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TSLA trade ideas

TSLA Approaching a Critical Reversal Zone! Can $280 Hold? Feb.28Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action Tesla (TSLA) remains in a strong downtrend, trading within a well-defined falling wedge pattern. The stock is currently testing a major support zone around $280, which aligns with the highest negative NETGEX and significant PUT walls. A breakdown from this level could open the door for a steeper decline toward $250, while a bounce could lead to a sharp reversal rally. Key observations: * Trend Structure: TSLA is in a clear downtrend, but nearing exhaustion based on technical indicators. * Support & Resistance: * Major Resistance: $297-$300 (breakout confirmation level). * Key Support: $280 → If this breaks, expect further downside toward $250. * Breakout Target: $310 - $350 if momentum shifts. * MACD Indicator: Showing a slight bullish divergence, which could signal an upcoming reversal. * Stoch RSI: Oversold at 37.67, indicating potential upside pressure if buyers step in. Options Flow & GEX Analysis The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator suggests that TSLA is heavily weighted on the PUT side, with the highest negative gamma near $280. This implies that if $280 breaks, the next big support is around $250. However, if $280 holds, a short squeeze could push TSLA toward $300+ quickly. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 74, with IVx avg at 77.9%, showing high volatility expectations. * Call Side Bias: 31.9% of options flow, indicating some bullish positioning. * Key GEX Levels: * PUT Wall & Key Support: $280 → A breakdown could bring $250 as the next stop. * CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $300 → A move above this level could send TSLA toward $350+. Trade Plan & Suggestions 📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play) * Entry: Above $285 with strong volume confirmation. * Target 1: $300 * Target 2: $310-$350 (Extended breakout target). * Stop-loss: Below $278 📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play) * Entry: Below $278 with strong selling pressure. * Target: $265 → $250 * Stop-loss: Above $285 Final Thoughts TSLA is at a crucial inflection point, with $280 acting as the major battleground. If buyers defend this level, expect a short squeeze rally toward $300+. But if this level fails, the next leg down could accelerate toward $250. Volume confirmation is key before making a trade. 📢 Risk Management: Keep tight stop-losses, wait for confirmation, and be ready for volatility. 🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Buy the Dip $TSLANASDAQ:TSLA Target TP: $414 Support: $292 Support 2: $269 SL: $209 Narrative: 1. Historically, TSLA stock price intersect with 200 EMA always reacted by a significant revamp. 2. Latest PCE report signaled a very strong growth in Automotive sector. 3. Short-Selling primarily driven by investor sentiment and materialization of long-dated long position, which is non related to fundamental business of Tesla's core value. 4. by April is Earnings report of Q2 2025 for Tesla. Tesla stock always respond highly volatile to the earnings report. 5. Strong uptrend support in Daily candle accompanied with major Fibonacci support range.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Kim_CLSPX
Tesla Stock Analysis: Finding Support at $172?I stare at the chart, tracing my finger along the screen, connecting the dots—the 2020 low, the 2024 low. A rising trendline emerges, like a bridge between two cliffs, steady but not invincible. So here we are. $172. That’s where the trendline whispers support. But is it really support, or just an illusion we want to believe in? The Logic Behind the Line Drawing a trendline isn’t just some artistic endeavor; it’s about psychology, repetition, and history. If enough traders see it, believe it, and act on it, then it becomes real. That’s the paradox of technical analysis. The trendline at $172? It’s not just a number—it’s where fear meets hope, where buyers might show up to defend Tesla. But then again, what if this time is different? Macro and Tesla-Specific Concerns Tesla is no longer the untouchable, high-growth behemoth it once was. EV competition is intensifying, interest rates are still squeezing consumer financing, and let’s be honest—Elon’s distractions (from X to AI) don’t exactly scream "full focus on Tesla." Investors hate uncertainty, and right now, Tesla has plenty of it. Then there's the earnings slowdown. Margins are under pressure. Price cuts have fueled demand, but at what cost? If Tesla can’t maintain its high-profit margins, the stock might deserve a lower multiple. The market isn’t rewarding growth-at-all-costs anymore—it wants efficiency, profitability, and stability. And let’s talk about the market itself. The S&P 500 has been on a historic run, and if it corrects, Tesla—being a high-beta stock—will likely get hit harder. Tech stocks aren’t flying as they did in 2020-2021. The Fed isn’t cutting rates aggressively, at least not yet. So, does Tesla hold the line at $172, or do we see an inevitable flush lower before real buyers step in? What’s the Play? Alright, let’s assume Tesla does test $172. What happens then? A bounce? Sure, it could. But a strong bounce? That’s the real question. If buying pressure isn’t convincing, if volume isn’t there, then support is just a temporary floor before another leg down. If $172 doesn’t hold, where’s the next stop? I’d be looking at $150, maybe even the psychological $140 level. That’s where things get really interesting—where long-term bulls either double down or panic sets in. But let’s flip the script. What if Tesla does hold here? What if it bounces, regains momentum, and starts reclaiming key moving averages? Then suddenly, we’re back in play for $200, $220, maybe even beyond. The Bottom Line I’m watching $172 like a hawk. If it holds with conviction, I might take a shot. If it doesn’t, I’ll wait. No need to be a hero. One thing I’ve learned in this game? The market doesn’t care about my lines. It cares about liquidity, sentiment, and the bigger picture. And right now, Tesla is at a crossroads. Time to see which way it moves.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by luislin88
TSLA: Down 44% – Is This the Bottom?Tesla has been absolutely crushed since hitting its all-time high at $485. A 44% drop isn’t shocking after such a huge rally, but it’s still a brutal move. Now, we’re back into support, sitting near the level of Wave 1 – so far, nothing completely out of the ordinary. Maybe to counter some of the selling pressure, Elon Musk tweeted yesterday that he sees a 1000% price increase in the next five years – if the work is put in. Take it however you want. The tweet probably gave TSLA a short-term boost, since Musk’s words always spark some level of hope. But we’ve seen this game before – big claims, and sometimes, reality doesn’t follow through. Technically speaking: As long as Tesla holds the order block between $240 and $260, or at least the current support, things don’t look too bad. But if that level breaks, things could get ugly – and $150 might not be far off. For now, this remains one to watch.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by stromm
TSLA’s Next Big Move: Collapse or Skyrocket? Key Levels to WatchTesla (TSLA) is approaching key price levels that will determine its next move. Potential Downside: -If TSLA drops below $297, the next level to watch is $292. -A break below $292 could lead to $283. -If $283 fails, the price may drop significantly toward $222. Potential Upside: -If TSLA reverses, it could rise back to $384. -A breakout above $384 could push it to $431 and beyond. If this analysis added value to you, please like and share! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Upside potential on $TLSA Im back again with an analysis on Tesla (please feel free to check out the previous one: ) Tesla has had a rough couple of weeks more related to political sentiment than the company fundamentals itself. Now Tesla is testing a key support level highlighted by 1) the trendline support 2 the anchored Vwap from the low of April 2024 3) The Fibonacci 38.2% level Should this support level hold (because we know nothing is guaranteed), We should see some serious upside. Target 1 would be to regain the $485 all time high and target 2 would be the 1.618 Fib level currently sitting at $689 (you read that right). The reason I like this trade is that it is a very low risk in the sense that it is sitting on the support level therefore you can manage risk fairly easily and keep it small if it doesn't hold. This is however a mid to long term play. Feel free to comment what stock you would want to see me cover or what indicator and ill make some time for it. PS this is for educational purposes only and this is not a trade recommendation in any way or form. Stay green.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by jlhamilto
Effective inefficiencyStop-Loss. This combination of words sounds like a magic spell for impatient investors. It's really challenging to watch your account get smaller and smaller. That's why people came up with this magic amulet. Go to the market, don't be afraid, just put it on. Let your profits run, but limit your losses - place a Stop-Loss order. Its design is simple: when the paper loss reaches the amount agreed upon with you in advance, your position will be closed. The paper loss will become real. And here I have a question: “ Does this invention stop the loss? ” It seems that on the contrary - you take it with you. Then it is not a Stop-Loss, but a Take-Loss. This will be more honest, but let's continue with the classic name. Another thing that always bothered me was that everyone has their own Stop-Loss. For example, if a company shows a loss, I can find out about it from the reports. Its meaning is the same for everyone and does not depend on those who look at it. With Stop-Loss, it's different. As many people as there are Stop-Losses. There is a lot of subjectivity in it. For adherents of fundamental analysis, all this looks very strange. I cannot agree that I spent time researching a company, became convinced of the strength of its business, and then simply quoted a price at which I would lock in my loss. I don't think Benjamin Graham would approve either. He knew better than anyone that the market loved to show off its madness when it came to stock prices. So Stop-Loss is part of this madness? Not quite so. There are many strategies that do not rely on fundamental analysis. They live by their own principles, where Stop-Loss plays a key role. Based on its size relative to the expected profit, these strategies can be divided into three types. Stop-Loss is approximately equal to the expected profit size This includes high-frequency strategies of traders who make numerous trades during the day. These can be manual or automated operations. Here we are talking about the advantages that a trader seeks to gain, thanks to modern technical means, complex calculations or simply intuition. In such strategies, it is critical to have favorable commission conditions so as not to give up all the profits to maintaining the infrastructure. The size of profit and loss per trade is approximately equal and insignificant in relation to the size of the account. The main expectation of a trader is to make more positive trades than negative ones. Stop-Loss is several times less than the expected profit The second type includes strategies based on technical analysis. The number of transactions here is significantly less than in the strategies of the first type. The idea is to open an interesting position that will show enough profit to cover several losses. This could be trading using chart patterns, wave analysis, candlestick analysis. You can also add buyers of classic options here. Stop-Loss is an order of magnitude greater than the expected profit The third type includes arbitrage strategies, selling volatility. The idea behind such strategies is to generate a constant, close to fixed, income due to statistically stable patterns or extreme price differences. But there is also a downside to the coin - a significant Stop-Loss size. If the system breaks down, the resulting loss can cover all the earned profit at once. It's like a deposit in a dodgy bank - the interest rate is great, but there's also a risk of bankruptcy. Reflecting on these three groups, I formulated the following postulate: “ In an efficient market, the most efficient strategies will show a zero financial result with a pre-determined profit to loss ratio ”. Let's take this postulate apart piece by piece. What does efficient market mean? It is a stock market where most participants instantly receive information about the assets in question and immediately decide to place, cancel or modify their order. In other words, in such a market, there is no lag between the appearance of information and the reaction to it. It should be said that thanks to the development of telecommunications and information technologies, modern stock markets have significantly improved their efficiency and continue to do so. What is an effective strategy ? This is a strategy that does not bring losses. Profit to loss ratio is the result of profitable trades divided by the result of losing trades in the chosen strategy, considering commissions. So, according to the postulate, one can know in advance what this ratio will be for the most effective strategy in an effective market. In this case, the financial result for any such strategy will be zero. The formula for calculating the profit to loss ratio according to the postulate: Profit : Loss ratio = %L / (100% - %L) Where %L is the percentage of losing trades in the strategy. Below is a graph of the different ratios of the most efficient strategy in an efficient market. For example, if your strategy has 60% losing trades, then with a profit to loss ratio of 1.5:1, your financial result will be zero. In this example, to start making money, you need to either reduce the percentage of losing trades (<60%) with a ratio of 1.5:1, or increase the ratio (>1.5), while maintaining the percentage of losing trades (60%). With such improvements, your point will be below the orange line - this is the inefficient market space. In this zone, it is not about your strategy becoming more efficient, you have simply found inefficiencies in the market itself. Any point above the efficient market line is an inefficient strategy . It is the opposite of an effective strategy, meaning it results in an overall loss. Moreover, an inefficient strategy in an efficient market makes the market itself inefficient , which creates profitable opportunities for efficient strategies in an inefficient market. It sounds complicated, but these words contain an important meaning - if someone loses, then someone will definitely find. Thus, there is an efficient market line, a zone of efficient strategies in an inefficient market, and a zone of inefficient strategies. In reality, if we mark a point on this chart at a certain time interval, we will get rather a cloud of points, which can be located anywhere and, for example, cross the efficient market line and both zones at the same time. This is due to the constant changes that occur in the market. It is an entity that evolves together with all participants. What was effective suddenly becomes ineffective and vice versa. For this reason, I formulated another postulate: “ Any market participant strives for the effectiveness of his strategy, and the market strives for its own effectiveness, and when this is achieved, the financial result of the strategy will become zero ”. In other words, the efficient market line has a strong gravity that, like a magnet, attracts everything that is above and below it. However, I doubt that absolute efficiency will be achieved in the near future. This requires that all market participants have equally fast access to information and respond to it effectively. Moreover, many traders and investors, including myself, have a strong interest in the market being inefficient. Just like we want gravity to be strong enough that we don't fly off into space from our couches, but gentle enough that we can visit the refrigerator. This limits or delays the transfer of information to each other. Returning to the topic of Stop-Loss, one should pay attention to another pattern that follows from the postulates of market efficiency. Below, on the graph (red line), you can see how much the loss to profit ratio changes depending on the percentage of losing trades in the strategy. For me, the values located on the red line are the mathematical expectation associated with the size of the loss in an effective strategy in an effective market. In other words, those who have a small percentage of losing trades in their strategy should be on guard. The potential loss in such strategies can be several times higher than the accumulated profit. In the case of strategies with a high percentage of losing trades, most of the risk has already been realized, so the potential loss relative to the profit is small. As for my attitude towards Stop-Loss, I do not use it in my stock market investing strategy. That is, I don’t know in advance at what price I will close the position. This is because I treat buying shares as participating in a business. I cannot accept that when crazy Mr. Market knocks on my door and offers a strange price, I will immediately sell him my shares. Rather, I would ask myself, “ How efficient is the market right now and should I buy more shares at this price? ” My decision to sell should be motivated not only by the price but also by the fundamental reasons for the decline. For me, the main criterion for closing a position is the company's profitability - a metric that is the same for everyone who looks at it. If a business stops being profitable, that's a red flag. In this case, the time the company has been in a loss-making state and the size of the losses are considered. Even a great company can have a bad quarter for one reason or another. In my opinion, the main work with risks should take place before the company gets into the portfolio, and not after the position is opened. Often it doesn't even involve fundamental business analysis. Here are four things I'm talking about: - Diversification. Distribution of investments among many companies. - Gradually gaining position. Buying stocks within a range of prices, rather than at one desired price. - Prioritization of sectors. For me, sectors of stable consumer demand always have a higher priority than others. - No leverage. I propose to examine the last point separately. The thing is that the broker who lends you money is absolutely right to be afraid that you won’t pay it back. For this reason, each time he calculates how much his loan is secured by your money and the current value of the shares (that is, the value that is currently on the market). Once this collateral is not enough, you will receive a so-called margin call . This is a requirement to fund an account to secure a loan. If you fail to do this, part of your position will be forcibly closed. Unfortunately, no one will listen to the excuse that this company is making a profit and the market is insane. The broker will simply give you a Stop-Loss. Therefore, leverage, by its definition, cannot be used in my investment strategy. In conclusion of this article, I would like to say that the market, as a social phenomenon, contains a great paradox. On the one hand, we have a natural desire for it to be ineffective, on the other hand, we are all working on its effectiveness. It turns out that the income we take from the market is payment for this work. At the same time, our loss can be represented as the salary that we personally pay to other market participants for their efficiency. I don't know about you, but this understanding seems beautiful to me.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Be_Capy
TSLA - support & resistant areas for today Feb 27, 2025Here are the key support and resistance levels for TSLA for today. These levels are crucial as they indicate areas where the price may reverse or consolidate. A bounce off these support or resistance zones can signal potential long (buy) or short (sell) positions for traders. These levels have been calculated using mathematical models and forecasting techniques, ensuring their relevance for today's trading session. Please note that these levels apply only for today and may change in the future. If you find this information helpful and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, please support me by boosting this post and following me. Your engagement helps me understand the value of this content. If this post does not receive more than 10 boosts, I will reconsider continuing with these daily updates. Thank you for your support!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by OnePunchMan91
$Tesla back to $360 - explosive move expected soonSitting at the bottom of the long respected bottom support for it's current down trend channel after shedding $100 this month. Conditions are extremely oversold having reached a massive buy zone, which fills the long withstanding $280 gap from November, and also doubles as a retest of long term support (200MA). The rebound from this area could easily take us to the top of the same channel around the $360 mark give or take, and bears would STILL be in control. Anything above that and we could see $400+ next month. Easy swing play IMO for the next week or two - PTs are $345>$355>$365
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Stockmongerer
1
TSLA-BUY strategy 6 hourly chartIt is always a roller coaster one-way kind of a stock. We have seen $ 485 and now back $ 290. so, much about those reputable analysts :) Let's get back to the drawing board. The share is oversold, and it's an understatement saying that. The main reasons are fundamental, and Elon his attitude does not help the stock, but the facts remain, he is an innovator, and yes sales declining, and I feel the right level for the stock is somewhere around $ 350. I think. Strategy BUY @ $ 280-300 and take profit near $ 345 for now is what I feel makes sense right now.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by peterbokma