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HSI1! trade ideas

28/9/2022 PlaybookHKEX:HSI1! Pivot: 653 #marketprofile #volumeprofile #orderflow #chartanalysis #chartporn ***** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this newsletter as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this newsletter, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.
HKEX:HSI1!
by sherlou_0505
Hang Seng Index - Off the cliff...No good news at all as the HSI drove off the cliff... The weekly chart shows that two weeks ago, the support was broken, and all technical indicators are bearish. The Fibonacci projections put the downside target at 14,600. A very substantial downside burn. Only green shoot observed is a possible bullish divergence forming... The daily chart shows the accentuated off the cliff type of slide down. It is a little dramatic and should be looking for some consolidation around the 16500 level.
HKEX:HSI1!Short
by Auguraltrader
23/9/2022 PLAYBOOK#marketprofile #volumeprofile #orderflow #chartanalysis #chartporn $HSI ***** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this newsletter as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this newsletter, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.
HKEX:HSI1!
by sherlou_0505
2
21/9/2022 PLAYBOOKAbove 676, target 762/824 Below 570, target 517/487/404 #marketprofile #volumeprofile #orderflow #chartanalysis #chartporn $HSI ***** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this newsletter as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this newsletter, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.
HKEX:HSI1!
by sherlou_0505
20/9 PM Update20/9 Update: Heavy rejection within this Friday's Excess area; Acceptance within this area favors bulls to regain control/ for rally continuation. ***** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this newsletter as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this newsletter, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.
HKEX:HSI1!
by sherlou_0505
20/9/2022 Playbook#marketprofile #volumeprofile #orderflow #chartanalysis #chartporn HKEX:HSI1! *** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this post as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this post, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.
HKEX:HSI1!
by sherlou_0505
Still short on Chinese Equities Despite the numerous stimulus by the Chinese government, HSI's previous rally seemed to be short lived. This is in fact, align with my expectations. Reason because: 1. Continuous lock-downs/fears of lockdowns. No one will know when will the city go into lockdown, putting all production etc on hold. 2. Investors' confidence. Despite the credit stimulus, it seems like it is not really helping the demand in the property market. My expectation is however, to go long on Chinese Equities at 18117. And I am expecting this to be around the end Oct-Early Nov period after the china politburo meeting whereby we could possibly expect the following: 1. Even more stimulus. It seems that the Chinese can withstand further rate cuts but they might not be willing to do so to ensure the stability of the yuan. 2. Ease of quarantine measures. However, point 2 in my opinion, might not have that huge of an effect as expected. Reason being: 1. There is no flights to Mainland China. However, we might expect more flights to Mainland China after the meeting 2. There is still chance of massive lockdowns despite the one that happened in Shanghai earlier this year.
HKEX:HSI1!Long
by TraderXR
1
HSI Prediction Scenario 2This would be the second scenario of my HSI prediction. HSI is in downtrend, but based on its MACD divergence, HSI might have chances to go up and touch the downtrend line in short. I predict it might be in the middle of September as all the midterm financial reports of the company have been released. And it falls again from the pressure line and touch the 18400 (the support level) and bounce one more times as shown. Please feel free to let me know your thoughts HKEX:HSI1!
HKEX:HSI1!Short
by Money_Turtle
3
15-19/8 weekly Playbook Overall, $HSI remains cautious until heavy-weighted names earnings release. Therefore, I expect $HSI will continue tight range bound between Monday and Wednesday. Of note, I want to see how the price reacts around the 2H belt as it entered the belt. Price scenario: Open/bid above 20078-096, build up time/volume, would test these 20230s area and see if the sellers are still there. If we do manage to break higher, would tgt 20500 and 20633 along the way. 192-230 would be reasonable targets for longs. If this 20230s area fails, then can revert all the way lower and test 19455. Open/offer below 20000, want to test 19873/842/825. Below this we’re more than likely going to tgt this 760-600 weekly low volume area where I expect responsive buying. On the way lower would look at 549/519/440 for support. Depending on the action, if I dont see strong reaction from sellers prior to hitting this 760-600 area, I think we can bounce and test 20167 and 20236.
HKEX:HSI1!
by sherlou_0505
Belt STILL rejected HSI!Last week HKEX:HSI1! rallied to 20300 previous week low volume area then got sold off towards 19450-ish, previous daily excess, where seller couldn't find traction. Buyers stepped in and ended OTFD and created three sessions of OTFU into 20300-ish and again got rejected, which left weekly OTFD continued. Looking ahead, with the Belt, aka @spacemanbtc creation, getting lower, I expect STFR mode still in play, unless the low volume area is taken out. Bullish case: IMO, buyers in control as long as the area holds, then claim and gain acceptance within 266-355, targets 585 Bearish case: breaking down 4/8 low would trigger weakness, and overall it's simple, keep price under 356 and break 19456, to maintain weekly OTFD, target 19216/063/18879/576
HKEX:HSI1!
by sherlou_0505
HSI 25/7-29/7 weekly planHKEX:HSI1! Failure to take out previous VAH led to sell-off down to level near the single prints created on Monday. Week ahead, pivot would be 20868 Since the huge excess 21192-21600 has not been untested, the sentiment for upcoming week favours bears and remains sell-the-rally mode until aggressive buyers take out that excess, which I doubt. FOMC may be the catalyst. 20626-20560 would be a significant area for buyers to defend, or found a bottom. Yellow area under 20626-20560 is definitely an area that likely to see responsive buyers jump in, which is necessary for bulls to reverse downtrend. If bulls buy this dip, they need to establish acceptance above that LVN around 20500 for continuation. If bulls fail, the previous week excess will be next support. Indicators: www.tradingview.com
HKEX:HSI1!
by sherlou_0505