Tesla vs. BYD: The Market’s Greatest IllusionIntroduction: The Tale of Two Companies
You don’t need to be an economist to see it. Just compare Tesla and BYD.
BYD: Founded in 1995, Chinese, over $107 billion in revenue.
Tesla: Founded in 2003, American, with less revenue—but a market cap six times bigger.
The reason? Because one sells cars, and the other sells dreams. And Wall Street loves a good dream.
The Illusion Economy: When Hype Outweighs Reality
Tesla’s valuation isn’t tied to assets, production, or profits. It’s a ritual of collective belief—a performance act where branding replaces substance, and expectation outweighs reality.
It’s the same logic behind a $1,000 jacket that costs $100 to make. Put a fancy logo on it, and suddenly, it’s not overpriced—it’s "premium." You're not just buying a product; you're investing in a lifestyle. Sure. Keep telling yourself that.
Tesla is the $1,000 jacket. BYD is the actual tailor shop.
Tesla vs. BYD: The Numbers Tell the Story
Tesla’s market cap is over $1 trillion, while BYD’s is under $200 billion. Yet, BYD outsells Tesla globally, especially in China, where it dominates the EV market. Tesla’s valuation is built on brand perception, future promises, and speculative optimism, while BYD’s is grounded in actual production and revenue.
Financial Storytelling Over Business Reality
Tesla isn’t just a car company—it’s a financial illusion. Markets rise not on performance, but on promise. Stock prices reflect not what a company is, but what a hedge fund feels it might become. It’s not a business model—it’s mood swings with decimal points.
BYD’s Competitive Edge
Production Power: BYD manufactures more EVs than Tesla annually.
Battery Innovation: BYD’s Blade Battery is safer, lasts longer, and is cheaper than Tesla’s.
Affordability: BYD’s EVs are significantly cheaper, making them more accessible to global consumers.
Market Reach: BYD dominates China, the world’s largest EV market, while Tesla struggles with pricing and competition.
The Consequences of Buying the Dream
Tesla’s valuation isn’t creating better cars. It’s just creating dumber investors.
Investors who think they’re visionaries because they bought into the hype.
Consumers who think they’re elite because they bought the label.
Boards who think they’re gods because someone inflated their stock ticker.
But every illusion has an expiration date. Every bubble has its needle. And when dreams are sold on credit, reality always comes to collect.
Reality Always Comes to Collect
This isn’t growth. It’s speculative theater funded by your retirement account.
Real value doesn’t need hype. It appears in supply chains, production lines, tangible goods, and on profit sheets that make sense even without a TED Talk.
So next time you see Tesla’s trillion-dollar valuation, ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
TSLA trade ideas
Tesla: Interconnected ATHsStructural update to:
Chronologically connecting pivots via fib channels creates a probabilistic map that captures the rhythm and scale relationships inherent in systematic price movements.
Fractal Wave Marker & Fractal Corridors were used to transform raw price data into a coherent, multiscale structure. Combo of those indicators makes you actually pay attention to ongoing patterns and get an idea how formations on smaller scale can be part of a bigger structural narrative.
[GEX] TSLA Breakdown & Options Trade Idea for 39DTELast week, TSLA dropped hard, likely due to political tensions. Let’s not forget — just a month ago, their EVs were showcased at the White House entrance...
In the span of 30 hours, TSLA fell -22% (see red line below), while SPX barely reacted. Why? Because both realized and implied volatility dropped — remember VIX is around 17/18.
This sharp TSLA drop already seemed overdone, which helped fuel the +5% bounce on Friday.Most TSLA options positions are near-term and still show negative sentiment — but further expirations grow increasingly bullish.
🔍 If you use options GEX matrix , you’ll see the bearish hedging flow gradually turns more neutral-to-bullish.
Most cumulative support/resistance zones lie between 250–340, with spot currently just under the chop zone.
🧠 TSLA Trade Idea
It’s been a while since I posted a neutral Iron Condor, but TSLA might be an exception.
Despite last week’s IV spike, call pricing skew still dominates across expirations — as seen in our Options Overlay indicator.This tells me the market doesn’t fear TSLA crashing below 200. So, I’m aiming to capture premium on the July 18th expiry without day trading.
I’m thinking of something simple, well-manageable in either direction.To refine leg placement, I use visual GEX zones.
🐻🔴 Downside:
Strong put support at 250
Gradual support layers up to 280
🐂 🟢 Upside:
Target area: 340–350 for the July 18 expiry.
📅 Closing the Trade:I'll consider closing or adjusting at 21 DTE or when 50% max profit is hit — per TastyTrade’s studies.
🔁 Rolling Plan:IF short delta on one side drops below ~14 and price pulls away, I’ll roll the untested side to collect more credit.
🧑🏫 I’ll likely post trade management live in Discord for educational purposes.
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🦋 Bonus Idea: TSLA Broken Wing Butterfly
If you think TSLA has more downside, a Put Broken Wing Butterfly — like the one shown in my previous YT video — is also a great way to structure this trade using the same GEX levels.
There’s no single way to use Gamma Exposure — it’s the most actionable hedging signal we have. Combine it with your knowledge of strategies and you can trade almost any scenario.
One thing’s for sure — this market moves faster than ever.A single day of internal conflict wiped -22% off TSLA…The next morning, the market already moved on, so as always:
Trade Safe Out There!
TSLA: Uptrend channel bounce, trading between 50 and 200-day SMAHey guys/gals!
So we all know that Tesla took a massive drop last week. It fell about 14%, and was down even 3% after hours at one point. I think we can all agree this crash wasn't technicals driven - it was clearly headline impacted. This was a clear black swan even t, and even in my case, nothing like this has ever happened to me as a trader. It was unforeseeable, forced me to hedge overnight and I'm still having nightmares (lol). Definitely one to remember as I don't think something like this would happen with any other stock. Tesla is truly unique in this sense.
But looking at the bigger picture, the bounce that we experienced on Friday must've been technicals driven, and psychologically influenced, as I am almost certain that the crash was a massive overreaction. People woke up the next day and thought this was severely discounted over a couple social media tweets (I won't go into the politics of things).
As you see on the chart, Tesla may in a new upward channel. At first I figured this may be a bear flag, however due to the upcoming catalyst like the Robotaxi launch - this would likely only be a bear flag if prices crashes below the lower support trend line.
As long as price is within the channel, I'd say things are holding up. We'd likely see a jump towards the upper side of the channel - however it's important to note that $300 and £360 are major resistance points. Robotaxi launch and any future tweets will definitely move price, and I think those will be a factor in determining whether price goes up or crashes below the trend line.
Another thing to point out is that price is currently trading between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The 50-day SMA is acting as vital support, whereas the 200-day SMA is the resistance. If there is a break above the 200-day SMA, price will likely go higher. The opposite may happen if price crashes below the 50-day SMA.
Either way, headlines and technicals mentioned above will continue to influence price.
Note: not financial advice.
Safe Entry ZoneCurrent Movement is Down.
The Green 4h Zone @ 277-271 price level is strongest support level price targeting.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Tesla TSLA 🧠 Breakdown of this setup:
The pattern is an inverse head‑and‑shoulders, signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish momentum.
Technical commentators highlight crucial support near $300, suggesting that’s the fueling station before lift-off
After breaking the neckline, measured upside targets land in the $400–420 zone, fitting that “rocketship” trajectory vibe
🎯 Launch Pad & Destination
Pre‑launch dip: ~$300 sets the inverse H&S bottom.
Ignition point: Breakout above neckline brings liftoff.
Orbit target: ~$420—your mission succesfully completed.
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound After Sharp DropTesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound After Sharp Drop
When analysing the Tesla (TSLA) stock price chart six days ago, on the morning of 5 June, we:
→ highlighted Elon Musk’s critical comments regarding the spending bill promoted by the US President;
→ noted that a potential rift between Musk and Trump could have long-term implications, including for TSLA shares;
→ outlined an ascending channel (marked in blue);
→ suggested that the price might correct from the upper to the lower boundary of the channel.
This scenario played out rather aggressively: later that same day, during the main trading session, Tesla’s share price dropped sharply to the lower boundary of the channel amid a scandal involving Musk and Trump.
However, the lower boundary of the channel predictably acted as support. Yesterday, TSLA shares were among the top five performers in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), gaining around 5.6%.
As a result, TSLA stock price climbed back above the psychologically important $300 mark, recovering from the previous week’s sell-off.
Why Are Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rising?
Bullish drivers include:
→ The upcoming launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service, provisionally scheduled for 22 June. Elon Musk has stated he intends to use the service himself.
→ Easing of tensions with the US President. Donald Trump declared that he has no intention of "getting rid of Tesla or Starlink" should he return to the White House.
→ Continued support from Cathie Wood, the prominent asset manager, who once again reaffirmed her confidence in Tesla’s future success.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Chart
Today, TSLA’s share price is hovering near the median line of the previously identified ascending channel – a zone where supply and demand typically seek equilibrium.
Also worth noting is the $320 level: in May, it acted as support, which suggests it may now function as resistance.
Given these factors, it is reasonable to expect that the sharp recovery from the 5 June low may begin to lose momentum, with the price likely to stabilise and form a consolidation range following the recent spike in volatility.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TESLA WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅TESLA is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 336$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 320$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TESLA Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA went up from the
Horizontal support but has
Hit a horizontal resistance
Of 335$ and we are already
Seeing a bearish pullback
So we will be expecting
A further local move down today
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Tesla (TSLA) Share AnalysisHello, Tesla investors!
Tesla stock has gained good momentum recently, breaking the downtrend and rising to $362. This rise has been fueled by investor interest in Elon Musk's full-time return to the company's helm and the upcoming Robotaxi launch.
Technically speaking , the stock has formed a "double bottom" (W) pattern, and its target, $362, has been reached. However, we are now facing strong resistance at this level. If this resistance level is not surpassed with sufficient trading volume, we may see a short-term pullback.
The possibility of a short-term correction increases, especially with the RSI indicator approaching the overbought zone.
The $335 and $290 regions stand out as support levels. These levels are important to watch for possible pullbacks.
In summary , Tesla stock is in an important resistance zone. Breaking through this level with high volume could signal the start of a new uptrend. Otherwise, we may face a short-term correction. Consider these levels and technical indicators when making investment decisions.
Wednesday Session Debrief (100% Win Rate This Week Thus Far).Early move 1 put @ 935am entry was stacked against a large Bullish FVG so I didn't take it. Call structure came in, but ended up being false positive. As a result i opened a short hedge (01), got chopped up and opened another long and 3 more shorts during 1 hour of choppy price movements as bulls and bears fought over direction to establish control. The final short i opened was when price pushed below $330, exited in very decent profit today considering the unpredictable price action.
How I Got My Win Rate to 94.12% ($4.59 per $1 risk expectancy)There's a lot of people who talk smack about high win rates, probably to justify their low win rates.
The justification usually sounds something like this 'You do know the best traders have win rates under 50% and win rates mean nothing right?'. Nothing could be further from the truth in the context of the archetypal character who writes such a thing in trading view minds. A high win rate shows something very very important.. proof of edge.
Now if someone wants to believe I'm taking penny wins and dollar losses, be my guest but use your head...in fact, one better... use your eyes. There is a nice little stat there called 'profit factor', what it tells you is how many dollars profit per trade my expectancy is. Wake up, understand that not everyone is a trading guru scammer. Not everyones stats are fake, and if you want to see for yourself... its easy to do. Simply watch my livestream, there is no better proof of edge than that.