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GDR1! trade ideas

2024-05-13 - a daily price action after hour update - gold Good Evening, I hope you had a great weekend and you are well. overall market comment Very slow and range bound trading day in most markets, so only a short update today because my nothing in my weekly premise changed today. gold comment: Market is forming a triangle and since we are near the low, bulls are expected to buy it above 2312 to not make lower lows and trade it back up to around 2370ish. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2300 - 2400 bull case: Bulls need to keep it above 2312 and trade back up inside the triangle for target 2370ish which is also today’s high and near the breakout level from one month ago. First target is a break of the 1h 20ema around 2350, small pullback to form a higher low and then a bull channel up to 2370. Pattern could probably play out until CPI release on Wednesday. bear case: If bears are strong, they would print below 2310 tomorrow to make many bulls doubt this will retest the highs above 2400 again. If they could manage that, their next target would be 2300 and there is bulls last hope for not a big bear trend down to 2050 over the next weeks. Invalid above 2355. short term: Sideways to up - Got the expected pull-back which was deeper than I thought. Now probably back up again. medium-long term: Still no better opinion on this to be honest. I don’t like to get into the speculations why the Gold price is where it is. I have been saying that the market was very unusual over the last 2 months to say the least. It would not surprise me, if we just continue the selling all the way back to 2100 and lower. —unchanged trade of the day: The bear channel was pitch perfect and held all day. 15m or 1h 20ema were also a nice guides for initiating or adding to shorts.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
Gold Futures Day Trading Analysis 📋Gold Futures, it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 2343. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. The S/R zone from the past and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
COMEX:GC1!
by Trader_Dale
Dxy and gold5.10.24 This video focuses on reading price action and patterns mostly on the dxy but then we took a look at gold which is a bullish market. I will try to do a video on Saturday to look at silver which I didn't get to on the video. I'm not not so sure we're at this point yet but at some point if the metals keep on going higher the silver is going to go a lot higher perhaps as a bear trap. there's some very experienced professional guys out there they talk about this on YouTube and they will tell you how the professionals will try to keep the silver down because it's an easier market to control than the dollar.... and in the meantime they're buying one of the precious metals.... and they might even be trading the physical market and you don't necessarily see that on the futures.
COMEX:GC1!
by ScottBogatin
2024-05-09 - a daily price action after hour update - gold Good Evening and I hope you are well. Gold comment: Strong buying today and bulls made a higher low and higher highs. Please have a look at my chart, which contains my next best guess on what could happen. 2375ish has enough targets to be a magnet above but I don’t think we can get there without a pull-back. A retest of 2448 is still very possible. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2300 - 2400 bull case: The 4h tf looks easy but bears got deep pull-backs today. Bulls completed a 3 push pattern upwards and I expect a two-legged correction before we try higher again. Invalid below 2320. Targets above are 2360 and 2375ish above. bear case: It’s still inside a big trading range and market is two sided, despite the higher prices. Bears selling new highs and making money, so don’t just stop that. As long as bears keep this below 2365, it’s a lower high inside this large bull flag from the ath 2448. Bears targets are trading below 1h 20ema 2333 and then retest 2313 and then break out of the bull channel again. Invalid above 2380. short term: Sideways to up - expecting a smaller pull-back before another try to break 2370. medium-long term: Still no better opinion on this to be honest. I don’t like to get into the speculations why the Gold price is where it is. I have been saying that the market was very unusual over the last 2 months to say the least. It would not surprise me, if we just continue the selling all the way back to 2100 and lower. trade of the day: Big breakout before US session above 2330, retest down to 2320 on smaller time frames and then a perfect buy signal after the retest. Breakout → Pull-back → long/short (continuation of breakout) are very strong and reliable patterns.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
GOLD NEXT MOVE..... 09.05.2024As we witnessed gold price failed to hold ground and got rejected multiple times from the resistance region of 2335.00 to 2342.00 to 2310.00 area. On chart it is clearly visible that price is heading to test the green support zone of 2278.00 to 2288.00 where SMA 200 also provides an additional support. Bullish trend is valid till the price of Gold is stable above the demand zone/support zone of 2278.00 to 2288.00. Breach of that region and stability below will send the prices to retest 2249.00 to 2259.00 initially.
COMEX:GC1!
by mohsinhassan242
Can the HOUSE CAPITALIZE on a HIGH PROBABLE SHORT from GOLD...?COMEX:GC1! "Excellence is not a singular act but a habit. You are what you do repeatedly." -Shaquille O'Neal Yo Family I hope all is well. Here i'm going to lay out a few different reason why we may be able to CAPITALIZE SHORT this week on GOLD... This is what we do and we highly skilled at it too... Let's vibe out!! I study the DXY very very closely as it trades against GOLD hence XAU/USD... Being that the DXY has mitigated Discounted Demand Levels I believe the Job has been completed by sellers and now buyers are ready to drive the price of the Dollar back up... With that being said I believe that GOLD is going to DROP if the DXY is going to RISE IMO>>> On Tuesday of last week, April 30th on the Daily TF, Bear Candle Stick price opened up at ($2347.6) and sellers aggressively pushed price down 508 pts and closed @ ($2296.2). The next day Buyers bought the price back up and were unsuccessful at breaking Resistance level ($2340.0) and were met with aggressive sellers yet again who clearly were dominate in the stronger hand & pushed the price for gold down even further... We Are trading now trading underneath the eR/LQ trendline and underneath the RED V-Wap... Major KEY NOTE on the Weekly TF we have a HUGE Inside Bar/ Indecision candle before the huge bulls candles to the upside that has yet to be mitigated.... SO this is where I believe sellers are interested in pushing price back down into, pricing around ($2247.5 to $2171.0) EQ level ($2209.5)... Lets stay focused and watch very very closely for a LTF confirmation entry SHORT!!! I will keep constant update as the market opens back up and price develops... Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently... Let's Step!! Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!! #BHM500K #NewERA #Champions
COMEX:GC1!Short
by TreyHighPwr
Gold Futures are looking for a catalyst for a breakoutTechnical Momentum Weakens Gold Futures hit an all-time high in 2024 at $2,448 on the June futures contract on April 12. Since then, futures have corrected; however, gold remains firmly above the rising 50-day moving average at $2,269 and well above the 200-day moving average at $2094. The technical perspective shows momentum studies declining, with the 9-day moving average trading above the 18-day. Stochastics are rising from oversold territory, and DMI - slightly above DMI+ , indicating that the bears are technically in control. Tailwinds Continue to Develop With a 9% chance of a June rate cut, according to the CME's FedWatch tool, traders are focused on September; swaps are pricing in a 65% chance that the Fed will make its first interest rate hike in the cycle. Geopolitical tensions, rampant fiscal spending, and central bank buying have been the main drivers and have significantly propelled Gold prices recently. Industrial Metals Strengthen Performance remains strong in the Precious Metals space and has continued to spill into the industrial complex. Traders continue to monitor manufacturing, Chinese Economic data, and the U.S. economy. www.tradingview.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:GC1!
by Phil_Blue_Line
1
GOLD: 8 May, 2024© Master of Elliott Wave Analysis: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M The broader context suggests that wave (iv)-purple may have bottomed out at 2285.2, allowing wave (v)-purple to unfold upwards. The short-term outlook suggests that wave ((1))-red recently reached a peak, and wave ((2))-red is unfolding to push lower. Subsequently, wave ((3))-red will return to begin its upward process. Specifically, pushing above the level of 234.19 would confirm this view. Invalidation point: 2285.2
COMEX:GC1!Long
by ShaneHua
Israel raids Rafah, risk aversion heats up and gold is ready to Israel suddenly launched an air strike on Rafah, and nearly 100,000 people began to evacuate. On the night of the 6th, the war in the Middle East escalated again. Geographical risks have been the focus of global attention in the past two years. Since the outbreak of the Ukraine-Russia war and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, risk aversion has been ignited. This time, Israel escalated the war again. The main reason was that the negotiations between the two parties failed and their respective needs were not met. In addition, the United States supported Israel and held a veto power, making the situation more and more complicated. In addition, the United States cannot protect itself. Last year, the interest on U.S. government bonds was nearly US$900 billion, which was more than twice the average level over the past decade. Now, the average yield on U.S. bonds exceeds 4%. In the past two years, the yield on U.S. bonds has hit a 20-year high, and a large amount of money has chosen to purchase fixed-income financial products. In the first two months of this year, the U.S. Congress is expected to pay $327 billion in interest payments. In March alone, the interest on U.S. debt was nearly $90 billion, claiming to be $2 million per minute. As we all know, federal interest rates are high, and the cost of U.S. debt financing has increased. The United States originally relied on borrowing money to survive, but now even interest payments have become a problem. Every year when the fiscal deficit occurs, some creditor countries of the United States have already begun to worry or doubt whether the United States still has the ability to pay. Some people may say, wouldn't it be enough to just open up India? This idea is not only funny, but also naive. This matter must be approved by Congress. Moreover, a large amount of QE monetary easing will continue to intensify inflation. If there is too much money in the market, prices will rise too fast. The purpose of raising interest rates is because of the Federal Reserve's unlimited quantitative easing in 2020, which has led to this. Therefore, it is not simply that there is no money in hand and the money printing machine is running overnight. If it is that simple, then every country can do this. Once the balance is not good, there will be a chain reaction. Paul Volcker is an example. , the fear of lowering interest rates is a rebound in inflation. In the golden hour, yesterday's market fluctuated at a high level and fell sharply in early trading. However, the European market broke through the high point in the morning and has been trading sideways near 2320. The strong sun on the daily line also laid the foundation for the subsequent rise. However, it should be noted that this kind of rise will be confirmed by stepping back, and the following attention will be around 2315-2313. Today, you can do more in the 2322-2320 area, just defend at 2310, focus on the high point of 2330 above, and focus on the 2338-2342 area as the target.
BIST:XAUUSD1!Long
by cdfxcdfx
Bearish flag TF15 Gold trading Swing ShortI observed a bearish flag pattern on the 15-minute timeframe (TF15) for gold trading. After noticing the price break below the lower boundary, I entered a short position during the first pullback, targeting significant resistance for a short swing trade. On the 4-hour chart (TF4), one can also consider shorting based on the price pattern illustrated in the provided picture. For taking profits, it is advisable to set target levels at support or utilize Fibonacci retracement levels to determine exit points.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by FU2024
How to Define Gold's Trend?Gold (June) / Silver (July) Gold, last week’s close: Settled at 2308.6, down 1.0 on Friday and 38.6 on the week Silver, last week’s close: Settled at 26.69, down 0.139 on Friday and 0.845 on the week Gold and Silver futures turned higher upon China’s open last night at 8:00 pm CT. It is important to remember China was on holiday late last week, which means a lack of response to the U.S. news, including the strength in the Japanese Yen due to the BoJ’s intervention. Overall, we were very surprised by the lack of response in precious metals to the softer-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls report and weak ISM Services data. One may point to ISM Services Prices surging as a headwind, but we view Prices as a lag to the index. Technically, we must see Gold chew through Wednesday’s Fed high, major three-star resistance at 2338-2339.5, and hold out above here in order to move towards beginning to neutralize the damage from the rollover early last week. Silver has cleared that Fed high and pinged settlement from last Monday, just prior to its rollover last week, at 27.66 this morning. It will be imperative for the bulls to continue to bid this rally attempt and set the tone for the week ahead. More broadly, Gold’s daily chart can be considered constructive and building out a bull flag from its mid-April peak, the coming days will be critical in continuing to form such a pattern. Bias: Bullish/Neutral Resistance: 2338-2339.5***, 2347.7***, 2353-2358.9***, 2364.4-2367*** Pivot: 2330.7 Support: 2322.9-2325.3***, 2312.7-2314.5**, 2300.6-2305.8**, 2291.5-2296.2**, 2281.8-2285.2***, 2257.1***, 2246.6***, 2231.2-2238.2**** Silver (July) Resistance: 27.66-27.76***, 27.91-27.93**, 28.02-28.22*** Pivot: 27.44 Support: 27.15-27.28***, 27.01**, 26.89-26.91**, 26.65-26.69***, 26.17-26.30****, 25.89-25.95**, 25.32-25.47*** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:GC1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
202419 - a weekly price action market recap and outlook - goldgold futures Quote from last week: bear case: Given the bullish climactic nature of the last 2 months, some correction is on order but bears need follow through below 2300 for a retest of the breakout around 2250. On the daily chart, this too is a two legged correction but it’s looking much less bearish, because we are still around the lower bull wedge line. Monday or Tuesday will give a clear direction for the next move. Measured move from the most recent sell-off is exactly the low of W2 around 2180. current market cycle: Inclined to say trading range until clear break below 2290. key levels: 2290 - 2350 bull case: Bulls keeping this around the daily 20ema and continue to make 2290/2300 support. As long as it holds, we could see another push to retest the highs above 2400. Their next target is a close above the ema at 2330 and above that is 2360 as next resistance. Invalid below 2290. bear case: Price action last week could very well have been part of the W2 and W3 could start now but the more we go sideways the less influence the most recent sell-off has. outlook last week: “Neutral until clear break of the given range.” → Last Sunday we traded 2347 and now we are at 2308. Good read of the market. short term: Neutral until clear break of the given range. —unchanged medium-long term: Still no better opinion on this to be honest. I don’t like to get into the speculations why the Gold price is where it is. I have been saying that the market was very unusual over the last 2 months to say the least. It would not surprise me, if we just continue the selling all the way back to 2100 and lower. Chart update: Removed the two legged correction in favor of the bear thesis and added an alternative bullish correction upwards. Preferred path is the red one.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds