Chart of the Day: 341.HK Kitchen fire saleCafe de Coral is literally the kitchen of HK. Revenue and profitability growth has collapsed so much into negative territory that mathematically speaking, the year-on-year comparable are going to be very favorable in 2021 and 2022. Rental and labor cost, the 2 biggest cost components are going to act as a tailwind for the company (LTM operating margins of 2.6% is probably closer to the trough compared to normalized margins of c.8%) and the company is maintaining market share by passing on cost savings to its customers.
With the stock trading at the bottom of a trading range with valuations of c.5x EV/EBITDA, -2 standard deviation levels (mean of 13x), I would say this stock is a steal.
341 trade ideas
Familiarity breeds contentment - George AdeHong Kong is following other countries to reopen part of the city to allow some workers to return to office.
Food is an important and necessary part of office workers life. I mean, they have to take their lunch, coffee breaks, dinner ,etc. So, what business will come to their rescue ? That's right ! Food and beverage business, the restaurant. But not just any restaurant.
Some may be concerned with the loss of profits and stay away from this counter. That is understandable.
Business will resume as the locals like to return to their familiar restaurant and Cafe de Corals with is numerous outlets will have this advantage.
If not for the lockdown due to Covid-19, the restaurant will continue to have its soaring business, thus this profit loss is a one-off event and not due to the change in the nature of business,eg. acquisition or expanding into new food segment.
Surely we have bottomed. People need to eat cheap... Budget FoodWith the calming situation on the protest, people still need to eat.
With a slowing economy, cheap eats surely on the way back up.
Virus or no virus, the situation must improve!
This is not investment advice and I currently have no position in this name.
I may open a position as we see virus fears subside and people flow hitting the streets of HK.