DX1! trade ideas
Beautiful key week reversal on the US Dollar IndexDisclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
could the dollar be topping out?there are a few paths we could take between fib with r1 and fib with pivot. rainbow is confirming progression toward resistance in the dollar. dxy down means in this case broader markes indices futures up and crypto large cap (btcusd bitstamp) up. as btc rebounds expect it to go to close sideways with alts up after it attains same high.
Will the Dollar continue its ascend?The United States Dollar extend towards the upside from the low towards the minor resistance level at 102.75.
It will be difficult for the Dollar to have a confirmation breakout of the key resistance level at 103.225 if price were to continue its upside movement without any form of retracement or consolidation.
Expect the Dollar to trade within the 102.75 region, neutral zone at between 101.48 to 102.1 and bearish when price were to breakout of 101.48 support region.
DOLLAR RETRACE TO 103+ ON FOMC & NFP VOLATILITY ?COT:
Dollar has weakened significantly since mid NOV-22
Driven by institutional selling of long contracts since begin Q4-22
Assisted by accumulation of short contracts sinds JAN-23
Outlook for Q1-23 remains sideways to down
Next downside level is 99.60
FOMC & NFP:
Before another drop below 100 big figure a retrace is likely
103+ will likely be mitigated in FEB
103 = mitigation level = GAP resistance = sell VWAP
Begin FEB is pivotal week(s) with FOMC & NFP
FOMC and/or NFP volatility will likely facilitate the retrace
OUTLOOK:
Will be monitoring price behaviour between 103.00 - 103.25
Looking for change of behaviour on the lower timeframe (wicks into mitigation-level)
Anticipating a swing lower from 103+ to 100- after mitigation
This will offer buy setups in the MAJORS, with a preference for commodity CCY's
DXY LONG DXY will be wil trend higher.. look like need some push to higher.. there so maney factors are running economically , so no body cant control whats gonna happan..looks like major volume building up..if it reject higher price we short.. or we continue long dxy. once reach ITL level its easy to price go through it as trade location...
Dollar WILL breakout this week!The United States Dollar Index continues to trade in a tight range. This buildup will likely create a strong price movement for the next breakout direction. The only catalyst left for a breakup is the upcoming FOMC.
Downside target will be at 99.365 support region while upside target will be at 105.0 resistance region.
Bobby's Homework Assignment1.23.23 Dollar on the Futures market: The dollar is at the support area. There is a battle between buyers and sellers at this area. This is also A double bottom. This might imply that the market is going to go higher since it is at a double bottom. This is not necessarily true. I spent some time on ABCD patterns. I am guessing that these patterns are probably used more to find targets comma as opposed to finding reversals. Maybe confusing if you have not thought about it in the past. The problem with using ABCD patterns as reversal patterns Is that this process can be much less reliable...especially when you were looking at very long-range projections. There will be plenty of examples to clarify this issue. In general, Start using the line tools to get used to them. Start thinking about support/ resistance Lines. Get used to the drawing tools, and then the nuances fall into place.
Rising channel for DXY 1WWith the rising higher highs and higher lows in the close time period, I find this more appropriate to call a channel than a wedge. To call it a wedge, we should ignore this structure and in my opinion it is better to focus on the channel idea.But who knows what happens in the future :) this is my own idea, not a financial advice. Wish you all a great day!