DXY trade ideas
Possibility of uptrend It is expected that the continuation of the downward trend will be formed up to the indicated support levels. Then, according to the behavior of the index, there will be a possibility of changing the trend
DXYDXY.
Will DXY get bids from buyers ?
As the price is at strong support level and bullish divergence indicating the buyers may attack this zone. If this happens and buyers start buying from here then the next target could be 101.500 followed by 102.500.
What you guys think of this idea?
Weekly Technical Analysis for Major Currency Pairs, Commodities,
Weekly Analysis of Gold, Currencies, and Oil Opportunities from September 30 to October 4, 2024
Introduction:
Greetings, this is Mohamed Qais Abdulghani, financial markets expert,
In this important weekly analysis, we present a comprehensive technical and economic analysis of the major currency pairs, commodities, and indices for the period from September 30 to October 4, 2024. We highlight significant investment opportunities in global markets, including the US dollar, gold, oil, and indices. This article not only provides a thorough outlook of the markets but also reveals golden opportunities that should be seized amid the major news releases this week. We invite you to share your comments and opinions.
At the end of the previous week, we saw an acceleration of geopolitical events and the return of uncertainty, which affected the movement of gold and markets in general. We will provide a comprehensive technical and economic analysis of the markets during this period.
1. Geopolitical Events and Market Analysis
Geopolitical events have caused an increase in the fear index, preventing gold from resuming its expected corrections. Markets remain uncertain about the direction of gold and the US dollar, putting additional pressure on price movements. This week, we will focus on key economic data that will be released and their impact on the market, such as the GDP in England, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the Eurozone, and the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
2. Important Economic Data
1. Monday: GDP in England, CPI in the Eurozone, and Jerome Powell’s speech.
2. Tuesday: CPI for the Eurozone and US Manufacturing PMI.
3. Wednesday: Non-Farm Private Sector Employment (ADP) and US Crude Oil Inventory.
4. Thursday: US Unemployment Claims and Services PMI.
5. Friday: Non-Farm Payroll, Average Hourly Earnings, and Unemployment Rate.
3. Technical Analysis of Major Currency Pairs
1. EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar): If prices stabilize above 1.1000, we may see a rise towards 1.1350 and 1.1550 on a weekly basis.
2. GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar): Breaking the 1.33540 level could pull the pair down towards 1.32500 and 1.31700.
3. USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen): Stability below 144 could lead to a drop towards 140 and 136, extending to 132.
4. USD/CHF (US Dollar/Swiss Franc): A break below 0.8400 may lead to a drop towards 0.8300 and 0.8200.
5. AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar): Staying above 0.6840 supports the positive trend towards 0.6920.
6. NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar): Continuing to trade above 0.6300 may push the pair towards 0.6400 and 0.6500.
7. USD/CAD (US Dollar/Canadian Dollar): Pressure continues with a potential drop towards 1.3400 unless prices rise above 1.3550.
8. GBP/JPY (British Pound/Japanese Yen): Breaking the 188.00 level may drag the pair towards 182.00 and 175.00.
9. EUR/JPY (Euro/Japanese Yen): A break below 158.00 may lead to a drop towards 155.00 and 151.00.
10. EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound): Breaking the 0.8300 level may bring the pair back towards 0.8060 and 0.8200.
11. USD/TRY (US Dollar/Turkish Lira): Attempts to improve the lira’s position may continue, but falling below 34.00 lira could lead to further pressure.
4. Technical Analysis of Commodities and Indices
1. Gold (XAU/USD): If prices remain below 2,680 dollars, corrections may continue towards 2,640 dollars and 2,600 dollars. If 2,640 dollars are broken, gold may continue to correct towards 2,560 dollars.
2. Crude Oil (WTI): If oil breaks the 68-dollar level, we may see a rise towards 71 and 74 dollars.
3. Silver (XAG/USD): A decline below 32.50 dollars may push prices towards 30.50 and 29.00 dollars.
4. Natural Gas (NG): Staying above 3.00 dollars supports an upward trend towards 3.50 and 4.00 dollars.
5. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA): A break below 42,250 may lead to corrections towards 41,600 and 40,800.
6. S&P 500: Failing to break 5,700 may lead to corrections towards 5,400.
7. NASDAQ: Failure to break 20,400 may lead to a decline towards 19,400.
8. Russell 2000: Breaking 2,225 may lead to a rise towards 2,320 and 2,400.
9. FTSE 100: Stability above 8,200 supports the positive trend towards 8,400.
10. DAX: Stability above 19,200 supports the upward trend towards 20,400.
11. CAC 40: Stability above 7,600 supports optimism and indicates a possible rise towards 8,000 and 8,400.
12. Nikkei 225: Breaking the 37,000 level may lead to a series of losses towards 35,000 and 33,000 on a weekly basis.
5. Cryptocurrency Market Analysis
1. Bitcoin (BTC/USD): If prices stabilize above 65,000 dollars, we may see a rise towards 69,000 and 72,000 dollars. A break below this level could negate the bullish scenario.
2. Ethereum (ETH/USD): Failure to break 2,700 dollars may lead to a decline towards 2,300 dollars. It needs to break this level to achieve future gains.
3. Ripple (XRP/USD): Stability above 0.55 dollars supports a bullish trend towards 0.65 dollars, with the potential to rise towards 0.80 dollars if the positive trend continues.
6. Recommendations and Outlook
Markets remain under pressure due to geopolitical tensions and important economic data. We advise traders to carefully monitor support and resistance levels, especially in gold, oil, and major currencies. Opportunities remain available in the event of bearish corrections that provide good entry points.
Conclusion
Thank you for following this analysis, and we invite you to engage with us by sharing your questions and comments.
This analysis has been prepared by Mohammad Qais Abdulghani, a financial market expert, based on current data and market trends. Please note that all strategies and analyses are subject to market changes, and it is recommended to follow economic developments for well-informed decisions.
[DXY] Re-entering effort to stay in the zoneTVC:DXY spent last couple of days trying to keep its head above the lower channel boundary, no success so far. Still bearish for now.
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (Sept 29th—> Oct 4th)**Looking Ahead:**
Next week will feature several key events and data releases:
- **U.S. Jobs Report**
- **U.S. PMI Surveys**
- **Fed Chair Powell Speech**
- **Earnings Reports:** Nike ( NYSE:NKE ), Carnival ( NYSE:CCL ), Levi Strauss & Co. ( NYSE:LEVI ), Constellation Brands ( NYSE:STZ )
- **Tesla Q3 Deliveries ( NASDAQ:TSLA )**
As we look forward, these developments will be crucial in shaping market sentiment and guiding investment decisions. If you have any questions or need further insights, feel free to reach out. Here’s to another week of informed investing and strategic decision-making! 🌟
$DXY US DOLLAR BULLISH **BIG BOYS BIAS (CFTC COT INDEX REPORT)
>Commercials - Extremely Bullish
>Retailers - Extremely Bearish (Always Wrong)
>Fund Managers are in-trend with the price chart (Trend Followers)
**USD Valuation Against EURO
>We are still in at the Overbought region
Others:
>Price already took the Daily Demand Zone, price is now accumulating and the catalyst for the BULLISH move could be the US FED news and the EURO Inflation Rate news release on Monday.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
DXY to 100?!intraday charts on DXY seem to be leaning bearish with 100.500 acting as resistance.
with no clear support in sight, a leg down to higher time frame market structure is expected
Price MovementThe DXY is looking to consolidate in the beginning of the week. Eventually the Fundamentals will kick in. Wednesday will be an interesting day. The DXY may continue to push to the downside or begin to make a bullish push. This Friday will be the first of the Month and Quarter.
DXY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring DXY for a selling opportunity around 100.800 zone, DXY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 100.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
US Dollar indexThe price figure indicates an ABC pattern, and currently, we are in wave 5, which is expected to complete at 97.15. However, we require confirmation with a close below 99.40 for a long-term trade.
Dollar Index - Tight...Tight TIGHT!For those breaking bad fans, you will know.
Awaiting more data to make a more accurate judgement.
DOLLAR 4H DOLLAR 4H , will look for the strength for correction of wave 4
wherever DOLLAR gets at Fibonacci levels will look for weakens of dollar from WAVE 4 to WAVE 5
DXY View!!The dollar index
DXY
Friday fell by -0.16% and posted a 14-month low. The dollar moved lower Friday after weaker-than-expected US personal income and spending reports knocked T-note yields lower, a bearish factor for the dollar. Also, Friday’s benign US Aug core PCE deflator report boosted the chances for additional Fed interest rate cuts, which was negative for the dollar. The dollar recovered from its worst levels after the University of Michigan US Sep consumer sentiment index was revised up to a 5-month high.
analysis DXYGiven the break of the price level at 100.618, it is predicted that the price may potentially reach the next lower support level. However, within the range of this next support, there is also a price order block. Therefore, according to the chart, the critical price level where liquidity can be gathered and a decisive move towards expansionary monetary policy by the central bank can be confirmed is at 99.369.
DXY TRADE SETUPIndex; DXY
✔ Classic Bearish formation
DXY is holding continuous down Trend so after market retracement I can take sell entry . If your analysis matches it take a trade otherwise skip the trade.
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DXY Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 100.412.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 99.698 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
We are going to 72The global trend lines lead us to the year of the foundation of the petrodollar in 1974.
We are moving to a new level of support, which I think will be achieved through another recession cycle.
The rate will continue to decline at an extreme pace, and the pressure of the M2 money supply will inevitably create strong pressure on the DXY
First, high-risk assets such as altcoins will grow, then we will see the collapse of the S&P500 from 6800 to 3400. At this point (2026), we can see DXY in the area of 72.
Dollar Index Weekly Timeframe Analysis by Mallicast Team:Given the break of the price level at 100.618, it is predicted that the price may potentially reach the next lower support level. However, within the range of this next support, there is also a price order block. Therefore, according to the chart, the critical price level where liquidity can be gathered and a decisive move towards expansionary monetary policy by the central bank can be confirmed is at 99.369.
Could this be the fall of the Dollar???The dollar is about to break the last significant structure on the monthly time frame. We have seen the dollar dropping over the last few months after its reaction from the last swing high.
Market structure shows price creating lower lows and lower highs which are confirmed by endless BOS. We can see a clear 11min OB has been left from the last low that price created once it tapped into the 18h demand which may allow us a buying opportunity to buy the dollar up to the 1h supply where we will continue to see it fall to it's untimely demise.
previous price action from this 18H however, didn't create much movement despite the fact it also took ASL liquidity possibly suggesting buying power in the market has no strength what so ever. We have to also consider the possibility price may not even be able to push back up but rather fall targeting the Asian lows as this would be considered a magnet for price movement.
Usd still not given clear direction on higher TimeframeHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Right at the low of 2023 Jan,want to break but not breaking the last FOMC lows...only to play the whips so far...not clear direction..hopefully NFP give some clear indication of either further downside OR reversal.
What you all think?
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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In the past a down trend on the Dollar translated in a BTC spikeIf we see what BTC did win the past once the dollar started a down trend. I would not be surprised seeing the same this time.
