Leave your Ego at the Door! Before China released it's free AI tech software last weekend, the chart was hugely Bearish...A great example of following the "Tape Reading" and leaving your ego at the door!
NVDA trade ideas
Prediction Jan-Mid FebI've been totally wrong with dates, but my price points have been there the past month.
I don't use Fib., only EMA, MFI, CMF, MACD and chart analysis
Prediction: Something is going to happen news-wise around Jan (The time someone is coming into office...) which will correct Nvidia and SPY (SPY is due for a 5-10% correction, historically and for continuing bullish health.
What do you guys think?
Disruptive Innovation and EconomyDeepSeek is a disruptive innovation and could also become a disruptive economic force.
On Monday, NVIDIA dropped 17%, only to rise 9% yesterday. Yet, it remains in an upward trend channel. Why is that?
I tried downloading the DeepSeek app.
After reading a significant portion of the privacy policy, I wouldn’t call it privacy at all—it does not comply with EU regulations. I decided against registering an account and deleted the app.
I believe DeepSeek will face limitations in Europe and beyond, but it has demonstrated that AI innovation is no longer exclusive to large US corporations. It is now entirely feasible to develop AI models based in Europe and Scandinavia. This is crucial, as it allows us to work with AI models that are not inherently biased toward either China or the US.
With Trump back in power, geopolitical uncertainty has increased. The US approach to technology, trade, and AI regulation is now less predictable, making it even more important for Europe to develop independent AI models. A diversified and democratized AI landscape will drive demand for GPUs and contribute to a more balanced technological ecosystem.
Disclaimer: I have a position in NVIDIA.
NVDA MORE DOWN?Two bearish patterns on NVDA head and shoulders inside of a bear flag, break down could be nice
Nvidia - uptrend broken ?Just a simple chart with a few channels.
In January 2024 Nvidia transitioned from one rising channel into a even steeper rising channel with increased volatility.
Looks like price has been working on a new falling channel since November.
These large swings we experienced in January marked the upper line of this channel and now price has left the rising channel entirely.
There were a couple of retests of the green channel in the last few days but they have all failed.
So I am currently not considering long positions until the price gets back into the green channel or creates a new rising trend.
Mr.Million | NVDA Chart and potential Buy AreaIn my last post, I shared three (3) reasons why I was bearish on NVDA 📉:
Thanks to China and #DeepSeek_AI challenging NVDA’s monopolistic dominance in AI-related graphics chips, NVDA has since nosedived to ~$120.
What now? I believe there’s still more room to fall (and I’ll be waiting). 📉
🔥~$90-100 = Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛
China strikes NVIDIA: The company loses nearly $500 billionThe stock price of #NVIDIA fell by 13.93%, closing at $118 on January 27 , following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek in artificial intelligence.
The plunge in NVIDIA’s shares was triggered by the rising prominence of DeepSeek, whose AI model R1 surpassed OpenAI in key metrics, raising concerns over the U.S.’s leadership in IT technologies. The market capitalization of companies like NVIDIA dropped by over $1 trillion.
Last week, DeepSeek unveiled an updated model capable of providing reasoning-based answers, while its development costs remain significantly lower than those of competitors. This has raised doubts about the necessity of high investments in AI accelerators. Satya Nadella of Microsoft highlighted the importance of carefully analyzing developments from China.
DeepSeek’s advancements have disrupted the AI market, leading to a sell-off of U.S. tech stocks. Futures on the NASDAQ-100 (#NQ100) fell by 4%, while shares of European and Japanese semiconductor and tech companies also declined.
NVIDIA is facing significant market challenges, which are already impacting its future prospects. However, the demand for innovation may open new avenues for growth.
NVIDIADeepSeek's emergence as a potential challenger to US AI companies is expected to significantly impact the US tech market. With its breakthrough models offering performance comparable to leading offerings at a fraction of the cost, DeepSeek may "puncture some of the capex euphoria" surrounding major US tech companies like Meta and Microsoft
NVDA long-term three wavesJust to mark it as a reminder to myself that the cycle could be very long and don't buy until it touches the proper level
NVDA I am thinking this scenario over the next few months, I am thinking of DCA'ing into some long term shares. some NVDL 2X leveraged for Swing trades, and some LEAP options.
I personally am not fond of short term options on this name. IV is often high and the moves are large.
I would likely take less risk with spreads or sell premium.
I'm not a professional, just like to participate and this is accountability for me...
NVDA Stock Price Didn't Drop Because Of DeepSeek AloneNASDAQ:NVDA
As has been said all this time, that price discounts everything. NVDA shares did not fall just because of the existence of DeepSeek.
As seen in the chart above, NVDA shares formed a broadening wedge pattern, and this occurred after previously experiencing a significant price increase. Technically, this pattern itself has given a sign that NVDA shares will decline.
However, at the same time, news emerged about the existence of DeepSeek which then made investors panic and suspect that NVDA was no longer the market leader so they sold NVDA shares until the price fell. Then this broadening wedge pattern was confirmed.
The market always responds earlier before the news that "confirms" the trend.
NVIDIA Forms Inside Bar Pattern After Significant Drop...NVIDIA is currently exhibiting an inside bar pattern following a significant 17% decline, which was triggered by the DeepSeek Panic incident. This pattern indicates a period of consolidation where the price is stabilizing within the range established by the preceding candle. To make informed decisions moving forward, it is prudent to monitor price action closely and wait for a definitive breakout from this inside bar formation. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal a potential reversal or upward momentum, while a breakdown below the lower boundary may suggest further bearish pressure. Hence, exercising patience and assessing volume and market context will be crucial before committing to any trades.
NVIDIA BULLISH PATTERN $NASDAQ:NVDA
We have everything reating to ride on this bullish trend.
As a long term investor i tend to buy more if it gets retracement from its resistance level
@153 Area till its support level around @127.
after carefully checking NASDAQ:NVDA its good fundamentals i rode from 136.40 with 11% of my portfolio.
Bye bye clutter, monitor many moving averages at onceThis video describes the indicator fully, let me know what you think.
Link to the indicator will be on my profile under scripts.
NVIDIA: A Strong Company Facing Short-Term Downward PressureNVIDIA is undeniably a powerhouse in the tech industry, driven by cutting-edge innovation and robust market presence. However, in the short term, I anticipate the price to move towards the lower boundary of a descending channel trend observed in its recent market performance.
This analysis reflects my personal perspective and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Double top by the wayThe price fails to reach a new ATH and starts a strong correction towards the green support area.
The breakdown of the support will result in the completion of the double top with the first target at the weekly SMA50, which also coincides with the medium-term support trendline (blue).
If the support holds, there will be a third attempt for an ATH.
NVIDIA POSSIBLE SELLThe market is currently testing the current Weekly area.
Based on Daily AND 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible SELLING OPPORTUNITY.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Nvidia: FluctuationOver the past two weeks, NVDA has exhibited increased fluctuation within the boundaries of the current key levels: the resistance at $152.89 and the support at $126.34. Initially, the price seemed to favor our alternative scenario, but it managed to reverse just in time. Following a dip to $129, the stock rebounded swiftly. Our primary assumption remains that the beige wave III should eventually break above the $152.89 resistance. However, there is still a 33% chance that the expected rises will be delayed by a new low of the blue wave alt.(IV). This alternative scenario will prevail if the stock falls below the $126.34 support level.
NVDA Approaching Resistance! Key Trade and Options Setups. Jan. Technical Analysis for Trading:
* Current Price Action: NVDA is showing bullish momentum, approaching a key resistance level at $153.13.
* Trend: Uptrend on lower timeframes, with higher highs and higher lows forming.
* Support Levels:
* Primary support: $138.81
* Secondary support: $129.60
* Resistance Levels:
* Immediate resistance: $147.03
* Strong resistance: $153.13
* Indicators:
* MACD: Positive momentum but showing slight divergence. A pullback is possible if momentum wanes.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought (91.60), indicating the potential for a short-term pullback.
Trade Scenarios:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry above $147.50 for a breakout move.
* Target: $153.00 and $155.00.
* Stop-loss: Below $145.00.
* Bearish Scenario:
* Entry below $144.00 for a retracement.
* Target: $138.81 and $135.00.
* Stop-loss: Above $147.50.
GEX for Option Trading:
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Strong resistance at $153.00 (75.47% GEX).
* Support at $138.00 (32.07% GEX).
* Call Wall: $153.00 (Highest Positive NETGEX).
* Put Wall: $129.00 (Strong support zone).
* IV Analysis:
* IV Rank (IVR): 6.8 (low IV, cheaper options).
* Options Sentiment: Calls are dominant at 62.4%, indicating bullish sentiment.
Options Strategy:
* Bullish Play:
* Buy Call Options with a $150 strike expiring in 1-2 weeks if NVDA breaks above $147.50.
* Target premium increase as price approaches $153.
* Bearish Play:
* Buy Put Options with a $140 strike expiring in 1-2 weeks if price drops below $144.
* Target premium increase near $138 support.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and trade responsibly.
NVIDIA - NVDA - LOOKING FOR BUYING AROUND 130$Dear traders,
NVIDIA is in a bullish consolidation patter, it is fair enough for this stock to correct after the rally it did. Looking for buying position aroun 130$-135$ is quite recommendable.
Dont forget NVIDIA is lider in GPU production very demanded by AI industry and this demand is going up.
Best,
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction:
Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast.
Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns:
1. Candle Pattern Analysis:
From the provided patterns sequence data:
January 13, 2025, 14:00:
Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes"
Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence.
January 10, 2025, 16:00:
Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over"
Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking.
These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits.
2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis:
From technicals:
Current Price: $135.19
Resistance Levels:
Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart)
Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100)
Support Levels:
Immediate: $127.30
Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30
Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement.
Multi-Dimensional Analysis:
1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases.
Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term.
2. Fundamental Insights:
Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand.
Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth.
However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations.
3. Price Action Analysis:
Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence.
Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high).
Projections:
Short-Term (1 Week):
Target: $138.50
Stop-Loss: $132.00
Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum.
Mid-Term (1 Month):
Target: $145.00
Stop-Loss: $130.00
Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Target: $160.00
Stop-Loss: $125.00
Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery.
Strategic Recommendations:
Support Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Powerful Support Levels:
-
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 89.599
2. 89.599
3. 63.974
4. 63.974
5. 48.462
Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections.
3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management:
Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades.
Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably.
Tools and Insights:
Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives.
Call to Action:
For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence.
Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
NVIDIA's Momentum A Breakout Story in Progress1. Trend and Structure
The chart showcases an upward momentum, breaking out of a prior resistance level, indicating bullish pressure. The breakout aligns with the upward-sloping trendline, which serves as a strong support structure.
2.Breakout Confirmation
The price has successfully broken through a resistance level, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals potential continuation toward the marked target zone.
3.Entry Point
The entry appears to have been taken near the breakout point, at approximately $141.60, aligning with the bullish momentum.
4. Target (Take Profit)
The take-profit level is marked at $152.94, representing a reasonable upward move from the breakout point. This target aligns with the continuation of the trend.
5. Stop Loss
The stop-loss level is placed at $133.46, below the recent support and trendline. This level ensures protection in case the breakout fails.
6.Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup demonstrates a healthy risk-to-reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing the risks. This indicates a well-calculated trade.
7. Technical Indicators
The momentum of the candles breaking the resistance shows strong bullish interest. No immediate signs of bearish divergence or reversal are visible in the chart.
The chart reflects a bullish breakout setup in NVIDIA's stock price. With strong momentum and a clear trendline breakout, the trade aligns well with the current upward movement. The target and stop-loss levels are well-placed, adhering to a disciplined trading strategy.
