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TFM1! trade ideas

EWT – Is Natural Gas Prepared for a Reversal?In our previous article, we discussed impulsive wave C and its continuation. On 20 January 2023 , Price achieved our all given targets. Click here - ----------------------------------------------------- Timeframe : MCX Natural gas has accomplished the corrective wave B and started falling for impulsive wave C. Price has given a reversal from previous wave C, but it is no conclusive evidence that it has completed wave c. When it comes to confirmation, Traders should watch the level of 313 . If the price breaks out the 313 , it will enter into the parallel channel. Traders can buy for the following targets: 321 – 340 – 366 . Don’t forget prices are moving outside the channel, which is a negative point for traders. Bearish continuation is possible if the price sustains below wave (4). I will update further information soon.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by forextidings
2
NATURAL GAS Astounding multi-year Cycles showing sell's not overThis is not the first time we look into Natural Gas (NG1!) and its long-term patterns. We have coined its Multi-year Cycles Theory in the past and it is time to extend on it a little on the 1W time-frame. Typically investors ask us for 1D analysis such as the following we published 2 months ago (November 24 2022) and helped us identify the conditions that would fulfil the long-term bearish reversal we expected: As you see NG delivered the expected drop since it closed below its 1W MA100 and even hit and closed below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Based on this multi-decade blueprint, this is a strong bearish continuation signal. As the chart shows, NG technically makes 4 year Cycles (bottom-to-bottom, top-to-top), which failed only one time in 30 years. Based on this, there is still significant time and range for the price to drop. The first stop is the (grey) High Volatility Zone, where the price typically trades for a longer-than-usual period of time. We need to keep an eye on the RSI on the 1M time-frame and its Higher Lows trend-line. If its holds, expect a bounce, in a similar fashion as the Lower Highs from May 2009 to February 2016. If they break, we expect first the 1.600 level to be tested as a Support and potentially under conditions (which we will analyze extensively if this time comes), the prices Lower Lows trend-line. Keep in mind that the RSI is always helpful and in recent months in particular, as its Bearish Divergence on Lower Highs (against the price's Higher Highs) from September 2021 to August 2022 projected the peak. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by TradingShot
4
Jan 21,23-NG-Price will settle around 3As you can see from the chart, somewhere between 2.8 and 3 is where the outside Linear Regression line is and that is where price will probably stabalize for the next while, until some force pushes price up....either weather, the War, Politics or some combination of all 3. Keep a close eye as 3 is a Support level. Weather is supposed to turn colder also, however, storage is pretty full, so I'm guesing until the EIA report shows a significant drop is reserves, or if the cold snap turns into a 4 week cold spell, price won't move too much. Heiko
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by HEIKOTradingSystem
5
21st January Natural Gas Outlook: Weekly ForecastFibonacci Extension measured from $4.75 low to $7.60 high shows that $2.989 level coincides with 1.618% extension and on this basis we think that the current bearish drop can pause at $2.989 and start a short term rebound towards resistance zone of $4.75 The rebound rally will have several twists and turns en route to $4.75 destination. However, this is our projection based on Fibonacci Extension. Natural Gas is a weather driven commodity which runs more on fundamentals than technical factors.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
3
Butterfly Still in Play for Natural Gas NG!Butterfly still in play 1) XB should be 0.786. Here we have 0.794 so I would accept it. Tick 2) AC should range between 0.392 to 0.886. Here it is 0.774. Tick 3) BD should range between 1.618 and 2.618. Here it is 2.128 . Not complete yet but Trending! 4) XB should range between 1.27 and 1.618. Here it is 1.493. Not complete yet but Trending! Let's see what the price action does. I believe a reversal is due now to the upside. Note: XB to 1.618 would be at the price of 3. So still downside risk.
NYMEX:NG1!
by VishalShah9
1
Natty 40% profit, 27:1 risk/rewardNatural gas is in the process of forming a double bottom (the db is not yet confirmed), and as noted in my BOIL idea has already entered a Bullish butterfly pattern on 4/6/12h timeframes. pt1=4.984 Expect bearish retracement from that level back to retest the double bottom low before moving to pt2 level. I usually trade bull butterfly by taking 100% profit at pt1, then reentering lower, closer to the butterfly entry price. SL can now be moved up to just below the double bottom level at 3.52, to increase risk reward ratio. The butterfly stop loss is 24% lower at 2.755. Phoenix and Stock VX3 indicators are also rising from oversold levels on 12h timeframe adding additional supporting data to the trade idea.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by wormmaster2021
4
💡 (NGas) NG1! Will it be ready for upside ?Hello every one If the triangle seems to be broken, maybe the gas will return from these price ranges, and I think there is a high probability that we are now at the bottom of the gas price. A triangle has been drawn that if the candles leave the upper part of the triangle, there is a possibility of an upward trend. Be sure to keep an eye on the chart and don't miss this wonderful opportunity. What do you think? I'm happy to comment❤️🌹
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by hamidreza_FX
6
Jan 15,23-NG-Will it get back down to 3So NG started this week off with a Gap Up, not huge but still up. Question is....will it stay up and gain or is it going to get back to the 3 mark. 3 would put it at the bottom of the Linnear Regression Indicator as you can see on the chart. I'm going to hold off on any trade until I'm sure price action is going to keep going up (as sure as I can be anyway). I'm still thinking price will end this week down, if not to 3 then to 3.2 - then I might consider putting in a Buy Order. Thoughts? Heiko
NYMEX:NG1!
by HEIKOTradingSystem
8
Natural Gas 2023 Targets - $3.81 , $3.39Natural Gas has been hanging on key support trend line (WHITE) running from Jun 2020.. If that level gets breached, expect Natural Gas to hit immediate target $4.73 (Yellow Line). Then eventually we see the targets $3.81 (Orange line) and 3.39 (Green line) in 2023. With economy running into risks of recession in 2023, we'll see pullbacks in NG. We'll not go to the targets directly, expect technical bounces at the key support levels - $4.73 , $3.81 and $3.39.
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by gmaster29
13
Jan 11,22-NG-Will Price Drop to 3?In looking at the chart, price doesn't look good for a rebound anytime soon. I think 3 is in the cards for next week. Weather is warmer than usual across the U.S., NG prices in Europe are dropping, China might have to go back into lockdown because of Covid concerns, the WORLD is heading into a hell of a recession, even though some of the world is already into it. This is why I have stayed on the sidelines for the last 2 weeks and probably will for the next 2. Unless something changes, but price could actually drop to maybe 2.... I think 2.5 is certainly a possibility. Hence, I am looking at trading a few other markets in the meantime to make some coin. I will keep you posted. Heiko
NYMEX:NG1!
by HEIKOTradingSystem
2
Natural Gas: At decision point. On 12.17.22 I thought natural gas may soon turn up at around 5.18. (see link below if interested). Clearly that was premature. It stayed in a down trend until now. A clear example why when something is in a up or down trend you best wait for price action (candle stick pattern, trend line break) to support that a turn around is about to occur. Then you have the recent low or high to be a stop point if wrong. The overall pattern has not changed. But if this EWT count is correct wave 3 should not cross below the high of wave 1. We still have a bullish divergence in the daily RSI. We still have an expanding triangle at wave 3. with the last wave down current having .a=.c. and ending at a possible support/resistance area. So this would seem like a good place to finally so up. BUT wait for price action to support this idea. Best to you. Have a great week.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by goodguy
2