GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down last week’s gold price action and give you a detailed outlook for the week ahead. With gold closing around $3,260 and major macroeconomic shifts unfolding—including the Israel-Iran ceasefire talks, rising US dollar strength, and concerns over the US Q1 GDP contraction, we are at a turning point.
📉 Will weakening economic data force the Fed to pivot?
📈 Could this create a fresh bullish wave for gold?
Or will stronger job numbers and inflation data drag gold lower?
✅ What you’ll learn in this video:
✅Key fundamental drivers affecting gold (XAU/USD)
✅Important economic events to watch (Fed Chair speech, NFP, ISM)
✅My technical analysis of gold price levels to watch
✅How to read the current market sentiment like a pro
✅Strategic trading zones for bulls and bears
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
GOLD H4 Accumulation Fractal Target is 4 000 USD 🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📉 Gold Pullback: XAU/USD drifted below $3,350, falling to around $3,325–$3,330 amid easing Middle East tensions and a firmer U.S. dollar.
🤝 Ceasefire Effect: De-escalation in Israel-Iran hostilities reduced safe-haven demand, capping gold’s upside.
💵 Fed & USD Dynamics: Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed that policymakers aren’t in a rush to cut rates. A softer dollar provided some support, but intraday USD strength weighed on gold.
📊 Technical Watch: Gold remains in a bearish short-term structure below the 200-period SMA. Resistance lies near $3,368–$3,370; support cluster begins around $3,300, with potential slide to $3,245–$3,200 if broken.
🔮 Forecast Updates:
• Citi Research flagged that gold may have peaked and could undergo further softening in Q3-2025.
• WSJ notes gold posting weekly gains, with futures steadying at $3,339/oz.
• Another WSJ report suggests potential for new highs later this year—forecasting an average of $3,210/oz in 2025, a 35% increase.
⚠️ Market Split: Opinions are fragmented—Wall Street sees mixed short-term direction, while Main Street maintains a bullish stance ahead of key U.S. data (GDP, PCE, jobless claims).
🏠 Central Bank Demand: Sustained demand from central banks reinforces gold’s structural support.
🔮 Live Price Snapshot: Futures are up ~0.2%, trading at $3,339.20/oz today.
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️ A pullback is currently unfolding
▪️ Heavy resistance seen at $3,500
▪️ Possible re-accumulation underway
▪️ Scenario mirrors summer 2024
▪️ Accumulation before breakout
▪️ Downside protected around $3,150
▪️ Short-term range trading in progress
▪️ Bulls maintain strategic upper hand
⭐️ Recommended Strategy
▪️ Buy dips within the range
▪️ Look for entries near $3,150 S/R zone
▪️ Long-term bullish target of $4K remains intact
GOLD GOLD is having RESISTANCE FROM EMA 4HR and the break of a demand floor retest at 3335-3337 zone made selling of gold possible at 3335-3337 .
and the demand floor floor remains 3311 -3314 another broken descending trend line that retested on Non-farm data at 3311 ,if this level is broken sell till 3300 and below .
Gold W PatternActually 50-50 there is potential for prices to go up or down, but by chance it is safer for us to take a buy because of the w pattern, so here I took a buy, for conservative entry wait for a breakout, but if later it looks like a fake breakout has broken out upwards but goes back down then we will stop and reverse to take a sell.
Gold on upswing as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Since #3,337.80 was neckline for upside Bull structure, I was aware if it gets invalidated to the downside, it will open doors for #3,327.80 extension (which held twice throughout late U.S. and Asian session). I don't expect much Selling action today however Bulls need another Fundamental push to invalidate wall of Resistances at #3,340's and #3,350's. I will continue Scalping as opportunity arise / no Swing orders."
I have expected Gold to test upside extension where I Bought (Scalp of course) #3,342.80 twice towards #3,348.80 and re-Sold #3,357.80 - #3,362.80 belt many times (excellent returns). I will await area to be engulfed and only then make my move.
As I am getting many Fundamental inquiries lately: Gold's current almost #2-Year perma-Bull outlook is driven by more than Fundamentals - rising Global debt, Central bank Buying (especially by China), and general declining trust in fiat currencies all play key roles in Gold's perma-Bull stance. It's considered undervalued by some part of my analysis when adjusted for Inflation and Money supply expansion (like #M2 growth). Gold acts as a Long-term hedge against currency devaluation and systemic Risk, especially during Global conflicts or financial crises. Mining costs are also on the rise while new discoveries are declining, which supports Higher future Prices. With ongoing de-Dollarization and interest in Gold-backed digital assets, the Long-term future of Gold looks structurally strong.
My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers.
MULTIPLE TIME FRAME ANALYSIS, gather data to make good decisionsAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on a short-term timeframe, incorporating several key tools and concepts:
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Overview of the Analysis
Price Level (Current): Around $3,273.40
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Around $3,337.95 (signaling broader trend)
Resistance Zone (Yellow Box): Between approximately $3,300–$3,320
Support/Target Zone: Around $3,231.11
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 32.88, which is near oversold territory (below 30)
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Interpretation of Chart Structure
1. Descending Channel:
Price is moving within a downward-sloping channel.
Suggests a bearish trend is in play.
2. Resistance Level (Yellow Box):
Price is expected to retest this area and face resistance.
Confluence of a supply zone and upper trendline, reinforcing its strength.
3. Projected Price Action:
Price may climb back up into the resistance zone.
A rejection is anticipated, leading to another leg down.
The target is around $3,231.11, which matches previous measured moves.
4. Measured Moves (Blue Arrows):
Highlights historical price drops of ~79 points.
Repeating this pattern suggests symmetry and continuation.
5. RSI Indicator:
Currently at 32.88: nearing oversold, but not quite.
No clear bullish divergence, so price could drop further.
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Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near $3,300–$3,320 (resistance)
Target: Around $3,231.11
Invalidation: If price breaks and holds above $3,337–$3,340 (EMA 200 and channel breakout)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Caution/Considerations
Watch for false breakouts above the resistance zone.
Monitor RSI for potential bullish divergence that could invalidate the downside.
Be cautious around the U.S. economic news event icon, which might cause volatility.
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
GOLD Breakout Done Let`s Buy It To Get Clear 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on 30 mins T.F , We have a very good bullish price action and we have a very good breakout with amazing bullish candle and now the price back to retest the breakout area , it`s my fav place to enter a buy trade and the price can move 200 Pips easy , i`m waiting for retest and good bullish price action to enter a buy trade .
Market Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro TriggersMarket Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro Triggers
Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,320.
Important Takeaways for Gold Oil Price Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,400 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,300 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Technical Analysis of Gold Price
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,320 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,350 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $3,395 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,350 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,300 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $3,245 zone. A low is formed near $3,247 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,393 swing high to the $3,247 low.
However, the bears are active below $3,300. Immediate resistance is near $3,280. The next major resistance is near the $3,300 zone. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,300.
The main resistance could be $3,320 or the 50% Fib retracement level, above which the price could test the $3,350 resistance. The next major resistance is $3,395.
An upside break above the $3,395 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,420. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,450 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,245 level. The first major support is near the $3,220 level. If there is a downside break below the $3,220 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,200 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (UPDATE)While we currently hold a bearish bias, let's not forget what I said on this previous 'bullish bias' post. I said Gold bullish structure is only invalidated AFTER we see price go BELOW $3,245. Price came very close to our 'Wave 2 low' but did not surpass it.
Just keep an eye out & always be prepared.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHappy Sunday traders. Welcome to a new trading week. Taking a quick look at the 4 hour chart, I have marked my current area of interest for gold. I get up early so I will check to see how the overnight sessions go. First day of the week is not a trading day for me. Got to wait to see the paths that gold carves out the first few days. Lower time frame confirmation is a must. Big G gets a shout out. Let's see how things play out over the next 4 hour candle. Be well and trade the trend.
XAUUSD| - liquidity Driven Buy Setup📌 Pair: XAUUSD
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Last week’s price action formed a bullish continuation structure. Internal major high taken, sweeping liquidity—confirmation of smart money interest. Expecting continuation to upside objectives.
🧭 LTF View (30M):
Waiting for clean major LH break following the sell-side liquidity sweep. Entry zones will be refined once OB mitigation confirms buyer interest.
🎯 Entry Zone:
After SSL sweep + OB tap
🎯 Target: Recent highs and continuation beyond
🧠 Mindset Note:
Trusting the flow from higher-timeframe intention down to precision entries. Patience here pays—let the structure confirm before pressing the trigger.
Bless Trading!
GOLD GOLD, we will watch every price action and respond accordingly ,from the lower zone am watching 3300-3302 descending trendline break out retest which will likely be in the 3300-3302 level and the fib is giving 0.63 fib.in addition to that i have a horizontal support to back my back my buy bias.
NOTE that H4 of gold is giving bearish after rejecting 3364 yesterday.
trading is 100% educated probability.
trade with caution and know that any key level can fail.
XAUUSD Under Pressure: What the Market Is Telling UsGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading with a clear bearish bias, showing sustained downside momentum on the 4H timeframe 🕒. Price has been gradually stepping lower, and the structure continues to favor the sellers.
As expected for early in the week, there’s been a bit of choppy movement ⚖️, but the overall sentiment remains weak. Unless we see a strong shift or catalyst, I’ll be maintaining a bearish outlook.
🧭 I’m watching for price to revisit key resistance levels, and if we get a clean break and retest 🔄, I’ll be looking for potential short setups from areas of previous demand that flip into resistance.
🌐 Keep an eye on broader risk sentiment — if NASDAQ starts pulling back or DXY strengthens, it could fuel further downside in gold.
As always, this is not financial advice, but the detailed breakdown is available in the latest video 🎥.
Short gold, it may retreat again after reaching 3340-3350Although the rebound in gold has exceeded my expectations to a certain extent, it is obviously not a good time to chase the rise in gold. The gold rebound mainly benefits from Trump's repeated requests for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which has led to the continued weakness of the US dollar. In fact, we can clearly see that the gold rebound is not supported by trading volume, and the rebound without volume may face the risk of collapse again at any time. So I don't advocate chasing long gold at present.
Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3339, almost recovering most of the losses in the previous downward wave (the starting point of the previous wave was 3350), but gold is still under pressure in the 3340-3350-3355 area. In the absence of volume support, gold may fall again after touching this resistance area.
Therefore, shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present; at least make sure not to chase high!
You can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350-3355 area as resistance, and look at the target: 3320-3310-3300
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEIn this video, I break down my bullish outlook on XAUUSD (Gold) from a 4H and broader market perspective.
With gold currently consolidating near the 3,260 zone, I believe there’s strong potential for a move toward 3,400 in the coming sessions.
One of the key drivers I’m watching is the escalating geopolitical tension between Israel and Iran. If conflict resurfaces or intensifies, we could see a renewed rush into safe-haven assets like gold — historically a reliable response during uncertainty and risk-off sentiment.
Watch the full analysis for detailed levels, market structure, and what I’m looking for in terms of confirmation.
Go short before breaking 3350, go long before falling to 3320📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said, the US stock market closed early today, and the market will lack some momentum. It is difficult to have a large fluctuation. It is expected to fluctuate and consolidate. I also explained in the previous post that the upper pressure in the short term is at 3340-3350. If it is touched, we can try to short and defend 3360. If it falls back to 3323, we can try to go long for the first time. If it continues to fall, it is expected to reach 3315-3305. Therefore, if it first touches 3323, go long, SL 3316, and consider going long if it touches 15-05 below.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-33350
TP 3330-3320-3310-3300
BUY 3323
TP 3333-3340-3350
BUY 3315-3305
TP 3325-3333-3340
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold fluctuates upward. Is the decline over?On Monday, gold opened at around 3282, and then fell back quickly to around 3247 under pressure; the downward low was blocked, and then rebounded strongly to around 3297; the market currently maintains a small upward trend.
At present, we need to focus on the resistance range of the upward trend.
From the 4-hour chart, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3300, followed by the suppression range of 3310-3315. The main direction of short-term operations maintains the rebound short-selling strategy. The support below is around 3255; the overall short-term operation relies on 3260-3300 to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation unchanged.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3305, stop loss 3320, profit range 3270-3260.
A new week has just begun. I wish you all gain something from the market fluctuations.
Gold non-agricultural layout strategy
💡Message Strategy
Small non-farm data "big surprise"
The ADP employment report released on Wednesday showed that the number of private employment in the United States decreased by 33,000 in June, the first decline since March 2023. Economists surveyed previously expected the number to increase by 100,000 on average.
The ADP employment report showed that the number of private employment in the United States fell for the first time in more than two years in June, indicating that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates as early as September.
Spot gold closed up $18.20 on Wednesday at $3,356.90 per ounce.
Bednarik pointed out that gold has gained upward momentum recently, with a gold price target of $3,373.50 per ounce. The "big surprise" of the ADP data suggests a weak non-farm payrolls report in June.
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line was the support line for the rise in the previous month. It fell back very hard last week and turned into suppression. It was tested repeatedly and finally a big Yin hit the lower track of the pattern. However, it started at a low point this week and rose steadily. Now it has returned to the top of the lifeline again. At this point, the space will consider switching again.
2. The four-hour pattern opens slightly upward, with the lifeline 3330 as the dividing line between strength and weakness. Hold here and climb upward step by step.
3. The double lines on the hourly chart formed a dead cross after breaking through and turning into pressure last week, which helped to further increase the volume and fall by more than 100 US dollars. After breaking through and standing on it this time, it turned into support. The double line range is 3332-3342. This area is used as the boundary to switch between the upper and lower spaces. The support line for the bulls to dominate is the upper rail position of 3332, and the support line for the bulls to sweep is the lower rail position of 3316
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3332-3340,SL:3316,Target: 3400
Gold Is Set to Bottom Out and Rebound This WeekGood morning, everyone!
At today’s open, gold once again dipped into the 3258–3248 buy zone, then rebounded toward 3270. From a structural perspective, gold has clearly entered a downward trend, but this decline is unlikely to be one-directional—short-term rebounds and consolidations are expected along the way.
Based on my experience, below 3250 remains a favorable area for initiating long positions. Whether the price rebounds directly or continues lower before building a stronger base to challenge 3300 again, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the 3200 support holds. A bottoming reversal this week is still the more probable scenario.
As such, the focus early this week should be on buying near the lows, with short opportunities on rebounds as a secondary strategy. Monitor key support levels for signs of strength.
This week is also packed with important data—including PMI, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), and the unemployment rate, in addition to regular economic releases. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, significant market volatility is expected—bringing both risk and opportunity. Manage your exposure carefully and stay adaptable.