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JPM trade ideas

JP MORGAN to rise at least +14% on this rally.We haven't looked into JP Morgan Chase (JPM) in almost 6 months (March 25, see chart below) and the excellent sell signal it gave us: That was right at the top of its 2-year Channel Up. Right now we have the price rebounding an pricing a Higher Low on a shorter-term Channel Up since the March 25 High. Being still below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), gives time for an early buy. The minimum % of a Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +14.07% so our Target is at $229.00 accordingly. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:JPMLong
by TradingShot
$JPM 0.618 Bullish Fibonacci, 65m AnalysisHey everyone, I took sometime to chart NYSE:JPM , JPMorgan Chase & Co., on the 65-minute timeframe. Every 6 candles = 1 day. I took a bullish Fibonacci on the low of Aug 5th ($190.90) and dragged it to Aug 30th's all-time high price of $225.48. On Sept 14, price dropped to the 0.618 Fibonacci @ $204.11 and price hovered around the area for the next few days. As of EOD yesterday, Sept 16, price is hitting minor resistance on the 0.5 Fibonacci @ 208.19. I am bullish on NYSE:JPM but not going to take any plays as of yet. External factors like the Fed's decision on interest rate and other economic news have huge influence this week.
NYSE:JPMLong
by Brandonthrives
JPMorgan Stock Slumps Amid Interest Income ConcernsJPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: NYSE:JPM ) recently experienced a significant drop in its stock price, slumping over 7% following warnings from its President and COO, Daniel Pinto, about the bank’s net interest income (NII) outlook. As the largest U.S. bank by assets, JPMorgan's financial health is closely watched as a bellwether for the broader banking sector. Here's a deep dive into both the technical and fundamental aspects affecting JPMorgan’s stock. Fundamental Analysis JPMorgan's recent stock decline was triggered by Pinto’s comments that NII expectations are overly optimistic given the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts. The Fed is anticipated to lower its key policy rate by at least 25 basis points during its upcoming September meeting, initiating a potential monetary easing cycle. Lower rates are likely to compress NII, which represents the spread between what the bank earns on loans and what it pays on deposits. Previously, JPMorgan (NYSE: NYSE:JPM ) forecasted its NII to rise to $91 billion this year, excluding its markets division. However, with the Fed’s rate cuts on the horizon, future projections have been adjusted downward. Investors are now concerned that the bank may not hit its 2025 NII target of approximately $90 billion, especially with Pinto's warning that "next year is going to be a bit more challenging." Expense Outlook and Broader Concerns Additionally, the analyst estimates for JPMorgan’s expenses in 2025, pegged around $94 billion, have been deemed overly optimistic by Pinto. With inflationary pressures and new investments looming, the bank’s expense base is expected to be higher than current projections. This dual concern over income and expenses has rattled investor confidence, making it JPMorgan's worst drop since June 2020. Despite these challenges, JPMorgan’s position as a leader in gathering deposits and making loans remains strong. The bank's trading revenue is projected to be flat to slightly up year-over-year, and investment banking fees are expected to rise by about 15%, indicating resilience in other business segments. However, slowing economic growth in the U.S. and an anticipated decline in new loan yields due to rate cuts continue to cloud the outlook. Technical Analysis Current Price Action As of the latest trading session, JPMorgan stock was down 5.19% in extended market trading, reflecting the broader market's nervous reaction to Pinto’s comments. The stock has been under pressure, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 suggests that the stock isn’t yet in overbought or oversold territory, indicating a potential for reversal if sentiment shifts positively. Key Technical Patterns - Golden Cross Pattern: The daily chart shows a golden cross pattern formed earlier in the year, a bullish indicator where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. Historically, this pattern has been associated with upward momentum, suggesting potential long-term strength despite current headwinds. - Support and Resistance Levels: Currently, JPM is trying to establish a base around $133, which acts as a critical support level. A break below this pivot would confirm a bearish reversal pattern, potentially leading to further declines. Conversely, holding above this level could set the stage for a recovery, especially if NII concerns are tempered by unexpected positive news. - RSI Analysis: The RSI of 53 implies that JPMorgan stock (NYSE: NYSE:JPM ) is positioned for a possible trend reversal. If buying pressure increases, the stock could move towards its next resistance levels near $145 and then $155. - Bearish Divergence: However, caution is advised as there has been a recent bearish divergence between price and momentum indicators, which could signal further downside if investor sentiment does not improve. Outlook and Key Considerations JPMorgan remains fundamentally strong, with robust trading and investment banking revenues cushioning some of the expected pressure on NII. However, the market's reaction to the tempered guidance reflects broader concerns about the impact of lower rates on bank profitability. For investors, the key takeaway is that while JPMorgan’s stock faces near-term challenges, the bank’s dominant market position, diversified revenue streams, and proactive management strategies still provide a solid foundation. Technically, a close watch on support levels and RSI dynamics will be crucial in determining the stock's short-term direction. Conclusion JPMorgan’s recent slump highlights the balancing act the bank must perform amid changing economic conditions. While the market’s reaction has been swift, the long-term narrative for JPMorgan remains constructive, provided the bank can navigate the expected rate cuts and maintain control over rising expenses. For traders and investors, staying informed on both the fundamental outlook and technical patterns will be essential in making well-timed decisions regarding $JPM.
NYSE:JPM
by DEXWireNews
The UGLY Impact of the Viral Chase ATM “Infinite Money GlitchThe recent viral TikTok trend exploiting an "infinite money glitch" in Chase Bank's ATM system had significant repercussions, including a sharp 7% drop in Chase's stock value. The trend, which involved customers fraudulently cashing fake checks and withdrawing funds, spiraled into a widespread scam that not only hurt individuals financially but also sent shockwaves through Chase’s financial stability. Initially, people were led to believe they could deposit fraudulent checks and withdraw seemingly "free" money, but Chase swiftly labeled the activity as fraud and began freezing accounts, recovering funds, and deducting large sums from participants' balances. This drastic action, combined with negative media attention, created panic, especially as the legal implications of fraud charges became clearer. The stock market responded quickly, as investors became concerned about both Chase’s security vulnerabilities and the potential fallout from legal issues. The result? A 7% plummet in stock value, reflecting shaken confidence in the bank's internal controls and the broader impact of social media-driven financial schemes​. This incident serves as a reminder of the risks of viral financial trends and the importance of approaching any “too good to be true” money-making scheme with extreme caution.
NYSE:JPMShort
by TLTurnerTV
FibonacciFibonacci 📐 One of my favorite tools for making buy or sell decisions in the markets is Fibonacci, as it highlights key levels that are very difficult to spot just by looking at the chart without it. 🧮 What’s most impressive is how the price reacts strongly when it hits these key levels, remember, fibonacci is based on a numerical pattern where each number is the sum of the two previous ones, starting with 0 and 1, this sequence is fascinating because it shows up in nature, art, and finance, which makes it even more amazing to me. 🧠 With Fibonacci, you can create strategies to identify strong supports and resistances on large time frames, such as H4 or daily, in addition, it allows you to see if the price is touching or close to its take profit, or if it is at levels where you could place your stop loss or take profit. 📐 fibonacci retracement 📊 One thing investors really pay attention to is the Fibonacci retracement, when prices start dropping in an uptrend, levels like 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8%, and 78.6% often act as support. ▪️ Why? Because traders are keeping an eye on these levels and reacting to them it’s like a prophecy, if enough people believe the price will bounce at 38.2%, it’s more likely to happen just because everyone’s expecting it. ▪️Over time, Fibonacci levels have shown they’re pretty handy for spotting market pullbacks and surges, which is why they’ve become so popular. 🤔 How to use it? 📊 First, we need to identify whether the trend on our chart is bullish or bearish, if it’s bullish, we find the lowest point and mark it as point "A", then we extend Fibonacci to the highest point, which becomes our point "B" this way, the levels are almost exactly aligned, and we can fine tune them to match the prices better, typically round numbers are the most important to consider. ⚖️ Levels 🔹 Take profit -61.8% -27.0% 🔹 Point “B” end of extension of fibonacci 0.0% 🔹 Consolidation zone or possible continuation 23.6% 🔹 Validation zones 38.2% 50.0% 61.8% 78.6% 🔹 Extension point “A” of fibonacci 100.0% 🔹 Stop loss 110.0% 120.0% 🏦 In the following example, we’re looking at NYSE:JPM on a 4-hour timeframe, when it touches the 61.8% level, it shows strong upward movements, respecting that level quite well, now, it’s at point “B” of the extension, and if it breaks this level, it could head towards the -27% Fibonacci, which is very close to a round number $225 i think that’s a very likely target.
NYSE:JPM
by Mariofxtr
JPMorgan Chase: A Rollercoaster Ride Through Financial History The price movements you've listed are indeed shown on the chart for JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) stock. Let's analyze each of these movements: **The chart shows significant price drops at different time periods, with the largest being a 95.38 point (-44.27%) decline over a short period of about 2 months and 4 weeks.** ## Analysis of Price Movements 1. -82.13 (-41.97%) drop over 55 bars (about 1 year 3 weeks): This appears to be the most recent significant drop, likely projecting into the future from the current date (August 17, 2024). It suggests a potential bearish scenario over about a year's time. 2. -73.28 (-41.97%) drop over 55 bars (1 year 3 weeks): This movement is similar to the first one in duration and percentage, but with a slightly smaller absolute point drop. It might represent an alternative bearish projection or a historical movement. 3. -61.47 (-44.27%) drop over 13 bars (4 months 4 weeks): This shows a steeper decline over a shorter period, indicating a more rapid price decrease. The timeframe of about 5 months suggests this could be a significant market correction or reaction to specific events. 4. -95.38 (-44.27%) drop over 13 bars (about 2 months 4 weeks): This is the largest point drop shown, occurring over the shortest period. It represents a very sharp decline, possibly indicating a major market event or crisis. The similarity in percentage to the previous drop (-44.27%) but with a larger point value suggests this occurred at a higher price point. ## Key Observations - The percentage drops are quite similar (around 41-44%), suggesting consistent levels of significant corrections or bear markets. - The durations vary widely, from about 3 months to over a year, indicating different types of market events or cycles. - The largest point drop (-95.38) over the shortest period (about 3 months) likely represents a critical market event, possibly related to the steep decline visible on the chart around March 2020 (which coincides with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic). These price movements highlight the volatility of JPM stock and the potential for significant price swings over various timeframes. They serve as important reference points for understanding historical trends and potential future scenarios for the stock. Citations: pplx-res.cloudinary.com
NYSE:JPMShort
by Yusuke_Trading
JPM Following Bullish Trend for Next Major Breakout!Thursday, 15th we expect JPMorgan Chase & Co to open at $209.37, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $205.58 and $214.90, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.66 (+/-2.21%) up or down from last closing price. If JPMorgan Chase & Co takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.43% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
NYSE:JPMLong
by SantiagoSolutions
JPM: Time for a correction - Bears may take control of pricesJPM: Time for a correction - Bears may take control of prices From our previous analysis posted on 07-Jun-2024, JP Morgan completed the harmonic pattern perfectly and fell by almost 11.63% after the release of earnings reports. On July 12, 2024, JP Morgan reported good ER data and above expectations. However, taking a profit is part of the trading process which moves the price down for correction in an uptrend. Considering that we have the bearish pattern showing overextended conditions in JP Morgan's price, and also the fact that ER will always be positive given its strong position, it is possible that we may see the price of JPM fall further as shown in the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NYSE:JPMShort
by KlejdiCuni
6
JPM Warning This is a project I had with absolutely no analysis in mind, so it never made it to this world where Picasso is not wanted and gibberish is dangerous. Just random dots splashed on the tradingview canvas while presumably being in the Nen Zone. Unfortunately, I have never seen anything like it in all the nen projects that have poured into existence through my brain and hand on the mouse. And that's why I am posting this idea as a warning in case the rest of the dots prove to be relevant and JPM will run out of steam in the near future. I don't want to scare the bulls away, I don't know the mathematical probability for the rest of the dots to end up near the price in future time or the other way around, but still, in another scenario if it ends up descending, I will be looking for potential buy zones at the two inflection points near the ellipse. And that's why I like Cricket.
NYSE:JPM
by nen
JPM as A Gauge For Bull Run I consider JPM as a source of truth in this bull run for several reasons: Post-Banking Crisis Fragility: Especially following the banking crisis in 2023, banks are more fragile, and money has consolidated in some bigger, safer banks. Exposure to Various Crises: They have a lot of skin in the game, so any crisis coming from either a tech bust, Japan, bonds, or inflation will surely affect them. Too Big to Fail: They most probably won't go bankrupt; they are too big to fail. Correlation with S&P 500: JPM is almost perfectly correlated with the S&P 500. Lately, I have been observing new all-time highs from both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and of course, JPM. It hasn't even dropped below the weekly 20 MA as it did in 2021. So, it is still uncertain if this is a breather or the beginning of the end. Over the last four weeks, the wicks were up but pressured down. Making another local top will be the third in 2024, and that also create 2nd bearish divergence on RSI, so I would watch out for a quick meltdown.
NYSE:JPMShort
by muratyukselnet
2
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on JPM: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price in the money in the money Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-17, for a premium of approximately $17.25. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:JPMLong
by TopgOptions
JPMorgan Broke Out. Now It’s Pulled BackJPMorgan Chase began July by breaking out to new highs, and now it’s pulled back. The first pattern on today’s chart is the May 17 close of $204.79. The banking stock consolidated above that level through July 12. Has old resistance become new support? Next is the price zone between roughly $208 and $210, matching some highs earlier this month. Will this be a place where buyers step in? Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is in the same area. JPM mostly remained above this EMA during its previous run in early 2024. Trend followers may watch for similar behavior amid the current breakout. Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has started rising after a period of sideways movement. That could potentially reflect bullishness over the intermediate term. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:JPM
by TradeStation
JPMorgan Chase & CO.JPM needs to violate 199 to the upside, to trigger a rebound near 200.94 - 203.30 - 205.88. As 205.88 is considered the last major peak that needs to be violated, to confirm the major uptrend, with potential targets at 210 - 215- 217.35. The stop-loss lies below 195.35, as a break below it, will cancel the mentioned positive scenario. The information and publications are not intended to be or constitute any financial, investment, commercial, or other types of advice or recommendations provided.
NYSE:JPMLong
by Gehad_Abouelela
1
JP Morgan Surprises Investors with Strong EarningsOn Friday, JP Morgan surprised investors with a robust earnings release, posting an impressive +4.01% increase and a revenue surge of 20.78% above estimates. This positive news has ignited investor confidence and set the stage for a potential bullish trend. Historically, JP Morgan's stock has shown a seasonal pattern of growth during this period. Over the past 15 years, the company's stock price has typically increased during the summer months. This historical trend, combined with the recent strong earnings report, suggests a favorable outlook for JP Morgan's stock in the near term. The pre-market indicators are already showing gains, reflecting investor optimism. Given these positive signals, we are looking to open a long position at the start of the New York session today. ✅ Please share your thoughts about JPM in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
NYSE:JPMLong
by FOREXN1
1
JPM Time to Bank your profits ?JPM has has had a great run, tacking on 17% since the April low. They report Friday of this week. Last Quarter they surprised to the upside. Using a 4H Wolfe Wave analysis we appear to have peaked and could pause or head lower. The fly in this ointment is that the 15 minute chart has a bullish Wolfe Wave. So I am waiting in the weeds until the recent gap is filled at around 127.85. Also need my momentum indicator to roll over. Note: Powell speaks and other Banks report this week; so possible volatility . Not investment advice... do your own due diligence. S.
NYSE:JPM
by Steve666
3
JPMorgan Potential Resistance Breakout At $210.60 11.07.2024- Technical Setup: A potential breakout above resistance at $210.60 within a 4-hour ascending triangle pattern. - Upside Potential: If the breakout sustains, there is a significant probability for the price to advance towards $231.16. Further breach of $231.16 could lead to an extended move towards $257.30. - Downside Risk: Conversely, if the breakout fails, there is a high likelihood of a decline towards $194.43. A breakdown below $194.43 could potentially push the price down to $181.74. Apply risk management Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350) Disclaimer
NYSE:JPMLong
by Stuart_Cowell