$AAPL at major support finallyNASDAQ:AAPL is at major support, I expect a decent bounce from here into triangle formation. Not financial advice, but I grabbed April OpEx calls.
AAPL trade ideas
APPLE Buy opportunity on the 1W MA50.Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up since the January 03 2023 bottom and in the past 3 months (December 26 2024) has been forming the latest Bearish Leg. On Tuesday this Leg broke below its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in 10 months (since May 08 2024), which is the strongest buy signal since the April 19 2024 Higher Low bottom of the Channel Up.
As you can see, even the 1D RSI pattern is similar with the one that made the October 26 2023 1W MA50 test. That was also on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the respective previous Low.
As a result, it is now highly likely to see a rebound, especially if the 1W candle closes above the 1W MA50, to test the previous High and 1.0 Fib at $260, like the December 14 2023 High did.
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Apple is falling down to 206 zoneI am seeing if the day candle closes below 212, there is no stop till 206.
** Note : Not a trading recommendation.
AAPL gap fill today?! Trendline reversal strategy activated!
Based on price at market open i anticipate a run up in the market as a whole and of course as we all know, AAPL is one of the main driving indicators of that!
Seems to have finally broke the down trend with a double bottom at a respected demand area, with a nice opportunity for big price movement to the up side to fill the gap.
As a Trendline reversal strategy trader, having a huge gap like that to fill in the direction of the reversal and breaking the recent short term trend… seems like a win-win I am going to enter a position in TODAY! 📈💰
AAPL - Bearish IdeaAAPL has been moving consistently up the green solid line, finding support over and over again
Will this continue? (white circle)
If not will we see a break down to a lower trend line (dotted line) This dotted trend line extends further back on the Monthly timeframe which I can't really show on this Weekly timeframe
I am bearish
Elliott Wave View: Apple (AAPL) Should See Further Downside WithApple (ticker: NASDAQ:AAPL ) shows incomplete bearish sequence from 12.26.2024 peak and looking for further downside. Down from 12.26.2024 peak, wave ((A)) ended at 218.06 and wave ((B)) ended at 250. Wave ((C)) lower is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((B)), wave (1) ended at 230.2 and wave (2) ended at 244.03 as the 30 minutes chart below shows.
Wave (3) is in progress with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 229.23 Rally in wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag structure. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 237.86, wave ((b)) ended at 233.33, and wave ((c)) ended at 241.36 which completed wave 2. The stock has resumed lower in wave 3 lower. Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 235.25 and wave ((ii)) ended at 238.47. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 224.22 and wave ((iv)) rally ended at 228.66. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 217.46 which completed wave 3 in higher degree. Rally in wave 4 ended at 223.28. Expect wave 5 to end soon which should complete wave (3) in higher degree. Then it should rally in wave (4) to correct cycle from 3.3.2025 peak before it resumes lower. Near term, as far as pivot at 241.36 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more downside.
APPLE Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 224/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
APPL I'll take your iphone at $196 As my last prediction came to be, I have at this moment 25/0 on this boxing ring so far.
2 Possible outcomes.
- Price keeps moving down from where it is to the $196 and completes the movement to the order block that created the movement to the upside.
-It bounces back to the $226 area to touch resistance, liquidate pending orders, and move down to the $196.
This is not a depression people. This is a true correction of market prices.
AAPL - heading to support at 200$ in an a-wave ?AAPL might have already completed 5 waves up as 3-wave structures and from here on a correction over many years could be seen.
Looking at the chart, it seems that price is heading to the lower trend line in the 200$ area.
That could provide support for a move up, which might turn out as a b-wave of the current a-wave correction followed by a even deeper c-wave.
Time will tell.
AAPL stock outlook: potential scenarios and key support levelsWhat does the recent price action on AAPL stock suggest?
The recent price action on AAPL stock indicates a potential topping pattern, which may signal a bearish move toward the support zone between $180 and $195. This pattern suggests that selling pressure could increase, leading to a possible decline within this range.
What is the worst-case scenario for AAPL stock in 2025?
In the worst-case scenario, AAPL stock could decline to around $180. However, if this scenario unfolds, the stock may also recover, with a potential rebound toward the $220 level.
What is the short-term support level for AAPL stock?
In the short term, AAPL stock is likely to find support around the $210 level, which could act as a key price floor for stabilization.
Apple is going to get smoked on a macro levelThe chart is showing a very basic confluence of signals for NASDAQ:AAPL to not just fall but plummet into the depths. The sheer amount of volume and rsi showing overextension is just ridiculous
Apple (AAPL) Share Price Drops Over 7% in Two DaysApple (AAPL) Share Price Drops Over 7% in Two Days
As previously reported, AAPL shares had their worst January since 2008, but the challenges for investors have continued. The Apple (AAPL) stock chart shows that:
- Yesterday, the price dropped below $218 during trading—the lowest level since September last year.
- Compared to Friday’s closing price, the decline over the first two days of this week amounted to approximately 7.7%.
Why Has AAPL Stock Fallen?
Yesterday, we noted that bearish sentiment was prevailing in the stock market, leading the Nasdaq 100 index into correction territory. Market conditions were further dampened by news that Apple had delayed the release of an AI-powered update for its digital assistant, Siri 2.0, increasing selling pressure.
What Could Happen Next?
Technical Analysis of Apple (AAPL) Stock
Key price reversals, marked with red dots, outline a downward channel (shown in red). The median line, which previously acted as support (indicated by an arrow), has now been broken, suggesting that bears may expect it to act as resistance going forward.
From a bullish perspective, the lower boundary of the red channel, reinforced by the September low around $214, could serve as an area where selling pressure might ease—if AAPL continues to decline.
AAPL Share Price Forecast
According to TipRanks:
- 18 out of 33 surveyed analysts recommend buying AAPL stock.
- The average 12-month price target for AAPL is $251.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Is Apple's Empire Built on Sand?Apple Inc., a tech titan valued at over $2 trillion, has built its empire on innovation and ruthless efficiency. Yet, beneath this dominance lies a startling vulnerability: an overreliance on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) for its cutting-edge chips. This dependence on a single supplier in a geopolitically sensitive region exposes Apple to profound risks. While Apple’s strategy has fueled its meteoric rise, it has also concentrated its fate in one precarious basket—Taiwan. As the world watches, the question looms: what happens if that basket breaks?
Taiwan’s uncertain future under China’s shadow amplifies these risks. If China moves to annex Taiwan, TSMC’s operations could halt overnight, crippling Apple’s ability to produce its devices. Apple’s failure to diversify its supplier base left its trillion-dollar empire on a fragile foundation. Meanwhile, TSMC’s attempts to hedge by opening U.S. factories introduce new complications. If Taiwan falls, the U.S. could seize these assets, potentially handing them to competitors like Intel. This raises unsettling questions: Who truly controls the future of these factories? And what becomes of TSMC’s investments if they fuel a rival’s ascent?
Apple’s predicament is a microcosm of a global tech industry tethered to concentrated semiconductor production. Efforts to shift manufacturing to India or Vietnam pale against China’s scale, while U.S. regulatory scrutiny—like the Department of Justice’s probe into Apple’s market dominance—adds further pressure. The U.S. CHIPS Act seeks to revive domestic manufacturing, but Apple’s grip on TSMC muddies the path forward. The stakes are clear: resilience must now trump efficiency, or the entire ecosystem risks collapse.
As Apple stands at this crossroads, the question echoes: Can it forge a more adaptable future, or will its empire crumble under the weight of its design? The answer may not only redefine Apple but also reshape the global balance of tech and power. What would it mean for us all if the chips—both literal and figurative—stopped falling into place?
APPLE Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031025Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 230/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
APPLE ShortAPPLE short on the regression break.
I will not take this trade as support is directly below
Downtrend Forming in Apple?Apple held up better than many large technology stocks last week, but traders may still see downside risk in the smartphone giant.
The first pattern on today’s chart is a potential falling channel since December 26. Continuation of that trend may point toward new lows under $210.
Second, AAPL bottomed at $219.71 in the fourth quarter. The previous quarter’s low was $196. Given weakness in the broader market, could dip-buyers wait for tests of those longer-term levels?
Third, the stock appears to be stalling at its 50- and 100-day simple moving averages. That may reflect a weakening long-term trend.
Next, MACD is falling. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also at risk of slipping below the 21-day EMA. Those points may reflect weakness in the shorter term.
Finally, AAPL is one of the most active underliers in the options market. (It’s averaged more than 900,000 contracts per day in the last month, according to TradeStation data.) That could make some traders look to position for moves with calls and puts.
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AAPL Approaching Key Levels – Will This Uptrend Hold?Technical Analysis (TA) for Trading:
* Current Price Action: AAPL is trading around $238.54, showing a strong rebound from the prior reversal zone near $229 - $234. It has broken out of a descending trendline and is now consolidating near $239, a key resistance level.
* Support Levels:
* $234.02 – Key support aligned with prior rejection zones.
* $229.20 – Strong demand zone where buyers stepped in previously.
* Resistance Levels:
* $244.02 – Immediate resistance where price previously struggled.
* $251.08 – Higher resistance, aligning with historical price action.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish momentum but showing slight exhaustion.
* Stochastic RSI: High but beginning to cool off, suggesting consolidation before a breakout or pullback.
* Volume: Increased buying pressure supports the breakout but needs continuation to sustain.
* Price Outlook:
* If AAPL holds above $238, it can attempt a move toward $244 - $250.
* A drop below $234 could lead to further downside toward $229.
GEX & Options Analysis for Trading:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
* Highest Positive GEX / Call Resistance: $250 – A significant resistance zone where call positions may slow the uptrend.
* 2nd Call Wall: $260 – Additional call resistance if momentum sustains.
* Put Support at $225 – Major downside support from options positioning.
* Additional Put Walls at $220 and $230 – Lower levels that could trigger dealer hedging if broken.
* IV & Market Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 57.3 – Moderate volatility, making options reasonably priced.
* IVx Avg: 37.6, showing a slightly lower-than-average implied volatility.
* Options Sentiment: Puts at 18.6%, suggesting bullish sentiment overall.
Trading Strategy:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry near $238 - $240 with a target at $244 - $250.
* Stop-loss at $234.
* Bearish Scenario:
* If rejected at $240, a short position targeting $234 - $230 with a stop at $242.
Final Thoughts:
AAPL is holding a bullish structure after breaking out of a key trendline, but it needs to clear $244 to confirm a continuation. Options data suggests $250 is a critical gamma resistance. Watch for volume and momentum signals to confirm direction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
APPL 2X downI see 2 potential moves to the downside.
From a good resistance at $240 moving down to the $226/227 area where there is a weaker support.
From that movement on I believe that it will either move up to retest previous resistance and if it fails. t will move towards the $214/216 area in order to reach the order block.
This week will be one interesting and very volatile for sure.
Massive rising wedge If you see a massive rising wedge you are correct. In my opinion this is either complete or finishing up in the next couple days. Either way we are about to have a drop. Be cautious and like always this is just my opinion.
Short Term Up For Apple. AAPLBetting on a triple drive formation here, while stock price is correcting from the last drop. None of the technical indicators have turned, yet, although they appear to be about to. This is a discretionary idea with increased risk, as there is no signal until an indicator produces one.
Lunar Signal Generator My Lunar signal generator uses a sinusoidal wave which is matched in frequency to the sinusoidal motion of the moon. The indicator is based on research which suggests that there are increased returns on days surrounding the new moon and decreased returns on days surrounding the full moon.
The indicator represents a two week trading strategy and prints buy signals before the new moon, and prints sell signals on the full moon. If used as a trading strategy the 5 & 10 year win rates are 70%, profitability is dependent on your choice of stoploss. I suggest a 9% Stoploss however this is discretionary. Can be used on any financial product, however it works best on large cap equities.
Just place on any chart, and trade according to the buy and sell signals
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