in the 3007 area, which is the key watershed of the band trend. If the price is below this position, the subsequent band will be treated as short. At the same time, for the short-term four-hour price resistance, it is around 3290, so the subsequent price will be treated as short under the four-hour resistance. In general, the price can be treated as short under the four-hour resistance and the daily resistance.
Gold Updates - May 1st , ahead of Unemployment Claims & PMI News🔍 Gold Route Map – Updated May 1st | Macro Levels & Bias
📊 Today’s Key News (May 1st):
• 🕒 14:30 – Unemployment Claims (USD) • 🏭 14:45 – Final Manufacturing PMI • 🏭 15:00 – ISM Manufacturing PMI + Prices
Expect high volatility and whipsaws.
Gold continues its ruthless selloff, slicing through level after level with institutional precision. As we enter May, structure is loud and clear: bulls are out cold unless price proves otherwise.
👁🗨 Key Zones to Watch:
🔻 Resistance 3385 – HTF FVG zone / reversal risk
🔻 Resistance 3350 – Clean target above breakout
🔻 Resistance 3325 – Final barrier before shift
⚔️ 3315–3320 = Flip Zone
→ Flip = reclaim structure
→ Rejection = continuation sell
🔁 Retest 3308–3312 – Last OB Rejection
⚖️ 3286–3292 = Retest Range
→ Internal structure test
→ Weak support unless reinforced
🟩 3260–3270 = Reaction Zone
→ Confirmed demand
→ Last week’s sniper buy played from here
🟢 3252–3244 = Fresh Buy Zone
→ Strong OB + inefficiency
→ Eyes on reaction
🟢 3220–3235 = Major Discount Range
→ ⏳ Multi-timeframe OB + weekly FVG
🧊 3190–3205 = Daily Demand Shelf
→ If price nukes, this is where blood meets buyers
🧊 3160–3175 = April’s Demand Base
→ Mid-range accumulation shelf
📉 Current Bias
• HTF Trend: Bearish under ATH, clean lower highs • LTF Flow: Still bearish unless we flip above 3315 • Market Context: News-heavy week + low liquidity zones triggered this meltdown
🧠 Pro Tip: Don’t trade every bounce. Trade the right structure with proper confirmation. Most of the breakout noise is bait — only a few zones are true sniper setups.
Gold plays games. We play levels.
GoldMindsFX 🙏
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together!
Gold’s short trend intensifies! Main empty follow up.📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Gold, the price of this round has fallen from the historical high of 3500. After the first round of selling to 3260, it rebounded and repaired 3370; it rebounded to 3358 during the week and then weakened again. The Asian market opened with a rapid sell-off below 3260 and is now trading around 3234; the short position in each cycle is good, and the pre-non-agricultural market continues to be bearish. The target is adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168.
Short-term resistance 3235-3240, strong resistance 3246-3250, 3260 is not expected to arrive; short-term support 3220, strong support 3210-3194.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3240-3250, target 3220-3200.
Elliot Wave B then C on 4hrTo confirm a low is in and Wave B’s final leg is starting:
✅ 15M CHoCH – Price must break previous lower high (LL > HL shift).
✅ Bullish volume surge on breakout.
✅ Higher low retest (entry zone).
✅ RSI breaks above 50.
This would line up with a reversal inside your 4H Demand/Reaction Block, adding confluence from both timeframes.