BMC1! trade ideas
Bitcoin correction inevitableTime to Chart the King!
If you've checked my recent ideas, you'll find onefrom 11 December 2022 titled "Run it Back Turbo." Check it out!
Press the play button to see how I've pinpointed the perfect bottom!
Now, let's dive into why I've decided to close my trade:
Wave Count: I've marked the 5 waves we've seen so far.
Wave Comparison: Using the Date & Price Range tool, I've compared the size of wave 3 to wave 5. Wave 5 typically matches or exceeds wave 3, and you can see the King has done just that. How much more do you need to satisfy your greed?
ABC Correction: We're expecting an ABC correction where:
A Wave: Should hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the bottom of the count to the current wave 5 peak.
B Wave: Logically, this would reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
C Wave: Expected to extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Fibonacci Retracement for Wave 5: If you draw a Fibonacci retracement just for the 5th wave, you'll see:
The A wave should touch the 0.618 level of this measurement.
The B wave goes to the 0.382
The C wave, as usual, should retrace fully to the 1.000 Fib level, where it began.
CME Gap: Check out the 1-day chart below to see there's still a CME gap to fill on the way down.
Monthly Close: We're nearing the first monthly close of Q1. Take a look at the RSI; there's a clear bearish divergence forming.
Liquidity Clusters: The liquidity clusters below look enticing and are prime for grabs, essential for further upward movements. Remember, this market thrives on the ping-pong effect with short stop hunts and liquidation hunts, followed by the same to the longs, rinse and repeat.
Here you see a freshly pulled LiqMap from The Kingfisher platform currently the only one I know of which can show you these clusters. As you can see we have a ton of liquidity to tap into before we can resume this bullrun!
Conclusion:
The King Needs to Reset!
No reason to be upset. Everyone needs a rest after such a run. We will resume our journey soon enough, reaching those higher targets sooner or later. See the bright side: we can sell now, load up at cheaper prices, and potentially make even bigger profits.
Follow me for updates to this idea and follow me on X for even more insights!
Bitcoin Futures
Another week concludes for the Bitcoin futures market without closing above the all-time high. The RSI is in overbought territory, showing a bearish divergence. It might be prudent to close the futures gap and look for a bullish divergence before expecting further upward movement. The price might revert to the high of the RSI for support, which was around the 49k area.
BTC1! Bitcoin possible crash scenario.The BTC1! chart strikes me as particularly interesting because, unlike other BTC charts, professionals use Bitcoin futures contracts here to speculate on BTC's volatility or manage risk in larger portfolios. The trading schedule runs from Monday (opening at 5:00 PM CT) to Friday (closing at 4:00 PM CT). When the Monday opening price differs from the Friday closing price, a gap is created, which is often filled, as historical data shows similar occurrences.
Currently, there is an unfilled gap between 80,000 and 78,000. While it's not guaranteed that this gap will close, it's worth keeping an eye on that zone. Interestingly, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level also aligns with this area. Additionally, there's the 0.25 zone where we find an nPOC (naked Point of Control).
We could see a significant bounce of 20–40% from these levels. If BTC were to experience a 50% drop from the current point, it would bring us to around 54,000. Historically, it tends to have a substantial bounce whenever BTC has fallen more than 40%, making these levels worth monitoring closely.
2 IDEAS. BULLISH AND BEARISH.BASIS JANUARY (M) CANDLE CLOSE.Bearish Scenario in Red lines.
If BTCUSD January month candle closes below 99k. A bearish momentum is possible.To 49k Unless Feb month candle briefly goes below 99k( Institutional bulk buying will create a jump up to above 105k). Then the bullish move will be restored.
Bullish scenario in Green lines
If January Monthly candle closes at above 103k. or anywhere above 100k, We will be looking at a bullish rally to 155k -take profit. Then a retracement will happen.
king's ideas.
Bitcoin teases a record high (but I'm not 'buying' it)While my bias for bitcoin futures to reach 125k remain in play, I'm a tad suspicious of its attempt to take out the previous record high with any conviction this week. I take a closer look at trading volumes and futures market positioning to explain why.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and TradingView
BTC CMEAfter touching the weekly BISI, the price dropped behind the stops in the shorts, the daily BIs became an inversion and gave support to the price without pushing it down.
If this is a Екгьз rally, we will see how the price will react within 4 hours, a selling pattern is formed, there is inefficiency, a block of refusal is possible, which can lower the price to 0.5 range
Will this move be to fill the weekly BISI again or will it continue to send orders up?
Now those who entered long have opened positions, I think the price will follow their stops
BTC MAJOR CORRECTION LOADING......KING'S IDEAS projected a rise to 111,000. As i post this correction idea, BTC TOPPED AT 109,000 So, for the highest targets o be reached. A correction to 63,000 then a wick upto 68,000 will be necessary. Then a downward to 65000 then 67000 then 68000. As from 68,000 we are looking at ATH 200K...TO 300K. king's ideas
Limit oder area 1 15MPlace a limit buy order a area 1 for a 1/2 risk/reward waiting to be fill, strong buyer at AOI
Sell at area 1 and buy at the 50% breakPrice enter pretty strong to the 50% and stop me out, i wait to play for re enter at the break of 50% and take a stop for the Second time.. this take me to a over thinking 🤔 mode.
Fear to trader on this trader over think my execution, because of the last stop loss.... went this trader take place again NO over Think to enter a the AOI whit the stop under the 50% on the zone for a 1/2 risk/reward
LOKING A bitcoins to go down on this 15 minute, im take a shots position to profit a 1 to 2 risk/reward trade
BTC liquidity maphere i show you #BTC liq map in 2 ways
once is LIQUIDITY HEATMAP
the other is BTC chart in CME which has a gap !
you know that this gap should be filled but the main question is when ?!
i think there is a bullish pattern in the whole market and this can make bitcoin go further and further but after a big rise there will be a time for bearish waves so this gap will be targeted and this gap will be filled
check out this analysis on BTC
BITCOIN TO $250K – THE INEVITABLE💥 OANDA:BTCUSD is set to explode past $250,000 – here’s why:
1️⃣ Big Players Are In: BlackRock, Fidelity, and global institutions are driving massive adoption.
2️⃣ Supply is Shrinking: With 19M BTC mined and halving ahead, demand is skyrocketing.
3️⃣ Macro Trends Align: Inflation and fiat uncertainty make Bitcoin the ultimate safe haven.
📈 Technicals Are Screaming Bull Run:
FWB:65K ATH? Flipped to support.
$100K? Just a milestone.
$250K? The new frontier.
🔥 This isn’t a rally – it’s a revolution. Don’t miss your chance to make history.
💬 Drop your price targets below. Are you ready for the $250K era?
🔄 Share this post and join the movement.
BTC1! short idea with open gap fill and catching a quick longAs you might know, open gaps have a fill-rate of 90-95%. Additionally the open CME-gap (1W-basis) has much confluence with important technical levels for support and it lies in the middle of two zones where enormous amounts of USDT-inflows came into the market.
1. the 2024-range (Q1 - Q3)
2. the 2025-range (Q1 at least)
Where the new neckline also is, the new support that became resistance appeared. It might also be a good strike for smart money to know that above the biggest orderblock of 2024 support has developed more strength and consequence. So why you don't give it a try to retest it?
Here a maximum of buying pressure should lead to a strong bounce of BTCUSD towards a new alltime-high, if and as long as global liquidity rises again. But if not, at least inflation should do half of the bullish job for BTCUSD and a "sideways up" would be my - historically BIASed - expectation.
It begins with a shorter short. In the end it might be a very, very quick longer long because of my expectation of rising buying pressure with huge volume delta for the bulls below 78k.
Bitcoin futures eye breakout from falling wedgeBitcoin futures are threatening to break out of the falling wedge established in early December, testing resistance during Asian trade.
With RSI (14) through its downtrend and MACD set to cross over from below imminently, momentum is swinging in favour of the bulls, bolster the case for upside.
If we see a clean downtrend break, longs could be established with a tight stop beneath for protection. Depending on the risk-reward sought, potential targets include the highs set in early January or record high of $108,945.
If the price is unable to break and hold above the downtrend, it would lessen the appeal of initiating longs.
Good luck!
DS
BTC 2 scenario #BTC can make 2 scenarios for its next months price
I think the gap in the market is our weakness in bullish scenario
If it be filled before the huge rising the bullish structure can make higher prices and also last longer but if this gap doesn't get filled before rising , and the market just rise from here
This gap can pull the market to it's self after the rising and the bullish setup will be over !