Long Position on QQQ – 16th May 2025 AnalysisTrading Idea: Long Position on QQQ – 16th May 2025
This chart illustrates a long position on QQQ, in the Daily Time Frame. Overall, the market structure is bullish. It is expected to retest 493 to 500, before going further high. Also, if any liquidity is targeted, then 475 should be the spot.
Analysis:
• Market Structure: The overall market structure is Bullish. Since it has given good breakout above recent high above 20 EMA (i.e. on 25th March 2025), it is the expectation that the market will retest this level, near 493 to 500.
• Liquidity Target: It is also expected that big players can target liquidity near 475 level, which was the recent breakout level.
• Trend Change: Anything below 475, could be considered in weakness in trend and possibly slow down the recovery to all time high.
Trade plan1:
• Entry: Near 500
• Stop Loss: 490
• Take Profit: Around 530
• Risk-Reward: 1:4
Trade plan2:
• Entry: Near $480
• Stop Loss: Near $470
• Take Profit: Around $530
• Risk-Reward: 1:5
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
3455 trade ideas
Magnificent Seven: Still Magnificent? Or Diverging for Good?The Nasdaq 100 has bounced, but under the surface, the “Magnificent Seven” are no longer marching in sync.
And this divergence matters, especially if you’re trading QQQ or using it as a momentum proxy.
⚔️ Leadership Rotation in Real Time
- Nvidia (NVDA): Still a beast. Making fresh highs, clear institutional momentum.
- Microsoft (MSFT): Quiet strength — not flashy, but technically clean.
- Meta, Amazon: Holding up, consolidating after major runs.
- Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA): Weak links. AAPL can't find a bid. TSLA is stuck below major resistance.
Trading QQQ directly?
Consider weighting your thesis by what’s working under the hood.
- QQQ reclaimed the 200-day MA with the May 12's gap echoing the broader S&P move.
- Look for a retest of the resistance and the previous high of 540
- Play breakouts with confirmation, or mean-reverting pullbacks.
🧠 Final Take
The Magnificent Seven are splitting into two camps: those still driving the rally, and those dragging it.
SPY/QQQ ES/NQ 14 Mayo 2025QQQ SpotGamma Chart Analysis – May 14, 2025
📊 Key Context
This chart shows the options-derived levels for QQQ using SpotGamma’s tools. It combines key gamma levels (Call Walls, Put Walls), liquidity zones, and potential reversal targets.
🧱 Major Resistance Zones
Level Description
525 🔔 Call Wall (Maximum) – Strongest resistance, potential reversal zone.
520 ⚠️ Call Wall (2) – Price might stall here. Likely target or short entry.
518.42 🎯 RB Head – Reversal Block Head; strong confluence for decision-making.
517 🛑 Call Wall (1) – Minor resistance, price may hesitate here.
📌 Area marked in red: "Possible Selling or Target Zone" – Ideal spot for profit-taking if long, or potential short if momentum shifts.
🛡️ Support & Demand Zones
Level Description
516 🟡 Put Wall (2) – Minor support zone.
515-514.9 🟨 RB Bottom / Put Wall (1) – High probability buy zone.
510 🔵 Put Wall (3) – Strong support level, possible bounce point.
🟡 Yellow box zone is highlighted as a "Possible Buy/Sell Zone" – high activity expected due to overlapping gamma levels.
🔀 Scenarios Outlined
Bullish Path: Break above 518.42 → target 520 → possible extension to 525.
Bearish Path: Rejection at 518.42 or 520 → pullback to 515 or 510 for possible bounce.
Neutral to Reversal: Consolidation between 514-518 likely leads to explosive breakout or breakdown.
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) Poised for Extended ImpulseThe Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) experienced a significant selloff following a tariff announcement, dropping from an all-time high of $540.81 to a low of $402.39 on April 7, 2025. This decline appears to be a corrective three-wave pullback, indicating that the market’s overall bullish trend remains intact. Since hitting this low, the ETF has reversed course and begun rallying, with the upward movement taking the form of a nested five-wave structure, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
From the April 7 low, wave (1) peaked at $443.14, followed by a pullback in wave (2) that bottomed at $404.44. The ETF then resumed its ascent in wave (3), which has further internal subdivisions. Within wave (3), wave 1 ended at $468.41, and wave 2 found support at $427.99. The ETF then extended higher in wave 3, which itself subdivided into smaller waves. Within wave 3, wave ((i)) reached $474.81, wave ((ii)) dipped to $462.43. Wave ((iii)) surged to $487.18, wave ((iv)) pulled back to $478.12, and wave ((v)) completed at $490.91, finalizing wave 3 of the higher degree. A corrective wave 4 then found support at $476.78.
Near term, the ETF is expected to complete wave 5, which should also conclude wave (3) of the larger structure. Following this, a corrective wave (4) is likely to retrace part of the rally from the April 9 low before the ETF resumes higher. As long as the pivot at $428 holds, any dips should find support in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, supporting further upside. This analysis points to a bullish outlook for the QQQ, with potential for continued gains in the near term.
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry This is a concept of decaying price and time as an underlying move towards our theoretical projection, where if the underlying enters our built faded cross-section, the SL is triggered to avoid sideways consolidation and decaying contract premiums.
This ‘right’ triangle that is ‘sclene’ by nature is created by taking the furthest projection in price/time symmetry (78.6%) and drawing a vertically placed straight line to the highest/lowest point in the rally previously identified. Here, I create a ‘right triangle’ by turning 90 degrees towards my final point, which is made by the nearest projection in price/time symmetry (38.2%). In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle.
Rules —
1. Enter position with strike of 38.5% retracement in price and expiration of +21 days past 78.6% retracement in time.
2. SL is LOW or HIGH in PRICE from rally. Structure invalidates with new low or high made that expands rally — this protects against price decay.
3. SL is STOP LOSS TRIANGLE cross-sectional zone built. Structure invalidates with horizontal extension into faded cross-section to protect against time decay.
The beauty of this concept is the ability to trade with rules the potential retracement in price/time symmetry distinctively and without emotion, as the underlying trades to potential harmonic reversals.
Worst is behind for QQQ and SPXA textbook Bear flag with proper breakdown and reached the target.
Now the market is ranging to decide where to go. Whatever the price action will be, there will be suitable news on TV afterwards don't worry.
Looking purely at the charts, QQQ should recover between 488-510 area.
The two big volume days at the end of the pattern target convinced me we are on the way up for now, whether its a trap or not remains to be seen.
Cheers
650 HANDLE on the Q's (QQQ ETF "Nasdaq index ETF")Trade deal optimism is becoming realityn and federal budget actualy shrinking thanks tyoi DOGE department effords to clean up and modernize the system, has been a boon for Trumps first 100 days as oil prices drop and war is evaporating the world is looking very syncronized in spite all the overblkown negative press from mainstreen traditional media may be a buy the dip scenario that the media does not want to admit. This condition is called the "pain-trade" as most retail investors are now bearish and "everyones on one side of the boat" Insitutioins know this and want then to sell ad depressed relative prices. Everyone knows inheritly fairness and fair trade is a reciprocal business and Trump acting as obligated fiduciary professioinalism you would expect from a professioinal advisor who put his clients interest first. This is a fiduciary. And for too long now this has not been honored by many of those across the board in government to the point of agregiouusness, is beyond absurd and the justice department is now led by Trumps appointies who , ironically, themselves, had be treated unfairly and chalenged with "lawfair" using the porocess for thier own suboptimizatioins is a breach of fiduciary duty and they should you thier own personal tme and resources to pursue thier own interested (not when they are at work using govt tax paid resources inappropriately). With AI now oin the table and an already steady overall economy (accord to J. Powell the other day). The strong dolarr from all the inflation has wreaked havick on Emerging Markets, the Asian Trade, Europoe and the outrsagious spending has upset the World Bank Leaders and EM central bankers as strong dollar cuts heavy into thier already this scale profit markgins. By working these trade deals the dollar should weaken in order for the mechanics of it all to work. Interest rate on the 10yr n
More potential downsideEveryone is picking bottoms that is dangerous in this environment, this chart is Elliott wave we are at the top of the b-wave and it is considered a bull trap but we could get a v shape and may not get follow through in which case the b-wave becomes a new wave 5. It could go either wave but my bias is we get follow through to the downside but its just an opinion you have to due whats best for you.
SPY QQQ NQ/ES 2 Mayo 2025QQQ Technical and Options Flow Analysis
Timeframe: 15-minute chart
Source: SpotGamma Levels & Custom Volume Profile Zones
🔺 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Sell/Target Zones):
Zone Price Remarks
Call Wall (2) 490.00 Major resistance — target area for calls
High of May 2nd 487.44 Short-term intraday resistance
Call Wall (1) 485.00 Intermediate resistance and sell zone
RB Head 484.31 Breakdown area — if rejected, expect downside
🔻 Key Support Levels (Potential Buy Zones):
Zone Price Remarks
Call Wall (3) / Put Wall (2) 480.00 Key pivot zone — watch for defense or breakdown
RB Bottom 481.13 Breakdown support from prior rejection zone
Put Wall (1) 475.00 Strong put support — primary buying interest
Zero Gamma 477.00 Gamma pivot point — volatility may spike near it
QQQ PUTSI’m short NASDAQ:QQQ 👇 based on NQ, obv...
Anticipating a 2022-style ICT iFVG bearish model. Front-running the setup w/ GDP shrinkage narrative (real or not, price moves on perception).
Targeting $420 → sub-$400, making macro lower lows. I have targets.
Sounds nuts? Maybe. But when we get there… I’m very long. 📉📈
SPY/QQQ NQ/ES 1 Mayo 2025Key Analysis – QQQ (May 1st, 2025)
📍 Current Price Context
Price is currently around 484.75 after a strong upward move.
Trading near a Call Wall at 482 and a potential Rejection Block Head at 484.72.
🔼 Upside Targets (Bullish Scenario)
📈 Level 🎯 Target Description NQ Equivalent
1 482 – Call Wall 19920
2 484.72 – RB Head 20040
3 489.3 – Target Resistance 20220
4 494 – Strong Sell Zone 20400
🟩 "Possible Sell Zone" is clearly marked between 489–494, indicating potential profit-taking or reversals.
🔽 Downside Targets (Bearish Scenario)
📉 Level 🔻 Target Description NQ Equivalent
1 479 – Call Wall 19780
2 476/475 – Gamma Cluster 19660/19620
3 472 – Put Wall —
4 470/471 – Strong Gamma Line 19420/19460
5 466.28 – Extreme Bear Target 19280
🟩 "Possible Buy Zone" around 470–474, reinforced by the Zero Gamma Line at 471, is where strong bounce reactions may occur.
🔄 Strategic Zones (For Entry/Exit)
🟨 Neutral Zones (Buy/Sell Opportunity):
479 (Decision level based on flow)
484 (retest or breakout area)
🟩 Strong Demand Zone:
Between 470 and 472 – Strong gamma support + Put Walls
🟥 Strong Supply Zone:
Between 489 and 494 – High concentration of call options and projected resistance
🔀 Expected Scenarios
Bullish Breakout: If price holds above 484.72 → potential path toward 489.3 → 494.
Rejection at 484–485: Pullback to 479 → watch reaction near 476–472 for potential bounce.
Bearish Breakdown: Below 472, potential retest of 470/466 area.
QQQ Rallying Into ResistanceQQQ Rallying Into Resistance — What’s Next After the Trump Roundtable?
I’ve been going through QQQ charts tonight and comparing the Daily and 1H timeframes side by side to map out what might come next — especially after the afternoon rally that aligned with headlines from Trump’s investor roundtable. It definitely caught attention.
Daily Chart Thoughts:
QQQ has been trending upward within a falling wedge since early April, and today’s candle closed just under the wedge resistance zone around 475–476. That level lines up with previous support-turned-resistance from March. The MACD is still pushing bullish momentum, and the Stoch RSI is cruising near overbought — signaling strength but caution at this zone. If we break above and hold, the next level I’m eyeing is the 493.50 zone. That would officially flip structure bullish.
1H + GEX Layer:
On the intraday side, today’s session really ramped after 2PM — notably when headlines about Trump’s meeting with tech and AI executives hit the wires. That sharp spike landed QQQ right into the GEX7 and GEX9 clusters, just under the 482.50 high. The Options GEX chart shows the 482 area also has 80%+ call resistance and clustering near key Gamma Walls.
Also worth noting: the options positioning is still heavy on puts (64.2%), which tells me this could be a squeeze if bulls defend the breakout above 473–475. If bulls can flip that gamma resistance at 482, we may start working toward 493 or even 500 this week — especially if the macro or political narrative continues to drive risk-on.
How I'm Thinking About the Trade:
I’m personally watching for a pullback retest of 475 or even 472. If we hold VWAP and start climbing back into the GEX zone, I’ll look to enter calls with tight stops. If this stalls under 482 and IV spikes, I’d consider selling premium or waiting for a deeper dip to reload.
Big Picture Forecast:
The Trump meeting gave bulls a jolt today, but whether that sticks will depend on follow-through volume tomorrow. If this is more than a headline pop, the Daily breakout could legitimize a broader tech rally — especially with Apple and NVDA also pushing.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal market notes and trade planning shared for educational purposes.
Don't be terrified/tarrified !!! It's time to go LONG not SHORT9th April is a crucial day , imo of viewing this chart.
He was not bluffing the people as it turns out. However, after a week, the market got terrified and heads south but noticed it did not formed a lower low from 9th April candle.
25th April candle tells us it has breaks out from the resistance level and the last two days have been pretty bullish as well.
I believe the media is getting fatigue of the tariffs matter and we can see that US and China are behind the curtains "negotiating" while leaving the market guessing who really called who. That was the decoy and it is not important other than face saving. More importantly, the chart has once again convinced us that the buyers are encouraged and prove their actions by longing the market.
So whose buying ? Cathy Woods
Could the price action reverse ? Of course, though I think the probability is not high. Hedge funds are already queuing to buy bank shares based on favourable Q1 results , a positive sign.
As usual, please DYODD
$QQQ Inverse H&S ready to GO!NASDAQ:QQQ
We’ve spotted an Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on the 1-hour chart, and we’re currently in the retest phase.
- Measured Move (MM): $483.55
- Measured Timeframe (MT): May 1st @ 7 PM
Let’s see if we can maintain momentum tomorrow and steer clear of any unexpected news or market shocks tonight.
Not financial advice
SPY/QQQ NQ/ES 29 de Abril 2025Market Outlook (QQQ / NQ Analysis)
📅 Date: April 29, 2025
🕰 Timeframe: 30-minute
📈 Asset: Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQ) / NQ Futures
📊 Gamma Reference: SpotGamma levels with Zero Gamma & Put/Call Walls
🧠 Key Levels & Price Map
Level Type QQQ Price NQ Equivalent Comment
Call Wall (3) 478 19760 / 19800 🔼 Target 6 - Bullish Exhaustion
Target Long 477 19720 🔼 Target 5
Call Wall / RB Head 475 19620 🔼 Target 4 / High Confluence
Call Wall 472 19500 🔼 Target 3
RB Bottom 470.89 — Intermediate Resistance
Put Wall (1) 470 19420 🔼 Target 2 (bullish if broken)
Fib 0.5 468.78 — Reversal Zone
Put Wall (2) 467 19340 🔽 Target 1 - Short Bias Begins
Put Wall (3) 465 19220 🔽 Target 3 - Strong Bearish Zone
📉 Gamma & Sentiment Context
Zero Gamma: At 468 – market may be more volatile below this level.
Vol Trigger: At 467 – below this level, dealers may hedge by selling, increasing downside pressure.
Put Walls: Act as potential support or reversal zones (465, 467, 470).
Call Walls: Act as resistance or bullish break levels (472, 475, 478).
🧭 Possible Scenarios
📈 Bullish Path
If price breaks above 470, next long target is 472, then 475 (high confluence with RB Head and Call Wall).
Above 475, potential acceleration toward 478–479 (high call gamma zone).
📉 Bearish Path
Rejection at 470–472 could lead to a retest of 467, then 465.
Below 465, expect a push toward 19300–19220 NQ, aligning with the lower Put Walls.
Volatility Setup Likely: VIX Breakout + QQQ Rejection = Risk Summary:
We now have alignment between two key charts:
🔹 VIX has broken major resistance with large institutional call buying
🔹 QQQ is facing trendline resistance with weakening momentum.
The setup points to a potential volatility surge + tech pullback over the next 1–3 weeks.
📉 QQQ Technical Breakdown:
QQQ is stalling under descending resistance from the February highs.
Friday’s candle closed just under the downtrend line, with volume tapering off — a classic exhaustion signal.
Multiple resistance zones cluster between 474–485, making this a high-friction zone.
RSI is rolling under 55, stalling near its last bear rejection zone.
Price is still trapped below the 100 EMA and 50 EMA, suggesting no clear bullish breakout yet.
⚠️ Key danger: If QQQ fails to reclaim 482–485, it risks reversing sharply toward 458–460, then possibly 440.
📈 VIX: Likely to Make a Big Move, Smart Money Buying Calls
As QQQ weakens, the VIX has already broken out:
Support flip at 23.50 is confirmed
Price is hovering above 25, with all short-term EMAs stacked beneath (bullish configuration)
Option flow for VIX is explosive:
$4M+ on 21C (May)
$2.2M on 22C (May)
Heavy demand at 30C (May) and 34–70C for later months
📊 Interpretation: Institutions are positioning now for a volatility event before late May — possibly driven by a tech sector retracement.
🔄 The Macro Setup:
Index Signal
VIX Bullish — breakout, EMA support, aggressive call flow
QQQ Bearish bias — resistance hold, weak volume, bearish structure
RSI (both) Neutral zone with momentum divergence forming
🎯 Trading Outlook:
Short bias on QQQ as long as it remains under 485
Long VIX exposure (direct or via calls) could be rewarded if QQQ falters
Watch May 21 and May 22 for VIX option expiries — institutions expect a move by then
📣 Final Thought:
The calm is deceptive. The breakout has already happened — just not where most are looking.
VIX is coiled and ready. QQQ is stretched and stalling.
The conditions for a volatility spike and tech pullback are in place.
✍️ Chart + flow analysis by @brownian (Far from being a financial advisor!)
📅 April 28, 2025
#VIX #QQQ #OptionsFlow #Volatility #BearishDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
QQQ Long-term Key LevelsIdentified Key levels for Long-term Holdings
Disclaimer:
The information provided on this TradingView account is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The content shared here reflects personal opinions and is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided. Use the information at your own risk.