XAUUSD 4H AnalysisBased on Ichimoku, we expect short-term uptrend toward 3348 and after that we expect rejection from these levels and starting downward movement to support levels (3228-3179).
we consider all these levels as valuable zones for our trading so be cautious about the reaction of XAUUSD.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Trade Plan (Multi-Leg Strategy)This chart outlines a two-phase trading strategy:
▶ Buy from the demand zone, followed by
▶ Sell from the resistance/range zone.
🟦 Phase 1: Buy Setup
Buy Entry: Around 3301 (marked demand/support zone)
: TP1 (Take Profit): 3340–3350 zone (previous supply/resistance area)
: The price is expected to bounce from this demand zone and rally toward the Range Zone.
🟧 Phase 2: Sell Setup (After Confirmation)
Sell Zone: After price hits 3340–3350 and confirms rejection in the Range Zone
> TP1 for Sell: 3310–3300 zone
> Final Target: 3250 (major support level)
> This move expects a bearish reversal after failing to break the range top.
🟡 Key Notes:
Range Zone = 3340–3350 is a key decision point. Wait for a reversal signal (e.g., double top, bearish engulfing) before shorting.
The setup blends support/resistance, price action, and zone trading logic.
✅ Summary:
Buy from 3301 → TP at 3340–3350
Sell from 3340–3350 (after confirmation) → TP1: 3300, TP2: 3250
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD
The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy:
Key Data Points
Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023.
What is UoM consumer sentiment? The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (MCSI), often referred to as UoM Consumer Sentiment, is a widely followed monthly survey that measures how optimistic or pessimistic American consumers feel about the overall economy and their financial situation.
Key Details:
Purpose: It measures consumer attitudes toward current and future economic conditions, including personal finances, business conditions, and purchasing intentions. Since consumer spending accounts for about 68% of the U.S. economy, the index is a valuable leading indicator of economic activity.
Methodology: The University of Michigan conducts telephone and web surveys of a representative sample of U.S. households (around 500–1000 respondents), asking about their financial health, short-term and long-term economic outlook, and expectations for inflation and interest rates.
Components:
Current Conditions Index — consumers’ assessment of the present economic situation.
Consumer Expectations Index — consumers’ outlook for the economy over the next 6–12 months.
Release Schedule: Preliminary data is released mid-month, with a final report at month-end.
Significance:
Reflects consumer confidence and spending intentions.
Helps forecast economic growth and inflation trends.
Influences financial markets and policy decisions.
Summary
The UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is a key measure of how confident consumers feel about the economy, which in turn signals their likely spending behavior and economic outlook. Higher sentiment typically suggests stronger consumer spending and economic growth, while lower sentiment indicates caution and potential economic slowdown.
1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels.
Fed Interpretation
Improved Consumer Sentiment:
The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data.
The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing the urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth.
Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations:
The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons.
This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral.
Policy Implications:
Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows.
No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July.
Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025.
Market Reactions
DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 96.891 weekly floor will be watched.
Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines.
Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on the improved economic outlook.
Conclusion
The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes.
(2)The Federal Reserve will interpret —Core PPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.2%), PPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.2%), and Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 248K)—as further evidence of a cooling but not collapsing labor market and subdued inflation pressures.
Fed’s Likely Interpretation
1. Producer Price Index (PPI)
what is PPI? PPI stands for Producer Price Index. It is an economic indicator that measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. Essentially, it tracks inflation at the wholesale or producer level, reflecting how prices for goods and services change before they reach consumers.
Key points about PPI:
Published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Measures price changes from the perspective of producers/sellers, unlike the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures prices from the consumer’s viewpoint.
Includes thousands of indexes across industries and product categories, covering goods and some services.
Used to forecast inflation trends and as a tool for contract escalations and economic analysis.
Often considered a leading indicator of consumer inflation since producer prices tend to influence retail prices over time.
In summary, the PPI helps gauge inflation pressures early in the production process before they
Inflation Remains Subdued: Both headline and core PPI came in below expectations, confirming that producer-side inflation pressures remain mild. This follows a period of outright declines, indicating no broad-based resurgence in input costs.
Tariff Pass-Through Still Limited: While the Fed is alert to potential tariff-driven inflation later in 2025, current PPI data shows businesses are not yet passing higher costs on to consumers in a meaningful way.
2. Unemployment Claims
Labor Market Softening: Initial jobless claims held at 248K, above expectations and at an eight-month high. The four-week moving average also rose, and continuing claims increased to 1.956 million, marking the third consecutive weekly rise. This signals a gradual loosening of the labor market, with more people remaining unemployed for longer periods.
No Immediate Crisis, But Trend Is Clear: The persistently high claims numbers are moving beyond seasonal noise and indicate a structural shift toward weaker hiring.
3. Policy Implications
Supports Dovish Shift: The combination of softer producer inflation and a weakening labor market strengthens the case for the Fed to consider rate cuts later in 2025.
No Immediate Rate Cut: The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged at its June meeting, but this data increases the likelihood of a cut by September, especially if upcoming CPI and labor data confirm these trends.
Cautious Messaging: The Fed will remain cautious due to the risk of tariff-related inflation later in the year, but current data gives them more flexibility to pivot if growth and employment weaken further.
Conclusion
The Fed will see this data as validating a cautious, data-dependent approach: inflation is contained, and the labor market is softening. While no immediate rate cut is expected, the probability of a cut by September has increased, especially if disinflation and labor market weakness persist.
(3)The Federal Reserve will likely interpret the May 2025 CPI data as signs of moderating inflation but with persistent underlying pressures, leading to a cautious but patient policy stance:
What is cpi??? The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a key economic indicator that measures the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. It reflects inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses.
Key Points about CPI:
What it Measures: The CPI tracks price changes for a broad range of items including food and beverages, housing, apparel, transportation, medical care, recreation, education and communication, and other goods and services.
Data Collection: The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) collects about 80,000 price quotes monthly from retail stores, service establishments, rental units, and doctors' offices.
Purpose: It is widely used to monitor inflation, adjust income payments like Social Security, and guide monetary policy decisions by central banks.
Calculation: CPI is a weighted average of prices, reflecting consumer spending patterns, and is updated periodically to account for changes in consumption habits.
Inflation Indicator: The annual percentage change in CPI is a common measure of inflation, indicating how much prices have increased or decreased over a year.
Summary
CPI provides a snapshot of how much prices for everyday goods and services are rising or falling, helping policymakers, businesses, and consumers understand inflation trends and make informed decisions.
The headline CPI rose 0.1% month-over-month, less than the 0.2% expected and down from April’s 0.2% increase, indicating a slowdown in price growth.
The year-over-year CPI increased 2.4%, slightly above April’s 2.3%, but still close to the Fed’s 2% target, showing inflation is near but not fully anchored.
The core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.1% MoM, below the 0.3% forecast and April’s 0.2%, suggesting easing price pressures in most sectors except shelter and some services.
Shelter costs rose 0.3% in May and remain a key driver of inflation, while energy prices declined 1.0%, helping to temper headline inflation.
The Fed will note that tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have not yet significantly pushed up consumer prices, but remain a risk factor that could elevate inflation later in 2025.
Labor market data remain resilient, with unemployment steady at 4.2% and moderate job growth, supporting economic strength but complicating the Fed’s inflation fight.
Policy Implications:
The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in its upcoming June meeting, maintaining a "wait-and-see" approach to assess how tariffs and inflation evolve.
Markets have limited expectations of a rate cut this month but the price in a ~75% chance of a cut by September, contingent on further inflation easing and labor market developments.
The Fed will remain cautious about premature easing given inflation’s stickiness in services and potential tariff pass-through, but the data support a gradual path toward rate cuts later in 2025 if disinflation continues.
In summary: The Fed will see May’s CPI data as encouraging but not definitive evidence of inflation control, justifying a cautious hold on rates in June while preparing markets for possible easing later this year if inflation and labor data continue to improve.
(4)The Federal Reserve will interpret the May 2025 labor market data—Non-Farm Employment Change of 139K (above the 126K forecast), Unemployment Rate steady at 4.2%, and Average Hourly Earnings up 0.4% MoM (above the 0.3% forecast)—as evidence of a resilient but slowing labor market, which supports a cautious approach to monetary policy.
Detailed Interpretation:
Employment Growth Slightly Above Expectations
The addition of 139,000 jobs, exceeding the forecast of 126,000, indicates that job creation continues.
Growth is uneven across sectors, with healthcare and leisure showing strength while government and trade-related sectors have seen declines, reflecting ongoing structural adjustments and policy uncertainties.
Unchanged Unemployment Rate at 4.2%
The stable unemployment rate suggests that the labor market remains relatively tight, consistent with "maximum employment" goals.
However, underlying data show some signs of weakening, such as rising initial jobless claims in late May, which the Fed will monitor closely.
Wage Growth Accelerates Slightly
Average hourly earnings rose by 0.4% MoM, above expectations, signaling persistent wage pressures that can feed into inflation.
Year-over-year wage growth ticked up to 3.9%, reinforcing concerns about labor cost-driven inflation.
Overall Fed View
The Fed sees the labor market as a relative bright spot amid broader economic uncertainties, including trade tensions and slowing GDP growth.
The data suggest the economy is slowing but not collapsing, allowing the Fed to maintain a cautious, data-dependent stance.
Given persistent wage growth and resilient employment, the Fed is likely to hold interest rates steady at the upcoming meetings but remains open to cuts later in 2025 if labor market softness intensifies and inflation continues to moderate.
Conclusion
The Fed will likely interpret this labor market report as supporting a steady policy stance in the near term, balancing ongoing inflation concerns from wage growth against signs of slowing employment gains. Rate cuts remain on the table for later in 2025, contingent on further labor market weakening and sustained inflation declines..
Summary of the three economic data leads the rate hold for now, but cut likely any time soon on the data approach.
#gold #dollar
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3376 and a gap below at 3302. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3376
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3376 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3438
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3438 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3498
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3498 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3551
BEARISH TARGETS
3302
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3302 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3235
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3235 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3171
3113
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3113 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3045
2987
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 9th June 2025Market Structure:
The overall trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Recent bullish retracement is corrective and approaching a key supply zone (3340 region).
Zones of Interest:
Supply Zone (Sell Area): 3335–3340
This area acted as a previous area of institutional selling. Price is expected to tap into this zone before resuming the downward move.
Demand Zone (Target): 3295–3305
This level served as a previous strong demand zone and aligns with previous reaction zones.
Liquidity & Structure:
Liquidity grab expected above minor highs around 3330–3335 before a potential reversal.
Structure shows a liquidity sweep, followed by a market shift confirming the bearish move.
Key Confluences:
Bearish market structure
Return to supply
Clear risk-to-reward setup
Anticipated lower high formation
Clean FVG + OB alignment in supply zone
📉 Trade Idea / Signal
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 3335–3340
Stop Loss: 3355 (above supply zone highs)
Take Profit: 3320
Take Profit: 3300
Risk–Reward: ~1:3
🧠 Trade Plan
Wait for price to enter 3335–3340 zone.
Look for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, BOS, CHoCH on LTF).
Execute short with SL above the zone.
Target the 3300 handle which aligns with the HTF demand zone and price imbalance fill.
Gold price recovers, accumulates new week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) hold steady near $3,310 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday, with the precious metal struggling to gain traction amid renewed strength in the US Dollar (USD). While a firmer Greenback poses headwinds for gold, lingering uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff strategy continues to offer some support.
On Friday, upbeat labor market data bolstered the dollar, pressuring dollar-denominated assets like gold. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 139,000 in May, outpacing expectations of 130,000 and surpassing the previous month's downwardly revised figure of 147,000 (from 177,000). The stronger-than-expected jobs report has dampened hopes of near-term Fed rate cuts, weighing on bullion’s appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price takes liquidity 3294, below 3300 GAP zone last week. Accumulate and react at lower support zones
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3348- 3350 SL 3355
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3281- $3279 SL $3274
TP1: $3292
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3315
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: Analysis June 10Gold recovered to nearly 3340 yesterday after a sharp decline at the end of last week. But gold then declined again as the market digested positive signals from the US-China trade talks. There is no important economic data released from the US today, investors continue to monitor the developments of the US-China trade talks and CPI data released on Wednesday.
After falling to test the broken down channel, gold rebounded to near 3340. It is currently declining again, but is still moving steadily above the psychological support zone of 3300. In the European session, you can buy gold again when approaching this support zone again. Or you can sell according to the two resistance zones above.
Gold is on a riseHi traders,
Last week gold went exactly as I've said in my previous outlook.
After price came into the bullish 4H FVG it started the next impulse wave 3 (purple) up.
So next week we could see a small correcton down and more upside.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to finish and trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently forming a clean bullish pennant pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential continuation of the dominant uptrend. After a strong impulsive rally that pushed gold prices to new highs, the market entered into a consolidation phase, tightening within the pennant structure. This type of price action typically precedes a breakout, and with current price action hovering near the upper boundary of the pennant, a bullish breakout looks imminent. If we break above this consolidation zone, the next target stands at 3500, in line with the measured move projection from the prior leg.
From a fundamental standpoint, gold remains in strong demand amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and shifting central bank policies. Recent data out of the US showed signs of a cooling labor market and slowing inflation pressures, increasing the odds of the Federal Reserve leaning toward rate cuts in the second half of 2025. A dovish Fed would weaken the US dollar and lower Treasury yields—two key drivers that historically push gold prices higher. Additionally, continued central bank gold buying globally, especially from emerging markets, is providing a strong underlying bid for XAU.
The current consolidation is healthy and is allowing the market to build momentum before another leg up. Volatility is compressing, volume remains steady, and price structure is respecting key trendlines. Once we get confirmation with a breakout and close above the upper pennant boundary, it would open the door to a swift move toward the 3500 region. Traders should monitor volume and RSI closely for early signs of breakout confirmation.
In this environment of economic uncertainty, demand for safe-haven assets like gold is only increasing. With technicals and fundamentals aligned, XAUUSD is gearing up for a powerful bullish wave. As long as we hold above the key 3280–3300 support range, the bullish thesis remains fully intact. This setup offers excellent reward-to-risk potential and is one of the more compelling opportunities currently on the radar.
Gold Eyes New All-Time High as Bullish Trend StrengthensGold continues to push higher in a powerful uptrend, approaching a fresh all-time high with strong bullish momentum. Technical indicators and market structure remain supportive of further upside, with a key Fibonacci extension target at $4,144 now coming into focus.
Gold has maintained a robust weekly bullish trend, characterized by a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Price action remains technically strong across all timeframes, and with price now pressing against previous all-time highs, the next move could either be a temporary consolidation or an explosive breakout into new territory.
Key Technical Points
- Trend Structure Remains Intact: Higher highs and higher lows dominate all major timeframes.
- Moving Averages in Full Bullish Alignment: All key moving averages remain beneath price
action, acting as dynamic support.
- Point of Control Reclaims: Previous consolidations at volume highs have led to continued
breakouts.
- Fibonacci Extension Target at $4,144: This level represents the next major technical upside
target if momentum persists.
From a market structure standpoint, gold is in a textbook uptrend. There have been no breakdowns of prior swing lows, and each move higher has been followed by a constructive consolidation or higher low formation. This consistency reinforces the overall strength of the bullish trend.
All major moving averages (MAs) — whether short-term (21 EMA), medium-term (50 SMA), or long-term (200 EMA) — are stacked beneath current price across all key timeframes. This configuration confirms strong trend alignment and dynamic support, giving buyers further confidence to hold or add on dips.
One of the most bullish technical characteristics has been the repeated reclaiming of key volume zones, particularly the point of control (POC) within high-volume nodes. Price has consistently consolidated around these zones before breaking higher, indicating strong accumulation and controlled trend continuation.
Additional Context: Fibonacci Target and Price Path:
A Fibonacci extension measured from the recent swing low to the swing high projects a technical upside target of $4,144. This is a natural continuation level based on prior market rhythm and trend extension. If gold breaks its all-time high with conviction, this extension becomes the next likely area for price to reach, assuming bullish momentum continues.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
As gold approaches its all-time high, two key scenarios are in play: a minor pullback for a new higher low, or an impulsive breakout toward the $4,144 Fibonacci target. Given the strength in structure and momentum, the path of least resistance remains to the upside — but traders should monitor lower timeframes for confirmation.
Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447.
Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500.
⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD: Another Important Update On Gold Prices! We recently posted an idea analysis on Gold, but our first entry was invalidated due to the heavy sell-off. We expect a smooth move from the current price point. However, please remember that the market conditions will remain volatile and uncertain due to important economic data being published tomorrow.
Good luck, trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD[GOLD]:At Critical Level, Bullish Swing Is Very LikelyHey There Everyone,
So, gold prices took a bit of a dip, hitting 3250 gold. But guess what? They bounced back like a rubber ball and reached 3332! And here’s the exciting part: they broke through that pesky bearish trend line. This means they’re probably going to retest that line to confirm the trend.
Right now, it looks like they’re at a potential retest point, and that’s where things could get really interesting. If strong bullish volume comes in, the price could skyrocket! There are three possible targets here: 3332, 3362, and 3420.
Now, here’s something important to keep in mind: next week, there are some big news and events coming up that could totally shake things up in the gold market. And let’s not forget about price manipulation. If someone tries to mess with the price, it could drop back to 3250 and then reverse course. So, it’s crucial to have backup plans in case of any unexpected twists.
The US dollar is also going to be all over the place due to upcoming news, which could disrupt the gold market and other currencies. So, it’s best to trade cautiously today and next week. The price can be a bit unpredictable, so take your time to do your own analysis and assess your risk before making any moves.
Good luck and trade safely! We wish you all the best in your trading journey!
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_
HelenP. I Gold may correct to support zone and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After rebounding from the trend line, XAUUSD began to grow steadily within the rising structure, confidently pushing through local resistance and breaking above the previous support 2 area. This breakout was backed by strong bullish momentum, with the price clearly holding above the broken level, turning it into a support base. Following that surge, the price entered a short-term consolidation, trading within the upper boundary of the chart, just above the 3400 level. This area now acts as a crucial support zone, and the market is currently hovering slightly above it after a local peak. Given the strength of the recent impulse and the confirmation of previous resistance as support, I expect a brief correction to the support zone before a continuation of the bullish move. That’s why I set my current goal at 3470 points — the next potential resistance area where the price may encounter renewed selling pressure after the rally continues. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold eyes $3,485 as bulls take chargeOANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers are in control, indicating the potential for further upside movement.
Price has recently broken through a key resistance zone and may pull back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,485 target, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as the price remains above this support area, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the chances of a retracement toward the lower boundary of the channel.
The recent surge in gold prices has been driven by the escalating Middle East crisis and a weakening U.S. dollar. Gold recorded its highest weekly close in history at $3,432 per ounce, fueled by concerns over global economic stability and rising demand for safe-haven assets. Analysts have raised their gold forecasts due to the ongoing market uncertainties.
Despite the bullish momentum, I believe gold may be entering overbought territory in the near term, indicating a potential for a short-term correction. However, the broader uptrend remains strong, supported by geopolitical tensions, central bank buying activity, and continued investor demand for robust assets.
Chart Pattern: Ascending Channel / Rising WedgeChart Analysis Breakdown
:
Price Channel (Ascending):
A rising wedge or ascending channel is drawn, showing higher highs and higher lows.
The upper and lower white trendlines are converging slightly, suggesting a potential breakout or breakdown soon.
Key Support and Resistance Zones:
Orange Resistance Zone (Top Left): Marked as a supply zone where price previously reversed (around 3,420–3,430).
Orange Support Zone (Bottom Center): Around 3,320–3,330, possibly acting as demand or a retest area.
Price Levels (Right Scale):
Current price is around 3,386.36.
Several price markers are noted (green for potential bullish targets, red for bearish zones).
Projections/Scenarios (White Arrows):
Bullish Scenario: Price breaks above the upper channel line and targets levels like 3,423 or 3,440.
Bearish Scenario: Price fails at resistance, retraces back to the support zone, possibly to 3,360 or lower (near 3,320 zone).
EMA 50 (Blue Line):
An EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is lightly visible and used for trend confirmation. Price is currently above it, indicating bullish bias.
Other Chart Elements:
Time shown is UTC+3.
The local weather is 30°C and hazy.
Timestamp: June 13, 2025, at 1:35 AM.
📈 Interpretation:
The chart suggests a watch for breakout scenario in XAUUSD:
If price sustains above the rising channel, it could rally further.
If it breaks below, look for a retest of the 3,320–3,330 zone.
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout PotentialGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀📈
🔍 Chart Analysis (June 15, 2025):
The GOLD/USD price action shows strong bullish momentum after a successful breakout above the previous resistance zone (now turned support) around $3,400. This level had previously acted as a key resistance multiple times (evidenced by the price rejection in early June), but has now been flipped into a support zone. The chart highlights two major elements:
📌 Key Highlights:
✅ Support Zone:
The $3,390–$3,410 range is now a confirmed support area after price broke above and retested it. This zone was previously tested multiple times (marked by arrows) and is expected to act as a launchpad for further upside.
🎯 Target Point:
The projected bullish target lies in the $3,610–$3,640 range. This level has been highlighted as a potential area where price might face resistance again.
📈 Bullish Projection:
A bullish continuation is expected if the price remains above the $3,400 level. The chart suggests a possible pullback to support before continuation towards the target zone.
⚠️ Technical Outlook:
As long as price holds above support, the bias remains bullish.
A drop below $3,390 would invalidate this bullish scenario and call for reassessment.
Conservative entry may wait for a confirmed bounce from support.
🔮 Summary:
Bullish bias is active for GOLD/USD with a short-term target around $3,620. Watch the $3,400 support closely for confirmation of the upward momentum.
Htf Levels for gold In this video I look at the Higher term timeframe and mark what I consider to be 2 relevant levels looking forward for the month of June .
At the present we are sitting in the middle of the range but at some point we will break out or down from that range and the levels I have highlighted may be of guidance for gold traders.
In this video I use the Trend based Fib Extension, Tr pocket , vwap and standard fibs.
XAU/USD: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading SuggestionsI. Global Central Banks' Gold Purchases Continue to Support Long-Term Gold Uptrend
For instance, China's central bank has increased gold reserves for 7 consecutive months, India's gold reserve ratio has doubled compared to 2021, and countries like Thailand and Brazil followed suit in May. Central banks' gold buying, driven by reserve structure optimization and geopolitical risk hedging, provides long-term support for gold prices via sustained demand growth.
II. Technicals Show Intense Range Battle at $3,400 Key Level
Gold prices, after breaking through $3,400, are oscillating near $3,430. Short-term bulls dominate, but $3,450 acts as a significant resistance. The $3,400 level has turned into strong support— a breakdown could trigger pullbacks. While moving averages show a bullish alignment, overbought technical signals warrant correction vigilance.
III. Geopolitical Conflicts Escalate Sharply
Israel's precision strikes destroyed Iranian nuclear facilities and decapitated high-ranking officials, prompting Iran's immediate retaliation. With multiple Middle Eastern nations now involved, escalating geopolitical risks strongly underpin the rally in gold and crude oil.
Conclusion
Geopolitical tensions will sustain short-term upward momentum for gold, but investors must monitor Middle East developments and Fed policy shifts. Prudent position management based on risk tolerance is advised, with caution against excessive leverage in volatile markets.
Next Week's XAU/USD Trading Strategy
buy@3410-3420
tp:3440-3450
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
If the 3300 support line is still valid, you can continue to buyAs for gold, as I analyzed, I gave a long strategy at 3310-18 this morning. So far, the lowest level has rebounded to 3340. At the same time, we have also notified the real market to go long. I believe that friends who follow me can see it. Today, we focus on the important support position of 3300-06. The trend is still mainly to go long. We must operate under the premise of following the general trend. Only in this way can we achieve stable operation.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is around 3315-21. The daily level stabilizes at this position and continues to see the strong upward rhythm of bulls. Focus on the support of 3300-06. Pay attention to the suppression of 3345-3348. The main tone of low-long participation around this range remains unchanged during the day. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3321-3328, and buy when it falls back to 3312-16, stop loss at 3308, target at 3345-3348;
Gold Price Analysis June 10Gold price reacted at the Trenline and EMA 34 yesterday and bounced back but still closed below the breakout zone of 3335.
The downtrend can still continue as long as 3335 remains strong today.
H4 shows the provincial port area at 3295 and 3275 in the opposite direction of the provincial port at 3339 and 3365.
H1 is still forming a clear downtrend. 3309 is the immediate resistance zone. is the price zone that can scalp breakout if it closes above this zone. break 3309 Gold will head to 3327 in this zone, if you want to SELL, you have to wait for confirmation from the selling candle. When the buyers push the price strongly through 3327, you have to wait for the US session resistance around 3338 yesterday. Resistance and support during the day are noted around 3275 and 3365