9455 trade ideas
The Graveyard Of Hope!The Graveyard of Hope is littered with "Buy The Dippers."
How many times can "Buy The Dippers" lick the stove before they finally learn their lesson not to believe anything Trumpchenko says?
The Elona MAGA algorithm goes like this
Over promise
Under deliver
Lie
Declare victory
Leave or Victim Blame
Meanwhile, the economy falls into an economic recession/depression abyss!
I am A political. I call it as I see it. My religion is Economics, Charts, and money. They don't lie!
Click Boost, follow, and subscribe. Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help more people navigate these crazy markets.
Don't smoke the hopium crackpipe. It will financially ruin you.
QQQ - Your guess is as good as mineMarkets are all over the place. I know ground breaking info. I don't think there is any clear answer to what is next.
Even if Trump does reduce tariffs on China, they are still going to be some of the highest in recent history. However, it looks like Trump has flinched and China has the upper hand. That is just likely going to make Trump more erratic since his policies are emotional/ego driven and not strategic.
Overall, there are likely some short-term gains to be have as the market likes to always push up when not in an panic sell. For now, the worst of the news is over and the low from the other week is likely going to be the bottom for the near future. I expect stock to continue this up and down until the tariffs work there way through the system and we see the true effect on the economy.
We punched above the 20 day SMA yesterday and will likely test it for support today and tomorrow. If it holds, I wouldn't be surprised to see prices test the 200 day. Hard to know what crazy stuff Trump will do over the weekend, so we will have to see. Good luck and enjoy the ride.
"This is fine" on Nasdaq?The general sentiment coming into this week is that the bear trend is over and "things are fine." Maybe. This morning there was a 30m opening spike on NASDAQ:QQQ I cannot ignore. It is happening right at the big Daily 50% Retracement of the leg down:
The level is even more prominent on Nasdaq futures and one can add the Volume Profile Point of Control to said level.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
Playing this with June Puts on QQQ but going to use today's high as a tight stop. We'll see what "Sell in May" brings...
QQQ, Weekly RSI has reached oversold territory just 4 other timeIt's also came at or near a long-term bottom.
If you're a long-biased trader looking for high-probability entries, this setup deserves your attention.
The weekly RSI just hit oversold territory — something that’s only happened 4 times in the last 10 years. Each of those times? It marked a major bottom or the start of a strong bullish trend.
We’re also bouncing near long-term horizontal support (~$420) and holding above a rising trendline that’s defined the bull market since 2018.
If price continues to hold this zone and RSI starts curling back up, I’ll be looking to go long.
Stop below $420. Reward-to-risk looks solid if momentum confirms.
Not calling the exact bottom — just positioning where the risk makes sense.
$QQQ Inverse H&S ready to GO!NASDAQ:QQQ
We’ve spotted an Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on the 1-hour chart, and we’re currently in the retest phase.
- Measured Move (MM): $483.55
- Measured Timeframe (MT): May 1st @ 7 PM
Let’s see if we can maintain momentum tomorrow and steer clear of any unexpected news or market shocks tonight.
Not financial advice
QQQ: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
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QQQ Ready to Rip Higher? Gamma Pressure + SMC Confirmation Align 🚀
QQQ is showing strong signs of continuation as we head into the next session. Let's break it down using both Options GEX sentiment and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) structure.
🔍 GEX Outlook (Options Sentiment)
* Highest positive NETGEX sits at the 445–448 range, acting as a magnet.
* We’ve already reclaimed the HVL support at 430, and the Options Oscillator is lighting up bullish.
* Calls make up 26.9% of the flow and GEX flipped full green, meaning market makers are likely long gamma — pushing price toward resistance.
* Resistance clusters:
* 445–448: GEX9 and 2nd Call Wall.
* 466.35 & 479.02: Target zones from price action.
💡 Options Trade Idea:
445C or 450C (0DTE–2DTE) — scalp toward the GEX magnet zone.
460C+ (Next Week) — swing if price holds above 447.8 and you want to play the extension to 466–479 range.
📈 Technical Analysis (SMC + Structure)
* MTF trend bias: 30m & 1h bullish.
* Strong bullish structure with ChoCH → BOS → rally confirmation.
* Thin volume during this leg up is a cautionary flag — be selective with entries.
* Price must hold above 447.8 to remain in bullish continuation.
* If volume steps in, this could be a session high sweep with fuel left.
* Setup: Bullish Hold
* Entry: Await confirmation near 447.8 zone.
* Target 1: 466.35
* Target 2: 479.02
* Stop: Below 441.01
🧠 My Thoughts:
This looks like a textbook GEX compression + SMC breakout alignment. MM positioning is bullish and technicals are lining up with a classic continuation pattern. However, thin volume could mean a stall or trap — I’d stay nimble, scale in on dips, and tighten stops once we push into the 455–460 zone.
Volatility Setup Likely: VIX Breakout + QQQ Rejection = Risk Summary:
We now have alignment between two key charts:
🔹 VIX has broken major resistance with large institutional call buying
🔹 QQQ is facing trendline resistance with weakening momentum.
The setup points to a potential volatility surge + tech pullback over the next 1–3 weeks.
📉 QQQ Technical Breakdown:
QQQ is stalling under descending resistance from the February highs.
Friday’s candle closed just under the downtrend line, with volume tapering off — a classic exhaustion signal.
Multiple resistance zones cluster between 474–485, making this a high-friction zone.
RSI is rolling under 55, stalling near its last bear rejection zone.
Price is still trapped below the 100 EMA and 50 EMA, suggesting no clear bullish breakout yet.
⚠️ Key danger: If QQQ fails to reclaim 482–485, it risks reversing sharply toward 458–460, then possibly 440.
📈 VIX: Likely to Make a Big Move, Smart Money Buying Calls
As QQQ weakens, the VIX has already broken out:
Support flip at 23.50 is confirmed
Price is hovering above 25, with all short-term EMAs stacked beneath (bullish configuration)
Option flow for VIX is explosive:
$4M+ on 21C (May)
$2.2M on 22C (May)
Heavy demand at 30C (May) and 34–70C for later months
📊 Interpretation: Institutions are positioning now for a volatility event before late May — possibly driven by a tech sector retracement.
🔄 The Macro Setup:
Index Signal
VIX Bullish — breakout, EMA support, aggressive call flow
QQQ Bearish bias — resistance hold, weak volume, bearish structure
RSI (both) Neutral zone with momentum divergence forming
🎯 Trading Outlook:
Short bias on QQQ as long as it remains under 485
Long VIX exposure (direct or via calls) could be rewarded if QQQ falters
Watch May 21 and May 22 for VIX option expiries — institutions expect a move by then
📣 Final Thought:
The calm is deceptive. The breakout has already happened — just not where most are looking.
VIX is coiled and ready. QQQ is stretched and stalling.
The conditions for a volatility spike and tech pullback are in place.
✍️ Chart + flow analysis by @brownian (Far from being a financial advisor!)
📅 April 28, 2025
#VIX #QQQ #OptionsFlow #Volatility #BearishDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Don't be terrified/tarrified !!! It's time to go LONG not SHORT9th April is a crucial day , imo of viewing this chart.
He was not bluffing the people as it turns out. However, after a week, the market got terrified and heads south but noticed it did not formed a lower low from 9th April candle.
25th April candle tells us it has breaks out from the resistance level and the last two days have been pretty bullish as well.
I believe the media is getting fatigue of the tariffs matter and we can see that US and China are behind the curtains "negotiating" while leaving the market guessing who really called who. That was the decoy and it is not important other than face saving. More importantly, the chart has once again convinced us that the buyers are encouraged and prove their actions by longing the market.
So whose buying ? Cathy Woods
Could the price action reverse ? Of course, though I think the probability is not high. Hedge funds are already queuing to buy bank shares based on favourable Q1 results , a positive sign.
As usual, please DYODD
Short term high QQQ tgt $434I had a great day with dowsing the highs & lows on QQQ today, and since hitting this high, I asked what's next & keep getting breakdown.
I did a week by week reading at the beginning of the month, and this week is supposed to take a bit of a dive & be "bottoming out". The weekly readings have been pretty helpful, so I hope this continues.
Anyway, this could be absolutely incorrect, but twice I've gotten a move to the downside on QQQ of around 5.6-.7%.
I also got some figures lower, but I'm not confident they are prices. They were 425-22. Sometimes numbers come that are something other than what I ask or expect, so it can get confusing. It's possible there's another little pop first, but It seems like a drop is imminent according to my work. Watch for a low on Wed./Thurs? I have lots of dates for this week including for a high today.
$QQQ - Recap of Last Week April 14-17
Last week we had a shortened Trading week because of Good Friday.
We opened the week with a gap up and got a rejection at the 30min 200MA.
++ You typically don’t want to go long at a downward facing moving average. ++
And this did play out all week. We got rejected at the downward facing 200MA on Monday, again on Tuesday.
On Wednesday we gapped down (UHC weighed on the market). Wednesday we had a big down day - closing down almost 3%
And then on Thursday we came back up but stayed underneath the 35EMA.
Thursday was the last day of the trading week, and look tat the setup we started the day with. Red 35EMA trading under the Blue 30min 200 (That was bearish)
30min 200 pointing down - that was bearish. And bear gap at the top of the implied move.
QQQ Rallying Into ResistanceQQQ Rallying Into Resistance — What’s Next After the Trump Roundtable?
I’ve been going through QQQ charts tonight and comparing the Daily and 1H timeframes side by side to map out what might come next — especially after the afternoon rally that aligned with headlines from Trump’s investor roundtable. It definitely caught attention.
Daily Chart Thoughts:
QQQ has been trending upward within a falling wedge since early April, and today’s candle closed just under the wedge resistance zone around 475–476. That level lines up with previous support-turned-resistance from March. The MACD is still pushing bullish momentum, and the Stoch RSI is cruising near overbought — signaling strength but caution at this zone. If we break above and hold, the next level I’m eyeing is the 493.50 zone. That would officially flip structure bullish.
1H + GEX Layer:
On the intraday side, today’s session really ramped after 2PM — notably when headlines about Trump’s meeting with tech and AI executives hit the wires. That sharp spike landed QQQ right into the GEX7 and GEX9 clusters, just under the 482.50 high. The Options GEX chart shows the 482 area also has 80%+ call resistance and clustering near key Gamma Walls.
Also worth noting: the options positioning is still heavy on puts (64.2%), which tells me this could be a squeeze if bulls defend the breakout above 473–475. If bulls can flip that gamma resistance at 482, we may start working toward 493 or even 500 this week — especially if the macro or political narrative continues to drive risk-on.
How I'm Thinking About the Trade:
I’m personally watching for a pullback retest of 475 or even 472. If we hold VWAP and start climbing back into the GEX zone, I’ll look to enter calls with tight stops. If this stalls under 482 and IV spikes, I’d consider selling premium or waiting for a deeper dip to reload.
Big Picture Forecast:
The Trump meeting gave bulls a jolt today, but whether that sticks will depend on follow-through volume tomorrow. If this is more than a headline pop, the Daily breakout could legitimize a broader tech rally — especially with Apple and NVDA also pushing.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal market notes and trade planning shared for educational purposes.