Gold Top Down Analysis end of June 2025Welcome to my Top Down Analysis. My short trade has not yet reached TP but I explain in the video how the next few weeks might go.
My sell entry : 3443
My TP : 3214
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold Continues to Fall Below $3,300As the week comes to a close, gold is on track for a decline of more than 1.5% during the latest trading session. So far, the bearish bias remains firmly in place in the movements of the precious metal, as demand for safe-haven assets continues to fade, mainly due to the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East conflict, which has helped restore market confidence. Since gold is a classic safe-haven asset, demand has steadily weakened in recent sessions, and as long as this situation holds, selling pressure on gold may continue to intensify.
Uptrend Breaks:
Recent selling activity has played a crucial role, as it has led to a bearish breakout below the short-term trendline, which had been consistently holding on the chart. This breakdown has now opened the door for a lateral channel to form, suggesting that market sentiment has entered a more neutral zone in the short term. If bearish pressure continues, it could pave the way for a more dominant downtrend to take shape in the sessions ahead.
Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line has started oscillating steadily below the 50 level, signaling that downward momentum is beginning to dominate. If the line continues to move away from the neutral 50 level, we could expect more consistent bearish pressure on the chart.
MACD: A similar setup is emerging on the MACD. The indicator's histogram has dropped below the neutral line at zero and is showing persistent negative readings. This signals that selling momentum remains dominant, based on the average strength of the moving averages. If this continues, it would confirm a clear bearish bias.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3,300 – Current barrier: This level aligns with the midpoint of the short-term lateral channel. Price action around this area could reinforce the neutral outlook in the near term.
$3,400 – Key resistance zone: This level marks the historical highs of the gold market. A return to this level would revive the recently abandoned bullish trend and could reestablish a more optimistic outlook.
$3,200 – Critical support: This marks the lower boundary of the short-term channel. A breakdown below this level could trigger a fresh selling trend in the coming sessions.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
XAUUSD/GOLD/SellThe pressure from the bears is too great. In the end, the pressure from above was not broken. Instead, it broke out and fell after being under pressure. The stop loss was hit.
The current price is 3285. After gradually boosting the US dollar index. The trend of gold prices has continued to fall. More importantly, the tariff issue has been eased. At the same time, geopolitical factors are also orderly and stable. This is the news that caused the bears to attack.
History has not become the savior because of repeating itself. Of course, this is also an emergency. In some transactions, the extremely low probability of causing losses is a common problem in transactions. However, our analysis team has stabilized a high trading win rate.
Then the next trading plan is still to focus on the pressure from above. If the London market rebounds above 3300. It is still mainly selling. 3314 is an important level for short-term rebound, and we need to pay attention. Although there is no obvious sign of rebound yet, the release of short-selling pressure has been alleviated because the decline is slow. Today's main trading idea is still to sell at high levels.
The target is to focus on the position of 3264-3248. Remember the risk of buying at low levels. Do not trade independently.
Diamond Targets Loaded 🔱 XAUUSD Trade Setup 🔱
Timeframe: 30m
📈 Price is currently respecting the ascending channel with bullish momentum. We have a clear breakout target area identified.
🎯 Target Zones (Diamonds):
💎 Diamond 1 → 3340
💎 Diamond 2 → 3345
💎 Diamond 3 → 3350
🔻 Support Zone: 3330
💣 Treasure Miss (SL): 3328
The data is negative. Will the price rebound from the bottom?Gold prices have continued to fall since the high near 3450. This trading day started the downward mode near 3328, and the European session continued to fall, breaking a new low. The negative PCE data also continued the downward mode. So far, it has rebounded after hitting the lowest level near 3255. However, the rebound is small, and the upper pressure is still very strong.
From the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of 3295-3300, followed by important pressure near 3315. The short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3265-3270. The overall strategy of shorting at high positions remains unchanged based on this range.
Operation strategy:
Short at the price rebound near 3295, short covering at the high point of 3315, stop loss 3325, profit range 3370-3360.
At present, the price fluctuates greatly. If you want to try scalping transactions, you can trade with a light position and float up and down 5 points to stop loss or profit in time.
This is the last trading day of this week. I hope you all will gain something and have a happy weekend with your family.
GOLD → Attempt to buy back the fall. Uncertainty factorFX:XAUUSD is falling within our expectations. After breaking through the trigger-level of 3340, the price fell to the liquidity zone of 3306. There is uncertainty in the market...
Gold is rising after a false break of support at 3300-3306, interrupting a three-day decline amid a weakening dollar and ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Investors are cautious due to the unstable truce between Iran and Israel, while the decline in USD/JPY after the Bank of Japan's statements and the rise in PPI in Japan are further supporting demand for gold. Powell's comments on the need for caution in monetary policy only temporarily strengthened the dollar. Now the market is focused on US housing data and the second day of Powell's speech
Technically, the price may consolidate at 3306-3347 for some time and only then show us (against the backdrop of the fundamental sentiment that has formed) which direction it will then take
Resistance levels: 3347, 3364, 3372
Support levels: 3319, 3307
The market is trying to buy back the decline. Tuesday's daily session closed with a long shadow, indicating interest in this price range. A pullback to 3320-3310 is possible before growth to 3340-3347.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Short Opportunity🔻 XAUUSD Short Opportunity – Targeting 3258.840
Gold is showing signs of weakness after testing key resistance zones.
I'm currently watching a short-term sell setup with a downside target at 3258.840.
If bearish pressure continues, this level could be hit soon.
📉 Keep an eye on confirmation candles and momentum shifts.
👉 Follow me for more real-time setups and precision entries in Gold & Forex!
GOLD FREE STRUCTUREChina Hong Kong gold vault hints at a geopolitical shift, as the Shanghai Gold Exchange's expansion, aims to enhance China's gold trading infrastructure and challenge Western dominance, potentially impacting demand and supply of physical gold need.
3380-3385 triggered but be cautious
buy zone 3250-3255 reacted and instant buy rejection on the descending trendline.
the Core PCE Price Index (month-over-month): rose by 0.2%, above the forecast of 0.1% and the previous 0.1% reading. This indicates a slight acceleration in the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, with the annual core PCE inflation rising to about 2.7% year-over-year, above expectations of 2.6%.
Personal Income (month-over-month): declined by 0.4%, worse than the forecasted 0.3% increase and down from the previous 0.8% rise. This drop suggests a weakening in household income growth.
Market and Policy Implications:
The uptick in core PCE inflation signals that underlying price pressures remain somewhat persistent, complicating the Fed’s path toward its 2% inflation target.
The decline in personal income could weigh on consumer spending going forward, potentially slowing economic growth.
The US Dollar Index reacted by edging lower, reflecting market caution amid mixed inflation and income data.
Fed officials, including Chair Powell, have emphasized a cautious approach, suggesting no immediate rate cuts until inflation dynamics become clearer.
Summary:
Core inflation is ticking up slightly, reinforcing inflation concerns, while personal income weakness points to potential softening in consumer demand. This mixed data supports a Fed stance of patience, with markets pricing in a moderate chance of rate cuts later in 2025 but expecting continued vigilance.
stay cautious on #gold
Gold Trading Analysis and Strategies for Sideways Decline MarketAfter Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, market risk aversion significantly cooled, and gold prices plunged by more than $30 in early trading. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement remains doubtful, the rebound in risk appetite has dominated market trends, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets declining.
From a technical perspective, the moving average system on the daily chart of gold shows an intertwined state, indicating a relative balance between bulls and bears. The current key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological threshold. If effectively broken, it may open up upward space; the lower support is focused on the 3285-3290 range, which is the lower edge of the May consolidation platform. A break below this level may intensify correction pressure. The loss of the midline in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure, providing technical support for the downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3330-3340
tp:3320-3310
buy@3285-3290
tp:3310-3320
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Gold is near the 0.618 levelGold is near that 0.618 level, going to watch it closely from here. We might not get an entry until Sunday at 6pm NY time when market open.
Key Level to watch 3249, 3194
We need SPY / ES to come down for gold to gain momentum.
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,274.66 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3270.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3260.7
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3289.4
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
6.27 Gold rebounds and adjusts, don't chase shorts at low levelsGold fell below this week's low of 3295 today. As of now, gold has hit 3285 and is fluctuating. Don't chase the short position and short it when it rebounds. Now you can only wait patiently for the rebound before entering the short position. Be a steady hunter and wait patiently for the appearance of prey!
Gold is now focusing on the short-term suppression of the upper 3301-3306 line, focusing on the suppression of the upper 3314-16 line, and the support below is 3276-80. Short it when it rebounds.
Strategy ideas:
1. Gold rebounds to 3301-3306 line and shorts lightly, rebounds to 3314-16 line to cover short position, stop loss 3324, target 3280-85 line;
Gold...XAUUSD IS STRESSFUL TODAYthis is a headache trade .... running in profit but i cannot trust this trade because i feel the top guys are hitting the bid..an price might skyrocket when it breaks that resistance level ....i am jot sure if price have created a clear resistance yet ...all i see is base ......so for me ...SL into Entry ..ciao
Waiting for data release to rebound and short📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
The current price of 3280 has a higher profit and loss ratio advantage. Technical indicators show that the hourly chart is severely oversold. Combined with the top and bottom conversion of 3300 above, there is a 20-point rebound space in the short term. If the PCE data is in line with the trend, gold prices are expected to quickly regain the 3,300 mark. Note that negative data beyond expectations may cause a brief decline.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3295-3280-3275
TP 3298-3300-3310
SELL 3300-3310
TP 3290-3280-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD:Go long
Short - term first do a rebound.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3283-86
TP:3297-3304
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