QQQ new lows incoming?QQQ has been consolidating in a massive rising wedge and looks set to break down from it.
Unless price can get back above previous highs, then new lows is the most likely outcome here.
I've marked off support levels on the downside that might be good opportunities to scale in on the long side.
Let's see how low we go.
9455 trade ideas
$QQQ — Bearish Setup Forming Near Highs📉 NASDAQ:QQQ — Bearish Setup Forming Near Highs
Technical Confluence:
Rising wedge structure into prior highs
RSI bearish divergence (momentum fading)
Volume steadily drying up on this recent move
Price stalling under key resistance zone (Feb–April supply)
Execution Plan:
I’ve tightened stops across swing positions
Trailing a AMEX:PSQ buy order in case of wedge breakdown
Watching for a move below ~$530 for confirmation
If triggered, downside targets:
T1: $518 (20 EMA)
T2: $496 (200 SMA)
T3: $470 (gap + structural support)
Risk View:
I’m not predicting — I’m preparing. Structure is extended, internals weakening. Staying nimble, ready for reversal or breakout invalidation.
📊 Feedback welcome
QQQ Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 529.85 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 521.53
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ - Weekly Volatility PotentialGood Morning --
Last week we reviewed the potential of the S&P 500, this week let us take a look at the potential perspective of NASDAQ:QQQ .
IV (17.97%) entering the week is trending 31% IVp on the year and has been gradually lowering as price action grinds higher and out of corrective territory -- This is +2.61% more volatile than near-term trending values of HV10 (15.36%) and only -0.57% under HV21 (18.54%), our monthly trending values.
Looking towards next week, I expect the CBOE:VIX to continually soften IV values as the broader markets push towards all-time highs this week. NASDAQ:QQQ historical values are coiling to where we will soon need a volatility spike, but not just yet -- my weekly price target here is simple (HV10 upper implied range) $539.44 with wicking potential above to monthly trends (HV21 upper implied ranges) at $541.42.
Only time will tell, we can't control the markets but we sure can manage our own risk within them. Remember to always be hedged and come back to join me next weekend as we review the charts for what happened VS our expectation!
CHEERS
QQQ NOTICE TREND LINE SUPPORT I have now started to position for the transition in the markets I have moved out of all calls again for the 4 time in 4 days each of the trades made $$ . but today is day 39 TD of the rally . And I am looking for a TOP in day 40 TD I have now moved to 40 today then 75% MOC in spy and qqq 5550 555 560 QQQ puts 2026 time zone and 650 in spy . The trendline has held rather nice to help make some nice $$ and we if bullish should now be in early wave 3 of 5 of 5 of 5 .So why buy puts NOW simple answer is It could still be wave c up for wave B or wave D. and That today is day TD39 I have posted a possible Major top due on td 40 and The spiral hold up into june 6th to 9th .I know my risks and am willing to start taking the same stand and positions as I did 11/29 12/6 and feb 18th based on the wave structure and PUT /CALL model . I am willing to This is not for all traders . But I am turning down in NYSI and the NYMO is showing buying is running out but bullish call buying is nearing the two last TOPS . I have 25 % cash and will wait for two things One put call drops to 60 on 5 day or 10 day at 65 second daily RSI is no confirmation . 3rd the qqq reaches 531/534 knowing it could extend to 541/555 and similar in sp cash or the DJI prints a .786 this is a lot but it is part of the game plan best of trades WAVETIMER
QQQ: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of QQQ right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
QQQ – Precision Setup Into June 13th, Superstitious? QQQ – Precision Setup Into June 13th (Friday the 13th, But We’re Not Superstitious)
Wavervanir International LLC | June 2, 2025
🧠 Trade Thesis
Despite the superstition surrounding Friday the 13th, our plan is simple and technically sound: wait for price to pull back into a high-probability confluence zone and strike with confidence.
🔍 Technical Breakdown (Daily Chart)
🟥 Premium Zone: $540–550. Price is currently stalling below the 0.886–1.0 Fib zone at $526–$528, showing early signs of distribution.
🟩 Optimal Entry Zone: Around $488, aligning with:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement
Prior CHoCH flip zone
Trendline + Equilibrium support
Volume node clustering
📌 "Load here, and here only" marked for a reason — this is where institutional algorithms are most likely to get involved.
📈 Target: Retest and break of strong high at $549+
📉 Invalidation: Daily close below $477 = re-evaluate structure
🔮 Probability Outlook
Pullback to $488–490 zone: 75%
Bounce to new highs: 70%
Breakdown below equilibrium: 25%
🧠 SMC Context
Recent Break of Structure confirms a bullish bias unless invalidated.
Price above equilibrium but needs a healthier retracement for continuation.
Volume declining into resistance = signs of buyer exhaustion.
📆 Key Date: June 13, 2025 (Friday)
Let’s see if this market follows the script — or throws a plot twist. Either way, we’re ready.
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust) – Premium Rejection & Gap Fill Probabili🕐 1H Chart | Smart Money Concepts | Volume: 362.69K
📍 Price: $525.82 (as of June 5, 2025)
📌 Market Context: Nasdaq-heavy ETF reacting near historical highs
🧠 Technical Outlook
🔴 Weak High formed at the Premium Zone around $530–533 — an area of prior liquidity hunts and seller reactivation
📉 BOS + CHoCH (Break of Structure + Change of Character) confirm potential short-term bearish rotation
📦 Multiple Inefficiencies / FVGs stacked below $520, with visible Gap Fill Zones targeting $510 → $490
⚖️ Equilibrium Area: $480–485, where institutional rebalancing may occur
📊 Risk Management Plan
Short Entry Zone: $526–530 (upon confirmation of weak high rejection)
Initial Target: $510 (gap fill)
Secondary Target: $485 (EQ zone)
Stop-Loss: Above $533 (invalidates the rejection thesis)
📌 Risk-Reward: Approx. 3.2R depending on entry
🔒 Position Sizing: Use no more than 1.5% of capital per trade due to macro catalysts (see below)
📈 Probabilistic Outcomes
🟢 Bearish Play (65% Probability): High likelihood of price returning to fill imbalance zones & tap EQ block
🟡 Sideways Chop (25%): If macro remains indecisive, range may form between $515–$530
🔵 Invalidation Bull Rally (10%): Break and hold above $533 invalidates this trade setup
🌐 Macro & Catalysts to Watch
📉 Semiconductor Drag: QQQ is heavily exposed to tech; semis are still underperforming YTD (–17.53%)
🛃 Trade Tensions: Rising tariffs and protectionism (China–US) may weigh on large-cap growth names
🧾 ETF Inflows: While QQQ saw +$571M inflows in early June, positioning could be crowded
💬 Upcoming Events:
FOMC rate decision (June 12)
NVDA + AAPL earnings over the next 10 trading days
🧠 Strategic Insight
Short-term liquidity has likely been swept at highs. Institutions could drive price lower to mitigate risk exposure ahead of major macro events. Expect volatility spikes near economic data releases.
🛡️ This is a tactical swing-to-intraday short opportunity with defined parameters. Trade the levels, not the hope.
#QQQ #SmartMoneyConcepts #GapFill #PremiumZone #RiskManagement #ETFStrategy #MacroTrading #LiquiditySweep #VolumeProfile #WaverVanirInternational
Swing high on QQQ?My dowsing work is suggesting today is likely a swing high in indexes and there will be a few days down from around here. The level I expect on QQQ is just under 500. I've had some numbers as far as into the 80s as well, but not expecting that this go around.
I posted my roadmap for SPY as an idea for what to expect this week, and this is playing out so far. Today would be the "look above and fail", but we need to get the fail part! If it starts, then I think the target lower is valid.
I also will mention I get the number 6. That could be price or percent. If percent it's down to 495, which makes sense. In terms of price the last swing low was at 506.... idk we'll see.
QQQ Calls 6/3 527Retest Previous week high with a Hammer candle stick in premarket
Breaks Above Mondays high
Entry at market open for $527 calls
Target Previous week demand (527)
Got out because I though price was going to reverse back after it passed 524. I need to have confidence on my Trade and really wait it out for my SL and/or TP.
QQQ – Smart Money Concepts Bearish Setup (1H Chart)Wavervanir International LLC | June 2, 2025
🔍 Chart Context:
The QQQ is currently reacting from a premium supply zone after multiple internal Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) events, showing clear signs of distribution at the top.
🧠 SMC Breakdown
Premium Zone Rejection near $521–523 was met with strong bearish reaction and high sell volume (1.22M).
Multiple BoS and ChoCH events signal institutional unloading.
Weak High formation suggests liquidity sweep followed by directional sell-off.
Current candle structure shows an intent to revisit demand zones below.
📊 Liquidity & Target Zones
First imbalance (FVG) zone at $507–510 is likely to get mitigated.
Second key zone aligns with Equilibrium near $487–490, offering the next logical magnet.
A deeper liquidity pool exists at $465–470, consistent with institutional fill behavior.
🧩 Macro View
Tech-heavy indexes underperforming recently amid shifting Fed expectations.
U.S. 10Y yields climbing and sticky inflation may pressure QQQ's valuation multiples.
NQ/QQQ divergence from breadth suggests fragility at the highs.
📈 Trade Idea
📌 Bearish Bias Active
🎯 Short Entry: $517–519 (on any lower timeframe mitigation or retrace)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $523 (invalidates supply)
✅ Target 1: $507
✅ Target 2: $490
🚨 Extended Target: $467
Probability:
Bearish Continuation: 70%
Reclaim Premium Zone: 30%
💬 Call to Action:
Monitor volume + liquidity interaction near the mid-level FVG. If downside accelerates with confirmation from NQ divergence, we could see a cascade to equilibrium or even deeper. Risk-manage with volatility in mind.
#QQQ #NASDAQ #SmartMoneyConcepts #VolumeProfile #MarketStructure #TechStocks #LiquidityZones #TradingView #WavervanirAnalysis
Safe Entry Zoneafter Rejection from the Resistance 4h Red Zone.
we have 4h and 1h Green Zone as Strong Support levels.
Note: Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
QQQ: RetraceWith the rising wedge pattern forming on QQQ, I think we see a retrace to the MAs and the previous resistance at 493 to fill the gap. We have seen a huge bounce and I think we'll see some profit taking up here near the highs. The RSI has also become overbought as well, so I expect a retrace in the next couple of months.