DXY trade ideas
My Analysis of the DXY ChartLooking at this chart, the DXY is moving within an ascending channel defined by the two white trendlines. Based on my analysis, there are a few key levels to watch, especially the Fibonacci retracement levels.
First, if the price starts to drop from the upper boundary of the channel, it is likely to retrace down to the 0.61 Fibonacci level. This is an important support zone, and the price might bounce back up from here.
However, if the 0.61 Fibonacci level doesn’t hold, the price could continue falling towards the 0.78 retracement level. This level is a much stronger support and could trigger a significant reversal if the price reaches it.
Finally, the lower boundary of the channel, marked by the white trendline, serves as the ultimate area of support. If the price falls this far, there’s a strong chance it will bounce back upward within the channel.
This analysis highlights the key zones where the price is likely to react and helps identify the next potential moves for the DXY
DXY Chart SummaryEh bro, this chart showing two roads for Dollar Index lah.
If price can break above that 100 level ah, then maybe will fly up to 92-94 area (last resistance zone).
But if kena reject at 100, then jialat, price can drop back down to 110 area again.
So now hor, this green box is the decision point — break or reject.
Wait for clear move first, don’t simply jump in."
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 104.207.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 102.727 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DXY | Major Cycle Peak – Is the Dollar Losing Its Grip?The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) appears to be following a well-defined historical cycle, marking major peaks approximately every 15–20 years. If history repeats, the 2022 peak near 114 could signal the beginning of a multi-year dollar decline, impacting global markets, commodities, and currency pairs like EUR/USD.
Historical Peaks & Reversals
Examining past DXY cycles, we see:
969 Peak (~120): Followed by a prolonged decline into the 1970s.
1985 Peak (~165): Marked by the Plaza Accord, triggering a sharp dollar downtrend.
2001 Peak (~120): Led to a multi-year decline as the Fed shifted policies.
2022 Peak (~114): The most recent high—could it mark the next major reversal?
Each peak historically aligns with aggressive Fed tightening cycles, followed by a shift towards easing policies, leading to a weaker dollar. With U.S. interest rates expected to plateau or decline, this pattern suggests a potential long-term bearish trend for the dollar.
Implications of a Weaker Dollar
Bullish for EUR/USD – A declining DXY typically strengthens the euro.
Boost for Commodities – Gold, oil, and other dollar-denominated assets could rally.
Stronger Emerging Markets – A softer dollar eases financial conditions globally.
With DXY showing signs of a historical cycle peak, investors and traders should watch for confirmation of a multi-year downtrend, potentially reshaping global markets.
The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment as it sweeps imbalances toward 100.370. Meanwhile, the gold market remains bullish, benefiting from the weakening dollar. Traders should watch for further downside in DXY and potential strength in gold FOLLOW FOR MORE INSIGHTS , COMMENT AND BOOST IDEA
DXY April 3 Analysis DXY April 3 Analysis
*My parent bias is bear
*News 8:30 & 10
*Previous session price is in a discount the and in a discount on current trading range.
April 2 Analysis
Fantastic sell off that I was suspecting in NY. Price did not reach for the buy side I suspected however, In Asia Price did take very minor buy side at the 3 macro London and starting selling from a Premium. Retraced before NY open. And continued to sell off. Nice silver bullet at 10 macro, coming into the hourly FVG. Small retracement at 12 and small consolidation. At 16:00 huge retracement and wick sell off to make the low of the week I was again looking for. Notice how Price took weeks of sell side in 1 day. Great delivery.
April 3 Idea
I could see Price in Asia and London continue to sell off completing the rebalancing of the hourly FVG and seek the clean equal lows. Reassess for NY after that. That said there are 2 new drivers in NY to be open to reading what the chart gives me.
Stay humble to what Price prints and don't get stuck in any idea yet be nimble.
DXY:Expect an uptrend based on the daily chart supportOn Tuesday, the price of the U.S. Dollar Index generally fluctuated in a range. The price reached a daily high of 104.345, a low of 103.99, and closed at 104.19.
Looking back at the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index on Tuesday, after the morning opening, the price initially fell under short-term pressure. Subsequently, it halted its decline and resumed its upward movement above the daily support level, but the overall range was limited. The price rose in a volatile manner, and finally closed with a bullish doji.
From a weekly perspective, continue to focus on the 106.60 level, which is a key level for the medium-term trend. Below this level, the medium-term trend is bearish, and the price increase is temporarily regarded as a correction within the medium-term decline.
Meanwhile, from a daily perspective, temporarily pay attention to the 103.90 level, which is crucial for the wave trend. Above this level, adopt a bullish stance for the wave trend. Also, on the four-hour chart, temporarily focus on the support at the 104.10 area. Therefore, before the price breaks below the low of Monday, bet on an upward movement based on the daily support. Only after a downward break will the trend turn bearish.
Currently, there is a lot of news, so everyone must be cautious of market risks.
Trading Strategy:
buy@103.90-104
TP:104.50-104.80
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Potential Moves for DXYOn the H4 chart, DXY presents two potential paths. It appears that the bottom is in, as the price is painfully escaping a Wyckoff accumulation phase.
A key level to watch is 105.615, where a gap may need to be filled. Once this level is reached, the next move will depend on the retracement momentum. If bullish strength persists, DXY is likely to continue upward toward the 106.172 resistance level.
The broader market is feeling the impact of DXY’s movements, with all USD pairs experiencing pressure. Given the turbulent nature of exiting a Wyckoff phase, volatility should be expected.
⚠️ Risk Warning: These are my personal views, not financial advice (NFA). Trade carefully.
DXY is bearish, dont fade this move, BUY EURUSD AND GBPUSDI dont really know what the market is waiting for, why it has been ranging this few days but one thing is certain, the move downwards is certain. I will be really suprised if DXY moves up from here.
Dont miss out of this move, I'm begging.
My initial position is still open and I've added more from this point.
Follow me as my trades are market order and not limit orders so you will see and trade it on time
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350 (UPDATE)The DXY price action from my last video analysis has been moving as we expected & following the arrow accordingly.
We’ve seen a nice dip for the Dollar, a healthy retracement to the downside which should now be followed by the next bull run back up.
Major Wave 5 (Wave Y) en-route to $111.350📈
DeGRAM | DXY continued growthThe DXY is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the support level, the lower boundary of the channel and the lower trend line, which has already acted as a rebound point.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern and successfully held the 50% retracement level.
We expect the growth to continue.
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DXY Bounces Back: I’m Staying BullishAfter breaking below the 104 support and hitting a low of 103.75, TVC:DXY staged a strong recovery, reclaiming support and signaling a potential false breakout.
The overnight retest of 104 established a higher low, suggesting further upside potential.
As long as 104 holds, I remain bullish and will look to sell EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
DXY April 1 AnalysisDXY April 1 Analysis
*My parent bias is still bear coming into this week.
*News 10
*Previous session price is in a premium and in a discount on current trading range in a consolidation cycle.
Price opened in Asia to the down side taking sell side from last Thursday, creating equal lows, London Price retraced to the 50 level which was my original target and in NY rebalance Fridays FVG closing in consolidation.
I suspected higher prices for the beginning of this week. Great delivery. Today I suspect that Price will come up to take the noted buy side and seek to rebalance the noted FVG, possibly take the noted clean equal highs.
I am bull on this day.
Stay humble to what Price prints and don't get stuck in any idea yet be nimble.
DXY:Seize the opportunity to sell short at high pricesThe situation in the Middle East is clearly deteriorating, which undoubtedly has a huge stimulating effect on the global risk aversion sentiment. More funds have started to seek safe havens. However, the best choice at present is not the US dollar. With the continuous rise of the East, more and more capital will favor this side of the East. Therefore, the pressure on the US dollar index is actually increasing, and it will be very difficult for it to rise.
Regarding the trend of the US dollar index today, although the current situation exerts great pressure, the actions to support the market of the US dollar index still take effect from time to time. So the price will not keep falling, and there will still be some oscillatory patterns. However, even if it moves in an oscillatory pattern, the upward pressure on the US dollar index will be significant. Therefore, when the price reaches the effective resistance level, it will be an excellent opportunity to short the US dollar index.
DXY Trading Strategy:
buy@104.500
TP:103.500
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