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BMC1! trade ideas

"SELL IN MAY...?" tgt 33k..?TL;DR: 32k --> 20k...? Here's my current EW count and HTF thesis. If my count is accurate, I think we can squeeze 33k out of wave 5. This will also satisfy the Wyckovians among us but we will not make the D1 gap around 35k. After 33k, I think there is a good chance we can begin dropping back to 20k, where we just made a new D1 gap on the way up. 19k is also the VPOC for this range, so 20k with wicks to 19k seems reasonable to fill the gap and consolidate from this run. The Inverse scallop we made in the low 20's has been satisfied by the recent high at 31k.
CME:BTC1!
by MtGoxFX
BTC consolidation phase = channel, Symmetrical Triangle, update!Posted this couple hours ago Going to focus on short times frames for CRYPTOCAP:BTC IMO that is best until we get a BETTER view of what is really happening IMO #BTC should still go higher but needs consolidation, rest RSI is hanging in middle #bitcoin is on a CHANNEL but it's also forming TRIANGLE pattern (these tend to be CONTINUATION patterns) 4hr shows this a lil bit better Would be nice 2c volume coming in, not much happening on 1HR ------------------------- EDIT See the volume atm? This is VERY important! Holding the triangle pattern we spoke about before Not convinced to go buy as the last time this happened #BTC had another leg down KEEP in MIND that these are SHORT TERM charts so be careful This is good 2c though, VERY GOOD!
CME:BTC1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
BTCUSD PLAN Hello to all small and big traders, today I was checking all the empty spaces of CME when I noticed 3 gaps that have not been filled yet, one is in the area of 34000 to 34800, one is in the area of 21000 to 20000 and the other is in the area of 9500 to 10600. It doesn't matter if it is filled, but it must be filled. This plan is for a long-term view. Now or first, we will pay 34,000 dollars, and then the drop and the new floor, and then we will move right at the time of halving for the new ATH, or it will be filled later, whatever the case may be. be careful .
CME:BTC1!
by hamidhsh
4
In Bitcoin You Trust?I keep hearing an awful lot about bitcoin is the future, that bitcoin will skyrocket to $100,000 which makes no sense because they fail to realize the amount of money that would take. I wonder where the money comes from...? In this chart, I will give my take on Bitcoin and where I see it going. If I am wrong, I gladly accept it but I highly doubt that I will be. Let's start where it begins: Bitcoin 2017 In December 2017, Bitcoin futures were now offered and part of the market thanks to CBOE . As you can tell, in early 2018, up to Dec 2018 bitcoin wasn't following the equities market until 2019 where we see the Nasdaq rising consecutively from Feb 2019 until July 2019. In that same period we also see Bitcoin rallying. It isn't until March 2020 where we see the truth. Bitcoin crash as the same time as the markets did, and in fact it lead in terms of percentage lost, it was the worst performing asset. Quantitative Easing March 2020 saw the beginning of QE4, where the Fed started throwing money at everything. Hence the parabolic rise in the stock market, setting new all time highs.... during a PANDEMIC & RECESSION. Make sense? Not at all. The Fed is solely responsible for the markets rallying. Period. Ironic that at the same time the Equities market rises, Bitcoin also rallies. Quantitative Tightening In Nov, 2021, the Fed announced that QE had done its job (creating the biggest bubble ever) and now stated they were going to ease, and reduce their balance sheet . Well, as we saw, the Nasdaq AND Bitcoin peaked in November 2021 and started crashing significantly. Once again, Bitcoin was the leading loser and worst performing asset. 2023 Rally Explained Now, investors are looking at Bitcoin rising from $16,000 to now $28,000 and saying this the beginning of a bull market. But, once again, with a little digging we see that stocks and bitcoin are rising because...... The Fed Balance sheet skyrocketed during the March banking crisis. Stocks were crashing but in came the Plunge Protection Team, saved the day by pumping the dying toxic stock market. The stock market is like a nice looking car, but under the hood and on the inside, it's all old, worn, broken, missing the engine, torn up and abused. The stock market does not reflect the economy, because if it did, the markets would be down 50% at least. If you need a visual aid, search S&P500 vs Fed Balance Sheet Conclusion and Key Take Away's - Bitcoin follows the market, no doubt. - Bitcoin benefitted from QE - Bitcoin is NOT a safe haven, and in fact is -the worst asset to hold during turmoil. - Bitcoin , like the equities market is manipulated and controlled. So, where do I see Bitcoin going? I see it collapsing when the markets collapse. The markets can not hide the absolutely horrible economic data much longer. If this was 2008, based on this data coming out, markets would be far passed a correction. The ONLY thing holding this market up is the Fed and it'll continue to do so for a little more until it slips their control. So, if the stock market collapses and if we clearly see that Bitcoin follows the stock market to a T, than what does this mean for crypto when markets fall? It will once more collapse and be the worst performing asset when it does fall. Smart money is going into gold and silver . Everyone else believes in crypto as a safe-haven, yet clearly have not done simple due diligence to see that not only is it not a safe haven, but between commodities , stocks, and treasuries, crypto is absolute worst asset to own. The $30 trillion dollar QE charade bubble is about to explode and there is nothing anyone can do to stop it. The data is getting worse. The consumer debt is at record highs and savings are at record lows. Retail isn't coming back. Discretionary spending is down significantly. Demand has collapsed. ISM crashed. Manufacturing crashing. Housing is crashing faster and steeper than in 2008. Autos down significantly. Inventories are down to March 2020 lows. Orders are being cancelled. Layoffs are rising faster than in the last 3 years. The writing is on the wall folks, they can't hide this much longer. The greed will give way to financial pain. Benefit from BTC crash? Absolutely. Look into BITI and go from there ;)
CME:BTC1!Short
by WorldEconomics
1
Bitcoin, Fed, and EquitiesIn supplementation to my most recent chart, "In bitcoin we trust" I wanted to make my point even more clear by adding the Fed Balance Sheet. As you can see, it has been and always was the Fed pumping every asset. March 2020, the Balance Sheet exploded higher, as did stocks and bitcoin/crypto market. Prepare for anything because they're on to something. This just seems very odd and worrying. So much printing, so much new debt.. what happens to the USD, inflation? None of this is good. The higher markets go, the harder the crash will be. These rallies are not based on sound healthy economy or inflation hedge or good earnings.. this is pure pump nonsense.
CME:BTC1!
by WorldEconomics
Bitcoin Gap Trade: $20k and then up to $35kShort-term bearish, long-term bullish. I'm not currently trading Bitcoin and am only stacking, but I use the short-term technicals to time my buys which have been nearly every week since September 2022, and my current cost average is ~$20k. Bitcoin price is attempting to hold above $28k after breaching but failing to hold above $30k this past week. The reversal here isn't surprising considering that price just pretty much ran from $20k to $30k unhindered so a pullback was expected at some point given the bearish sentiment that still surrounds crypto in general. As for gap trades, Bitcoin tends to fill gaps sooner rather than later compared to other assets so the most likely path for Bitcoin going forward from here is a fill of the gap down near $20.5k in the coming weeks, price finding solid support in that range, and then a move higher to fill the gap up in the $35k range in the coming months. Good luck out there traders.
CME:BTC1!Short
by PrepForProfit
Bitcoin, the possibilities #BTC #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin#BTC #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin The Bullish & Bearish scenario is around a 10k difference to the upside & a 6k difference to the down side, remember that the market makers will ALWAYS leave at least two options on the table (someone has to loose). The Bullish scenario would be a move to 43K (Blue B) before a pull back to 20K (Blue C) before commencing a bull run The Bearish scenario would be a move to 34.4K (White 4) to 14K (White 5) before commencing a bull run In both cases the bottom of the pink channel looks like it will be a catalyst for a reverse in trend, it just depends on how & when we arrive there. The only way we will be able to tell which scenario is playing out will be if & when we close a weekly above $36150 as this will signal the invalidation of the White waves. Time will tell but let me know your thoughts
CME:BTC1!
by jamesdbarnard