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WBS1! trade ideas

2024-06-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil comment: Trading range at the highs but bears printing bigger bars and they broke out of the bull channel that started 2 weeks ago. Measured move down would bring us to around the breakout retest price area 78.5 / 78.8. Bulls still want to break above 82 for 83/84 and test the bear trend lines again. current market cycle: Trading range key levels: 80 - 82 bull case: Bulls still see this as a second leg of a pullback around the lower bull trend line and they want to start their third leg (W5) up to 83/84. They need to keep it above 80 or bears might get cheeky and want to push it to the daily ema around 78.8, which would also be a breakout retest. Invalid below 80. bear case: Bears are not able to print two decent looking consecutive bear bars on higher time frames. Until they get much stronger or give up again, best they can probably hope for is sideways around 80. Selling today looks like a leg inside a trading range and not a stronger pullback below 80. short term: Neutral 80-82. It’s moving sideways. Don’t make it more complicated. medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. Clear key levels given
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
Can Crude Surge Into Month-end?Please note the chart above is continuous front-month Crude, and we are referencing the August contract below. Crude Oil (August) Yesterday’s close: Settled at 81.63, up 0.90 WTI Crude Oil futures rebounded well to start the week, responding to a critical area of technical support. Furthermore, the healthy consolidation at and above the psychological $80 mark could be a launchpad for a strong finish to the month, bringing Crude Oil its best month since September. We have two layers of major three-star support at 80.61-80.86 and 80.11-80.36, and we believe a hold above here sets a constructive path for higher prices. Bias: Bullish/Neutral Resistance: 81.79**, 82.24-82.35*** Pivot: 81.17-81.40 Support: 80.61-80.86***, 80.11-80.36***, 79.72-79.97**, 78.61-78.94*** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Crude Oil live trading with Weis Wave Indicator (Wyckoff)Indicator is provided by VolumeDayTrader.com The Weis Wave Indicator, often referred to as the Wyckoff Wave Indicator, is a technical analysis tool based on the principles of Richard D. Wyckoff. It was developed by David Weis and aims to visualize price and volume relationships to better understand market dynamics. This indicator is particularly useful in identifying accumulation and distribution phases, as well as the strength of trends. Key Components of the Weis Wave Indicator Wave Counting: The Weis Wave Indicator aggregates volume for each price wave (a directional move in price). This aggregation helps in understanding the strength and duration of each wave, providing insights into supply and demand dynamics. Volume Analysis: By associating volume with price waves, traders can discern whether a wave is supported by significant buying or selling pressure. High volume on an upward wave suggests strong buying interest, while high volume on a downward wave suggests strong selling pressure. Trend Identification: The indicator helps in identifying the direction and strength of trends. Consistent high-volume upward waves indicate a strong bullish trend, while consistent high-volume downward waves indicate a strong bearish trend. How to Use the Weis Wave Indicator Identify Waves: The indicator identifies price waves by aggregating volume for each directional move. These waves are then displayed on the chart, often as histograms or bars representing the cumulative volume for each wave. Analyze Volume Patterns: Look for patterns in the volume associated with each wave. For example, increasing volume on successive upward waves suggests increasing buying pressure, while decreasing volume on upward waves might suggest weakening demand. Assess Market Phases: Use the indicator to identify accumulation and distribution phases. During accumulation, you might see lower volume on downward waves and increasing volume on upward waves. During distribution, you might see the opposite. Confirm Breakouts: When the price breaks out of a trading range, use the Weis Wave Indicator to confirm the breakout. A breakout with high volume on the wave suggests a strong move, while a breakout with low volume might indicate a false move. Practical Applications Trading Range Analysis: In a trading range, analyze the volume associated with up and down waves. Increasing volume on up waves within the range can indicate accumulation, while increasing volume on down waves can indicate distribution. Trend Confirmation: Use the Weis Wave Indicator to confirm trends. In an uptrend, look for higher volume on up waves and lower volume on down waves. In a downtrend, look for higher volume on down waves and lower volume on up waves. Entry and Exit Points: The indicator can help identify potential entry and exit points. For example, enter a long position when an upward wave with high volume breaks a resistance level. Conversely, exit when a downward wave with high volume breaks a support level. Conclusion The Weis Wave Indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to apply Wyckoff’s principles to modern markets. By focusing on the relationship between price movements and volume, the indicator provides valuable insights into market behavior, helping traders make more informed decisions. Whether you're identifying market phases, confirming trends, or pinpointing entry and exit points, the Weis Wave Indicator can be an essential part of your technical analysis toolkit.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by VolumeDayTrader
Long CL @ 80.20 - Test of SupportOil has had a large run-up of $10 over the last two and a half weeks. I believe Friday's selloff was mostly due to exhaustion and the start of consolidation after this large rally. Given the continued geopolitical risks. I expect oil to re-test the $80 level before increasing back to the upside. There is large resting liquidity around the $80 - $80.30 levels, so if we get down there I think CL will find major support and return to $81+.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by SkyIsCalling
Weekend Wizardry On Crude OilRight now It makes no sense in my mind why the market would want to return to being bearish. Yes we are in a premium and after a couple days of upwards movement there can be some stagnent action for traders who like to take more than 25-40 ticks ona single move. So again why would market want to move lower on a htf bases as pointed in my arrows we have a Daily FVG whcih I will be watching price to respect and create a discount in that FVG The wicks from Friday and Monday Daily chart show immediate rebalance and a propell higher is what I am looking for. Given Monday can be opposing price to what Tues and Wed Provide... wink wink Magnet shows my target for next week. to revisit this and whilst in fvg how do we close? Daily fvg CE? I really do look at price on the day to day basis weekly targets yes but this is a subconscious thought when im trading pacific times of the day.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by IamThattrader
Crude coinciding with OXY setupCrude broke the downward trend with conviction after a multiple week correction. This gives me more confidence for my potential long-term OXY trade setup next week. These stall candles signal accumulation and contraction. After the initial run multiple EMAs are used for supportive structure including candle bodies and wicks. I am late to the party on crude (but I dont trade futures), Oxy is lagging so that is my preferred method. This will be much like my previous trade , likely a multiple week/month hold, slow layered entry.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Apollo_21mil
#202426 - priceactiontds - weekly update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. wti crude oil futures Quote from last week: bull case: Strong week by the bulls with 3 pushes up but still a lower high. Their next target is to get back above 80.22. Right now they have momentum going but big down, big up mostly creates confusion and that means trading range. Above 79.5 I will probably long for 80. They need to stay above 77 or odds favor a retest of the lows below 74. comment: Bulls just had amazing follow through since Monday and have bought everything on lower volume. The tight bull channel is valid and Monday or Tuesday could set up another good buying opportunity. I don’t think bears want to die on that 82 hill and bulls can bring this easily back to 82.5 or 84.5 where two upper bear trend lines run through. current market cycle: big trading range or smaller bull trend inside of it. Triangle is still playing out. key levels: 72-84 bull case: Another very strong week. Can only look for longs in oil currently, until bears show up again. Bulls had two big legs up and want a third one to around 83.5/84.5. The current pullback could continue 1-3 days before more up but bulls should not let it break the lower bull channel around 79.7ish Invalidation is below 79.5. bear case: Bears clearly see the pattern and only doing small intraday scalps until the market get’s nearer to either bear trend line as drawn. The big one started 2 years ago, so you can be sure, there will be a reaction. Not saying bears will be strong enough to reverse it directly but at least stall it around that price area. As of now, bulls are in full control and far above the daily ema. Don’t look for shorts unless strong momentum. Invalidation is above 82.1. outlook last week: “short term: Neutral right under the bear channel line and daily ema at 77.5. Can break to either side.” → Last Sunday we traded 78.45 and now we are at 80.73. Not a good outlook but I would always write the same. As strong as it was before last Monday, it was the high of the trading range and it could have been the top for some days. short term: More sideways to down movement expected (not much down, max 79.7ish) before bulls try the third leg up. Can’t be anything but bullish looking at this chart until bears build bigger selling pressure. medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 82/84. The high of the triangle got tested until mid of April and we have now tested the lows around 72.5. Market did indeed reversed hard over the past 3 weeks and we are almost at the top of the triangle again, where I expect more sideways movement until one side clearly wins again. Odds favor the bears if they stay below 85. current swing trade: None chart update: Bear channel was clearly broken and therefore removed. Tight bull channel with a 5-wave series added.
NYMEX:MCL1!Long
by priceactiontds
Can the HOUSE CAPITALIZE SHORT out of the CURRENT Consolidation?NYMEX:CL1! "I DONT FOLD UNDER PRESSURE, Great athletes perform better under pressure so put pressure on me." -Floyd Mayweather Jr. Top of the Sunday Morning Family. I hope we all are well and in gr8 spirits as we get ready to start this trading week. Here I have constructed this SHORT narrative on OIL, out of the Current Range we are trading inside of. The consolidation zone ranges from prices of roughly ($79.30 to $77.20)... Here is what I will need to see in order to enter SHORT and target the 4Hr Swing EQ Level ($76.55). 1) On the Daily TF buyers have pushed price back up into an un-mitigated Daily Supply Zone. & Now that we have Mitigated this Daily Supply, we could see sellers step back into the Market and push price back down. **** I would like to see buyers sweep the High of the Consolidation zone on the 1Hr TF! If price can break higher than ($79.30) then this would be a good sign for me. Now I want this to be a (Liquidity Sweep SOLELY with no real follow through from buyers) basically manipulation to the upside then BOOM!!! Sellers come in and drop the market off a cliff stopping everyone LONG and Sellers coming to sweep the eR/LQ Trendline to the downside... 2) Price is currently riding a HTF{ 4Hr Ascending eR/LQ Trendline } that I know is going to be swept with strong sellers to the downside and this is the move I'm looking for the HOUSE to CAPITALIZE ON.... 3) The EQ level of the Consolidation range is what I need to see price break underneath with confirmed candle closures on the 30m TF & Below before I enter SHORT... The EQ level of the Range is roughly ($78.25)... ****I want to price sweep the Ascending eR/LQ then break and close with strong conviction underneath the Consolidation EQ Level ($78.25) on the 30m TF & below. **** Now if and when we can get these sequence of events to take place then I will be compelled to place my Limit SHORT on the retest of ($78.25)Consolidation EQ Level and Target the 4Hr Swing EQ Level Below ($76.55) 170 Points SHORT in our favor... Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently... Let's Step!! Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!! #BHM500K #NewERA #Champions
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by TreyHighPwr
Can the HOUSE CAPITALIZE SHORT out of the CURRENT Consolidation?NYMEX:CL1! "I DONT FOLD UNDER PRESSURE, Great athletes perform better under pressure so put pressure on me." -Floyd Mayweather Jr. Top of the Sunday Morning Family. I hope we all are well and in gr8 spirits as we get ready to start this trading week. Here I have constructed this SHORT narrative on OIL, out of the Current Range we are trading inside of. The consolidation zone ranges from prices of roughly ($79.30 to $77.20)... Here is what I will need to see in order to enter SHORT and target the 4Hr Swing EQ Level ($76.55). 1) On the Daily TF buyers have pushed price back up into an un-mitigated Daily Supply Zone. & Now that we have Mitigated this Daily Supply, we could see sellers step back into the Market and push price back down. **** I would like to see buyers sweep the High of the Consolidation zone on the 1Hr TF! If price can break higher than ($79.30) then this would be a good sign for me. Now I want this to be a (Liquidity Sweep SOLELY with no real follow through from buyers) basically manipulation to the upside then BOOM!!! Sellers come in and drop the market off a cliff stopping everyone LONG and Sellers coming to sweep the eR/LQ Trendline to the downside... 2) Price is currently riding a HTF{ 4Hr Ascending eR/LQ Trendline } that I know is going to be swept with strong sellers to the downside and this is the move I'm looking for the HOUSE to CAPITALIZE ON.... 3) The EQ level of the Consolidation range is what I need to see price break underneath with confirmed candle closures on the 30m TF & Below before I enter SHORT... The EQ level of the Range is roughly ($78.25)... ****I want to price sweep the Ascending eR/LQ then break and close with strong conviction underneath the Consolidation EQ Level ($78.25) on the 30m TF & below. **** Now if and when we can get these sequence of events to take place then I will be compelled to place my Limit SHORT on the retest of ($78.25)Consolidation EQ Level and Target the 4Hr Swing EQ Level Below ($76.55) 170 Points SHORT in our favor... Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently... Let's Step!! Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!! #BHM500K #NewERA #Champions
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by TreyHighPwr
Bitcoin silver oil 11:00 June 21st 2024 I think Bitcoin is close to a reversal higher and I would be looking for that reversal Sunday night or sometime on Monday. silver had a great opening price trade with the 2 bar reversal it moved about $5000 per contract where it came to sellers. so silver is a fast Market that quickly gave you a very good return as a seller but my concern would be that sometime during the remainder of today but more likely when the Market opens after the weekend that's when I would expect to find buyers... but I would have to see how the Market's trading before I make that decision. would I put on a long trade going in to the weekend? no. because there are no signs of buyers yet. we'll talk about oil this weekend if I get a chance.
NYMEX:CL1!
by ScottBogatin
1