GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – June 27, 2025Entry Point: Around 3,300.98 USD
Stop Loss (SL): ~3,312.20 USD
Take Profit (TP): 3,229.33 USD
Current Price: 3,286.15 USD
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:6.3
(Potential reward ≈ 71.65 pts; risk ≈ 11.22 pts)
Technical Breakdown:
Trend:
The price is in a short-term downtrend, supported by:
Lower highs and lower lows.
Price trading below both 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), confirming bearish momentum.
Bearish Breakout:
Price broke below a key support-turned-resistance zone near 3,300–3,302, triggering sell pressure.
Resistance Area:
Strong rejection at 3,302–3,312 zone, which is now acting as resistance.
SL is placed just above this zone to protect against false breakouts.
Target Zone:
TP set at 3,229.33, aligning with a previous support zone — a logical area for price to react.
Strategy Notes:
Bias: Bearish
Entry confirmation: Already triggered.
Risk Management: SL placement is tight and strategic; RR ratio is highly favorable.
Next support below TP: If 3,229 breaks, further downside could follow.
Summary:
This setup shows a well-defined bearish continuation with a clean break of support, a controlled SL above resistance, and a strong RR ratio. A suitable trade for trend-following strategies, but price must not retrace above 3,312 for this idea to remain valid.
XAUUSD - BUY - Scalp
1. Market Structure & Trend
Recent Downtrend: The left side of the chart shows a sharp, persistent decline, with price breaking through multiple support levels.
Base Formation: After the selloff, gold found support (marked “Spring” and “SC”—Selling Climax) and began consolidating, forming a base.
Reversal Signs: The chart shows classic Wyckoff accumulation signals:
SC (Selling Climax): Panic selling exhausts sellers.
Spring: Final shakeout, trapping late shorts.
AR (Automatic Rally): First strong bounce.
SOS (Sign of Strength): Bullish breakout above resistance.
2. Key Levels & Zones
Support: Thick blue and black horizontal lines mark major support zones where price reversed.
Target: The blue label at 3,318.571 marks a major upside target, aligning with a prior high and a confluence of resistance.
3. Volume & Order Flow
Volume Profile: The red/blue histogram on the left shows heavy volume at lower prices, indicating accumulation. Lower volume above suggests less resistance if price rallies.
4. RSI & Momentum
Recently rebounded from oversold (below 30), supporting the bullish reversal.
Sign of Strength (SOS): Confirms buyers are in control for now.
Actionable Insights
Short-term: Bullish momentum is strong; price is likely to test the 3,318 resistance zone.
In summary:
If momentum holds, a breakout could trigger further upside; if not, a pullback or consolidation is likely.
Analysis and layout of gold trend at the end of the month📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
From the beginning of the decline of gold near 3338 on Friday to today's lowest point near 3244, gold has fallen by nearly $94. At present, gold has rebounded as expected. In the short term, I think we have two key areas to pay attention to. The first is the position of 3290-3295, which is a 50% rebound, and the second is the upper top range limit range of 3300-3320. Of course, if it breaks through 3280 and then retreats, it can also be long twice, but the current price rebounds, considering the position of the temporary low long position, there is not much trading opportunity. First look at the key areas given to find opportunities for shorting, and pay attention to the opportunity of retreating to 3280-3270 below.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3290-3295
TP 3380-3370
SELL 3300-3310-3320
TP 3290-3280-3270
BUY 3270-3260
TP 3290-3300
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD READY FOR SELL (READ CAPTION)Hello trader. what do you think about gold
current price; 3273
gold is breakout resistance zone in weekly candles i think gold retest upside and testing resistance then gold fall down
resistance zone : 3295_3325
support zone 3250
demand zone:3200
please like comment and follow thank you
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – July 3, 2025The chart of gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe shows that the price is moving within a corrective range after a strong bullish wave during which gold reached levels above $3,368 per ounce. Following a rejection from the resistance area near 3,365–3,368, the price began a downward correction and is currently stabilizing around the support zone at 3,344–3,343.
The price is now testing a key support area. If it holds above this zone, we may see a rebound toward the 3,363 and 3,365 resistance levels. A breakout above 3,368 could restore bullish momentum and open the way for new highs.
However, if the current support at 3,343 breaks, the bearish scenario would be favored, with potential targets at the next support levels around 3,336 and 3,329.
Likely Scenario: As long as gold holds above 3,343, the bullish bias remains valid. We will monitor price action at this area to confirm a possible rebound.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3,343 – 3,336 – 3,329
Resistance: 3,363 – 3,365 – 3,368
This is a short-term analysis and depends on the price reaction at the current support zone.
XAUUSD - Trading Plan 4-Hour Analysis and ProjectionThis 4-hour candlestick chart of Gold against the US Dollar highlights key Wyckoff market phases and technical levels that frame the current market structure. The analysis identifies significant points including the Buying Climax (BC), Upthrust (UT), Second Test (ST), and Automatic Reaction (AR), which mark essential phases of accumulation and distribution.
Multiple Dow swing counts (Dow-1, Dow-2, Dow-3) are annotated with various colors, illustrating the market’s internal structure and momentum shifts. The chart shows a failed upthrust after distribution, signaling a likely bearish pressure following the attempt to push prices higher.
The current price action indicates a potential retracement to the support zone near the Automatic Reaction level, followed by possible continuation up to recent highs. The plan suggests watching for a minor pullback around area A, after which a bullish move is expected to resume, targeting higher resistance levels as indicated by the projected price movement arrows.
This trading plan emphasizes careful observation of price reactions around key support and resistance levels derived from Wyckoff methodology phases, aiming to capture potential bullish continuation or prepare for bearish scenarios if support fails.
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Dow Theory & Wyckoff
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,341.44 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold price range: 3310-3360Gold price range: 3310-3360
Spot gold fell to $3311.65 during the session, but it is still fluctuating above the key support level of $3310, and the current price is around 3340.
As shown in the figure:
The latest triangle convergence range oscillation pattern has been shown to everyone
Key pressure area: 3355-3360
Key support area: 3310-3320
It is expected to enter a range oscillation pattern on Friday.
Due to the US Independence Day holiday, today's gold price trend is more affected by the performance of the Asian session.
According to analysis and observation, the gold price showed a pull-up or oscillating upward trend in the Asian session this week.
Most of the factors that led to the rise in gold prices this week can be attributed to the pull-up rhythm in the Asian session.
According to Chinese news reports: China has suspended holdings of gold, but Turkey and India are still buying.
In other words, the main factors for this week's rise are Turkey and India.
At present, the range of gold price fluctuations will become narrower and narrower, and it is unlikely that a new general direction will appear this week.
Then the corresponding strategy is:
In the oscillation range of 3310-3360, use oscillation thinking to trade
Short at high level, stop loss at 3365
Long at low price, stop loss at 3300
The author prefers the idea of short at high price
Excellent profits on NFP & ISMH4 Timeframe Analysis
Yesterday we're totally on sell from 3355 to 3315 .
Gold is currently holding the Range of 3320-3345.
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️As today bank Holiday in USA so we'll not see much volatility in US session although if h1-h4 Candle closes above 3345 then we'll see gold to tap 3355 then 3356 .
▪️If the H4 candle remains below 3330 then keep your eyes at 3320 .
#XAUUSD
GOLD ANALYSIS FOR MONDAY MARKET OPEN, 30TH JUNE, 2025Gold looks bearish heading into the new week. We had the formation of a weekly engulfing candle last week. I expect a pullback buy at market open from the current level to a take-profit level of 3316.
After that, I expect a sell-off from the 3318 level down to the 3000 level for the rest of the week.
I will be posting daily updates here, cheers!
9 Essential TIPS For Newbie Traders (Learn from my Mistakes!)
In the today's article, I will reveal trading secrets I wish I knew when I started trading.
1️⃣ Forget about becoming a pro quickly
Most of the traders believe, that you can learn how to trade easily and that it takes a very short period of time in order to master a profitable trading strategy.
The truth is, however, that trading is a long journey.
I spent more than 3 years, trying different strategies and looking for a profitable technique to trade. Once I found that, it took more than a year to polish a trading strategy and to learn how to apply that properly.
Be prepared to spend YEARS before you find a way to trade profitably.
2️⃣ Focus on One Strategy
While you are learning how to trade you will try different techniques, tools and strategies. And the thing is that newbies are trying multiple things simultaneously. The more strategies you try at once, the more setups you have on your chart. The more setups you have on your chart, the more complex and difficult is your trading.
Remember that in this game, your attention is the key.
You should meticulously study each and every trading setup.
For that reason, I highly recommend you to focus on one strategy, one approach, one technique. Test it, try it and look for a new one only when you realize that it doesn't work.
Here is the example how the same price chart can provide absolutely different trading opportunities depending on a trading strategy.
Price action pattern trader would recognize a lot of a patterns, while indicator based trader could spot absolutely different bullish and bearish signals.
Now, try to imagine how hard it would be to follow both strategies simultaneously.
3️⃣ Start with small capital that you can afford to lose
You will lose your first trading deposit and, probably, the second one and potentially the third one as well.
Losses are the only way to learn real trading. While you are on a demo account, you feel like a king, but once you start risking your savings, the perspective completely changes .
For that reason, make sure that you trade with an account that you can afford to lose. The fact of blowing such an account should be unpleasant, but that should not affect your daily life.
4️⃣ Use stop loss
I am doing trading coaching for more than 4 years.
What pisses me off is that the main reason of the substantial losses of my mentees is the absence of stop loss. Why can it be if naturally everyone: from your broker to Instagram trading gurus repeat that day after day.
Set stop loss, know in advance how much you risk per trade, and know the exact level on a price chart where you become wrong.
Imagine what could be your loss, if you shorted USDJPY and hold the trade while the market kept going against you.
5️⃣ Forget about getting rich quick
That is the iconic fallacy. I believe that around 90% of people who come in this game want to get rich quick , want easy money.
And no surprise, when I share a trading setup in my free telegram channel, and it loses I receive dozens of messages that I am a scammer.
People truly believe that professional trading implies 100% win rate and quick and easy money.
The truth is, traders, that trading is a very tough game. And with a good trading strategy, you have just a little statistical edge that will give you the profits that would slightly overcome your losses.
6️⃣ Train your eyes
Professional trading implies pattern recognition: it can be some technical indicators pattern, the price action or candlestick formation, etc.
Your main goal as a trader is to learn to identify these patterns.
Pattern recognition is a hard skill to acquire.
You should spend dozens of hours in front of the screen in order to train your eyes to identify certain patterns.
Here is how many patterns you would spot on GBPUSD chart, paying close attention.
7️⃣ Track and analyze your trades
Study all the trades that you take, especially the losing ones.
Look for mistakes, look for the reasons why a certain setup played out and why a certain one didn't. Journal your trades and make notes.
8️⃣ Don't use technical indicators
Newbies believe that technical indicators should do the work for them.
They are constantly looking for one or a bunch that will accurately show where the market will go.
However, I always say to my mentees that technical indicators make the chart messy and distract.
If you just started trading, focus on a naked chart, learn to analyze the market trend, key levels, classic price action patterns.
Learn to make accurate predictions relying on a price chart alone.
Only then add some technical indicators on your chart.
They won't do the work for you, but will help you to slightly increase the accuracy of a certain setup.
Above is the classic chart of a newbie trader.
A lot of indicators and a complete mess
The same chart would look much better without technical indicators.
9️⃣ Find a Mentor
There are hundreds of trading mentors on Instagram, YouTube, TradingView. Find the one with a trading style that you like.
Follow him, learn from his trading experience, listen to his trading recommendations.
11 years ago I found a guy on YouTube, his name was Jason.
I really liked his free teachings, and they were meaningful to me.
I decided to purchase his premium coaching program.
It was 200$ monthly - a huge amount of money for me at that time.
However, with his knowledge I saved a lot, I learned a lot of profitable techniques and tricks that helped me to become a professional forex trader.
Of course, this list could be much bigger.
The more I think about different subjects in trading, the more important tips come to my mind. However, I believe that the tips above are essential and I truly wish I knew all that before I started.
I hope that info will help you in your trading journey!
Good luck to you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Bearish Setup | OB & FVG Confluence | Targeting 3230Title: XAUUSD Bearish Setup | OB & FVG Confluence | Targeting 3230
📉 Analysis Overview (4H Timeframe)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently in a clear downtrend, confirmed by lower highs and lower lows. Recent price action shows strong bearish momentum with confluences of key Bearish Order Blocks (OBs) and Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) forming ideal trade setups.
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🔍 Key Technical Zones
🔴 Bearish OB: 3355–3370
🟧 FVG: 3340–3355
🔵 Sell Entry Zone: 3300–3310
❌ Stop Loss: Above 3330
🟢 Bullish OB (Buy Zone): 3255–3265
🟧 Lower FVG (Potential Reaction Area): 3285–3295
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🎯 Take Profits
TP1: 3270
TP2: 3255
TP3: 3230
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💡 Trade Idea
Entering short near the 3300–3310 area, which aligns with a previous FVG and resistance area. Strong OB and FVG confluence above make 3330 a logical SL. The downside has clean imbalances and OBs to support price delivery lower.
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📌 Bias: Bearish
⏱️ Timeframe: 4H
📊 Risk-Reward: Favorable with minimal drawdown near OB rejection zone.
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💬 Drop your thoughts below or agree if this aligns with your view!
#XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #ICT #FVG #OrderBlock #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas
ICT Price Delivery Theory - 23-27 June ICT Price Delivery Theory Starting from first day of the week 23/06 with 3 session starting from Asia with half of London Accumulation (Blue Line) then NYC Start with Expansion and Retracement to hunt the stops for long and short positions (Orange Line)
Finally it goes to Reversal till 2nd NYC Session(Green line)
Gold: A Bearish Outlook - Another Point of ViewGold: A Bearish Outlook - Another Point of View
Since yesterday, gold has not moved much despite the situation in the Middle East looking calm and stable for the moment.
In a normal market, gold should have started another downward wave, given that a ceasefire was reached between the influential countries and a war that could have lasted for years given their military arsenal.
Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testified for the second day and his comments were aggressive, despite being provoked by many of Trump's supporters with very aggressive tones. This was probably one reason why the US dollar did not show strength.
However, gold is a safe-haven asset and if it is to respect its status, chances are it will fall further, at least as a profitable moment, because all the important events have ended so far. It could create a possible reversal from the current area as shown in the chart.
Key downside targets: 3314.50, 3300, 3285, and 3270.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAUUSD H4 Structure – Eyes on 3225 POI for Possible ContinuationXAUUSD has been in a structured 4H pullback, and price is now approaching a key high-timeframe zone around 3225 — marked by prior CHoCH and unmitigated price action. This level has the potential to act as a base for bullish continuation, but I will only act based on lower timeframe structure.
The trap for most traders is entering too early just because price hits a level.
My approach is different — I wait for the market to tell me when it’s ready.
🔍 The Flow I Follow (As Always):
HTF Context – Price is pulling back within a broader bullish range
POI Identified – 3225 zone = key area of interest
Wait for LTF Shift – I’ll only consider a trade if:
- M15 shows CHoCH (shift in internal structure)
- Followed by a BOS (momentum confirmation)
Then, and only then, I enter. Otherwise, I let it go.
🧠 Why This Matters:
This structure-first mindset keeps me out of random trades.
I don’t predict — I align.
No M15 shift?
No BOS?
No trade.
📊 Chart Context:
The chart attached shows:
Previous CHoCH levels
Recent BOS confirming internal structure break
Cleanly marked POI around 3225
Still no valid LTF shift — so it’s a “watch, not trade” phase
📖 From the Book Philosophy:
“The chart is the mirror. It reflects your level of patience, not your level of prediction.”
This setup reflects exactly what I teach in my book The Chart Is The Mirror — how to stop reacting to candles and start respecting structure.
No signals.
No indicators.
Just clean alignment of levels and psychology.