1698 trade ideas
TME make or breakElliot wave wise, it looks like we completed a full 5 wave impulse move and need to correct down.
Unusual option for a $7 put 7/21/23 1900 contracts were traded today, which could be a hedge for another push up, or a big drop down.
Max pain is $6 this week.
TME can keep travelling in this channel, but a drop below $7 confirms bearish sentiment and we're looking for a drop to $5.50 in the next few weeks.
Observing the volume on the price to track actual big buyer
Technical analysis can be used in many ways.
Someone applies to AI projects and also someone uses only the trading view tools function that is enough to predict price the first sight.
As you may see in the chart view, we need to find the pattern of the accumulation phase.
The question is how we know the big buyers (insider/hedge fund/billionaire) are buying.
Normally the stocks will have price making, the price maker can be the owner, big buyer, hedge fund, and every beneficiary.
We need to follow the price maker, and you will able to make a big shot.
To find the big shot on stock, there are several methods.
I would like to share with you my methods for finding the big shot of trading.
1. Deep-down price
We need to find the panic sell from all traders (big/small traders).
It will be the first significant falling down of stock price at least 60 percent of the maximum price.
people need to don't trust the stock anymore.
2. Let it fall
After the price is falling down, you also don't know if this is the end of the bearish trend or not.
In this phase, we need to action nothing and wait until the volume increase in term of price.
Volume has 2 types. 1st is volume based on time. 2nd is volume based on price.
3. Acute-Angled Triangle of volume profile
The degree of the triangle will represent the buyer are buying.
the fewer degree of a triangle and a long time of stable price are the meaning that the big buyers are still not completed buying.
They will not let the price go up until they accumulate stock enough for running a new cycle.
Our duty is buying in this phase too.
These are only 3 examples from many for finding the stock to take a big shot.
We also can use coding to track which significant price of each stock of each month.
TME in triangle the movement of the last few months of TME seems to me to be delimited by two dynamic supports that converging form a triangle, if the dynamic support holds up it could return to the upper level first and try the upper breakout later, otherwise the lower break could bring the title back towards the lows
its not looking good for longs🔻tme broke below extreme support at the start of December, since then it failed to break back above and has made lower highs.. all bearish signs.
also keep in mind this is a recent IPO, when I zoomed out there was no more signs of support left.. so be careful if long!
like and follow for more 💘
Tencent Music giving up more ground. TMEA Flat formation is in order. This one is a switch from a previous massive zigzag - a law of alteration in practice! Where to from here. Probably not much lower than origin of B at most.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
Bearish on Tencent Music Entertainment. TMEWe are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
TME bottom can be very near2 possible bottom levels:
Level 1- 6.85 which it touched twice in the last 1 week.
Level 2 trendline touch, can be around 6-6.25, this level is very important as reversal can be started from here based on the history.
From this level i.e 6$, I am expecting a bounce to 9's range.
Fundamentally this stock is very cheap, 5B approx. sales expected in 2021 and 5.5B in 2022, which makes this to trade at 2.5 Prices/Sales ratio.
Buy $TME - NRPicks 13 AgoTencent Music Entertainment Group operates online music entertainment platforms that provide music streaming, online karaoke and live streaming services in the People's Republic of China. Tencent Music Entertainment Group is a subsidiary of Tencent Holdings Ltd.
Revenue TTM 4.6B
Net Income TTM 640M
Net Margin TTM 13.7%
EBITDA Margin 15.8%
In times when no one pay attention to fundamentalsMany experienced investors look where most of people are not looking. Looking at TME chart it looks like trash if anything one may want to short it with such downward momentum. While in short term there is gain in shorting TME (At this time there are no good entry and exit point as the price is going through an uncharted territory). If you look at some education content online it is not hard to stumble upon market participants bragging how they don't "fish the bottom" or not "adding to a losing position". But big money plays it differently. They do add to a losing position because for one they can afford to do so, they do not need to barrow money to do it and secondly they hunt for bargains! I believe if you look under the hood at this prices TME is a bargain!
The company is having net profit quarters after quarter. With positive annual EBTIDA and EBTI. Is it under pressure from Chinese government? Absolutely, but right now it is a hot topic around every Chinese stock. It is just matter of time for dust to settle! Unlike education sector in China TME will thrive unless Chinese government bans streaming music all together!
The book value on TME is 4.77 meaning if TME to be delisted or get liquated today this is roughly how much each investor will receive per share. At less than 50% of it current value! Just to put things in perspective TSLA trading at $660 has book value of $23! So aren't we looking at a bargain?
So how am I going to play this?
I have been having a tiny position averaging at about 11.00. I have added to my position today small and going to add to my position at around 5.50 in larger number of shares but in the same dollar amount as before, if we ever get there. I am not expecting to profit from this in a short period of time hence I am investing the money I can pretend I never had to begin with (I can afford to park my cash). As of now there is no exist strategy on TME I am just going to wait for sell off to end and going to plan for one once the stock changes trend (it may take years!)
Pick up some shares of TME last night , would you ?read latest news here and here
Again, not all businesses that falls 77% from its peak are good business. You need to know the market ,its growth forecast down the road before picking up. If you are not comfortable, there are always other stocks to go bargain hunting.
Please do your own due diligence !