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ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD

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$BABA Elliot Wave AnalysisExpand the chart below for more detailed analysis & levels for NYSE:BABA NFA/my opinion only... according to my work the stock is undergoing a large rounding bottom and has nearly completed a years long accumulation phase The stock has already completed Waves 1 & 2, and is currently undergoing a minor accumulation phase before Wave 3 begins and ultimately trades $120... $120 is my year end target Longer term, Wave 3 should continue into the first half of 2024. I expect NYSE:BABA to be a big winner through 2024
NYSE:BABALong
by Father_Time00
Why Alibaba the #1 investment idea in the global market.I will share an idea with Alibaba, which I consider to be the Top 1 in the global stock market. In two years (from October 2020 to October 2022), Alibaba shares suffered a catastrophic drop: from $317 to $63. Last year, we shared skepticism about China. Why now there are reasons to think that a new long-term growing trend is emerging in the largest online retailer? First, the reasons for the fall in stocks: The initial phase of the decline was associated with the deflation of the bubble in Internet companies after the prospects for getting out of coronavirus restrictions became clear; A campaign has been launched in China to strengthen state control over private Internet companies; Alibaba suffered from state "guardianship" more than others because of the personality of founder Jack Ma, who allowed himself to criticize the policy of regulators; Another headwind for all Chinese companies was the strengthening of geopolitical risks, which resulted in a real panic about a possible invasion of Taiwan in mid-2022. Foreign investors massively went to the exit; Once again, Alibaba was the main victim, as its largest shareholder, the Japanese conglomerate SoftBank, was itself under attack due to accumulated debts and a bunch of unsuccessful investments in startups, which forced it to sell off its main liquid assets. Such a rare combination of negative factors provided the perfect storm for Alibaba shares. Let's see, what grounds are there to hope that he is behind? ✔️ Alibaba has continued to grow all this time. After a 1.5-fold jump in revenue in the pandemic year 2020 to $106 billion, in 2021 it amounted to $133 billion, in 2022 due to the devaluation of the yuan in dollars. it fell to $127 billion. This year, the consensus forecast assumes revenue growth of 5%, net profit - by 25% to record levels for both indicators. Alibaba's current P/E ratio is 11.6. The company reflects cash in the amount of $112 billion on the balance sheet, so the total cost (EV) is lower than capitalization, and EV/EBITDA = 6.7. Amazon has P/E = 48, EV/EBITDA = 16. The process of strengthening state control was completed without significant losses for the largest Chinese conglomerates. Now the authorities have the main task - economic growth. The problems due to the founder are also in the past. Jack Ma did not appear in public for a long time, there was talk that he had left the country. But in March, he appeared at a meeting with students in Hangzhou, and his foundation said that Jack Ma travels a lot in China. It seems that the authorities have concluded an unspoken truce with the businessman and make it possible to reduce the monopolistic influence in the Chinese economy by allocating daughters to separate public companies. It is difficult to make your own expert opinion about geopolitical risks. As we wrote, in this matter, it is best to focus on the collective opinion of Asian (not Chinese!) investors. Fresh Goldman Sachs research shows that recently they have been investing more and more in China and do not share the pessimism of the Western media. Softbank recently announced the completion of the exit from Alibaba. Last year, he sold almost $30 billion worth of Alibaba shares, this year the balance is $7.5 billion. Alibaba increases payments to shareholders through buyback of shares. Over the past year, it has bought out of the market and repaid 4.5% of its shares (worth about $ 10 billion). It is planned to spend another $40 billion on buyback by March 2025. This rarely happens - almost every factor-minus has an argument-plus, and Alibaba shares have not yet gone far from their lows!
NYSE:BABALong
by morilka_sm
1
BABA BULLISH CONTINUATIONBABA is on a good recovery streak with, steady gain and consolidation, following a solid support line since October 22'. China's economy and development are almost recovered from the horrible decline during the multiple lockdowns and manufacturing shutdowns. The gain/consolidation we are witnessing in the last several months is having an amplitude of 10-15$ which is likely to repeat unless something dramatic happens. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NYSE:BABALong
by legacyFXofficial
SasanSeifi 💁‍♂️BABA 👉1D Hey there! Let's take a look at what's happening on the daily chart. After some minor fluctuations between the $80 and $90 price ranges, things got exciting! The price broke through the $90 resistance level and soared all the way up to $102. Then, after a small correction and a pullback to the $90 resistance level, it's now trading around $100. So, what can we expect next? Well, if the $90 price range holds up, we might see the price making its way up to the $108 and $115 supply zones. The possible trend is pretty clear. But, keep your eyes peeled! If the price dips below the support level, we could be in for some more corrections. Just keep these scenarios in mind as you analyze the market. Remember, things can always change unexpectedly, so stay flexible in your trading approach.❗ Wishing you loads of success in your trading adventures, my friend!✌ ❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️ Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help! And if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌
NYSE:BABA
by SasanSeifi
2
Alibaba's Evolution: A Struggle for Restoration and Renewed...Alibaba's Evolution: A Struggle for Restoration and Renewed Confidence Once hailed as a beacon of promise tied to China's expansive growth prospects, Alibaba finds itself navigating a complex narrative. The owner of revered e-commerce platforms Taobao and Tmall, as well as the behemoth Alibaba Cloud, the company has weathered a transformation from Wall Street's darling to a thorny challenge for investors in recent years. A series of setbacks, including the Ant Group's IPO cancellation and faltering growth, have propelled Alibaba's stock into a downward spiral, plummeting by more than 70% from its zenith at $317 per share. Responding to this predicament, Alibaba is orchestrating a significant corporate overhaul, fragmenting its structure into six distinct units. Despite these steps, further actions are necessary to course-correct the beleaguered ship. This article explores two vital domains Alibaba must address to regain investor confidence. Emerging as an e-commerce powerhouse, Alibaba's growth trajectory has expanded both vertically and horizontally, encompassing sectors like logistics, fintech, entertainment, cloud computing, and more. While the diversified business model garners applause, e-commerce remains the unequivocal core, accounting for a substantial 67% of the company's revenue in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2023. Notably, this segment contributed to the entirety of Alibaba's profits during that period, as other segments reported losses. Yet, Alibaba's foundation remains predominantly anchored in Chinese e-commerce, presenting a challenge. The flagship endeavor led by Tmall and Taobao faced a 1% revenue dip over the last fiscal year. While pandemic-related lockdowns contributed, the rise of contenders like Pinduoduo and Douyin has intensified pressure. Alibaba must undertake a transformative journey to adapt before this challenge escalates. In response, Alibaba's reorganization into six units seeks to empower each division with dedicated management, enhancing operational efficiency, market adaptability, decision-making speed, and incentive structures. This endeavor aims to resurrect the entrepreneurial spirit crucial for revitalization. Investors must grant several quarters to assess the efficacy of these newly established teams. The e-commerce segment must rekindle growth momentum, ideally surpassing industry rates. As Alibaba realigns itself, the path forward holds intrigue as it strives to recapture its competitive edge. Beyond operational excellence, capital allocation emerges as a pivotal arena requiring attention. Historically, Alibaba directed profits from its e-commerce pillar into high-growth domains like cloud computing and logistics. With autonomous subsidiaries, units now secure funding independently, easing e-commerce's burden. Alibaba's surplus cash flow beckons strategic redirection to enhance e-commerce and shareholder value. This includes judicious investment in marketing and research, amplifying competitiveness. Share repurchases and dividend policies also warrant consideration, given historically low stock valuations. Fresh ventures are plausible, but discernment is crucial. Alibaba stands poised to create shareholder value through astute capital allocation. This realm warrants vigilant investor scrutiny, given its profound impact. Once a cornerstone of China's tech landscape, Alibaba's journey has been marred by errors and external challenges that eroded investor trust. Yet, hope gleams. Alibaba's premier domains remain potent. Restoration lies in honing these for enduring value. Through corporate restructuring, the company embarks on rejuvenation. Patience is vital, awaiting the fruits of this turnaround. With renewed operations and strategic capital use, Alibaba's renaissance nears. The narrative could return to its former glory, focusing on nurturing its remarkable franchises.
NYSE:BABALong
by FOREXN1
7
ALIBABA first Golden Cross in 6 months. Buy signal.Alibaba (BABA) is completing today the first Golden Cross formation since January 23. This is a bullish medium-term pattern and along with the 1D RSI bullish trend on Higher Lows, it will most likely end with a Higher High on a 6 month basis. As you see, the price recently broke above a Channel Up pattern, so we expect an aggressive rally to the Lower Highs trend-line, similar to those rises of January 2023 and June - July 2022. Our target is 116.00, even though there is potential for a direct hit within the 1 Year Resistance Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:BABALong
by TradingShot
2
$BABA Bearish to Bottom PatternNYSE:BABA Bearish to Bottom Pattern with inverse head & shoulders pattern ready to break. The inverse head and shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern commonly observed in technical analysis of financial markets. It consists of three distinct troughs - a lower trough (the head) flanked by two higher troughs (the shoulders) on either side. This pattern suggests a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. The inverse head and shoulders pattern signifies a transition in investor sentiment, with the middle trough representing a point of extreme bearishness and the surrounding higher troughs indicating diminishing selling pressure. When the price breaks above the neckline (a level formed by connecting the highs between the shoulders), it confirms the pattern and suggests a potential upward move. This breakout is often accompanied by increased trading volume, reinforcing the likelihood of a trend reversal. Traders and analysts consider the inverse head and shoulders as a reliable indication of a market bottom and a potential opportunity to enter long positions. It is important, however, to consider other factors and indicators alongside the pattern to make informed trading decisions.
NYSE:BABALong
by AlgoTradeAlert
Waiting for Alibaba to RetraceAlibaba has been displaying strong bullish momentum in recent weeks, and it is now approaching a key resistance level. As experienced traders know, price levels with significant order concentrations often act as turning points or areas of increased buying interest. In this case, the $90 level has caught our attention due to the substantial buying volumes that were witnessed in the past. To manage risk effectively, we recommend setting a floating stop-loss just above the $90 mark. By doing so, we can protect our positions in case the price fails to hold above this level and experiences a deeper pullback. A floating stop-loss allows for flexibility, as it can be adjusted as the price moves in our favor.
NYSE:BABALong
by gudzon8884
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (‘BABA’) Shares in Alibaba Group Holding Limited (symbol ‘BABA’) incurred losses in the second quarter of around 7%. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending June 2023 is set to be released on Thursday 10th of August, before market open. The consensus EPS is $1.50 compared to the same quarter of last year at $1.40. ‘As of 31/03/2023 the company is reporting a current ratio of more than 180% showing its ability to repay short term liabilities with the current assets in hand while the total assets outweigh the total liabilities at a ratio of more than 2:1 proving the financial strength of the company at least in the short term.’ said Antreas Themistokleous, an analyst at Exness On the technical side the price is on the move to recoup the recent losses but faced sufficient resistance on the upper band of the Bollinger bands and is currently correcting to the downside. The 50 day moving average was about to cross the 100 day moving average confirming the bullish trend but the recent correction in the market has not allowed that just yet while at the same it pushed the Stochastic oscillator back to “neutral” levels. If the price manages to make a valid break below the 38.2% of the Fibonacci level around $94 then the next area of strong technical support could possibly be found around the $88 price area which consists of the 50&100 moving averages as well as the 23.6% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level.
NYSE:BABA
by Exness_Official
(BABA) 1H - Bear harmonic patterns + Negative DivergenceOn July 21, price made a successful test and re-test of the Schiff Median Line(black) and rallied to new highs. It has now printed four distinct bearish harmonic patterns. Note the overlapping PRZ's and the price rejection @ 102.43(HOP level of the .618AB=CD). I have plotted the NHR levels(purple dotted) and targets for the Crab patterns(green). I've also plotted a 0-4 Action/Reaction line set(lavender dashed). Note how the action line originating from the July top pivot has a series of six interactions with price(July 19-31). RSI is clearly showing Negative Divergence. Price action since July 28 has the appearance of a discordant 3 Drives Top pattern. The recent reaction has printed an Entry Confirmation Line(blue horizontal). The grey lines above the patterns are Harmonic Optimal Price lines associated with the patterns. Entries based off of this analysis should be made above 101.08. The ideal entry was at the interaction with the 0-4 A/R set when it occurred above the PRZ's. I would not be surprised to see a gap down tomorrow, but I am wishfully stalking for a re-test of the ECL entry.
NYSE:BABAShort
by moleman340