Market krach?the dollar is coming towards a resistance of march 2020 it's not a good sign for the markets which will fall like at the time of the Covid I hope a reversal of situation otherwise we will see a btc 35k even worse same for the sp500 AND the NASDAQ which will test its old support of march
SDX1! trade ideas
US Dollar Above $100!The US Dollar continues to gain strength and has been in a consistent rise
since June 2021, where we have seen price climb 13.06%.
Note that price is still inside a long-term area of consolidation that has lasted
since January 2017, between a high of 103.96 and a low of 88.15.
As this is a wide area of consolidation, price has enough room to form a trend
that is currently in play and moving strong, especially for this month.
Price is now trading above the $100 round number and moving towards the
consolidation resistance level at 88.15.
If we have a breakout of the resistance level, we should see a big trend unfold
because the larger the area of consolidation, the bigger the move in the direction
of the breakout.
Patience for now. If price breaks out, we will likely see other forex pairs form strong trends.
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DX1! - Weekly Market Update, 4/11Indicated areas of support (green) and areas of resistance (red) are ascending (rising) and descending (falling).
These areas indicated suggest support / resistance for the week of April 11 and either rise or fall based on their channel structure ascending or descending.
Please check back for any mid-week updates. Wishing you a profitable week ahead! Anthony Speciale
Don’t shoot the messenger!While there has been much commentary about the US Dollar Index hitting 100.00, we note two things from a technical perspective – the first is a shooting star pattern on the candlestick charts and the second is that the daily RSI has yet to confirm the recent high.
This happens when price makes a new high, but the oscillator does not – it is otherwise known as bearish divergence.
It generally denotes a loss of upside momentum.
The shooting star however is a bit more serious this is a bearish reversal candlestick pattern that typically occurs at the top of uptrends.
I would suggest tightening the stops in this one as I suspect that we are going to see some profit taking….
A shooting star is created when the open, low, and close are roughly the same price. Also, there is a long upper shadow, generally defined as at least twice the length of the real body.
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Elliott Wave View: Dollar Index (DXY) Resumes HigherShort Term outlook in Dollar Index (DXY) suggests the decline from March 7, 2022 peak ended in wave (4) at 97.68. Internal subdivision of wave (4) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from March 7 peak, wave A ended at 97.71 and rally in wave B ended at 99.37. The Index then resumed lower in wave C towards 97.68 which completed wave (4) in higher degree. The Dollar has turned higher in wave (5). Internal subdivision of wave (5) is in progress as a 5 waves impulse.
Up from wave (4), wave (i) ended at 98.36 and pulllback in wave (ii) ended at 97.9. Index then resumes higher in wave (iii) to 99.08. Expect Index to pullback in wave (iv) and then extend higher again one more leg in wave (v) before it completes wave ((i)). Afterwards, expect a wave ((ii)) pullback to correct the rally from wave (4) low on March 30 before the Index resumes higher again. Near term, as far as March 30 low pivot at 97.68 stays intact, expect dips to find support in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
DX1! Weekly Market Update, 3/28Indicated areas of support (green) and areas of resistance (red) are ascending (rising) and descending (falling).
These areas indicated suggest support / resistance for the week of March 28 and either rise or fall based on their channel structure ascending or descending.
Please check back for any mid-week updates. You can also follow me on my social networks and my website, all links are located below.
Wishing you a profitable week ahead! Anthony Speciale
DX1! - Weekly Update, 3/21Indicated areas of support (green) and areas of resistance (red) are ascending (rising) and descending (falling).
These areas indicated suggest support / resistance for the week of March 21 and either rise or fall based on their channel structure ascending or descending.
Please check back for any mid-week updates. You can also follow me on my social networks and my website, all links are located below.
Wishing you a profitable week ahead! Anthony Speciale
Symmetrical Triangle Forming UpNearing a multi year symmetrical triangle monthly resistance level, if we see a bull push over the next week I suspect by the FOMC meeting, the scale of probability will significantly increase for bullish continuation. However, if the current hourly trend turns bearish, the likelyhood that symmetrical triangle resistance level has been verified increases and will continue to increase as more time frames follow; with significant downside. Allocate appropriately and respect the trends, disregard the fud, and good luck!!
-RSI neutral
-MACD bearish
DX1! - Weekly Market Update, 3/14Indicated areas of support (green) and areas of resistance (red) are ascending (rising) and descending (falling).
These areas indicated suggested support / resistance for Monday, 3/13/22 and either rise or fall based on their channel structure ascending or descending.
Please check back for any mid-week updates. You can also follow me on my social networks and my website, all links are located below.
Wishing you a profitable week ahead! Anthony Speciale
DX1! COMING INTO YEARLY RESISTANCE ZONESO it has been awhile since I have posted on here. But I figured this could be of some value since it has been a long time since the dollar index has come into this "danger zone" so to call. The nice thing with trading is it's only dangerous if we don't know how to approach the markets. As traders we are the ones that determine our results.
Keep an eye on the dollar index as it comes into multi-year resistance. With the future plans the FED has with continuing to raise interest rates along with a strong previous week of buyer price action, I don't necessarily believe this is coming down this week but keep an eye on for the future to what the dollar does as usually the banks, government, etc. use these levels to determine economic decisions they make.
2 options here. 1st option is that the dollar continues this recent strength up into the top of this zone around the 103 price handle. Then we would have to see what price does from there. 2nd option is that price can react once again in this zone and start a bearish run for the US dollar.
Keep an eye out and lets see how the FED rules the dollar and how the technicals play out!
Cheers!
@JosePips