GOLDCFD trade ideas
Similar Bull Runs GOLD Gold is going parabolic on this run with a massive move
This can be compared to a run in previous history of gold
The price of gold moving up could be due to uncertainty in other markets, hence movement into metals and other stores of value
Weekly timeframe
Safe-haven frenzy boosts gold pricesGold market analysis and operation suggestions (April 21) - Risk aversion frenzy boosts gold prices, 3400 mark is within reach
📌 Current market dynamics:
Affected by the US tariff policy and the continued rise in geopolitical risk aversion, gold continued its unilateral surge this week. Today, it opened higher again, strongly breaking through the historical high of 3357, and accelerated to above 3380. The bullish momentum is extremely strong. According to the recent trend, gold will either consolidate at a high level, and once it starts to rise, it often presents an explosive market of more than 100 US dollars on one side. Therefore, the psychological barrier of 3400 will most likely be tested today, and may even further challenge around 3430!
📊 Technical analysis:
✅ Daily level:
Moving average system: MA5-MA10 maintains golden cross upward, showing a standard bull market arrangement
Bollinger band: The upper track continues to open, without any signs of closing, and there is still room for growth
K-line structure: Continuous large positive lines with large volume, no peak signal, and going long with the trend is still the main tone
✅ Weekly level:
Three consecutive positive lines are strong upward, MACD red column is enlarged, and bulls are obviously in control
No peak signal, any pullback can be regarded as a new buying opportunity
🎯 Key support and resistance:
Support level: 3370 (today's gap), 3357 (previous high support)
Resistance level: 3400 (psychological barrier), 3430 (next target)
🔥 Today's US trading strategy:
1⃣ Aggressive long orders: Go long directly when the price falls back to around 3370, stop loss at 3360, target 3385-3400 (hold to see 3430 if it breaks)
2⃣ Steady long orders: If it falls back to 3357 (previous high support), you can arrange long orders for the second time, stop loss at 3347, target 3380-3400
3⃣ Be cautious with short orders: The current market sentiment is extremely bullish, and the risk of going against the trend is extremely high. Avoid blindly guessing the top!
💡 Trading reminder:
Gold is currently in an extremely strong market, and any pullback is an opportunity to go long
Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400. If it stands firm, it may accelerate to hit 3430-3450
Strictly stop loss to avoid the risk of violent fluctuations caused by sudden news
🚀 Conclusion: Trend is king, follow the trend and buy low!
XAUUSD Volatility in Focus: Caution Advised for PullbackCurrently, I estimate that XAUUSD is nearing the end of wave iii of wave (v). I present two potential scenarios:
In the black label scenario, XAUUSD may continue its upward movement to complete wave iii, with a projected target in the 3,372–3,410 range.
However, under the red label scenario, there is a possibility of a short-term correction toward the 3,284–3,301 area before resuming the uptrend toward the same target zone.
Traders should closely monitor price action, as increased volatility is likely in the near term.
4/21 Gold Trading StrategyGood morning, everyone! A brand new week begins—wishing us smooth trades and great success ahead.
Looking back to last Thursday, our gold short strategy hit the mark perfectly. Prices dropped nearly $60 as expected, and we captured around $45 in profit from that move. Overall, we secured over $200 in profit space last week—an excellent performance.
Today, gold opened higher and continues to climb. Technically, bulls still have room to push higher, with 3360 as a key resistance level. However, judging by the current momentum, we may even see a test of 3400. That said, trading is about precision, not perfection. If prices approach 3380 and the upward momentum stalls, it may be time to watch for a pullback. On the other hand, if strength continues, holding some light long positions remains a relatively low-risk strategy.
Trading Strategy for Today:
📉 Sell in the 3380–3410 range
📈 Buy in the 3307–3280 range
🔁 Flexible trades between 3360–3330 / 3272–3315
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 21st April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Strong bullish momentum on market open
-Looking for pullback for BUY
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
XAUUSD 1H, 12/04/2025.XAU/USD Directional Trade Setup
- Entry Point: Ensure the trade is executed only at the designated entry level. Patience is key to maximizing the setup's potential.
- Stop-Loss (SL): Strictly adhere to the stop-loss. Exiting on a close below the specified SL level is essential to protect capital and manage risk.
- Take-Profit (TP): This setup offers a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, so it's critical to trail the take-profit level as the trade progresses. Trailing TP ensures you lock in profits while giving the trade room to grow.
Note: This analysis is shared purely for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk responsibly and make decisions aligned with your trading strategy.
XAUUSD Bullish / UptrendGold has continued its uptrend after short phase of sustaining and is expected to stay bullish in near future considering the healthy bullish momentum and geo-politics.
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
April 14 to April 18, 2025, due to the Good Friday holiday, the market was closed on April 18. There were only four trading days this week, and the spot gold market performed strongly, with a weekly increase of 2.76%. Prior to this, some investors chose to take profits after the international gold price hit a new high of more than $3,357 on Thursday. Although the current technical side shows that gold is overbought, the overall market is still in a steady upward trend.The rise in London gold prices was driven by the safe-haven demand caused by the weakening of the US dollar, trade policy uncertainty, and hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the risk of stagflation. The economic data released this week showed differentiation, with a solid labor market but weak housing data, coupled with geopolitical risks such as the European Central Bank's interest rate cut and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, further enhancing the attractiveness of gold.Looking ahead, the bullish trend of gold remains solid, and investors should pay close attention to the Fed's subsequent policy statements and trade policy dynamics, which will have an important impact on market sentiment and gold price trends in the coming weeks.
Technical Review:
Gold daily level still maintains a strong unilateral bullish trend in the short term. There is no highest, only higher. Before the top pressure K appears, it will continue to step back and be bullish. The support position confirmed by the step back is about 3300-3290. As long as this position is stabilized, there is hope for further efforts in the future to set a new historical high.The 4-hour level is now in high-level fluctuations. The key MA10-day support moves up to 3313. As long as this moving average can be held, this cycle will still maintain a strong squeeze and pull up. At the hourly level, there will be a certain decline and correction in the short-term Asian session on Thursday, and it will be trapped in a shock consolidation. The next step is to wait patiently for the consolidation to end. The short-term pressure point middle track is also the 10-day moving average 3332-33 line. There may be multiple attempts here, but before breaking through, don't chase the rise! Pay attention to the lower track support 3313 below, and the upper track of the previous channel step back to confirm the range of 3300-3290, because the upward channel is uncertain whether there will be a false piercing. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for 3313, 3300-3290 to stabilize and rise next week, or break through 3332-33 and then step back to confirm stability, which is also bullish. After a sharp rise, it is just a small adjustment at a high level or sideways, which is to prepare for the next round of rise.
Next week's analysis:
Gold fell all the way in the US market on Friday, falling to 3283 at the lowest, but gold rose again in the second half of the night for risk aversion. Will gold return to a large range of fluctuations or end the adjustment? Then the trend of gold after the opening next week is very critical. If gold continues to rise strongly at the opening next week, then gold may be adjusted to the end, and gold bulls may continue to exert their strength. This will be seen after the opening of Monday.The gold 1-hour moving average is now continuing to diverge upward with a golden cross. If the gold 1-hour moving average turns in the short term, then the gold 1-hour will begin to adjust. So if the short-term opening is weak next week, then the gold 1-hour moving average may begin to turn, and if it is strong, it will continue to extend upward. Gold is suppressed by the downward trend line in the 1-hour short term. The short-term pressure of gold moves down to the 3332 line. If gold is still under pressure at 3332 after opening next week, then gold may continue to fluctuate downward in the short term, thereby driving the moving average to turn around. If it directly breaks through 3332 after opening, then gold will start to fluctuate in a large range.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3300-3303, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3350-3353, stop loss at 3362, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3313, second support level: 3300, third support level: 3285
First resistance level: 3332, second resistance level: 3357, third resistance level: 3373
GOLD 4H ANALYZEHello dear traders,
I’ve been away for a while, but I’m back now to share fresh market analysis and trading signals.
As you can see on the gold (XAUUSD) chart, we’re continuously seeing the formation of new price highs. Every price correction in key zones can offer a great buying opportunity.
The price range between 3190 and 3195 is a high-potential buying area.
Make sure to pay attention to the note highlighted in the image.
Wishing you all success and happiness!
When to Sell GOLD?? When will Gold STOP RISING? When will gold stop rising - When to sell gold and start investing in other assets
Hey everyone, Tradevietstock is back again! Today, I’m diving into gold investing after a hot streak in gold prices, with everyone in the media talking about it. There’s even some unofficial info and rumors claiming gold could reach 6,000USD per ounce. But what data shows that gold prices will continue to rise dramatically, maybe even double? And, more importantly, when will gold stop rising? And what is the exact time to sell it and take profit? Let’s break down the data below.
Our view at Tradevietstock is that gold won’t keep climbing like that. Instead, this is the time to look for opportunities to sell at the best price. FOMO (fear of missing out) at this point, chasing gold at its peak, can lead to significant losses, especially if you’re a short-term speculator.
Looking at recent movements, XAUUSD has surged for three consecutive sessions, each by around 3%. To me, this signals strong FOMO in the gold market—not a good sign for new buyers.
i. Gold Price History
1. Historical Data from 1970
Gold has seen significant spikes in the past, similar to the recent surge. Below is a summary of gold price history from 1987 to present, highlighting periods of strong consecutive increases and other key benchmarks.
2. The historical context at key moments
=> As we can see from the events above, gold tends to rise during periods of financial instability and geopolitical tension. However, from 2022 to now, gold prices have almost doubled, and all macroeconomic negative news has been priced in. So, when will gold stop rising and when to sell it?
ii. Probability Data
1. Quantitative Statistics
Below is a statistical comparison of XAUUSD gold prices with similar strong price movements observed in April 2025:
Looking at the data, we can see that gold prices generally decrease from the 30th session onward, after experiencing a 3% increase each session. The 30th session begins on April 9, 2025. Additionally, since 2024, gold has increased by more than 60%.
2. Probability Results
Based on probability calculations from April 9, 2025, the opportunity to buy new positions in XAUUSD is virtually gone. After the 10th and 30th sessions, it's no longer advisable to enter new positions. Instead, it's time to look for sell positions or lock in profits.
=> Since the cycle began, gold has accumulated for 213 consecutive sessions, while the average accumulation period for XAUUSD is about 290 sessions. This is quite close. The longer the accumulation phase, the stronger the price increase afterward. However, we’ve already seen a significant rise in gold prices, meaning most of the potential gains have already been priced in.
3. What Signals Confirm That Gold Prices Will Drop Sharply?
When will gold stop rising and when should we sell it? The answer is simple: we need clear confirmation signals from XAUUSD. In this case, the signal would be a sharp 5% decline in a single session. Based on statistical probability and historical data, such 5% declines have historically confirmed the start of a bear market for gold, meaning prices will either decrease or remain stagnant for an extended period.
A notable 5% drop occurred on May 15, 2006, when gold had previously surged by approximately 55% over a period of about 246 sessions. The outcome was that gold prices dropped by around 14% in the next 30 sessions.
Another example of when to sell occurred on December 4, 2009, when gold experienced a 4% decline after a previous gain of 24% over 144 consecutive sessions. Since the prior gain wasn’t exceptionally strong, XAUUSD only dropped around 6% in the following 50 sessions.
From these examples, we can conclude that gold tends to rise sharply after an accumulation cycle of about 200 sessions or more, with subsequent price increases of 50% or higher. The stronger the previous rise, the larger the drop afterward, typically around 14-15%.
4. Data from Gold Sentiment
When will gold stop rising? When should you sell gold? Based on the Gold Sentiment data from MacroMicro, it’s clear that as the Survey Diffusion Index increases, gold prices tend to rise. Conversely, when this index decreases, gold prices enter a correction phase, leading to a period of stagnation.
Currently, the Survey Diffusion Index has been declining since around March 2025. So when will gold stop rising? This suggests that the gold price may soon reach the end of its upward cycle. However, since this is a lagging indicator, selling or locking in profits requires considering additional factors.
iii. Conclusion
So, when will gold stop rising and when should you sell it? Will the price reach 6,000USD per ounce? According to our analysis, the right time to sell or lock in profits is when a 5% drop occurs in a single session. This conclusion is based on data, not speculation. Gold prices are unlikely to hit 6,000USD per ounce in the near future and will likely need to go through another cycle with an average accumulation period of 200 sessions. The price target to take profit could be around 3,600USD
I hope that the information in this When will gold stop rising article will help you begin your investment journey smoothly and with more confidence. Wishing everyone successful investments and profits!
HelenP. I Gold will make correction movement to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong breakout from the ascending structure, price continued its bullish momentum and reached a fresh local high near 3340 points. This impulsive rally was preceded by a steady upward trend inside a rising channel, where the price showed multiple rejections from the lower boundary and the trend line, particularly near the 2970 level, which also matched with the key support zone at 2950 - 2970 points. The upward movement accelerated once Gold broke through the previous resistance zone around 3160 points, which is now acting as support. That level also coincides with the upper edge of the earlier consolidation area, making it a key zone for potential future reactions. At the moment, the Gold is trading far above the trend line and is extended from its last confirmed support structure. Given the sharp vertical impulse and the lack of significant pullbacks, I expect a downward correction toward the 3175 - 3160 support zone, which is my current goal. This area remains critical for evaluating the next buyer reaction and further trend continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold is down 100 points, but it still remains high and short.Technically speaking:
① Yesterday's daily line hit a high and fell back to close with a hanging neck line with a long upper shadow, which represents a short-term peak signal. Today's opening opened low and rebounded to repair the gap, which can determine the bottom support in the short term. Therefore, today's range has become a large range of 3313-3500.
From the daily Fibonacci retracement extension line, the current support is around 3291, that is, the range of 3291-3371, and the middle 0.236 is located at 3370.
②The 4-hour indicator macd is dead cross at a high level and runs with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is running near oversold, which means that the 4-hour market is still volatile and weak. In the short term, pay attention to the middle track and the moving average MA5 and MA10 corresponding to the 3403-3358-3404 line, and the short-term moving average MA30 corresponds to the 3350 line. From the 4-hour perspective, the current range is 3291-3371.
③ The current MACD of the hourly line is dead cross with shrinking volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is hooked upward, which represents the rebound trend of the hourly line. At present, we focus on the MA60 moving average, the middle track and the MA30 moving average, which currently correspond to the 3397-3354-3405 line, but will gradually move down over time.
In summary: short-selling in the area near the upper pressure of 3321-3351-3371, and maintaining high altitude as the main theme
Summary: In the short term, the high altitude callback is the main focus, and the key support level is arranged in batches for long orders to follow the long-term trend.
Gold Trading DirectionGold fell back under the pressure of 3386, and then pulled back to the pressure of 3365. The watershed was the morning high of 3386. Focus on the break of the low of 3313. If it breaks, the support of 3283 can be long. The strong support is 3245. If the European session does not break the low, but continues to fluctuate sideways at a low level, then be careful of the rebound at night.
Gold falls from highs, medium-term bullish structure remains uncSpot gold prices continue to fall, extending the correction of the psychological level of $3,500.
At the same time, senior Trump administration officials hinted that they are "paving the way" for a trade agreement with Asian powers, further boosting investors' confidence in the global economic outlook, thereby weakening demand for safe-haven gold.
Fed policy expectations still support gold's downward space.
Despite improved risk sentiment, the market still expects the Fed to launch a new round of interest rate cuts in June, with three rate cuts expected throughout the year, which makes gold's medium-term trend still optimistic. At present, weak US economic data and the president's erratic trade policy have further suppressed investors' confidence in US dollar assets.
Quaid believes that the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts have supported the structural upward trend of gold, even if it faces a technical correction in the short term.
Technical aspects show that gold may adjust in the short term, but the support below is strong.
Quaid's analysis:
The current adjustment pressure faced by gold comes more from short-term market sentiment repair and technical profit-taking, but the medium- and long-term fundamentals are still strong. The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have not changed, the US dollar has a clear medium-term weakening trend, and geopolitical factors are still highly uncertain. Gold is still in a bull-dominated pattern overall.
Operation strategy:
3325 long, stop loss 3315, take profit 3350. If it stops rising at 3350, traders can flip the operation strategy and short at this position.
GOLD USDHI GUYS.
well here gold hopefully will sell soon i expect double top h4,h2 h1 chart for sell entries . if it doesn't happen and gold dumps without pull back we wait because investors are waiting for it to sell down and confirm the daily trend chart pattern and div on RSI for second confirmation for buys some time next month. so u can either be patient and let gold sell or dump down or grab entries when situation presents itself
