GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold price has stopped falling, can we buy higher?The short-term 4-hour middle track 3380 has been lost and has become a key counter-pressure point. As long as it does not stand above it again, it will maintain a downward correction. After breaking 3292 below, it will be the 66-day moving average of 3260. The 1-hour K-line is under pressure, After last night's consolidation and pull-up,plus MACD has a golden cross below the zero axis. This wave of $200 rapid decline has almost corrected most of it. If it continues downward for another wave, or with the help of bottom divergence, it will slowly brew a short-term bottom; today's gold rebound focuses on the resistance below 3340, below the extreme middle track 3356, it is still bearish if it cannot withstand the pressure, and it will start to consider bottom-fishing if the strong support 3260 or 3245 is stable;
DeGRAM | GOLD Held Support Level📊 Technical Analysis
Gold’s slide paused at $3 315; holding here keeps $3 500 – 3 520 in play.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• PBoC has been buying for 5 months in a row.
• WGC expects strong demand from central banks in 2025.
• Trade wars, tensions in the Middle East and South Asia are causing risks that are increasing demand for gold.
• IMF warns new tariffs could slow growth, boosting safe-haven bids.
• Western ETFs had bought ≈240 t by mid-April.
• DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down.
✨ Summary
Strong central-bank buying, renewed ETF inflows, softer USD yields and rising geopolitical risk align with chart support, favouring a rebound toward $3 500 – 3 520 while $3 315 holds.
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continue to accumulate, gold price waiting for NF⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues its downward trajectory, slipping toward $3,315 during early Asian trading on Wednesday as improving global risk sentiment and signs of easing trade tensions weigh on demand for the safe-haven asset. Market participants remain cautious ahead of key US economic data releases, including the ADP Employment Change, the Core PCE Price Index, and the preliminary Q1 GDP figures, all scheduled for later in the day.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump is reportedly aiming to reduce the overall impact of automotive tariffs by avoiding cumulative duties on foreign vehicles and loosening restrictions on imported parts used in domestic production. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent added that major trade partners have made “very good” proposals to avert further US tariffs. Furthermore, exemptions on select US goods from retaliatory duties suggest a growing intent to de-escalate ongoing trade disputes.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price maintains accumulation range of 3265 - 3360, temporary stability awaits big fluctuations
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3368- 3370 SL 3375
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3264 - $3262 SL $3257
TP1: $3280
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3318
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3285 - $3283 SL $3280 scalping
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3295
TP3: $3300
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3341 and a gap below at 3307. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3362
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3362 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3384
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3384 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3410
BEARISH TARGETS
3307
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3278
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3278 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3255
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3027 - 3179
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD Took Third Scenario , New Entry Valid To Get 500 Pips !Here is my second place we can buy gold from it after the first entry that gave us more than 700 pips from last analysis please check it to know all scenarios for the next days , now i`m looking to buy gold again after retest the previous high that already broke , and with any bullish P.A , We can enter a new entry with 500 pips target .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink“Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣”
📅 Daily XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 25, 2025
Clean structure. No noise. Just logic.
🧭 MARKET CONTEXT
• Macro: No major USD catalyst. Yesterday's Unemployment Claims were neutral → price action driven by structure & liquidity.
• Sentiment: Gold remains in premium territory but failed to hold above 3355 in NY → suggesting smart money profit-taking.
• HTF Bias: Bullish (D1 trend intact, HLs hold)
• LTF Flow: Bearish intraday – CHoCH & BOS on M30-H1
• Key Event Backdrop: Powell not speaking today, but market still reflects uncertainty from recent Trump vs. Powell tensions.
📐 STRUCTURE & SMC FLOW
• M30–H1: Internal CHoCH formed after price failed to break above 3355
• Liquidity: Sweeps above 3353 and below 3312 → now hovering around internal equilibrium
• SMC Confluence: OBs, FVGs, and EMA alignment used for all entries
• FIB Zones: Discount for buys (3280–3310), Premium for sells (3385+)
🔻 SELL SCENARIOS
Sell #1 – 3385–3392
🧨 Premium retest zone + H1 OB + Gap mitigation
• SL: 3401
• TP1: 3355
• TP2: 3333
• TP3: 3306
🎯 Confluence: H1 OB, NY liquidity above, internal CHoCH
Sell #2 – 3411–3422
💣 Extended premium fill – final imbalance trap
• SL: 3432
• TP1: 3372
• TP2: 3333
• TP3: 3306
🎯 Confluence: Unmitigated FVG + fib extension 1.272 + clean wick rejection zone
🟢 BUY SCENARIOS
Buy #1 – 3333–3338
🔋 HTF OB + H4 structure demand
• SL: 3322
• TP1: 3360
• TP2: 3385
• TP3: 3410
🎯 Confluence: HTF FVG, historical bounce zone, EMA100 support
Buy #2 – 3284–3288
🧱 Sniper reentry zone from structure base
• SL: 3270
• TP1: 3312
• TP2: 3340
• TP3: 3372
🎯 Confluence: Previous sniper entry, structure HL, strong OB zone
📊 TREND RECAP
• HTF Trend: Bullish
• LTF Structure: Currently in retracement mode
• Bias: Neutral to bearish for early London, bullish only on clean 3333 reaction or deeper dip to 3284
🫂 COMMUNITY CALL
"Gold’s Next Trap? Don't Blink. 👀💣"
Will 3450 Hold? Or is Gold Just Getting Started? 🔄🧠
Which setup are you watching tomorrow? Let’s catch these sniper entries together – drop your bias in the comments 💬👇
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Let’s grow this smart gold tribe together!
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Gold Madness –5k Pips in 10 Days,drop almost 2k after. Now What?The last 10 trading days in Gold can be summed up in just one word: madness.
Back on April 9, the price was still under 3000 – yesterday it kissed 3500, marking an explosive 5000-pip rally in less than two weeks. That’s over 15% gain in no time!
🔙 As I mentioned in yesterday’s educational post , even though I expected a major correction, the lack of a clear stop loss setup made me choose the safest option: staying out.
Well, Gold did what it does best – surprise. Just before reaching a new all-time high, price reversed and at the time of writing, it has already dropped over 1600 pips from the peak.
📉 From a technical perspective, there are some important developments:
- Price has broken below the rising trendline, signaling a potential shift on short term
- Now, it's heading towards the 3250 support zone, which is aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally.
- This area could become a battleground – if bulls step in, we might see another bounce.
💡 Trading Plan:
From the selling side, the only potential setup I see is around 3450, but with a huge stop loss, making it less attractive.
On the buy side, I’ll be watching the 3250 level closely. If price action shows strength there, I may consider entering long – but only if the market conditions align properly.
Until then, I’m observing from the sidelines. No FOMO – just disciplined strategy. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That worked pretty well!
We gave the path yesterday for the potential move up on open and the target level we would be looking for which was 600pips away. Market opened, straight into the target level! It's there we got a small RIP but nothing significant so we decided to wait as Excalibur activated. That gave some traders an opportunity to long again into the target which is where we shared the RIP captured for the short.
We're still not re-testing that level which could mean support below holds at the 3406-10 region and we see a retest of that 3430-35 level during the session to come. It that level again that needs to be watched with the extension of the move into 3450-55 which is now open!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,239.50 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,190.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,348.70 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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How to break through the heavy pressure from above?From the analysis of the 4-hour line, today's support is around 3300-3310. If it falls back during the day, you can buy more once before rebounding. The upper short-term resistance is around 3340-3356, and the focus is on the suppression of 3380-90. The overall support is to maintain a wide range of long and short fluctuations in this range. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold rebounds at 3340 and goes short, rebounds at 3360 and covers short positions, stops at 3367, targets 3300-3310, and continues to hold if the position is broken;
Gold Hits New ATH Again: Is the Bull Run Unstoppable?After printing a new All-Time High on April 17, Gold entered a brief correction that ended on April 18 at 3285. However, the daily candle closed strong at 3327, right before the long Easter weekend.
Fast forward to Monday's ASIA session open, Gold showed no hesitation and pushed into yet another ATH at 3384.
The bullish momentum is so aggressive that it feels like nothing can stop this trend. While I do expect heavy volatility going forward, the core strategy remains clear:
👉 Buy the dips.
Key Level to Watch:
📍 First support zone = 3350
At this level, I will actively look for long entries, targeting a potential new ATH later this week.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold prices fall under double top pressureGold closed above 3313 yesterday, and reached 3353 at the end of the trading day. Today, the gold price fell back. Currently, the gold price is under the double top pressure of 3370 above and under the multi-bottom support of 3260 below. The market outlook mainly focuses on the shock adjustment in this range. The middle track of the Bollinger band at the hourly level is around 3322, which can be used as a watershed of strength and weakness. After the gold price falls below the middle track of the Bollinger band today, it is likely to go to the lower track of the Bollinger band, and it is more likely to test the shock bottom of 3260.
XAUUSD 1HGold Analysis
Continuing the previous analysis
The market faces a critical test at 3340.
A confirmed break and stabilization above this level would invalidate today's analysis and shift the trend bullish.
However, based on precise mathematical modeling, the expectation is clear:
The market is likely to fail in breaking above 3340, opening the way for a strong bearish move toward:
3235
3170
3130
Stay disciplined, trust the math, and move with confidence.
In a world full of uncertainty, we follow certainty.
Stay with me!
Gold will form a double top next week and then fall toward 2600.Gold will form a double top next week and then fall toward 2600.Of course, everything is hypothetical. If the correction trades time for space, it may not fall as much. It could consolidate sideways for a long time. In short, I think the uptrend has paused for now. If a double top forms next week, it’s a good opportunity. Let’s wait and see.
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan – April 28, 2025🎯 Market Outlook:
Gold remains trapped in a corrective range between 3260 and 3380, after an aggressive rally to new all-time highs.
Currently, price is consolidating just below a major supply/flip zone (3380–3395) and above a key support pocket (3260–3280).
HTF (High Timeframe) bias: Still bullish as long as the 3220–3235 pivot holds.
LTF (Lower Timeframe) flow: Sideways, with minor bullish attempts inside the range.
🔥 Key Zones to Watch:
Resistance Zones:
3380–3395 → Major flip and strong resistance zone.
3350–3360 → Minor local resistance inside premium.
Support Zones:
3260–3280 → Major intraday support + liquidity pocket.
3220–3235 → Last pivot to maintain bullish HTF bias (critical for any continuation).
👀 Eyes On:
Price reaction inside 3380–3395 → Will it reject again or break through to unlock 3410–3430?
Weakness signs near 3350–3360 → Watch for potential bull traps if momentum fades.
Respect for 3260–3280 → A bounce from here would confirm buyers still protecting liquidity pockets.
HTF invalidation below 3220 → Would flip the entire structure bearish short-term.
📢 Final Words:
Goldie's playing chess, not checkers — patience and sniper precision will make the difference this week. ♟️✨
Stay sharp, stay smart — we trade real flow, not hopes or dreams.
🔔 Follow the flow, adapt the plan, and let's continue hunting clean moves together!
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #MindsetMatters #GoldMindsFX
Fading Gold’s All‑Time HighGold has just posted a euphoric all‑time high at 3 499.6 after an almost parabolic climb along a single ascending trend‑line, and the wick that pierced that level sits in a thin, low‑volume pocket on the profile—classic bull‑trap territory—so once we see a four‑hour close beneath the trend‑line we expect momentum algos to flip, dragging price swiftly toward the 3 160‑3 130 demand block that marks the prior high‑volume consolidation; the short thesis is to scale into shorts between 3 480‑3 510, place invalidation above 3 525, and ride a potential vacuum move to that target zone (with room to extend toward 3 100) as crowded longs unwind, especially if a hawkish Fed headline or uptick in real yields provides the spark.
Falling into range oscillation, just get the rhythm pointAnalysis of gold market trend
On Thursday, the gold price remained in the 4H channel, and the middle and lower tracks were in the range of 3370-3260, with overall resistance to decline and correction; this trend is also normal;
1: In the early stage, the market fluctuated rapidly with a hundred points rise and fall, and the kinetic energy consumption was large, so the short-term trend returned to the consolidation trend later;
2: The fundamentals stopped, the technical demand was corrected, and the two resonated, and the gold price could only fluctuate and consolidate in the range; the analysis framework given yesterday was treated according to two intervals; they were 3370-3260 and 3370-3480; the strong and weak dividing point was 3370 above and below;
We can also see that at the position of 3370, the gold price has been under pressure for 2 consecutive times and fell for 2 consecutive times; it can be seen that the strong and weak dividing point of the position above and below 3370!
At present, the market:
1: Trend: There is no trend for the time being, and the range is high, the large range is 3480-3260; the bull trend is stagnant, and the bear trend stops falling. The trend cannot be judged for the time being;
2: Fundamentals, the future fundamentals will focus on the US debt crisis, trade war tariffs, and subsequent war issues, two core things; and uncertain fundamentals
Today's market:
1: 4 hours, the stochastic indicator golden cross, the main long signal; in terms of form, slow bull rise; the current pressure position of the central axis is near 3370, and the probability of breaking upward is relatively high; therefore, the 4-hour can be treated as a shock rise; but the overall situation remains in the large range of 3480-3260!
2: In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator diverges periodically, and the death cross is downward, which is a bearish signal; however, the high-level sell-off forms a sideways resistance to the decline, and the sideways support is in the range of 3280-3260; the MACD double-line golden cross is glued, and there is no death cross; the indicators in the daily K-line are contradictory, so the long and short trends are difficult to continue, and more range oscillations and high-level consolidation signals are given;
To sum up: Today's short message is still processed according to the 4-hour range; 3370-3260 range and 3370-3480 range; if it stabilizes at 3370, the range processing will be changed; you can take a pullback to do more, and bet on the 4-hour range oscillation upward, and gradually break through the position of 3370;
XAUUSD – Daily Outlook (April 28, 2025)Gold continues to trade near all-time highs after last week’s explosive rally. However, the most recent Daily candle shows a clear long-wick rejection into the premium supply zone (around 3350–3430), suggesting that smart money may be defending this level.
✅ Structure remains bullish on higher timeframes.
✅ Momentum slowed slightly after touching the upper extreme.
✅ Price is still holding above the previous daily range breakout.
At the same time:
⚠️ Buyers are showing signs of exhaustion after tapping into the premium supply zone.
⚠️ Volume on the last bullish candle was lower compared to the recent bearish reaction.
⚠️ The last daily wick indicates possible trapped buyers at the highs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 3350–3430 (premium supply rejection)
Support Zone: 3280–3300 (former breakout zone)
Deeper Support: 3120–3160 (mid-range liquidity pocket)
What’s Next?
As long as Gold stays above 3280, the broader bullish bias remains intact.
However, a clean daily close below 3280 could trigger deeper retracements into 3240 or even 3160 zones before bulls regain strength.
Patience is key here: let price tell its story between the premium rejection and the former breakout zone.
🔔 Final Thought:
Gold is not in a rush. Neither should you be. Stay sharp, stay patient — the best setups often appear when most traders lose their discipline.
Follow for more clean updates, sniper entries, and smart market flow insights. Let’s grow together! 🚀💛
Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideasAfter a surge in the morning, gold was suppressed and fell again in the afternoon and has been in a narrow range of fluctuations!
Evening operation ideas:
If the European session does not continue the Asian session's pull-up and continue to strengthen, the probability of evening fluctuations will increase. After a sharp pullback, it is not easy for gold to turn strong in the short term, so before yesterday's opening is broken, the possibility of continued pullback will increase!
Short-term suppression of the US market: 3330-35, look at a high and then fall
Support below: 3310-3300-3293
Data reference: The Federal Reserve will release the Beige Book of brokerage conditions at 2 a.m.
Trump will sign an executive order at 5 a.m.