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U.S. Dollar Currency Index

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DXY trade ideas

DXY – Break or Bounce? Key Levels to WatchTVC:DXY The DXY has broken below the 106.96 support, establishing a new fractal at 106.14 while testing the major April 2024 fractal resistance forged at 106.51. This price action leaves the dollar in a critical decision zone, with two main scenarios in play: 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If the dollar holds above the newly formed support and reclaims the daily fractal resistance at 107.38, it could trigger a recovery attempt, potentially leading to a retest of previous highs and the weekly fractal resistance. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold current levels could push the DXY below the emerging triangle structure, targeting the weekly fractal support at 105.42. A break below this level increases the probability of reaching the 200% Fibonacci extension at 104.59, where a bullish Crab pattern is projected in convergence —a critical area for potential trend reversals. 🔍 Key Technical Factors: 📌 Consolidation Triangle: DXY is stuck below the double top neckline but above the most recent fractal support forged at 106.14. 📌 Fibonacci Levels : The dollar is currently trading at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (106.35) , with projected harmonic patterns aligning near the next 50% retracement level. 📌 Liquidity & Stop Hunts: Multiple bullish harmonic patterns emerging just below the weekly fractal support indicate possible stop-hunting activity against short positions. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: 📈 Resistance Levels: Weekly – 110.17 Daily – 107.38 4H – 106.65 Monthly – 106.51 📉 Support Levels: 4H – 106.17 Daily – 106.14 Weekly – 105.42 Monthly – 100.15 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: DXY is at a crucial inflection point. A breakout above 107.38 could fuel a bullish move, while a breakdown below 105.42 may accelerate a bearish extension towards 104.59-104.78. Until the price confirms direction, it is advisable to remain neutral and wait for a clear signal before committing to a directional bias. Happy Trading, André Cardoso 💡 Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
TVC:DXY
by Andre_Cardoso
DXY. Attempt to change the trendHey traders and investors! In a recent analysis of the AUDUSD currency pair (available in related posts), I mentioned a high probability of a reversal forming on the weekly timeframe. This conclusion was also supported by the situation on the daily timeframe. Currently, a similar situation is observed with the US Dollar Index. This review illustrates the relationship between different timeframes, aiding in making better decisions in asset analysis and entry point identification. 1D Timeframe The US Dollar Index (DXY) is in a downtrend on the daily timeframe after breaking down from a consolidation range. The boundaries of this range are marked by black lines on the chart. A key level protecting the breakout from the range is 106.957, which marks the beginning of the last seller's impulse. At the start of this impulse, a seller's zone formed (red rectangle on the chart). At the end of the impulse, there was a buyer's bar with increased volume, indicating buyer interest at these price levels. The volume in this bar is concentrated in its upper part (blue line on the chart), suggesting potential seller interest. Key Levels on 1D Timeframe: Key resistance (start of the last seller's impulse): 106.957 50% of the last impulse: 106.435 Last impulse low: 105.913 Trading Recommendations: Selling: Look for selling patterns near resistance levels, especially around 106.957. Buying: Currently, there are no conditions for buying (bearish trend). Buyers need to consolidate above 106.957 to change market dynamics and create opportunities for buying patterns. Now let's analyze a higher timeframe to understand potential downward targets and obstacles. In my opinion, the 11-day timeframe shows the situation best. 11D Timeframe On the 11-day timeframe, the price is moving within a sideways range, with the upper boundary at 106.952 (close to the daily level of 106.957) and the lower boundary at 99.099. The last realized vector in the range is a buyer's impulse 7-8. The key bar of this impulse (highest volume) is located in its middle (marked as KC on the chart). The price broke above the upper boundary of the range during this impulse. However, the seller returned the price into the range, forming a seller's zone above the upper boundary (red rectangle on the chart). This seller's zone corresponds to the daily range. All of this appears as manipulation (false breakout) of the upper boundary of the range. The current seller's vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 99.807 (99.099). Obstacles for sellers include the key bar of the buyer's impulse, inside of which is the 50% retracement of the last impulse. I expect the first buyer reaction (long bar on the 11D timeframe) after the price declines to the range of 105.112 - 104.843. Thus, the 11-day timeframe supports the conclusion on the daily timeframe about the advisability of searching for short positions. Similarly, one can analyze a smaller timeframe, for example, the hourly, to look for short entry patterns. Key Levels on 11D Timeframe: Upper boundary of the range: 106.952 50% of the last buyer's impulse: 104.843 First target for selling (PT Short): 99.807 Lower boundary of the range: 99.099 I wish you profitable trades!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 108.500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 105.500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 💠Fundamental Analysis Weakening US Economy: The US economy's growth is slowing down, which could lead to a decline in the dollar's value. Falling Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates could weaken the dollar. 💠Macroeconomic Analysis The US economy's growth, inflation rates, and employment numbers influence the dollar's strength. Global economic trends, such as trade tensions and geopolitical events, also impact the dollar's value. 💠COT Data Analysis Net Short Positions: Institutional traders and large banks have increased their net short positions in the DXY Dollar Index, indicating a bearish sentiment. COT Ratio: The COT ratio has fallen to 1.2, indicating a bearish trend. 💠Market Sentimental Analysis Bearish Sentiment: 55% of client accounts are short on this market, indicating a bearish sentiment. Option Skew: The 25-delta put option skew has increased to 15, indicating a bearish sentiment. 💠Positioning Data Analysis Institutional Traders: Institutional traders and large banks are positioning themselves for a bearish trend, with some predicting a decline to 105.50. Corporate Traders: Corporate traders are also monitoring the index's performance, considering factors like interest rates and global economic trends. 💠Overall Outlook Bearish Trend: The DXY Dollar Index is experiencing a bearish trend, with a potential decline to 105.50. Key Support Levels: 106.57, 105.50. 💠Technical Analysis Moving Averages: The 50-day MA is indicating a bearish trend. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI has fallen to 40, indicating oversold conditions. Bollinger Bands: The lower band breakout indicates a bearish trend. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FXOPEN:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
5
DXY Is Very Bearish! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for DXY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 106.963. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 106.002 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
1
DXY - Bearish.Similar thesis to my NASDAQ analysis, with the DXY in a current bear trend, with key levels unmitigated below, and very close to current price action. Overall, expecting a decline in the price of the DXY over the next weeks sessions, mainly to hunt liquidity below to then continue the monthly Bullish bias and trend. Align it with the current US economic proceedings, and a declining dollar makes sense for a few more weeks until thing calm down with tariffs etc. etc. Expecting assets with a positive correlation to the dollar to also correlate any bearish moves in the DXY, with inverse assets such as gold benefitting. Mahalo.
TVC:DXYShort
by TuataraW20
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on the Dollar Index (DXY) with you. Based on the chart, if DXY breaks below 106.879 in the 15-minute timeframe, I expect it to drop further toward 106.517. However, if this level holds and does not break, I anticipate DXY to push back up toward the range high, as we are currently at the range low in the monthly timeframe. Additionally, a price imbalance has formed, which I’ve highlighted in the chart. If 106.879 remains intact, I expect DXY to climb toward the range high around 110.160. 📉 Expectation: Bearish Scenario: A break below 106.879 could lead to a drop toward 106.517. Bullish Scenario: If 106.879 holds, DXY may rise toward 110.160 (range high). 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 110.160 Support: 106.879, 106.517 💬 What’s your outlook on DXY? Let me know in the comments! Trade safe
TVC:DXYLong
by PouyanTradeFX
$DXY, $BTC, $XRP, Theory The TVC:DXY is in a spiralling downtrend which will cause CRYPTOCAP:BTC to pass its current ATH eventually topping again which will correlate with the TVC:DXY finding strong support between 103.6 and 104. The TVC:DXY will probably set a local range before eventually continuing on a bullish trajectory back toward 110+ ( *this will mark the end of the first half of the bull market * from Now - May) Some event in May will cause the TVC:DXY rebound to 110+ during which time we will see a major market crash lasting from (May to July). However: From 110+ i suspect the TVC:DXY will see another major correction downward which will mark the final phase of the bullrun begining about June/July until only God knows when, but historical indicators point to around October/Nov for the top. Unless CRYPTOCAP:BTC completely crashes on one of its famous bloody corrections and go to ZERO then, it MUST go above $200,000 This cycle. Remember CRYPTOCAP:BTC floats all boats , so just imagine what price CRYPTOCAP:XRP and the broader digital currency market will be... gimmi your best guess!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by howiegeneral
DXY is ready to fall again, trade accordingly The chart I analyse the most is DXY. Why you may ask? Because it encompasses all pairs, get the direction right and you're already right on almost other currency pairs too. There are exceptions tho, but that is for another day DXY is forming a textbook rising wedge pattern on a downtrend and the bias is sell. (Rising wedge breaks downwards). Keep it simple I'm posting it for you to find buy entries on cross pairs. I've already shown you one on EUR. I want to post on USDCHF and USDCAD but I will take it you get the gist. Buy XXXUSD and sell USDXXX, you can wait for volatility in the morning. Fun fact, I've never hit sl on DXY this year
TVC:DXYShort
by UGBOR
DXY at the Crossroads: How the 108–110 could reshape the market Key Highlights The U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY is currently near an important resistance level of 108–110. A potential reversal of the dollar at this level could lead to further growth in stock markets and strengthen cryptocurrencies, while a break above 110+ would continue to put pressure on risk assets. If CAPITALCOM:DXY surpasses 110 and holds above it, there is a possibility of reaching as high as the 120 mark. A rejection from the 108–110 zone would indicate a downward trend developing, possibly pushing the index toward the 98 area or lower. Future outcomes will depend on Federal Reserve monetary policy, global demand for the dollar and other safe-haven assets, as well as overall economic stability. What about crypto? There are serious risks for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS A long-term perspective on ICEUS:DXY suggests that “alt seasons” tend to occur during periods of dollar weakness. Currently, the 108–110 zone and the MA50-W are pivotal. A potential DXY reversal here may act as a catalyst for another major altcoin rally in the coming months, while continued dollar strength could postpone any such “alt season.” Shaka
TVC:DXYShort
by shakatrade1_618
Profit and Learn: Is the U.S. Dollar Still Money?In this episode of Profit and Learn, we dive into the future of the U.S. dollar. Is it still the undisputed king of global finance, or is its dominance fading? With rising competition from alternative assets, central bank policies, and global de-dollarization efforts, we explore whether the dollar remains the ultimate store of value, medium of exchange, and unit of account. Join us as we break down market sentiment, policy threats, and the role of crypto and commodities in shaping the dollar’s future. Is the dollar “too strong” for its own good, or are we seeing the early signs of its decline? 💰 Is the dollar still money? Tune in to find out!
TVC:DXYEducation
by moneymagnateash
Trade Idea for U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Feb 19, 2025📌 Current Market Context DXY is trading at 107.023 , slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (106.344). This level is a key golden ratio support, where strong reversals often happen. The uptrend from Sept 2024 suggests that bulls are still in control unless this retracement turns into a full reversal. 📈 Bullish Trade Idea (Buy Setup) ✅ Entry: Look for bullish price action (rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a strong bounce) near 106.344 - 106.500 . 🎯 Targets: Target 1 : 108.035 (78.6% Fib) Target 2 : 110.189 (previous high) 📍 Stop-Loss: Below 105.800 (just under 61.8% retracement to avoid stop hunts). 📊 Risk/Reward: ~1:2 or better. 📉 Bearish Trade Idea (Sell Setup) ❌ Trigger: If DXY closes below 106.344 on a daily candle , it could signal further downside. 📉 Entry: Sell below 106.200 after confirmation. 🎯 Targets: Target 1 : 105.156 (50% Fib) Target 2 : 103.968 (38.2% Fib) 📍 Stop-Loss: Above 107.000 (to avoid fakeouts). 📊 Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum. 🛠️ Risk Management Notes Watch for fundamental news (FOMC, inflation data, rate decisions) that could cause volatility. Use partial take profits to secure gains along the way. If entering a buy trade, consider trailing stops once price reaches 108.035.
TVC:DXYLong
by RoadToAMillionClub
DXY – A Deep Decline Ahead? (Aggressive Bearish Scenario)📉 DXY – A Deep Decline Ahead? (Aggressive Bearish Scenario) Analysis: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is at a critical point. According to the aggressive bearish scenario, we might witness a significant correction or even a strong continuation of the downtrend in the coming weeks. 🔹 Elliott Wave Structure: ✅ Wave A has formed as an impulse, and there is a possibility that Wave C will develop into an ending diagonal, signaling a sharp decline. ✅ If a complex zigzag pattern emerges, the decline could extend further into the 100.83 – 95.03 range. 🔹 Key Levels: 📌 A break below 105 – 106 would be an early confirmation of this bearish scenario. 📌 A drop below 100.19 could indicate significant weakness in the dollar, leading to the next major downtrend. 🔹 Fundamental Factors to Watch: 📉 Federal Reserve policies and key U.S. economic data, such as inflation and employment reports, will play a crucial role in confirming this move. If the DXY declines, risk assets like gold and equities could benefit from the shift. 💡 Conclusion: This scenario remains valid, but if different corrective patterns form, I also have a conservative bullish scenario, which I will share at the right time. 📊 What do you think? Are there more signs of dollar weakness ahead? 🤔 Hashtags: #DXY #DXYAnalysis #Forex #ElliottWave #USD #TechnicalAnalysis #DollarIndex #BearishScenario #MarketTrends #TradingView ✅ TradingView Short Description: 📉 Is the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the verge of a major drop? Elliott Wave analysis with key support and resistance levels. 📊💡
TVC:DXYShort
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Daily Market Outlook: BTC, DXY & Gold – Key Trade Setups (#5)The market still seems indecisive , but I’m here to find the best trade triggers for BTC and Forex. Let’s break it down. 📊 DXY – Breaking Key Support DXY has entered a corrective phase after breaking below the 107.335 support. 🔹 Key Support Levels: 105.656 (Aligned with the 30% Fibonacci retracement) 103.367 (Aligned with the 60% Fibonacci retracement) 💡 106.602 could act as a short-term support, and if it breaks, it might be time to focus on USD pairs for potential setups. 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Retesting ATH? Gold rejected its all-time high at 2937.91 and now seems to be retesting this major resistance. 📊 What’s happening? Gold is still in an uptrend, but momentum is fading. Smaller bullish candles vs. larger bearish candles indicate possible exhaustion. A correction could be healthy, but shorting remains risky in an uptrend. 📌 Trade Triggers: ✅ Long Entry: After a confirmed breakout above 2940 ❌ Short Entry: Below 2879.74 (High risk due to trend direction) 📉 BTC – 95K Support Breaking? BTC is attempting to break below the 95K support. If this level is lost, we could see a move toward 92K, 85K, and even 82K. 📌 Strategy: ✅ Short Trigger (Activated): 95245 (Yesterday’s signal) ✅ If You Missed It: Wait for a pullback or a new structure before entering. Final Thoughts ⚠ This is a highly volatile market – avoid chasing trades and wait for confirmations. ⚠ If you’re not using risk management, these setups may not be suitable for you. I’m Skeptic , see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! <3
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1