An Extreme GAP Strategy for #bitcoin #btcIn the chart you' ll see the CME GAPs. Market maker will want to price #btc to these zones. There' s also a huge liquidation these points and also 23500. Sooner or later, these three prices must be visited. The second variation may be like : First 23500 then 20000s and then 35K.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. These are only my notes. DYOR.
BMC1! trade ideas
Understanding Bitcoin CME Gaps: Importance/Trading StrategiesBitcoin CME Gaps are price gaps that occur in the Bitcoin futures market, specifically on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). These gaps happen when the closing price of a Bitcoin futures contract on the CME differs significantly from the opening price of the next contract. Here's why they are important and how to trade them briefly:
Importance:
Technical Analysis: Traders often pay attention to CME Gaps because they can act as significant support or resistance levels on Bitcoin's price chart.
Market Psychology: These gaps can signal abrupt shifts in market sentiment, which can influence future price movements.
Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its price volatility, and CME Gaps can exacerbate price swings, making them important for risk management.
How to Trade:
Fill the Gap: Some traders believe that CME Gaps tend to get "filled" eventually, meaning that Bitcoin's price will return to the level of the gap and close it. They might place buy orders just above the gap and sell orders just below it.
Confirmation: It's essential to wait for confirmation before trading CME Gaps. This can include observing price action, volume, and overall market sentiment.
Risk Management: Trading CME Gaps can be risky. Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, and don't bet too much of your capital on a single trade.
Remember that while CME Gaps can be significant, they are not foolproof trading signals, and trading cryptocurrencies is inherently risky. It's crucial to have a well-thought-out trading plan and consider other factors, such as fundamental analysis and market news, in your decision-making process.
BTC: Is this Choice a Prelude to a Storm?In the world of cryptocurrency, the winds of change are ever-shifting. Bitcoin, the pioneer of digital currencies, has seen its fair share of ups and downs. Today, as we witness its return to familiar territory, the question that looms large is whether this is the calm before the storm.
The cryptocurrency markets are known for their volatility, and Bitcoin's recent movements have raised eyebrows. Many are speculating that a significant downturn may be on the horizon. Could Bitcoin be poised for a rapid descent, preparing itself to welcome the giants of the corporate and institutional world?
As we delve into the intricacies of Bitcoin's current trajectory, join us on a journey through the highs and lows, and explore the factors at play. Is this the moment when Bitcoin finds its true place in the financial landscape, or are we on the verge of a seismic shift that will reshape the crypto industry once again?
Stay tuned as we unravel the mysteries behind Bitcoin's return and what it may signify for the future of digital finance.
Will $BTC close above the down trend line?CRYPTOCAP:BTC giving back gains above the broken down trend line.
Volume is good BUT let's dissect #BTC!
15 Minute shows that selling is LIGHT.
5 Min shows it's lighter than what 15Min shows.
BUT......................................
1 Min shows that the heaviest volume was a top tick!!!
Someone sold the top of this #Bitcoin rally!
Let's see how it closes!
As of now, NOT YET bulls!
$BTC making moves & 1st time testing down trend🚨🚨🚨
CRYPTOCAP:BTC touching the down trend line for 1st time since Aug 9th.
Buy volume is coming in, good sign.
Accumulation hasn't been great but has been positive.
Shorts have covered some. So if it breaks this trend it can pump a lil bit more.
Keep an eye on the RSI for real strength. Would like to see it break that high it recently made.
Futures dictate price action.
#BTC #bitcoin #crypto
BTC Long, bottom or another bear trap?28.5k is the invalidation line for continued bull momo. Close below it on the dailv and I think BTC either sees another bear trap/ deviation to 26k followed by a bull reversal to 37k. If the bear trap is set it is extremely risky to play. If it fails, BTC could hit at least 23k for AUG and 20k to 18.8k for SEP because both are statistically red months during the recovery phase of previous bull runs.
However, there is a minor bull case for the bulls considering we are at the bottom end of a linear regression trend from the bottom at 16k to the current price.
Nonetheless, I do expect volatility soon.
Trades:
Trade 1
Long 28650, sl 28000, tp 30500, 32000, 36500, 40000
Conviction moderate. High chance of getting stopped out if 28.5k keeps getting tested and removing liquidity from that region.
Trade 2
Long 26300, sl 24000, tp 30500, 32000, 36500, 40000
Conviction high. Lowered chance of getting stopped out and if a bear trap were to occur, this is the ideal entry.
Trade 3
Short 30500, sl 32000, tp 28500, 26500 (close here if there's bull volume), 24500, 21000, 19500
Conviction moderate. Might get front runned ~29.5k. but use this trade as a hedge against another false rally that leads into a bear trap ~26k, or even worse at 20k if theres no bullish volume for the expected trap.
Bitcoin makes its move soon, before NovemberInteresting enough, shorts remained untouched these last few days.
Bull Scenario
4 days above Red Moving Avg. #BTC Hasn't done that in a while.
RSI formed Positive Divergence.
Bear Scenario
Short term trendline up ahead
Will that break or will 25k attract #bitcoin again?
Will have answer before November comes around.
MIL:BTC
Bitcoin - Nobody expects such a move.3 month liquidity hited. Level 31730.
6 month liquidity hited. Level 31730.
these levels also coincide with the fibonacci level. this is the seller's discount zone 0.5%
What is interesting is that the monthly high was also taken out, by the previous maximum.
There is still a gap below that needs to be covered.
Nobody expects such a move.
Recently, miners have put bitcoins on exchanges to hedge, I don't know how to find this information correctly.
There is no greed in the market, but there is some liveliness of the market, I started to hear a lot about 32 35 40 thousand dollars for bitcoin from some young analysts.
These are all thoughts in the ear, if you have an alternative opinion, please write.
$BTC looking better, still in a channelCRYPTOCAP:BTC is chugging a lil more.
Volume is good but not great.
RSI is going higher, that is also good.
Had a nice inverse Head & Shoulder that it recently broke out of, signifying SHORT term bull.
Signs point to betterment!
Conclusion
This can drag for a bit & force the blue trendline to move up to the 25k support, which was also in June.
We may get a flash dip & resume the upward movement.
Can Bullrun Start Without Gap Fill? 🌄🕳️ The Gap Dilemma: Price gaps occur when there's a notable difference between the closing price of one trading period and the opening price of the next, often seen on the charts as a "hole" in price action.
🔍 Gap Filling: Traditional market wisdom suggests that gaps tend to get filled, meaning that the price revisits the gap area and trades within it. In Bitcoin's case, this could mean a retracement to fill a previous gap before further upward movement.
📈 Historical Anomalies: Interestingly, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to defy this norm. In its historical price data, there have been instances where significant bullish trends started without revisiting or filling previous gaps.
🌐 Market Sentiment: Bitcoin's behavior often reflects overall market sentiment. If there's overwhelming bullish sentiment, it might bypass gap filling and initiate an upward move.
🚧 Caution Required: While Bitcoin's past actions might suggest the possibility of such scenarios, it's important to approach each situation with caution. Market conditions can change, and historical patterns don't guarantee future outcomes.
💡 The Takeaway: Bitcoin's unique nature means it doesn't always conform to conventional market expectations. While gap filling is a common phenomenon, the cryptocurrency has demonstrated the ability to start bullish trends without revisiting these gaps.
In trading and investing, adaptability and a comprehensive strategy are key. Keep a close eye on market sentiment, technical analysis, and news developments to make informed decisions.
Remember, there are no absolutes in the crypto world, and flexibility in your approach is your greatest asset! 📊🚀
$BTC bounce WEAK, Seeing Positive Divergence BUT... Danger lurksCRYPTOCAP:BTC
As you can see, the volume on this bounce is mediocre at best.
This is not what bulls want to see.
The white line is a PREMATURE, SEEMS to be, trend.
Took some trades on last night, didn't post them.
(Personal level) Taking this bounce off already.
At 10x leverage = good enough.
If #BTC goes higher, whatever. If lower, we redo again.
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Daily
RSI hasn't moved. This means that there is no steam, endurance, strength.
BUT it IS showing a nice POSITIVE DIVERGENCE!
Means that the RSI is making HIGHER lows as #BTC falls.
We're very close to finding a bottom. There's maybe 1 more FLUSH of hands.
HOWEVER, BE FOREWARNED!
We're seeing weekly BEARISH CROSSOVER! (Circle)
$BTC weakening further with no sign, as of yet, of positivityAnother new recent low for $BTC.
This area is VERY IMPORTANT. VERY IMPORTANT!
Historically this area has been trouble for #BTC to break above once it has gone below it.
We are seeing positive RSi divergence but we never go by this, need to see a good trend first.
( CRYPTOCAP:BTC historical trading in this area)
IF #BTC gets a bump here with volume AND IF IT doesn't give back, then that is VERY GOOD!
But until that happens it is a trading game.
SO IF WE BREAK, look at the different colored blue arrows.
We all know #bitcoin is a mover when it wants to be so these are JUST GUIDANCE.
SMALL ACCOUNT CHALLENGE 👻On 6/30, I created a small capital account ($180) for daily trading, and I will share the results weekly on the same post
There are three targets for account: 1k, 10k, and 100k
Let's see what happens.
................................
In the end, I'm just sharing my results and what I post for my own purpose NOT designed to be taken as ADVISE
BTCUSD: A Bearish Deep Gartley Has Staged BTC to Return to $6065This is a followup to the previous Bearish ABCD trade; BTC has officially with PPO Confirmation, has reversed from the PCZ of the Bearish ABCD to which I later realized the ABCD was part of a much greater Bearish Deep Gartley, and now we are below the 200-Day and 200-Week SMAs along with that we have broken below the demand line of an apparent Rising Wedge Pattern all at a 23.6% Fibonacci retrace which is a very shallow and weak retrace to have this all occur, but that only means the move back down will likely be much deeper and stronger.
We can consider what we initially got at the 0.786 PCZ of this Cypher as a Type 1 Reaction, but now it appears that price has been preparing itself to make a Type 2 Return, that will most likely take us to the Cypher HOP levels this time around which would land us at around $6000 once we hit that zone I will look for signs of Bullish PPO Confirmation before then anticipating a V-shaped recovery that should take us to new all-time highs.
There of course is a scenario in which instead of making a lower low to the HOP we just bounce back up again at around 16k and that was where my previous projection took it but upon taking in more of the weekly data I have concluded that 6-4k is more likely especially if we start getting super fast movement down week after week but if it is instead a more calm decline that gives us a clean double bottom with some PPO confirmation around 16k instead then I will jump in early; until then I see 6-4k as the most likely target.
For reference, I have included the link to the original Bearish ABCD chart and projection below as we may swap back to the original projection depending on the price action we get leading to both the original 16-12k Target and the new and current 6-4k target:
BTC stop huntingThere is a large area of thin volume on the market profile of BTC's sudden drop over the past couple of weeks, possible stop hunting areas will be 2x the daily range than usual as volatility has increased.
A gap is visible in the CME 5day chart this would be a good area to trade long into and then short the top once filled, this also lines up with a 200D retest
We Have Our Answer!Traders,
A few posts ago, you will see that (2) two gaps were being focused on. The question was posed about which might be filled first. Many of my followers understand that my bias was to the upside gap being filled first. Thanks to the Blackrock ETF approval, this has occurred. And, as I stated in my video yesterday, I have unloaded 50% of ALL my positions (alts included), taken profits, and moved my stops up to break even. I will let the remainder ride for now and hopefully take the rest off at the 50 day ma of the SPOT BTC chart which intersect exactly with the bottom of that important support (now resistance) which I talked about in yesterday's video at 28,750. If we don't hit that and I get stopped out instead, no issue cuz I move all my stops to break even and will take no loss now.
There still remain (2) two unfilled gaps: one at 20,290 from March of this year and one at 35,180 from May of last year. I still believe both will be filled soon. Stay tuned for more on this unfolding price action as, through charting research, I hope to gain a better grasp on how it will go.
Stew
$BTC gets great news, let's see how far it goesWas not going to post this but... Like clockwork, again.
We noticed a slight BULLISH bias for $BTC. Even mentioned that there's huge demand for #crypto related #stocks.
#BTC gets positive news today.
Grayscale wins lawsuit against SEC for #bitcoin Spot #ETF.
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Previous post (see profile for more info)
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is once again making case for BULLS short term.
We'll see.
4Hr RSI getting stronger & can be seen on daily.
Longer term #BTC has a GREAT case for bulls.
However, don't be naive.
Current area is not the best place for #bitcoin to build SUPPORT levels, 25k is much better, BUT it CAN!