Similar Topping pattern to Jan 2022Retracement back to ~527 and then lower leg down to >500. Following a similar pattern to the Jan 2022 top -> a failed breakout higher, 50-60% retracement, than lower leg.
9455 trade ideas
QQQ Thrives Amidst Trump Administration's UnpredictabilityQQQ still bullish amid all of the chaos of Trump's first few weeks. Friday saw a high that was just a touch shy of a new ATH. Next week will give us a good idea what the future is, if we pull back we may be seeing a double top if you are bearish or we could make a new ATH and power on higher with bulls in control.
2/21/25 - $qqq - Pls read this and comment2/21/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ
Pls read this and comment
- i put my Schiff on the table
- guys. i'm working with a really wonky thesis and i need some comments, let's debate this
"the market has mostly crashed already"
- this has been a pretty asynchronous crash. aapl, nvda, msft... meta held the tape for a record period... they all are taking turns keeping vol in check
- and then under the surface, we have EPS reports and this has been the weirdest thing i've ever traded, experienced in 30 years. i have never felt like i'd just want to trade ex post dips and avoid necking out at all (with VERY few exceptions hello UBER and NXT- thank gawd for you :)
- so the thinking is, we're in an asynchronous crash. everything INCLUDING MAG7 is down 15-50% from the let's say last 6 months peaks. and so the index has managed vol. the machines. our overlords. whatever.
- so maybe we "crush" 5% from here. 10%? dude 10% is a thing of the past. i dumped my TQQQ puts today. i didn't expect them to cash. just insurance against my mega positions (which has become somewhat singular. nx-faking-t. nextracker NASDAQ:NXT )
- but let's get this real. are we getting gaslighted into a crash incoming when we're literally in the middle of it. new coronavirus BS coming out of "wuhan" we believe that chit again. come on. ppl. take off that N95, touch grass... think. think.
- am i going nuts? usually i'm the guy that goes nuts first. rings the bells. i'm lonely thinking this. tell me WHY i'm wrong if you disagree. i genuinely want to debate this.
- i'm picking winners here. getting situated in the non momo BS that has reported gains, generates cash, attractively valued.
- nxt HUGE size
- obtc, get the king at a 10% discount (use limits)
- uber
- glob (short term swing b/c OTD cucks gonna cuck didn't expect to trade or own this, but here i am, cleaning you all up)
- tsm
some others stuff.
but honestly. i'm here. i'm typing this. that's 90% of success. God. family. friends.
the rest are details.
be well. we'll crush it.
but if we read this tape right...
V
Nasdaq Wants HigherPutting aside my personal beliefs on the current state of the economy (bad inflation and job figures for January combined with looming potential tariffs), The Nasdaq tape reads very bullish breaking out of this tight wedge formation (blue), if it can hold this breakout and continue to move upward, I believe we have a nice bull rally play to go long.
QQQ Trading Analysis: Entry Points & Profit TargetsFor QQQ, several potential entry points have been identified at the levels of 511, 504, 495, and 492. These levels may serve as strategic opportunities for initiating positions based on recent market observations. Once entered, the corresponding profit targets are projected at 524, 532, and 540+, offering multiple exit points as the market progresses.
Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing carry inherent risks, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
QQQ support & resistant areas for today Feb 25, 2025So these are the support and resistant points for QQQ. Bounce off on these areas can initiate long or short positions.
If yall want me to post this every morning 9.30am please boost and follow me, so i know it is valuable for yall.
$QQQ - Analysis Key Levels and Targets for Feb 25
NVDA earnings plus the recent sell off and outflow give us a pretty wide trading range revolving around the 50 day MA.
That’s all I’m writing today and let’s go over it in tonights video.
Make sure to grab this chart (button just under the chart that says "Grab this chart" and let’s gooo…
$QQQ - ALL the way to the bottom of the Implied Move.
Good Morning, y’all. I lost my voice (more like a sore throat, I feel fine otherwise but a sore throat so doing the charts on here today)
Yesterday - QQQ opened with a pop uptown open and got smacked down by the 30min 200MA, back under the 1hr 200 and the 50 Day all the way down to the bottom of the implied move, then back up and got smacked by the 1hr back under the 50DAY moving average.
We closed just underneath the bottom of the implied move for the day.
Great volatility and all on the red side.
We are quite oversold here - maybe a fight for the 20 day moving average. Also note that the 50 Day moving average is facing down here now and the 35EMA has slipped underneath the 30min 200.
QQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 022425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 527/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
QQQ support & resistant areas for today Feb 24, 2025So these are the support and resistant points for QQQ. Bounce off on these areas can initiate long or short positions.
If yall want me to post this every morning 9.30am please boost this, so i know it is valuable for yall.
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 24
50 Day moving average and 1hr 200MA underneath us. That’s a nice reinforced support level.
At least on the day.
Bottom of the implied move today is 520
That is a level on the day - and the next support is 513
Don’t forget to grab the chart and let’s go….
QQQ Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* QQQ had a sharp breakdown from 537-540 and is now consolidating near 525.98.
* Support Levels:
* 523.00 (current price zone, minor support).
* 520.00 (strong put wall, major downside risk if broken).
* 515-510 (critical support levels with heavy put positioning).
* Resistance Levels:
* 532.51 (POC, key level for recovery).
* 537.23 (VAH, strong resistance).
* If QQQ loses 520, a further decline to 515-510 is likely.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 532.51 → High liquidity, key resistance level.
* Value Area High (VAH): 537.23 → Strong rejection area.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 526.00 → Must hold for potential rebound.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish, confirming downward momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold, but no confirmation of a reversal yet.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 545-550 → High gamma resistance, unlikely to be breached soon.
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 520 → Highest Negative NETGEX & Major Put Support.
* 515-510 → Critical put walls—if broken, QQQ could see a major sell-off.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 25 | IVx Avg 22.7 → Moderately elevated volatility.
* Put Positioning 73.7% → Heavy bearish sentiment, increasing downside risk.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 523 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 520.00 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 515-510 (Put Wall Breakdown Level).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 528 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 525/515 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 525P/510P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 528-532, targeting 537+.
🔹 Target 1: 532.51 (POC, first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 537.23 (major resistance).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 523 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 510/505 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 528+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 520, strong gamma exposure can push QQQ lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
$QQQ Recap of Last Week Feb 18-21
Last week we started the week with a run to make new ATH’s and then a drop back down to the 50DMA.
New ATH’s on Wednesday and then a gap down Thursday. Watch that red signal line Thursday going into Friday - clear resistance (at the red arrows)
We saw resistance at the 35EMA and the red signal line and we dropped all the wan down to the 50DMA.
We stayed within the implied move all days expect for Friday.
$QQQ Support and Resistance Areas?QQQ had a big bearish candle on Friday. If you look left on the chart there were 2 comparable recent days. On Dec 18, 2024, and Jan 7, 2025, both lead to further downside. On Dec 18, the decline before a rally was about 5.3% and the Jan 7 decline was around 4.9%. Friday’s decline was about 2.4%. “If” those declines are any guide, we could expect another 2.5% to 3% additional deterioration. Which portends a pullback to around 512 to 510. Think of those as areas of concern, not a prediction. I have also drawn in horizontal lines that “may” become areas of support or resistance. In addition, we are touching an area of upward sloping line (area) that has defined a series of higher lows over the last 4 weeks.
In summary, it is a good idea to have an open mind about any outcome over the next few days to weeks and simply look at these areas to see if they do indeed end up being turning points.
One more point, this is an index fund and as such looks at heavily weighted stocks. We are likely in a period of picking individual stocks that are leading and using this index simply as a guide to overall market health.
I hope that helps.
QQQ directional change possible, double top?See text box on chart.
It's going to be a tough year to determine direction. Lot's of see-saws likely due to new administration with lots of extreme policy changes. Trade smaller than usual, longer trends are less likely to develop, as opposed to the last 18 months.
2/12/25 - $qqq - Welp. I'm short.2/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ
Welp. I'm short.
- Back to 45% cash, i only like what i like and i've written about the names i would *like* to see get a bit of a beta-related-risk-off dump so i can put it back in at better pxs, CRYPTOCAP:BTC (thru OTC:OBTC ), NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:UBER and $tsm.
- but look, i've written extensively about what concerns me here on the sequencing related to index, flows etc. so i won't rehash the message. the short here on Q's is nuanced and a bit more than a hedge, i'm defn calling BS.
- inflation leading indicators coming down. growth slowing. no print just yet. EPS prints in rear view and guidance has been mostly sucking w/ a few exceptions, so you see EPS this year being revised lower, multiples reflexively too... it takes time guys... the market isn't as fast as you'd imagine... and stock px drain as 10Y higher, DXY stronger and *surprise* for the moment, cash aint trash.
- so, do we go higher before some reset (and not a crash, those aren't allowed, remember). god knows. but seeing the mkt risk off on today's print tells me (similar to nvda) that market makers and by extension, flows... probably offsides and this wk expires need some help.
- DOGE is deflationary. Team orange can take a victory and "blame" brandon for mistakes if/when dip and call/ protest al sharpton style "rates r too dayum high" once this mini risk off occurs. and then march lows... april new year (do you know why they call it april fools day? look it up... jan 1 isn't really the new year if you're in the klub - which i'm not and will never be)... and we r off to the brrr and higher highs this year.
but everyone wants to extrapolate. nobody can handle the 1% draw downs. buckle up butter cups. if YTD has been tough for you, you're NGMI.
be prepared for all scenarios. hope for the best, plan for the worst. we're in the risk mgmt business, first and foremost.
V
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 21
Today’s Trading range keeps us above the 30min 200MA.
We closed above the 35EMA, and that should always be the first level to watch. Support around 533-543
We do have a down gap just underneath ATH’s - watch that for resistance.
Nice 10$ spreads naturally today.
Red signal line to start, 35EMA still high above the 30min 200
Have fun today, y’all
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 20
Not a terribly difficult trading range today.
ATH’s above us, 35EMA below, bottom of the implied move 535
Bearish divergence in strength. 30min 200MA likely on deck
Pretty bullish setup overall but overbought and bearish divergence. Low volume too which is driving me crazy but we don’t seem to get any sell off volume.
The 1hr 200MA is underneath the 50DMA (which is the 2hr 200MA) and that is a hidden bearish signal.
Q's w/ Resisting PressureNo this is not a top call, but this is not the r/r to be taking new longs.
Trends can stay long overbought before correction but data points to a breather on the horizon for tech and the Qs.
Selling CCs, Buying puts, etc.. to offset some delta is wise at this stage in the daily cycle.
The market breadth is about neutral as it gets which could be argued to either side.
Elliott Wave View: Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) Extending HigherNasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) has broken to new all-time high suggesting the right side remains firmly bullish. The rally from 1.27.2025 low is in progress as a 5 waves with extension (nest). Up from 1.27.2025 low, wave 1 ended at 531.52 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 507.5. The ETF has extended higher in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 532.10. Pullback in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave (w) ended at 521.56, and wave (x) ended at 530.36. Wave (y) lower ended at 521.32 which also completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree.
The ETF has resumed higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 530.72 and pullback in wave ii ended at 527.22. Wave iii higher ended at 541.28 and pullback in wave iv ended at 536.04. Expect wave v to complete soon which should end wave (i) in higher degree. The ETF should then pullback in wave (ii) to correct cycle from 2.12.2025 low before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 521.32 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 19
ATH’s and 35EMA are in the trading range. That’s it.
Well at the Very bottom is the previous resistance that we broke above.
Red signal line here down below.
Let’s go
