9455 trade ideas
Opening (IRA): QQQ September 20th 430 Short Put... for a 4.34 credit.
Comments: Adding a rung out in Sept at the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging Into the Q's. I already have rungs on in June, July, and August ... .
Will naturally back-track into shorter duration if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Opening (IRA): QQQ July 21st 380 Short Put... for a 3.90 credit.
Comments: Starting to tip-toe into Q3 (July/August/September) contracts in broad market (IWM, SPY, QQQ). Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
As usual, will look to sell in shorter duration on weakness, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
✏️ Weekly Report: Volatility makes Cash the King againGENERAL COMMENTS
Today, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates unchanged, highlighting the ongoing challenges in curbing inflation. Initially, this announcement propelled the markets upwards, but a sharp downturn occurred in the final hour, leading to a decline as the day concluded.
The erratic market behavior demonstrated today makes it increasingly challenging to maintain positions in momentum stocks, and the majority of this quarter's earnings reports have been underwhelming. This situation underscores the strategy that cash remains paramount, complemented by selective, quick trading opportunities, as depicted in the following charts.
I will begin tonight's chart analysis with the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ).
NASDAQ:QQQ
The Qs are forming a bearish formation. What is worrying is that this is below the 50D Simple Moving average. As trading is a probabilities game, we can conclude that this leads to probabilities being lower that we continue to the downside. However, the direction of the general market indexes are very well influenced by the fundmental story of the economy health.
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NASDAQ:SMTC
SMTC is up $4 from the $33 Buy Point (alerted in previous versions of this idea - go and check. Believe and Follow). This peaked yesterday with about +20% profit since the alert last week. Of course the way I manage this is never to let this to turn into a loss. My general go to tool is to take half here.
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NASDAQ:KLAC
KLAC fell back to $687 after missing earnings. This of course stopped me out - but at no loss, since I move stopped up to break-even.
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NASDAQ:SMCI
The stock missed its earnings and suffered a severe reaction of a gap down and drop -20% on the intraday.
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NASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA slashed below the 50D SMA and this stopped me out. Waiting and watching this TML during its base building period.
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NYSE:GS
Up $7 from the $419 buy point with stop raised to $416 just in case.
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NYSE:CRM
CRM is prone to go lower if the market continues falling. A break below $266.50 is great place to short.
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NYSE:LLY
Gapped up on good earnings. The next technical buy point is $801 accommodated with heavy volume.
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NASDAQ:MRNA
Earnings are due out tomorrow. If earnings are good then zooming through the $116 on good volume is a great technical buy point
$QQQ Bear Flag to the 200DMANASDAQ:QQQ Bear Flag to the 200DMA
Do in last night’s video I went over this in much more detail, but before I take the bear flag off of my chart I want to publish it to see how it plays out. And the bear flag also looks like the handle to an inverted cup and handle. 200DMA is a very real target.
NASDAQ breaking below YTD supportUS stocks, led by mega cap tech companies and the NASDAQ writ large, started 2024 on a hot streak. But as momentum slowed, an arc pattern supporting the market became clear, only to be decisively broken. Analysis of key support and resistance levels provides price targets for the coming weeks.
QQQ Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 414.64
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 423.93
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
✏️ Weekly Report: "Buy in May and Stay"?MARKET OVERVIEW
The stocks had a good turnaround after a strong report from $NASDAQ:KLAC. NASDAQ:MSFT Also posted strong earnings!
Could the famous saying "Sell in May and go away" turn to "Buy in May and Stay"?
Lets review some charts.
NASDAQ:QQQ
The Qs snapped back after strong earnings. Now it looks like we are heading for the 50D SMA
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NASDAQ:KLAC
Up $19 from the $687 buy point that I shared in previous idea ( see related ideas below )
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NASDAQ:NVDA
Mentioned it in previous idea ( see related ideas below ) before it skyrocketed $51. Could consider here or a little bit lower if it consolidates.
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NASDAQ:SMTC
Up $2 from the $33 buy point mentioned last week on the idea. Potential add point is the $35ish level.
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NASDAQ:META
We warned about META, what we are seeing is that buyers are stepping in on Friday and Thursday to support it. For the aggressive traders could play a snap back but personally, I would pass.
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NASDAQ:MSFT
MSFT snapped and squatted lower. Consolidation around the 50D SMA would present a good opportunity for a buy. Before that I would pass.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Nothing to do on Bitcoin but wait during the base building period is over